CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

YC2KFLdb8eNpShXwvR2c

will-bitcoin-btc-price-hit-15000-or

6723.575909976094

Will Bitcoin (BTC) price hit $15,000 or $20,000 first?

1673691843888

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.622534631883224

True

play

57b80af33dff

public

1668438163316

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673691843888

620

itsTomekK

1720053161621

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

18

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "6c0b5761f5b0", "prob": 0.006605323133625433, "text": "$15,000", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.25853623827022837, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 38.88205280484699, "textFts": "'000':2 '15':1", "contractId": "YC2KFLdb8eNpShXwvR2c", "createdTime": 166843816331...

https://firebasestorage.…f8f-62da695ddd54

19

[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668438163610}, {"name": "Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1668439474163}]

["crypto-prices", "bitcoin"]

1673684099950

1673691825630

{"57b80af33dff": 100}

True

0.6661477189777357

vNWhKdOaLxiZ5UIEJQHh

{"NO": 843.4586052165868, "YES": 112.80725371076264}

1

will-kris-marszalek-stay-the-ceo-of

927.6593267235992

Will Kris Marszalek stay the CEO of Crypto.com through 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.069352218947807

True

play

YES

public

1668438222616

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704146899113

270

itsTomekK

1704146899306

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…24e-acb9737525ed

4

[{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1668438222841}, {"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Tnqa2ZTn9jMpD7wSBWGJ", "createdTi...

["fire-the-ceo-markets", "tomeks-specials", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703313778849

1674664960549

0.94

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

0.5421329234025495

6VaXquGxSkHTfNwjCZSA

{"NO": 183.33844895649034, "YES": 8717.740769902157}

0

will-twitter-increase-its-number-of

16848.169667628965

Will Twitter increase its number of active users, in a year after Musk's takeover?

1698530340000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.547733254655024

0.8275223339136644

True

basic

NO

public

1668438478322

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1699517196395

1765

itsTomekK

1710207059355

2.4

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

0

118

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…e38-c078fe507767

6

[{"name": "✖️ Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": " 💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR"}, {"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "grou...

["twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "business", "tomeks-specials"]

0.16022216036198264

0.5

1698508163696

1699499601351

0.02

0.338607822166745

O0cXm7jLjhQ4FmMJnN2n

{"NO": 530.6326361910752, "YES": 451.34608595902023}

0

will-destiny-hit-900-first-try-incl-8ad7e06b460e

3414.844282161973

Will Destiny hit 900+ first try (including 900) on his next stream

1668446835690

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

0.812478820095373

True

play

NO

public

1668438508584

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "CLOSING THE MARKET WHEN HE OPENS UP THE WEBSITE", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668446872461

930

PryingMind

1668447157737

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

45

0

https://firebasestorage.…606-0526cc8f2ae0

48

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668438508918}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1668440764631}]

["destinygg", "free-money"]

0.5

1668446615155

1668447157210

0.375740154479331

0gWZ643RMZ1OgHk75CdD

formula-one-will-ferrari-or-mercede

980

Formula One: Will Ferrari or Mercedes finish higher at F1 2022 Constructor Standings?

1668972664999

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.660356632612344

True

play

42e2052ef789

public

1668438733226

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fc8CQHkXt1J.png?alt=media&token=c9bdf0d7-4629-4ea1-bdb0-8850431f74ba", "title": null}}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668972664999

320

itsTomekK

1720053161621

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

5

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "42e2052ef789", "prob": 0.9898619684499315, "text": "Ferrari", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 36.06339753656112, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.3693564089555318, "textFts": "'ferrari':1", "contractId": "0gWZ643RMZ1OgHk75CdD", "createdTime": 1668438733226, "pr...

https://firebasestorage.…e13-f8a23ed8f7f2

6

[{"name": "Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1668438733475}]

["formula-1"]

1668972659810

1668438836936

{"42e2052ef789": 100}

True

QYhTGtKNCpVBmruL1eHS

formula-one-will-ferrari-or-mercede-3a2b9c45a817

714.5717205335886

Formula One: Will Ferrari or Mercedes finish higher at Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

1668972632655

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.67516773092506

True

play

e7c52d74eda6

public

1668438771849

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fc8CQHkXt1J.png?alt=media&token=c9bdf0d7-4629-4ea1-bdb0-8850431f74ba", "title": null}}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668972632655

320

itsTomekK

1720053161621

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

5

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "e7c52d74eda6", "prob": 0.9914345747113578, "text": "Ferrari", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.488757500012323, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.2547659277414046, "textFts": "'ferrari':1", "contractId": "QYhTGtKNCpVBmruL1eHS", "createdTime": 1668438771849, "p...

https://firebasestorage.…853-848f7ce7a84c

6

[{"name": "Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1668438772057}]

["formula-1"]

1668972626155

1668438835644

{"e7c52d74eda6": 100}

True

0.11507041859314401

eNpBibkiBOFlOkgUt2KG

{"NO": 753.0841110569993, "YES": 2974.5168040329722}

0.031872390923491214

will-the-uk-conservative-party-win

3111.1566887400245

Will the UK Conservative party win the next election?

