CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

0.5242607950082198

riJa513aWKCkCG9bKfrA

{"NO": 144.79594376065245, "YES": 83.81357478166589}

0.6556232227645289

damank

95.20405623934766

Damank

1729054740000

qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668354373429

Orangie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "stock market is like a shop where like the limbs of a company is sold. Now, the money you used to buy their limbs will be used by the company to fund other things for their own. U might wonder why some stocks are expensive. Well let's put it this w...

BINARY

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

110

Orangie

1717223527457

0

https://firebasestorage.…64f-6c2df6a25e6e

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…7cf-3452933f3168

4

[{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668354373638}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737110704}, {"name": "🎲 Unra...

["eto", "ancient-markets", "nonpredictive"]

0.5

False

1685238013229

1668354472297

0.20918612590486887

eGFytfHFQ26lt8rEpVVY

{"NO": 372.9527796281191, "YES": 1266.7434107144759}

0

will-gretchen-whitmer-run-for-presi

2035.100765258526

Will Gretchen Whitmer run for president in 2024?

1704085140000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

1.2298576868965918

True

play

NO

public

1668355394054

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if she files paperwork and makes a public announcement. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704085607438

530

BTE

1704085607777

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

28

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d6e-124b5589071a

9

[{"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1668355394311}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime...

["2024-us-presidential-election", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.11225517728178895

0.5

1699345928660

1668355490953

0.07

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

0.6261670606629512

f8jKIGilfLwsnV0YthXA

{"NO": 309.25940985236963, "YES": 77.403335331423}

1

will-ken-griffin-be-associated-with

1898.7761782455525

Will Ken Griffin be associated with any nine figure real estate or art transactions by the end of 2022?

1672549140000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

2.6660619305644477

True

play

YES

public

1668355579583

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673302289799

150

BTE

1672389769225

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

8

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…64b-b1c1a66318c8

5

[{"name": "Business", "slug": "business", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1668355580133}]

["business"]

0.5

1672389769112

1671001372656

0.87

WgNjBGkWuHCgfBn2C0eH

monthly-paper-search-2-which-ai-pap

10

Monthly Paper Search #2: Which AI paper will I find most impressive/interesting this month?

1671004740000

acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.988398938453521

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668355829622

Vincent Luczkow

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The paper has to actually be released this month, not just get big on twitter.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If you post a paper please put it in a comment: I will tip papers I like regardle...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672683310374

240

vluzko

1672683309677

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7b-ff4904405776

2

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "d4fd5ab560a5", "prob": 0.8264462809917356, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 90.89406337102493, "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 19.08775330791523, "textFts": "", "contractId": "WgNjBGkWuHCgfBn2C0eH", "createdTime": 1668355830041, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...

4

https://firebasestorage.…30b-feaed899edea

4

[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1668355829909}]

["ai"]

1669506449452

1672683306771

True

0.628471941931474

0l3YawE7yYWu38XdJYUe

{"NO": 251.85450260572432, "YES": 272.3822276311689}

0.6099999999999987

mmbp

2076.9713094715617

MMBP

33217163036437

qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668357337327

Orangie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

270

Orangie

1713585592754

0

https://firebasestorage.…64f-6c2df6a25e6e

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…04f-5f612e30797e

12

[{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668357370419}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e", "createdTime": 1689991155213}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "gro...

["eto", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1679068033253

1668357486976

False

0.7508557099677583

CzpuFTO54zLMnFLD2NYv

{"NO": 45717.79816873582, "YES": 383.0451294313215}

1

will-vladimir-putin-be-reelected-pr

86542.52455486741

Will Vladimir Putin be reelected President of Russia in March 2024?

1711857540000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0.4541222781105383

0.28453573788445397

True

basic

YES

public

1668357366620

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0027723840132218847}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1712720091791

1415

BTE

1712806327674

2.3

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

0

96

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…46b-be8a551ce0de

15

[{"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1668357366884}, {"name": "Mana Seeds Experiment", "slug": "mana-seeds-experiment", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "ezH8vzlbGZr8W8R1duXz", "createdTime": 1668357405849},...

["russia", "mana-seeds-experiment", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.1880126555940726

0.5

1711851569728

1712806327236

False

1

4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2

0.49911457034097273

Qgtsb1TQkRUDZn8aPJP7

{"NO": 143.76936515961322, "YES": 117.2136065160641}

0.5500000000000003

mizkif-approval-rating-permanent

179.330304083267

Mizkif Approval Rating (Permanent)

2524712340000

KrkBGuJrCaewm2btWUu8wgs1whu2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668357758822

Ziquafty Nny

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Like", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = Dislike", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Best Photo I could find of him online.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt":...

BINARY

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

130

ZiquaftyNny

1688800324711

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1hH_O1O1lxyswEI-7EpHhjZD0tY-I5Agtjl0Ij=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…623-f71e06aa18d7

3

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "KrkBGuJrCaewm2btWUu8wgs1whu2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668357759159}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396513}]

["destinygg", "permanent-markets"]

0.5

1688800324365

1668357861704

0.7026405631513859

hfiVAGXOgNxAL7CIDR2K

{"NO": 7764.51187658535, "YES": 1055.2329807751264}

1

pepe-vs-yee-1-day-only-a23d29f820e3

70792.66801523058

PEPE VS YEE (1 DAY ONLY)

1668488340000

2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1

cpmm-1

0

0.3226941004832984

True

basic

YES

public

1668358677393

DoppioFrog

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR PEPE", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR YEE", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "50.1%<YES = PEPE WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668492317347

1970

BettersonMcgee

1668505235416

0

https://firebasestorage.…0cc-49129eb5afbe

0

170

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…b00-9a9005e48bb4

163

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "W3hinPNFQehc8yHNjpjD5vD9UBJ3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668366328229}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668488339280

1668505237502

0.945612877312374

0.5

C18u5xV0KNqG84QbKCYW

{"NO": 35.71428571428574, "YES": 70}

0

deji-will-win-or-go-the-distance-ag

20

Will Deji win OR go the distance against Mayweather?

1668377476662

UutJNftkUaRVksDrXWdlemFBg0K3

cpmm-1

0

4.444608523466483

True

play

NO

public

1668359971513

Random3014

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 13, 7:27pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Deji will win OR go the distance against Mayweather", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will Deji win OR go the distance against Mayweather?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668377476662

50

Random3014

1668360534966

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1pUHntVdNZScfiTTsAp-Uvl8E2yXnQ0njT7iDPRA=s96-c

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…721-7a96c8cc708e

2

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "UutJNftkUaRVksDrXWdlemFBg0K3", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1668359971922}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1668360534859

1668360072144

0.33783783783783794

0.5702474927718121

re3FC2upgMJw57UdZ1Gm

{"NO": 413.73125361761714, "YES": 334.69460097297434}

0.6212504483595818

dick-masterson-stock-permanent

991.3781413043095

Dick Masterson Stock (Permanent)

33217163036434

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668360302661

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock for Dick Masterson.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": ...

STONK

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

370

Cooley

1713585131699

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

19

0

10

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668360303065}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396510}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1680615571045

False

0.3749917091643544

jnqcoa1zl54nhf66Bx8M

{"NO": 334.25705664725945, "YES": 342.16101584927657}

0.3695303591912555

will-the-ftx-future-funds-ai-worldv

848.9787518108928

Will The FTX Future Fund's AI Worldview Prize Funding Be Replaced?

1687375174546

E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2

cpmm-1

0

1.1081751380888625

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668360703677

Mathias Bonde

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As asked by: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/arA65LFet5K9KDeMF/will-the-ai-worldview-prize-funding-be-replaced", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.o...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1687375174546

350

MathiasBonde

1683573699880

0

https://firebasestorage.…8f0-e7d0878eb269

1

18

0

https://firebasestorage.…e59-e17c1753813e

15

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668360703877}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1683573699733

1678453755079

0.37

0.23855200240247407

pcuPHJIGUqi2cZfUziSy

{"NO": 320.6869274136668, "YES": 8015.023948069232}

0

will-taylor-swifts-next-album-of-ne

10649.893119290897

Will Taylor Swift's next album (of new music) be stylized in lowercase?

1707179006151

HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433

cpmm-1

0

1.1540801948796005

True

play

NO

public

1668360898281

Conflux

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "T", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "aylor Swift (2006)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "F", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "earless (2008)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1707179006151

890

Conflux

1707179006727

0

https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17

45

0

https://firebasestorage.…8cb-7e35bd751914

21

[{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1668614476279}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1668...

["entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "taylor-swift"]

0.5

1707178948021

1707101819067

0.01

HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433

0.46312677349882214

jf5D3cKIneCOjvqoiZHW

{"NO": 1077.2037665055377, "YES": 903.3006702320093}

0.5070763343509552

will-amf-lack-funding-to-implement

195.66970995076917

Will AMF lack funding to implement effective initiatives before 2030?

1925020740000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

9.651054837171174

False

basic

public

1668362011243

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AMF = Against Malaria Foundation", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Effective\" determined by meeting GiveWell's room for more funding requirements. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"},...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.024751423361872193}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.7081648456858285, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1719073178428

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

4

13

0

https://firebasestorage.…213-04b52c95af66

5

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668362011497}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi...

["effective-altruism", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.5

1719073175339

1668362188740

0.33987054630001845

GO1pUyn0iKrm9G5J7S8t

{"NO": 965.2622755140428, "YES": 1044.3361433624345}

0.32243410956670787

will-nate-silver-outpredict-his-for

466.48937942227894

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2024 election?

