p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.39589572078550844 | K3XEHcPBl7YU7Ra5ENli | {"NO": 128.7072183305775, "YES": 365.50529877884264} | 0.18750007714195904 | will-the-european-badger-meles-mele | 194.65159746525754 | Will the European Badger (Meles meles) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711574253275 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The European Badger, a.k.a. Eurasian Badger is a carnivorous mammal native to Europe, West Asia and parts of Central Asia. This market will resolve YES if the European Badger is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not d... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9215518779499303, "platformFee": 0.9215518779499303, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326851829 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-988e-28474c7761f2", "createdTime": 1711574253516}, {"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUlwMWPfYQLuh", "createdTime": 1711574253533}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab... | ["environment-243810591da2", "zoology", "animals", "biodiversity", "extinction-risk"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326848515 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7659775412775535 | RivPRQ7WSjfxepzOGQ9L | {"NO": 2772.845591641893, "YES": 398.07181488693624} | 1 | will-this-poll-get-20-participants | 2370.9343274658117 | Will this poll get 20+ participants this week? | 1711651029374 | hKURbhPsW2VpezOdAAisTTCIBLn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9506593774519172 | True | play | YES | public | 1711574583270 | And_Che | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711651029374 | 670 | Andchebot | 1711651029374 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703165788425 | 0 | [{"name": "Statistics", "slug": "statistics", "groupId": "5a0a1696-a330-4a0c-8ad5-a90208ab3984", "createdTime": 1711574583539}, {"name": "probability", "slug": "probability", "groupId": "6801b495-7a44-40b3-b717-0fb4536c25b6", "createdTime": 1711574583575}] | ["statistics", "probability"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711648726023 | 1711638474443 | 0.96 | hKURbhPsW2VpezOdAAisTTCIBLn2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.504598865884726 | Quv22rQVvTI9UWM9OLFj | {"NO": 195.4324711126596, "YES": 204.0654444670281} | 0.4937928531880181 | will-the-bitcoin-topic-icon-be-chan | 75.00698104145255 | Will the Bitcoin topic Icon be changed before end of 2024? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711575724375 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FQnXJCWKspv.png?alt=media&token=efba040a-4265-4f91-9c91-751e2f34934a", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | KeenenW | 1711822055984 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1711575724597}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1711575724599}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "created... | ["bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin-maxi", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711822051842 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3598512958458022 | 8W61LwogfUELpeAzpiwm | {"NO": 161.36474628784524, "YES": 190.1029207907519} | 0.3230242779266842 | will-the-reindeer-aka-karibou-rangi | 366.856804811278 | Will the Reindeer, a.k.a. Karibou (Rangifer tarandus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711575977240 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Reindeer is a species of deer with circumpolar distribution, native to Northern Europe, Siberia and Northern America. This market will resolve YES if the Reindeer is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.519657825234121, "platformFee": 4.519657825234121, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326834194 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUlwMWPfYQLuh", "createdTime": 1711575977388}, {"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-988e-28474c7761f2", "createdTime": 1711575977386}, {"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4a... | ["zoology", "environment-243810591da2", "extinction-risk", "animals", "biodiversity"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326830901 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7913066111217927 | b5DMxuF14YYRQwwx8DKm | {"NO": 6183.6210416526355, "YES": 236.83384970629868} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-the-n-63e242133c1a | 5965.656830093394 | Will Jimmy Carter live to see the next Bitcoin Halving? | 1713575887856 | qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6012127042024487 | True | play | YES | public | 1711576254289 | Chris 🥌 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010000000000000231} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713575887856 | 520 | chris | 1713575887856 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11 | 25 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697241046761 | 0 | [{"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1711576254467}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1711576254477}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "creat... | ["jimmy-carter", "death-markets", "bitcoin", "longevity"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713565763140 | 1713575498542 | 0.99 | qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JvtK2Q3vMcvDyRc4GdIy | which-gum-is-better | 0 | Which gum is better: | QMuCGQcrWjYSu15RiD3Hpwz185f1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1711577340218 | user | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | userd358 | 1711635502418 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLGJcK_KDSYb13mt1YUeTq-YTICsZ1NhujmF2wAfbKy=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711503272330 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1711577340381}] | ["culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1711635501981 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13953398920367915 | dlTBFnvJfBG3CI6RRww2 | {"NO": 876.1073067348858, "YES": 1568.5750526186596} | 0.08305075533547022 | will-notch-release-his-new-game-in | 771 | will notch release his new game in 2024? | 1735642740000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.0153827406586 | False | basic | public | 1711577738561 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "any kind of public release counts, even if it's an alpha or beta release.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "this market is about this game:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt"... | BINARY | {"day": -9.71445146547012e-17, "week": -9.71445146547012e-17, "month": -9.71445146547012e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jim | 1712812407229 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711577818489}, {"name": "Minecraft", "slug": "minecraft", "groupId": "9IAVIiHYWuwH9S47UErq", "createdTime": 1711577823382}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711577... | ["gaming", "minecraft", "video-games"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712812404021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10767841812094106 | 1Q0buViDkH9D4YgvQ0u1 | {"NO": 188.11264398651582, "YES": 314.99999999999983} | 0.06721933892776867 | will-daniel-kahneman-has-died-make | 115 | Will "Daniel Kahneman has died" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711579266563 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": -4.163336342344337e-17, "week": -4.163336342344337e-17, "month": -4.163336342344337e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | LessWrong | 1711634421651 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1711579266783}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1711634418353 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5434416019519049 | GN0kAu1eJkUaOo6j8Dqp | {"NO": 12.478597827873045, "YES": 1048.7435411159472} | 0 | will-i-attend-lessonlinemanifest-20 | 1011.6388511523973 | Will I attend LessOnline/Manifest 2024? | 1717935781378 | k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1711579559978 | Mikhail Samin⚡️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.3400000000000001} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.225579679195036, "platformFee": 0.311357818718313, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717935781378 | 140 | ms | 1717935781378 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644678337190 | 0 | [{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1711579560213}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1711579560211}, {"name": "LessOnline", "slug": "lessonline", "groupId": "96d... | ["manifest", "manifest-2024", "lessonline"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717935774060 | 1714544108971 | 0.18 | k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1504308635891802 | IyXq6AVqElaa8X602hik | {"NO": 855.7830017156875, "YES": 1855.903718502084} | 0.07548495796551226 | dollar-tree-is-changing-their-price | 964.6903589350972 | Dollar Tree is changing their price cap to $7.00 per item. Will they be changing their name some time in 2024? | 1735707540000 | G3S3nhcGWhPU3WEtlUYbAH4tv7f1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.97983222834102 | False | basic | public | 1711580763423 | AGG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will close by 12/31/24, but if the change occurs before the end of the year, the question will be resolved earlier.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.009854607851466718} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.24974729354755, "platformFee": 0.1561752692712177, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AGG | 1718896585393 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1642521301647 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718896582330 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xS5lCHV4qQhVSRr1ZXVF | help-characterize-the-next-12-month | 0 | Help characterize the next 12 months of AI development and societal impact | 5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1711581382537 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Earn mana by posting a comment with your own insight on what the next year of AI will bring!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a new type of bounty that pays out every hour based on the ... | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | JamesGrugett | 1712009394101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9590018181055335 | ["T5erJmP3YxqauYC8wkNn", "kOGQ6smNdwVzGZddAqNK", "n9gW3udM8Wru4rYroLpI", "i04jse6OX3am4PQDoUK8", "ZYswU1Dz1K2CRekbiRg6", "qS2VpTHs9tvq0LXUnMhW", "NgD1UAFJ2cMDIYYAy5W4", "sXu6YmEFRLkZvw7gOeW2", "0L00TCr9q6VNgYH1DHNk", "94PNX8v4f6wYFEc12zNq", "V0g1UCXrSg3mL90LoqP1", "Kk0jZU86rlBcd5daycvq", "vEcWyc58B9la55QVXmyL", "SPecdO... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1639087027342 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711581382679}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711581382687}] | ["technology-default", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1712009393518 | 5055 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EcUlpphHN9Jn6HF02bqp | what-will-be-the-margin-of-victory-358f2d6de686 | 1339.7775927006778 | What will be the margin of victory in Maryland's 2024 Senate election? | 1735707540000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711581425753 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3008677553100374, "platformFee": 2.757617815220725, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1719658402521 | 0 | 10 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "02e78ad96a72", "prob": 0.15210758029167862, "text": "D+20 or higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 86.94641344002596, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 484.6648979311704, "textFts": "'+20':2 'd':1 'higher':4", "contractId": "EcUlpphHN9Jn6HF02bqp", "createdTime": 1711581425753, "pr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711581426075}, {"name": "2024 US Senate Election", "slug": "2024-us-senate-election", "groupId": "b18c1643-00e7-46e7-896c-e130ffc5d731", "createdTime": 1711581426076}, {"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-el... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-senate-election", "2024-us-election", "elections", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1719658398166 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49053655913956196 | JzVQ78trfwh3FsKypMJO | {"NO": 208.08191069779065, "YES": 231.32937702390169} | 1 | texas-rangers-beat-chicago-cubs-on | 184.5289911696887 | Texas Rangers beat Chicago Cubs on March 28? | 1711677600000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4699708972661814 | True | play | YES | public | 1711581683213 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/KeenenWatts/major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711683210975 | 220 | KeenenW | 1711677600000 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1711581683368}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1711581683370}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly"... | ["mlb", "sports-betting", "entertainment", "chicago-cubs", "texas-rangers", "sports-default", "baseball"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711673101944 | 0.46 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5621417080334495 | 6iZxLUp5mjdfbtBFksEh | {"NO": 3895.0925871627055, "YES": 8.864672511569937} | 1 | boston-red-sox-beat-seattle-mariner | 4363.626848840274 | Boston Red Sox beat Seattle Mariners on March 28? | 1711688340000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.547805808571218 | True | play | YES | public | 1711581968283 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/KeenenWatts/major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711688368169 | 260 | KeenenW | 1711688340000 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1711581968427}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1711581968431}, {"name": "Boston Red Sox", "slug": "boston-red-sox", "groupId": "b3f157ab-5a42-45ef-bd42-98aeb010f1f2",... | ["mlb", "sports-betting", "boston-red-sox", "entertainment", "baseball", "sports-default", "seattle-mariners"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711688125424 | 1 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19711716461665824 | 7Uj1EzBkXqve9dsKcfkm | {"NO": 85.58709171762327, "YES": 4243.169053078754} | 0 | colorado-rockies-beat-arizona-diamo | 5443.272586374675 | Colorado Rockies beat Arizona Diamondbacks on March 28? | 1711688210763 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.733784020670864 | True | play | NO | public | 1711582164457 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/KeenenWatts/major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711688210763 | 300 | KeenenW | 1711688210763 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1711582164625}, {"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1711582164630}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "c... | ["sports-default", "mlb", "entertainment", "arizona-diamondbacks", "sports-betting", "baseball", "colorado-rockies"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711687256877 | 1711683577060 | 0 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sgA9UtRVVRuyWcnVJhlr | how-many-years-will-sbf-get | 26340.751762929343 | How many years will SBF get? | 1711654049016 | PVUCsa7H4LT5lE7NsxCJ52XlGb22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | b1e4d8e771dd | public | 1711582284927 | Will Roehr | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711654049016 | 790 | WillRoehr | 1711654049016 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI20iz5DaGYETO5ZN_cjpNYG1pD1RulicfQzH-bdUUP=s96-c | 19 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "57406dc34fc3", "prob": 1.5786009896241464e-05, "text": "5-10", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.20041866568578912, "userId": "PVUCsa7H4LT5lE7NsxCJ52XlGb22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 12695.766896894365, "textFts": "'-10':2 '5':1", "contractId": "sgA9UtRVVRuyWcnVJhlr", "resolverId": "PVUCsa7H4LT5lE7NsxCJ52XlGb22", "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698175283203 | 0 | [{"name": "SBF", "slug": "sbf", "groupId": "svyYtbhviU1lv8aMS9E1", "createdTime": 1711582285249}, {"name": "Sam Bankman-Fried Trial (1st)", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1711582285261}, {"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTim... | ["sbf", "sbf-trial", "ftx"] | 0.25 | 1711651969972 | 1711651904639 | {"b1e4d8e771dd": 100} | PVUCsa7H4LT5lE7NsxCJ52XlGb22 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4578040795151177 | tPdjseGBw868qBobF6Cx | {"NO": 660.1956877514816, "YES": 3063.3107040939312} | 0.15395641344146876 | will-gpt-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pre | 71403.55190228226 | Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024? | 1730433540000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.445424516282664 | False | basic | public | 1711584253127 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If debate doesn't happen, resolves No. Any variation of \"GPT\" counts, GPT-4, ChatGPT, etc. Including moderators.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -0.01037660643342933, "week": -0.026043586558531312, "month": -0.24830595128592364} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 996.1907030690691, "platformFee": 525.1275603603502, "liquidityFee": 0} | 270.7572422866112 | 1340 | SemioticRivalry | 1720197097040 | 0 | 638 | 7 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1711584253280}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711584253282}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election"... | ["the-life-of-biden", "donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "politics-default", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720197093825 | 1719792983684 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tQrYgLJf97WwVCI2elWA | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-50 | 10 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 50) | 1711666740000 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711584356866 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711673358488 | 145 | komplexkonjugat | 1711673784414 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8a0fb522fa5d", "prob": 0.66, "text": "Move towards and/or attack the nearest neighbor.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 55.00000000000001, "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.061224489795904, "textFts": "'and/or':3 'attack':4 'move':1 'nearest':6 'neighbor':7 'toward':2", "contract... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1711584357036}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711584357048}] | ["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 1711666579066 | 1711673783966 | 0.66 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44846010594795516 | 4ipChlgNwljQxztkFhcU | {"NO": 607.1088018558752, "YES": 1832.4880476183234} | 0.21221649816442625 | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-super | 1305 | Will Jimmy Carter live to see Super Bowl LIX? | 1739163540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.733271340839401 | False | basic | public | 1711584527534 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He’s presumably a Falcon’s fan. Will Ol’ Jim get to see next year’s Super Bowl?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.751794758060369, "platformFee": 12.230388546969264, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1716904835386 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1711584527673}, {"name": "Death", "slug": "death", "groupId": "c3e79d12-8b00-473c-a37d-810c1e4bea30", "createdTime": 1711584527696}, {"name": "Super Bowl LIX", "slug": "super-bowl-lix", "groupId": "c181c8c9-155a-4f6... | ["death-markets", "death", "super-bowl-lix", "nfl", "super-bowl", "jimmy-carter", "longevity", "football"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716904831735 | 1711743130669 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MduCDvuYcBquCLGNxC0Z | manifoldplaysciv6-how-should-partia | 0 | ManifoldPlaysCiv6: How should partially failed aggregated instructions be handled | 1711666740000 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711584875261 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/komplexkonjugat/lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-49", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/komplexkonjugat/lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-49"... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711666741001 | komplexkonjugat | 1711666696482 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | 0.25 | 1711666695462 | ["49ae61a2af9c"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27750864131209246 | RtvEWxEya5mWyWmfJONs | {"NO": 87.3270964304052, "YES": 898.6936075497887} | 0.035980487738943016 | will-i-get-at-least-10-points-on-pi | 722.7604316651135 | Will I get at least 10 points on Pithee.com before the end of March? | 1712181540000 | tsLGbpzbvEZt0Y4tafpjAqCMQeF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7812059115768415 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1711585032695 | Noya | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Youtuber Jack from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "jacksfilms", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/user/jacksfilms", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decora... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 2.0816681711721685e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712219981914 | 200 | NoyaV | 1712220033127 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYZ0_H2vY9Mr8HoT1lAqx7RKtsu8hU7Lk1lx7Gr=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1679587233389 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1711585032849}] | ["youtube"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712181193420 | 1712220032088 | 0.04 | tsLGbpzbvEZt0Y4tafpjAqCMQeF2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sFsexhmLS5oMGPUOSS8e | ai-is | 0 | AI is | 1712228340000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711585171766 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712228340702 | jim | 1711910107751 | 0 | 135 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711585172014}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711585172012}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 17115851... | ["technology-default", "ai", "openai"] | 0.25 | 1711910107064 | ["960b01454f20"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
f9Kz68V4YkvkzMqrtDQu | billionaire-stonks | 247.60554708154757 | Billionaire Stonks | 253370793540000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711585262930 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trades on sentiment and never resolves. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More options can be added.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AmmonLam | 1712298166693 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "cb1b84063ffd", "prob": 0.03020602748308528, "text": "Bernard Arnault", "index": 0, "poolNo": 17.061347842336982, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 547.7712125428698, "textFts": "'arnault':2 'bernard':1", "contractId": "f9Kz68V4YkvkzMqrtDQu", "createdTime": 1711585262931, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1711585279008}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711585282627}] | ["business", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.25 | 1712298163375 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37862427449387037 | V5K63WVyR0U4bZyVT5Lm | {"NO": 105.9888446080663, "YES": 6393.659788990099} | 0 | will-another-tv-network-pick-up-ron | 7574.281554996588 | Will another TV network pick up Ronna McDaniel this month? | 1714190340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.328866252526561 | True | play | NO | public | 1711585287369 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NBC dropping former RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel as a contributor", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/nbc-dropping-former-rnc-chair-ronna-mcdaniel-contri... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010000000000000009} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.6597074891814705, "platformFee": 4.6597074891814705, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714190800938 | 520 | mattyb | 1714190340000 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1711585287637}, {"name": "RNC", "slug": "rnc", "groupId": "5ad6b829-4727-4c08-8f58-46829a186f05", "createdTime": 1711585287639}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3... | ["television-film", "rnc", "magaland", "news", "us-politics", "tv", "politics-default", "republican-party-dysfunction"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714164953634 | 1712792701154 | 0.01 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4FRNAMWGKqujQ0ADEkWs | best-number-stonks | 43.81607130578999 | Best Number Stocks | 253370793540000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711585425027 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trades on sentiment and never resolves. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More options can be added.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 595 | AmmonLam | 1712272301225 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "bb599cf2f6bf", "prob": 0.03877086143137439, "text": "1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.21694539030537, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 327.6819901079365, "textFts": "'1':1", "contractId": "4FRNAMWGKqujQ0ADEkWs", "createdTime": 1711585425028, "probChanges": {"day": 1.1796119636... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "Meme Stocks", "slug": "meme-stocks", "groupId": "524e08a3-3589-4267-9009-818d6c89cfa4", "createdTime": 1711585443829}] | ["meme-stocks"] | 0.25 | 1712172974175 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zvToFmTCPCu6QQANu4fE | when-is-agi-coming | 0 | When is AGI coming? | 1712228340000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711586359212 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712228340703 | jim | 1712665977389 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711586359363}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime": 1711586359360}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1... | ["technology-default", "agi", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1712665976873 | ["5ed0ddd819e5"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4811677994634789 | 8UQaR4eboauLKD2V4oN6 | {"NO": 123.22615060491795, "YES": 160.00000000000003} | 0.41665579196711594 | will-nsync-release-a-new-song-in-20 | 20 | Will *NSYNC release a new song in 2024? | 1735707540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711586785775 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*NSYNC has released a single song since going on hiatus in 2002, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Better Place", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://open.spotify.com/track/1bHnRc60O1N0l3PbHjaKyK?si=3u7XScNoRVWW4kvbh5Z... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | mattyb | 1714396534115 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711586785917}, {"name": "Albums", "slug": "albums", "groupId": "f6392778-adeb-48c7-9208-30569c411e42", "createdTime": 1711586785925}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", ... | ["entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "albums", "entertainment", "music-artists", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711652930223 | 1714396532125 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xh13CrAFDhFbjbAlqarz | live-what-will-happen-at-tonights-c-048c9db3a0bb | 70984.11733767792 | 🔴LIVE: What will happen at tonight's Coolfold poker night [ADD RESPONSES] | 1711611201961 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1711588023272 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711611201961 | 2640 | strutheo | 1711612219113 | 0 | 20 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "0300512746fc", "prob": 0.0041177733238499286, "text": "anyone gets 4 of a kind all night", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.496048269600138, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2054.7666914231045, "textFts": "'4':3 'anyon':1 'get':2 'kind':6 'night':8", "contractId": "xh13CrAFDhFbjbAl... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1711588023484}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1711588023491}, {"name": "Poker", "slug": "poker", "groupId": "kpUuJYWzvqtBO3Be0Xsx", "createdTime": 1711588023... | ["youtube", "manifold-users", "poker", "manifold-tv", "livestreaming", "coolfold", "manifold-6748e065087e", "live-betting"] | 0.25 | 1711611144579 | 1711612218443 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RmksKavTyrLQB2AwP3yM | what-year-will-earthblade-be-releas | 200 | What year will Earthblade be released? | 1830315540000 | Z9aZTIVJnUhuuq6utvNs9jSJiHu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711589310264 | Alyssa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Earthblade, the upcoming game by EXOK (developers of Celeste), has been subject to delays; the developers no longer anticipate much chance of its coming out in 2024, and have, as of their latest newsletter as of the creation of this market, not put... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 225 | Tulip | 1711721589801 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu_S1biLuCg60Z2_YY6AP1AB96QvecyAjv40j_2EHQ=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b186e9bbe778", "prob": 0.045272767192943125, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.331784460077421, "userId": "Z9aZTIVJnUhuuq6utvNs9jSJiHu2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 154.61511904663513, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "RmksKavTyrLQB2AwP3yM", "createdTime": 1711589310264, "probChanges": {"day": -1.3... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1663717371895 | 0 | [{"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711589310463}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711589310477}, {"name": "Release Dates", "slug": "release-dates", "groupId": "cc227156-11f9-445d-88cf-f6e760cbdb86"... | ["video-games", "gaming", "release-dates"] | 0.25 | 1711721586333 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2521088036568125 | 08E3UClFZZzoaaIAhkSJ | {"NO": 923.153408937728, "YES": 1182.185260011945} | 0.20837948815934704 | will-there-be-french-boots-on-the-g | 3647.5266858191744 | Will there be French boots on the ground in Ukraine by the end of 2024 | 1735707540000 | x26ewA0KzXdtmOQRAqsipUDS3Lk2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.628502586641218 | False | basic | public | 1711589314973 | ZeihanBot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.youtube.com/embed/bsU6gONt8Z8?si=pD-m7rEqp0LZ39hi", "frameBorder": 0}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.12910746926177447} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 64.03970392576869, "platformFee": 21.841766987311193, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ZeihanBot | 1719163104411 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1683160805701 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1711589315162}] | ["ukraine"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719163101337 | 1718642422769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
kV47O5cGsobJiaoup9L7 | what-will-lightcones-profits-be-fro | 603 | What will Lightcone's PnL be from running LessOnline? | 1711648438467 | FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711589642269 | Ricki Heicklen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LessOnline", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://less.online/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "target": "_b... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711648438467 | 780 | RickiHeicklen | 1711648574826 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "970b47d2868c", "prob": 0.32, "text": "$0 to $1000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 26.74525251857226, "userId": "FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.000000000000014, "textFts": "'0':1 '1000':3", "contractId": "kV47O5cGsobJiaoup9L7", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1657237863822 | 0 | [{"name": "Less Online", "slug": "less-online", "groupId": "b7c798db-e61f-4ccd-8c0a-27e72cb1fe1d", "createdTime": 1711589642690}, {"name": "LessWrong", "slug": "lesswrong", "groupId": "K0U4VlIwJhdyTp53mqVk", "createdTime": 1711589642697}, {"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-5... | ["less-online", "lesswrong", "manifest", "lessonline"] | 0.25 | 1711602925522 | 1711648529332 | 0.06 | FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602 | False | FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fd4QCkcybZjQkvo9bHZu | what-will-be-true-about-the-next-pe-e220f1a5e4b0 | 145.8132917181633 | What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]? | 1798779540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711589841100 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will be true about the next person successfully confirmed to the United States Supreme Court?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This person must be successfully confirmed by the Senate befo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.26784766401704563, "platformFee": 0.26784766401704563, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 465 | mattyb | 1713905548869 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1ef91f1c97fc", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Male", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'male':1", "contractId": "fd4QCkcybZjQkvo9bHZu", "createdTime": 1711589841100, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "subsidyPool": 0, "fsUpda... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713905545618 | False | liquidity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5697832502350363 | uthouFmMpB18sXVASFxs | {"NO": 681.3715758453259, "YES": 1321.9017073839184} | 0.40570440524205514 | will-any-of-trumps-trials-end-in-a | 2943.7909151813888 | Will any of Trump’s trials end in a hung jury? | 1725163140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.7203084415325 | False | basic | public | 1711590108806 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Donald Trump has 4 criminal trials coming up:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 6th case", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.005425039265931353, "month": -0.026851241366759482} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.272833318987384, "platformFee": 2.96431205673468, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1719863859912 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Law and Crime", "slug": "law-and-crime", "groupId": "5bfaa7f5-f5b9-445f-9ed0-7a3b7792d1c6", "createdTime": 1711590109043}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711590109093}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP... | ["law-and-crime", "donald-trump", "magaland", "jail", "us-politics", "trump-indictments", "donald-trump-abde6b743b74", "law-order", "prison-markets", "crime"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719863854531 | 1713354654628 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
saXMfzWv0o8pfcrpnLGq | when-will-claude-4-be-released | 120 | When will Claude 4 be released? | 1711591939455 | GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711590767521 | Yoav Tzfati | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If it becomes clear that Anthropic will never release a model called \"Claude 4\" (most likely due to a change in naming scheme), this resolves N/A. If \"other\" gets a lot of mana I'll add the rest of the months in 2025, then 2026.", "type": "text... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711627459834 | 340 | Crazytieguy | 1711627488783 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "202fd44fb884", "prob": 0.5, "text": "April 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 45, "userId": "GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 45, "textFts": "'2024':2 'april':1", "contractId": "saXMfzWv0o8pfcrpnLGq", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2", "createdTime": 1711... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1679943836171 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711590767760}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711590767753}] | ["technology-default", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1711591190676 | 1711627487860 | 0.5 | GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
unaGFbbk4JXQeSoUqQoo | when-will-software-engineer-salarie | 10 | When will software engineer salaries finally re-reach their 2021 levels (according to levels.fyi)? | 1711591146169 | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711590871858 | M.H. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When will ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "levels.fyi", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://levels.fyi", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711591146169 | 270 | MilfordHammerschmidt | 1711591303774 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "fd91c4b334a8", "prob": 0.3378378378378378, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.061224489795908, "userId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 55, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "unaGFbbk4JXQeSoUqQoo", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "cre... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668430553821 | 0 | [{"name": "Programming Automation", "slug": "programming-automation", "groupId": "cWNwyAspeBXqPZ4GoCn4", "createdTime": 1711590872171}] | ["programming-automation"] | 0.25 | 1711590967955 | 1711591302315 | 0.34 | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bw8NfKfY1ZhuyNhrxgy7 | when-will-software-engineers-inflat | 26.00000000000001 | When will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries finally re-reach their 2021 levels? | 1893563940000 | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711591095117 | M.H. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When will ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "levels.fyi", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://levels.fyi", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 350 | MilfordHammerschmidt | 1711595292731 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0a393edf315a", "prob": 0.10019399711104365, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 20.33996995439049, "userId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 182.66590405868016, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "Bw8NfKfY1ZhuyNhrxgy7", "createdTime": 1711591095117, "probChanges": {"day": -3.33... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668430553821 | 0 | [{"name": "Programming Automation", "slug": "programming-automation", "groupId": "cWNwyAspeBXqPZ4GoCn4", "createdTime": 1711591095436}] | ["programming-automation"] | 0.25 | 1711595289234 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5428558369391671 | 0yQjLguGKNXnAdg5bPBv | {"NO": 1411.406465683957, "YES": 745.0013340361215} | 0.6922801588545122 | will-software-engineers-inflationad | 641 | Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030? | 1893563940000 | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.667452477894077 | False | basic | public | 1711591211650 | M.H. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "levels.fyi", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://levels.fyi", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline acti... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.10880276277102063} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.243292473536137, "platformFee": 0.18588398718976104, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MilfordHammerschmidt | 1718789711766 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668430553821 | 0 | [{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1711591213083}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1711591213092}, {"name": "Programming Automation", "slug": "programming-automation", "groupId": "cWNwyAspeBXqPZ4G... | ["programming", "inflation", "programming-automation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718789708600 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7100603979383228 | Ab0wOafJX5qMv48QV7SJ | {"NO": 285.1019370428603, "YES": 244.26877239647945} | 0 | will-miquella-be-a-proper-npc-with | 471.5730628726271 | Will Miquella be a proper NPC with dialogue in the Shadow of the Erdtree DLC? | 1719028740000 | eR7aHKcddbPYj6gT8o1eNSK5Jko1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1711592956811 | Dwayne Hopkins | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.7408238720606107, "month": -0.6800000000000002} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.468376284232321, "platformFee": 0.8246951389732949, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1720096307205 | 270 | DwayneHopkins | 1720128098267 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIw0alfKaoN0GnUqgqqoQTapPatD3-TXNSwG_Aolw8nxh8=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711592125074 | 0 | [{"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711592956944}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711592956947}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "... | ["entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "video-games", "gaming", "elden-ring"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719002557607 | 1720128096924 | 0.74 | eR7aHKcddbPYj6gT8o1eNSK5Jko1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3488856178702471 | JhFg0gu0mBMvKOhimstU | {"NO": 861.3725335284262, "YES": 1267.2617201589958} | 0.2669744019692468 | will-joe-biden-live-to-see-agi | 2191.1006437395517 | Will Joe Biden live to see AGI | 