1738137540000

1dtwmM8e5rcIm89l0HzYydHpxFW2

cpmm-1

0

10.370571263968062

False

basic

public

1668438906125

Henry

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-21 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": -0.008651705468839754, "month": -0.008651705468839817}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.868712303048162, "platformFee": 0.39068913546489936, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

OrangeRedBlue

1719781687759

0

https://firebasestorage.…23e-5ac93926f444

2

24

2

1

https://firebasestorage.…758-bc48665cb515

13

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "1dtwmM8e5rcIm89l0HzYydHpxFW2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668438906853}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1669072302632}]

["politics-default", "uk-politics"]

0.5

1719781684662

1697234854166

nqAi162ABUACrykKdebq

formula-one-2022-will-leclerc-or-pe

877

Formula One 2022: Will Leclerc or Perez finish 2nd in the 2022 Driver Standings?

1668972688115

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.665006171352128

True

play

4dd21c589c47

public

1668438919339

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fug0J3-z4vC.png?alt=media&token=d3c2ad25-ac67-4fb5-b383-89d8c5dece5b", "title": null}}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668972688115

300

itsTomekK

1720053161621

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

4

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "4dd21c589c47", "prob": 0.9889620954418357, "text": "Leclerc", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 33.43359819468478, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.3731557231665916, "textFts": "'leclerc':1", "contractId": "nqAi162ABUACrykKdebq", "createdTime": 1668438919339, "pr...

https://firebasestorage.…423-c2d2b5b39163

5

[{"name": "Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1668438919579}]

["formula-1"]

1668972681702

1668438953797

{"4dd21c589c47": 100}

True

0.05278417499125375

VWj3FtbsxgntWLfhLxAT

{"NO": 173.74334995513846, "YES": 1071.701148588159}

0

will-coinbase-be-insolvent-by-the-e

2572.378667276906

Will Coinbase be insolvent by the end of 2022?

1672466340000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

8.706833580875028

True

play

NO

public

1668439044363

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Coinbase withdrawals for USDC, BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that Coinbase is insolv...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672658390982

230

itsTomekK

1672339237414

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

11

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…358-bbffd413bd1a

11

[{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1668439044641}, {"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1670553010292}]

["finance", "wall-street-bets"]

0.5

1672339237247

1668439190829

0.01

0.16482550873854465

XiuL8j3NsJXFVCHoEhu7

{"NO": 180.14313598406414, "YES": 1139.0643094265313}

0

will-interpol-issue-an-arrest-warra

4073.3003696371215

Will Interpol issue an arrest warrant for Sam Bankman-Fried?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.7796437751710674

True

play

NO

public

1668439201178

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Interpol has asked law enforcement agencies worldwide to find and arrest Do Kwon, founder of the failed cryptocurrency Terra. Will they do the same with CEO of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FTX.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attr...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704146951089

270

itsTomekK

1704146951340

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

16

0

1

11

[{"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1668439201393}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime...

["crypto-news", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.11891610829161674

0.5

1697943935278

1671799720089

0.03

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

0.2884376411214508

NCTIfSPlGehaURpBHtfP

{"NO": 88.71112358658606, "YES": 1620.3643428802316}

0

will-doge-price-of-dogecoin-dip-bel-c600c1d7981b

1610.4939555495112

Will $DOGE (price of Dogecoin) dip below $0.05 by Nov 30?

1669766340000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.7011280907585515

True

play

NO

public

1668439406657

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute DOGE/USDT candle titled with a date between 2022/10/31 0:01 through 2022/11/30 12:00 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 0.04999 or lower. Otherwise, this market will r...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669900557392

230

itsTomekK

1669900573448

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…397-935599aa9687

9

[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668439407058}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 16684394553...

["crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation"]

0.5

1669755806654

1669900568239

0.021710594777415996

0.38184123821245136

KgqvvEsmbSKpEC0L4WkD

{"NO": 96.10428670234845, "YES": 876.8517479896763}

0

will-a-manifold-crypto-fork-be-crea

1108.9352851626143

Will a Manifold crypto fork be created in 2023?

