id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2 classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2 values | commentType stringclasses 1 value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2 values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
evqp06a9pf | false | owtvuJTMkNduy7U4Lwnh7iyTCFv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Market extended to 30th of June",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Connor | NbPoV2oNedBzwrFBY0mn | public | contract | 1,717,268,790,889 | how-did-charlotte-the-stingray-conc | ConnorTabarrok | How did Charlotte the stingray conceive her pups? | null | null | 2,296.573159 | YES | 99fca4258cec | |
q4xow14jz7 | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Musk tweet 3 days ago may have caused a jump in rate and then the getting close generates further interest which further increases rate.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It would be funny if t-series has also seen an increase in rate and goes to 267 million before this market closes.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1794161292225421505",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1794161292225421505",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Christopher Randles | 5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC | public | contract | 1,717,268,856,999 | will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024? | jtzg5yac2l | 0.906706 | 16,906.443366 | NO | null |
w0i2vaynyvh | false | iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q4xow14jz7",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " yeah would agree 😂. I'm screwed if that happens. Putting a lot of risk into this one",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric | 5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC | public | contract | 1,717,268,904,957 | will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m | Shifbru | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c | Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024? | jtzg5yac2l | 0.906706 | 5,692.128777 | YES | null |
bw5i97ipfjk | false | oTM5dBmBh1aiQBPsyBDhMvHheZt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Fucking Mick Lasalle average metacritic score of 61. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "😂",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | noney | mRuqzMhPPyHY1RTmdrig | public | contract | 1,717,269,114,674 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha-adf98b0c377a | noney | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAstXlydmpqoy7N40v4rx0DkqBzMnYi_09tG46Hye-19bu=s96-c | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Metacritic score >80? | null | 0 | 951.709676 | YES | null |
yn5b27zaju | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | Q4pcJPJR0ywWdjidAlwN | public | contract | 1,717,269,289,691 | will-i-get-demoted-from-masters-lea | shankypanky | Will I get demoted from Masters League before July 2nd, 2024? | zs59w1qvrfm | 0.965372 | 7,585.992713 | YES | null | |
aeb184xi95q | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y8f4uhan1k8",
"label": "Panfilo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I hear you. I thought of checking and...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://en.royanews.tv/news/47338/2023-12-09",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://en.royanews.tv/news/47338/2023-12-09",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2024/03/12/Israeli-forces-kill-Jordanian-in-West-Bank-Palestinian-ministry-",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2024/03/12/Israeli-forces-kill-Jordanian-in-West-Bank-Palestinian-ministry-",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.arabnews.com/node/2457941/middle-east",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.arabnews.com/node/2457941/middle-east",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | 4ZDLcHNBZNaYstKp6gPB | public | contract | 1,717,269,542,368 | will-any-jordanian-citizens-die-by | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will any Jordanian citizens die by Israeli or Iranian strikes before June 1st? | jkalazenw6 | null | null | null | null |
ynwnjdkyg3o | false | Tuvk2vE8saQgB10Z7Gwv2CT1pQW2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "o9u413i183s",
"label": "TP8ac2",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " thanks for the ping. Resolved!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Stephen Malina | jg3qGqhmfiyzhFbZwnqN | public | contract | 1,717,269,644,195 | will-xai-raise-a-major-100m-fundrai | StephenMalina | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhiY-B4DtNCOyjQmWNag-FugkJMBmr3jdWOk82M=s96-c | Will xAI do a large (>$100M) fundraising round in 2024? | otaanzlgwwj | 0.99 | 69.239656 | YES | null |
6ynketzg6ax | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Holy sh*t that was close!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | The Official | vOjQCIOhA7nbhwBJMLdm | public | contract | 1,717,269,908,534 | borussia-dortmund-vs-real-madrid-ch | 10thOfficial | Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final Prop Bets | null | null | 432.554434 | NO | 4b5d442273c5 | |
lu1x5tyxrh | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I’m not liking this, Real Madrid running out of energy here…",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Predictor 🔥 | 4RPTODxPehmsYgONkTm0 | public | contract | 1,717,270,344,409 | will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bayern | Predictor | Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid? ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final | null | 0.28668 | 809.105417 | NO | null | |
uyp178kq55g | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "txn2sx5pli",
"label": "citrinitas",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " There is a lack of authoritative source material. A lot of this is a combination of PR hype and poor reporting. Although it is hard to get the real data when the cars are not in consumer hands yet.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | JRP | e3ah02wnqsS2hwQYTgQs | public | contract | 1,717,270,432,351 | will-someone-sell-a-nonlithium-ev-b | parhizj | Will someone sell a non-lithium EV before 2025? | f3od05bhmt9 | 0.661399 | 0 | NO | null | |
1mq0nzucbtl | false | jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Market can be resolved as inconclusive?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jess Riedel | CaDYO8tWTDDbh2eOubfS | public | contract | 1,717,270,979,165 | conditional-on-starship-reaching-or | JessRiedel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c | Conditional on Starship reaching orbit in 2023, will it be sent to Mars before 2028? | null | null | null | null | null |
