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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
j7Awkda1mxGZkEeaOlOJ | will-ivan-korcok-or-peter-pellegrin | 8550.405178946763 | Will Ivan Korčok or Peter Pellegrini win 2nd round of Slovak presidential elections in 2024? | 1712475680723 | cEgYvqUfNDeGD1Cmc3xlvAc7fza2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | b02a334b6cc6 | public | 1711789359292 | Tomáš Plachý | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712475680723 | 360 | TomasPlachy | 1720053161621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJSfx3rENfoX5c5uT3igQfsanEdlSKoj4uS2-zLVI9NZss=s96-c | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "cb5fc95e9e2a", "prob": 0.0017376389940924795, "text": "Ivan Korčok", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.522168462190045, "userId": "cEgYvqUfNDeGD1Cmc3xlvAc7fza2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5470.424180902057, "textFts": "'ivan':1 'korčok':2", "contractId": "j7Awkda1mxGZkEeaOlOJ", "resolverId": "cEgY... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702676063919 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711789359642}, {"name": "Slovakia", "slug": "slovakia", "groupId": "NCfqlLwB8WumtAfFI0ZY", "createdTime": 1711789359644}, {"name": "Central Europe", "slug": "central-europe", "groupId": "fiFxXettsJwAQ9hBBErv", "crea... | ["politics-default", "slovakia", "central-europe", "elections", "europe"] | 0.25 | 1712472700931 | 1712468894093 | {"b02a334b6cc6": 100} | cEgYvqUfNDeGD1Cmc3xlvAc7fza2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LYXfc07MB85jo9FHD98d | what-year-will-the-next-star-trek-m | 884.3994776690014 | What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? | 1767225540000 | VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711789609105 | NoitUK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The last Star Trek movie, Star Trek Beyond, was released in 2016. Since then there have been multiple attempts to get another one into production. When will that hit screens?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conten... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8651592065914349, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NoitUK | 1719427726042 | 0 | 11 | 2 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "fe109dca9d1c", "prob": 0.00548970143659437, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.6937622403535677, "userId": "VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 487.999997969799, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "LYXfc07MB85jo9FHD98d", "createdTime": 1711789609105, "probChanges": {"day": -1.734... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680597255123 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1711789609340}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711789609343}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "K... | ["entertainment", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "movies", "television-film", "star-trek"] | 0.25 | 1719427722976 | 1713110353698 | False | old | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41667485881078425 | yjGTCvw4Cim4oFBMoLr9 | {"NO": 147.0629447314655, "YES": 152.99751759137567} | 0.407092121122737 | will-the-next-star-trek-movie-be-se | 429.2799356382728 | Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline? | 1767225540000 | VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711790263425 | NoitUK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The three most recent Star Trek movies, Star Trek (2009), Star Trek into Darkness and Star Trek Beyond have all been set in an alternate timeline, revisiting the TOS era with new actors. Will that be the case for the next Star Trek film released?",... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | NoitUK | 1713110265052 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680597255123 | 0 | [{"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711790263632}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1711790263634}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dG... | ["entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "movies", "television-film", "entertainment", "star-trek"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713110261647 | 1712219226462 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5445147696946828 | vlW9tDt8IjNykhf33fzl | {"NO": 344.82225563862886, "YES": 103.44324098807165} | 0.7993982717586645 | will-the-chinese-pangolin-manis-pen | 191.30995641148107 | Will the Chinese Pangolin (Manis pentadactyla) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711790486637 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Chinese Pangolin is a pangolin species native to southern China and southeast Asia. This market will resolve YES if the Chinese Pangolin is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 210... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6372414709528285, "platformFee": 1.6372414709528285, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326552628 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1711790486910}, {"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUlwMWPfYQLuh", "createdTime": 1711790486904}, {"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-98... | ["animals", "zoology", "environment-243810591da2", "biodiversity", "extinction-risk"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326549236 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47317727314177477 | SNX8ue3hGqEZ9SY8fYub | {"NO": 144.8519802139459, "YES": 177.04461817109885} | 0.42358262962619264 | will-the-no-ai-fraud-act-of-2024-pa | 105.56766890863321 | Will The No AI FRAUD Act of 2024 Pass Before 2025? | 1736582340000 | 8hlZ5F9ttDdWux1F1SwGfeQR0nr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711790727277 | parker friedland | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The act", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.humanartistrycampaign.com/noaifraud", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.humanartistrycampaign.com/noaifraud", "class": "break-anywhere h... