CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

0.29034869553390225

esvD4JcauQcd2JcAVmSl

{"NO": 147.6458395544272, "YES": 1877.9183960138184}

0

will-the-rational-animations-youtub-c174adce5d86

4732.788841010776

Will the Rational Animations Youtube channel have over 500,000 subscribers at the end of 2023?

1704085200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

1.854356479987443

True

play

NO

public

1668112612342

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704138263403

370

IsaacKing

1704138263715

0.3

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

18

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f30-bb15eb465647

6

[{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131114788}, {"name": "Barcalona", "slug": "barcalona", "groupId": "7f0a1921-3916-4c3a-97d8-eaba883d6d78", "createdTime": 1703708464062}]

["new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

0.10474268720559864

0.5

1703572429891

1668112745973

0.03

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

0.899698603286636

JNZpCdI0CnOUPmRYV1VV

{"NO": 4475.962032474672, "YES": 803.2249270774655}

1

conditional-on-the-rational-animati

52334.5112992482

Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024?

1702944476198

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

1.194401358104324

True

basic

YES

public

1668112829936

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702944476198

1020

IsaacKing

1702807710660

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

0

57

0

https://firebasestorage.…5a3-e44e1d78ce61

31

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "wBhvAXN7WkNH1USHqU8EL8BTnF72", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1671536728137}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "creat...

["entertainment", "effective-altruism", "youtube"]

0.14499140273087804

0.5

1702807710529

1702807704338

0.98

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

0.8099882042486695

bQ4JTNHVSnb0V1A3B3gx

{"NO": 948.6303272950609, "YES": 165.33592917608323}

1

will-the-founders-pledges-total-val

1207.0335132471773

Will the Founder's Pledge's "total value pledged" be over $8 billion at the end of 2023?

1704085200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

2.613141786854432

True

play

YES

public

1668113088011

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://founderspledge.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://founderspledge.com/", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704260722768

250

IsaacKing

1704260722971

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

14

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…dfc-684a0530952c

6

[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668113088552}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131173710}, {"name": "Bar...

["economics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

0.5

1703542450592

1681385684777

0.96

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

0.39526133697156945

Glq5ZR3zneCJWT4V0SdX

{"NO": 823.1334909721265, "YES": 501.1996771211342}

0.5

conditional-on-sbf-being-convicted

3631.1649829954863

Conditional on SBF being convicted of a felony, how long will his jail sentence be?

1711642005586

6xzKhUjgt3g8YIb4PBeZ8GVC0JE3

cpmm-1

0

0.5735818777950289

True

play

MKT

public

1668113477791

Alvaro de Menard

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The length of Sam Bankman-Fried's jail sentence, whether SBF pleads guilty, is found guilty, or is tried in absentia (in the United States). Resolves as N/A if not convicted. Any sentence above 50 years resolves to 50.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type":...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1711642005586

990

AlvarodeMenard

1711642005586

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgEVA5X_xkaRlyo9gXtk2FrrHyNca-h5WcHt6zB=s96-c

0

25

0

https://firebasestorage.…d6e-44b77f89c513

12

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "6xzKhUjgt3g8YIb4PBeZ8GVC0JE3", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668113478259}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "c...

["crypto-speculation", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "sbf-trial"]

0.1

1711641253696

1672341006772

0.5

6xzKhUjgt3g8YIb4PBeZ8GVC0JE3

8Qq8ANy0WL1TiASdUj4r

what-should-i-name-my-island-on-ani

130

What should I name my island on Animal Crossing?

1668141770382

k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.811443379367308

True

play

69f0a13cfe41

public

1668113575153

Olivia🏳️‍⚧️

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to what I end up using. It's not reversible, so I gotta decide relatively quickly", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668141770382

480.00000000000017

LivInTheLookingGlass

1710462486122

0

https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "5426284b5830", "prob": 0.1890359168241966, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.69294271636792, "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 28.712724253218372, "textFts": "", "contractId": "8Qq8ANy0WL1TiASdUj4r", "createdTime": 1668113575571, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...

https://firebasestorage.…e56-0af437e02804

4

[{"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4"}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz"}, {"name": "Recommendations", "slug": "recommendations", "groupId": "IU4YOTQH1dK1S5gcRO1V"}, {"name": "Naming Suggestions", "slug": "naming-suggestions", "groupId": "Z4mkFoQsHrC4...

["fun", "olivia", "recommendations", "naming-suggestions", "short-fuse"]

1668141723705

1668141755302

{"69f0a13cfe41": 100}

True

0.3685793760886573

hKEj4uBHN3v0n1kl1OXq

{"NO": 100.10552285432948, "YES": 2934.20082184324}

0

will-the-total-number-of-giving-wha

5098.809800876197

Will the total number of Giving What We Can pledges made in 2023 be higher than in 2022?

1704067140000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

1.9322364536524508

True

play

NO

public

1668113673645

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As per ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://dashboard.effectivealtruism.org/public/question/a8499095-be16-46fe-af1f-e3e56ee04e88", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://dashboard.effectivealtruism.org/public/questio...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704260783020

430

IsaacKing

1704260783280

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

2

22

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…506-ec4911e076b3

14

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668113673910}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129910509}, {"n...

["effective-altruism", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

0.10605044200323942

0.5

1704038285591

1687493419344

0.02

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

0.18204333432588504

dwCBhvyIeAu4RkjTaaC1

{"NO": 923.3397209695004, "YES": 1251.9619042509669}

0.14099691597587521

will-a-human-land-on-phobos-or-deim

386.325990652718

Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?

3502915140000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

1.539095918623324e-16

9.782249186997468

False

basic

public

1668113784883

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2080-12-31 3:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.006079902874674387}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.7591656274929373, "platformFee": 0.2601875743219857, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1719246647430

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…c7e-3cf8d32538a9

8

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668113785155}, {"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1687638627096}]

["space", "mars"]

0.09718615345822637

0.5

1719246644371

1715413165071

0.06314242156836082

YZVhydQ7KLdwuuseRlm0

{"NO": 905.7028430298213, "YES": 2122.5623246705286}

0.02795498830306131

will-the-first-human-landing-on-mar

1711.565832213139

Will the first human landing on Mars take place before the next human landing on the Moon?

1767225540000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

6.156383674493296e-16

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1668113860580

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -2.42861286636753e-17, "week": -2.42861286636753e-17, "month": -2.42861286636753e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.039644977607401856, "platformFee": 0.039644977607401856, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1715133833761

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…4fe-99ffe851eb8e

9

[{"name": "Artemis program", "slug": "artemis-program", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "7tZRaI9VeFgLXFDbKtrX", "createdTime": 1670453651982}, {"name": "Artemis 3", "slug": "artemis-3", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "JFSueHSoflV6QCBPjC3l", "createdTime": 1670453312791}, {"nam...

["space", "artemis-3", "artemis-program", "spacex", "mars"]

0.09980207241508078

0.5

1715133830520

1668113916794

0.27812333787572024

M2CWgNNyIPieEttiVThY

{"NO": 126.14190902150456, "YES": 311.70627959513155}

0

will-i-succumb-to-extortion

279.0300737458506

Will I succumb to extortion?

1670734740000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

2.48435964634383

True

play

NO

public

1668114289067

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market to NO, unless someone threatens to flag it as \"improperly resolved\" if I do so.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If at least one such threat is made, I will resolve...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670765500398

170

IsaacKing

1670721674900

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…1ef-d36cd581d551

8

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668114289452}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668114295515}]

["manifold-6748e065087e", "fun"]

0.5

1670721674710

1670616032395

0.13

0.07356250193098252

r4BebbNR8XoEeP3PG2Fp

{"NO": 144.82470431929522, "YES": 563.4807669746053}

0

will-matt-levine-insider-trade-on-t

446

Will Matt Levine insider trade on the market on whether he will write a column on 11/11?

1668229140000

WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2

cpmm-1

0

7.137038202381353

True

play

NO

public

1668114296408

Zvi Mowshowitz

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if Matt Levine says that he has insider traded the market on whether or not he will write a column on 11/11, OR if the market goes to 99% before the column comes out, and then the column comes out OR if the market goes to 1% before ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668530355039

190

ZviMowshowitz

1668227987861

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjZzVqACtxwmB1FREO1eZAIgN70yLkYEFBbecQn=s96-c

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f1c-ff377d2a637c

10

[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668114296825}]

["economics-default"]

0.5

1668227987749

1668114400792

0.01999999999999999

0.23352809398844787

XeQaEtAYjMHYW7rsYIMf

{"NO": 245.08826389044378, "YES": 2839.4636559823966}

0

a-market-on-manifold-markets-will-b-70441bde6e52

3033.8049071563737

Another market on Manifold Markets will be a key point in some sort of significant social drama in 2022

1672549140000

Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2

cpmm-1

0

1.5104279479368174

True

play

NO

public

1668114580405

Jenny

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Same as this market, but drama must happen after Nov 10.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Elena/a-market-on-manifold-markets-will-b", "height": 0, "frameborder": 0, "allowfullscreen": true}}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672607699211

470

Jenny

1672684010054

0

https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0

23

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…8a8-c00378f85d6c

25

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668114596106}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "cr...

["predictions-on-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "internet"]

0.5

1672548462575

1672684007116

0.03

0.6609887234143784

ZGI0DwzT98Ed0ypmBq1C

{"NO": 171.00000000000014, "YES": 36.55629139072849}

1

will-alok-singh-publish-a-blog-post

101

Will Alok Singh publish a blog post about nonstandard analysis before the end of November?