l293s90mcpf | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "aeb184xi95q",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " None of these confirmed ones are from the timeframe of this market, but I agree that the IDF has killed some Jordanian citizens in this conflict.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Panfilo | 4ZDLcHNBZNaYstKp6gPB | public | contract | 1,717,271,095,875 | will-any-jordanian-citizens-die-by | Panfilo | Will any Jordanian citizens die by Israeli or Iranian strikes before June 1st? | jkalazenw6 | 0 | 1,887.469829 | NO | null | |
af0rbtrt2v | false | DQibddwgHsduCah3Q1g30UnjwPh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will videos count that were streamed before the date of creation of this market, but are only a short version of the stream?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Topology | 5EYuPngLazK71wpJEV9t | public | contract | 1,717,271,294,185 | will-dougdoug-upload-a-chat-vs-ai-v | Topology | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIcGzhgVqPYdVUDjkFFefO5Y4yKefMc1yrrse4Va1qa=s96-c | Will DougDoug upload a Chat vs AI video by the end of May? | null | 0.952879 | 182.653337 | NO | null |
9jsn10h00s | false | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Poll for this market: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-z7dx8c3pt0",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-z7dx8c3pt0",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Market for next month: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-zgrov4cuhk",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-zgrov4cuhk",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Gabrielle | Q399hb5yVqr2k6ULcKiC | public | contract | 1,717,271,328,889 | what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-8a0545e32889 | Gabrielle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of May 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
3pxzrd7x2bl | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "di376s92l88",
"label": "VaibhavGupta",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " the fide website has him at 2794? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Madge | 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9N | public | contract | 1,717,271,503,015 | who-will-be-the-next-chess-player-t-266fa6b12d16 | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical) | di376s92l88 | null | null | null | null |
om5y0x4g43 | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y8f4uhan1k8",
"label": "Panfilo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " sorry, I didn't check the dates. Thanks for the clarification!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | 4ZDLcHNBZNaYstKp6gPB | public | contract | 1,717,271,566,979 | will-any-jordanian-citizens-die-by | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will any Jordanian citizens die by Israeli or Iranian strikes before June 1st? | jkalazenw6 | null | null | null | null |
4ksz1h4vvz | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3pxzrd7x2bl",
"label": "Mad",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " is the resolution source. The interface looks like 2700chess but even their front-page shows Hikaru below 2800? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": false,
"id": "614f9cef-f666-4d14-a016-c7ad6e52a14a",
"image": "https://ratings.fide.com/img/logo/fide-logo.svg",
"inputKey": "comment 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9Ncomment di376s92l88",
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": "FIDE Ratings",
"tweetId": null,
"url": "https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml"
},
"content": null,
"type": "linkPreview"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Madge | 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9N | public | contract | 1,717,271,768,926 | who-will-be-the-next-chess-player-t-266fa6b12d16 | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical) | di376s92l88 | null | null | null | null |
3vc4k06qfzv | false | qPUY04kdCNdRz0TP5HdU4jstGrD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "So far since May 30th, the active Players stay similar to before May 30th. Still waiting until June 3rd!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | copyrofire | QMZacp3jvWp1fMyaxd0h | public | contract | 1,717,271,775,691 | will-helldivers-2-rapidly-decline-i | copyrofire | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK3UGjkc3m3Ei72PA-9wpYbAZur-t2ihardjpOCYiuildv0ghM=s96-c | Will Helldivers 2 rapidly decline in active Players after May 30? | null | null | null | null | null |
crm0vid95i | false | Tz41xTDNKjN48bgtH7Me4TYoTKQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lu1x5tyxrh",
"label": "Predictor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " and have a look at the statistics ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Leonardo | 4RPTODxPehmsYgONkTm0 | public | contract | 1,717,271,859,266 | will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bayern | LeonardoKr | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpog6i--u15_WA_66nvBoZhXHAdY-Bksm1f9q8CmA=s96-c | Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid? ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final | lu1x5tyxrh | 0.327903 | 197.02469 | YES | null |
zyc6cplu52l | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I dont think we'll know at this point. resolving to prob",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pat Scott🩴 | 5kMb9kCVxmrkkUGyNAkh | public | contract | 1,717,271,967,353 | did-aella-shower-today-today-is-the | Stralor | Did Aella shower today? (Today is the Bet on Love event) | null | 0.274422 | 33.503376 | YES | null | |
t2bcg4pudys | false | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "49f192tun4a",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " no sry i cant add more options to this market 💀",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Base | P0qLJg4CpytSNhACu8Oa | public | contract | 1,717,272,011,431 | predominant-color-of-trumps-suit-at | Base | Predominant color of Trump's suit at the debate on June 27 | 49f192tun4a | null | 564.178123 | YES | pf6v3tw41n | |
yz3666o4ywk | false | ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4ksz1h4vvz",
"label": "Mad",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Hikaru just beat Caruana to cross 2800 around 1 hour ago. FIDE list gets updated only at the end of each month. So, it was updated according to how the ratings were at the end of May, since then Hikaru has won 2 matches in a row.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Vaibhav Gupta | 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9N | public | contract | 1,717,272,013,697 | who-will-be-the-next-chess-player-t-266fa6b12d16 | VaibhavGupta | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c | Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical) | di376s92l88 | null | 1,638.682412 | YES | 0511249f09d4 |
