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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.6734878554038437 | Z5qrXXC8kXh7MXOfy1yA | {"NO": 364.70987589469564, "YES": 157.58151821774578} | 0.8268066250148611 | joshua-stonk | 1308.6814533480442 | Joshua (STONK:JOSH) Stock | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711518372993 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Buy = Good", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Short = Bad", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market trades based on sent... | STONK | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.12387126926238258, "platformFee": 0.12387126926238258, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | KeenenW | 1716338456660 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1711518611522}, {"name": "Meme Stocks", "slug": "meme-stocks", "groupId": "524e08a3-3589-4267-9009-818d6c89cfa4", "createdTime": 1711849087661}, {"name": "⬆️Stonks", "slug": "stonks", "groupId": "e9b7496b-92b1-... | ["permanent-markets", "meme-stocks", "stonks", "investment-stonks", "-manifans", "joshua", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "goat-stocks", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | 1713658386736 | 1714518160697 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7717590506277712 | ToPNzgY9C2StVZ6e1aCC | {"NO": 770.0439993994302, "YES": 525.2964118118498} | 1 | nof1-blinded-experiment-will-15mg-m | 636.2793843380379 | N-of-1 Blinded Experiment: Will 1.5mg melatonin reduce the time it takes for me to fall asleep? | 1712156340000 | 1sijsmnt55W2PMN7Mb8KAbcMG1w1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8837880450511638 | True | play | YES | public | 1711522251425 | Luis Costigan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NOTE: I'm running this experiment with ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "n1.tools", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://n1.tools", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.16787605226657276} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712211015794 | 600 | LuisCostigan | 1712156340000 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1667972330509 | 0 | [{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1711522251629}, {"name": "N-of-1", "slug": "nof1", "groupId": "d8e4aee1-1d35-4239-b909-141fe0805408", "createdTime": 1711522251686}] | ["science-default", "nof1"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712149749380 | 1712210996701 | 0.83 | 1sijsmnt55W2PMN7Mb8KAbcMG1w1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2728741552499108 | oitOJWqGO2buuX5ChqcC | {"NO": 80.67862687179674, "YES": 524.6851805608627} | 0.054556690311913375 | does-there-exist-at-least-1-pair-of | 365 | Does there exist at least 1 pair of humans which can telepathically communicate through a faraday cage? | 1925099940000 | 5QTPjTh8KwZM4DqmXsHxalkpeMb2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711522637321 | Louis | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Faraday cage, meant in the good faith interpretation (i.e. different rooms, at least one participant in a proper faraday cage, no pipe for passing messages, etc.)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.011974386175752957} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3148194391373458, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | louis | 1719627733355 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700252604841 | 0 | [{"name": "Physics", "slug": "physics-a6878c3ad095", "groupId": "92473248-f029-4aca-bc21-094d95940b06", "createdTime": 1711522637464}, {"name": "🧠 Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "groupId": "fxiwfHfrTmac3tKJyehm", "createdTime": 1711522637467}] | ["physics-a6878c3ad095", "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719627730285 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4489563986996397 | HfYtXu4mIUAXxuepAhyx | {"NO": 447.38887281355517, "YES": 458.6294571911405} | 0.4428255256668929 | will-paul-walker-be-in-fast-11 | 271.25839477493594 | Will Paul Walker be in Fast 11? | 1714172340000 | tb37LeCVPGPwEHCl02kENfsqUV43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711524990927 | Iyoha Gideon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0753871331630142, "platformFee": 0.0753871331630142, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 455 | IyohaGideon | 1714170926329 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711325914777 | 0 | [{"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711524991336}, {"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1711524991343}] | ["entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "hollywood"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714170923035 | 1711560010599 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | DXWznK9FPO0p5aLXmgQD | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-the-fourth-austin-powers-movie | 0 | Will the fourth Austin Powers movie release before Grand Theft Auto 6? | 1711550995669 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.726376370574009 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1711549481533 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Austin Powers 4 is reportedly still in development", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://screenrant.com/austin-powers-4-movie-release-date-story-updates/"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711550995669 | 100 | strutheo | 1711550995669 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | True | 0 | [{"name": "Comedy", "slug": "comedy", "groupId": "5422cc5a-ad91-46f9-89d4-be7ecbc9dcd8", "createdTime": 1711549481690}, {"name": "GTA 6", "slug": "gta-6", "groupId": "6ab20df4-8fbd-4b73-baf6-c291f9c72566", "createdTime": 1711549481691}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "created... | ["comedy", "gta-6", "movies", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "hollywood", "gta", "television-film", "grand-theft-auto"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2Xx57wg0JrAG98XTgnAB | which-elon-musk-company-will-ipo-ne | 190.13456191173373 | Which Elon Musk company will IPO next? | 1893473940000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711549501493 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1707360045983317, "platformFee": 0.1707360045983317, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 435 | BTE | 1715172553546 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "deea9428b1f7", "prob": 0.10413921574209856, "text": "SpaceX", "index": 0, "poolNo": 24.772073516744676, "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 213.10251906798226, "textFts": "'spacex':1", "contractId": "2Xx57wg0JrAG98XTgnAB", "createdTime": 1711549501493, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711549501755}, {"name": "IPOs 2024", "slug": "ipos-2024", "groupId": "f3566d1b-c580-44c9-867c-44e7563729b4", "createdTime": 1711549501761}, {"name": "IPO valuation", "slug": "ipo-valuation", "groupId": "wXtixY... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "ipos-2024", "ipo-valuation"] | 0.25 | 1715172550222 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIHAQykcrurxBUbHW9rc | who-will-win-the-2028-republican-pr | 6043.285217137152 | Who will win the 2028 Republican primary? | 1846101540000 | FT0QZbmOSabA0gCfDiOZZxR6Ycu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711549638277 | Liam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there’s not gonna be a 2028 Republican primary, all money will be returned with no winnings. Nobody will lose money as well.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.358107047369476, "platformFee": 0.9506346284950573, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 2937.5 | Liam2024Election | 1720022419725 | 0 | 52 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "d9458b131919", "prob": 0.10606291155609299, "text": "Donald Trump", "index": 0, "poolNo": 117.17637257432567, "userId": "FT0QZbmOSabA0gCfDiOZZxR6Ycu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 987.6054107576845, "textFts": "'donald':1 'trump':2", "contractId": "RIHAQykcrurxBUbHW9rc", "createdTime": 1711549638277, "probCha... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711498117629 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711549638521}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1711549638524}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "gr... | ["politics-default", "elections", "2024-us-presidential-election", "geopolitics", "us-politics", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1720022416332 | 1711562863338 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
l1q2KL9A6BlXyUbiUZTX | -during-which-official-federal-rese-23e8f945caac | 2265.861606257353 | 👨🏻💼 During Which Official 2024 FOMC Meetings Will They Raise Rates? | 1722448800000 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711549640812 | SirCryptomind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "👨🏻💼 During Which Official FOMC Meetings Will They Raise Rates?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024 FOMC Meetings", "type": "text", "marks":... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.68094517138432, "platformFee": 4.938308074824452, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 545 | SirCryptomind | 1718223751732 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0e37d564b681", "prob": 0.01, "text": "April/May 2024 Meeting", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.905297522932822, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1208.335077062061, "textFts": "'2024':2 'april/may':1 'meet':3", "contractId": "l1q2KL9A6BlXyUbiUZTX", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId"... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673375788573 | 0 | [{"name": "Monetary Policy", "slug": "monetary-policy", "groupId": "oJ2sEwn985io95dLwJhp", "createdTime": 1711549641064}, {"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1711549641063}, {"name": "Jerome Powell", "slug": "jerome-powell", "groupId": "44a40088-2c37-... | ["monetary-policy", "federal-reserve", "jerome-powell", "economics-default", "fomc"] | 0.25 | 1718196844237 | 1718189766544 | False | old | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14139887462277143 | iZJGP35kdgdvkSGD9hk6 | {"NO": 922.9076284350938, "YES": 1272.9090638877453} | 0.10666670442668377 | will-donald-trumps-twitter-account-77f7b6c1f188 | 432.91224046866193 | Will Donald Trump's twitter account be hacked by the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.95688756333113 | False | basic | public | 1711549673444 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -0.007648284918303855, "month": -0.007648284918303855} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.931476423462138, "platformFee": 0.295378404613136, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BTE | 1719666956112 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1711549673657}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711549673656}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdT... | ["twitter", "donald-trump", "magaland"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719666952951 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45224937261005915 | 1rhemh7eNzUBtQtsRkjS | {"NO": 220.1768356075507, "YES": 175.5281731639596} | 0.5087603719170267 | will-china-announce-a-second-milita | 100.190860419526 | Will China announce a second military base in Africa by the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711550349104 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1702738555793016, "platformFee": 0.1702738555793016, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | BTE | 1715979635210 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "Africa", "slug": "africa", "groupId": "dFsZaGwyohGDVkJi1C3E", "createdTime": 1711550349270}, {"name": "📈 Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1711550349260}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 17115503... | ["africa", "global-macro", "china"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715979631836 |
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