1704067140000

wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2

cpmm-1

0

2.041667925731546

True

play

NO

public

1668439624042

O

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if the Manifold fork is usable with cryptocurrencies on a mainnet.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704147145404

250

o

1704147145577

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-e561bc66da0d

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…9c8-1609151e5178

4

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1668439624464}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 16684396...

["crypto-speculation", "manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704011820607

1668439680357

0.06

fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42

0.5527128367514602

R8Csca2pnX1pYXCbx39K

{"NO": 110.00000000000007, "YES": 75.45837245528439}

0.6430293934030087

will-manifold-markets-be-used-as-pa

20

Will Manifold markets be used as part of an oracle before 2025?

1680893695976

wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2

cpmm-1

0

3.056445279669486

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668439779154

O

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as Yes if the resolution of some Manifold markets are used as data source for an oracle system. For the purpose of this market, we define an oracle system as a system that intents at determining facts as a function of multiple data sources...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680893695976

90

o

1680893700803

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-e561bc66da0d

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…c50-8d5a0998497e

3

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668439779575}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 166843978866...

["technology-default", "manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.5

1680406302442

1680893697579

0.64

0.7306060530126124

L9uFyk5ioGCG0xadEdN8

{"NO": 213.58873122511133, "YES": 153.98058739646115}

1

was-ftx-a-ponzi-scheme

595.6196941209068

How long was FTX a fraud?

1670968108280

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

2.3832510539487504

True

play

YES

public

1668439868507

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to PROB based on percent of time that FTX was committing clear fraud", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "E.g. subsidizing losses at Alameda with client funds (either to bootstrap liquidit...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670968108280

190

Gigacasting

1671679364773

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…ac2-aefcfbb19a85

11

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668911400839}]

["ftx"]

0.5

1670947534150

1671679361906

0.99

SypBXgdPiFtDIfcGg4SH

what-is-the-best-definition-of-rati

240.25808050429728

What is the best definition of rationalussy?

1669093140000

sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.764543942593848

True

play

3562709a5a8d

public

1668439964618

Martin Randall

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to my best judgment as heavily influenced by comments and bets on this market.", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669566049348

480.0000000000001

MartinRandall

1680826879321

0

https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b

2

10

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "264d647a7661", "prob": 0.10423174995623992, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.7925466797768452, "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 32.5931676670425, "textFts": "", "contractId": "SypBXgdPiFtDIfcGg4SH", "createdTime": 1668439965065, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, ...

1

https://firebasestorage.…f2f-131789bf1591

11

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668439964923}, {"name": "Market is not endorsement", "slug": "market-is-not-endorsement", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "RdM5i68Sh9F6PvASNtet", "createdTime": 1674225486323...

["fun", "market-is-not-endorsement", "rationalussy"]

1668996452182

1680826876602

{"3562709a5a8d": 100}

True

0.1402955468134936

mvdon5jutrhHWcxNRyOW

{"NO": 191.17086045551792, "YES": 1127.747633996098}

0

will-sam-bankmanfried-be-on-the-run

2431.0358477436844

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be on the run by the end of 2022?

1672527540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.906920082535692

True

play

NO

public

1668440103127

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve the same as the bet between @0x_dragon and @Domahhhh:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1590804045958385665"}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"ty...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672654977900

270

itsTomekK

1672509389238

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

13

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…dde-06ce8ed0b793

12

[{"name": "Bets from Twitter", "slug": "bets-from-twitter", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "2LqDWBeqX6LmEVaJZ6h0", "createdTime": 1668440315092}, {"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1668440103350...

["crypto-news", "bets-from-twitter", "insight-prediction", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1672509388022

1668440232401

0.03

YNIjfxTgDfRpLPW34shQ

will-destinys-no-jumper-or-lex-frid-74a2eecaef8f

469

Will Destiny's No Jumper or Lex Fridman interview hit 1M views first?