hnz9bnkd1yt | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "if anybody wants to research and count, feel free to reverse my resolution. this is ancient, tedious, and prone to error, so I'm resolving prob",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pat Scott🩴 | moeIcpInpaI9u7vjTduU | public | contract | 1,717,272,119,581 | how-many-realworld-events-in-2023-w | Stralor | How many real-world events in 2023 will resolve a Manifold market with a 99%+ reversal? (full year inclusive) | null | null | 61.44723 | YES | 7e2cdf6e53dc | |
lacf7ibnol | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "afaik, this resolves NO. feel free to correct me with proof and I'll re-resolve",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pat Scott🩴 | UJ7pS4waEvojA9AGtpBc | public | contract | 1,717,272,353,872 | will-the-us-uk-or-eu-write-any-law | Stralor | Will the US, UK or EU write any law aimed at limiting a specific AI capability before 2024? | null | 0.27 | 130.490795 | NO | null | |
kxrrq95dut9 | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0lb97w7kxtia",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Agree it will appeal to people going to Manifest! But if Manifold is ever going to be usefully accurate on more than 2-3 topics, it’s gotta appeal to a lot more users than the EA community plus Destiny fans plus ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ". There’s an unresolved conflict between being a fun sticky social site and casting a wide net for experts.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,272,456,469 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ClubmasterTransparent | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | 19ztbhfy8yb | null | null | null | null | |
3s24s2mo85s | false | 339jQjoZlzL0ToxQAWUC72ojZ0s2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Latvia is a NATO member state; they would almost certainly trigger article V which would force all NATO allies to send assistance -- basically spelling doom for any Russian aggression in latvia. The economies of NATO member states dwarf Russia's about 20x so any long-term confrontation would be economically un-maintainable.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "One thing I would like to knowm more about is Russian sentiment towards latvia as a nation / territory: it's possible that they feel v. strongly .re this and my western POV is failing to take this into account.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joe Boyle | Jc4rRAQpvCXE9tCEfa4n | public | contract | 1,717,272,488,575 | russian-attacks-or-invades-latvia-b | JoeBoyle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJb_agY-aZG_4gAzTtubwx6017XMVq5RMokc-jJSwJhunE=s96-c | Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026 | null | 0.17249 | 35.725232 | NO | null |
ceh1fkjmn6i | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "38o8rzy8anb",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Sounds right to me. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,272,797,777 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
ruizcen94q | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "h4v69o34ucv",
"label": "ForTruth",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does it include all spending on sun observation? The costs of broadcasting geomagnetic storm predictions? Training AI to predict geomagnetic storms and their impacts? Sunspot research? Transformer design research?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "blockquote"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yes to all of those, if doing that caused 95% of people to survive for 6 months. I'll add this to the description. Edit: Re \"All spending by all transmission system operators?\" I've also added the phrase \"cost to the US government\" to make it clear that this would be a government funded project.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "All political lobbying for power grid improvements?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "blockquote"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is estimating the cost of the project itself, assuming the project was given the green light.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | singer | tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe | public | contract | 1,717,272,900,839 | how-many-billions-of-dollars-would | singer | How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse? | h4v69o34ucv | null | null | null | null | |
r7aijuearx | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ilpyn9hecu",
"label": "Mich",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I think it's charity donations",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | 176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek | public | contract | 1,717,272,940,016 | who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024 | nikki | Who will win poker at Manifest 2024? | ilpyn9hecu | null | 51.458383 | NO | c56953fa9b75 | |
w9lxrfe2xe | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "luixqkucy",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I’ve been betting heavily on “top 5 resolve to 100% all others resolve to NO”! If there was a plan to resolve any other options to a % that should’ve been made clear in advance!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ben Shindel | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,010,218 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 524.766152 | NO | f057d27647f7 |
0ob92n0plmr | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "w9lxrfe2xe",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " that was dumb of you considering that others have already resolved to 95%.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jim | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,073,485 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | jim | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 5,622.398255 | NO | be5da8403dad | |
758weug9fur | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "w9lxrfe2xe",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " You’re fine. That plan was abandoned. I have edited the description. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,109,446 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
opk6o6lm5s | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "758weug9fur",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Thanks!!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ben Shindel | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,128,749 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 524.766152 | NO | f057d27647f7 |
f37ovr86shn | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "we aim to please",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,216,006 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
dyge4gky2jd | false | Disjvik10uMvgwgHmWKxCGQiBL12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Prison stripes?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | VNet Chrome | P0qLJg4CpytSNhACu8Oa | public | contract | 1,717,273,236,728 | predominant-color-of-trumps-suit-at | VNetChrome | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKhCUV1ku9tdawrtVz5spuXXiiMfObHRMeKseoBeEVh=s96-c | Predominant color of Trump's suit at the debate on June 27 | null | null | null | null | null |