1669885980000

U6jjBfDcBUblSknI9D5GxhWhgNu2

cpmm-1

0

4.584048898287881

True

play

YES

public

1668114819289

Alok Singh

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Posted on alok.blog.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670015215327

70

alok

1668205108012

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucraZdhILF6UzF0e7M6E1oVMYcpSYXzdKXSiPL7kC5E=s96-c

2

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…eea-81c9a581de0b

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "U6jjBfDcBUblSknI9D5GxhWhgNu2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668114819561}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1668205107912

1668114882151

0.9011896762973793

0.7465843393108841

kYMBbzsYZxpvqqIHP3Xm

{"NO": 721.7366070247454, "YES": 160.0439460042534}

1

will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-2b99b94eeba2

1770.7221182922967

Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $3.75 on November 11, 2022?

1668196800000

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

cpmm-1

0

2.0892432545898227

True

play

YES

public

1668114940442

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668200440370

280

Predictor

1668196155134

0

https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e

10

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…db6-7715acd95d71

10

[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1668114940694}]

["wall-street-bets"]

0.5

1668196155016

1668114986795

0.9299999999999994

0.3547536975229421

EoJMAM2JdSXKEjNTdkSr

{"NO": 134.67091680003847, "YES": 171.0584528691981}

0

will-sbf-go-to-jail

60

Will SBF go to jail?

1668124740000

9jZlc2cKzyYzbB7vveSEz4PCI0f2

cpmm-1

0

2.2788686033150816

True

play

NO

public

1668115281466

Karlim00

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668999592524

150

Karlim00

1668120751804

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1gmW0elmzejZtwnNtPg7EJFTTglawHVbVZhmA3=s96-c

5

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…ab0-22739fcd9eb5

7

[{"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668118046784}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiR...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-speculation"]

0.5

1668120751660

1668115433180

0.30208696836077925

0.5

MOmgbJ0l3iUwRNWVM8CH

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

how-many-doors-will-be-knocked-in-t

0

How many doors will be knocked in the DGG canvassing event in Georgia (2022)?

1668115336982

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668115323648

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When Destiny announces how many doors were knocked during the event, this market will resolve to the corresponding answer.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the event that Destiny gives an ap...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668115336982

50

0o0

1668115436490

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

0

https://firebasestorage.…d75-72e17e16aea9

2

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668115323905}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668115431827

0.5

uokrIlAwUdzrwhT0JHDn

how-many-doors-will-be-knocked-in-t-c55602560545

954.8314302897619

How many doors will be knocked in the DGG canvassing event in Georgia (2022)?

1669010633324

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.664310668918498

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668115492090

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When Destiny announces how many doors were knocked during the event, this market will resolve to the corresponding answer.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the event that Destiny gives an ap...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669010633324

580.0000000000001

0o0

1668888087385

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

8

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "07a103faa23a", "prob": 0.0033957170365704666, "text": "0-10,000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.029071489747361796, "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.532151201741323, "textFts": "'-10':2 '0':1 '000':3", "contractId": "uokrIlAwUdzrwhT0JHDn", "createdTime": 1668115492090, "probCh...

https://firebasestorage.…d02-2c57334473e1

9

[{"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 1668117561908}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668117554458...

["destinygg", "politics-default", "us-2022-midterms"]

1668888087186

1668132475493

True

0.6165763211108011

A3gaE5R2cseAria4zANR

{"NO": 14087.655807572444, "YES": 564.4749480628738}

1

will-destiny-still-be-playing-facto

51119.973077462215

Will Destiny still be playing Factorio by the end of 2022

1672531140000

0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2

cpmm-1

0

0.436853024776219

True

basic

YES

public

1668115839386

Ravaen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes: If Destiny is still actively playing factorio and has not switched to another Game", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No: If Destiny is no longer actively playing factorio and has switched to another Game", "type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672700387003

1990

Ravaen

1672621498052

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sqrn-O0c9W9Dp8dtXfhuctNGZhRB4SQ5BBPPPuQ=s96-c

2

477

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…afd-3824e47cdf1d

414

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668115859281}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672520653812

1672621496557

0.98

0.8133158299664431

WfCnbrGf0HLIahE7RRbB

{"NO": 2417.3145565790414, "YES": 200.13627413110453}

1

will-minnesota-fully-legalize-recre

2886.188208502219

Will Minnesota fully legalize recreational marijuana before the end of 2023?

1685474190444

TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2

cpmm-1

0

2.0740486060561123

True

play

YES

public

1668116613586

BRTD

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This shall resolve YES if the Minnesota Legislature passes a bill that is signed by the Governor prior to the end of 2023 that legalizes the use of marijuana and THC products not derived from hemp for adults age 21+ before December 31, 2023. If thi...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1685474190444

370

BRTD

1685082030267

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…9d7-dcad17e3d524

9

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668116613871}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1685082030090

1671725252217

0.98

0.21558853974948913

RG2aK1rxbs4hPH2PYrTK

{"NO": 1368.3205038149476, "YES": 21005.70837612627}

0

will-twitter-go-bankrupt-before-202

51727.67324682963

Will Twitter go bankrupt before 2024?

1704100334303

XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2

cpmm-1

0.028776801029445753

0.3332295038554056

True

basic

NO

public

1668116862272

Keepcalmandchill

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704100334303

2510

Keepcalmandchill

1704100336250

1.2

https://firebasestorage.…2ae-240f92e251de

6

171

0

https://firebasestorage.…271-9ca79171298f

121

[{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668117536119}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668117542514}]

["twitter", "technology-default"]

0.17194747573224778

0.5

1703032128022

1700108293314

0.02

XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2

0.7031318090259014

inH7cXD3p4vJoXyQNXvM

{"NO": 39193.304415635954, "YES": 969.3636247726776}

1

lex-fridmans-podcast-episode-with-d

125010.65835525224

Lex Fridman's Podcast Episode with Destiny will reach 1 Mio views before Nov. 30

1668683816023

dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1

cpmm-1

0

0.33434057776875914

True

basic

YES

public

1668117107078

dgg4life

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve YES if the video reaches 1 million views before Nov. 30th.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668683816023

3010

dgg4life

1668684057211

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0cl9W_jtIc65nUZvn008LXYBvT6wDWcmmulTyZ=s96-c

0

599

0

https://firebasestorage.…5ed-245af83346df

533

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668117107310}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668683675823

1668684054986

0.9887455351883073

0.1872659775810076

UWiaWl4GrjNfNFFjPc5c

{"NO": 85.40052980652636, "YES": 1855.8362042176466}

0

will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-2cb8c6bb1591

1881.0714269583575

Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $5.25 anytime before the end of 2022?

1672434000000

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

cpmm-1

0

4.203961399735112

True

play

NO

public

1668117603818

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question does not recognize after-hours trading, only the official ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672434321227

250

Predictor

1672433981938

0

https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…55f-3ad3a99e1433

12

[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1668117604105}]

["wall-street-bets"]

0.5

1672433981812

1668117709990

0.01

0.3207219797434069

u3eQONyK8jLosC0FjtlR

{"NO": 50.93002010875489, "YES": 466.06549862740917}

0.04906361241336601

will-mosul-dam-collapse-before-2025

414.5161507383722

Will Mosul Dam collapse before 2025-11-10?

1762819140000

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668118284792

Bolton Bailey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.4183506342183614, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

110

BoltonBailey

1717262936635

0

https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103

5

0

https://firebasestorage.…516-4c1563969193

3

[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1668118285287}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737093607}]

["world-default", "ancient-markets"]

0.5

1717262933489

1668118421932

0.1938521500664234

AGsjkj2yNGDsJ2PTB12H

{"NO": 688.2901925230908, "YES": 27582.601931153462}

0

will-twitter-file-for-bankruptcy-be

46697.76779801838

Will Twitter file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2024

1704096685562

Tz41xTDNKjN48bgtH7Me4TYoTKQ2

cpmm-1

0

0.7042788914668616

True

basic

NO

public

1668120133725

Leonardo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Elon Musk Says Twitter Bankruptcy Is Possible", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.reuters.com/technology/musk-tells-twitter-staff-bankruptcy-isnt-out-question-platformer-2022-1...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704096698419

1455

LeonardoKr

1704096699075

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpog6i--u15_WA_66nvBoZhXHAdY-Bksm1f9q8CmA=s96-c

1

75

0

https://firebasestorage.…a01-3e2e8a058c49

55

[{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "Tz41xTDNKjN48bgtH7Me4TYoTKQ2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668120134003}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703139969684}]

["twitter", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704096572683

1672350587728

0.01

Tz41xTDNKjN48bgtH7Me4TYoTKQ2

0.3711790067955128

T74BDg1JN0AH9J553zuT

{"NO": 70.92179195875809, "YES": 447.4549243419651}

0.08555481542967

will-destiny-have-2-million-subscri

3336.2243955588815

Will Destiny have 2 million subscribers by 2025

1735686000000

0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668121361216

Ravaen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes: Destiny has 2 million or more subscribers by 2025", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No: Destiny has less than 2 million subscribers by 2025", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 11,...

BINARY

{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.006442246105277771}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.417104023241925, "platformFee": 1.427107352478078, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

Ravaen

1718155805561

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sqrn-O0c9W9Dp8dtXfhuctNGZhRB4SQ5BBPPPuQ=s96-c

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…313-c3e0c091404a

5

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668121361487}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1718155802382

1668121469105

0.8190667222379533

HcyYxZzZmb48ANnSitjs

{"NO": 1102.9312698893666, "YES": 294.66300899716407}

1

will-scott-mention-ftxsbf-by-name-a

1208.1651869665689

Will Scott mention FTX/SBF by name at least 4 times in one ACX post?

