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"content": null... | Logan Zoellner | RTM4CiwznGjt4fSBIDSy | public | contract | 1,717,031,756,319 | when-will-style-transfer-be-possibl | LoganZoellner | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2EjHgiN3-4CwC17J8a4nbk1MzVXiwg0o_GxnHnKg=s96-c | When will style transfer be possible in real-time on consumer hardware? | null | null | null | null | null |
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{... | Susanne inFrance | HnDVpogGDsnTzqJrV9Fn | public | contract | 1,717,032,319,522 | will-there-be-a-largescale-bird-flu | SusanneinFrance | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c | Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024? | 3a2ubb32hgm | null | null | null | null |
m6gulfioxhc | false | 7ZUzSoFRd0SABh2p63Gp2Gcnr1u1 | {
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{... | Michael Lo | D5b8H9yUWbE3wRSov3VO | public | contract | 1,717,032,716,646 | will-i-get-a-software-engineering-j-lgsrxz2nab | lomichael | Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months? | ixathyxdnlh | null | null | null | null | |
c31a9zow7mj | false | 95LgqX2ngfhRrnvy0tegLHkrWtv2 | {
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Long 🐹 | CUZZ6V2wrKYx0AfHnfDr | public | contract | 1,717,032,765,236 | which-companies-will-join-the-sp-50 | long | Which companies will join the S&P 500 by 2025? [Universal Free Response Market] | null | null | 89.041388 | YES | tin5fpixqf | |
k9ult3uof4t | false | rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92 | {
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"type": "... | Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,039,406 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | Tumbles | How many traders will this market get? | null | null | 8,684.340897 | YES | 8cf62b48c791 | |
awrex6593iw | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
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... | JRP | GPNnE6JjonPpM1jJJPRF | public | contract | 1,717,033,069,240 | first-crystal-market-in-june | parhizj | First Crystal Market in June? | null | null | null | null | null | |
al5nytiwbyu | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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... | stefanie | eVsjvwi4WoP0VUyY0owL | public | contract | 1,717,033,159,873 | let-me-know-when-theres-been-a-chan | shankypanky | Alert us when Manifold has changed | null | null | null | null | null | |
xm964bz66l | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"text": "scratch that - unique traders are now listed in the ... Menu",
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"type... | stefanie | eVsjvwi4WoP0VUyY0owL | public | contract | 1,717,033,233,982 | let-me-know-when-theres-been-a-chan | shankypanky | Alert us when Manifold has changed | al5nytiwbyu | null | null | null | null | |
psm4jzw4z5 | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
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... | Ben Shindel | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,503,756 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | How many traders will this market get? | k9ult3uof4t | null | 500.778861 | YES | 8cf62b48c791 |
px5v1m89mhp | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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... | stefanie | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,579,180 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | shankypanky | How many traders will this market get? | k9ult3uof4t | null | null | null | null | |
ld698vize2 | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
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"t... | JRP | 3Xjyd47jqdaAYnCJqvTG | public | contract | 1,717,033,607,741 | first-crystal-tier-market-in-2024 | parhizj | First Crystal Tier Market in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
m9fd0pntkeh | false | xNnEsHOTJQZyrss4heMDKy6h4TH3 | {
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... | Oliver Habryka | xTMnUHNSZF0pxDIsE5Se | public | contract | 1,717,033,633,644 | by-the-end-of-2023-will-substantial | OliverHabryka | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gih7N8J7oubVjqQFrQ7F-ZKb7XTST81OuGyRp1vTA=s96-c | By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up? | 5ckxe709mw | null | null | null | null |
593gw16o5nj | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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... | stefanie | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,740,693 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | shankypanky | How many traders will this market get? | k9ult3uof4t | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bayesian | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,824,413 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | Bayesian | How many traders will this market get? | k9ult3uof4t | null | 4,342.116466 | YES | 93c9250c460b | |
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... | Predictor 🔥 | GDL9uiD4pMJT7jnadCCd | public | contract | 1,717,033,877,920 | who-will-be-named-the-next-007-in-t | Predictor | Who will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise? | lxh1x7pneuf | null | 1,241.117934 | YES | 7d342d1d830c | |
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... | stefanie | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,033,886,279 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | shankypanky | How many traders will this market get? | k9ult3uof4t | null | null | null | null | |
fodm7229i5o | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