d6derewbw | false | iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q4xow14jz7",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " really really coming down to the wire",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric | 5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC | public | contract | 1,717,273,310,420 | will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m | Shifbru | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c | Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024? | jtzg5yac2l | 0.710174 | 5,692.128777 | YES | null |
qvdsbyainua | false | 51Wov1rCezNY5JHUuRcxdToLE872 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "im6mdg2x3o",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " part of teams that submitted something ad description says. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Did you miss that or is it badly explained somehow?. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Victor Levoso | jHE1eRWppfJ12EMR877S | public | contract | 1,717,273,423,868 | how-many-people-will-participate-in-4f30738565ed | VictorLevoso | How many people will participate in my interpretability hackathon? | im6mdg2x3o | null | null | null | null | |
p1t6lu72oc | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0ob92n0plmr",
"label": "jim",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Reminder, the two options that resolved to PROB were added in the middle of a Saturday night in a coordinated attempt to “force” me to change the criteria, and dumb. Since I no longer had N/A power and betting them down and resolving them in my own favor was frowned on by a mod, I resolved them to PROB. I suspect alcohol was involved, since “forcing” me to do anything very rarely ends well.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,273,536,603 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
waga2ml57m | false | D3MeAINv5uMz6cDoiGSOcU1U1TG3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "kvir4h93smc",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " To be fair, the copypasta question text says \"the English article on Wikipedia that has the most pageviews in April\".",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chaos | Y2aDWPKmCVLD4aaOwy3Y | public | contract | 1,717,273,540,867 | the-most-popular-wikipedia-article-81cd72a3d019 | chaos | The most popular Wikipedia article in May 2024? (no exclusions) | xakuh9hw | null | null | null | null | |
clk6w7ajtkp | false | 51Wov1rCezNY5JHUuRcxdToLE872 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I added the link to the itch io page",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Victor Levoso | jHE1eRWppfJ12EMR877S | public | contract | 1,717,273,631,469 | how-many-people-will-participate-in-4f30738565ed | VictorLevoso | How many people will participate in my interpretability hackathon? | null | null | null | null | null | |
szauc1793fg | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon market, can resolve NO, it never broke even 1700 in may ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FxWSgoe7Ylk.png?alt=media&token=777b212f-b56d-4617-aecd-d6ae9033d564",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | PAHiTJMqzRPnXX33xYMl | public | contract | 1,717,273,846,888 | will-manifold-reach-2000-daily-acti-38be0122a1da | Ziddletwix | Will Manifold Reach 2000 Daily Active Users in May 2024? | null | 0.021359 | 2,368.502429 | NO | null | |
w6p6ajzrrfd | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon market, can resolve NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 8wxlPv5QmypZ0gvaRgfF | public | contract | 1,717,273,877,800 | will-barack-obama-make-12-or-more-t-52feae291df2 | Ziddletwix | Will Barack Obama make 12 or more Twitter(X) posts in May 2024? | t6az1h9e29p | 0.025641 | 792.426446 | NO | null | |
pc5yjee465 | false | NndHcEmeJhPQ6n7e7yqAPa3Oiih2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xfvv2IHWADa6xJjECe73FFXU3CV2",
"label": "EugeneBixby",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Thank you, I'm glad to see there's at least one other person who pronounces these correctly. :)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Josh | RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH | public | contract | 1,717,273,912,873 | manifold-american-english-pronuncia | josh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c | Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide | null | null | 400 | YES | i2t0a0mrgz |
6ywxhe119yj | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FvcxzbugT_s.png?alt=media&token=98652f8b-8f69-4bee-823a-8a7b937daf21",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | iiM5X30bn3t8EiTEbWJH | public | contract | 1,717,273,924,703 | will-kalshis-google-trends-be-highe | Ziddletwix | Will Kalshi be googled more than Polymarket on June 1st? | null | 0.023441 | 907.055126 | NO | null | |
45yhwk67afw | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon market (he's asking mods to resolve), resolves NO. this was the only may video, <15M views ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25N0R1KnXVs",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25N0R1KnXVs",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | C7vzEMbUC041hdrURYMy | public | contract | 1,717,273,953,311 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-86425335c196 | Ziddletwix | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 20M views? | null | 0.024161 | 3,630.093156 | NO | null | |
qasb429c69 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "a8vat3mom6l",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon has asked mods to resolve, resolves NO",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | UvQsvtJd3tJKV3yPSkg0 | public | contract | 1,717,273,995,792 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-6076955a9f67 | Ziddletwix | Will any of the videos uploaded to Rational Animation's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 200k views? | a8vat3mom6l | 0.023261 | 521.351487 | NO | null | |
bha6k6enwfj | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "There were 10 total",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Plasma Ballin' | 8wxlPv5QmypZ0gvaRgfF | public | contract | 1,717,274,007,174 | will-barack-obama-make-12-or-more-t-52feae291df2 | PlasmaBallin | Will Barack Obama make 12 or more Twitter(X) posts in May 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
zw4f713rfuj | false | Ce9q7lpVaJeA2hLx4jEivcVB2cW2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wygxrqz0gm",