1668686226781

XtPSc4PLRmhw1HLveY71MFC46Kf2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.69927443502322

True

play

fce4de9ed261

public

1668440316232

80IQplays

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny's No Jumper or Lex Fridman interview hit 1 million views first?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to whichever has more views if there is no winner by Jan 1 2023.", "ty...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668686226781

300

80IQplays

1720053161621

0

https://firebasestorage.…771-2e0b8ad34830

4

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "fce4de9ed261", "prob": 0.9845565092769049, "text": "Lex Fridman", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 44.39106459111511, "userId": "XtPSc4PLRmhw1HLveY71MFC46Kf2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.6963063955614892, "textFts": "'fridman':2 'lex':1", "contractId": "YNIjfxTgDfRpLPW34shQ", "createdTime": 166844...

https://firebasestorage.…1c2-383c9c938dfa

5

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

1668624034824

1668440462553

{"fce4de9ed261": 100}

True

0.2661180243042965

7zySaTGhVX26gMokqwGy

{"NO": 297.01723998318306, "YES": 2465.255210539559}

0

will-trafalgar-have-their-polls-ban

6985.5369333707495

Will Trafalgar have their polls banned from 538 by the end of 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.08936221659490684

1.144635454207227

True

play

NO

public

1668440453116

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trafalgar is a partisan pollster for Republican Party. Some claim, that they are fraud and their polls are totally made up.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will 538 stop using Trafalgar's polls in their mo...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704146993954

550

itsTomekK

1704146994203

1.2

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

29

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…81e-dfe81c81ca3d

8

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668440453674}, {"name": "Bets from Twitter", "slug": "bets-from-twitter", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "2LqDWBeqX6LmEVaJZ6h0", "createdTime": 16684404865...

["politics-default", "bets-from-twitter", "fivethirtyeight", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.1365617859713052

0.5

1703926205508

1686272738419

0.04

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

0.22847930394613444

DIcwew1M98xfKXV5T5XE

{"NO": 220.87255251048344, "YES": 1351.8533917845637}

0

will-the-equal-rights-amendment-to

1343.2406736139549

Will The Equal Rights Amendment to the U.S. Constitution will be passed by the end of 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

1.7270366224584988

True

play

NO

public

1668440673138

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If any Constitutional Amendment is passed that is designed to explicitly \"guarantee equal legal rights for all American citizens regardless of sex\", this will resolve to YES.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704146820246

350

itsTomekK

1704146820439

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

17

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c28-61b67681a348

8

[{"name": "Longbets.org", "slug": "longbetsorg", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "4dPQUUNk2xIFAvsQ4cvq", "createdTime": 1668440673343}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130117224}]

["longbetsorg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703532590712

1668483020627

0.05

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

0.6593071355308392

2XdCp45WlGlv2uO8jjw2

{"NO": 937.7286889150573, "YES": 1020.5970151208525}

0.640037227715275

will-a-human-die-in-a-rocket-launch

498.0503241180905

Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?

2051222460000

B9sqayKGiUd9SI5uZoFeHGfWon52

cpmm-1

0

9.588088099540276

False

basic

public

1668440781143

Gruffydd Gozali

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.031761784324003894}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.19568272810448, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

GruffyddGozali

1718362064777

0

https://firebasestorage.…80e-cb9949e612cb

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…f61-4fc0b9d1d5af

17

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "B9sqayKGiUd9SI5uZoFeHGfWon52", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668447909210}, {"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "B9sqayKGiUd9SI5uZoFeHGfWon52", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1668440781475}, {"n...

["science-default", "technology-default", "space"]

0.5

1718362061707

1668627792994

Kprk5RLvN9bBUN0az3L9

where-will-sam-bankmanfried-be-at-t-f62761d01201

34071.945504181305

Where will Sam Bankman-Fried be at the end of 2022?

1672527540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.620396731793845

True

play

218d10ae2b18

public

1668440863388

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to the consensus of credible media reporting, on the last confirmed and most precise location of SBF in 2022.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Answers shouldn't be more precise than the state o...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672658915624

3579.9999999999927

itsTomekK

1672605027589

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

1

47

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "38eb9f69b3fa", "prob": 0.00011195496062370883, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.4676061389587664e-05, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 0.48832083749320015, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Kprk5RLvN9bBUN0az3L9", "createdTime": 1668440863761, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "...

1

https://firebasestorage.…c53-c432f13dccd5

47

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668647351530}, {"name": "Information security", "slug": "information-security", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "mWlbDotBwWbxf1yOhAA7", "createdTime": 1668440878027}, {"name"...

["crypto-news", "business", "information-security", "ftx", "tomeks-specials"]

1672525971464

1672605017958

{"218d10ae2b18": 100}

True

0.49999999999999956

jLcvJEvC0GensztwS1Tn

{"NO": 185, "YES": 13.513513513513502}

1

will-manifold-create-a-way-to-filte

135

Will Manifold create a way to filter out markets from destiny.gg before the end of 2023?

