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2csiu61p8dr
false
iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Stress. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Eric
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,277,136,283
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Shifbru
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
null
0.604571
5,692.128777
YES
null
64eyn5ehv3u
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "87bcwe5nzsp", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Kongo Landwalker
Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA
public
contract
1,717,277,414,059
what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate?
87bcwe5nzsp
null
null
null
null
jbjikntyptm
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Matt C. Wilson
I8PDGvVvw3NKhRk4jCz5
public
contract
1,717,277,420,270
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-91
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 91)
null
null
1,187.909672
YES
ow16nnlx6
wrnge47bz8
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "label": "komplexkonjugat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Matt C. Wilson
I8PDGvVvw3NKhRk4jCz5
public
contract
1,717,277,494,585
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-91
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 91)
null
null
1,187.909672
YES
ow16nnlx6
tggdh2tuggo
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qUuDrCqpKnWMx4CK1bzWeWGp3E22", "label": "AryehZax", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
snazzlePop
Q0XxNzm9JpGZTTwE8xXm
public
contract
1,717,277,551,576
will-i-read-a-book-before-saturday
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will I read a book before Saturday, June 1st?
null
0.198936
1,289.26578
NO
null
knt10xq2ytg
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qRx3Vhxil3eS5bKuz3l1inFZpOZ2", "label": "MatthewBaggott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "men...
snazzlePop
sautuqX7JjCgfyIiNP0s
public
contract
1,717,277,730,030
will-mdma-become-an-approved-prescr
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will MDMA become an approved prescription drug in the United States by June 1, 2024?
null
0.031661
279.884522
NO
null
8xlqsx6e88
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Depends on the lives I'm saving. If random across world population, no.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Enlil
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,277,976,694
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
null
null
null
null
null
rdo1suyy7oc
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "64eyn5ehv3u", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
ClubmasterTransparent
Y0iJgtigeMPwyERQlfWA
public
contract
1,717,278,027,779
what-commercials-will-cnn-air-durin
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate?
87bcwe5nzsp
null
null
null
null
ixdj2ifbpjk
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "BJP expected to win 365/543 seats: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "mark...
Timothy Johnson
JND5O4RGaoYvRaBQSqpK
public
contract
1,717,278,076,985
who-will-win-the-2024-indian-genera
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Indian general election?
null
null
null
null
null
8e6hr3m4w44
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v3s4rr6cepp", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mqrius
C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy
public
contract
1,717,278,193,148
will-starliner-fly-before-starship
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4?
6ts6kjho4nx
0.714818
2,826.694877
NO
null
hn7zyehidmr
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cop0e2xd74", "label": "0xSMW", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Dan
f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ
public
contract
1,717,278,287,452
will-openai-still-be-doing-superali
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024?
cop0e2xd74
0.265735
3,100.530755
YES
null
y23h7un7vea
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "halfway through LessOnline ✨", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,278,308,145
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
1,025.222535
YES
8bca377e66b7
19in5uhh5nf
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Confirmed that it has not been approved for prescription yet", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Plasma Ballin'
sautuqX7JjCgfyIiNP0s
public
contract
1,717,278,338,196
will-mdma-become-an-approved-prescr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Will MDMA become an approved prescription drug in the United States by June 1, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
2ooavk7kik2
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "p4dnaxbewg", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
Q4pcJPJR0ywWdjidAlwN
public
contract
1,717,278,383,328
will-i-get-demoted-from-masters-lea
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I get demoted from Masters League before July 2nd, 2024?
zs59w1qvrfm
1
7,585.992713
YES
null
1j8hnsxr7ts
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(thanks ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "label": "J...
stefanie
Q4pcJPJR0ywWdjidAlwN
public
contract
1,717,278,415,575
will-i-get-demoted-from-masters-lea
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I get demoted from Masters League before July 2nd, 2024?