"label": "SteeeveTheSteve",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " you're a describing an easy test. We can talk about a proper hard Turing test that can't be cheated without actually knowing how to conduct it.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Actually I don't know maybe the test you're talking about already meets my goalpost, just it's surprising news.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Александр Мельников | Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv | public | contract | 1,717,274,018,231 | agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708 | 33cb | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp493tmTqm14oIeQgDZn1KTsCCwNFQfcgegenX7i=s96-c | AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test] | ndd044r2bdr | null | 5,934.729553 | YES | 9ae19221aa18 |
jge83sbqln9 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "tkNCtOhWIFTBae4SqpC85drkYx83",
"label": "LucasKozbinski",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | pNQgTGSkEQG0lNlv7ctE | public | contract | 1,717,274,019,521 | will-oversimplified-youtube-channel | Ziddletwix | Will Oversimplified (YouTube channel), post a video this spring? | null | 0.023066 | 4,303.76834 | NO | null | |
j8q55da538 | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "p1t6lu72oc",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " it was dumb mod interference that i will be angry about forever ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jim | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,274,073,074 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | jim | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 5,622.398255 | NO | be5da8403dad | |
gy2dn6j67p | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "v7ywb7zuiaa",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " yup this has the most views ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGZvvV7kprA&t=3309s",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGZvvV7kprA&t=3309s",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ". ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO (ammon has askeed mods to resolve his markets)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 36iY33XjgGlcQDFVtzRv | public | contract | 1,717,274,142,118 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-46c618f6ecb3 | Ziddletwix | Will any of the videos uploaded to Destiny's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 800k views? | v7ywb7zuiaa | 0.012333 | 3,320.069615 | NO | null | |
zvd60bhhxea | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yz3666o4ywk",
"label": "VaibhavGupta",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " yes, per the title and description, this resolves based on the official fide lists, not the live ratings. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Madge | 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9N | public | contract | 1,717,274,194,246 | who-will-be-the-next-chess-player-t-266fa6b12d16 | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical) | di376s92l88 | null | null | null | null |
k4q5gjckzw | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bYO9yYhDGQg5G6z5a6RZ3fmkt8B3",
"label": "LukasDay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to 14 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FehGyZVaBGC.png?alt=media&token=6cb86d62-68d1-4fc7-9c8f-4f26a42b6134",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | MEAc1oIs44VViTlK8Ujz | public | contract | 1,717,274,196,598 | how-many-oregon-marijuana-thefts-wi | Ziddletwix | How many marijuana thefts in Oregon will be reported in May? | null | null | 174.540209 | YES | 756ed1ff8be2 | |
97jnt7ebmj8 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433",
"label": "Conflux",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | SbiSsxeAT68Wzlg91dY1 | public | contract | 1,717,274,265,484 | will-another-manifold-team-member-a | Ziddletwix | Will another Manifold team member announce they’re leaving by end of May? | null | 0.012899 | 1,346.418528 | NO | null | |
3amfz4pfjs8 | false | jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Worth adding more fine-grained days?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jess Riedel | 2UzgopRizl6MxAZTObMW | public | contract | 1,717,274,285,603 | when-will-there-be-a-4th-starship-l-e57470f27683 | JessRiedel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c | When will there be a 4th Starship launch? | null | null | 431.507949 | NO | 4c10b50c17d8 |
9r50ea7kiye | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Wl0nX2vRJLMaEzKXN4M5k2OL1kU2",
"label": "kaizen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " can this resolve?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 50lKEKwpKAi6dLvNb8xC | public | contract | 1,717,274,289,888 | can-i-get-a-coffee-shop-to-give-me | Ziddletwix | Can I get a coffee shop to give me my order for free? | null | 0.28525 | 65.700824 | NO | null | |
54uibbtfisv | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bhcruiD8kHfiYhieLPwhB5NceBH3",
"label": "PatrickDelaney",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 47YtAU9jNG422ORgFhva | public | contract | 1,717,274,324,925 | will-nostr-hit-over-50k-stars-on-gi | Ziddletwix | Will Nostr Hit Over 50k Stars on Github by June 2024? | null | 0.029666 | 518.856624 | NO | null | |
1bqj04tyree | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bhcruiD8kHfiYhieLPwhB5NceBH3",
"label": "PatrickDelaney",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | RIAWe1r8ZDdDmCEm3Nlf | public | contract | 1,717,274,335,327 | will-nostr-significantly-gain-on-ma | Ziddletwix | Will Nostr Significantly Gain on Mastodon By June 2024? | null | 0.025033 | 2,342.229458 | NO | null | |
b7rz5rwzygc | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "HkVqWsjGDDSn3FtOyxsokmZ9LkO2",
"label": "Dndgojoz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO, I assume",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | kOHdqyLMjyxhJlEy5Xan | public | contract | 1,717,274,362,701 | will-manifold-markets-get-a-new-ui | Ziddletwix | Will Manifold Markets get Major UI Rework by the end of May? | null | null | 334.936683 | NO | 3eb2f0c787eb | |
z645gvtvgy | false | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F08FkcHAz5-.jpg?alt=media&token=11893b8c-1d7b-48b5-ae56-661a4175946e",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | mint | srtH0vZbB15pnT7ezJTn | public | contract | 1,717,274,382,573 | who-will-be-1-in-masters-league-for | mint | Who will be #1 in Masters League for any amount of time in the first half of 2024? | null | null | 890.868525 | YES | e6jlirysgx | |
94g9n004d88 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon has asked mods to resolve, resolves NO . ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25N0R1KnXVs",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25N0R1KnXVs",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " this is his only May video, has <15m views ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": "I’m never microwaving my popcorn again. Welcome to your LEAST BORING SUMMER EVER! Come join me at Camp CrunchLabs all summer long- https://www.crunchlabs.com...",