1668382560773

hEV2GJRU5sa3PDAyh4MgwS6LXoY2

cpmm-1

0

1.720921314679648

True

play

YES

public

1668122677678

Warty

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if, until close time, there appears an ACX post where in the main text, excluding links, quotes, etc. the total collective count of references by name to FTX and SBF is equal to or exceeds 4.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "ha...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668382560773

390

warty

1668382918653

0

https://firebasestorage.…fed-6ca5ba3a485c

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…a67-80af9d5631cb

20

[{"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "hEV2GJRU5sa3PDAyh4MgwS6LXoY2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668122677980}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1668379910699

1668382917633

0.9442720007392971

0.9119860570809258

beB9VLMFY7DuuPV03vGx

{"NO": 7637.2692474049045, "YES": 399.8668845056768}

1

will-there-be-widespread-reports-of

7795.85831636616

Will the FTX Future Fund (or regranting program) have failed to pay out on committed grants, as of Feb 1?

1675295940000

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

2.5415885972093255

True

play

YES

public

1668123181508

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 10, 11:34pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will there be widespread reports of the FTX Future Fund (or regranting program) failing to pay out on committed grants, as of Feb 1?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675337152627

570

NathanpmYoung

1675294795377

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

1

28

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…279-e93446575ec1

26

[{"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668123181805}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1675294795258

1668312341728

0.99

0.10814360308736035

Xu6Qi1wfBQ4Zl3XpMboN

{"NO": 771.794730290364, "YES": 5036.854254171982}

0.018241188691631282

will-trump-run-as-a-third-party-can

4559.559239218837

Will trump run as a third party candidate in 2024?

1735689540000

1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2

cpmm-1

0

10.504816438187465

False

basic

public

1668124435690

Stochastic Cockatoo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -3.469446951953614e-18, "week": -0.013447876251893507, "month": -0.014616302234753128}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.330149231803377, "platformFee": 3.508589546762842, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

StochasticParrot

1719713011694

0

https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855

23

1

https://firebasestorage.…9d0-71aaa44ba99b

10

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668124435967}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "cre...

["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump"]

0.5

1719713008463

1668124538313

False

0.23549715920308892

E9dumnrzZTBBrnnA2O3U

{"NO": 547.8940232477848, "YES": 1244.5133049132492}

0

will-scoria-be-slain-by-the-end-of-9ddbedc62121

4353.715571486258

Will Scoria be slain by the end of Tombs of Scoria episode 89?

1669928400000

qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2

cpmm-1

0

0.8129732389426292

True

play

NO

public

1668127498128

The Church of Shulkanism

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve yes if the red dragon is dead, no if not.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-01 6:59 pm", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669943896093

690

TheChurchofShulkanism

1669926570564

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2kj8vKlhoMNqLbdruhyWI_xYRZ3XOa5Ttzv391=s96-c

35

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…4ba-2359a094529b

33

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668127498401}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668127898099}]

["destinygg", "tombs-of-scoria"]

0.5

1669926570332

1669844591146

0.11941887130814761

0.0770480087360297

6vcREC7zZIFCoGj5Sk43

{"NO": 71.15997443038316, "YES": 186.97984669650282}

0.030792163829741086

at-least-one-state-will-be-struck-f

1145.0201533034974

At least one state will be struck from the US electoral college vote in 2024

1731283140000

sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668127560505

Martin Randall

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": 3.469446951953614e-18}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

110

MartinRandall

1691799346551

0

https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…e12-9616484bf87c

3

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668127560799}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1691799346422

1668177878964

0.8153611448555624

5PKYmkV9585FnE9tqfWw

{"NO": 11235.597399927776, "YES": 287.8085680095228}

1

will-any-brothers-ever-fight-scoria

12633.98982912367

Will any brothers ever fight Scoria inside her lair?

1671125715622

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

1.6260002691054605

True

play

YES

public

1668128089408

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will there ever be a fight between Scoria and all/any of the brothers? Or will they kill her outside? Or will they die before ever getting there?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES i...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1671125715622

580

Cooley

1671125712124

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…5a3-87c3f22632c5

24

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668128089669}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668128312932}]

["destinygg", "tombs-of-scoria"]

0.5

1671125711926

1671113901970

0.92

0.5008444003289125

Fk2HLhv9GrkSLC73tNJP

{"NO": 60.464936202905434, "YES": 42.13160286957212}

0.5901639344262293

will-tombs-of-scoria-episode-89-hap

10

Will Tombs of Scoria episode 89 happen next week on Thursday?

1668128416384

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-1

0

4.384757160216661

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668128227622

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Tombs of Scoria happens on Thursday (11/17/2022), then the market will resolve to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ". Otherwise, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NO", "type": "text", "marks"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668128416384

70

0o0

1668128297875

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…19b-ff6878242bef

3

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668128239686}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668128241986}]

["destinygg", "tombs-of-scoria"]

0.5

1668128296506

1668128262768

0.5901639344262294

0.4193000358714179

fNL8L8gCK84S5ZWGhuFx

{"NO": 184.4366138101139, "YES": 5596.515351358616}

0

will-tombs-of-scoria-end-by-january

16683.299900389393

Will Tombs of Scoria end by January 1, 2023?

1672621200000

qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2

cpmm-1

1.0636598682803893

True

basic

NO

public

1668128287368

The Church of Shulkanism

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We are about to hit december, scheduling hell for DnD campaigns. Will we end before or after the end of the year?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676212689169

1010

TheChurchofShulkanism

1676212702635

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2kj8vKlhoMNqLbdruhyWI_xYRZ3XOa5Ttzv391=s96-c

1

51

0

9

https://firebasestorage.…00f-c12941036ed3

43

[{"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668128287596}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "uKeUVUhWVpP45KQD9DUAvjxbIow2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669249418758}]

["tombs-of-scoria", "destinygg"]

0.5

1672617206950

1676212710973

0.02

0.7107498638843541

N6r0W9caFZ7kdrrLicw9

{"NO": 2602.7491196900746, "YES": 131.85382409004706}

1

will-tombs-of-scoria-episode-89-hap-516214c87bf3

3168.9337003473593

Will Tombs of Scoria episode 89 happen on Dec 1?

1669928581216

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-1

0

2.0043421889330437

True

play

YES

public

1668128601453

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Tombs of Scoria episode 89 happens on Dec 1 (Thursday), then the market will resolve to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ". Otherwise, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NO", "type": "text", "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669928581216

370

0o0

1669928505780

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

18

0

https://firebasestorage.…cc3-057ec22dea93

17

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668128601939}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668128613954}]

["destinygg", "tombs-of-scoria"]

0.5

1669928505592

1668129433261

0.9797998507875674

zciWzHP3W09Vy9FeanYa

how-many-more-episodes-of-tombs-of

17942.888789680102

How many more episodes of Tombs of Scoria will there be?

1673578677076

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.620232682923465

True

basic

4c0f95ae23ba

public

1668128603887

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After episode 88, how many episodes are left?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Episode 89 was the last episode, then that would be 1 episode left after 88.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "par...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673578677076

1280

Cooley

1673558761611

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

32

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "560684534818", "prob": 0.000278318220046886, "text": "1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.000866841458396516, "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.1137027266082797, "textFts": "'1':1", "contractId": "zciWzHP3W09Vy9FeanYa", "createdTime": 1668128603887, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee...

https://firebasestorage.…cf9-73a0fba87423

33

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668128604157}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-of-scoria", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "AXY3pkkh8cVqM6lxgmjK", "createdTime": 1668128634571}]

["destinygg", "tombs-of-scoria"]

1673558680789

1673558755369

{"4c0f95ae23ba": 100}

True

0.22392418705133507

sCgjVuaKUSGM4wq3xYTc

{"NO": 943.0600762507526, "YES": 1142.1207366975664}

0.1924055253375096

if-trump-runs-as-a-thirdparty-candi

257.80959101449014

If Trump runs as a third-party candidate, will he drop out before Election Day?

1730718000000

fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42

cpmm-1

0

9.659321887590938

False

basic

public

1668128646828

N.C. Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A third-party Trump run would likely split the Republican vote like in 1912, which seems like it might horrify Trump enough to overcome his ego.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -3.0531133177191805e-16, "week": -3.0531133177191805e-16, "month": -3.0531133177191805e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

NcyRocks

1687018052193

0

https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…c1b-3118cad0ced5

10

[{"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1668128647161}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "cre...

["2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "donald-trump"]

0.5

1687018051994

1672617079818

False

0.14184869055275068

lEuC18a0Hf9QBG2EBXca

{"NO": 635.313279683227, "YES": 1670.2805851884548}

0

will-the-mr-girl-bridge-be-repaired

2515.3974817625353

Will the Mr. Girl Bridge Be Repaired by Jan 1. 2023?

1672484460000

7SAxbVR3DGeL60bWIPW6FYINR3V2

cpmm-1

0

1.0982812759103224

True

play

NO

public

1668133291347

Merlins Sister

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Steven has burnt the Mr Girl bridge as of 10/11/2022. Will we see it repaired by Jan 1. 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672752862812

750

MerlinsSister

1672467830728

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu13BrIqxjLqGWprBEEyWtI0s7IUz0d5Ni1y6gU-=s96-c

37

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…ee8-1c89dc063752

28

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "7SAxbVR3DGeL60bWIPW6FYINR3V2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668133291587}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672467830534

1668133451613

0.06

0.15483893175052585

mPVO1hjJNfCkGmK3wVyL

{"NO": 1314.7837418342724, "YES": 23397.35418488863}

0

will-binance-suspend-withdrawals-fo

81342.96350364083

Will Binance suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?