zs59w1qvrfm
1
7,585.992713
YES
null
f03xgcythkc
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4whKWb3H9zU6BW4b2jrtc9VKxOT2", "label": "OmarB", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Timothy Johnson
l9zXit95UHLnZsesClgD
public
contract
1,717,278,529,879
who-will-be-top-scorer-of-the-uefa
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Who will be Top Scorer of the UEFA Champions League 2023/24?
null
null
null
null
null
1y92oxr5atvh
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oof. 🫣", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds...
snazzlePop
n1jhSAS134yMRDvXdwbN
public
contract
1,717,278,543,636
will-i-promote-to-masters-league-in
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will I promote to Masters league in May?
null
1
1,441.392402
NO
null
b34no811b6d
false
zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves Dani Carvajal (Other).", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Punished Ten Shino
2nXFhvBJzlpAzFPeWmDK
public
contract
1,717,278,840,892
who-will-be-man-of-the-match-of-the
TenShino
https://firebasestorage.…bf5-dc271bcac725
Who will be Man of the Match of the 2024 Champions League UEFA final?
null
null
9,210.578666
YES
95ddce632cfa
753jyw0l9f8
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wxm5low3u5n", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
CwMcNYGZxKgJgTWE26X2
public
contract
1,717,278,849,097
uefa-champions-league-202324-finals
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
UEFA Champions League 2023-24 Finals - All market dashboard
wxm5low3u5n
null
null
null
null
fo236pme3r
false
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I miss-clicked.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
singer
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,278,876,251
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
singer
https://firebasestorage.…4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
null
null
null
null
null
qkbarquuo9
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Plasma Ballin'
CwMcNYGZxKgJgTWE26X2
public
contract
1,717,278,976,368
uefa-champions-league-202324-finals
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
UEFA Champions League 2023-24 Finals - All market dashboard
null
null
154.744304
NO
577490f26305
p98jbrobnwr
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bump for input on the 20%, 30% and 40% polls ! If you have voted on some of these polls but not others, please consider voting on all three of them. I ...
Mich
opcNRlz9IXdL6SOlbj5y
public
contract
1,717,279,170,824
will-manifold-think-that-its-at-lea
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
Will Manifold think that it's at least p likely that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?
null
null
null
null
null
k49nfygy5s
false
5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "li4buppzp3e", "label": "kurt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
ismellpillows
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,279,713,043
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
ismellpillows
https://firebasestorage.…d2d-d6578fd4939a
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
tciia5g48zc
null
null
null
null
hc8q5lqqyw9
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves yes", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
ECSbOHt0hWEDfnFSHIdJ
public
contract
1,717,279,992,670
will-justin-trudeau-be-canadas-prim-b31a339eaf0c
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on June 1, 2024?
null
0.98712
1,414.962852
YES
null
chzvp6gq309
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vcWSUFg2E9QnftwOgvdGQ7FPziA2", "label": "GuyCohen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Dan
DxV8QeSfiPCJ6alcIPwX
public
contract
1,717,280,043,496
will-kyrsten-sinema-be-part-of-the
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Kyrsten Sinema be part of the No Labels presidential ticket in 2024?
null
0.007825
2,030.877163
NO
null
zx5uxqajjt
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2", "label": "StochasticParrot", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "m...
Dan
7Cj0e7BUGPVdCUMK4hHk
public
contract
1,717,280,092,921
will-no-labels-field-a-nonpoliticia
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will No Labels field a non-politician (eg a celebrity) for president in 2024?
null
0.010493
1,321.280798
NO
null
9h4po515f3
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
GexKUqn5ElyB7gVZsyQo
public
contract
1,717,280,099,881
what-will-sam-altman-do-next-add-an
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!)
null
null
517.078843
NO
88862fd637ff
n78dvb5zyut
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "label": "jack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Dan
xwISJKp6fsO9YUqBWpVA
public
contract
1,717,280,136,843
will-nikki-haley-run-on-the-third-p
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Nikki Haley run on the third party No Labels ticket for President or VP?