1733039940000

HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433

cpmm-1

0

9.602644468310238

False

basic

public

1668362034868

Conflux

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He has the advantage of being able to consult his forecast, but sometimes he has hot takes that contradict it. Will those takes be vindicated? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2022, Nate wr...

BINARY

{"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.11240662837167635, "platformFee": 0.11240662837167635, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Conflux

1715085184923

0

https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17

1

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…9d5-6aef14f55636

10

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668362035413}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "c...

["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "nate-silver"]

0.5

1715085181685

1685748103703

0.8365456209570042

UdovrJd72yDutmgdQmbW

{"NO": 473.91520327358796, "YES": 180.8499754250742}

1

will-the-quaking-nuts-beat-somethin

6565.383613903587

Will The Quaking Nuts Beat Something Wholesome?

1669753952631

qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1

cpmm-1

0

2.92167917138655

True

play

YES

public

1668362210039

Orangie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "csgo match between The Quaking Nuts (Orangie/Samland) and Something Wholesome (Toko/Bobert). ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-06-17 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669753952631

310

Orangie

1669696394416

0

https://firebasestorage.…64f-6c2df6a25e6e

15

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3b5-4122f327849e

14

[{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668362210305}]

["eto"]

0.5

1669696392969

1668403884762

0.930610658638945

0.33369600460813253

XqSgCC1EtwXHbffMhOiR

{"NO": 283.6628734845367, "YES": 3916.043071545582}

0

will-destiny-get-his-omnidestiny-tw

6945.717839164059

Will Destiny get his Omnidestiny Twitter account back before the new year?

1672549140000

66KFMphchnQlTrwtozkz4Q15Gxo2

cpmm-1

0

0.942792362785553

True

play

NO

public

1668363270467

assortedlunatics

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny get his Omnidestiny Twitter account back before the new year?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673199620205

730

assortedlunatics

1673199639781

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu19u7Nk8g_zJtBBLdGR458EsTcpzEC_1KY1GjJB=s96-c

37

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…67e-bdd282b86049

33

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "66KFMphchnQlTrwtozkz4Q15Gxo2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668363270765}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672547039650

1673199634587

0.04

0.20612832480817625

j5Bcexw8ZZoF8pSFwBoo

{"NO": 1374.8064324165216, "YES": 5960.112405387826}

0

will-destiny-hit-a-945-on-got-rythm

11937.687715453989

Will Destiny hit a 945+ on Got Rythm on stream by November 30th?

1669879417994

dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1

cpmm-1

0

0.3615908343865466

True

basic

NO

public

1668363625295

dgg4life

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve YES if Destiny hits a 945 or higher on Got Rythm live on stream during the month of November.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669879417994

1910

dgg4life

1669829491430

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0cl9W_jtIc65nUZvn008LXYBvT6wDWcmmulTyZ=s96-c

0

95

0

https://firebasestorage.…f13-c73488d90af2

81

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668363625593}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1669829491276

1668690183874

0.05650833851528862

0.5290359612894661

8HeeIPtem2fPK5jYeJ1P

{"NO": 100.53609816669795, "YES": 46.55737458457672}

0.7080859559584431

will-manifold-hit-2000-active-users

70

Will Manifold hit 2,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2022?

1668367605279

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

3.7400217583550286

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668364023472

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "via ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/stats", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/stats", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:deco...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668367605279

110

itsTomekK

1668367576183

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…4c5-4a12eb2cebc1

5

[{"name": "Manifold User Retention", "slug": "manifold-user-retention", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "6b8FKYZGzLnb5hYtn8oG", "createdTime": 1668364023704}]

["manifold-user-retention"]

0.5

1668366599250

1668367576319

0.7080859559584435

0.6924861576963753

gg5rbHhEFCN7JLotHPIJ

{"NO": 336.35297560645535, "YES": 62.46642974795782}

1

will-destiny-fuck-up-and-use-the-rw

704.8465660839717

Will Destiny fuck up and use the r-word instead of 'remedial' again by November 30th?

1668369023954

dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1

cpmm-1

0

3.4841677627509187

True

play

YES

public

1668364228493

dgg4life

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve YES if proof of an r-word fuckup is provided in the comment section below on a stream dated Nov 13th to Nov 30th.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668369023954

250

dgg4life

1668381645624

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0cl9W_jtIc65nUZvn008LXYBvT6wDWcmmulTyZ=s96-c

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…339-eec243f5ba60

15

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668364228801}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668368958555

1668381644890

0.9238116742750342

0.5633699434774688

9yAiO037rWA69HQ9IhWc

{"NO": 329.50155847127996, "YES": 12.836235106698872}

1

will-dan-misspeak-today

1239.972824447259

Will Dan misspeak today?

1668364982590

rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2

cpmm-1

0

5.448739501231359

True

play

YES

public

1668364321453

Jojo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "if i miss it feel free to link", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668364982590

330

jojomonsta

1668364936841

0

https://firebasestorage.…080-8aedf1f74f37

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…24a-be9fc47335e9

16

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rAUEQ4uZsLT23c4MT3IVf9zL7Um2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668364321861}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668364936711

1668364919154

0.9706923005091872

0.16490899925057834

looa7lDCwl2U0M2bKRaN

{"NO": 1300.9166468082406, "YES": 2105.225343136378}

0.10875707736970892

will-lex-fridman-interview-vladimir

23667.90230415828

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

1861937940000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0.539803507027704

9.185125122835117

False

basic

public

1668364555401

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.002799463271608099}

0

{"creatorFee": 16.697317434513973, "platformFee": 12.596262844262396, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1440

BTE

1718469976994

3.4

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

1

95

0

https://firebasestorage.…e98-1af5fb2327bf

14

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668364555595}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182223593}]

["lex-fridman", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.18932183403568686

0.5

1718469973925

1715594732005

False

0.22189936300145768

xd7YNzTFmr85uCJ0sfJV

{"NO": 237.34794079645735, "YES": 1716.6815383533533}

0

will-anthropic-give-money-back-as-p-e5f1b0fb4e80

2122.263231576821

Will Anthropic give money back as part of SBF/FTX/Alameda *fraud* proceedings?

1706295664297

0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2

cpmm-1

6.156383674493296e-16

1.6572115144017057

True

play

NO

public

1668364836520

Sinclair Chen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "asking for a friend", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "See also ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "izBUt1gEAwTP0cu33z6D", "label": "/Sinclair/will-anthropic-give-money-back-as-p...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1706295664297

390

Sinclair

1706295665055

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…05f-2c822e6eeb32

19

0

16

19

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668364897850}, {"name": "SF Bay Rationalists", "slug": "sf-bay-rationalists", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "RtQOEuXgzqtlxq13Fzt...

["sf-bay-rationalists", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.10836520094218713

0.5

1702004027096

1706295659276

0.04

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

0.32048734294205605

C5w20C6MZre6Q0TfdfGa

{"NO": 109.07583478729002, "YES": 158.12434102405652}

1

will-the-packers-win-their-game-tod

88.58179392414281

Will the packers win their game today? (2022-11-13)

1668387383520

JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2

cpmm-1

0

2.7513937210944373

True

play

YES

public

1668365317273

Ibozz91

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668387383520

130

Ibozz91

1668385520973

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…d06-4cb993fe7abc

6

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1668365317568}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1668385520810

1668365366048

0.2454790575632185

0.42829458733102566

HmxujNAfJTX2gREgeRZg

{"NO": 18889.634455426094, "YES": 11.178451283384055}

1

will-dan-come-today

26924.00219659927

WILL DAN COME TODAY?

1668383362299

H57LcEVqyYeRJFkUY9vFZg5SYxj1

cpmm-1

0

2.167800239572836

True

basic

YES

public

1668365825506

2suen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolves in 12 hours if nothing happens.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668383362299

1050

2suen

1668383557445

0

https://firebasestorage.…037-7f150df201a3

47

0

https://firebasestorage.…ec9-32e3d16aced8

40

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "H57LcEVqyYeRJFkUY9vFZg5SYxj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668365829452}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668383355636

1668383553354

0.999167476761389

0.16264363533352127

LxS4Sj3TgnIrhN1Yt39u

{"NO": 903.897625478441, "YES": 9989.03366826546}

0

will-the-russia-ukraine-war-end-by

13787.149717341366

Will the Russia Ukraine war end by 2023?

1704067140000

nTJeZgd7LXVKOOLcb6vGUKRgHRg1

cpmm-1

0

0.6570440387382313

True

basic

NO

public

1668365876567

Noah Bozzuto

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704088959407

1370

NoahBozzuto

1704088959973

0.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwRiOdkQm7_PdrReYHW6YhmQlG8U0M_bb7y8sUR=s96-c

0

71

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…883-f39e587ac828

23

[{"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "nTJeZgd7LXVKOOLcb6vGUKRgHRg1", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1668365876893}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703119784023}]

["wars", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.12410250750828843

0.5

1704053705478

1696390768929

0.02

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

0.4257305649986476

kb3rWvEk4TDygpVm5UW6

{"NO": 157.8622162731887, "YES": 1345.8453714262164}

0

will-cryptocom-experience-a-similar

1703.9282918391687

Will "crypto.com" experience a similar controversy to ftx, blockfi, voyager and many others disallowing their users to withdraw funds?

1672527540000

w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32

cpmm-1

0

1.277418737886431

True

play

NO

public

1668366631296

Gustav

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With the many exchanges losing control over their users funds it begs the question whether this will also happen to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "crypto.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://crypto.com", "class"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672528965057

430

Gustav

1672526002218

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3GZv_-CMXczXLvdE3ElQwxwrpuvR94R3_0EqxSOQ=s96-c

21

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d04-5ef183b5f1eb

20

[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668366638572}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 16683666315...