1703504535174

Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02

cpmm-1

0

0.4784703827988821

True

basic

NO

public

1668133356703

Andy Martin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(the 7 day period must fully complete before the end of 2023)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "non-\"amplified odds\" version of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/AndyMarti...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703504535174

2125

AndyMartin

1703421671348

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw0L052KDniGlcKQYGazhwe1SmubhJvKPt9aqoU=s96-c

3

118

0

https://firebasestorage.…37e-9a58657827cb

30

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668133356971}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1700859835456}]

["crypto-speculation", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.12952630038337803

0.5

1703421671123

1700591691334

0.01

Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02

0.1271584119808229

k9Kmj5NpP1YV1VqsD6DU

{"NO": 505.6463587397602, "YES": 7835.026993365289}

0

will-coinbase-suspend-withdrawals-f

12078.37477535422

Will Coinbase suspend withdrawals for more than a 7 day period before the end of 2023?

1703504522760

Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02

cpmm-1

0

1.4336946787451565

True

play

NO

public

1668133460059

Andy Martin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(the 7 day period must fully complete before the end of 2023)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Non-\"amplified odds\" version of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/AndyMarti...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703504522760

740

AndyMartin

1703268475401

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw0L052KDniGlcKQYGazhwe1SmubhJvKPt9aqoU=s96-c

30

0

https://firebasestorage.…43d-91964cacac10

14

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668133460447}, {"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq...

["crypto-speculation", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "coinbase", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703268475262

1668133571654

0.01

Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02

0.34549883911962115

0ZWAfEgJ8lHnD3NCCSOc

{"NO": 192.15675927526837, "YES": 2984.3134689382764}

0

will-the-lav-bridge-be-repaired-by

4408.186799296668

Will the Lav Bridge be repaired by Jan 1. 2023?

1672617540000

7SAxbVR3DGeL60bWIPW6FYINR3V2

cpmm-1

0

1.2630364899622806

True

play

NO

public

1668133802948

Merlins Sister

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Steven has burnt the Lav bridge as of 10/11/2022. Will we see it repaired by Jan 1. 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672752841278

590

MerlinsSister

1672615346027

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu13BrIqxjLqGWprBEEyWtI0s7IUz0d5Ni1y6gU-=s96-c

30

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…626-99781b0ca083

20

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "7SAxbVR3DGeL60bWIPW6FYINR3V2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668133803195}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672615345918

1668133832212

0.03

0.5016502728668996

CcoDpWTaEgK22MQG0uuS

{"NO": 122.00000000000013, "YES": 118.03921568627463}

0.509900019603999

bob-thadthechad-stock

2

Bob (@thadthechad) Stock

1668740050250

qaeetXEaU4ZVPG2kZvUNz1BwQBq1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668135250250

Bob

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -7.771561172376096e-16, "week": -7.771561172376096e-16, "month": -7.771561172376096e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

120

thadthechad

1668736170163

0

https://firebasestorage.…489-c2a8b8b28385

1

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…d40-b95c6b6bbb1d

3

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "qaeetXEaU4ZVPG2kZvUNz1BwQBq1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668135250597}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1668736170030

1668135396604

0.6226058931514878

a9kyHjthCWoFMosvX4TT

{"NO": 2053.7966850528333, "YES": 1201.0751842057075}

1

will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-g

48759.931910569445

Will the margin of victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?

1670389140000

rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2

cpmm-1

0

0.2882704908375602

True

basic

YES

public

1668135890899

cos

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " This market will resolve to \"", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "\" if the margin of victory in the runoff elec...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670435208168

1550

cos

1670620690181

0

https://firebasestorage.…83f-4e72668503f9

1

78

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3b2-e5497e70a0f6

72

[{"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1668436465722}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668288222409}, {"name": "U...

["us-2022-midterms", "politics-default", "us-2022-elections", "us-politics", "polymarket", "2022-georgia-runoffs"]

0.5

1670389135544

1670620685615

0.7382894211339501

0.494275369707126

9g91XoPAamn2JRHVeVDa

{"NO": 142.9313990569855, "YES": 231.37588256106358}

0.3764653516407105

secret-daughter-permanent

407.36491939745633

Secret Daughter Stock (Permanent)

33217163036408

JPuDK6vqApNtlerwo6Qis33ZjE83

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668136938577

odecay

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market for Destiny's Secret Daughter.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a ...

STONK

{"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

190

odecay

1713585815109

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjJQp3YEgGP_Ia7crDLnmrqkLeCQecbSTfueNIObw=s96-c

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…a4d-b5a06bf1a5e0

7

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1682372140670

1686527226324

False

0.6936331339669214

BgTVCNgoKkWMbnTEpeoF

{"NO": 1103.2211515082877, "YES": 938.6954440503516}

0.7268419158421477

will-a-human-land-on-any-planetary

397.10458434844077

Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?

3313544400000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

2.4394093160309446e-15

9.595663971725585

False

basic

public

1668138044718

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 15, 9:25pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars by 2075?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will a human land on any planetary body that is n...

BINARY

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1710153980010

0.2

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…44f-ba3957c6e88a

7

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668138045015}]

["space"]

0.0939912774255895

0.5

1710153976175

1668138064149

0.725648570177744

3txhdBJ2viUUFe06IX63

{"NO": 1067.6055166881363, "YES": 964.62483910992}

0.7453739966406188

will-humanity-be-mining-asteroids-b

174.0000000000001

Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?

4102462800000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.585499525352674

False

basic

public

1668138133505

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The mining must be done for economic reasons, it won't count if it's just a test.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.23579539919729867, "platformFee": 0.23579539919729867, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1714923674915

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…b0f-f52f561eee0d

9

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668138133799}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104669277}]

["space", "futurism"]

0.5

1714923671674

1668138192233

shh7xCZAJee332Sdt3Yr

balance-of-power-in-us-congress-aft-0f46954a02fa

1064

Balance of Power in US Congress after 2022 Midterms

1668565124314

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.65716117595909

True

play

9066115a1283

public

1668138317820

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668565124314

360

Gigacasting

1668371165155

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

5

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "9066115a1283", "prob": 0.9899955420932677, "text": "R House, D Senate", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.875380694045695, "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.26148517439472085, "textFts": "'d':3 'hous':2 'r':1 'senat':4", "contractId": "shh7xCZAJee332Sdt3Yr", "createdTime": 1668138...

https://firebasestorage.…27c-51eecf2ab5c3

6

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668138318394}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181867652}]

["politics-default", "us-politics"]

1668371165052

1668138329059

False

{"9066115a1283": 100}

True

0.37867223741875744

4nicRS5j4x9ReLUuU0Qi

{"NO": 987.0289128956183, "YES": 982.9494566869658}

0.3796471671708845

will-any-human-spacecraft-reach-ano

432.5648660334282

Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?

4102462800000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.661584813462122

False

basic

public

1668138358014

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes one built by human-built AI.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.019430817177336857}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.9294014744787797, "platformFee": 1.6029887715755509, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1719150247233

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…49c-59c7752005f9

11

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668138358286}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104989578}]

["space", "futurism"]

0.5

1719150244161

1714596736935

0.5000000000000001

WYbwuSpsbqmzV5NOlqQC

{"NO": 95, "YES": 26.31578947368422}

1

trainwreckstv-stock-permanent-a8113961cafe

45

TrainwrecksTV Stock (Permanent)

1668143959095

0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2

cpmm-1

0

4.575477169754104

True

play

YES

public

1668139195534

Ravaen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes: Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No: Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will increase the duration of this market as long as it is allowed, this is basically s...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668143959095

50

Ravaen

1668139335020

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sqrn-O0c9W9Dp8dtXfhuctNGZhRB4SQ5BBPPPuQ=s96-c

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…7e4-b9bd35d57538

2

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668143899332}, {"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668139195855}, {"name": "Improperly R...

["gaming", "destinygg", "improperly-resolved"]

0.5

1668139204812

1668139333132

0.7830802603036876

0.5090340677129017

FGGcRTfrOJru7rDqijko

{"NO": 269.6078937539849, "YES": 163.45599689005002}

0.6310129973525849

ifwhen-humans-send-a-mission-to-alp

126.33333333333324

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

7258136400000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668139425753

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Alpha Centauri is about 4 light years away. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Time dilation", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_dilation", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hove...

BINARY

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

210

IsaacKing

1712245379695

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…d21-9ec6ed796ae7

5

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668139426029}]

["space"]

0.5

1712245376203

1712245368278

0.41366019555466976

7xPtNwByBS2hSX6ilCeZ

{"NO": 1004.4318575831219, "YES": 986.9556872722691}

0.4179237540303107

will-there-be-a-functional-spacebas

180.24779849854724

Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?

2366859600000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.632319652538111

False

basic

public

1668139504049

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space-based_solar_power", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space-based_solar_power", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 ...

BINARY

{"day": -6.661338147750939e-16, "week": -6.661338147750939e-16, "month": -6.661338147750939e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1712249283336

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

0

20

0

https://firebasestorage.…eed-d075ea589d82

4

[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1668139504367}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104989578}]

["space", "futurism"]

0.5

1704698888529

1712249282830

0.1974964828081273

tXsQYzwzoGkw175zOIbC

{"NO": 156.4040313719778, "YES": 287.77306364878916}

0.11797527140423394

will-any-country-with-at-least-10-m

135.1337636669883

Will any country with at least 10 million people be using primarily decimal time before 2050?

2524626000000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668139643882

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decimal_time", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decimal_time", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "...