null
0.007449
1,268.928162
NO
null
v499e6xgupd
false
MCbUkwjw7ebMPbGwctaZmM1ca2U2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fo236pme3r", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
ZYC
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,280,595,631
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
zyc
https://firebasestorage.…6d6-b22a325df371
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
fo236pme3r
null
null
null
null
fkpi5th6i5n
false
MCbUkwjw7ebMPbGwctaZmM1ca2U2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8xlqsx6e88", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
ZYC
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,280,621,062
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
zyc
https://firebasestorage.…6d6-b22a325df371
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
14vtoq9pvdth
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fkpi5th6i5n", "label": "zyc", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Enlil
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,280,660,281
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
2tw2934glk7
false
Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e9r038uy7z9", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
TP King
zt1cpWY4uuUc1bXOoTs4
public
contract
1,717,280,805,040
who-will-the-2324-ucl
tpking
https://firebasestorage.…bd9-ecf41128b706
Who will the 23/24 UCL?
e9r038uy7z9
null
8,287.896685
YES
d2cc2b14a56a
p14g20hp3xn
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Don't understand why this is lower than Biden reelection chances. Shouldn't they all go to trial unless Trump makes the DoJ drop the federal ones?", ...
Plasma Ballin'
aCQHTHa3WTOfz5bJMnst
public
contract
1,717,280,818,738
will-all-three-of-trumps-remaining
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Will all three of Trump's remaining criminal cases actually go to trial?
null
0.426101
105.594193
YES
null
2bdheubszhg
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I would be personally offended if this happens early", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
Pat Scott🩴
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,281,038,416
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
368.308257
NO
f0bd0c063a95
rv2rzkw22gp
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fr9v43n7ibb", "label": "robm", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe
public
contract
1,717,281,481,831
how-many-billions-of-dollars-would
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?
mnso89w6i3p
null
425.623904
YES
drtq06274y
8c1ootqnbir
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'll test tonight ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ernie
mYCvv0BXtvQyGUJMn6MI
public
contract
1,717,281,563,237
will-i-have-api-access-to-gpt4o-ima
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will I have API access to gpt-4o image gen by June 1 2024
null
null
null
null
null
ibzird5n73e
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "14vtoq9pvdth", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,281,830,256
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
fbej17ms9ru
false
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v499e6xgupd", "label": "zyc", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
singer
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,281,907,630
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
singer
https://firebasestorage.…4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
fo236pme3r
null
null
null
null
89ph15tfg5d
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ibzird5n73e", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Enlil
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,281,922,921
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
8x7grrjdzlj
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In all honesty, I suspect that even if the other 2 people were equally impactful EAs, I probably wouldn't emotionally be able to bring myself to do it,...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,281,972,862
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
null
null
null
null
null
ye0c83z45zc
false
jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8io5hzg88cu", "label": "Soli", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Michael Wheatley
7cwVkzqjgJ88QxT7mj4B
public
contract
1,717,282,123,115
what-will-be-true-of-openais-next-m
MichaelWheatley
https://firebasestorage.…671-d7dcd38ad23a
What will be true of OpenAI's next major LLM release (GPT-4.5 or GPT-5)?