["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1672525999234

1668486982228

0.08

0.8020401622587306

P3nDfWYO92q8yUqMnb9N

{"NO": 362.4252328461347, "YES": 126.38068632458982}

1

will-the-destinygg-group-have-above

383.6599790905243

Will the Destiny.gg group have above 3000 traders at the end of 2022?

1668553106574

wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2

cpmm-1

0

3.248443059882285

True

play

YES

public

1668367154762

O

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As the creation of this market, on Nov 13 2022, it has ~2150 members (as seen from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/groups", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/groups", "clas...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668553106574

170

o

1668527159548

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-e561bc66da0d

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…394-8d5dc1d3d121

9

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668367160345}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668367155022}, {"nam...

["destinygg", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-user-retention"]

0.5

1668527159437

1668470602514

0.9207524005208623

0.3221899302761599

4HOnL7LvPwwF4VlcfVK3

{"NO": 138.78892190597682, "YES": 758.6764247061161}

0

will-destiny-stop-saying-the-rword

1901.1763900231233

Will Destiny stop saying the R-word by 2023

1672549140000

Keb9mFkA9Oa8m1c9KgjOs8Jxo6n2

cpmm-1

0

1.8668515689044023

True

play

NO

public

1668367395332

Quin Reid

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672578044320

250

QuinReid

1672523332834

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2mj0LaeMhiNBuZVnKfhxJ2xkvRpWyED0OsMVNU5Q=s96-c

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d8d-18527e1f302c

10

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "Keb9mFkA9Oa8m1c9KgjOs8Jxo6n2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668367395651}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672523330123

1669214756050

0.08

0.457477943243533

eLUsIcbnB52lklcnWLxQ

{"NO": 664.4907967643544, "YES": 2889.5646397012565}

0

will-eliezer-yudkowsky-esyudkowsky

8988.72541600465

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky) follow me (@mealreplacer) on Twitter before the end of 2023?

1704067140000

hXJuGWcNx2hbpD2YrLRLkcilgqg1

cpmm-1

0

0.3691494024715811

True

basic

NO

public

1668367491056

Julian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It would be pretty cool if Eliezer followed me on Twitter.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He sometimes likes my tweets, but doesn't seem to be willing to pull the trigger yet.", "type": "text...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704146013201

1435

JulianH

1704146013861

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrSIBrTWD03vmlTNT8vNy8Y3hipxGgAW0kg9QnPZQ=s96-c

3

86

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…300-ac62d0cfe3ad

46

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "hXJuGWcNx2hbpD2YrLRLkcilgqg1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668367491367}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701141098749}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.12104357329525599

0.5

1704046231276

1703972538667

0.16

hXJuGWcNx2hbpD2YrLRLkcilgqg1

0.0918667373605332

Za57kbHhXS4eWV6WnTZ5

{"NO": 40.20510612873366, "YES": 1500.8232784497366}

0

will-sam-bankmanfried-publicly-dona-a766863fc8cf

1629.1767215502628

Will Sam Bankman-Fried publicly donate at least $5 million to buy solar panels by the end of 2022?

1672549140000

sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1668367930288

Martin Randall

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Follow-up from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/AlexPower/will-sam-bankmanfried-publicly-dona#tgKXLxZcFvIPDPpxWG3u", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/AlexPower/will-sam-ban...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672574334307

90

MartinRandall

1672541835104

0

https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b

3

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…af6-ddd79542ab5e

3

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668368197834}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1...

["effective-altruism", "crypto-speculation", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1672541834971

1668367979628

0

0.3055414381000595

arcW7Ng0BKOHgWpGff58

{"NO": 63.133403117731575, "YES": 878.8241527150417}

0

will-gme-close-above-35-on-any-day

853.0600824602037

Will $GME close above $35 on any day in December 2022?

1672531140000

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

3.2621850076836076

True

play

NO

public

1668368559127

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the super stonkers hold on?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It is $26 as of creation of this market.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 5, 11:49pm: ", "t...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672582400780

150

Cooley

1710222348890

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a06-4ed1087c926c

8

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5"}]

["destinygg", "stocks"]

0.5

1671296228876

1670284215799

0.03

0.5503019091074922

J3rReTrNoiaRLZ3uf7LN

{"NO": 913.6837196190735, "YES": 475.1542863229984}

0.701768911243099

which-word-should-be-used-rtard-yes

1674.5883591161282

Which word should be used? R*tard (yes) or Remedial (no) Stock [Permanent]

33217163036413

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0.07606748002287068

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668368652308

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Whoever is above 50% is the DGG consensus word.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

650

destiny

1713584860000

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

0

33

0

https://firebasestorage.…2f2-c24730fa96c6

27

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668368652590}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396510}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.1452822673293972

0.5

False

1700420850733

1668368742034

False

0.6131145124334574

ru5J0YW88hJ62aom7iEW

{"NO": 360.4773637518264, "YES": 278.35582241963823}

0.6723761776751256

esportsbatman-stocks-permanent

466.2673918158982

esportsBatman Stock (Permanent)

33217163036434

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668368757977

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Perma stock for esportsBatman.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 14, 2:00am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "esportsBatman Stocks (Permanent)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → esportsBat...

STONK

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

310

Cooley

1713585344846

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…e65-8ff576bd268f

10

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1704440600598

1668368870391

False

0.5052955879006468

ML4Jrp9d4J5e4YbFNUbn

{"NO": 2.6920974517156715, "YES": 622.8186203401975}

1

free-money-dgg

838

FREE MONEY DGG

1668369665273

3ncW8iluu9g1uY8ekmCLdJeXCD62

cpmm-1

0

7.077057003422223

True

play

YES

public

1668368785412

DabFellow

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "USING THIS TO TRANSFER MONEY FROM AN ALT, GET IN IF YOU CAN ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668369665273

110

DabFellows

1668369615874

0

https://firebasestorage.…531-7df12f7cd33e

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…e4b-73c6fffb9d87

5

[{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "3ncW8iluu9g1uY8ekmCLdJeXCD62", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668368785679}]

["free-money"]

0.5

1668369615708

1668369582611

0.5

0.5495977023724021

TSys751U5rkUMHnNH2HM

{"NO": 212.63421481944454, "YES": 172.3315078383152}

0.6008957451496224

esportsbatman-stock-permanent

186.48926661114785

esportsBatman Stock (Permanent)

33217163036417

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668368808497

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES = BUY", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO = SHORT", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-13 5:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

190

PryingMind

1713585935952

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…33b-aa5da8a4067d

7

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1685949079807

1668368942203

False

0.8255967164784542

ObzvwydrM0QZwBbLqpct

{"NO": 885.0365084804132, "YES": 155.269370831965}

1

will-manifold-dream-be-significantl

3591.692684179916

Will Manifold Dream be significantly improved before 2024?

1704063540000

wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2

cpmm-1

0

2.9802856849911104

True

play

YES

public

1668369100285

O

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if the author of this market judges that Manifold Dream produces significantly better images than as of the creation of this market - 2022-11-13, before 2024.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1705327908348

230

o

1705327908589

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-e561bc66da0d

1

11

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…486-eb5861afeb92

4

[{"name": "Manifold Dream", "slug": "manifold-dream", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "t6WSzS2BSHrz3Tke0v6E", "createdTime": 1668369471979}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 166836910064...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-dream", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "resolution-pending"]

0.5

1702021457022

1705327904994

0.96

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

0.6036389924092334

BLMxlwrWP67Wgf8q14tU

{"NO": 171.0136991768451, "YES": 547.2069035244627}

0

acid-is-a-harder-drug-than-alcohol

1600.448988475472

Acid is a harder drug than alcohol

1668499140000

wCehoGKgXShrIs4FkU8oqcu4Ydp2

cpmm-1

0

1.1862000578751677

True

play

NO

public

1668369136479

Goop

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "DGG Decides. Closes at the end of the day. Resolves with majority", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668504932611

410

gooped888

1710218527080

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgooped888%2FqB51TduWfK.47?alt=media&token=4bcd1b50-ae2a-4aff-a837-94742e71ba61

1

20

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3cb-b8f867f45e55

20

[{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC"}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV"}]

["culture-default", "destinygg", "free-money"]

0.5

1668499111225

1668499441133

0.32247246885161607

0.42345389335630323

FcaSHxjMeLLoPpJEa1D1

{"NO": 279.573619705497, "YES": 48.16558705893797}

1

destiny-will-not-use-the-rword-inst

884.0465495490217

Destiny will not use the r-word instead of 'remedial' on stream until Nov. 23

1668379083454

dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1

cpmm-1

0

2.6711115334847024

True

play

YES

public

1668369203632

dgg4life

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve YES if a clip of Destiny calling someone the r-word is posted in the comment section below.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The clip date has to be Nov. 13 (past the 2-...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668379083454

150

dgg4life

1668383858428

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0cl9W_jtIc65nUZvn008LXYBvT6wDWcmmulTyZ=s96-c

6

0

https://firebasestorage.…9f5-ec8b5cc01485

8

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "dhPxCZ3om1cnrS3vrvqRTT9wpwj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668369203948}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668379066223

1668383852455

0.22000000000000014

0.31076106900338896

htUNAIPeiJTpotBbCzYD

{"NO": 246.75471648962417, "YES": 3403.049120508442}

0

will-any-of-the-top-3-scientific-pu

3657.3655173306024

Will any of the top 3 scientific publishers (NEJM, Science, Nature) adopt policies to use AI for peer-review?