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.36052312680059867, "platformFee": 0.36052312680059867, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | parkerfriedland | 1713900957941 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1655692286077 | 0 | [{"name": "electoral reform", "slug": "electoral-reform", "groupId": "ad0d2bed-4fde-473b-bf01-898a24564d76", "createdTime": 1711790727455}, {"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1711790727467}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMH... | ["electoral-reform", "south-korea", "elections", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713900954584 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3665817048626404 | 7npxtaKXXeOHACTW57gB | {"NO": 104.6952582253829, "YES": 383.4398850200539} | 0.1364564734204135 | will-jose-luis-ricon-get-sucked-int | 236.56011497994618 | Will Jose Luis ricon get sucked into a black hole | 13727336340000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711790978043 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | StochasticParrot | 1713352402302 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | [{"name": "Jose Luis Ricon", "slug": "jose-luis-ricon", "groupId": "207551e8-8e5d-405c-98ea-cebe79643413", "createdTime": 1711790978186}] | ["jose-luis-ricon"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713352398937 | 1711800985261 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5270634747996432 | KWDW9WnZKTi3NdlBuFoZ | {"NO": 432.5883534905384, "YES": 65.21574990411281} | 0.8808438333358951 | will-the-galapagos-pink-land-iguana | 276 | Will the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana (Conolophus marthae) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711791115833 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Galápagos Pink Land Iguana is a species of lizard that is native only to Wolf Volcano on Isabela Island of the Galápagos Islands. In 2021 there were only 211 animals remaining. This market will resolve YES if the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana is d... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5099448037981693, "platformFee": 0.5099448037981693, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326536624 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4cc7-9a85-a775269ceaa5", "createdTime": 1711791116106}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1711791116112}, {"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "... | ["extinction-risk", "animals", "environment-243810591da2", "biodiversity", "zoology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326533371 | 1712396823339 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8bzbkKMyo7EiPJ0jAa6N | will-ai-decide-to-uncouple-its-dest | 325.1614888927971 | Will AI decide to uncouple its destiny from humanity's? | 4142267940000 | ChkIUvDGJqPjAcsjRqLdvzWfeyw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711791766948 | Simone Romeo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Besides the boom vs doom AI scenario, one of the discussions regarding a post AGI world involves coupled VS uncoupled. See below the definition we'll use for this market:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SimoneRomeo | 1713094457931 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsTe1OuSlrF4Bq4iBBPjtQlimBPGxShXSI_8Cz0MehwA=s96-c | 11 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "912760a3ea2e", "prob": 0.12493207092383711, "text": "By 2035", "index": 0, "poolNo": 47.04149412283005, "userId": "ChkIUvDGJqPjAcsjRqLdvzWfeyw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 329.49508111338906, "textFts": "'2035':2", "contractId": "8bzbkKMyo7EiPJ0jAa6N", "createdTime": 1711791766948, "probChanges": {"day": 2.... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702703079293 | 0 | [{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1711791767445}, {"name": "AI Doom", "slug": "ai-doom", "groupId": "UIAZgEDhRk62eZLK9SXB", "createdTime": 1711791767479}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711791767478}, {"name"... | ["ai-safety", "ai-doom", "ai", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1713094457931 | 1711814337497 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.1938505866606869 | L8zeF4mtLKPCj0mOTRWo | {"NO": 183.034887122918, "YES": 4357.331961598006} | 0 | polymarket-taylor-swift-travis-kelc | 4538.796995165956 | [Polymarket] Taylor Swift + Travis Kelce break up before May? | 1714597140000 | mUIasYUSZAeX1onF3WLcxTGKyc32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1711792957981 | Guuber | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-x-kelce-split-before-may/taylor-swift-x-kelce-split-before-may?tid=1711792711950", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1205720099097025, "platformFee": 3.1205720099097025, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714843993941 | 380 | Guuber3 | 1714597140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4nTYTAAFTAO0Klhu7qYlB3dZkzzDXYRTf4iM1A=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672015856234 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714594705224 | 1714661084466 | 0.01 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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DTzbUEB67jkW93u2JWqo | who-is-ultimately-behind-the-xz-bac | 1393.2260608513948 | Who is ultimately behind the xz backdoor? | 1735682340000 | TD2B82c9QsehM8kBCZGCRCo63Au1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711798398243 | Lasse Rasinen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The xz software package has been compromised by what appears to be a long and well-planned operation.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Assuming the perpetrator has the nation state resources be... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.00717433779396, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | LasseRasinen | 1720012083951 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtf10K1zU-KWBKnWHEOj6m9-Qw4wicOY1x1XQl34hRMRgSE=s96-c | 25 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "c5227ecdc7e5", "prob": 0.4895279593377329, "text": "Russia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 133.4255290097237, "userId": "TD2B82c9QsehM8kBCZGCRCo63Au1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 139.13403876293413, "textFts": "'russia':1", "contractId": "DTzbUEB67jkW93u2JWqo", "createdTime": 1711798398243, "probChanges": {"day": 1.... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691147208169 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711798398439}, {"name": "Computing", "slug": "computing", "groupId": "da762731-b2b2-4571-9c5d-f86d326bb016", "createdTime": 1711798398444}, {"name": "Cybersecurity", "slug": "cybersecurity", "groupId": "ed5f0e20-b97... | ["politics-default", "computing", "cybersecurity", "information-security", "xz-backdoor"] | 0.25 | 1720012080841 | 1712130626283 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