bog9qcatsnt
null
null
null
null
roc60wvpk2
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "89ph15tfg5d", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,282,129,579
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
8s2q5nqaaj
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "15/24", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,282,138,501
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
null
null
282.45773
YES
a06afbcc5807
psw7kadc5zb
false
jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "what if gpt-5 gets a different naming scheme?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Michael Wheatley
kj7pwEXBmqqBRH2ulngg
public
contract
1,717,282,173,620
which-nextgen-frontier-llms-will-be
MichaelWheatley
https://firebasestorage.…671-d7dcd38ad23a
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
null
null
null
null
null
3nwvt45358m
false
zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "psw7kadc5zb", "label": "MichaelWheatley", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Mira
kj7pwEXBmqqBRH2ulngg
public
contract
1,717,282,304,159
which-nextgen-frontier-llms-will-be
Mira
https://firebasestorage.…959-42404b37a55f
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
psw7kadc5zb
null
483.146972
NO
5s34ja351g
q0ejg0qtz2h
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "for all options involving a Substack follower count: someone needs to either provide a screenshot or show me in person along with the piece in order to...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,282,337,666
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
1,025.222535
YES
8bca377e66b7
9l0x11u5nk
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "roc60wvpk2", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Enlil
sINW5vlMVvpS1xQ4hwOI
public
contract
1,717,282,376,738
would-you-be-willing-to-sacrifice-y
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Would you be willing to sacrifice your own life to save two lives?
8xlqsx6e88
null
null
null
null
oqo4b4188g
false
mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The earliest they will try to launch Starliner is the 5th or 6th, while Starship is NET than the 6th.", "type": "text" } ], ...
Simon Westlake
C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy
public
contract
1,717,282,515,901
will-starliner-fly-before-starship
SimonWestlake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c
Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4?
null
0.52679
379.637962
NO
null
m0su3ko4cr
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Nat
jB64hR81vlIUuMTWQ3S9
public
contract
1,717,282,646,948
which-of-these-rockets-will-reach-o
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
null
null
871.991494
YES
b3b9f128656d
8pvfrh1ej5n
false
RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Which domain of knowledge is this ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53...
Arky
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,282,680,251
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Arky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
null
null
381.278237
YES
dcfbedc0e892
stvqzkju6m8
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "resolves YES - sam altman stated the cost was $100M or more ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQ...
chris (strutheo)
u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv
public
contract
1,717,282,812,987
will-the-estimated-training-cost-of
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M?
null
0.989093
8,203.848003
YES
null
voy1ev9i83p
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "m0su3ko4cr", "label": "Nat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Josh Wilkes
jB64hR81vlIUuMTWQ3S9
public
contract
1,717,282,877,231
which-of-these-rockets-will-reach-o
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
m0su3ko4cr
null
250
YES
7240e5bb433b
4o56yheygaj
false
NuHwhn6zEFaGrZakbtiqPqMB0cJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
sbares
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,282,943,317
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
sbares
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxzkvyIz-LOJPQwSdbXHkM-F-In2wj3gxsEipRrEw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
null
0.014114
8,371.824996
NO
null
lscint4pnse
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At prescribed time:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,282,943,592
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
null
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null
ff0frr5n3zh
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4o56yheygaj", "label": "sbares", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,282,997,516
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
4o56yheygaj
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null
eavf0e1bfo
false
iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Welp, hope you enjoyed my subsidy :p obviously I'd be happy for a confirmation on a third party to see if subscribers are somehow improperly reported, ...
Eric
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,283,046,871
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Shifbru
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
null
0.014114
3,392.128777
YES
null
l96p9pos3v8
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is closed ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Josh Wilkes
hrhUdE2WToVtTV2ldmeu
public
contract
1,717,283,106,627
on-what-date-will-the-first-starlin
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
On what date will the first Starliner crewed launch happen?
null
null
null
null
null
a7qzs2ojkp4
false
iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ff0frr5n3zh", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Eric
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,283,214,338
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Shifbru
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
4o56yheygaj
0.014114
3,392.128777
YES
null
w2vqdzq7m2
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "stvqzkju6m8", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jackson polack
u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv
public
contract
1,717,283,250,292
will-the-estimated-training-cost-of
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M?
stvqzkju6m8
null
null
null
null
t00lykkhkrr
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vp698if1crm", "label": "24a", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Josh Wilkes
8TKYmIKaJsxy5XPqZs9k
public
contract
1,717,283,315,793
will-armenia-withdraw-from-the-coll-0a455eae5eac
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?