1704085260000

RhUpUdddisZfGnz8LIESOGJXfSF3

cpmm-1

0

1.1365062990780217

True

play

NO

public

1668369406974

Research.Bet

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-020-00703-8", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-020-00703-8", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704450615509

570

ResearchBet

1704450615998

0

https://firebasestorage.…a71-dcefd6cf0075

1

27

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c73-bd856c70df15

20

[{"name": "Research.Bet", "slug": "researchbet", "userId": "RhUpUdddisZfGnz8LIESOGJXfSF3", "groupId": "YTmC33Pjdw0BASR2Qpck", "createdTime": 1668369407175}, {"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "RhUpUdddisZfGnz8LIESOGJXfSF3", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1668369423648}, {"name":...

["researchbet", "science-default", "ai", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703995469026

1704450609696

False

0.03

EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1

0.17066590060532824

mdlNRglUanYkICTtxksC

{"NO": 901.8805948091012, "YES": 1361.030015690111}

0.1199999999999998

will-lex-fridman-interview-ken-grif

550.2758329039182

Will Lex Fridman interview Ken Griffin by the end of 2025?

1767243540000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

9.842052932162836

False

basic

public

1668369559606

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.8041124150158794e-16, "week": -1.8041124150158794e-16, "month": -1.8041124150158794e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

BTE

1699345907806

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…5b8-692358aa009f

3

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668369559795}]

["lex-fridman"]

0.5

1699345907609

1668369668469

0.3366823062846166

y1591sidarHNMC1KTwtz

{"NO": 226.46310668667618, "YES": 1760.3405516880791}

0

will-destiny-play-league-of-legends-88b73c66a458

2384.6958567966067

Will Destiny play League of Legends before 2023?

1672531200000

zCizKLydFmXSyXsPSV9ksM6Nieo1

cpmm-1

0

1.1695876752273133

True

play

NO

public

1668369628170

#1 ELITE TRADOR

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if Destiny plays a full game of League of Legends before Jan 1, 2023", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve NO if Destiny does not play a full ga...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673215987504

470

femboywallstreet

1710218629750

0

https://firebasestorage.…434-8183f8a3b691

22

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…b58-e2341a840085

23

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672529934913

1673216001961

0.06

0.9548301928935563

kHF5pMG7xuSFcQEdUDcP

{"NO": 4377.823585922344, "YES": 462.3473594022289}

1

this-market-resolves-yes-at-end-of

4809.220167952457

This market resolves YES at end of the month

1669870740000

sr5Wu6lsymYGgEEq6K1wIuvlUAH3

cpmm-1

0

4.32903596658543

True

play

YES

public

1668369659616

Astra

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669937988202

550

Astra

1669866676376

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3xF5Zt92lRxapeSzkxuyKZAn4OqR_1NFdZnlVo=s96-c

28

0

https://firebasestorage.…476-896c8da88062

26

[{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "sr5Wu6lsymYGgEEq6K1wIuvlUAH3", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668369659833}]

["free-money"]

0.5

1669866676221

1668369783629

0.9950287244568713

0.33656410170345175

8sVvqakNTDl3HPtvklGW

{"NO": 624.1484854755356, "YES": 1923.2407264509495}

0.14136214595329386

will-lex-fridman-interview-vitali-k

10396.355431589014

Will Lex Fridman interview Vitali Klitschko by the end of 2024?

1735707540000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0.04395035221888975

9.844156789948196

False

basic

public

1668369673765

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Vitali Klitschko is the Mayor of Kyiv and former heavyweight champion of the world. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefaul...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.008637854046706306}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.8824302193509963, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

BTE

1719405951904

1.2

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

1

39

1

https://firebasestorage.…3b7-01918accf517

2

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668369673976}]

["lex-fridman"]

0.1159315601371324

0.5

1719405948179

1687371257487

0.5687987836613814

YIN374kCe0xzlnReVic8

{"NO": 148.1355844382301, "YES": 269.84649421311536}

0.42000000000000065

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-e61ba3456eca

151.94214297537752

The following bug is fixed within a week: "In heavy traffic markets, when I try to make an order, I get "APIError, An unknown error occured." "

1668988740000

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

1.6379684531305596

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668369897296

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1691494805016

210

ManifoldBugs

1669149526027

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…028-a04c59aa78d5

12

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668369897543}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1668988710792

1669149525020

0.42

0.48427650504407255

q86JQrfLpL3NsiHk7UNn

{"NO": 5229.805685953815, "YES": 182.03463038594197}

0.9642574935979286

will-lebron-james-ever-play-an-nba

17006.90892489085

Will LeBron James ever play an NBA game with his son Bronny?

1798779540000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

9.756044672490852

False

basic

public

1668370394839

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LeBron himself has said it could happen. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.33392959963872226}

0

{"creatorFee": 77.29553726716387, "platformFee": 32.86103425956969, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1055

BTE

1719588397803

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

0

80

5

https://firebasestorage.…b65-801cf356413a

11

[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}]

["sports-default", "nba"]

0.5

1719588394736

1705258443574

0.8062373444502652

e4Uw88D7HuHJmquUMc2Q

{"NO": 127.89071812484339, "YES": 87.55550919761679}

1

will-dan-misspeak-during-this-call

4578.6204425930155

Will Dan misspeak during this call

1668371610937

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

4.648149863718565

True

play

YES

public

1668370403984

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668371610937

670

PryingMind

1668373766722

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

33

0

https://firebasestorage.…004-c4b0cbbc4a44

30

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668371062162}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668371143338}]

["destinygg", "free-money"]

0.5

1668371606835

1668373773970

0.9820427917512847

0.8183468367873622

BufJrgBihLogYOnFpVFp

{"NO": 2741.768316503064, "YES": 148.7937180104152}

1

will-a-manifold-trader-reach-500k-p

29426.06686936707

Will a Manifold trader reach 500K profit in 2023?

1680893209688

wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2

cpmm-1

0

2.0204128565236177

True

play

YES

public

1668370439193

O

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As measured by ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/leaderboards", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoratio...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680893209688

280

o

1680842306275

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-e561bc66da0d

0

13

0

https://firebasestorage.…76c-7319dfb8e189

10

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668370439638}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 168068741431...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "please-resolve", "keeping-score"]

0.5

1680842306157

1680774678027

0.99

0.5511867293360591

YIL1cHhzygONBBnJTdgl

{"NO": 140.9999999999999, "YES": 88.51092393916198}

0.6617495653212315

test-2b29c929c939

31

Test

1668383940000

MtaQ61DRPzZZQRR1eLcEQQHzF8c2

cpmm-1

0

2.6570233871074045

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668370506383

Anastasiia

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Test", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702245325683

110

Anastasiia

1701645254220

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu01jJup6BC28m3wSdeWBqMYM__FtICdH9IElx4lows=s96-c

3

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…241-48b0688a6026

5

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "MtaQ61DRPzZZQRR1eLcEQQHzF8c2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668370506742}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1668383912371

1701645253602

0.66

W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3

0.8529555550957238

fI0jNYbJXWTTGwMb9qXQ

{"NO": 975.274116129195, "YES": 375.09168332626723}

1

will-lex-fridman-interview-a-presid

4335.856318197241

Will Lex Fridman interview a presidential candidate?

1688868808254

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0.8462246485089051

1.7216910159992982

True

play

YES

public

1668370586153

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "During the 2024 US primaries or general election. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1688868808254

450

BTE

1688868784845

2.3

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…b90-5d1f3fff4174

6

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668370586455}]

["lex-fridman"]

0.21254300931739814

0.5

1688868784735

1687883247819

0.94

0.22534376141310333

z6vtM6nIrsUzDYO18voC

{"NO": 127.23697628927357, "YES": 2094.1262358108283}

0

will-lex-fridman-publish-more-than

2726.476876894213

Will Lex Fridman publish more than 750 hours of interviews during 2022?

1672538026733

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

2.633805560236964

True

play

NO

public

1668370755400

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Some are only an hour. But others are close 8 hours. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672538026733

290

BTE

1672538021292

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…7ff-c72dc9afcd76

9

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668370755596}]

["lex-fridman"]

0.5

1672538021179

1671156195471

0.04

0.3838140225694177

mkwzgqoZRz5EufaGpfDj

{"NO": 510.36120259132485, "YES": 1844.4835890318745}

0

there-will-be-new-keffals-drama-bef

2605.8224951753605

There will be New Keffals Drama before the end of 2022

1672549527766

EALsmhM36NTCa74iBNNxVrBtjNt1

cpmm-1

0

0.5518787611346865

True

play

NO

public

1668370870889

JustVenting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There will be another Keffals saga before the end of 2022. This will resolve YES if:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "- 2 or more Stories get covered on Destiny stream that do not directly involve him", "type": "text"}, {"type": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672549527766

850

Nero81aa

1710218605691

0

https://firebasestorage.…d6a-63fed2d644e4

1

43

0

https://firebasestorage.…04a-f41ee6f3cd52

35

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672331079839

1669214773224

0.15

0.4709709925847154

OfkcgB17evR0JcYHnnGx

{"NO": 24.306319597033536, "YES": 113.01623874945571}

1

free-money-dgg-3a2cc363da18

2838.5146039886836

FREE MONEY DGG

1668371475343

20SjYIihF5dp3Wq2eE3kHSYhzc82

cpmm-1

0

4.663321683497403

True

play

YES

public

1668370949311

Dab Fellows

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "DUMPING 600 IN NO RESOLVING YES AT 330 EST", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668371475343

190

DabFellows0409

1668371647690

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3lyY-UhxuILiJTkv1Qz_PerEFRKzBI6SSLy-vd=s96-c

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…713-db802e946371

9

[{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "20SjYIihF5dp3Wq2eE3kHSYhzc82", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668370949659}]

["free-money"]

0.5

1668371464217

1668371646873

0.5

l37TfvAXNasuP3HvuzR7

who-do-you-want-to-see-lex-fridman

1330.9558374872563

Who do you want to see Lex Fridman interview?