BINARY

{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

190

IsaacKing

1704698893250

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…a73-a163e253a24f

8

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668139644219}]

["technology-default"]

0.5

1704698893122

1668139820296

0.28152417624375153

asPqPNF9IlDSJl4ja0MA

{"NO": 201.69443014487956, "YES": 281.9871889588777}

0

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-6a0b0bffbf78

163.6

The following bug is fixed within a week: "Attemping to enter a market close date by typing it in could be used as an excersice in anger management classes "

1668815940000

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

1.8527461255004023

True

play

NO

public

1668139921546

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669149602974

230

ManifoldBugs

1669149598768

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

10

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…bf5-f9424e4ec349

13

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668139921800}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1668815918671

1669149596870

0.21891139420299485

NvYFSxaCJfIHw4R7m16L

code-golf-which-computer-program-wi

51.51097619744834

Code golf: Which computer program will do the neatest thing?

1672549200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-multi-1

0

5.0108642782802555

True

play

2fd44e0bb540

public

1668140919848

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Answers must be a valid piece of code, in any language of your choice. Each piece of code must fit entirely within one answer, so 240 characters maximum. No references to external resources hosted on the web are allowed.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672608142901

280

IsaacKing

1669432632462

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

0

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "8b7100c6e2db", "prob": 0.951918278750952, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.88915856332677, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 1.5097117289271673, "textFts": "", "contractId": "NvYFSxaCJfIHw4R7m16L", "createdTime": 1668140920337, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...

1

https://firebasestorage.…7e3-1a921999100d

6

[{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1668140926924}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668140920191}, {"name": "Code Golf", "sl...

["fun", "programming", "code-golf"]

1669432613836

1669432630582

{"2fd44e0bb540": 100}

True

0.5952776658626467

mm3Sve91tUzQ1G39ZxTq

{"NO": 186.60671140717983, "YES": 9211.17819345922}

0

will-destiny-talk-with-lav-on-strea

92260.50305459123

Will Destiny talk with Lav on stream before January 1st 2023?

1672552740000

VhzAVw1rbZb3qKRDhva7ad9gZT53

cpmm-1

0

0.4033097655546656

True

basic

NO

public

1668140994894

thesourceofsound

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672714909233

2310

thesourceofsound

1685820533510

0

https://firebasestorage.…c58-26279aa89ce0

0

692

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f7c-88b9eccedd49

533

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668141143586}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672548825436

1685820530028

0.03

0.2069973731683286

hsdCe8ozWGcBkqPQkjag

{"NO": 392.8064348217473, "YES": 810.3778567478292}

0

will-destiny-play-starcraft-2-befor

761.4067933916734

Will Destiny play Starcraft 2 before the end of the year again?

1668747540000

9hwvPjtjacbTeKcVv0DUWyEZqQh2

cpmm-1

1.2423960338826348

True

play

NO

public

1668141454186

Chargain

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve on Dec 31st ~11:59 PM. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "YES- He will ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "NO- He wont", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673121254195

470

Chargain

1676411309974

0

https://firebasestorage.…7dc-58b0140997dc

24

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…84f-a423f4b84ddb

26

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9hwvPjtjacbTeKcVv0DUWyEZqQh2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668141454449}, {"name": "Strategy games", "slug": "strategy-games", "groupId": "a50583e9-06a2-431a-bdb7-8968af4a58b9", "createdTime": 1690962291311}]

["destinygg", "strategy-games"]

0.5

1668746703679

1676411308103

False

0.11

ay90MMyAmRVfUSaXlCdW

what-is-the-least-likely-thing-that

221.48883727186166

What is the least likely thing that will happen in 2023?

1672549200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.811048877544471

True

play

339aa9ca24b4

public

1668141603571

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Answers to this market can be any prediction of something that will happen in the future. (e.g. \"Donald Trump will be elected president\".)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will cl...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704260867055

1120

IsaacKing

1704260867246

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

9

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "c27c234a05a9", "prob": 0.18809846516667433, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.072768565454836, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 21.895918079382206, "textFts": "", "contractId": "ay90MMyAmRVfUSaXlCdW", "resolverId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "createdTime": 16681...

74

https://firebasestorage.…f99-a4571a627582

12

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668141603864}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 16681416173...

["fun", "predictions-on-predictions"]

1672511944857

1700804062916

{"339aa9ca24b4": 100}

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

True

0.2417470095879287

CRSYkwO6kmUpI99SlslA

{"NO": 868.406728955423, "YES": 17389.67201878149}

0

will-destiny-talk-to-marquett-burto

26990.372991407126

Will Destiny Talk to Marquett Burton (The Saint and The Sinner) Again In November?

1669881225547

Oh0L7bpPyXSmexPTtqHzVmiylgC3

cpmm-1

0

0.4584136482358385

True

basic

NO

public

1668142360386

The Void

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Marquett Burton is a Red Pill \"influencer\" that Destiny ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "talked to", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-hfTVPakVg&t=4048s", "class": "editor-rtfLink", "targ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669881225547

1910

Voidian

1685820560055

0

https://firebasestorage.…9ee-6bd525f7fbcc

96

0

https://firebasestorage.…765-677adddbcb1c

80

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "Oh0L7bpPyXSmexPTtqHzVmiylgC3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668142360640}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1669880654096

1685820557545

0.015671793411592902

0.29734780660279136

QhnAOUQFFGWFc6CmhqoT

{"NO": 632.9025667513873, "YES": 18599.654287978694}

0

will-lav-return-to-destinys-stream

32157.827657115973

Will Lav return to Destiny's stream on or before Nov 17, 2022?

1668747540000

9Udvi7gj6YWyA0DWrWHocY8fHVd2

cpmm-1

0

0.5009802778564953

True

basic

NO

public

1668142646480

Revel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if Lav joins discord on stream for longer than 5 minutes at any point on or before November 17th, 2022.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve NO...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668750245793

1970

Revel

1668747046695

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu21rHSDn5tZGpuuRBRxpGYGNgU9sL5jTrRfhUjI=s96-c

179

0

https://firebasestorage.…d44-5a903eb1e6d2

146

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9Udvi7gj6YWyA0DWrWHocY8fHVd2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668142646787}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668747046588

1668694446103

0.014195384648753518

kgymT2XYAGS0eV8hLODK

how-many-views-will-the-lex-freidma

40955.91916050575

How many views will the Lex Freidman podcast with Destiny have by 11/11 end of day?

1668232740000

VhzAVw1rbZb3qKRDhva7ad9gZT53

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.616914588079689

True

basic

05c89549381d

public

1668143432163

thesourceofsound

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "CST", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668232857144

2820

thesourceofsound

1710218601148

0

https://firebasestorage.…c58-26279aa89ce0

92

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "ac2b2c1e833c", "prob": 0.002, "text": ">100k", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.03223162663458085, "userId": "VhzAVw1rbZb3qKRDhva7ad9gZT53", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 16.083581690655848, "textFts": "'100k':1", "contractId": "kgymT2XYAGS0eV8hLODK", "createdTime": 1668143432163, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "m...

https://firebasestorage.…2d3-ce0f7499f61a

94

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

1668232339302

1668230898361

{"05c89549381d": 100}

True

0.7516506471034475

ILuitrJKjlEMeq9MQwUb

{"NO": 907.6958492323345, "YES": 794.6870840865342}

0.7756329602035626

rosewrist-stock-permanent

992.2544443100867

Rosewrist Stock (Permanent)

33217163036412

0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2

cpmm-1

0

9.83786583088511

False

play

public

1668144151789

Ravaen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

830

Ravaen

1713584814980

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sqrn-O0c9W9Dp8dtXfhuctNGZhRB4SQ5BBPPPuQ=s96-c

42

0

https://firebasestorage.…4c4-b165e317c3e1

9

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668144152056}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396518}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1703246109326

1668144283877

False

0.3127839173154029

v5mND3TbtQb2Gm7FILOe

{"NO": 1012.7661458738505, "YES": 5669.699804301692}

0

will-the-lav-bridge-repair-itself-b

11175.44919382923

Will the Lav Bridge repair itself before Nov 17, 2022?

1668280568908

YbeeCUAuvYZ32wa6RRtQUNOIx682

cpmm-1

0

0.3264915888112583

True

basic

NO

public

1668144526772

Arctic

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if Destiny says the lav bridge isnt burnt.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve NO if Destiny doesnt attempt to repair the bridge by the allott...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668280568908

1970

Arctic

1710218381397

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Co3cFMjhxKTnfM8aEWMM4HSriz1s5ZmKtuu0wSA=s96-c

98

0

https://firebasestorage.…077-23707b01493a

80

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668280063673

1668293558381

0.07518882205662346

0.5781757343627978

GMzDzzfWHZg82paBf1Mx

{"NO": 2537.4524543275393, "YES": 5061.551538503583}

0.40727947157418387

ragepope-stock-permanent

143623.93903784425

RagePope Stock (Permanent)

33217163036412

28Aw2xQu6lfBGhP4QJGfAwKascJ3

cpmm-1

0

3.6368694727781046

False

basic

public

1668144986063

dontblik

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 18.93493323420591, "platformFee": 14.899475347478566, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

3820

dontblik

1716517502483

0.2

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2n-lx9afqcLXJ1uYRSSzUampv6niip_Dl3h1rC=s96-c

439

0

https://firebasestorage.…1e8-bbbe4b4fcb6c

214

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1713308862187}, {"name":...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.20825434241257074

0.5

False

1716517498855

1695072514800

False

0.5032248310539599

WY3xb9n0BBZ3DAkPc8Az

{"NO": 366.72183950524254, "YES": 10672.87122893209}

0

will-the-nick-fuentes-bridge-be-rec

119355.9028261321

Will the Nick Fuentes Bridge be reconstructed before the end of 2022?