vp698if1crm
null
null
null
null
zflduuvuva
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w2vqdzq7m2", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv
public
contract
1,717,283,369,510
will-the-estimated-training-cost-of
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M?
stvqzkju6m8
0.989093
2,640.298571
NO
null
sz3wafxvw3
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "eavf0e1bfo", "label": "Shifbru", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,283,390,868
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
eavf0e1bfo
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null
mev03r0o65k
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zflduuvuva", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
chris (strutheo)
u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv
public
contract
1,717,283,447,140
will-the-estimated-training-cost-of
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M?
stvqzkju6m8
0.989093
522.085806
YES
null
qm34utol27
false
kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(Spoilers below for the 3 Body Problem series)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null...
Jon Simon
MnHrajBT05pqRgmUecix
public
contract
1,717,283,456,790
will-china-blockade-taiwan-between
jonsimon
https://firebasestorage.…044-b37f36b0f757
Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration?
null
null
null
null
null
jei2ceglhy
false
5k45vTAvHBfcp0oh2brDuX01Y0g1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Anki was second, but it isn't clear to me how useful it would be to do that more consistently. Meditation was the clear winner. Picked up volleyball bu...
Jacob Pfau
WiU1quN3rR4XdIxX8qIR
public
contract
1,717,283,468,559
what-habit-will-i-have-wished-i-had
JacobPfau
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu9AcHAinEt-V5Xi8pbj83HmY8nWf1vkc_FfNTDr=s96-c
What habit will I have wished I had adopted earlier as of mid-2024?
null
null
320
YES
2c8f11a570fe
8jped2dd9k3
false
5ZLMEpuF15YyU9c1RTz7MorzAl22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's easy:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type...
Travis
4pB21bQ101zzBN3XV9ug
public
contract
1,717,283,512,288
will-someone-successfully-launder-m
travis
https://firebasestorage.…802-cff93fb42209
Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?
null
null
null
null
null
79hgwfdncir
false
LJcW2PB0dGTeAVWKUeio4taveKo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Did 6 hours today", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Anton Bogun
OQ6C2psCJT0QXWk9GTeg
public
contract
1,717,283,583,441
will-i-do-4h-or-less-of-work-on-gra
AntonBogun
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKIkgJ3gNoBVdiNHmHyZFKPprQaeQNvCqsiX9H0ZjpajZo=s96-c
Will I do 4h or less of work on GraphSheets this week?
null
null
null
null
null
xff27vdgmtd
false
JfutqxH7POVPYb0R4pH2TJHCJKN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wow, This really came down to the wire! I cannot believe how close this was. Give me a day or so to resolve this market. If you have information you be...
Jake Teale
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,283,625,715
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
JakeTeale
https://storage.googleap…4pH2TJHCJKN2.png
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
1vilwwezr6y
false
iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sz3wafxvw3", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Eric
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,283,716,638
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Shifbru
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
eavf0e1bfo
0.014114
3,392.128777
YES
null
prwaoc65u09
false
KpyXzqf41EdLMz0z6ZPDsOpxNMl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "i1bw03j7xyq", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Donut Throw
XU3j3IDxN5kCqvHc1rH4
public
contract
1,717,283,796,241
what-will-paramount-studios-para-se
DonutThrow
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtftlJwSoQcLXCqETuSG5WUozJkiUdC3sd5GJnldXd1N=s96-c
What will Paramount Studios $PARA sell for? (in May)
i1bw03j7xyq
null
16.71169
YES
5469b0f178e7
qwzcvyzzgc
false
ncjLpmo5DTRKn61MAZrPiwrTGmx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Altos
kGXGoQvqzdIIr1pgSlb1
public
contract
1,717,283,839,872
will-jamie-maussans-nonhuman-beings
Futurist
https://firebasestorage.…2db-234dc298af81
Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?
null
0.912623
1,566.913857
NO
null
5f5hyecf7ad
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mev03r0o65k", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv
public
contract
1,717,283,900,236
will-the-estimated-training-cost-of
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M?