1704085140000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

CHOOSE_MULTIPLE

public

1668370972989

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves for every person who is a guest on the Lex Fridman podcast by the end of the year. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's see if we can get him to interview at least one of our top ch...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717010735938

1200.0000000000005

BTE

1704085140000

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

16

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "ecb8cd955483", "prob": 0.021024313104085007, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.16299674232515915, "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 7.589776987699295, "textFts": "", "contractId": "l37TfvAXNasuP3HvuzR7", "resolverId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "createdTime": 166...

30

https://firebasestorage.…d4d-a060e4b2d078

8

[{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1668370973215}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131255258}]

["lex-fridman", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.10842117815214176

1699345738028

1717010624398

{"1ac194bea6ce": 9.995241046976869, "2bddb85ba953": 9.995241046976869, "465194609faf": 9.995241046976869, "4fe25b1ef87d": 9.995241046976869, "6cdfec30a257": 9.995241046976869, "6e4f693e151c": 10.042830577208191, "8872c54f86f8": 9.995241046976869, "be43862f2ee1": 9.995241046976869, "da9827fa4b25": 9.995241046976869, "dc...

946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2

True

0.231100994159108

840fdpezZARnY7Nd4CKS

{"NO": 265.4083069638805, "YES": 742.8814642987315}

0

will-destiny-dick-videos-leak-in-20

1088.3608281769984

Will Destiny dick videos leak in 2022?

1672552740000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

1.5478243559050529

True

play

NO

public

1668371241575

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "🤤🤤🤤🤤🤤🤤", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://emojipedia.org/drooling-face/", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": "_bla...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672555094765

350

destiny

1672529951124

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

17

0

1

17

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668371241884}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672529950951

1668371522566

0.1

0.488491473357508

ocPRvqshoE3GCv4fW40U

{"NO": 306.0480452204683, "YES": 357.22668671859054}

0.4500000000000003

will-dan-misspeak-again-before-the

4669.102039777661

Will Dan misspeak again before the end of the call?

1668389333971

QRrLcRqZKIfzImkMRnIcXQCm19k1

cpmm-1

0

1.0612920982256182

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668371800641

David Davidson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-14 4:00 am", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668389333971

410

DavidDavidson

1668389412700

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3D3wCYFuMPIWyfv8wWvOaBdJXMEfB5yPWfPNnZ=s96-c

20

0

https://firebasestorage.…acf-498caa818c89

21

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "QRrLcRqZKIfzImkMRnIcXQCm19k1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668374794205}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668388907411

1668389412009

0.4500000000000001

6g1WaZ54n7ATiiOxRKPY

how-will-manifold-vote-in-the-2024

1484.319583397559

How will a plurality of Manifold vote in the 2024 US presidential election?

1730782800000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1668371905028

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After the election, I will poll Manifold users to ask how they voted, and resolve this market to whichever party got the most votes in that poll.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The poll will ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.5864865658931964, "platformFee": 0.1164725855829109, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1717750705462

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

19

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "92ab8885de6c", "prob": 0.9888394023441183, "text": "Democrat", "index": 0, "poolNo": 520.5627240922438, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.875363688452154, "textFts": "'democrat':1", "contractId": "6g1WaZ54n7ATiiOxRKPY", "createdTime": 1668371905028, "probChanges": {"day":...

https://firebasestorage.…6d6-28af930d639c

13

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96"}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J"}, {"name": "💙 Manif...

["us-politics", "politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.10552048439000303

1717750702278

1672358455858

True

0.5238358404562864

sVVoU5G0MAr8KhH95SH3

{"NO": 257.8648129456938, "YES": 16.856602996974487}

0.9439118754700611

will-pepe-or-yee-get-a-bigger-combo

633.6523040375536

Will PEPE OR YEE GET A BIGGER COMBO ON MY COUNTDOWN (PRYINGMIND)

1668372705908

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

4.691870988440238

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668372192354

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES = PEPE", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO = YEE", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668372705908

250

PryingMind

1668372751721

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…846-df179c4764d7

10

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668372192676}]

["politics-default"]

0.5

1668372700115

1668372748513

0.6286041015287827

0.7713598522770814

7pSCbOga5ivlEow1Wh3y

{"NO": 1365.8468851830726, "YES": 2147.545745735085}

0.6821033004150634

lycan-stock-permanent-7168324a53fa

26731.00717733997

Lycan Stock (Permanent)

33217163036408

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0.07930943104793486

4.929336284018821

False

basic

public

1668372620873

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock for Lycan.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Duplicate but im keeping it due to number of traders.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.011398487973773852}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.345077529888168, "platformFee": 4.513974165102921, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1955

Cooley

1719582599662

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

111

1

68

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.17980919149133323

0.5

False

1719582596584

1668546695961

False

0.262991994084622

uNGccUyQWVZ4qp72v1VC

{"NO": 182.85631569445098, "YES": 2980.5362540940646}

0

will-destiny-and-melina-start-an-on

3473.7978530059845

Will Destiny and Melina start an OnlyFans before 2024?

1704088740000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

1.7035277553759105

True

play

NO

public

1668372626319

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704131362838

390

destiny

1704131363212

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

20

0

1

13

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668372626587}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132356997}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1700589546414

1668372709050

0.02

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

0.09936884545942783

V8P2FBGLhFRSFjWJ3xqa

{"NO": 380.99076525988914, "YES": 718.9362326989744}

0.05523942114892513

will-destiny-die-before-january-1st

1267.6200050622492

Will Destiny die before January 1st, 2024?

1702414547401

pX2vAfVlNJRCqBIyLfpMIId0Kfe2

cpmm-1

0

2.433733570360404

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668372645873

Jimmy Knuckles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702414547401

430

JeremyJurgensen

1686726798920

0

https://firebasestorage.…45c-7ec62e5ac515

1

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…2d0-e9a2e81be46e

12

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "pX2vAfVlNJRCqBIyLfpMIId0Kfe2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668372646197}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1686726798775

1678131003230

0.06

pX2vAfVlNJRCqBIyLfpMIId0Kfe2

0.23162526794775623

8vAgyf1Rb94KSwkYAy80

{"NO": 178.96463411749366, "YES": 436.4931156315748}

0

will-i-be-a-regular-watcher-of-dest

379.47750942660315

Will I be a regular watcher of Destiny's content by the end of 2023?

1704085200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

2.1849079990985367

True

play

NO

public

1668372919475

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of right now, I've watched a few minutes of one of his streams and was unimpressed.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704260919566

230

IsaacKing

1704260919732

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

11

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…e5e-ca1916c9e306

9

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668372919848}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132338823}, {"name": "Barcalona"...

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

0.5

1695178488788

1668375885842

0.11

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

0.6705758517921544

7pdbRUaPRqcB6NzqORNf

{"NO": 703.7572143954785, "YES": 657.4587857760553}

0.6854304957107958

dan-aba-stock-permanent

4958.531901575166

Dan > Aba Stock (Permanent)

33217163036408

wCehoGKgXShrIs4FkU8oqcu4Ydp2

cpmm-1

0

9.538436225072127

False

play

public

1668373063717

Goop

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes for Dan > Aba, No for Aba > Dan.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

690

gooped888

1713584844786

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgooped888%2FqB51TduWfK.47?alt=media&token=4bcd1b50-ae2a-4aff-a837-94742e71ba61

0

35

0

https://firebasestorage.…198-31f41684e5f5

19

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1697452618890

1668373179675

False

bwYqsSQIB4joV92UI7Gz

what-month-and-year-will-the-us-lif

570.2864622577637

What month and year will the US lift the Covid public health emergency?

1684197777694

QehdMUvBqDcI15ShoOUTMXh17xx2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.8263639236501765

True

play

ae0836b8f590

public

1668373776988

Max Ghenis

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On January 31, 2020, then-Secretary of Health and Human Services for the US Alex Azar, first ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "declared a public health emergency due to Covid", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://aspr....

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1684197777694

600

MaxGhenis

1710206843701

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgM_UNrjUiqppt7ZynZvdHyNbCIqhj1TB1alkabpaQ=s96-c

8

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "8624e4331656", "prob": 0.2223453195210988, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.70018045484057, "userId": "QehdMUvBqDcI15ShoOUTMXh17xx2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 37.42397380164338, "textFts": "", "contractId": "bwYqsSQIB4joV92UI7Gz", "createdTime": 1668373777305, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-97bde998d766

7

[{"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS"}]

["covid-d7a9361d772d"]

1681713818721

1684195350875

{"ae0836b8f590": 100}

True

0.27787153787084795

GaGMVPPY0Q3saOvpzzgp

{"NO": 950.0139420467335, "YES": 1096.6823034378303}

0.2500000000000002

selfsustaining-automated-global-eco

133.12168959071528

Self-sustaining automated global economy by 2050?

2556143940000

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

cpmm-1

0

9.59219080272376

False

basic

public

1668374579969

Bolton Bailey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves YES if, at the start of 2050, all humans were to suddenly vanish from the universe, automated factories would continue to produce and distribute items to other factories either forever or until interrupted by a major change in the nat...