1672549140000

2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1

cpmm-1

0

0.4979420904572258

True

basic

NO

public

1668148461812

DoppioFrog

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "BRIDGE IS OFFICIALLY REBUILT IF:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Destiny has 2 or more friendly conversations with him on stream", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "or", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672562043857

2000

BettersonMcgee

1672542423444

0

https://firebasestorage.…0cc-49129eb5afbe

2

1010

0

1

761

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669305169624}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672542423238

1669575913715

0.03

0.49629037591037917

lMYyfZqzKY19f7nChLGY

{"NO": 1168.2564848259547, "YES": 831.3641523976705}

0.5806302238482629

will-any-of-the-givewell-top-recomm

1780.3392405323334

Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?

1925020740000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

9.62514938056464

False

basic

public

1668150195226

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.61096669903061, "platformFee": 0.1505529404218365, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1717588238838

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

37

0

https://firebasestorage.…498-2c3817029e7a

24

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668150195460}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi...

["effective-altruism", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.5

1717588235709

1673637643734

0.7172567539242355

hGH6FHgdGdAGSue3INs3

{"NO": 1121.9213090563107, "YES": 122.082680177657}

1

will-my-12b-score-be-125

1918.5543226908653

Will my 12B score be >125?

1668758340000

4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2

cpmm-1

0

2.235274622283683

True

play

YES

public

1668150445724

pic

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ":pray: resolves as expected", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668788551015

250

pg

1668758314281

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkWUg5DpuopoRXru2Clb0-vXevdDNFqgy_QAgu-Iw=s96-c

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…806-e87b0b87d570

13

[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1668150445965}]

["proofniks"]

0.5

1668758314187

1668376131567

0.927868986323962

upd0hGQl2jGnJNRimh9S

which-company-will-have-the-largest

1039.4450095779803

Which company will have the largest market cap as of 12/31/30?

1767211200000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668150635643

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Edit 2023-05-04: Since this market is multiple choice, it will close as of 2025. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.5909442434861636, "platformFee": 1.946384953822146, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1719245146943

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

11

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "bede7ec200c1", "prob": 0.018508165810751657, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.310499075687161, "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 175.55644590078617, "textFts": "", "contractId": "upd0hGQl2jGnJNRimh9S", "createdTime": 1668150636087, "probChanges": {"day": -0.001067904...

https://firebasestorage.…bcc-0bb914a004ee

5

[{"name": "Business", "slug": "business", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1668150635941}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 16...

["business", "carsons-important-markets"]

1719245143602

1693963337574

True

8gPYt9Opu9ll446Ugmr9

which-company-will-have-the-largest-3dfe2f70595e

737.1129540772314

Which company will have the largest market cap as of 12/31/50?

2556129600000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668151044017

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 1.3308346881202744, "platformFee": 0.9316913635181471, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1360

CarsonGale

1719245533949

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

16

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "6d655013a675", "prob": 0.025092744989084505, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.6328652346454362, "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 24.588179131793403, "textFts": "", "contractId": "8gPYt9Opu9ll446Ugmr9", "createdTime": 1668151044417, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ...

https://firebasestorage.…fad-0ef46de3e759

8

[{"name": "Business", "slug": "business", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1668151044265}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 16...

["business", "carsons-important-markets"]

1719245530459

1668179013074

True

0.7776275250618072

cYlpKsM9K5at8XRzPcSB

{"NO": 1629.0520034074927, "YES": 90.84502409411859}

1

will-ftxus-go-bankrupt-before-the-e

1929.6987430298748

Will FTX.US go bankrupt before the end of 2023?

1668191806433

UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03

cpmm-1

0

3.4147343156375918

True

play

YES

public

1668154100383

Adrian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668191806433

210

ahalekelly

1668185459720

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…89b-ffb36d8af9ad

12

[{"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668154248105}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1668185459138

1668179468724

0.9843034357423232

0.7311242855131408

z4wMxkAnsDOlvCePVTu2

{"NO": 1897.755293568323, "YES": 97.0320377465043}

1

will-blockfi-go-bankrupt-before-the

3968.7498758975275

Will BlockFi go bankrupt before the end of 2023?

1669658425506

UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03

cpmm-1

0

2.7046337255504707

True

play

YES

public

1668154164826

Adrian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669658425506

250

ahalekelly

1669654892975

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c

13

0

https://firebasestorage.…cae-8c6b1403d5a2

14

[{"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668154218543}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1669654892820

1668540827830

0.9815436871937618

0.18734990859448905

sN8LaMwVW5DpLU8VVmoK

{"NO": 328.34164407552737, "YES": 652.758315488825}

0

will-destiny-be-banned-on-youtube-b

695.371554822089

Will Destiny be banned on YouTube before 1/1/2023

1672527600000

w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32

cpmm-1

0

1.594488429622198

True

play

NO

public

1668163838304

Gustav

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672528976329

390

Gustav

1672021761453

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3GZv_-CMXczXLvdE3ElQwxwrpuvR94R3_0EqxSOQ=s96-c

17

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…480-01a5f07fa21e

17

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668163838571}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672021760239

1668163966901

0.1

0.6238376517719278

PdTdGbYMCaUFvHZydFNM

{"NO": 1785.9016912699362, "YES": 615.3154336835154}

0.8279849511379699

will-russia-control-any-formerly-uk-b073e4d23255

3899.041249725729

At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they didn’t control at the start?

1735689540000

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0.10712408935218432

9.885689794439406

False

basic

public

1668170709863

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 11, 3:28pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory at the end of the war?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukraini...

BINARY

{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.3519644192164102, "platformFee": 1.3519644192164102, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

njmkw

1715101607057

1.3

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

1

42

0

https://firebasestorage.…5ed-57456011526e

26

[{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668170716781}, {"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1668170710218}, {"name": "How It Ends", "slug":...

["wars", "ukraine", "how-it-ends", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.12675460605739694

0.5

1715101603807

1673988347289

False

0.2672644171189324

lnoWSqlJdBADt1xVL6nt

{"NO": 209.226341943832, "YES": 1691.3459440048766}

0

will-stacey-abrams-be-appointed-to

2546.086806942698

Will Stacey Abrams be appointed to a position in the Biden Administration by the end of 2023?

1704084248213

uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2

cpmm-1

0

1.5400815432383697

True

play

NO

public

1668173691368

Nico

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704084248213

390

NicoDelon

1704084248826

0

https://firebasestorage.…7d0-430cf8822ebb

0

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…262-0a16e392d5f2

9

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668173691996}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129113632}]

["politics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704065285481

1668173766123

0.04

uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2

0.8032652884729526

ul1akgpRFBJfgYISb0pR

{"NO": 12414.392137869148, "YES": 398.5181719237376}

1

given-the-implosion-of-ftx-will-the

13144.075759363484

Given the implosion of FTX, will there be a new round of ACX grants in 2023?

1686629672193

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0

1.1480023019132575

True

play

YES

public

1668174377989

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1686629672193

830

njmkw

1686629679905

0

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

2

43

0

https://firebasestorage.…230-24b06d9dd8fc

23

[{"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1668174378352}, {"name": "FTX Liquidity Crunch (Nov 2022)", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 166...

["acx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1686412592795

1686629677656

0.99

0.6448754387319684

PHBrieoPxIS6nmTIbiiL

{"NO": 914.2526929302564, "YES": 1623.3260520771664}

0.5056155477879167

will-volodomyr-zelenskyy-be-in-powe

6510.803727703087

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

1767225540000

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0

9.150291307229569

False

basic

public

1668177387867

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.08962717388453645}

0

{"creatorFee": 16.831865008280676, "platformFee": 1.7649570902649252, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1375

njmkw

1719304038459

0

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

1

90

1

https://firebasestorage.…405-9d78c3811f33

17

[{"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1668195161740}, {"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668177463220}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "p...

["politics-default", "ukraine", "wars", "how-it-ends", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.10282469701269988

0.5

1719304035396

1692563442558

False

0.21018181225147753

ND5OXLNKMFrSRvCLQPST

{"NO": 972.3480537110105, "YES": 1040.4352468900686}

0.19916673334332724

in-2024-legislators-in-at-least-one

501.36053997470145

In 2024, a US state will override its presidential election result to send different elector(s) to the electoral college

1736184180000

sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1

cpmm-1

0

9.67179660923911

False

basic

public

1668177993035

Martin Randall

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if a legislator, judge, or governor in at least one US state successfully overrides its presidential election result to send at least one different elector to the electoral college than the electors selected by the voters in that state...

BINARY

{"day": 8.326672684688674e-17, "week": 8.326672684688674e-17, "month": 8.326672684688674e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.13521000638145989, "platformFee": 0.13521000638145989, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

MartinRandall

1713901740887

0

https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b

14

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…166-7be3169a3042

9

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668177993350}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1713901737345

1668192757477

0.8021586994752462

8lykGqpSX4QY4AgVwsMV

{"NO": 18993.135610815752, "YES": 121.26693835594945}

1

conditional-on-democrats-winning-th

22246.436411841903

Conditional on Democrats winning the Arizona and Nevada Senate races, will a Democrat win the Georgia Senate race?

1670383898606

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

1.8793118186858537

True

play

YES

public

1668179296748

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 11, 10:08am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Conditional on Democrats winning the Arizona and Nevada Senate races, will the win the Georgia Senate race?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Conditional on Democrats winni...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670383898606

390

AndrewG

1670383758497

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…02b-eb4e2a9334df

21

[{"name": "US 2022 Elections", "slug": "us-2022-elections", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "MQJlM8CKTiJHD3HcyW0C", "createdTime": 1669078634089}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 16690786323...