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": false,
"id": "a0a740b7-4054-44d9-88c1-a0f563f4c2cc",
"image": "https://i.ytimg.com/vi/25N0R1KnXVs/maxresdefault.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEmCIAKENAF8quKqQMa8AEB-AH-CYAC0AWKAgwIABABGB0gQCh_MA8=&rs=AOn4CLAN48O_T73gnULIRsakyH6dX2ebUA",
"inputKey": "comment Tx5g6g9cG2R8uMR3XAStcomment, repost ",
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": "Lava vs Lasers - Which Is More Destructive?",
"tweetId": null,
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25N0R1KnXVs"
},
"content": null,
"type": "linkPreview"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | Tx5g6g9cG2R8uMR3XASt | public | contract | 1,717,274,392,279 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-4ab06f04f129 | Ziddletwix | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 30M views? | null | 0.022382 | 489.820106 | NO | null | |
xb08wrdn0i | false | iGpTEc7ijZf5Nv3UUsM5G5euMnT2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "z645gvtvgy",
"label": "mint",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Oh I was #1 I guess already haha, I saw it when I was at #2",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dominic de Bettencourt | srtH0vZbB15pnT7ezJTn | public | contract | 1,717,274,445,392 | who-will-be-1-in-masters-league-for | dominic | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_rYabDlibjswkfie6jTwLYXt1nSx42B8oytNLxA=s96-c | Who will be #1 in Masters League for any amount of time in the first half of 2024? | z645gvtvgy | null | null | null | null |
zko1ap9g7a | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "plus mc markets are so weird. my option has just 250 liquidity but the three you added have 3000 each",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Savior of Plant | Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA | public | contract | 1,717,274,641,822 | what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate? | null | null | 94.380078 | YES | 24k7rvj24s |
87bcwe5nzsp | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Conditional on the debate being aired on CNN, whether or not both candidates or any candidate attend(s). Has to be during the debate, not before or after, not during any pre- or post-debate show. Does include any period after the program begins as long as at least one moderator is in place (example: start is delayed because a candidate trips over something en route to podium). Only commercials aired on CNN count. If your local station airs an ad for Tacoma Kia, this does NOT count.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA | public | contract | 1,717,274,674,970 | what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin | ClubmasterTransparent | What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vubedgc53e | false | zDEVlPkmUlUVkjVC79f9J0fpnR32 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Could this be resolved?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Goodgulf | 88l9jIUU7yNswLv0gj7H | public | contract | 1,717,274,783,216 | will-the-winter-of-2024-produce-mor | Goodgulf | Will the winter of 2024 produce more rain in California than 2023? | null | 0.301833 | 44.519823 | NO | null | |
i2tg2sj98ac | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zko1ap9g7a",
"label": "SaviorofPlant",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I never heard anything about it before, figured more fun and learning to try making one than to slog around Discord looking for some random thread about it,",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA | public | contract | 1,717,274,846,302 | what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin | ClubmasterTransparent | What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate? | zko1ap9g7a | null | null | null | null | |
cy4d3o2b4h9 | false | p69vM8ilsWbBGe1BzhNGECLCbih2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Unfortunately, love loses",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I was at ~50%, and then she started accepting more scritches and belly rubs in literally the last 7 days before market close, which brought me up to 60-70%.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | etirabys | wB0U52jx5605vKDgT5kF | public | contract | 1,717,274,918,728 | will-i-love-juniper-incoming-cat-80 | etirabys | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdp4p7_Xvptf2I7YogZttWjv5q9MHYU76Qkau6wVnNzFg=s96-c | Will I love Juniper (incoming cat) 80% as much as Cooper (cat who is leaving) after 3 months of cohabitation? | ehhbni2nsra | null | null | null | null |
ohh64wsvozn | false | AXCShICabXOEZrWoFSBPxmyU6jk2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm just curious, what is this 'Plus' thing?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Peter Buyukliev | 9sJX6EGlxsYMjwO7gC4x | public | contract | 1,717,275,104,711 | how-many-people-will-attend-baraks | PeterBuyukliev | How many people will attend @barak's Manifest session: Repolarize American Politics | null | null | null | null | null | |
u5zd48g1o4 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qvdsbyainua",
"label": "VictorLevoso",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I must have missed it. Sorry, that seems clear",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | jHE1eRWppfJ12EMR877S | public | contract | 1,717,275,172,058 | how-many-people-will-participate-in-4f30738565ed | Bayesian | How many people will participate in my interpretability hackathon? | im6mdg2x3o | null | 251.628306 | YES | 4044399dba14 | |
mhlhz3e4xud | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yn5b27zaju",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " James ended it earlier than usual, shocking",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | Q4pcJPJR0ywWdjidAlwN | public | contract | 1,717,275,206,914 | will-i-get-demoted-from-masters-lea | Bayesian | Will I get demoted from Masters League before July 2nd, 2024? | zs59w1qvrfm | 0.976861 | 0 | NO | null | |
p4dnaxbewg | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I had a whole scheme",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | Q4pcJPJR0ywWdjidAlwN | public | contract | 1,717,275,213,768 | will-i-get-demoted-from-masters-lea | Bayesian | Will I get demoted from Masters League before July 2nd, 2024? | zs59w1qvrfm | 0.976861 | 0 | NO | null | |
fyo1k7mpy3n | false | iQKE9LHS0GN0TCOmXWHGzwBM3Tj1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is final score is even for even numbers or tied score",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Hayden | vOjQCIOhA7nbhwBJMLdm | public | contract | 1,717,275,323,550 | borussia-dortmund-vs-real-madrid-ch | Hayden | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ-MWguzXeTZ_PXFF8kxsEl1_wogfZIQOCMO-1gQ0n5XpDuF8=s96-c | Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final Prop Bets | null | null | 651.361198 | NO | e0t3mcss2m |