BINARY

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

BoltonBailey

1692647459275

0

https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…e90-c57bd5ac4090

8

[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668374580381}]

["economics-default"]

0.5

1692647459129

1668375382430

0.5592973641100484

CmOoIjmq3xLyMyQ1IyZb

{"NO": 114.4847589399682, "YES": 227.25321002694628}

0.39000000000000107

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-8112fb72e45f

141.827740803986

The following bug is fixed within a week: "featured post showing it has 0 comments even thoug hit has several. Was working fine earlier so not sure why it isn't now. "

1668988740000

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

1.949947006351471

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668374776890

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1691494799192

170

ManifoldBugs

1680112901079

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…0b3-1dd8fe7572ba

10

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668374777129}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1668988705449

1680112882774

0.39

0.39908105828225443

3iBB2C9ZnNjTVUfYdICJ

{"NO": 134.6117144979127, "YES": 233.23702295012768}

0.2770872176168304

will-the-first-quantum-computer-to

156.69064237400022

Will the first quantum computer to factor RSA-2048 be a topological quantum computer?

2236550340000

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668374862768

Bolton Bailey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2040-11-14 5:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.278062147899321, "platformFee": 0.278062147899321, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

BoltonBailey

1715320152578

0

https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103

0

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…b6d-8f6a1dbbbe05

5

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668374863279}, {"name": "Quantum Computing", "slug": "quantum-computing", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "WppmGHiwW2nxSiHi2FiQ", "createdTime": 1668374...

["technology-default", "quantum-computing"]

0.5

1715320149007

1668375018886

0.614014251781471

uIC3u5y6bhDmho75qT2K

{"NO": 130.00000000000014, "YES": 42.72727272727271}

1

is-destiny-a-bottom

60

-

1668454326041

KZNcZNMlHuWwDYvOX5UnfmBxfL42

cpmm-1

0

4.053926701016165

True

play

YES

public

1668375186999

Songaro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668454326041

70

MagicanSongaro

1668383053119

0

https://firebasestorage.…242-3449143b8f04

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…fa0-71b9bf48b39f

2

[]

0.5

1668383053016

1668375271259

0.8287671232876704

0.6578945353779263

FwgIjlOiarNyjqP5M658

{"NO": 202.80653442631595, "YES": 121.68934444457471}

1

will-a-major-network-call-the-arizo

75

Will a major network call the Arizona Governor election by 7PM Arizona time on Monday, November 14, 2022?

1668452400000

TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2

cpmm-1

0

2.362556343502788

True

play

YES

public

1668375989366

BRTD

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market shall resolve YES if the Arizona Governor election is called by a major network as of 7PM local time (counting Phoenix as the local time) on Monday, November 14. Otherwise it shall resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668477088757

150

BRTD

1668477039360

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c

5

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f96-e5ffd3cac13f

7

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668375989816}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1668447457697

1668477036270

0.762186880809707

0.4736394315095213

GQk6G2laOauedKwQHA0x

{"NO": 430.5156959409179, "YES": 10681.412092510842}

0

will-destiny-play-a-videogame-with

21494.447523750965

Will Destiny play a videogame with LilyPichu by the end of the year

1672552740000

KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2

cpmm-1

0

0.4586841720589141

True

basic

NO

public

1668376714018

dggL

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Destiny plays a videogame with Lilypichu by Dec. 31st, 2022 then this stock ends a yes. They BOTH must complete an entire round/game of the videogame together. If clarification is needed it will be answered in the comments. Must be on stream unl...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672677387460

1990

cutie

1672552436006

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCutiePatootie%2FjaNzHeZbKN.jfif?alt=media&token=b07ecd31-246e-4ad5-9a09-f9f89dbef721

0

171

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…fc4-4e7f09141acb

148

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668377045360}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672552435847

1668718026113

0.03

0.17975795603172634

PzcL8qVJARnG3DezIkaJ

{"NO": 66.02812753089236, "YES": 379.9999999999998}

0

will-hello-charlotte-be-released-on

274.9619814452876

Will Hello Charlotte be released on Switch by the end of 2023?

1704067140000

K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3

cpmm-1

0

5.414356347389452

True

play

NO

public

1668376974606

Tetra

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ib was released on Switch and I was like \"woa wtf\". Now Milk Inside a Bag of Milk Inside a Bag of Milk has been released on Switch and again \"woa wtf\". ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704090917540

110

Tetraspace

1704090917818

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f

5

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3ed-b9cf87556833

3

[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668376975008}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1681609640194}, {"name": "�...

["gaming", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1690657727366

1668378657159

0.04

K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3

0.5

rjCXhJahsXeGsJtsXWDG

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

will-lav-ask-for-forgiveness-until

0

Will Lav ask for forgiveness until the end of the year 2022?

1668377485379

SFr3mvYTivU8ZcnRbWlxMl1mHCj2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668377336943

Krondwag

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the queen of flip flops try to slither her way back?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-13 11:11 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668377490104

50

Krondwag

1668377424914

0

https://firebasestorage.…387-dc2b6c81ee51

0

https://firebasestorage.…8a0-cb7c0d3714f8

2

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "SFr3mvYTivU8ZcnRbWlxMl1mHCj2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668377337268}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "SFr3mvYTivU8ZcnRbWlxMl1mHCj2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668377360442}]

["personal-goals", "destinygg"]

0.5

1668377420309

0.5

0.19560479605664652

QsSNBPTPQq6TRHXWRWyl

{"NO": 95.20799540532693, "YES": 1019.7316927425359}

0

will-kari-lake-concede-the-arizona

2005.4978224917052

Will Kari Lake concede the Arizona Governor election by the end of November?

1669852740000

TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2

cpmm-1

0

3.7869733784974584

True

play

NO

public

1668377592301

BRTD

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market shall resolve YES if Kari Lake formally concedes the election for Arizona Governor before the end of November. Otherwise it shall resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669862793585

170

BRTD

1669844491440

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…a4a-9682efc91237

9

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668377592656}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1669844491321

1668377651295

0.02219972955117212

0.2116086022981642

4XHrp167WGuAz1LrYn6c

{"NO": 453.0330707956791, "YES": 5909.844444120773}

0

will-ukraine-regain-control-of-mari

6726.342039858736

Will Ukraine regain control of Mariupol by 16th Feb 2023?

1676505540000

lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33

cpmm-1

0

0.9638376926679633

True

play

NO

public

1668377596606

Nathan Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1677804589892

910

NathanpmYoung

1676501703682

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c

2

45

0

4

https://firebasestorage.…819-9e6c81c7b5d2

45

[{"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1671062606066}, {"name": "Ukraine Counteroffensive", "slug": "ukraine-counteroffensive", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2i6fbccCzqrKyYbLXRrG", "...

["world-default", "wars", "ukraine", "ukraine-counteroffensive", "ukrainerussia-war", "nathans-dashboard"]

0.5

1676501703317

1674561698412

0.02

0.9016792134765814

2CQabFZUrgVyxs4HBaZw

{"NO": 4332.007535924783, "YES": 940.1770828756935}

1

will-sbf-live-till-the-end-of-the-y

16516.73116393669

Will SBF live till the end of the year?

1672531140000

89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2

cpmm-1

0

1.0533531879380154

True

basic

YES

public

1668377791145

Sophia Wisdom

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will reso...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672543378394

1130

sophiawisdom

1672407986544

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu25o7GK9K3P1izY1WQteKhc7mIonzLGps5iL73G=s96-c

56

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…259-f24d8108fb05

47

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668377896935}, {"name": "\"Life Insurance\"", "slug": "life-insurance", "userId": "YijY3niL1FezWqnWcsQSFyoqwfy2", "groupId": "L8SBNLgBRvMFOceszGqO", "c...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "life-insurance"]

0.5

1672407986345

1669962689410

0.98

0.35447851494057664

8yfWl0ooX6J97enKUvwi

{"NO": 755.9402723848245, "YES": 842.8058892122131}

0.3299999999999992

will-melina-get-pregnant-in-2023

1066.603493240393

Will Melina get pregnant in 2023?

1669010664606

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-1

0

0.5241765285840744

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668379047199

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "if Melina/Destiny announces she's pregnant in 2023. Otherwise, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NO", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669010664606

790

0o0

1668646262902

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…4ac-82121c9f0f72

23

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668379047518}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668646262768

1668484282369

0.32999999999999924

0.5765162876994979

QYevHlWD9BGpXg2UiGfP

{"NO": 5074.3828578489465, "YES": 247.24404387116442}

1

will-melina-and-destiny-stop-seeing

103640.12694878771

Will Melina and Destiny stop seeing each other before 1/1/2024?

1702326462106

w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32

cpmm-1

0

0.8358926837656577

True

basic

YES

public

1668379257883

Gustav

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Idea credit: Dan the Man", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702326462106

1450

Gustav

1710218558867

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3GZv_-CMXczXLvdE3ElQwxwrpuvR94R3_0EqxSOQ=s96-c

2

162

0

https://firebasestorage.…01e-3b3a52fea5ba

10

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1702328718139

1702349033541

0.97

w2cCkAnKP0TcjIoQKSTp4nMV5G32

0.8537678951272688

zqyPybzHKLRgYbCEOdLX

{"NO": 427.5953309368797, "YES": 454.0770909796138}

0.8461052097865436

forsen-stock-permanent

15153.12923811846

Forsen Stock (Permanent)

33217163036437

2iSrbkImGKQWovWZV9H7nX93nM53

cpmm-1

1.539095918623324e-15

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668379463701

Fibs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

470

Fibs

1713584939690

0.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu27vzE0SGowlnIfkwwqfcDkfuz4Fh47aiMLFUKx=s96-c

1

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…cda-7a9d5791e1e6

6

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": ...

