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"text": "FWIW, checking simply for May 20th-31st with the Dec 31st cutoff, the % of long term markets (under the crude 2024 definition) is still around ~40%. That fits with my anecdotal experience that people are still making a fair number of markets (many aren't possible with loans, but we've seen a similar magnitude of decrease in market creation of all sorts). Personally I don't know how people have the mana to spend on these markets that won't resolve in any reasonable span of time, but I don't think the pivot has resulted in a sharp decrease in those markets, even if this market didn't test it properly. ",
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} | Ziddletwix | TAjtnx0H4pZPCQNmTGR5 | public | contract | 1,717,268,218,269 | in-march-41-of-newly-created-market | Ziddletwix | In March, 41% of newly created markets were long term (close date after 2024). In May, will that shrink to <33%? | null | 0.038665 | 6,576.162726 | NO | null | |
ltxcw3qd34p | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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} | Ziddletwix | TAjtnx0H4pZPCQNmTGR5 | public | contract | 1,717,268,248,239 | in-march-41-of-newly-created-market | Ziddletwix | In March, 41% of newly created markets were long term (close date after 2024). In May, will that shrink to <33%? | qp3bw4tld9s | 0.038665 | 6,576.162726 | NO | null | |
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"text": " resolves \"we don't know\"; there are still Palestinians who hold Jordanian citizenship from before 1967, and some of them might have died in Gaza. ",
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"text": " yeah agree - though mrbeast subscriber rate has dramatically changed in the past days/hours that were not easily predictable. Seems likely some subscriber manipulation/ PR happening. Maybe even to precipitate a mrbeast passes t series party today. ",
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} | Noit | nOiUjcHna4nrqgLmwhdz | public | contract | 1,717,268,576,363 | will-the-conservatives-tories-win-m-53eabaecdbdf | Noit | Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 160 seats at the next UK general election? | null | 0.394942 | 2,674.782059 | NO | null | |
yest3dhpsvm | false | h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2 | {
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} | Benjamin Ikuta | ronmPgNLkIlxJB4tphwl | public | contract | 1,717,268,611,534 | will-i-get-a-girlfriend-by-the-end-0be9954bf53c | benjaminIkuta | Will I get a girlfriend by the end of 2024? | ouyno8q5kx | null | null | null | null | |
z4gjsops8c9 | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
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75bo9h2g5z3 | false | h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2 | {
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} | Benjamin Ikuta | qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw | public | contract | 1,717,268,718,877 | will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024 | benjaminIkuta | Will I have a girlfriend in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
sm0y9y17x3i | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
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"text": "Nominees have been selected!",
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"text": "I guess this makes RFK the Brony Party nominee.",
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} | Plasma Ballin' | LJzMjzxI3hgPe4tAwGJP | public | contract | 1,717,268,726,326 | which-political-party-would-you-vot | PlasmaBallin | Which political party would you vote for? | null | null | null | null | null | |
y8f4uhan1k8 | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
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"text": "currently self-identify",
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{
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"text": " as Jordanian, which is why citizenship was not necessary in the description. The context of the market was the Israeli and/or Iranian strikes flying over the country of Jordan between the two beliggerants with Jordanian interception siding with Israel. Given that you don't have a position in the market, I'll now resolve No but take your criticism into account for any future similar markets. It's a solid point.",
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} | Panfilo | 4ZDLcHNBZNaYstKp6gPB | public | contract | 1,717,268,726,893 | will-any-jordanian-citizens-die-by | Panfilo | Will any Jordanian citizens die by Israeli or Iranian strikes before June 1st? | jkalazenw6 | 0.022701 | 1,887.469829 | NO | null | |
u3whfczzpfb | false | h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2 | {
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} | Benjamin Ikuta | A6yrdjMnA3nglCqVgHrg | public | contract | 1,717,268,773,077 | will-i-enter-a-relationship-in-2024 | benjaminIkuta | Will I enter a relationship in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
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