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"l... | Joshua | 0EEABS6WKPDhwBfFcu61 | public | contract | 1,717,034,021,718 | first-crystal-tier-market-in-2024-ulki0vqvcs | Joshua | First Crystal Tier Market in 2024? | null | 50 | 1,139.477117 | YES | null | |
3b6tsyy8wwd | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
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"type... | JRP | lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF | public | contract | 1,717,034,563,895 | will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e | parhizj | Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season? | jgg84e4ih | 0.025548 | 0 | YES | null | |
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... | Usaar33 | c2z9iYH6D3hWmv5lbTOh | public | contract | 1,717,034,593,992 | will-an-ai-system-be-capable-of-cre | Usaar33 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLs6a87Fmw7B5pZ9PGLt4kh3G0wqbs7jQWHmS8oi9ZfDYKD=s96-c | By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt? | r5ou84bju87 | null | null | null | null |
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} | Daniel Filan | cRUeKdYm3bZPgjlS3f6D | public | contract | 1,717,035,330,545 | how-many-manifest-attendees-will-i | DanielFilan | How many Manifest attendees will I see at contra on the 6th? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mef1wwgfzl | false | 6xRZb6sK2OfzveTDuGmjSIHpovF2 | {
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}
],
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],
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} | Usaar33 | 5azc3vhrjljwPwxQLtg2 | public | contract | 1,717,035,361,828 | will-a-llm-beat-human-experts-on-gp | Usaar33 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLs6a87Fmw7B5pZ9PGLt4kh3G0wqbs7jQWHmS8oi9ZfDYKD=s96-c | Will a LLM beat human experts on GPQA by Jan 1, 2025? | null | 0.377626 | 152.196694 | NO | null |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Michael Little | udAGfXU4GyygRz4Dv3E6 | public | contract | 1,717,035,871,041 | will-the-nz-government-implement-ta | MichaelLittle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd2OCUqa2IBiQCOQlu1j3y150pV46qUpxU4x-fo=s96-c | Will the NZ Government implement tax cuts in the scale campaigned on by budget announcement? | null | 0.769947 | 581.580512 | YES | null |
veu4oiflt9j | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
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"l... | Arky | EeImunMequEKs1dfra0K | public | contract | 1,717,036,146,523 | what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-we-353314fafa76 | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | What will be true of the xkcd on Wednesday, May 29th, 2024? | null | null | 167.144242 | YES | 460ce5583a9e |
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... | EBurk | EeImunMequEKs1dfra0K | public | contract | 1,717,036,347,338 | what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-we-353314fafa76 | EBurk | What will be true of the xkcd on Wednesday, May 29th, 2024? | veu4oiflt9j | null | 94.881239 | NO | b3b1e6401a06 | |
ieb9ljdrlc | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
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... | nikki | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,036,414,950 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | nikki | How many traders will this market get? | null | null | 2,116.904685 | YES | 93c9250c460b | |
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... | Punished Furry | VRYukX0NtpZRZIMfclae | public | contract | 1,717,036,686,781 | will-there-be-another-patreon-exclu | PunishedFurry | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c | Will there be another Patreon Exclusive Stream for the Anything Else Podcast by the end of June 2024? | h5htjdcplen | 50 | 94.465832 | YES | null |
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"text": "Free mana for betting no on 144, if everyone who follows me and a few other people bet on this. We are at 164 traders now, just need a few more to reac... | nikki | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,036,860,199 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | nikki | How many traders will this market get? | null | null | 2,116.904685 | YES | 93c9250c460b | |
9ca2mrvolae | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
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... | GooGhoul | He664dYKFSbHAz38tSs1 | public | contract | 1,717,037,128,346 | uk-general-election-which-party-wil-a648d62090f7 | GooGhoul | UK General Election: Which party will win Gloucester? | null | null | 65.906633 | NO | f398b7f71724 | |
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... | Eliza | ieZZaKH60LcVyVOoFpFF | public | contract | 1,717,037,150,189 | what-denominations-of-the-us-dollar | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | What denominations of the US Dollar will be issued by the US government in 2030? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"l... | Bayesian | uf2vhub2JbvE3LuuJqZg | public | contract | 1,717,037,152,529 | season-13-leagues-bayesian-vs-shank | Bayesian | Season 13 Leagues: @Bayesian vs @shankypanky [Short Fuse!] | null | null | 1,210.674167 | YES | nbadj4qlfq | |
n1udk1drig | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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... | Craig Talbert | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,040,150,895 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 166.736433 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
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