CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

kVjo986JtbmTV7opgteW

mls-season-pass-apple-vision-pro

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MLS Season Pass <> Apple Vision Pro

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cpmm-multi-1

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10.586609649448985

False

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1711730823241

Charlie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add other predictions. Will likely extend close date beyond 2024 to add other options. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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Charlie

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ANYONE

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["apple-vision-pro", "mls", "apple", "major-league-soccer", "technology-default", "us-soccer"]

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will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-943e01a5f2da

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Will the highest temperature in NYC today be higher than the previous day?

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cpmm-multi-1

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10.586609649448985

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1711731324561

Ammon Lam

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to Yes if the Highest temperature in NYC on the specified day is higher than the previous day ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves to No otherwise (in case of a tie, resolves to No) ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "ha...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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did-you-read-the-new-covid-acx-post

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Did you read the new Covid ACX Post? Zoonotic or Lab Leak?

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none

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True

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Joshua

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POLL

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Joshua

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Will the Northern Elephant Seal (Mirounga angustirostris) become extinct in the current century?

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cpmm-1

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Extinction Risk

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will-the-southern-elephant-seal-mir

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Will the Southern Elephant Seal (Mirounga leonina) become extinct in the current century?

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cpmm-1

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Extinction Risk

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BINARY

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0.3333333333333333

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1716326621542

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Where am I? - Geolocation quiz 🔍🌃

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cpmm-multi-1

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arbitrary 🫃

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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ANYONE

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Do you follow @scottalexander? How are you betting on the AI movie market?

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none

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True

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robm

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POLL

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robm

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🍎 Will Apple announce ANY new products in April?

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cpmm-1

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If DJT becomes president will he order an invasion of Canada?

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jokes-bounty

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What is the funniest Joke?

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Bayesian

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BOUNTIED_QUESTION

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Will the Kansas City Royals/Chiefs stadium sales tax pass? (Jackson County Question 1)

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FH

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How many prophecies in the Bible will be complete by the end of April???

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kanebloodworth

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⚽ Will Villarreal beat Atletico Madrid during regular time on Mon, Apr 1, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸

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cpmm-1

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Franklin Baldo

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Risky bet: Am I wearing blue?

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cpmm-1

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user

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for-how-many-days-will-numeric-mark

1354

For how many days will numeric markets be enabled?

1712386740000

AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

56a020ecf53c

public

1711735917385

Ian Philips

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putin-explicitly-claims-a-video-cli

154.9245034258327

Putin explicitly claims a video clip is fake that Western media claim is real before EOY 2024

1735718340000

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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play

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1711736024253

Henri Thunberg

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https://firebasestorage.…fa3-77eaaa8c1e8b

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will-my-wallet-contract-inplugv2-co

233.74111768690906

Will my wallet contract `inplug-v2` contain bugs which can lead to loss of TON?

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1711737057309

Ender Ting

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AnT

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will-the-robinhood-gold-card-still

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Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

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cpmm-1

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DanMan314

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will-jon-stewart-be-the-official-ho

35.849889165594064

Will Jon Stewart be the official host of The Daily Show for any period in January 2025?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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sortwie

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Will Trump’s net worth be greater than Mark Cuban’s on Election Day 2024?

1730782740000

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1711738325455

Charlie Bauer

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220

CharlieBauer

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1713166696244

0.7958757050759936

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0.8381008982359139

will-over-200-people-be-on-the-moon

493.3121486034722

Will over 200 people be on the moon at any given time before a baby if born on the moon

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cpmm-1

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9.726398640112798

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basic

public

1711738977087

James

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JamesF

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1712317133956

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is-chatgpt-trying-to-make-a-masterp-7e7950c3f310

530.9702197577353

Is ChatGPT trying to make a "masterpiece" or "amateur" painting? Round 2: Impressionist

1712984340000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

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True

play

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VerySeriousPoster

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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1713062844943

540

VerySeriousPoster

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1713062864129

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ucl-quarter-finals-prop-bets

2189.19571115485

UCL Quarter Finals Prop Bets

1713387540000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

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mr.npc

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "RESOLUTION + EXTRA INFO", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Firs tLeg and Second Leg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1: The Comeback", "type": "text"}]}, {"type":...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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kyambvthi

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0

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1713384347035

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m8ZR0Zc3tAe0Ar6SURm0hAJgPjw2

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how-many-comments-will-there-be-on

281.12711612210825

How many comments will there be on the Popularity Contest when no more mana is being given away?

1712503077920

JCN5ptf5GGdFaakgcnJ4TPZa0no2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

4c5816a68db8

public

1711739824418

gpt_news_headlines

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See the popularity contest here - ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/Gen/popularity-contest-comment-and-get", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.mar...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1712503077920

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gpt_news_headlines

1712503096079

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1712490318565

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{"4c5816a68db8": 100}

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asi-when-and-what-civilization-in-y

118.94451623679433

ASI when? and What Civilization in year 3000?

32503784340000

srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1711740855401

Bayesian

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1719072146258

1711964721711

True

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what-will-be-true-of-grok2

2379.9207683208174

What will be true of Grok-2?

1735718340000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1711740866172

Dan

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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1000

DanMan314

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ANYONE

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0.25

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liquidity

0.4407662103052456

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1711769369848

Stochastic Cockatoo

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will-we-hear-vegapunks-message-with

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Will we hear vegapunk’s message within the next 3 - 5 chapters?

1716618395954

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1711769887126

taetae ❤️

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will-vegapunks-message-be-interrupt

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Will vegapunk’s message be interrupted before we can fully hear it?

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taetae ❤️

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What will be the final cost of the Francis Scott Key bridge replacement (in 2024 $millions)

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What will be the final cost of the Francis Scott Key bridge replacement (in 2024 $millions)

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Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on March 30?

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cpmm-1

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milwaukee-brewers-beat-new-york-met-776ea80daa69

7522.312947320004

Milwaukee Brewers beat New York Mets on March 30?

1711831282709

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cpmm-1

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3.531670708824241

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1711773062283

Keenen W

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detroit-tigers-beat-chicago-white-s

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Detroit Tigers beat Chicago White Sox on March 30?

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3.6318651433917113

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YES

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1711773237306

Keenen W

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los-angeles-angels-beat-baltimore-o

5133

Los Angeles Angels beat Baltimore Orioles on March 30?

1711840047742

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cpmm-1

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3.6471131351444255

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1711773317553

Keenen W

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atlanta-braves-beat-philadelphia-ph-52348a8033df

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Atlanta Braves beat Philadelphia Phillies on March 30?

1711841756297

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cpmm-1

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2.993897267496598

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1711773387770

Keenen W

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nobara-kugisaki-stocks

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Nobara Kugisaki Stocks

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Cleveland Guardians beat Oakland Athletics on March 30?

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washington-nationals-beat-cincinnat

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Washington Nationals beat Cincinnati Reds on March 30?

1711840098084

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