T3im1C5EHZ5E1vgSCQ93 | -will-1-purdue-or-2-tennessee-win-t | 10808.766365110509 | 🏀 Will #1 Purdue or #2 Tennessee win their Elite 8 game? (2024 March Madness) | 1711917926390 | 9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | df2c5f8aeb1e | public | 1711798459088 | David Glidden | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711917926390 | 420 | dglid | 1720053161621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | 18 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "df2c5f8aeb1e", "prob": 0.9987585562244436, "text": "#1 Purdue", "color": "#ffeb3b", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7908.145046000759, "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.829720488869983, "textFts": "'1':1 'purdu':2", "contractId": "T3im1C5EHZ5E1vgSCQ93", "resolverId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1643941084707 | 0 | [{"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1711798459292}, {"name": "⛹️ March Madness", "slug": "march-madness", "groupId": "Tp4TDTWUGnEUMvBcCPIR", "createdTime": 1711798459294}, {"name": "ncaa", "slug": "ncaa", "groupId": "0089d3a3-faef-4d59-a524-c05928b6583e", "... | ["basketball", "march-madness", "ncaa", "sports-default", "march-madness-2024", "sports-betting", "college-basketball", "ncaa-tournament"] | 0.25 | 1711917804615 | 1711799095448 | {"df2c5f8aeb1e": 100} | 9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7090032085020546 | 6dGjR7EWKXeh4jlPJtrL | {"NO": 5272.958048596087, "YES": 30.581275016543387} | 1 | will-marques-brownlee-make-a-video | 1216.715514198203 | Will Marques Brownlee make a video on the US DOJ lawsuit vs Apple and publish it on the MKBHD channel before May 2024? | 1712508697959 | zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.067623395104884 | True | play | YES | public | 1711798514372 | ~deleted~ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0023746998604392555} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712508697959 | 400 | _deleted_ | 1712508762123 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672001526837 | 0 | [{"name": "United States v Apple", "slug": "united-states-v-apple", "groupId": "8c424cb4-2626-4e41-a133-7ab5d17d0e94", "createdTime": 1711798514496}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711798514502}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainmen... | ["united-states-v-apple", "technology-default", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "youtube", "apple"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712506486014 | 1712508761710 | 1 | zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7032611034777777 | OtJ5KBJJqmqsPphLYdzP | {"NO": 268.79111899808106, "YES": 155.83357016982293} | 1 | will-twin-oaks-game-night-at-beechs | 328.656750132321 | Will Twin Oaks game night at Beechside happen on Friday 4/5? | 1712375940000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.057682942025485 | True | play | YES | public | 1711798701134 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if at least three people complete at least one game on Friday 4/5 between 7pm and 10pm in Beechside.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.19654628810156616} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712410209158 | 200 | AdderOaks | 1712375940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1711798701262}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712354910969 | 0.8 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Q67XeIO9ov1ZGWUpRoN8 | how-much-will-godzilla-x-kong-2024 | 2807.0382167303433 | How much will GODZILLA X KONG (2024) gross domestically during its first two months of release? | 1716906274431 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711799189394 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "These markets will resolve based on the (cumulative) \"DOMESTIC\" gross for \"Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire\" (2024) listed by BoxOfficeMojo ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "two months after release ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.147237740456687, "platformFee": 1.6750508249241527, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716906274431 | 355 | Ziddletwix | 1716906274431 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "c16dc3259a90", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Over $160 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 474.5446061482088, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.793379860082922, "textFts": "'160':2 'million':3", "contractId": "Q67XeIO9ov1ZGWUpRoN8", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfG... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1711799189634}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1711799189638}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fO... | ["movies", "television-film", "entertainment", "animal-welfare", "culture-default", "boxoffice"] | 0.25 | 1716840812515 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | old | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4946650017765734 | MZbCKd64eofjZ5m5Qo9r | {"NO": 218.9867259175848, "YES": 147.22743867298703} | 0.5928335793726927 | will-the-galapagos-land-iguana-cono | 81 | Will the Galápagos Land Iguana (Conolophus subcristatus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711799214033 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Galápagos Land Iguana is a large species of lizard that is endemic to the Galápagos Islands. It is one of three species of the genus Conolophus. This market will resolve YES if the Galápagos Land Iguana is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 o... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7951106050010635, "platformFee": 0.7951106050010635, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326526145 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Environment", "slug": "environment-243810591da2", "groupId": "b31ce04a-9c58-4318-988e-28474c7761f2", "createdTime": 1711799214178}, {"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4cc7-9a85-a775269ceaa5", "createdTime": 1711799214188}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "... | ["environment-243810591da2", "extinction-risk", "animals", "biodiversity", "zoology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326522764 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2635741411290801 | PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o | {"NO": 791.5524504061365, "YES": 1784.8938687741127} | 0.13698129801975975 | will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to | 2221.5752245068525 | Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030? | 1893531540000 | yjJC1SJ9CRW4oZ57Bd6iVSa1Zog1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.693878064384966 | False | basic | public | 1711799347547 | VL | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.03975345350899118} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.323944330511868, "platformFee": 0.8641634325631798, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | V_L | 1718331419126 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJO0HqLtPn54Ew5gH5OErAma_8RSz9MXnGCpXWxQtnM=s96-c | 36 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711359221179 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1711799347767}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1711799347774}, {"name": "🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "c... | ["ukraine", "russia", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718331416020 | 1717353104985 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5394797215218076 | bBvY2I4xS9v3ll2qxwFz | {"NO": 184.3236551716344, "YES": 174.49323960780993} | 0 | will-there-be-a-grumpy-3x5-about-th | 133.1272600853905 | Will there be a grumpy 3x5 about the Twin Oaks prediction market by April 6th? | 1712462340000 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7479344440716207 | True | play | NO | public | 1711803262974 | Adder Oaks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anyone