stvqzkju6m8
0.989093
2,640.298571
NO
null
wc5vaoi20wn
false
KIwlElgsxgYoF5n2WttelP6Rt922
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How does it work? The date is close and Egghead isn't about to end next week.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
MrVgpo
tHHRVeUUeJfaInK9RHZ6
public
contract
1,717,284,135,046
will-luffy-use-gear-4-before-he-lea
MrVgpo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJw52-uO7x4Aq2cxAkVLcnbQu4b73M1jXj7EQKCexAzRCkeyVs=s96-c
Will Luffy use gear 4 before he leaves egghead island?
null
0.240078
44.760104
YES
null
t0utfvdxybe
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1vilwwezr6y", "label": "Shifbru", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,284,464,521
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
eavf0e1bfo
0.014114
613.263518
YES
null
49adjvyileh
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2bdheubszhg", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,284,689,881
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
2bdheubszhg
null
1,025.222535
YES
8bca377e66b7
dcunvdl7loe
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "49adjvyileh", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,284,827,625
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
2bdheubszhg
null
598.568158
NO
150289ca5ea3
d8cka2ih987
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1vilwwezr6y", "label": "Shifbru", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,284,878,045
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
eavf0e1bfo
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null
yal1q1lu7rf
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "voy1ev9i83p", "label": "JoshuaWilkes", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Nat
jB64hR81vlIUuMTWQ3S9
public
contract
1,717,284,915,313
which-of-these-rockets-will-reach-o
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
m0su3ko4cr
null
871.991494
YES
b3b9f128656d
6u4n3pf8gv7
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
hfpQa7vOHv9ICqVI6D8i
public
contract
1,717,284,925,576
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-a5941eb27fe6
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of August?
null
null
null
null
null
gdnnxe7pwz
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d8cka2ih987", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Pat Scott🩴
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,284,937,697
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
eavf0e1bfo
0.014114
613.263518
YES
null
0r1n5lffeqg
false
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "n78dvb5zyut", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Jack
xwISJKp6fsO9YUqBWpVA
public
contract
1,717,284,970,867
will-nikki-haley-run-on-the-third-p
jack
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
Will Nikki Haley run on the third party No Labels ticket for President or VP?
n78dvb5zyut
0.007449
583.333333
NO
null
o04j1vom1a
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good odds for no betters ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Daniel
hfpQa7vOHv9ICqVI6D8i
public
contract
1,717,285,038,807
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-a5941eb27fe6
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of August?
6u4n3pf8gv7
null
null
null
null
1y3tm5fgmb4
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It appears they've landed successfully:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "...
Nat
945yN5UouxzE8VfZVQ5M
public
contract
1,717,285,155,688
will-cnsas-change-6-mission-success
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully land on the moon?
null
0.956396
2,701.461471
YES
null
a4hr4e0sh9
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Chang'e 6 Appears to have successfully landed:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
Nat
d2dr6CF6V7TIUiqMFBf5
public
contract
1,717,285,226,747
which-of-these-will-successfully-la
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
m0s5eudasx
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Will resolve in about a week once I run the calculations ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
Ernie
sCYT3CMgPSG71hV5Z26n
public
contract
1,717,285,483,814
will-people-have-fun-at-my-set-game
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will people have fun at my SET game redesign & play testing Christmas party?
null
null
null
null
null
qr0kq7nvtsf
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
JkkT79zbpYPatnLU2DIT
public
contract
1,717,285,518,886
will-any-gpt-beat-stockfish-in-a-fa
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
8xfgg6l4h8g
false
iGpTEc7ijZf5Nv3UUsM5G5euMnT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xff27vdgmtd", "label": "JakeTeale", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dominic de Bettencourt
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,285,616,421
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
dominic
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_rYabDlibjswkfie6jTwLYXt1nSx42B8oytNLxA=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
xff27vdgmtd
0.014114
4,495.281789
YES
null
d1h86wezgw6
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0r1n5lffeqg", "label": "jack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Dan
xwISJKp6fsO9YUqBWpVA
public
contract
1,717,285,635,184
will-nikki-haley-run-on-the-third-p
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Nikki Haley run on the third party No Labels ticket for President or VP?