["us-politics", "us-2022-midterms", "politics-default", "us-2022-elections", "2022-georgia-runoffs"]

0.5

1670383758295

1668374710327

0.9984277592385149

0.6150120453061207

Gk0rSk3vqy1RvqQn9smz

{"NO": 1099.9725747383109, "YES": 1163.1279903655159}

0.6017116573918484

will-vladimir-putin-be-in-power-at

3661.091000876517

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

1767225540000

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0.17952912782890693

9.456245974542231

False

basic

public

1668179311293

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.012292032565310862}

0

{"creatorFee": 3.7647450204242943, "platformFee": 1.4483241770157929, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1155

njmkw

1719415589435

1.9

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

2

77

1

https://firebasestorage.…377-b1357baffa67

30

[{"name": "How It Ends", "slug": "how-it-ends", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "InKUlX3nJIQnJr550GCs", "createdTime": 1668251548948}, {"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668179311534}, {"name": "Politic...

["ukraine", "how-it-ends", "politics-default", "putin-assassination-markets", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.14210660145522894

0.5

1719415586250

1694372682832

False

tGCgyhkDZvjPECAYMBQz

if-more-than-25-of-twitter-users-le

221

If more than 25% of twitter users leave, where will they go?

1646179140000

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.7596718373214

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668180533809

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes March 1", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680109780624

500.00000000000006

NathanpmYoung

1672656653338

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

7

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "d0db3881a6d0", "prob": 0.09704874758591242, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.4296255799201427, "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 22.605479358134993, "textFts": "", "contractId": "tGCgyhkDZvjPECAYMBQz", "createdTime": 1668180534268, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0...

1

https://firebasestorage.…7ba-6c0022a31b15

9

[{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668180534097}]

["twitter"]

1671741833885

1672656650487

True

0.6210665783371956

7d7A5S7QmkFHMCHDDyeL

{"NO": 135.38461538461536, "YES": 41.666666666666714}

0

i-will-refrain-from-doing-anything-d9286b419c4a

105

I will refrain from doing anything Manifold-related on Mon-Fri between 00:00 and 08:00 EST

1668408164861

Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2

cpmm-1

0

4.120092777256609

True

play

NO

public

1668180818282

Jenny

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if I do any of the following:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On manifold itself: bet, comment, create markets, resolve markets.", "typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668408164861

70

Jenny

1668408187585

0

https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…b6c-7b02b59f7d64

3

[{"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ISVja50LAxuGN0QqycWz", "createdTime": 1668181458864}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 16681...

["personal-goals", "commitment-devices", "sleep-management"]

0.5

1668182926827

1668408174100

0.8419083255378845

0.750383537546054

E7I5zPsE3JRVwBNPe3rO

{"NO": 1112.584300451397, "YES": 953.8648811865932}

0.7780912646909013

will-the-russiaukraine-war-conclude

158

Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?

1767225540000

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0

9.610760124820505

False

basic

public

1668181262575

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-12-31 6:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010145958196731142}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.7505601566339696, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

njmkw

1717742244038

0

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

2

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…dda-7686460ad801

11

[{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668181371120}, {"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1668181262854}, {"name": "How It Ends", "slug":...

["wars", "ukraine", "how-it-ends", "ancient-markets"]

0.5

1717742240878

1680978257686

0.34217920606176677

LIbGSquc6FTmXUnIML4X

{"NO": 410.96713184733164, "YES": 17450.797467872573}

0

will-lav-come-back-on-destinys-stre

44345.79266041779

Will Lav come back on Destiny's stream within a week?

1668833940000

WWUL09hRnWfQ73a7RWA7ceCBy1K3

cpmm-1

0

0.6451715954696806

True

basic

NO

public

1668181648726

Voiture

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Destiny must be live and Lav must say at least 1 sentence with Destiny there.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668885263458

1970

Voiture

1668843050025

0

https://firebasestorage.…df1-682fdc0176cc

205

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a7a-4f117be420c6

160

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WWUL09hRnWfQ73a7RWA7ceCBy1K3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668181649006}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668833157126

1668843047501

0.012101801399614434

0.19267510342872388

GhEsQAhr4zuswrDdCchj

{"NO": 400.1047553853024, "YES": 2495.6515979979586}

0

will-daniel-dan-saltzman-participat

3206.1913951367874

Will Daniel 'Dan' Saltzman participate in the canvassing event for Georgia?

1670391945847

dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1

cpmm-1

0

1.206526111041629

True

play

NO

public

1668182207663

dgg4life

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Market will resolve YES if Dan participates either physically in Georgia or helps out monetarily. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670391945847

590

dgg4life

1710218539183

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0cl9W_jtIc65nUZvn008LXYBvT6wDWcmmulTyZ=s96-c

29

0

https://firebasestorage.…bad-76fb8dbdd4e6

26

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "2022 Georgia Runoffs", "slug": "2022-georgia-runoffs", "groupId": "TdE6khkHIRpYbjH6kYp7"}]

["destinygg", "2022-georgia-runoffs"]

0.5

1670384942135

1668182302883

0.036851916378166635

0.6224975866215976

qdNFx6C3oOnXo9wMvo8k

{"NO": 148.75175538669257, "YES": 7199.301856218573}

0

will-destiny-talk-to-nick-fuentes-o

16009.105997512304

Will Destiny talk to Nick Fuentes on stream again in 2022

1672527540000

0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2

cpmm-1

0

0.8625315753671545

True

basic

NO

public

1668182415476

Ravaen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes: Destiny will talk to Nick Fuentes live on his stream before January 1 2023", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No: He wont", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672700362698

1970

Ravaen

1685820552233

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sqrn-O0c9W9Dp8dtXfhuctNGZhRB4SQ5BBPPPuQ=s96-c

99

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…2ea-4ffa17dd02ce

76

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "0DydWX8lTfWYizav0j6vRtM4zHy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668182415760}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672022217016

1685820547293

0.03

0.7078027306715226

4t0sHX168CGgCqit7QZ7

{"NO": 931.8548124620806, "YES": 40.08048985444816}

1

will-democrat-marie-gluesenkamp-per

832.9174163864712

Will Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez beat Joe Kent for House in WA-3?

1668301300290

HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433

cpmm-1

0

4.426492869880559

True

play

YES

public

1668182942560

Conflux

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The FiveThirtyEight forecast only gave her a 2% chance (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/washington/3/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.f...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668301300290

110

Conflux

1668301371660

0

https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17

6

0

https://firebasestorage.…bfd-ea2d7d200bbb

7

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668182942833}, {"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 1668182963159}]

["us-politics", "us-2022-midterms"]

0.5

1668300235963

1668301371088

0.9825536350006142

0.8606018876542868

mXMdrV8bWrcCE8xOjebl

{"NO": 588.3305646734354, "YES": 253.35729917662243}

1

destiny-will-reach-15000-live-viewe

1187.1610370548806

Destiny will reach 15000 live viewers at some point between the creation of this poll and the end of the year

1669922570925

rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2

cpmm-1

0

2.226154558839269

True

play

YES

public

1668184453194

Jojo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "poll ends at midnight miami timezone 31.12.2022 or once he hits the specified amount.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669922570925

330

jojomonsta

1669921759327

0

https://firebasestorage.…080-8aedf1f74f37

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…523-deb685d78057

17

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668184453450}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1669921759162

1669919263566

0.9347947067322356

0.5585738178090423

rqTY9R2xlIAmucxhbbgH

{"NO": 104.18045687529892, "YES": 49.47833150187529}

0

starting-today-friday-will-i-do-at-47ceb2ebff99

81.819543124701

Starting today (Friday), will I do at least one pomodoro of work on at least 8 of the next 9 days?

1668704309418

7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1

cpmm-1

0

3.7092853674060953

True

play

NO

public

1668184600064

Charlie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For my personal notes, this is actually a '9 of the next 10 days' goal that I've already done 1 day toward.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668704309418

70

Charlie

1668535870759

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…f2c-4bc950ab416f

2

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668184600446}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1668535870616

1668532573460

0.7271014113040642

0.27385253129045783

bj19XQSy30EZnnneSY9s

{"NO": 115.40214674918492, "YES": 377.9281847330174}

0.10326660121258865

will-the-transfer-of-tokenised-lp-i

222.15569380907576

Will the transfer of tokenised LP interests become a common liquidity path for LPs by 2030?

1924977600000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668185886441

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves positively according to my subjective judgment if an active secondary market of tokenised LP interests develops by 12/31/2030. As a rule of thumb, a \"yes\" resolution requires the frequent transfer of tokenised LP interests by institution...

BINARY

{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

CarsonGale

1683128926355

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

0

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…952-32c907f063ac

4

[{"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 1670347328606}, {"name": "Secondary Private Equity", "slug": "secondary-private-equity", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "vfs3YP4g4Ad0ZNK1IELS", "creat...

["secondary-private-equity", "private-markets", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.5

1683128926215

1668185988125

0.22973671508215457

u2pFgxac7JEtCS4szKPA

{"NO": 898.639164979782, "YES": 1338.4573474663996}

0.1668400786976266

will-coinbase-filed-for-bankruptcy

1243.6345532309977

Will Coinbase filed for bankruptcy in 2024?

1735689540000

m7pXnl9knhVqo0MWZrNruSRLhst1

cpmm-1

1.539095918623324e-16

9.672201014340851

False

basic

public

1668186747685

Joe

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.060951906334744926}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.788322881263461, "platformFee": 0.08042862753489938, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

joel777

1718273338096

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…1d0-25ace6264ef2

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…232-59fdcb693ac4

5

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "m7pXnl9knhVqo0MWZrNruSRLhst1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668186747946}, {"name": "Coinbase", "slug": "coinbase", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "9viY8H2UkL1mBhS8bAPd", "createdTime": 1686470982460}]

["crypto-speculation", "coinbase"]

0.09756323674891597

0.5

1718273334503

1668186816053

0.3882465412029638

0vBRiwiPm0MROqJRnLGs

{"NO": 231.40751415590682, "YES": 1552.9594579417753}

0

will-porn-be-banned-in-dgg-offline

3425.610356417122

Will P*rn be banned in dgg offline chat by the end of the year?