dxu3kzq2sf5 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I’ll only resolve once im on laptop and can verify things, mb for that delay",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | 4a4wZyG8OwmFyXSWMRZL | public | contract | 1,717,275,325,696 | manifold-leagues-megamarket-season-44e1da24b291 | Bayesian | Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 13 (May) | null | null | 429.985737 | YES | b111077b84b4 | |
6p14atey2mx | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fyo1k7mpy3n",
"label": "Hayden",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Even number score.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | The Official | vOjQCIOhA7nbhwBJMLdm | public | contract | 1,717,275,377,456 | borussia-dortmund-vs-real-madrid-ch | 10thOfficial | Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final Prop Bets | fyo1k7mpy3n | null | 1,836.930006 | NO | e0t3mcss2m | |
jvnh3wj3r1 | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6p14atey2mx",
"label": "10thOfficial",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " why didnt it say total goals even then?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Christopher Randles | vOjQCIOhA7nbhwBJMLdm | public | contract | 1,717,275,403,800 | borussia-dortmund-vs-real-madrid-ch | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final Prop Bets | fyo1k7mpy3n | null | 562.83349 | YES | 450a9a036910 |
0j2c61y85l0u | false | iQKE9LHS0GN0TCOmXWHGzwBM3Tj1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jvnh3wj3r1",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Yeah I felt like it was a bit ambiguous",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Hayden | vOjQCIOhA7nbhwBJMLdm | public | contract | 1,717,275,447,814 | borussia-dortmund-vs-real-madrid-ch | Hayden | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ-MWguzXeTZ_PXFF8kxsEl1_wogfZIQOCMO-1gQ0n5XpDuF8=s96-c | Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final Prop Bets | fyo1k7mpy3n | null | 651.361198 | NO | e0t3mcss2m |
ilijspzwbfq | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Get in on the ground floor",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA | public | contract | 1,717,275,533,333 | what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin | ClubmasterTransparent | What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate? | null | null | null | null | null | |
xcx7puh4ekm | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j8q55da538",
"label": "jim",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Can’t fight the Man.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,275,594,772 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
wxm5low3u5n | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I know FUH markets are being transferred—in the meantime, someone will need to resolve these? can post proofs it'd help for some, although most are simple from the box score.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | CwMcNYGZxKgJgTWE26X2 | public | contract | 1,717,275,608,089 | uefa-champions-league-202324-finals | Ziddletwix | UEFA Champions League 2023-24 Finals - All market dashboard | null | null | 1,159.446098 | NO | e9bfd1d2782d | |
mzg4x1nuur | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " FUH market, resolves to Madrid. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | kHDuvKnlObPwTYSPwREN | public | contract | 1,717,275,677,333 | which-team-will-win-the-20232024-ue | Ziddletwix | Which team will win the 2023-2024 UEFA Champions League (UEFA UCL) | null | null | 10,397.603963 | YES | 3cd96dd2355f | |
e9r038uy7z9 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dBYHn0TrNgejr9URuoJkEZ7bbaS2",
"label": "pacopredicts",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to Madrid ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | zt1cpWY4uuUc1bXOoTs4 | public | contract | 1,717,275,692,067 | who-will-the-2324-ucl | Ziddletwix | Who will the 23/24 UCL? | null | null | 944.716805 | YES | d2cc2b14a56a | |
6j3t2z8o5gn | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "oijdZky86hdwwbRwLbeeS9KyzzD2",
"label": "TimVandermeulen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to madrid ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | lsYi4Z23E3M3y1CpO5BE | public | contract | 1,717,275,701,406 | which-club-will-win-the-uefa-champi | Ziddletwix | Which club will win the UEFA Champions League this season 2023/24? | null | null | 3,126.169122 | YES | 93d4f2ec66ca | |
enem92zxfik | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Ws75Co9se9OuyOsdnWhJWKugTY63",
"label": "DennisGotz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to real madrid ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | Y64vyQ1097AlPe3JX2h0 | public | contract | 1,717,275,718,299 | who-will-win-the-next-champions-lea | Ziddletwix | WHO will win the next Champions League | null | null | 5,073.061781 | YES | a7648c352738 | |
cr78zq6t3sf | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22",
"label": "Simon74fe",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to spain, real madrid won ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | P904Iyex1J1aXTY8EFAx | public | contract | 1,717,275,747,759 | which-country-will-the-winning-club | Ziddletwix | Which country will the winning club of the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League come from? | null | null | 3,752.890483 | YES | 6b9e1803ab57 | |
wkknefsbab | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " FUH market, resolves to Real Madrid ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | VaYq2IBmgLB9CkHF9uox | public | contract | 1,717,275,767,644 | who-will-win-the-uefa-champions-lea-0e7ac45307c6 | Ziddletwix | Who will win the UEFA Champions League 2023-24? | null | null | 1,048.171055 | YES | 043227c19a79 | |
ql3tt19vuga | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Started at 75$, now all listings online are 90$ or more so this is looking good at the moment ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | yELNEzQZg0qqAoexJ1WQ | public | contract | 1,717,275,794,550 | will-i-regret-buying-two-unopened-m | strutheo | Will I regret buying two unopened Magic the Gathering "The Dark" booster packs for $150 a year from now? | null | null | null | null | null | |
8p5z9v4slkl | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3",
"label": "pa",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves YES ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | FjAYlRlEmcz4ACUfSAOn | public | contract | 1,717,275,807,764 | will-real-madrid-win-the-20232024-c | Ziddletwix | Will Real Madrid win the 2023-2024 Champions League? | null | 0.99 | 226.772172 | YES | null | |
7q0mhjtgs3e | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "VBOW7BInWJX1s0rQ984Z7JuKsi92",