n78dvb5zyut
0.007449
1,268.928162
NO
null
oyxlfg8by5
false
mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "li4buppzp3e", "label": "kurt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Stop Punting
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,286,005,061
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
StopPunting
https://firebasestorage.…dd4-50d1db23bb5f
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
tciia5g48zc
null
985.209388
YES
734a0a905106
7f7aalimo7q
false
5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oyxlfg8by5", "label": "StopPunting", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ismellpillows
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,286,085,736
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
ismellpillows
https://firebasestorage.…d2d-d6578fd4939a
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
tciia5g48zc
null
null
null
null
a2oalrg8yoc
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Apple announced watchOS 2 less than 3 months after watchOS 1 debuted. Furthermore, they haven’t added many large features since visionOS 1 last year, b...
Huw
RgynSm9cjrv02Z4oY20p
public
contract
1,717,286,235,349
will-apple-announce-visionos-2-at-w
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will Apple announce VisionOS 2 at WWDC 2024?
null
0.593176
169.628686
YES
null
3inv5luq17q
false
H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The recent evidence seems good.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
MP
XiSVdk1SK7iN8TlCz7h2
public
contract
1,717,286,325,480
will-a-decisive-verdict-in-the-trum
MP
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf
Will a decisive verdict in the Trump trial cause a 5pt change in Biden's odds in the subsequent 7 days?
null
null
null
null
null
l5cd3c3t5de
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ernie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,286,349,596
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
61.924046
YES
75cd290e4f1c
8sqplbkdq6g
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Given the unusual timing of Apple’s May event for new iPads, I find it hard to imagine they’d announce new hardware—pre-WWDC announcements like that te...
Huw
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,286,484,820
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
mq7bwwkbqd
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hey y'all let's meet up for coffee next week!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ernie
PIzcP4xG8V0ENtLExWhC
public
contract
1,717,286,619,543
are-you-going-to-manifold-2024
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Are you going to Manifold 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
wnpbfuklzsa
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Apple already have a packed keynote, and have never announced headphones at a WWDC.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragr...
Huw
ekxzLuAa4kpTikG7Vwi0
public
contract
1,717,286,625,272
will-apple-release-next-generation
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will Apple release next generation headphone(e.x AirPod max 2) in WWDC 2024?
null
0.405962
80.611298
NO
null
tbcgl5wjdy
false
wqiUScMYYtey2ThDgMzz5Ruhkrh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do you have data on what GPT-4o outputs with the same input? (I don’t wanna use up my prompts if someone’s already tried this, haha)", "type"...
winthefin
jsfpa2pfLysEYg4X5HqC
public
contract
1,717,286,785,563
will-gpt5-like-to-delve
WinstonWalker
https://firebasestorage.…a78-d46295d0f99b
Will GPT-5 like to delve?
null
null
null
null
null
ygykg15z5w
false
wBYfXajsCqaOxDkEqzCz8U3rFNB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This title is pretty misleading ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jonah Weissman
28N6FFhIpP47klfDeDJk
public
contract
1,717,286,799,443
will-cnn-say-cnn
JonahWeissman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ0R08lEWjgZ6q7AFz1nPa-4Q72avJiJrSHlFNvOTae=s96-c
Will CNN say CNN?
null
0.149669
658.409278
NO
null
a59b6wpgf6
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8sqplbkdq6g", "label": "huw", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Huw
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,286,803,602
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
8sqplbkdq6g
0.81
432.856514
NO
null
bh9d1vl46x5
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dtkgnf8n0y8", "label": "dominic", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,286,810,261
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
waonrhjq3uj
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null