2871781140000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.653827775203874 | False | basic | public | 1711594286849 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AGI will be determined from a consensus among manifold. (There are many markets regarding AGI)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.05268630191959822} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.130498656205264, "platformFee": 2.4811343709658344, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1718642862921 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 43 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711594287026}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711594287058}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime": 1... | ["ai", "technology-default", "agi", "death-markets", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718642859866 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2607734819414819 | sFrXWEYuypyYUV9TJ5e5 | {"NO": 796.4312622690763, "YES": 2362.7243128677974} | 0.10627367243163945 | will-kurzweil-live-to-see-the-singu | 3308.4128689003596 | Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity? | 1901530740000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.613184110243573 | False | basic | public | 1711594460323 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -0.0016960227736419753, "month": -0.0014921089717085945} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.34826604797466, "platformFee": 0.08994687334861673, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1090 | jim | 1719652824134 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711594483003}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711594484988}] | ["technology-default", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719652821040 | 1711761438521 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YkoNpksoXJod6c8KHYch | what-would-donald-trump-sell-next | 241.8157345505234 | What would Donald Trump sell next? | 1743141540000 | M167O2jUvRaxecC5Qev39El6JSv1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711594483157 | Allan Lacy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He already has sold his golden sneakers and bibles! Add your answer!!!", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If Trump doesn't announce a new product before market closes, resolves to N/A.", "type": "text"}]}, {"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0516420865947924, "platformFee": 0.0516420865947924, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 285 | AllanLacy | 1715900851365 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2f25d6fcd9ac", "prob": 0.14581417715488268, "text": "Trump condoms", "index": 0, "poolNo": 65.70396792698756, "userId": "M167O2jUvRaxecC5Qev39El6JSv1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 384.8967158268104, "textFts": "'condom':2 'trump':1", "contractId": "YkoNpksoXJod6c8KHYch", "createdTime": 1711594483157, "probCha... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1657669765021 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711594483417}] | ["donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 1715900848049 | 1711633981113 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6024498614923901 | 8P9EDmF6gDBgWjrwgvdR | {"NO": 1103.0689099261338, "YES": 915.069004632168} | 0.6462361510425485 | will-jeff-bezos-live-to-see-asi | 343.10762165204653 | Will Jeff Bezos live to see ASI | 4131579540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.72173554128371 | False | basic | public | 1711595055073 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "ASI will be determined based on other markets on manifold about ASI resolving", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.42737530132084023, "platformFee": 0.42737530132084023, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1714487784178 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Jeff Bezos", "slug": "jeff-bezos", "groupId": "67443b25-7e6e-499e-8edc-90fbdb5d1354", "createdTime": 1711595055267}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711595055269}, {"name": "ASI", "slug": "asi", "groupId": "739b81d5-5bf6-4b54-a364-f6... | ["jeff-bezos", "technology-default", "asi", "microsoft", "ai", "death-markets"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714487780694 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ieZZaKH60LcVyVOoFpFF | what-denominations-of-the-us-dollar | 5280.1656818866395 | What denominations of the US Dollar will be issued by the US government in 2030? | 1924945140000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711595522668 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.usa.gov/currency", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.usa.gov/currency", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 40.72641714785861, "platformFee": 0.8047127386103103, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 2490 | NcyRocks | 1718359229111 | 0 | 48 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ef8fc99f5fcd", "prob": 0.967632903267117, "text": "$1 bill", "index": 0, "poolNo": 455.3195349880604, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15.230333097986374, "textFts": "'1':1 'bill':2", "contractId": "ieZZaKH60LcVyVOoFpFF", "createdTime": 1711595522668, "probChanges": {"day"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644447319203 | 0 | [{"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1711595522936}, {"name": "Money", "slug": "money", "groupId": "Sh8C5Y6hkvLT7jyyLRX8", "createdTime": 1711595552268}] | ["currency", "money"] | 0.25 | 1718359226053 | 1717038938314 | False | liquidity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3185782240376848 | aQYzftDExfYo69FZqwib | {"NO": 1010.8154027561665, "YES": 929.6616312767444} | 0.3370157687451131 | cyber-truck-drives-on-moon-or-other | 4348.598432661192 | Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body | 2319346740000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.580419992556289 | False | basic | public | 1711596740300 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It doesn't have to be a stock one but it has to have originally been a mass produced or planned to be real model for consumption by normal people. It can be a cybertruck2 or other future name model. It can be very modified. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.560597236758195, "platformFee": 5.868656158055388, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ernie | 1719798478742 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711596740465}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1711596740596}, {"name": "Cybertruck", "slug": "cybertruck", "groupId": "d05a4b61-2aea-44ee-aaa5-b83148... | ["space", "space-exploration", "cybertruck", "tesla"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719798478742 | 1713222829633 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YAz3OVJPTEEsyIsOMq48 | what-proportion-of-the-electoral-vo | 0 | What proportion of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive? | 1711597179582 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711597157344 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Including faithless electors. Will resolve to the exact proportion of votes each candidate receives.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a fixed-payout version of ", "type": "text"}, {"typ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711597179582 | 100 | NcyRocks | 1711597207634 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9acfe753b8db", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Joe Biden", "index": 0, "poolNo": 50, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'biden':2 'joe':1", "contractId": "YAz3OVJPTEEsyIsOMq48", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "createdTime": 171159... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644447319203 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711597157608}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1711597157606}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "gro... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "elections"] | 0.25 | 1711597206767 | 0.5 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
83iaJQPl4RDFhYyr1n4Y | what-proportion-of-the-electoral-vo-468597c25d7f | 493.7226513571699 | What proportion of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive? | 1735642740000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711597228792 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Including faithless electors. Will resolve to the exact proportion of votes each candidate receives.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a fixed-payout version of ", "type": "text"}, {"typ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2642437875384301, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | NcyRocks | 1716640389907 | 0 | 11 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c8707905dfe", "prob": 0.47999999999999987, "text": "Joe Biden", "color": "#2196f3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 96.75778967954932, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 104.82093881951182, "textFts": "'biden':2 'joe':1", "contractId": "83iaJQPl4RDFhYyr1n4Y", "createdTime": 1711597228... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644447319203 | 0 | [{"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1711597229020}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711597229069}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "gro... | ["elections", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1716640386099 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4968041996534398 | BiyAtGOq2z7ASB08wlSy | {"NO": 116.23809523809526, "YES": 123.90895596239488} | 0.24 | what-score-will-x-achieve-on-mock-e | 6 | What score will [X] achieve on mock exam in [Y]? | 1712257140000 | lUGDbuJVTpPyYsXTYXpd4139sE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3808903890470727 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711597803179 | Ender Ting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Those who know who it is about, they know.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Scale: 50 points and lower resolve to 0%, 100 points to 100%.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.24083693794565175} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712300349050 | 120 | AnT | 1712300716807 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcWkbPJnNa7oUkYFwveuKh1CoCbDrksUco-QNBP=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1686508617605 | 0 | [{"name": "Education", "slug": "education", "groupId": "4db0060d-c187-4c1e-9d89-da6482968105", "createdTime": 1711597803341}, {"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1711597803351}, {"name": "📝 Tests/Exams", "slug": "-testsexams", "groupId": "e292209d-28ad-4716-97ef-f... | ["education", "personal", "-testsexams"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712232090935 | 1712300716199 | 0.24 | lUGDbuJVTpPyYsXTYXpd4139sE43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pmE5H5ytFzRmjORcvZGM | who-will-win-the-united-states-2024 | 9722.584892019826 | Who will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election? | 1730869140000 | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711598329623 | Andrew G | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to whoever wins the 2024 US Presidential Election, according to major outlet calls and Wikipedia.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.15587662204348, "platformFee": 7.15587662204348, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 2100 | AndrewG | 1715320194547 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | 30 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "49dd51bd8df9", "prob": 0.001576886066360715, "text": "Deval Patrick", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.026206052239045, "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2549.237557341333, "textFts": "'deval':1 'patrick':2", "contractId": "pmE5H5ytFzRmjORcvZGM", "createdTime": 1711598329623, "probC... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1654655993992 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711598329837}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1711598329843}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1715320190815 | 1712462988073 | True | old | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9505480090936036 | KxYipdlynTQv0AgWcJp7 | {"NO": 2397.351022748633, "YES": 284.9516058673557} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-9b31d4a617e1 | 4545.889894354067 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on March 28? | 1711684093468 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.634123993698687 | True | play | YES | public | 1711598626882 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711684093468 | 400 | JCDM | 1711684093468 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1711598627033}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CYGTy9yeah6Tg", "createdTime": 1711598627037}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter Daily", "slug": "jimmy-carter-daily", "groupId": "19215cc1-e005-4008... | ["longevity", "public-figures", "jimmy-carter-daily", "entertainment", "death-markets", "jimmy-carter"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711683041037 | 0.99 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47107111058652695 | t7xalvETspj1r3fN47ia | {"NO": 154.26606813363836, "YES": 212.6735435913572} | 0.3924740567230722 | will-amazon-in-the-us-be-legally-pe | 45 | Will Amazon in the US be legally permitted to accept bitcoin without additional KYC before 2030? | 1893484740000 | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711601063431 | Jonathan Ray | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Beyond the info they needed to accept credit card", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.23716500025872095, "platformFee": 0.23716500025872095, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | JonathanRay | 1714642244497 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1647294987992 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714642241224 | 1711815690467 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39227217158300515 | wMKCS88bnHWQ1MnhA2iq | {"NO": 867.6477454372576, "YES": 1214.3093154881603} | 0.3156325765704335 | will-us-public-opinion-shift-toward-6537f84f108e | 1188.0301562219631 | Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2024 (according to gallop)? | 1743425940000 | HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.572245344657372 | False | basic | public | 1711602050856 | Daniel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on this question:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fcp2Vrp9rQv.jpg?alt=media&token=9ac219df-a4eb-4beb-ad41-e4... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.047377601225568944} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.201342084724356, "platformFee": 1.3340388106896595, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Daniel_MC | 1718258065104 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678868464369 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1711602216113}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "createdTime": 1711602222455}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1711602225... | ["israel", "gaza", "wars", "information-war"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718258061939 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aw2H1aSiVQ2cNmmeEf7S | which-team-will-dak-prescott-be-und | 157.08802119849014 | Which team will Dak Prescott be under contract with after 2025 free agency? | 1746028740000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711602118276 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Day 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NA if he is not on a team", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1946842754984219, "platformFee": 0.1946842754984219, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 255 | JoshuaWilkes | 1714879895124 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "98c40b2810b5", "prob": 0.7084686363266769, "text": "Dallas Cowboys", "index": 0, "poolNo": 128.2371731923637, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 52.7689668355954, "textFts": "'cowboy':2 'dalla':1", "contractId": "aw2H1aSiVQ2cNmmeEf7S", "createdTime": 1711602118276, "probChan... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1711602121544}, {"name": "NFL Futures", "slug": "nfl-futures", "groupId": "470aae8a-05a8-4fee-8127-7e3fbd4db7c8", "createdTime": 1711602121546}, {"name": "OverReaction Monday", "slug": "overreaction-monday", "groupId": "0a11612e-6cbf-4... | ["nfl", "nfl-futures", "overreaction-monday"] | 0.25 | 1714879891803 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7826484037220715 | JXsohkmeu4yhbzfDDeQi | {"NO": 9.81580773278256, "YES": 3499.1705241707955} | 0 | will-shogun-be-streamed-for-more-mi | 2842.510481276655 | Will “Shogun" be streamed for more minutes in any single week than the Netflix debut of "Anyone But You"? | 1716561801285 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.528687124867135 | True | basic | NO | public | 1711602225957 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S", "type": "text"}, {"text": "ource", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ": the Nielsen SVOD streaming top 10: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#streaming", "type": "text", "marks": [{"t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 47.13282744787925, "platformFee": 0.09351238351111961, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716561801285 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1716561801285 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1711602226373}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1711602226378}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1711602226385}, {"... | ["culture-default", "movies", "tv", "television-film", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716561795261 | 1716504234344 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20696378220418193 | Pe73lESCo206lqxTDRWa | {"NO": 311.89278111836165, "YES": 11128.752158806883} | 0 | will-openai-release-something-on-ap | 10860.429601266935 | Will OpenAI release something on April 2? | 1712121427917 | WKKdTCqHduaNtJN6rUYpPKXwK8U2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2786011311202152 | True | play | NO | public | 1711606739284 | Iason Koukas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Recently, OpenAI sent an email about migrating from an end of the month billing model, to a pre-purchased credits model. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the email, they mentioned that on e... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.06395387475244955} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712121427917 | 775 | IasonKoukas | 1712121427917 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJIJyDLPEuPXNOzTrfsptZ48FfaLCZm5IfcjrS0XnYKx8=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702729254788 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1711606739649}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711606739860}] | ["openai", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712114593553 | 1711606786214 | 0.01 | WKKdTCqHduaNtJN6rUYpPKXwK8U2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08184921864148484 | CHRSiTjVtZEN7BRa6Gqp | {"NO": 883.3578710530898, "YES": 1735.8481460026533} | 0.04339676230174161 | will-a-new-main-series-pokemon-game | 1178.1356004724537 | Will a new main series Pokemon game be released in 2024? | 1733119140000 | yMMm6htnGCQkn38JcjAnWYdTagW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.466945017090515 | False | basic | public | 1711606860332 | beep boop 2 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After Pokemon Day 2024 and the announcement of Pokemon Legends: Z-A, slated to release in 2025, there has still been no Pokemon game announced for 2024. If no main series game releases this year, it would mark the first time since 2014 that a year ... | BINARY | {"day": 3.469446951953614e-17, "week": 3.469446951953614e-17, "month": 3.469446951953614e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | beepbooper2 | 1712543721332 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711347807679 | 0 | [{"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711606860793}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711606860794}, {"name": "Pokemon", "slug": "pokemon", "groupId": "YJf8HTYrq54vfR2GmZ1t", "createdTime": 17116068607... | ["video-games", "gaming", "pokemon", "nintendo", "release-dates"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712543717937 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | VhPY9YGTvo2ZoyvUsFwr | {"NO": 329, "YES": 30.3951367781155} | 1 | will-the-shanghai-stock-exchange-ss | 687 | Will the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE Composite Index) close higher on the 28th of March than its close the previous day | 1711610158370 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.365857343157536 | True | play | YES | public | 1711607129857 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711610158370 | 100 | RiskOptimization | 1711610158370 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711607130004}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711607130020}] | ["finance", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711608629336 | 0.92 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5510542174232198 | IwTZwdZgR8ZGVzxUP30S | {"NO": 755.7001824898055, "YES": 103.06410876073625} | 1 | will-there-be-a-furry-or-brony-astr | 885.2851360427502 | Will there be a Furry or Brony astronaut by the end of 2040? | 1711640325705 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6747934272871907 | True | play | YES | public | 1711607701904 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be confirmed by public self identification or other evidence", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711640325705 | 280 | strutheo | 1711641689301 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1711607702047}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1711607702052}, {"name": "Aerospace", "slug": "aerospace", "groupId": "2379d4e3-a569-487a-804f-d7a8e7... | ["spacex", "space-exploration", "aerospace", "internet", "space-colonization", "space", "my-little-pony", "furry", "animals", "memes"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711640199142 | 1711641676913 | 0.9 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5227704084869319 | pOrPnY0Mrcubyn2bTfNj | {"NO": 215.71346219821066, "YES": 120.31779072353484} | 0.6626127035632381 | will-the-number-of-americans-experi | 63 | Will the number of Americans experiencing homelessness increase between 2023 and 2027? | 1861948740000 | xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711607942350 | themightysalmon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To be resolved using HUD's Annual Homelessness Assessment Report (AHAR), or equivalent if it is replaced. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://nlihc.org/resource/hud-releases-2023-annual-h... | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6869582212829941, "platformFee": 0.6869582212829941, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | themightysalmon | 1713714425343 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707978226998 | 0 | [{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1711607942520}, {"name": "Homelessness", "slug": "homelessness", "groupId": "fKZal9KT35LqxDLFIZfe", "createdTime": 1711607942621}, {"name": "Demographics", "slug": "demographics", "groupId": "o07IBKsPqPBxuYxD... | ["us-economy", "homelessness", "demographics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713714422096 | 1711608068434 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4386181268094165 | 9PjTb1GguCVmEpsWMB1t | {"NO": 1105.378867165549, "YES": 863.6531232747344} | 0.4999999999999998 | will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute | 597.0833811545326 | Will Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space? | 2658369540000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.706969275657482 | False | basic | public | 1711611355146 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Jeff Bezos spends 24 ho... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.033870056146152516} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.45497972361691, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1718646090611 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdTime": 1711611355299}, {"name": "Blue Origin", "slug": "blue-origin", "groupId": "Hb5cF474IPIAl2WCiYFT", "createdTime": 1711611355301}, {"name": "Jeff Bezos", "slug": "jeff-bezos", "groupId": "67443b25-7e6e-499e... | ["billionaires", "blue-origin", "jeff-bezos", "space"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718646087463 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3236780116179315 | 6pIMhxEzGqKV9mqCYKTH | {"NO": 891.6896057205594, "YES": 1219.351786978518} | 0.2592487930100702 | will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out | 327.3087765299544 | Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space? | 2658369540000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.61954833768971 | False | basic | public | 1711611435787 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Jeff Bezos spends at le... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.23603859339679467, "platformFee": 0.02928902425463951, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1717017461052 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "Jeff Bezos", "slug": "jeff-bezos", "groupId": "67443b25-7e6e-499e-8edc-90fbdb5d1354", "createdTime": 1711611435932}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdTime": 1711611435923}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaL... | ["jeff-bezos", "billionaires", "space", "blue-origin"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717017457436 | 1712874910282 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.24317071400236212 | ROa9KMi98oIEscRAegay | {"NO": 202.61986495383007, "YES": 506.04269969519646} | 0.11398536495224237 | will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou | 251.4562021147393 | Will Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space? | 2658369540000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711611493652 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Jeff Bezos spends at le... | BINARY | {"day": 8.326672684688674e-17, "week": 8.326672684688674e-17, "month": 8.326672684688674e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 275 | jks | 1712877420548 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711611493823}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdTime": 1711611493826}, {"name": "Blue Origin", "slug": "blue-origin", "groupId": "Hb5cF474IPIAl2WCiYFT", "c... | ["space", "billionaires", "blue-origin", "jeff-bezos"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712877417275 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2766681851048608 | WnSJk5y16RJWtOZO3ewa | {"NO": 215.64984842910016, "YES": 682.9925069283221} | 0.10775534614445921 | will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out | 368 | Will Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space? | 2658369540000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711611617478 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Jeff Bezos spends at le... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.007493071678157041, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 315 | jks | 1717629869985 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711611617739}, {"name": "Blue Origin", "slug": "blue-origin", "groupId": "Hb5cF474IPIAl2WCiYFT", "createdTime": 1711611617748}, {"name": "Jeff Bezos", "slug": "jeff-bezos", "groupId": "67443b25-7e6e-499e-8edc-90fbdb5d1354", "creat... | ["space", "blue-origin", "jeff-bezos", "billionaires"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717629866553 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4227412397923005 | tEN2Tu2ZpwLXsd5KQvG1 | {"NO": 1011.7466241086257, "YES": 973.4214143325293} | 0.43219185068991095 | will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer | 504.2027451286291 | Will Elon Musk spend a day in outer space? | 2879294340000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.75405274679716 | False | basic | public | 1711612066512 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Elon Musk spends 24 hou... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1712247266290 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711612066672}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711612066676}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId"... | ["technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "space-exploration", "space", "billionaires", "spacex"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712247262957 | 1711613055683 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LpWM31lfbTujU03THCin | what-will-be-true-of-the-next-sente | 30 | What will be true of the next sentence spoken on the moon? | 2240629140000 | eieeU345lwUIithZDydMfum1WKG2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711612448490 | Alex Litzenberger | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | alexlitz | 1712880921145 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "16d6d4754f44", "prob": 0.5, "text": "It will be spoken by an America", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "eieeU345lwUIithZDydMfum1WKG2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'america':7 'spoken':4", "contractId": "LpWM31lfbTujU03THCin", "createdTime": 1711612448490, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1693450992990 | 0 | [{"name": "🌙 Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1711612448900}, {"name": "Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing", "slug": "artemis-3", "groupId": "JFSueHSoflV6QCBPjC3l", "createdTime": 1711612448907}] | ["moon", "artemis-3"] | 0.25 | 1712880917790 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3526404295390614 | xz3byg54e8xZS0LczAf5 | {"NO": 992.4715288809421, "YES": 970.9768249363766} | 0.35765487758411646 | will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute | 440.879501929801 | Will Elon Musk spend a week in outer space? | 2879294340000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.61722041868213 | False | basic | public | 1711612933102 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Elon Musk spends 7 days... | BINARY | {"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.04413447280883739, "platformFee": 0.04413447280883739, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1713933620959 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711612933304}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711612933308}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "space", "billionaires", "spacex", "space-exploration", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713933617573 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21442084935236672 | DRYzSz27nrULDMSnjDeI | {"NO": 878.5573133185385, "YES": 1411.511569919251} | 0.14521732439154658 | will-a-dutch-politician-hit-another | 546.7798584382323 | Will a Dutch politician hit another Dutch politician before Christmas? | 1735426740000 | 9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.72345585205226 | False | basic | public | 1711612933182 | Fedor | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yesterday the party leader of the Forum voor Democratie said he would hit another politician if they kept pestering him about a topic, this has apparently happened before.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.0018450616771988615} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2264391625745292, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Fedor | 1718929500657 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678129247577 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711612933351}, {"name": "2023 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election", "slug": "2023-dutch-tweede-kamer-election", "groupId": "74f597c6-8c58-4e88-8ec7-6b9ff1d540de", "createdTime": 1711612933350}, {"name": "The Netherlands", "... | ["politics-default", "2023-dutch-tweede-kamer-election", "the-netherlands", "nederland"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718929497520 | 1711711312545 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20532968732956447 | yIwnhWxs1FTfApmhv1Ob | {"NO": 926.1841304506385, "YES": 1190.7614321738363} | 0.1673416908256295 | will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out | 526.4447365914891 | Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space? | 2879294340000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.714213323785614 | False | basic | public | 1711612995601 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Elon Musk spends 31 day... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.007563065725893103} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6846133090615528, "platformFee": 0.08081804293148305, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1718238175086 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdTime": 1711612995737}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1711612995736}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToa... | ["billionaires", "space-exploration", "space", "technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "spacex"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718238171854 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.124865251054084 | aFj8Pm2ZKDszPuKMJgK1 | {"NO": 885.8148603116442, "YES": 1530.004627036346} | 0.07630377949958113 | will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute | 719.5333531739929 | Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space? | 2879294340000 | 5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.093312886614925 | False | basic | public | 1711613020154 | JKS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Elon Musk spends 365 da... | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -5.239275011105493e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2336672453151249, "platformFee": 0.2283525443455408, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jks | 1717724194068 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680049506454 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711613020289}, {"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1711613020287}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdT... | ["space", "spacex", "billionaires", "technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "space-exploration"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717724190950 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lDW34yl9Hl000HQOM4YP | which-companys-model-will-capture-t | 882.6262825715444 | Which company's model will capture the largest share of the enterprise LLM market by EOY 2025? | 1767247140000 | hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711613546156 | Simran 🤍 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LLM capturing the largest use by enterprise customers for fine-tuning and custom use cases. To be determined by official revenue /reports. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.434220010716005, "platformFee": 0.6870959615627237, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1110 | SimranRahman | 1718116824606 | 0 | 34 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "9039b3764f5d", "prob": 0.685895482703259, "text": "OpenAI", "index": 0, "poolNo": 659.1057234198145, "userId": "hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 301.8361985507745, "textFts": "'openai':1", "contractId": "lDW34yl9Hl000HQOM4YP", "createdTime": 1711613546156, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692236590304 | 0 | [{"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1711613547912}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711613547910}, {"name": "LLMs", "slug": "llms", "groupId": "7AISXitieE7l07dhslU8", "crea... | ["startups", "technology-default", "llms", "tech-stocks", "business", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1718116821425 | 1713969649098 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4306333719185061 | Ouf03vrhGo78Z5yDaivu | {"NO": 1380.6811669980782, "YES": 11.746207701831054} | 1 | will-nigel-farage-take-over-as-lead | 2477.658720169944 | Will Nigel Farage take over as leader of ReformUK by the next UK general election? | 1717441572388 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1711613846598 | Daisy W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He’s currently “honorary president” but doesn’t actually lead the party in any formal capacity. This market resolves to “yes” if he takes Richard Tice’s current role as party leader (including if this is temporarily) at any point before when the la... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 32.965965518331096, "platformFee": 0.9081996808403136, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717441572388 | 180 | DaisyWelham | 1717441572388 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705674736043 | 0 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1711613846752}, {"name": "🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1711613846765}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk... | ["uk-politics", "-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-conservative-party"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717427189406 | 0.99 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077260213166159 | 4QSUsgfSsvejGqv4oWtU | {"NO": 292.2775356113541, "YES": 112.15799040093742} | 0.7288314380952147 | will-the-african-wild-dog-lycaon-pi | 136 | Will the African Wild Dog (Lycaon pictus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711615135214 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The African Wild Dog is a wild canine native to sub-Saharan Africa. This market will resolve YES if the African Wild Dog is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.207874939225073, "platformFee": 1.207874939225073, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326787969 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4cc7-9a85-a775269ceaa5", "createdTime": 1711615135368}, {"name": "Biodiversity", "slug": "biodiversity", "groupId": "3721391e-74a0-4bca-9813-fe741dc4306e", "createdTime": 1711615135362}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "... | ["extinction-risk", "biodiversity", "animals", "zoology", "environment-243810591da2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326784641 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2790619234724919 | Y2cT4sfwsNPlixMvVNnj | {"NO": 57.546263129814825, "YES": 4288.549812626515} | 0 | -will-celta-vigo-beat-rayo-vallecan | 4379.340741696473 | ⚽ Will Celta Vigo beat Rayo Vallecano during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸 | 1711897200000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.492341238851556 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616283100 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 12:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711905164703 | 280 | FranklinBaldo | 1711905167440 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616283247}, {"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1711616283265}] | ["soccer", "la-liga"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711895434855 | 1711905166939 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7496914808816253 | q5AixS228f61SrxqaKMp | {"NO": 9393.967057555183, "YES": 94.03205365733477} | 1 | -will-liverpool-beat-brighton-durin | 11882.387987220995 | ⚽ Will Liverpool beat Brighton during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Premier League 🇬🇧 | 1711900800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3505757665202136 | True | play | YES | public | 1711616287044 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Liverpool vs Brighton", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 13:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition:... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711905167207 | 420 | FranklinBaldo | 1711905169725 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616287195}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1711616287204}] | ["soccer", "premiere-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711897339365 | 1711905169225 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1871501416718676 | Q73RWUYGQmQL2FSX5v0p | {"NO": 33.82566683942475, "YES": 10705.008511486289} | 0 | -will-fc-augsburg-beat-1fc-koln-dur | 11058.233826261056 | ⚽ Will FC Augsburg beat 1.FC Köln during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Bundesliga 🇩🇪 | 1711902600000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.150587239131518 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616288696 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ FC Augsburg vs 1.FC Köln", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 13:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competiti... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711905169465 | 260 | FranklinBaldo | 1711905171275 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616288859}, {"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1711616288881}] | ["soccer", "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711902127033 | 1711905170797 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8859284775551902 | YYZR65qYlJ17r9XQQRkS | {"NO": 11208.748933456722, "YES": 23.800618365929154} | 1 | -will-girona-beat-real-betis-during | 11904.593294205853 | ⚽ Will Girona beat Real Betis during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸 | 1711905171297 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1711616290451 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Girona vs Real Betis", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 14:15", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711905171297 | 240 | FranklinBaldo | 1711905174343 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1711616290725}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616290741}] | ["la-liga", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711905171090 | 1711905172708 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14933070457508096 | 8i6Al2RkChVS5nILOZh5 | {"NO": 49.63283516876593, "YES": 10368.47210360879} | 0 | -will-manchester-city-beat-arsenal | 10222.436987300302 | ⚽ Will Manchester City beat Arsenal during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Premier League 🇬🇧 | 1711909800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.304618782738259 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616292591 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Manchester City vs Arsenal", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 15:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.000839610547886446} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712185461162 | 280 | FranklinBaldo | 1711909800000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616292750}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1711616292854}] | ["soccer", "premiere-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711907980700 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11342840126538555 | NVGJ4e1desWGRqdngEfi | {"NO": 38.27365138043177, "YES": 4020.3110033003727} | 0 | -will-vfb-stuttgart-beat-fc-heidenh | 5793.356160644253 | ⚽ Will VfB Stuttgart beat FC Heidenheim during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Bundesliga 🇩🇪 | 1711909800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.488864866974382 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616294264 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ VfB Stuttgart vs FC Heidenheim", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 15:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Com... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927382356 | 180 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927384222 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616294485}, {"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1711616294487}] | ["soccer", "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711908492111 | 1711927383640 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19002204652494828 | Mfec9qM2NsNT3yZahT5P | {"NO": 50.8373572882808, "YES": 3289.0654469537667} | 0 | -will-alaves-beat-real-sociedad-dur | 3170.934553046234 | ⚽ Will Alaves beat Real Sociedad during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸 | 1711913400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.170010566005852 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616296081 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Alaves vs Real Sociedad", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 16:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competitio... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927384043 | 180 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927385924 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616296340}, {"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1711616296341}] | ["soccer", "la-liga"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711909410281 | 1711927385378 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21712584519351957 | jxBXNWzcuKHAmpkvb0mL | {"NO": 34.050078721880055, "YES": 1833.2491955234239} | 0 | -will-vfl-bochum-beat-sv-darmstadt | 2107.707034110525 | ⚽ Will Vfl Bochum beat SV Darmstadt 98 during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Bundesliga 🇩🇪 | 1711917000000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.116673301791834 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616297728 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Vfl Bochum vs SV Darmstadt 98", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 17:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Comp... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927385708 | 200 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927387614 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616297988}, {"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1711616297990}] | ["soccer", "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711915555414 | 1711927387041 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7215135490159382 | P0nhRre4VHuBT6YEvOS5 | {"NO": 5741.662533769198, "YES": 76.96955160137037} | 1 | -will-real-madrid-beat-athletic-clu | 5423 | ⚽ Will Real Madrid beat Athletic Club during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸 | 1711922400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.880644315671521 | True | play | YES | public | 1711616301453 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Real Madrid vs Athletic Club", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927387425 | 320 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927389806 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1711616301644}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616301648}] | ["la-liga", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711918410932 | 1711927389184 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6830430419776812 | 5mbeMAzHcMUtctRNb0ou | {"NO": 2029.0333766707329, "YES": 30.110011945311257} | 1 | -will-genus-beat-jiparana-during-re | 2947.3480282046016 | ⚽ Will Genus beat Ji-Paraná during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Rondoniense 🇧🇷 | 1711924200000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.532289687054314 | True | play | YES | public | 1711616303399 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Genus vs Ji-Paraná", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Ro... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927389568 | 200 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927391757 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616303571}, {"name": "Campeonato Rondoniense", "slug": "campeonato-rondoniense", "groupId": "07d07566-98a4-453e-b14e-282a0c0ca11f", "createdTime": 1711616303594}] | ["soccer", "campeonato-rondoniense"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711922678315 | 1711927391200 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2369866601967794 | bwJXq26AKdPK8fHvPN8B | {"NO": 28.600725280900292, "YES": 3310.949593550136} | 0 | -will-vilhena-beat-uniao-cacoalense | 3180 | ⚽ Will Vilhena beat União Cacoalense during regular time on Sun, Mar 31, 2024? Rondoniense 🇧🇷 | 1711927392008 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.501349162154535 | True | play | NO | public | 1711616305431 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Vilhena vs União Cacoalense", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 21:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711927392008 | 160 | FranklinBaldo | 1711927394787 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Campeonato Rondoniense", "slug": "campeonato-rondoniense", "groupId": "07d07566-98a4-453e-b14e-282a0c0ca11f", "createdTime": 1711616305614}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711616305643}] | ["campeonato-rondoniense", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711927391553 | 1711927393579 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42648538435854744 | Xw2P25baFOhWIb341Xt9 | {"NO": 96.50795392895795, "YES": 515.4395887167026} | 0.12221713471126497 | will-the-common-raccoon-aka-norther | 317 | Will the Common Raccoon, a.k.a. Northern Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711616681715 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Common Raccoon is a carnivore mammal native to Northern America. It has also been introduced to Central Europe, the Caucasus and Japan. This market will resolve YES if the Common Raccoon is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and N... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7802056416485957, "platformFee": 0.7802056416485957, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326779200 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUlwMWPfYQLuh", "createdTime": 1711616681957}, {"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-988e-28474c7761f2", "createdTime": 1711616681980}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab... | ["zoology", "environment-243810591da2", "animals", "extinction-risk", "biodiversity"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326775952 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ta4SVXx6KlJs2RU4CnC2 | what-will-joe-bidens-approval-ratin-43d5b59313d9 | 1106.0962654284938 | What will Joe Biden's approval rating be on election day per 538? | 1730869140000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711617300663 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.495033834236513, "platformFee": 0.622678673881391, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1719821112132 | 0 | 16 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "846f05d57aef", "prob": 0.04105847853190323, "text": ">50", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.957831123350164, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 512.8362457270257, "textFts": "'50':1", "contractId": "ta4SVXx6KlJs2RU4CnC2", "createdTime": 1711617300663, "probChanges": {"day": 9.714451... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711617300869}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1711617300877}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden"... | ["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1719821108982 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PwJGiMu5qWVj2T7txO67 | who-will-get-more-votes-in-the-thur | 1399.3724236825979 | Who will get more votes in the Saxony state elections? | 1725141540000 | Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711617308735 | Marktwse | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "2024 Saxony state election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Saxony_state_election", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primar... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.881089655309065, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1160 | marktwse | 1720053161621 | 0 | 15 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3576d51be2fd", "prob": 0.5898661971845491, "text": "AfD", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 501.0507541857363, "userId": "Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 348.3804500047532, "textFts": "'afd':1", "contractId": "PwJGiMu5qWVj2T7txO67", "createdTime": 1711617308735, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671579488806 | 0 | [{"name": "German Politics", "slug": "german-politics", "groupId": "LLEOgfoEBr6wg3VEdFJc", "createdTime": 1711617308939}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1711617308930}] | ["german-politics", "germany"] | 0.25 | 1720037594079 | 1711627459582 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2332259404095987 | mKtB9yTzbSA3HvZxCIiY | {"NO": 957.6113685739848, "YES": 1061.8720902636908} | 0.21525571456047124 | will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-be-1c6ee82f65a3 | 691.4124519216856 | Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day? | 1730869140000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.639266110322023 | False | basic | public | 1711617480558 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "per 538's average. 45.0% resolves no, 45.1 resolves yes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link"... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4793815397642759, "platformFee": 0.4793815397642759, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1716062362221 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1711617480711}, {"name": "FiveThirtyEight", "slug": "fivethirtyeight", "groupId": "8DP8g4cqyxNkl3AgVjdB", "createdTime": 1711617480704}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZ... | ["the-life-of-biden", "fivethirtyeight", "politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716062358278 | 1711658581753 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZWUd4qnGAoG7jSwnCGXD | how-good-will-ais-be-in-solving-com | 404.8454959767626 | When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description) | 1893538740000 | 6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711617548082 | Patrik Cihal | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If you don't want to read the full description, the short version is this: The probability of each time category represents the percentage of people that will be worse at problem-solving than an AI that doesn't use extreme amounts of energy.", "typ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.132503790008498, "platformFee": 1.132503790008498, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | patrik | 1713551841553 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "215fbd1c8181", "prob": 0.17123287671232895, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 46.48760330578517, "userId": "6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 224.99999999999994, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "ZWUd4qnGAoG7jSwnCGXD", "createdTime": 1711617548082, "probChanges": {"day": 1.942... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690398218800 | 0 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1711617548319}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711617548321}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklM... | ["technical-ai-timelines", "technology-default", "ai", "gpt5-speculation"] | 0.25 | 1713551838362 | 1711655437024 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34090918668877657 | rFc5p5eKzRaLmMBCMmIi | {"NO": 115.6793462002083, "YES": 350.44377041085147} | 0.14583813601761797 | will-the-common-ostrich-struthio-ca | 171 | Will the Common Ostrich (Struthio camelus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711617860985 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Common Ostrich is a flightless bird native to large areas of Africa. It is the largest and heaviest living bird and it is farmed worldwide for its feathers, leather, and meat. This market will resolve YES if the Common Ostrich is declared extin... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.27811479457422694, "platformFee": 0.27811479457422694, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326771075 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1711617861578}, {"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4cc7-9a85-a775269ceaa5", "createdTime": 1711617861580}, {"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUl... | ["animals", "extinction-risk", "zoology", "environment-243810591da2", "biodiversity"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326767594 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999994 | QHeaDL3stHbcDLbwY71I | {"NO": 470, "YES": 21.27659574468087} | 1 | will-the-hang-seng-index-close-high | 370 | Will the Hang Seng Index close higher on the 28th of March than its close the previous day? | 1711618324015 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.7762068380323814 | True | play | YES | public | 1711618290603 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711618324015 | 100 | RiskOptimization | 1711618324015 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711618291013}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711618291012}] | ["finance", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711618316162 | 0.96 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 9NcWTEChfzkXHZ4mj4qU | {"NO": 21.097046413502085, "YES": 474} | 0 | will-the-nikkei-225-close-higher-on | 374 | Will the Nikkei 225 close higher on March 28th than its previous day close? | 1711618486613 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.786939429707543 | True | play | NO | public | 1711618467300 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711618486613 | 100 | RiskOptimization | 1711618486613 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711618478876 | 0.04 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5221661238874069 | Obs7tRS3LcGbF8SvbRR9 | {"NO": 161.57338128018927, "YES": 239.7533850683937} | 0.4241087896072035 | will-a-new-pokemon-game-be-released | 267.8457101184896 | Will a new Pokemon game be released at full retail price in 2024? | 1733119140000 | yMMm6htnGCQkn38JcjAnWYdTagW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711618620596 | beep boop 2 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(This market was made to pair with ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/beepbooper2/will-a-new-main-series-pokemon-game", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/beepbooper2/will-a-ne... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4398867867954352, "platformFee": 1.4398867867954352, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | beepbooper2 | 1713845415462 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711347807679 | 0 | [{"name": "Pokemon", "slug": "pokemon", "groupId": "YJf8HTYrq54vfR2GmZ1t", "createdTime": 1711618620736}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711618620737}, {"name": "Nintendo", "slug": "nintendo", "groupId": "RP9YmNIFe88Grg68Ivp2", "createdTime": 1711618620... | ["pokemon", "video-games", "nintendo", "release-dates"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713845409385 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6623889857578443 | 7FjFRWgv7BWr6E8GS4kl | {"NO": 233.45725141734107, "YES": 169.41223338856395} | 0.7300000000000001 | will-the-spd-enter-the-saxony-state | 317.5334508116997 | Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election? | 1725227940000 | Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711620452898 | Marktwse | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the Saxony state election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Saxony_state_election", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | marktwse | 1713186484311 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671579488806 | 0 | [{"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1711620453150}, {"name": "German Politics", "slug": "german-politics", "groupId": "LLEOgfoEBr6wg3VEdFJc", "createdTime": 1711620453179}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": ... | ["elections", "german-politics", "germany"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713186481198 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5087613725754007 | I4uZzvLY9i3nCK017eam | {"NO": 128.6615094853729, "YES": 305.69555143210283} | 0.3035698855458144 | will-the-california-condor-gymnogyp | 341.99999999999994 | Will the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711622006351 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The California Condor is a New World Vulture and the largest land bird in North America. It became extinct in the wild in 1987 but has since been reintroduced to the wild in California, Arizona and Baja California, Mexiko. This market will resolve ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.386998424244133, "platformFee": 1.386998424244133, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326764687 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4cc7-9a85-a775269ceaa5", "createdTime": 1711622006698}, {"name": "Biodiversity", "slug": "biodiversity", "groupId": "3721391e-74a0-4bca-9813-fe741dc4306e", "createdTime": 1711622006703}, {"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "... | ["extinction-risk", "biodiversity", "zoology", "environment-243810591da2", "animals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326761008 | 1712304773003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40457973546564574 | Ixhyh1vjEzRDhCgUMFbm | {"NO": 1196.2419628176933, "YES": 761.1017709595565} | 0.5164327038862575 | will-elon-musk-die-before-75-of-the | 492.4823487651729 | Will Elon Musk die before 75% of the US has self driving cars | 2869448340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.666450249077958 | False | basic | public | 1711622645915 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’m going to use the best data source available for self driving cars. Cars count as self driving if it can do an hour long commute going on both an highway and in the city. ( I may update this definition to stay within the spirit of the market)", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1364327038862576} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.297435112398091, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1718722876097 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711622646048}, {"name": "Cars", "slug": "cars", "groupId": "cfaa7108-ad3b-444c-bf5e-c5da03db1eae", "createdTime": 1711622646061}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDA... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "cars", "death-markets", "automotive", "selfdriving-vehicles"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718722873042 | 1718643111829 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5120586966568965 | 728Km6Jq6uBM5aQTpEKP | {"NO": 843.7384350973522, "YES": 1166.5158674781342} | 0.4315107410756893 | will-benjamin-netanyahu-stop-being | 845.8900862351119 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu stop being prime minister of Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas war | 1767243540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.594556675794946 | False | basic | public | 1711623073825 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "An end to the Israel Hamas war will be the end date provided by Wikipedia.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.02146322797628164} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.161108169270797, "platformFee": 0.8947829707669354, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1717726620566 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 1711623074636}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1711623074640}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlH... | ["israeli-politics", "world-default", "politics-default", "benjamin-netanyahu", "israel", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "arabisraeli-conflict"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717726617452 | 1711928616222 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6138409136859795 | pMnskidx5WmhSe8Ep75b | {"NO": 276.8261063441507, "YES": 129.98038642177295} | 0.7719741983233259 | will-the-nfl-keep-the-new-kickoff-r | 101 | Will the NFL keep the new kickoff rule significantly unchanged for more than one season? | 1743566340000 | 5vEowFr3rBPiRMtqc8UPhqpbHWh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711623450364 | Matt Lashof-Sullivan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The new kickoff rule is here for a one-year trial. Will it be kept without significant changes?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "An \"insignificant\" change (not enough to resolve this as NO) w... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1606523615618024, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | MattLashofSullivan | 1716997062082 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS04zSTXXFhgB1eacAIEE9U0EH4jKv5V55bjuYL9e-FHw=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696523717381 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1711623450529}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1711623450538}] | ["nfl", "football"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716997058650 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5230315159716035 | RgjmXnIVFiFScZxSxWWc | {"NO": 234.88250864296668, "YES": 171.5190195569604} | 0.6002681606161179 | will-xi-jinping-stop-being-the-lead | 200 | Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan | 1925009940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711623679828 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "when Xi Jinping stops being the general secretary of the Chinese Communist party and chairman of the military. Then this market will resolve. If he only stops being one then China declares war this will resolve 50%. The start date of the war will b... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | JamesF | 1713308509913 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "China Taiwan potential conflict", "slug": "china-taiwan-potential-conflict", "groupId": "2b786f84-e655-456c-b6f9-4022ee9873a3", "createdTime": 1711623680219}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711623680218}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "w... | ["china-taiwan-potential-conflict", "politics-default", "world-default", "taiwan", "china"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713308506562 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4205283460093492 | awUckIESEnpimSTaStz5 | {"NO": 230.09243753660297, "YES": 406.2083110045393} | 0.2913183333081438 | will-the-afd-get-30-seats-in-the-th | 262.2702829390131 | Will the AfD get 30+ seats in the Thuringia state elections? | 1728079140000 | Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711624854098 | Marktwse | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to the results of the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "2024 Thuringian state election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Thuringian_state_election", "class": "break-any... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 295 | marktwse | 1713182746607 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671579488806 | 0 | [{"name": "German Politics", "slug": "german-politics", "groupId": "LLEOgfoEBr6wg3VEdFJc", "createdTime": 1711624854651}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1711624854649}] | ["german-politics", "germany"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713182743351 | 1711918132151 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3427317709615584 | 3XeT3np3xkY44c5wo50J | {"NO": 950.4204524578826, "YES": 1077.0856917311555} | 0.31512783097776637 | will-any-cryptocurrency-pass-bitcoi | 184.81715686825592 | Will any cryptocurrency pass Bitcoin in market share by the end of 2030 | 1925009940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.609447307193024 | False | basic | public | 1711624881293 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There are data sources for this right now but none I feel confident will last until 2030 so I will use the most reputable source at the time", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.11512574968376117, "platformFee": 0.11512574968376117, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1713909652388 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1711624881615}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1711624881620}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "cr... | ["economics-default", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "bitcoin-maxi", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713909649014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4595970125743272 | boCkyaatBhPpjvSBJrFf | {"NO": 76.93417271981457, "YES": 484.00973787844805} | 0.11908538375897076 | will-the-american-bullfrog-aquarana | 305 | Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711625326550 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The American Bullfrog is a large frog species native to eastern North America. It has also been introduced into the Western United States, South America, Europe, and Southeast Asia, where is an invasive species. This market will resolve YES if the ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.49513106077597346, "platformFee": 0.49513106077597346, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326753293 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1711625326697}, {"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-988e-28474c7761f2", "createdTime": 1711625326699}, {"name": "Biodiversity", "slug": "biodiversity", "groupI... | ["animals", "environment-243810591da2", "biodiversity", "extinction-risk", "zoology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326750046 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.