posts on the 3x5 board about the Twin Oaks prediction market in a way that Adder deems \"grumpy\", on or before April 6, 2024, this will resolve to YES. In Adder's best judgement, this card must be from someone who is genuinely grumpy.", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5530633066167806} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712658099148 | 180 | AdderOaks | 1712462340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJEo51u8FKE38OpktEQ2q0-hVALIfQxYjYqZ_vV6g-z=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711741065144 | 0 | [{"name": "Twin Oaks", "slug": "twin-oaks", "groupId": "e97dbd1c-075d-4ecb-afd5-52168a5534e3", "createdTime": 1711803277136}] | ["twin-oaks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712061085953 | 0.55 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | Y9zs6zFr1cVMi34RJY5OOo7513B2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7077776865053793 | hJ53v9bNRZEfuNlNNgnZ | {"NO": 13603.791523828892, "YES": 332.81911804681624} | 1 | will-donald-trump-be-convicted-of-a-a2e38b82f455 | 15260.899352741528 | Will Donald Trump be convicted of at least 1 of the felony counts against him before the 2024 election? | 1718894678225 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | YES | public | 1711803338433 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if former President Donald J. Trump has been declared guilty of ≥1 criminal offense that he is being accused of (currently facing 91 felony counts across 4 cases) by either the verdict of a jury or the decision of a judge before voting... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.011125597543441668} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 60.591591181248695, "platformFee": 0.35773594896469574, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718894678225 | 1000 | RiskOptimization | 1718894678225 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1711803338570}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1711803338571}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId... | ["2024-3d9da60b52f8", "the-life-of-biden", "trump-indictments", "magaland", "us-politics", "law-order", "trial-of-the-century", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718894653374 | 1718894665795 | 0.99 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8czwtMFvriSKkDgU8MFA | who-will-release-a-presidential-ele | 2867.4152036704013 | Who will release a presidential election model first | 1718238556222 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 829ce4e3eb02 | public | 1711803855762 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Nate Silver announces that he leased his model out to a third party it counts as releasing it.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.25713920232822, "platformFee": 2.8350073336377544, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718238556222 | 1000 | JamesF | 1720053161621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "51fed4a00c63", "prob": 0.050000000000000086, "text": "Nate Silver", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 118.18423752162835, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2245.5005129109345, "textFts": "'nate':1 'silver':2", "contractId": "8czwtMFvriSKkDgU8MFA", "resolverId": "nvw... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1711803855954}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711803855960}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "gro... | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "elections", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1718238493061 | 1718238534891 | {"829ce4e3eb02": 100} | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4710523271544394 | OqZssWk8CTPPOQIBig0R | {"NO": 1243.0637012447344, "YES": 1204.881320401672} | 0.47883207580810844 | will-any-country-grant-legal-rights | 1979.3092423502103 | Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040? | 2240607540000 | c7Xgun1DE5WQ4bVESe4d2UrpDBg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.7143925238568 | False | basic | public | 1711804816048 | M.F.S. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Do note that animals and plants as we currently know them are not included in the question, as that would result in a trivial market.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.01883207580810864} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.811489261078905, "platformFee": 4.19581865866234, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1227.5 | MFS | 1718917264155 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRcaiwhjLvYRW-CGl-IdrGFuE87vgS_qIUgOm5hiln=s96-c | 52 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711639969562 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711804816189}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711804816190}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOp... | ["technology-default", "politics-default", "science-default", "world-default", "aliens", "ai", "futurism"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718917260958 | 1712154413464 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4Eyl8qr2jGdQV7hKLyiG | dallas-cowboys-2025-week-one-dak-pr | 495.1158928640307 | Dallas Cowboys 2025 Week One: Dak Prescott vs Mike McCarthy | 1759247940000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711805630521 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves to what is true on Week One of the 2025 NFL Season. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will resolve early if both Prescott and McCarthy have 'left' the team, or if Prescot... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | JoshuaWilkes | 1712569489270 | 0 | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "14db4e15c564", "prob": 0.15000000000000008, "text": "Prescott is not on roster; McCarthy is not Head Coach", "index": 0, "poolNo": 19.560384041397704, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 110.84217623458692, "textFts": "'coach':10 'head':9 'mccarthi':6 'prescott':1 'roster':5"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1711805630796}, {"name": "OverReaction Monday", "slug": "overreaction-monday", "groupId": "0a11612e-6cbf-49f1-85ec-cda954edded3", "createdTime": 1711805630809}, {"name": "NFL Futures", "slug": "nfl-futures", "groupId": "470aae8a-05a8-4... | ["nfl", "overreaction-monday", "nfl-futures"] | 0.25 | 1712569485782 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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wsQdgofM3hP56iAMzX00 | which-smartwatch-will-i-buy | 3752.4368738924973 | Which smartwatch will I buy? | 1716902880791 | oXhTaUb3s8hfWsBNmgv48copQZ72 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 3d310b12dae5 | public | 1711806452685 | Milli | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which smartwatch will I buy before the end of May (market close)?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Add answers and argue in the comments!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "p... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.57937132463252, "platformFee": 0.9524142936887594, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716902880791 | 1000 | Milli | 1716902880791 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMilli%2FzVxW3CGtZf.com-gif-maker%20(7)?alt=media&token=3c866c61-92ae-45ce-8d90-75e99f32f1e4 | 12 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "db34d0afc971", "prob": 0.006794850964781283, "text": "None", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.43528742735691, "userId": "oXhTaUb3s8hfWsBNmgv48copQZ72", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2402.3502771925937, "textFts": "'none':1", "contractId": "wsQdgofM3hP56iAMzX00", "resolverId": "oXhTaUb3s8hfWsBNmgv48copQZ72", "createdTim... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1641889927848 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1711806452886}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711806452898}, {"name": "Watches", "slug": "watches", "groupId": "7b7ffecf-dac9-4508-aff8-ef4bf011cb40",... | ["personal", "technology-default", "watches"] | 0.25 | 1716902863482 | 1716546984074 | {"3d310b12dae5": 100} | oXhTaUb3s8hfWsBNmgv48copQZ72 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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MM3NHgK520AT83wOEvh4 | who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-c | 6453.524209950308 | Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? | 253392503340000 | 4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711807787239 | Tripping | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "An answer resolves YES once... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.525737511520358, "platformFee": 19.342069329798793, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 3005 | Tripping | 1719743355323 | 0 | 35 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c7db243603cc", "prob": 0.10610964070961455, "text": "Chrystia Freeland", "index": 0, "poolNo": 30.564019986210912, "userId": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 257.4778561507, "textFts": "'chrystia':1 'freeland':2", "contractId": "MM3NHgK520AT83wOEvh4", "createdTime": 1711807787239, "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669033757222 | 0 | [{"name": "Prime Ministers", "slug": "prime-ministers", "groupId": "f1dd44e7-2ff1-4c96-b416-b7aad9d03b0c", "createdTime": 1711807787559}, {"name": "Will They Be Leader Someday?", "slug": "will-they-be-leader-someday", "groupId": "82c51cc8-8ef8-4927-ac9d-f46f053369dd", "createdTime": 1711807787563}, {"name": "Canada", "... | ["prime-ministers", "will-they-be-leader-someday", "canada", "politics-default", "canadian-politics"] | 0.25 | 1719743352111 | 1718289512759 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
OsUuSvVR0gMmFgJZgAqi | what-year-will-the-cost-of-solar-en | 426.1168236978159 | What year will the cost of solar energy drop to 2 cents/kWh? | 1924988340000 | lTYsNQ5HB0TagJeITqfm7jvq3pb2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711808072815 | Marty Dettmann | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The US Department of Energy launched the Sunshot Initiative in 2011 with the goal of reducing the cost of solar energy by 75% by the end of the decade, to about 6 cents/kWh at a utility scale. That goal was met in 2017.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type"... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.14987311175548926, "platformFee": 0.020603566573528784, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | MartyDettmann | 1719699917390 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4X4k5peP3YYJWBXSzhmIMRoOAjScc3GzTCFflw=s96-c | 7 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "08ca3b5a0f5f", "prob": 0.015355130065257466, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.959454697715792, "userId": "lTYsNQ5HB0TagJeITqfm7jvq3pb2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 189.77448406662313, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "OsUuSvVR0gMmFgJZgAqi", "createdTime": 1711808072815, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674507974528 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1711808073080}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1711808073085}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "cre... | ["economics-default", "energy", "technology-default", "renewable-energy", "-solar"] | 0.25 | 1719699913330 | 1712293783903 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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YrQ3W0oQK2BBshGVO42c | when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit | 1431.551757573303 | When will Starship fly in space with a human on board? | 1893538740000 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711808475643 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in som... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.280175608046008, "platformFee": 1.9251773211089405, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | OlegEterevsky | 1718272813691 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 17 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "2afedf96e5b7", "prob": 0.030495970362770214, "text": "Before 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.283210057278174, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 263.3333333333332, "textFts": "'2025':2", "contractId": "YrQ3W0oQK2BBshGVO42c", "createdTime": 1711808475644, "probChanges": {"day"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711808475971}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1711808475973}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1Z... | ["technology-default", "space-exploration", "space", "spacex"] | 0.25 | 1718272810069 | False | alphabetical | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
XIbdwmDboV66rRbb0cVb | will-instagram-to-lose-the-1200-mil | 245.5121765692278 | Will Instagram to lose the 1200 millions of users on 2024? | 1735685940000 | Hzt2ayjrMFgapgBffL8yrVKCrA22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711809323054 | GraspTheNet | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | graspthenet | 1713371978781 | 0 | 12 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "bc7d021830c7", "prob": 0.35901951721132924, "text": "It will be on 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 107.90153836783298, "userId": "Hzt2ayjrMFgapgBffL8yrVKCrA22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 192.6435105641977, "textFts": "'2025':5", "contractId": "XIbdwmDboV66rRbb0cVb", "createdTime": 1711809323054, "probChanges":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711564117457 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711809323325}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1711809323331}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9N... | ["technology-default", "culture-default", "manifold-6748e065087e", "world-default", "twitter", "instagram", "social-media"] | 0.25 | 1713371975379 | 1711879432385 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lFs6Rht9Uvm0lFZ2Jvlc | draft-bounty-market | 0 | Draft bounty market | 1711959584469 | vY6glTX3rBVWwpIrWthJt9dU41N2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711809380271 | Annabelle Stones | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711959584469 | AnnabelleStones | 1711809380271 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTSs8M3xd9H0XU9Q3VJrp1vNIp8Fn2yfQDRZySU2AI=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["2vSn6IqEisaEwwsw2FHA", "hMTR4fkMA4308JrGzVHU"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711754409190 | 0 | 0.25 | vY6glTX3rBVWwpIrWthJt9dU41N2 | 1600 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6484974108074238 | DmJMZKwDszUgM0pJ9Z0B | {"NO": 329.16635562136867, "YES": 192.25639956914873} | 0.7595427523707409 | warp-question | 284.982876312759 | Warp Question: | 1711897200000 | 0MdpNonf2MfpsKfjEBbuE2N5IdP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711813129354 | alt | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | alt1c25e | 1711869502153 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJlK7Iqhihlj-X8ZbFqT8LA4yiePH37nrLNDlNw5SsG=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 15 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711812571232 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711869498796 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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SnJF2XPv1l92nZDPe8pI | how-long-is-a-piece-of-string | 334.6178291318836 | How long is a piece of string? | 1714460340000 | QtJRN5FemkW3KZtCMJayxzIi0gT2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | cc37568c610d | public | 1711813427725 | E McNeill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have a piece of string between 0 and 100 inches in length. How long is it, in inches?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will not bet on this market.", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3422165286913916, "platformFee": 0.3422165286913916, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714489193832 | 280 | EMcNeill | 1714460340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1qMch5modbJaRv1LY30ehApvwDQzTDFDR8BisLwRs=s96-c | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4690fffc7c55", "prob": 0.022836173578671473, "text": "0-2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.7901843692814334, "userId": "QtJRN5FemkW3KZtCMJayxzIi0gT2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 119.39247288146785, "textFts": "'-2':2 '0':1", "contractId": "SnJF2XPv1l92nZDPe8pI", "resolverId": "QtJRN5FemkW3KZtCMJayxzIi0gT2", "create... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668445748368 | 0 | [{"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1711813428232}] | ["fun"] | 0.25 | 1714439034149 | {"cc37568c610d": 100} | QtJRN5FemkW3KZtCMJayxzIi0gT2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RwVdx0YidJEysUEszLKB | how-many-people-are-gonna-go-to-the | 184.99999999999991 | How many people are gonna go to the gym this evening? | 1711925940000 | xUpLjyJRsmdumUGoc5zzdb4OlH02 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1711813457483 | keti peranidze | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "WARP QUESTION", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716843668855 | 300 | ketiperanidze | 1711925940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLiVrnn4JN1Nq4TLo_lpEatoZy3tpjhnDrzjUw78ksp_as=s96-c | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "f12b08bf0469", "prob": 0.0047133433328718, "text": "0-2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.9497579587668136, "userId": "xUpLjyJRsmdumUGoc5zzdb4OlH02", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 200.55433196038072, "textFts": "'-2':2 '0':1", "contractId": "RwVdx0YidJEysUEszLKB", "resolverId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "createdT... | 12 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711812632442 | 0 | [{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1711813457738}] | ["science-default"] | 0.25 | 1711829323639 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20490085680087677 | 785XgA5NZ5OVZP6qtS6P | {"NO": 572.7250611836234, "YES": 4507.0586783206745} | 0 | will-israel-control-rafah-by-the-en | 13032.169814706474 | Will Israel control Rafah by the end of May? | 1717217940000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.181594064666392 | True | basic | NO | public | 1711813595604 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve YES if there is a media consensus that Israel controls the vast majority of Rafah by the end of May.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 109.31919256965115, "platformFee": 98.48117294935358, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717267400892 | 1000 | Noah1 | 1717267461406 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1711813595782}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1711813595783}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "createdTime": 1711813595... | ["wars", "israel", "gaza", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "arabisraeli-conflict"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717216673736 | 1717267459956 | 0.03 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8472148341019591 | VEe6dvF2Fv6Nr5A7Lwuu | {"NO": 149.5444628289033, "YES": 393.7398674588259} | 1 | will-more-people-press-yes-on-this | 1193.856550662884 | Will more WARP people press yes on this question? | 1711925940000 | dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0303650761100664 | True | play | YES | public | 1711814305424 | Aca 792 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.32194999161389437} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711938722677 | 380 | Aca792 | 1711925940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIfgec-nMugTvMi7pV_wfmmqHFSCd-OLA8Udjuuz1Kxvw=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711812641066 | 0 | [{"name": "Free Mana", "slug": "free-mana", "groupId": "6Kc95X62qKLbgghiIhu0", "createdTime": 1711814305543}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1711814305545}, {"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1711814305551}, {"name": ... | ["free-mana", "polls", "fun", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1711924267880 | 1711925929993 | 0.68 | dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48851635532194515 | u5cR5bb9yyrSK3dVzCnM | {"NO": 223.3839609710006, "YES": 258.2467815019242} | 0.4524030062245079 | will-the-comstock-act-be-used-again | 80 | Will the Comstock Act be used against the shipping of abortion pills nationally before 2028? | 1830319140000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711814722492 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve YES if the Comstock Act is enforced to stop the shipping of abortion pills nationally before 2028. Whether the attempt is struck down in the courts later does not matter for this question.