["destinygg", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "unsubsidized"]

0.11167907299091889

0.5

False

1709587733038

1696090585541

False

0.8853894394873774

egnXRO3RW2dzcK8yPuyq

{"NO": 615.9615915260779, "YES": 473.47582674363633}

1

i-will-resolve-this-positively

2408.1656091679174

I will resolve this positively

1668480814195

9gpyzyXziFYQxHqAOMu8Yitqimp1

cpmm-1

0

1.841794540398641

True

play

YES

public

1668380206595

ChaosRadius

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Free money buy yes early", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668480814195

550

ChaosRadius

1668479624417

0

https://firebasestorage.…e96-2ab3a4c87b9f

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…286-c5c14b8abf35

28

[{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "9gpyzyXziFYQxHqAOMu8Yitqimp1", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668380435566}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9gpyzyXziFYQxHqAOMu8Yitqimp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668380206873}, {"name": "Inte...

["destinygg", "free-money", "interest-rates"]

0.5

1668479624128

1668392837173

0.9095021602463502

0.5

xhoubvcuCzdALgXrBV99

{"NO": 69.93445560632325, "YES": 35.74775807326022}

0.6617429099125102

how-blue-will-sbfs-trial-venue-be

80.06554439367675

How blue will SBF’s trial venue be?

1668387398669

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

4.444330480310144

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668380208302

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2020 vote share (DC = 92%", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668387398669

50

Gigacasting

1668387391846

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…0d8-ff22c0fc9874

2

[{"name": "Sociology", "slug": "sociology", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "iRdbpPisROiQsbEQG6xh", "createdTime": 1668380208496}]

["sociology"]

0.5

1668387391672

1668380258458

0.6617429099125102

0.829800156839638

e2O2z05HnZv2blMrnbRi

{"NO": 937.9524187142753, "YES": 487.0120220254482}

0.9037515844116423

ninou-stock-permanent

6146.445047793758

Ninou Stock (Permanent)

33217163036425

JPuDK6vqApNtlerwo6Qis33ZjE83

cpmm-1

0

10.456808875141046

False

play

public

1668380868856

odecay

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Protector of the community, last hope of the banished, Ninou.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = Short", "type": "t...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.1795293957543156, "platformFee": 0.1795293957543156, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

570

odecay

1715004396791

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjJQp3YEgGP_Ia7crDLnmrqkLeCQecbSTfueNIObw=s96-c

29

0

https://firebasestorage.…195-577a706cf10e

10

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.12259256310539172

0.5

False

1715004393346

1669570519195

False

0.10473040700588365

d0jjAzwdWbtq7dyOmS4C

{"NO": 135.70839723529818, "YES": 889.2793171363181}

0

will-twitter-create-a-paypal-compet

753.4466349527524

will twitter create a paypal competitor before 2023 ?

1672524060000

wmZ1YgS9RhTPcPs38po0YztqrJG2

cpmm-1

0

5.381739920453963

True

play

NO

public

1668380934806

ege

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Elon mentioned executing his original ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "x.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://x.com", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680824526386

190

ege

1680824533376

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2TFaqJEZPQ5ikEl4cuaa40XqdXZwamfDq4MR1I=s96-c

8

0

20

https://firebasestorage.…587-3534e47d651e

9

[{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "wmZ1YgS9RhTPcPs38po0YztqrJG2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668380935013}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1673670142179}]

["twitter", "please-resolve"]

0.5

1672523976004

1680824530113

0.02

0.1338939378161526

d8YqMQbqy6jxQhl2iypW

{"NO": 192.88144540213955, "YES": 365.32398926114456}

0.07546176725189631

will-aba-get-a-900-on-got-rhythm-on

505

Will Aba get a 900+ on Got Rhythm on this stream?

1668386625261

lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3

cpmm-1

0

3.3989279478069507

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668381249335

0o0

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "read the title. N/A if he doesn't play anymore (since his first try).", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668386625261

360

0o0

1668384168202

0

https://firebasestorage.…6db-32bfeb55d9a6

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…3c9-28c8ea0f9eca

10

[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668381249686}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lXmFkGPCE8fzQzKR2o4F1Gon4iG3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668381458346}]

["gaming", "destinygg"]

0.5

1668384168090

1668381339416

0.0754617672518963

0.047459786696640555

yGflJpHakYNkxGhSB5Zi

{"NO": 1596.3218376412697, "YES": 2314.884766977944}

0.033217158172352206

will-scott-alexander-be-found-to-ha

14364.169221365728

Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

1893474000000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.804947294687715

False

basic

public

1668381251201

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Anything highly credible, such as what happened with SBF. Doesn't need to be legally charged.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is part of a group of markets on Scott...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -1.4536343963748866e-05}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.11894149904641683, "platformFee": 0.11662118564896376, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1663

IsaacKing

1718985409179

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

93

0

72

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668381259633}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672955029304}]

["scandal-markets", "acx"]

0.1323295139308554

0.5

1718985406143

1694680863318

0.7060257105820581

GTm83XYS8iNHPAsNGtyY

{"NO": 252.4008064942273, "YES": 100.43027730438519}

1

will-i-get-to-bed-by-1140pm-at-leas-4c5f915d70e3

175.10839796971584

Will I get to bed by 11:40pm at least 4 times this week?

1668951007648

7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1

cpmm-1

0

0.535830592916148

True

play

YES

public

1668381696249

Charlie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a commitment market created via www.Emile.chat.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668951007648

150

Charlie

1668942498648

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c

6

0

https://firebasestorage.…6be-f8da547e9d5a

7

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668381696549}, {"name": "Charlie's Weekly Health Goals", "slug": "charlies-weekly-health-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "4qCARQhQzQegY8g6D7sm",...

["personal-goals", "charlies-weekly-health-goals"]

0.5

1668942498499

1668607571219

0.8578704264848603

0.09953909232458028

tOyhRQOXbx6FanI5FFHj

{"NO": 1758.056966433328, "YES": 5100.930349201586}

0.03670063975041363

will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-found-to

20901.100609815177

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

1893474000000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.33390539670607

False

basic

public

1668382014806

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.02621228640263355, "platformFee": 0.02621228640263355, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

2015

IsaacKing

1716828666754

0.2

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

3

126

0

90

[{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1668382015032}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.13777421259703268

0.5

1716828663265

1676669580783

0.217088243161836

JNMzKa0hrTiL2Oe2bqOQ

{"NO": 142.25542122396934, "YES": 299.9999999999994}

0.11620447635326522

predict-metaculus-sbf-to-spend-life

120

Predict Metaculus: SBF to spend life in prison

1668472367948

4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2

cpmm-1

0

2.819765043585459

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668382026175

Johnny Ten-Numbers

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13530/sbf-to-spend-life-in-prison/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.metaculus.com/que...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668472367948

180

1941159478

1710462493825

0

https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…d7b-b3693b38d229

6

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej"}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso"}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz"}, {"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "met...

["technology-default", "crypto-speculation", "effective-altruism", "metaforecasting", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "short-fuse", "reciprocal-scoring"]

0.5

1668388028543

1668472430255

0.11620447635326524

0.4604568935067594

T6VDu6ytR914BlLtxal2

{"NO": 222.72120991437922, "YES": 70.30161667834355}

0.7300000000000004

jesse-stock-permanent

1127.037942603517

Jesse Stock (Permanent)

33217163036417

AFB2k5UFoMXUpQgnu7lX7eCf8x42

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668382207770

Jesse Charlie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

JesseCharlie

1713585904425

0

https://firebasestorage.…88c-a7480e924703

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…bf0-ef3a67acfd3e

6

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1681418376139

1668564139328

False

0.1995429121896524

5whAcuRdJxqlgNrVlo6c

{"NO": 165.02563949336587, "YES": 632.4128305027054}

0

will-destiny-finish-complete-space

1771.6937093792178

Will Destiny Complete Space exploration before 2023

1672527540000

Flu4gXJVAHg6BAVEeVHLm8dUDF43

cpmm-1

0

2.557451999299527

True

play

NO

public

1668382681949

Jechto

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tiny has been playing factorio, since late summer. The modpack he's recently playing is called \"Space Exploration\". The goal of the mod is to launch a spaceship going 250 Speed for 10 minutes uninterupted. The most takes around 300-500 hours on a...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672530282907

230

Jechto

1672443389858

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0Wvwn3vyx9ad-M_ecZOHjhMdY43XVGMaH97Lx0pg=s96-c

10

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…acc-84374e403d23

9

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "Flu4gXJVAHg6BAVEeVHLm8dUDF43", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668382682286}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672443389737

1668529793748

0.06

0.4103117063746593

cWr4NBkG4A3iBc114jSG

{"NO": 190.53355748198686, "YES": 292.51094007400195}

0.3118787247112088

xanderhal-stock-permanent

1586.565454520604

Xanderhal Stock (Permanent)

33217163036424

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0.05780771683482534

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668382796902

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent market for Xanderhal.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

230

Cooley

1713585645600

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

1

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…701-cbbde37cf200

6

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.1199526044037522

0.5

False

1712910781474

1668383006358

False

kMaAjuvVcgSiVzl6BCaC

what-was-the-worst-chatter-arc-for

255.86239184094512

What was the worst chatter arc for Dan’s mental?

1668488340000

KZNcZNMlHuWwDYvOX5UnfmBxfL42

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.788180669400821

True

play

47645a8c78e4

public

1668383418648

Songaro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668495608683

400

MagicanSongaro

1668481274852

0

https://firebasestorage.…242-3449143b8f04

7

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "8c8557872331", "prob": 0.03583269945417694, "text": "Askers", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.9670994290304912, "userId": "KZNcZNMlHuWwDYvOX5UnfmBxfL42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 26.02219927751054, "textFts": "'asker':1", "contractId": "kMaAjuvVcgSiVzl6BCaC", "createdTime": 1668383418648, "probChanges": {"day": 0,...

