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1668387847192
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will-jiang-zemin-die-before-the-end
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Will Geno Smith make the Pro Bowl?
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["sports-default", "destinygg", "nfl"]
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1671594006198
1671672420889
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0.4407184868564099
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{"NO": 94.92129611081087, "YES": 224.39631389174158}
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will-cronoscros-price-be-below-usd
201.58613869054335
Will Cronos(CRO)'s price be below USD 0.04 at 11:59pm ET, Nov 15, 2022?
1668553200000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
2.2916442622311255
True
play
NO
public
1668394953257
Ammon Lam
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BINARY
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0
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1668576260623
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AmmonLam
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https://firebasestorage.…195-6ade165f4b95
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["crypto-speculation"]
0.5
1668553171364
1668395107271
0.2500000000000002
0.42339041529850474
irJsLpSIZzuiBtZy0YFb
{"NO": 2141.0886999365334, "YES": 899.528420253319}
0.6360656718767672
will-projects-which-received-grants
5723.672060040064
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
1830297540000
DMcp55U7obRPblW5Oaox8d3LbUp1
cpmm-1
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8.397583362788495
False
basic
public
1668394996142
Spencer Greenberg
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As almost all of you have likely heard, FTX, FTX US, and Alameda will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the U.S. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The FTX Future Fund gave away grants to many r...
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https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu30Vh481KDk8ozDGPoWkqTqovgvPlrtYZ5aCDwimeQ=s96-c
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1705251991625
0.7672302958426799
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{"NO": 666.2593590531931, "YES": 331.2413636298526}
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gappyv-stock-permanent
4444.0597717740775
GappyV Stock (Permanent)
33217163036423
jFnTp2mYkRdfk0QDLXFBKWacHBn1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1668395162815
Bryan Wade
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STONK
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0
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False
1714094246453
1674677759626
False
0.39855507634182175
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{"NO": 7353.068358757962, "YES": 1128.0233519752576}
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will-5-of-an-ftx-grant-be-clawed-ba
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Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
1798790340000
SGthg3WqLWbnlo28JBFON2vxewm1
cpmm-1
0.0020708417487664385
5.846220654319743
False
basic
public
1668395420931
Eliezer Yudkowsky
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if at the end of 2026, there was any successful or still-being-prosecuted attempt to claw back, from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "more than", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " 2 individual recipients of an FTX...
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conditional-on-sbf-or-caroline-elli
366.42287845604096
Conditional on SBF or Caroline Ellison being dead by 2025, will the cause of death be ruled a suicide?
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cpmm-1
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9.668360194099066
False
basic
public
1668395616637
Isaac King
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IsaacKing
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1
will-acc-overtake-me-in-total-profi
232.26767618058943
Will @acc overtake me in total profits before Wednesday?
1668533145302
tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2
cpmm-1
0
1.4022456033121626
True
play
YES
public
1668395642329
SG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The moment every programmer longs for is when their own algorithmic creations rise up and overtake them in a brutal Skynet-like fashion leaving a trail of carnage and destruction in their wake. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": ...
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1668533145302
290
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Mutahar (SomeOrdinaryGamers) Stock [Permanent]
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1668395882142
GAZE WITHIN
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STONK
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destiny
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False
False
1685240232979
1668395951813
False
0.6398202630084625
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{"NO": 1600.8725599610282, "YES": 746.294081928984}
0.792122732052034
did-jeffrey-epstein-kill-himself
15443.30785787541
Did Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
2840158800000
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cpmm-1
0
9.72201657254547
False
basic
public
1668396460543
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves once I am highly confident (>98%) of the answer, based on strong evidence from multiple sources that have no significant incentive to engage in a cover-up or a smear campaign against a certain political party. If that never happens, this m...
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IsaacKing
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0
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will-i-be-using-a-braincomputer-int
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Will I be using a brain-computer interface in my daily life by 2030?
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cpmm-1
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9.756865420669643
False
basic
public
1668397066286
Isaac King
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IsaacKing
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will-there-be-another-ea-reputation
9481.373105022098
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
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cpmm-1
0.011173514292861285
9.221656770528872
False
basic
public
1668397720475
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any event that gets widespread coverage outside of the EA community and significantly damages or has the reasonable potential to damage EA's reputation in general society.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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IsaacKing
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will-destiny-ever-run-for-president
375.76829241148727
Will Destiny ever run for president of the United States?
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cpmm-1
6.156383674493296e-16
10.529884961505605
False
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public
1668398198088
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES when it happens. Resolves NO when Destiny dies, the United States stops existing, or the United States abolishes presidential elections.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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will-mrgirl-revive-the-bob7-drama
647.1862765312427
Will MrGirl revive the Bob7 drama?
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cpmm-1
0
1.9535300996909613
True
play
NO
public
1668398374322
Dan
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1669008329284
210
Dan
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The following bug is fixed within a week: "The graph for a multiple choice market is displaying incorrectly. https://manifold.markets/Voidian/who-will-be-destinys-buddy-of-the-y "
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Manifold Bugs
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will-the-first-serious-market-creat
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Will the first serious market creator to die ensure their outstanding markets get resolved?
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cpmm-1
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10.094191448169274
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basic
public
1668399039285
Isaac King
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IsaacKing
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where-will-i-work-in-june
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Where will I work in June?
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cpmm-multi-1
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4.777024142843157
True
play
54cb27c71dd1
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1668408387769
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
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will-ben-leave-the-community
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cpmm-1
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4.821939175262387
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play
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will-the-new-england-patriots-make
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cpmm-1
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2.5393083427653265
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will-the-euro-continue-weakening-ag
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Will the Euro continue weakening against the Indian Rupee over 2023?
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thegymnosophist
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whenif-this-market-reaches-50-at-11
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When/If this market reaches 50% at 11PM EST on the date of or before 11/19/2022, I will flip a coin and resolve this market.
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Will Manifold get to 1,000 Twitter followers this week?
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cpmm-1
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1.3715941423850007
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Will Destiny have launched a media company by the end of 2023? [Duplicate]
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Merlins Sister
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Will I make it past the screening round for Rethink Priorities?
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Tomek ⚡ K
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