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... | Conflux | SBuaiq3yx53xE22IpMzJ | public | contract | 1,717,018,410,902 | if-manifest-2024-is-in-the-bay-area | Conflux | If Manifest 2024 is in the Bay Area, will it be at Lighthaven again? | g7xkf419iz | 0.969227 | 87.272727 | YES | null | |
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... | RS | GDL9uiD4pMJT7jnadCCd | public | contract | 1,717,018,489,570 | who-will-be-named-the-next-007-in-t | RS | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJzlKSpMTU6TF73bf4F35qkvz5bT2b5kpj4c8dDKDGB=s96-c | Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? | null | null | 349.114547 | YES | 0cf6504c2ed5 |
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... | Fidel | ttOlxazkn6jAxTHmCT0c | public | contract | 1,717,019,601,890 | will-i-get-1-million-likes-on-my-ti | Fidell | Will I get 1 million likes on my tiktok account before June 14th 2024? | t8ksm6vd6um | null | null | null | null | |
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... | chris (strutheo) | SBuaiq3yx53xE22IpMzJ | public | contract | 1,717,019,625,349 | if-manifest-2024-is-in-the-bay-area | strutheo | If Manifest 2024 is in the Bay Area, will it be at Lighthaven again? | g7xkf419iz | 0.969227 | 36.073176 | YES | null | |
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... | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ | public | contract | 1,717,019,744,218 | will-openai-still-be-doing-superali | Lorxus | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024? | 194mqb2stx | 0.49 | 2,508.055508 | NO | null |
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... | Josh | cpV1rzHTrZoGWghj3XiH | public | contract | 1,717,020,071,471 | what-diseases-or-other-ailments-wil | josh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c | 💊 What diseases, ailments, or treatments will I get in my lifetime? | baiviridjp | null | 12.495235 | YES | 596a78d2cdf6 |
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... | TP King | zrjH4djsUXorfQCI5UAD | public | contract | 1,717,020,243,946 | who-will-win-the-202324-uefa-europa | tpking | Who will win the 2023-24 UEFA Europa Conference League? | null | null | 1,606.240943 | YES | 4b38206fdcff | |
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... | JRP | 1m1as23vhZRINDddFSaM | public | contract | 1,717,020,412,347 | metaculus-will-opec-extend-or-expan | parhizj | [Metaculus] Will OPEC+ extend or expand its current 2.2 million barrel-per-day voluntary oil... meeting on June 1, 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Joshua | ctTs6oWqIdXwqK0AfZOK | public | contract | 1,717,020,693,560 | how-many-of-the-current-prize-marke | Joshua | How many of the current Prize Markets do you find interesting? | qg638jxguy | null | null | null | null | |
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... | jskf | 1m1as23vhZRINDddFSaM | public | contract | 1,717,020,883,305 | metaculus-will-opec-extend-or-expan | jskf | [Metaculus] Will OPEC+ extend or expand its current 2.2 million barrel-per-day voluntary oil... meeting on June 1, 2024? | d0thfka50eo | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Daniel Filan | cRUeKdYm3bZPgjlS3f6D | public | contract | 1,717,021,354,038 | how-many-manifest-attendees-will-i | DanielFilan | How many Manifest attendees will I see at contra on the 6th? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Predictor 🔥 | GDL9uiD4pMJT7jnadCCd | public | contract | 1,717,022,792,789 | who-will-be-named-the-next-007-in-t | Predictor | Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? | null | null | 1,241.117934 | YES | 7d342d1d830c | |
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... | FairlyFrozen | TyfGW3MtqvNDnmLwt766 | public | contract | 1,717,023,092,295 | will-bidens-fivethirtyeight-approva-00437d46c132 | FairlyFrozen | Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 38% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽 | null | 0.543376 | 8,754.85003 | YES | null | |
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... | Sss | kPDxFAh31lEpJELe1cXg | public | contract | 1,717,028,619,709 | in-the-next-6-months-will-it-be-pub | Sss19971997 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | In the next 6 months, will it be publicly confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike are working on a project together? | xzn3dtvbif | null | null | null | null |
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"l... | David Glidden | lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju | public | contract | 1,717,028,817,008 | manifold-competition-state-vanity-l | dglid | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | [Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War | null | null | 0 | NO | 328c067f565b |
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... | Bayesian | uf2vhub2JbvE3LuuJqZg | public | contract | 1,717,028,862,620 | season-13-leagues-bayesian-vs-shank | Bayesian | Season 13 Leagues: @Bayesian vs @shankypanky [Short Fuse!] | ehcrbrofgno | null | 967.452013 | YES | nbadj4qlfq | |
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}... | Bayesian | aGjGTkWRTW8JgMa2Ipra | public | contract | 1,717,028,945,982 | midjourney-v7-comes-out-before-july | Bayesian | Will Midjourney v7 be released before July 1st 2024? | wg4xpirl7t | 0.083047 | -0 | NO | null | |
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... | Haven | kPDxFAh31lEpJELe1cXg | public | contract | 1,717,028,954,685 | in-the-next-6-months-will-it-be-pub | HWH | In the next 6 months, will it be publicly confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike are working on a project together? | xzn3dtvbif | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bayesian | aGjGTkWRTW8JgMa2Ipra | public | contract | 1,717,028,976,757 | midjourney-v7-comes-out-before-july | Bayesian | Will Midjourney v7 be released before July 1st 2024? | wg4xpirl7t | 0.083047 | -0 | NO | null | |
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"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,717,029,393,890 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
jmfud7srmzi | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
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"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,717,029,451,419 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | David Glidden | lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju | public | contract | 1,717,029,481,993 | manifold-competition-state-vanity-l | dglid | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | [Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War | 682uy7o669h | null | 0 | NO | 328c067f565b |
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"l... | FairlyRandom | 4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | public | contract | 1,717,029,514,239 | how-many-hits-after-30-days | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Sss | kPDxFAh31lEpJELe1cXg | public | contract | 1,717,029,579,652 | in-the-next-6-months-will-it-be-pub | Sss19971997 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | In the next 6 months, will it be publicly confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike are working on a project together? | xzn3dtvbif | null | null | null | null |
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} | Gabe Garboden | DmHNc6MvEibyaGNw3YoP | public | contract | 1,717,029,594,264 | will-i-take-delivery-of-a-cybertruc | GabeGarboden | Will I take delivery of a Cybertruck before June 1st 2024 | null | null | null | null | null | |
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{... | Ken Michaels | lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju | public | contract | 1,717,029,813,822 | manifold-competition-state-vanity-l | kenmichaels | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9 | [Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War | 682uy7o669h | null | null | null | null |
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{... | Ken Michaels | lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju | public | contract | 1,717,029,883,447 | manifold-competition-state-vanity-l | kenmichaels | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9 | [Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War | 682uy7o669h | null | null | null | null |
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qumscvdzpq | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | EZvXSqTW12VYZkJ0TW1p | public | contract | 1,717,030,578,478 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-652d3b2f163f | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Yann Lecunn | null | null | null | null | null | |
8jq3x734ola | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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emjgge5b45 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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... | Garrett Baker | 2WP2XUlxLOkyxchNiQCG | public | contract | 1,717,031,213,540 | will-i-receive-significant-evidence | GarrettBaker | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c | Will I receive significant evidence that Paul Christiano is not legally bound by a mutual OpenAI NDA before EOY2024 | ivsutqr9mgd | null | null | null | null |
32ulw7ox8xt | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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... | stefanie | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,031,264,959 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | shankypanky | How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | t95tzk5guok | null | 386.239233 | YES | c43f266973a9 | |
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