1

https://firebasestorage.…b33-0eca6e9fe276

9

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "KZNcZNMlHuWwDYvOX5UnfmBxfL42", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668383418964}]

["destinygg"]

1668481273531

1668383520666

{"47645a8c78e4": 100}

True

0.7434687638050415

itp5VrZTioFlYG1QZ2ht

{"NO": 8470.179502968458, "YES": 1164.1686214162387}

1

will-any-prediction-market-clearly

67246.05939358377

Will any prediction market clearly elicit knowledge about an important event that was otherwise unknown to the public before 2025?

1687452645266

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

0.33702441208956113

True

basic

YES

public

1668383528596

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I keep seeing people ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "talk about", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1591119290568433664", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " predictio...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1687452645266

1970

IsaacKing

1687453365042

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

6

161

0

https://firebasestorage.…9e9-efd9cb1ea93c

40

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1668383545259}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "cr...

["economics-default", "manifold-6748e065087e", "predictions-on-predictions", "scandal-markets"]

0.1557653961076658

0.5

1687347938066

1687453360175

0.95

0.7338299296048418

V1ZMIQKjorTS8tA3KSDY

{"NO": 1000.6366310548227, "YES": 52.760983276511894}

1

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-9ef320fd40b4

850.5659928238526

The following bug is fixed within a week: "The market creation page does not un-grey-out the creation button when my balance increases. I have enough mana to create a market, but I can't press the button until I reload. "

1668988740000

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

4.123874065404368

True

play

YES

public

1668383558414

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669149299098

170

ManifoldBugs

1668988721393

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…ec5-702aeb972713

9

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668383558607}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1668988721203

1668980397893

0.9812339508906311

0.2626029452430826

e1tuNOXKEzLAaJUAftxl

{"NO": 760.3519316772679, "YES": 2389.3481114516276}

0

will-destiny-talk-to-jordan-peterso

3260.1018814474114

Will Destiny Talk to Jordan Peterson by the End of 2022?

1672022037181

vcGgPb5iJAZgKo6I4KGGohml8hi1

cpmm-1

0

0.5261221388250577

True

basic

NO

public

1668383706317

Kilmor

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lex Fridman has made his intentions clear. Lex wants to connect Ben and Jordan with Destiny to make conversations happen as soon as possible. Will he be able to accomplish this by the end of 2022?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672022037181

1050

Kilmor

1710218587601

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1qQR7rifDlbMJb3toXm8eQPTDHus_puRWoQEGc=s96-c

52

0

https://firebasestorage.…be4-4fc7cb1d56fb

47

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1671990009433

1685820606164

0.1

0.5549118256457856

KqGzxkhCYuQm7wvVpZ7s

{"NO": 1152.9432076440228, "YES": 830.7340759469391}

0.6337411683226565

will-top-ai-art-generators-implemen

1151.9693246994852

Will top ai art generators implement copyright protection eg "no prompting for Mickey mouse" by end of 2024?

1735689540000

kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2

cpmm-1

0

9.833993585258021

False

basic

public

1668384421168

Ernie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If any of stable diffusion, DallE2, or midjourney or their successors from the same companies implements limits by default on copyrightable terms in prompts by end of 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.2212453270876722e-15, "week": -1.2212453270876722e-15, "month": -1.2212453270876722e-15}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Ernie

1703983068102

0

https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466

2

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…52f-08514f377564

13

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668384421503}]

["technology-default"]

0.5

1703983067976

1694607031498

0.9457383723092332

zhsonWelo5HA1hhTMNj5

{"NO": 1063.6588126092972, "YES": 295.07160229934465}

1

will-caroline-ellison-live-till-the

1507.070235804121

Will Caroline Ellison live till the end of the year?

1672523940000

h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2

cpmm-1

0

4.881040032514353

True

play

YES

public

1668385446927

Benjamin Ikuta

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's come to light that bad things went on with Alameda/FTX and they allegedly stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds she survives till the end of the year?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672531164092

350

benjaminIkuta

1672520620957

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0TvmmGbK73DdJTIzbPglxO5Kw0RadvK6CxhwXeFg=s96-c

17

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…447-e6699256a97b

20

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668385447134}, {"name": "\"Life Insurance\"", "slug": "life-insurance", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "L8SBNLgBRvMFOceszGqO", "c...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "life-insurance"]

0.5

1672520620783

1668586313758

0.98

0.5000000000000001

V8p24lbc0rPnumkU5fD9

{"NO": 100, "YES": 25.000000000000014}

1

will-i-get-a-uk-visitor-visa-before

50

Will I get a UK visitor visa before the end of 2022?

1669564703582

k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2

cpmm-1

0

4.605170185988091

True

play

YES

public

1668385478921

Mikhail Samin⚡️

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669564703582

50

ms

1668813600604

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiyLd7icu0XSJbIcLXp0TAwP3sPpRk4-DapSxfhzQ=s96-c

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…df5-eb3e32632365

2

[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1668385479220}]

["uk-politics"]

0.5

1668813600401

1668385543849

0.8

0.3312486241495917

oWOiAtlHFl7NJU4nAB9K

{"NO": 123.6629946663107, "YES": 321.57957528543864}

0

will-hungrybox-defeat-ibdw-in-his-s

1515.1449995488013

Will Hungrybox defeat iBDW in his Salty Suite match at Apex 2022?

1668827667584

GH2So9KSqENMUyNEnjSOfZKkWdK2

cpmm-1

0

1.865302220763065

True

play

NO

public

1668386453831

Alexander Bateman

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES means HUNGRYBOX will win his salty suite match", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO means iBDW will win his salty suite match", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668827667584

210

AlexanderBateman

1668827651988

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyN7tNPudd_h1k5b7jYmUOFv-BM58J4eCB7RF5Y=s96-c

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…bd9-1ee8cdfea581

10

[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "GH2So9KSqENMUyNEnjSOfZKkWdK2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668386454117}]

["gaming"]

0.5

1668827651875

1668643327697

0.4299999999999966

0.864390556685993

whlxiBBO2QmRVYmmktgN

{"NO": 31.850321591520224, "YES": 35.82665285168739}

0.5

will-eto-come-back

1000.549652203801

Will Eto Come Back??

1668484735590

FOX5rPQIjzbvshx6ffRa82AzB3q2

cpmm-1

0

8.671398930617158

True

play

MKT

public

1668386634607

NeoFegg0tFockerBallz

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve YES if Toko comes back within 30 days (Dec 13th) and creates her own server, regardless of the server name. It will resolve NO if this is not executed by day 30 (even if Toko returns!)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668484735590

170

NEO

1668481387596

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNEO%2FeU_dHl7PYv.22?alt=media&token=e6a51ea6-21c0-4c10-92e6-4a4a0e301b75

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…dc4-83c78bae2de4

9

[{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668387315959}]

["eto"]

0.5

1668481387439

1668457168554

0.5

XCup2kWOHMezdz2BFbFP

which-city-will-ukrainian-forces-li

995.7869273234139

Which city will Ukrainian forces liberate next?

1704067140000

kpOKYIF9fdQdvlwMabGWGGSomym1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.665346341833765

True

play

c962c14913db

public

1668386830179

Jeffrey Heninger

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In their recent offenses, Ukrainian forces have liberated the cities of Izium and Kherson. [1]", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which city with a pre-war population of at least 40,000 people wi...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704118460475

1040.0000000000002

JeffreyHeninger

1704118460825

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3vZ5NIKBqotSS4S2ACkDhFCxZ9XnyDcDFUjbz6=s96-c

0

15

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "9deff1742c6e", "prob": 0.02460315301589612, "text": "Nova Kakhovka", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.2361809212943258, "userId": "kpOKYIF9fdQdvlwMabGWGGSomym1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 49.00863609446086, "textFts": "'kakhovka':2 'nova':1", "contractId": "XCup2kWOHMezdz2BFbFP", "resolverId": "kpOKYIF9fdQdvlwMabGWG...

1

https://firebasestorage.…95c-093b0b19c255

6

[{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "kpOKYIF9fdQdvlwMabGWGGSomym1", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1668386830471}, {"name": "Ukraine Counteroffensive", "slug": "ukraine-counteroffensive", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2i6fbccCzqrKyYbLXRrG", "createdTime": 1668835...

["ukraine", "ukraine-counteroffensive", "ukrainerussia-war", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.09839918917198172

1703646227693

1668455479756

False

{"c962c14913db": 100}

kpOKYIF9fdQdvlwMabGWGGSomym1

True

0.6178202112149046

c0qRGFTNwGmUjVD1xExo

{"NO": 1271.6965845094705, "YES": 546.4747547469722}

1

will-destiny-be-involved-in-a-major

3442.6582364495343

Will Destiny be involved in a major drama by Jan 31st?

1670827160501

KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2

cpmm-1

0

0.5622259582675183

True

play

YES

public

1668387134238

dggL

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ends in yes if Destiny is involved in a new major drama by Jan 31st 2023. \"Major\" is subjective so if there's a situation that is somewhat major, it will be discussed.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670827160501

770

cutie

1670827298158

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCutiePatootie%2FjaNzHeZbKN.jfif?alt=media&token=b07ecd31-246e-4ad5-9a09-f9f89dbef721

0

39

0

https://firebasestorage.…f4c-c6339bc0bb7a

38

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668387134748}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1670827136666

1670827294632

0.66