"label": "CHWan",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves YES ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | TOpFp16jmWaHiTKgTy4r | public | contract | 1,717,275,824,016 | will-real-madrid-win-champions-leag | Ziddletwix | Will Real Madrid win Champions League 2023/4? | null | 0.99 | 900.607222 | YES | null | |
uvq8y3mk9wj | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3",
"label": "pa",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | G5sur4Va1GuGrdPspVNv | public | contract | 1,717,275,849,161 | will-dortmund-win-the-20232024-cham | Ziddletwix | Will Dortmund win the 2023-2024 Champions League? | null | 0.01 | 0.756468 | NO | null | |
ldic5g4k8w | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22",
"label": "Base",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | Nax3Z0FPo0S4GOn7WSKF | public | contract | 1,717,275,858,312 | will-a-german-team-win-the-champion | Ziddletwix | Will a German Team win the 2024 Champions League? | null | 0.011758 | 2,035.145598 | NO | null | |
tv6stqx71or | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22",
"label": "Base",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to real madrid ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/ChampionsLeague/status/1797009500949315921",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | k0TR99N4DKQkWgijHexe | public | contract | 1,717,275,866,845 | dortmund-real-madrid-champions-leag | Ziddletwix | Dortmund - Real Madrid Champions League Final 2024 | null | null | 31.714159 | NO | 0be9524d1645 | |
xbqbagudk1n | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "kxrrq95dut9",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " We're currently trying to manage our risk of not being able to offer cash prizes, so we can't enable too many of them/markets that resolve too far in the future. Ideally we'll have many more prize markets in the future, on all sorts of widely appealing topics. But in order to market our pivot during manifest, we need prize markets that resolve this weekend.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ian Philips | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,275,899,459 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ian | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | 19ztbhfy8yb | null | 3,008.515283 | NO | u1jf6yhfn5 | |
kmk7wopez8 | false | WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "All listed users ninja-redeeming their prize points at the last minute then betting themselves down would be such a banger",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mich | bsTJu67xR32VsyitPxBI | public | contract | 1,717,276,026,612 | which-manifold-user-will-have-the-m-irpyuxdalv | Mich | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c | Which Manifold user will have the most unredeemed prize points at the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
t7jd8x1164 | false | jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Strictly more comprehensive and higher liquidity, I think: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/which-months-of-2024-will-there-be",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/which-months-of-2024-will-there-be",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jess Riedel | ctRUgnICri6qlcTTZZhT | public | contract | 1,717,276,090,614 | will-starship-launch-in-august-2024 | JessRiedel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c | Will Starship launch in August 2024 | null | 0.414571 | 316.665939 | YES | null |
l12l47vl8sq | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133",
"label": "jim",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " update?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | ODg857iwpwxOWhyBvffJ | public | contract | 1,717,276,330,278 | will-jim-be-accepted-into-y-combina | Ziddletwix | Will @jim be accepted into Y Combinator S2024? | null | 0.054451 | 189.840077 | NO | null | |
unctt7ka | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon market, he's asked mods to resolve, resolves NO, most viewed video from May is <100M ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6PqxbvOCUI&t=73s",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6PqxbvOCUI&t=73s",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | qRvv2nMNlaJwduie7rrV | public | contract | 1,717,276,429,960 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-b75f19c68354 | Ziddletwix | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mr Beast's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 170M views? | null | 0.011592 | 601.29262 | NO | null | |
xomyaqmz4ot | false | 7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Spain 100",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Nav | P904Iyex1J1aXTY8EFAx | public | contract | 1,717,276,440,239 | which-country-will-the-winning-club | navitron32 | Which country will the winning club of the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League come from? | null | null | 2,074.965179 | YES | 6b9e1803ab57 | |
yv4vs8lmokg | false | HQzIlQIYD8PorlSmx6FpFIr30wA3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Firmly sitting in the 20-30% range since Jan 2024 Curia poll. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Julian Lees | WhSRvs9owuA5b1ydVkP0 | public | contract | 1,717,276,568,253 | what-support-level-will-christopher | JulianLees | What support level will Christopher Luxon have as preferred prime minister in New Zealand by June 1 2024 | null | null | 109.138307 | NO | 4d9b9caba343 | |
jeqjrto41h | false | RAmYRLaG4rO87ISVZrcFI2GIWPJ3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2sqol54fx02",
"label": "jack",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ohhh that makes more sense but little side question (I am way to burnt out from the news to know much about this case) don't a bunch of people do that why are they going after trump specifically? Or does the news just not report on others being arrested for it (not trying to be sarcastic without being able to put inflection it's kinda tough to get a message across 😅) ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nuclear :D | HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg | public | contract | 1,717,276,648,017 | what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f | nuclearD | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIQVbHQ0QtztcxCOMxXLf8tJn3jeRNuywP-4c_E4uspcQ=s96-c | What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include? | 9sdhy6vhkhi | null | null | null | null |
e3gdz7lsp5 | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "kmk7wopez8",
"label": "Mich",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " right??",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pat Scott🩴 | bsTJu67xR32VsyitPxBI | public | contract | 1,717,276,788,392 | which-manifold-user-will-have-the-m-irpyuxdalv | Stralor | Which Manifold user will have the most unredeemed prize points at the end of 2024? | kmk7wopez8 | null | 924.322334 | YES | kia78zace3 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.