1672531140000

rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2

cpmm-1

0

1.0271139737640806

True

play

NO

public

1668186944450

Jojo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "can still resolve YES if nsfw is allowed. nsfw might be allowed without porn.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 11, 6:17pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Porn be banned in dgg offline chat by the end of the y...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672531549157

490

jojomonsta

1672239440882

0

https://firebasestorage.…080-8aedf1f74f37

25

0

1

18

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668186944676}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672239440675

1669498220698

0.09

0.2692395725014121

eyL2eTqdJ55BXaMyGlWJ

{"NO": 61.4205916612334, "YES": 4029.674740048361}

0

will-the-final-difference-in-the-ne

5941.951543794191

Will the final difference in the Nevada senate midterm election be larger than 20K votes (about 2%) in favor of the Democrat?

1668829667777

946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2

cpmm-1

0

3.622423242454662

True

play

NO

public

1668187227226

JAAM

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Democrat candidate (Catherine Cortez Masto) obtains at least 20,000 more votes than the Republican candidate (Adam Laxalt) at the end of the count for the Nevada midterm elections.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668829667777

230

egroj

1668829625520

0

https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…b07-671e6b3d2667

10

[{"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 1668187227504}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181869998}]

["us-2022-midterms", "us-politics"]

0.5

1668829625429

1668785777717

False

0.007407287242170454

0.26139653729225487

7LCIQXS8FUWXVdgCmnWB

{"NO": 847.3763373662914, "YES": 21315.155457750076}

0

will-anavoir-be-on-stream-within-th

26339.05706732349

Will Anavoir be on stream within the next week?

1668815940000

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

0.43308901347264905

True

basic

NO

public

1668187335475

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Anavoir make an appearance on Destiny's stream by the end of Friday 18th November?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "TRIAD", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668817962706

2040

Cooley

1668811260877

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

120

0

https://firebasestorage.…b65-7ff8d599b995

101

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668187335776}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668811260736

1668549392594

0.013874221720337249

0.01847592374956683

UV475RFaPutnpTRKOVJN

{"NO": 427.8149781420992, "YES": 797.253407763462}

0.009999999999999804

will-dustin-moscovitz-be-involved-i

1333.0691394547284

Will Dustin Moskovitz be responsible for a fraud scandal before 2024?

1668438225647

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

7.056327645238931

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668187656359

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves \"Yes\" if the named individual is found guilty in court. Or if there is a community concensus that includes me with a 99% confidence that they have done fraud. eg credible accusations with evidence from credible sources. ", "type": "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668438225647

490

NathanpmYoung

1668437864338

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…525-fa2210048ff6

16

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668188017556}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1668437864237

1668213720381

0.00999999999999981

0.03133245501463529

55x6pbbGCYhbtZOuGNAI

{"NO": 103.13801366539488, "YES": 805.8911366233507}

0.004122569157081866

will-cari-tuna-be-involved-in-a-fra

1164.3877365221165

Will Cari Tuna be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

1668438192449

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668187674758

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves \"Yes\" if the named individual is found guilty in court.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If there is no court judgement but I am 99% confident that they have done fraud (eg credible accusat...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668438192449

150

NathanpmYoung

1668390833672

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…54b-9e453cd4ec7b

7

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668188184048}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1668390833567

1668187766624

0.004122569157081866

0.12083022032561935

kJf7VsQeMVvJ1Oa9hfZR

{"NO": 511.9512207344416, "YES": 1624.089387793255}

0.04152432356385628

will-william-macaskill-be-involved

2151.7984193195443

Will William MacAskill be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

1668438197654

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

1.544607873607682

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668187712085

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves \"Yes\" if the named individual is found guilty in court.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If there is no court judgement but I am 99% confident that they have done fraud (eg credible accusat...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668438197654

610

NathanpmYoung

1668702887384

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

31

0

https://firebasestorage.…843-fc58fc620129

30

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668187962995}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1668420486938

1668702886594

0.041524323563856005

0.9165604079817293

KzsGSdWdOF8aPBwPDSQT

{"NO": 653.9999999999998, "YES": 83.80752350781952}

1

will-anyone-actually-bet-on-my-mark

918.7269397269398

Will anyone actually bet on my market?

1668273490425

O4WCCjcvzVUtSNS6VUtAq1q1eMr1

cpmm-1

0

9.567632542063205

True

play

YES

public

1668187866553

Graeme Currie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668273490425

130

GraemeCurrie

1668273474432

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3aFYZFM1eRR37ixgRH88c4OeLPkuFqI6gc1N43yJ8=s96-c

5

0

https://firebasestorage.…6bb-25edf8c9ad67

6

[]

0.5

1668273474289

1668188015630

0.9862115591869276

0.03853021061734017

WRQuBYQ9huj6ibmLBjEw

{"NO": 465.2551444136701, "YES": 2030.1608857213819}

0.009100309457824259

will-matt-yglesias-be-involved-in-a

1908.83710074608

Will Matt Yglesias be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

1668438186009

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

5.102960160037336

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668188206210

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves \"Yes\" if the named individual is found guilty in court.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If there is no court judgement but I am 99% confident that they have done fraud (eg credible accusat...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668438186009

530

NathanpmYoung

1668418693714

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…c98-9f92871106ed

22

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668188206393}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1668418693528

1668417551403

0.00910030945782422

0.05636911182226294

kcjCC8sA6Z46I7yggeB6

{"NO": 875.4245631197939, "YES": 1876.8961307590137}

0.027107070169599682

will-vitalik-be-involved-in-a-fraud

1765.3832293773385

Will Vitalik Buterin be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

1668438125045

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

1.4382642896295375

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668191562247

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves \"Yes\" if the named individual is found guilty in court.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If there is no court judgement but I am 99% confident that they have done fraud (eg credible accusat...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668438125045

970

NathanpmYoung

1668812225551

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

34

0

https://firebasestorage.…e15-1fdf9f271329

34

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668191562524}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1668435998098

1668812224611

0.02710707016959968

0.32095919307580706

GkFnbagXnrJNUj0gDaZM

{"NO": 721.841814549289, "YES": 23634.670911446057}

0

will-the-russiaukraine-war-end-duri

31267.902840607723

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2023?

1704067140000

Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3

cpmm-1

0.03129649901423724

0.4104496189288387

True

basic

NO

public

1668192983953

Nicola Wilson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The war will be considered to have ended in 2023 if a ceasefire beginning in 2023 is not interrupted by further hostilities, even if a formal peace agreement or armistice is not signed in 2023. The war will not be considered to have ended in the ca...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704088485688

2295

njmkw

1704088486521

1.2

https://firebasestorage.…e12-2a05b9a967a2

7

138

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c16-e5bc59d6187b

56

[{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668193635544}, {"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1668192984235}, {"name": "How It Ends", "slug":...

["wars", "ukraine", "how-it-ends", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.18384473421375788

0.5

1704060785626

1674853404612

False

0.01

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

0.15504501922368719

sTDhwaoT1yygF2t7KMhu

{"NO": 340.2670131898968, "YES": 3383.613575399683}

0

will-reffectivealtruism-surpass-220

6600.088918852758

Will r/EffectiveAltruism surpass 22,000 subscribers by Nov 20, 2022?

1668902340000

hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2

cpmm-1

0

1.6962505879722745

True

play

NO

public

1668193113374

Ammon Lam

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668922128428

550

AmmonLam

1668898885023

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c

29

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a1b-346bae9baee1

23

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668193113838}]

["effective-altruism"]

0.5

1668898884883

1668898158577

0.01811850721600306

0.23722876642978283

SqnrPzRL7PUbWZNdXUFD

{"NO": 216.45518046953055, "YES": 7299.5401149075915}

0

will-there-be-more-than-5-accounts

10493.442514839811

Will there be >5 stories of money donated by FTX/FTX Foundation (etc) being frozen or threatened to be before July 2023?

1689811140000

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0.06312927446141994

1.6188165791617526

True

play

NO

public

1668193231931

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "So we need to hear 5 independent credible accounts of money that was donated by FTX/FTX Foundation or other assocatied orgs either bieng frozen or officially threatened to be frozen by July 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1690803170248

570

NathanpmYoung

1690759117052

1.3

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

29

0

3

20

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668193232191}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1...

["crypto-speculation", "effective-altruism"]

0.16632367738881793

0.5

1689742191402

1690759114929

0.01

0.7538878347744643

ymEtCjGdILK7vx8rlIVy

{"NO": 1718.7775821805835, "YES": 1520.8807624596782}

0.7758736835854928

righttobeararmslol-stock-permanent

5622.771150757081

RightToBearArmsLOL Stock (Permanent)

33217163036437

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

5.141663556502657

False

basic

public

1668193527412

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent Market for RightToBearArmsLOL.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*UNCONFIRMED REPORTS SELLING THIS STOCK MAY RESULT IN A BAN", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "*...

STONK

{"day": 0.0006622699840230784, "week": 0.004705309522216594, "month": 0.02138459288169381}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.832463176630841, "platformFee": 2.2007286683915637, "liquidityFee": 0}

5

1585

Cooley

1720211860856

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

81

1

https://firebasestorage.…721-4dae34ff74ab

58

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1720211857743

1668630343355

False