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | Noah1 | 1711995743344 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711814722726}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1711814722731}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "c... | ["politics-default", "law-order", "us-politics", "abortion", "health"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711995739947 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sDMh0u39hTYNjydHQjjo | how-many-people-from-new-jersey-wil | 289.9865810201872 | Mysterious question | 1712444340000 | dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1711815409337 | Aca 792 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712459085302 | 160 | Aca792 | 1712444340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIfgec-nMugTvMi7pV_wfmmqHFSCd-OLA8Udjuuz1Kxvw=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "73cbbe92a172", "prob": 0.0007953384514554116, "text": "1-2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2244329019282713, "userId": "dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 281.9609707052724, "textFts": "'-2':2 '1':1", "contractId": "sDMh0u39hTYNjydHQjjo", "resolverId": "dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1", "create... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711812641066 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712161637006 | {"655170a500f9": 37.18819308067699, "a58b78121c1e": 62.811806919323004} | dEMHB4lg88gB0WrENj8SzKhLfEy1 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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8uJJ1SF2dqP8jkaET7ct | how-many-states-will-the-united-sta-897e6eb272c4 | 533.6222805271682 | How many states will the United States have in 2030 | 1893473940000 | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711817482333 | James Dillard | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Pretty straightforward to resolve assuming continuity of the current system. As an example, if Puerto Rico were to join as a state, then the number of states become 51. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.24394999798220346, "platformFee": 0.24394999798220346, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | jdilla | 1713898016718 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b37d4b54c7b0", "prob": 0.022410003697241956, "text": "49 or less", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.980682028829077, "userId": "UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 260.8948664819073, "textFts": "'49':1 'less':3", "contractId": "8uJJ1SF2dqP8jkaET7ct", "createdTime": 1711817482333, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640809152248 | 0 | [{"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1711817482538}, {"name": "Demographics", "slug": "demographics", "groupId": "o07IBKsPqPBxuYxDFGqT", "createdTime": 1711817482537}] | ["united-states", "demographics"] | 0.25 | 1713898013332 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28278702849856835 | Q0dgvzqcUTEhwGk5LcYg | {"NO": 163.1450233307515, "YES": 343.8274439402653} | 0.15760207432047618 | will-egypts-new-administrative-capi-1dc3e21df78c | 239.18806685533787 | Will Egypt’s new administrative capital be finished before the Sagrada familia is fully finished | 2554001940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711817539920 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Egypt’s new administrative capital must have all the districts 95% finished including all major projects. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Sagrada familia must have fully finished construction and not just claim... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | JamesF | 1712456515491 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1711817540054}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1711817540064}, {"name": "Egypt", "slug": "egypt", "groupId": "R0KeEWpk7FkLtU65NtBw", "createdTime": 1711817540077}... | ["spain", "world-default", "egypt", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712456511180 | 1711819890199 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2036752903630406 | t5QVpM4gU2z0uaEnXFew | {"NO": 926.1459580012487, "YES": 1205.949050647432} | 0.16417719910345524 | will-spacex-perform-fewer-launches | 416.981678224687 | Will SpaceX perform fewer launches in 2025 than 2024? | 1767340740000 | 7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.48255894296203 | False | basic | public | 1711818015878 | Dan Homerick | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "SpaceX's launch cadence has generally increased from year to year. Their workhorse Falcon 9 can lift approximately 25 tons to LEO. Their upcoming Starship, once operational, is claimed to be able to lift 4-6x as much. Its greater capacity could red... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.008103488661167307} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.125246433241249, "platformFee": 0.48529963397678755, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | DanHomerick | 1719168039299 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708821930891 | 0 | [{"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1711818017655}, {"name": "Rockets", "slug": "rockets", "groupId": "Z1UrYn5vMs6e3iJAifxC", "createdTime": 1711818018256}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711818018273}] | ["spacex", "rockets", "space"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719168036172 | 1711844334368 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PIUp1yPAlsAwHyNKtqUT | where-will-my-home-address-be-in-20-fa9f49334dcf | 19.609899989511877 | Where will my home address be in 2028 | 1861937940000 | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711818088009 | James Dillard | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I currently live in the Atlanta metro area. I’ve listed the other places I’ve lived as an adult, have family, or have a professional connection to. If you have questions that would inform your bet, ask and I’ll answer!", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5045170880434142, "platformFee": 0.5045170880434142, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 245 | jdilla | 1713883868642 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "bfcb75d524f4", "prob": 0.1276351230632404, "text": "Atlanta Metro Area, Georgia, USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 19.46805046143991, "userId": "UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 133.06089293757978, "textFts": "'area':3 'atlanta':1 'georgia':4 'metro':2 'usa':5", "contractId": "PIUp1yPAlsAw... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640809152248 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1711818088358}, {"name": "Demographics", "slug": "demographics", "groupId": "o07IBKsPqPBxuYxDFGqT", "createdTime": 1711818088368}] | ["personal", "demographics"] | 0.25 | 1713883865237 | True | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5111900902475864 | lHaFgr9hY0p41WxrotPE | {"NO": 158.87496825856138, "YES": 160.8680657910488} | 0.508074499007106 | in-season-twos-liveaction-adaptatio | 39.7057889013871 | In Season Two's live-action adaptation, will Kung Fu Dugong appear? | 1735682340000 | iPQVGUbwOfT3MmWIZs3JaruVzhV2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711818490466 | Mugiwaraplus | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16761810832752658, "platformFee": 0.16761810832752658, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | Mugiwaraplus | 1713832287418 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709806129022 | 0 | [{"name": "One piece theories", "slug": "one-piece-theories", "groupId": "78f2f6a8-571e-44b4-976c-937610a9375b", "createdTime": 1711818490641}, {"name": "🏴☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1711818490663}] | ["one-piece-theories", "one-piece-stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713832283892 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8156907531698401 | nyMHWZAR5IyQPqWVGyye | {"NO": 1400.4720251881195, "YES": 871.8065124371846} | 0.8766862633746287 | will-there-be-a-commercial-mining-o | 676.8541719892806 | Will there be a commercial mining operation on the moon 2080 | 3471310740000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.822961871180286 | False | basic | public | 1711819618229 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There must be mining for profit run by a company", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 6.661338147750939e-16, "week": 6.661338147750939e-16, "month": 6.661338147750939e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1712367046076 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1711819618406}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1711819618404}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC"... | ["space-exploration", "economics-default", "space", "moon", "companies"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712367042501 | 1711824991852 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4208436434805648 | 8SOt8NhRWWKbkanwg8XV | {"NO": 7499.785982182414, "YES": 55.04762930775223} | 1 | will-donald-trump-get-convicted-of | 9972.977320285221 | Will Donald Trump get convicted of a felony before he picks his VP | 1718393080652 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.639008976784051 | True | basic | YES | public | 1711819974906 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010000000000000009} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 66.91129813813667, "platformFee": 30.60712443810586, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718393080652 | 1000 | JamesF | 1718393080652 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 53 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711819975130}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1711819975132}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA... | ["politics-default", "magaland", "us-politics", "trump-vp", "2024-republican-primaries", "trump-indictments", "donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717112255286 | 0.99 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5323903915485618 | BmK6wCA9ol7sjaqB9ZGt | {"NO": 976.9576983835864, "YES": 2416.1829458892335} | 0.3152349260032468 | will-openaimicrosoft-officially-con | 6669.202484244225 | In 2024, will OpenAI/Microsoft confirm plans to build a supercomputer like the rumored $100 billion "Stargate"? | 1735718340000 | 8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.005498619290368 | False | basic | public | 1711820210684 | Manifold AI | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If OpenAI and/or Microsoft officially confirm their plans to build something broadly similar to the rumored \"Stargate\" project by the end of 2024, this market resolves YES. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conte... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 0.011135841722638373, "month": -0.2699745702291792} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 117.82897707603937, "platformFee": 30.368980273819982, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1590.25 | ManifoldAI | 1720023920851 | 0 | 76 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711068181629 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711820210839}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1711820210851}, {"name": "AI Regulation", "slug": "ai-regulation", "groupId": "OGLYAD1HuqANuck9D9kY", "createdTime": 1711820210853}... | ["ai", "openai", "ai-regulation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720023917269 | 1717400181839 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4929216874046467 | lNtmiwAC0fBtJ7hYdi9v | {"NO": 123.61575418724685, "YES": 208.45740068105232} | 0.3656621565242501 | will-the-santa-fe-land-iguana-aka-b | 71 | Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711821824715 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Santa Fe Land Iguana is a large species of lizard that is endemic to Santa Fe Island in the Galápagos Islands. This market will resolve YES if the Santa Fe Land Iguana is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not decl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7273711751080696, "platformFee": 0.7273711751080696, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326518843 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Zoology", "slug": "zoology", "groupId": "tvzqaAGtUlwMWPfYQLuh", "createdTime": 1711821824869}, {"name": "Biodiversity", "slug": "biodiversity", "groupId": "3721391e-74a0-4bca-9813-fe741dc4306e", "createdTime": 1711821824876}, {"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "19a4aeaa-d9f9-4c... | ["zoology", "biodiversity", "extinction-risk", "animals", "environment-243810591da2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326515527 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6211483996015446 | 6wu2sxykfsZbPcbUZrFV | {"NO": 302.86534331791887, "YES": 199.05205245699344} | 0.7138480955264648 | will-any-of-the-people-mentioned-in | 225.15244861406046 | Will any of the people mentioned in the market in the description become US President at some point in their life? | 2217221940000 | 8MEqBKc0ETbArhlgup8nsY5iajs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711821843004 | M | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will any of the people mentioned in the market in the description become President of the United States at some point in their life?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Tripping/who-wi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2543767982704596, "platformFee": 0.2543767982704596, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | mb | 1713898061634 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659666299536 | 0 | [{"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "createdTime": 1711821843181}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711821843177}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presid... | ["future-us-presidents", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713898058098 | 1711821885687 |
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