1668441718679

hlRu3s01YZTAhxEcMgZljxmBOoL2

cpmm-1

0

5.120730122079189

True

play

YES

public

1668441119564

Connor McCormick

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if there is a way to make filter out markets from the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "destiny.gg", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://destiny.gg", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underlin...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668441718679

50

ConnorMcCormick

1668441688723

0

https://firebasestorage.…922-39183f3d58f5

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…7b4-e54ef8e64a01

3

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "hlRu3s01YZTAhxEcMgZljxmBOoL2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668441120172}]

["technology-default"]

0.5

1668441688623

1668441317796

0.7429305912596401

58HOTM5g31rgvNZmsbdH

who-will-be-destinys-antagonist-of

2044.6180985984877

Who Will be Destiny's Antagonist of the Year (2022)?

1672531140000

Wodlas2z4sR3LHhKjxNPTDSVvfj1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.689683808981764

True

play

eac2cede77ed

public

1668441146384

Wowee

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Write in an orbiter or select one you think will win Antagonist of the Year.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "The Destiny Awards 2022 (@DestinyAwards21) / Twitter", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link"...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676212732437

720

Wowee

1710218513576

0

https://firebasestorage.…2a7-df96f7894ff4

18

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "150c020db2d5", "prob": 0.024008577862104252, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.3657947985390306, "userId": "Wodlas2z4sR3LHhKjxNPTDSVvfj1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 14.87020962621327, "textFts": "", "contractId": "58HOTM5g31rgvNZmsbdH", "createdTime": 1668441146858, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0...

9

https://firebasestorage.…b50-fcac7db99ad0

21

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

1672529036326

1676221128392

{"eac2cede77ed": 100}

True

PGNUyHyciEHsqBLRtgKE

2024-us-presidential-election-who-w

102

2024 US presidential election: Who will win Republican primaries?

1668445313202

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.83579187901008

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668441380663

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will win the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668445313202

400

itsTomekK

1668445285656

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "d4275b5fee81", "prob": 0.24507401235173024, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.567133054188234, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 38.711796660121436, "textFts": "", "contractId": "PGNUyHyciEHsqBLRtgKE", "createdTime": 1668441381149, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0...

https://firebasestorage.…1df-812a4145334d

4

[]

1668445067587

1668445284518

True

0.7091885836338242

zTI0ssvrpU3o8riXbnRI

{"NO": 396.8050089002213, "YES": 33.0646186656895}

1

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-ab92becfe74b

310

The following bug is fixed within a week: "copying the link of a search in a group doesn't work (just links to the group). Still works fine for the main search bar. "

1668470848817

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

5.104798298936223

True

play

YES

public

1668442043449

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668470848817

90

ManifoldBugs

1668460268362

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…05f-1767664ab227

4

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668442043741}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1668460063044

1668460267520

0.9669596646253157

0.6002624293200897

FstwuuWDNJSgXUISnvEv

{"NO": 11379.02693378686, "YES": 97.19768415766157}

1

will-sbf-testify-at-his-trial

17039.19383190924

Will SBF testify at his trial?

1698430604717

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0.15557695222963627

1.7843871272607368

True

play

YES

public

1668442236604

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Pure YES/NO, regardless of trial happening)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1698430604717

790

Gigacasting

1698429800933

2.2

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

1

42

0

https://firebasestorage.…de9-bacaec8c9507

15

[{"name": "Sociology", "slug": "sociology", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "iRdbpPisROiQsbEQG6xh", "createdTime": 1668442236833}, {"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670894975000}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug":...

["sociology", "ftx", "sbf-trial"]

0.149782098339327

0.5

1698429800744

1698429777038

0.99

0.30641232263890356

XupbGXALdjVeqvEtXl4S

{"NO": 75.3745668821363, "YES": 203.9966401183972}

0

will-mike-lees-final-margin-of-vict

676.0033598816028

Will Mike Lee's final margin of victory in his US senate election be greater than 14 percentage points?

1669161540000

BVLcpkmHvFTp80z216yhLRzV3QY2

cpmm-1

0

3.3310850806557353

True

play

NO

public

1668442347470

Jacob

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will be resolved when the final election results are certified. According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "local news", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.ksl.com/article/50513867/here-are-the-latest-ba...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669169740194

110

jacob

1669074668856

0

https://firebasestorage.…819-c5b055321fa7

0

4

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3d8-4ef9903bcc5e

4

[{"name": "US 2022 Elections", "slug": "us-2022-elections", "userId": "BVLcpkmHvFTp80z216yhLRzV3QY2", "groupId": "MQJlM8CKTiJHD3HcyW0C", "createdTime": 1668442426808}, {"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "BVLcpkmHvFTp80z216yhLRzV3QY2", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 166...

["us-politics", "us-2022-midterms", "us-2022-elections", "politics-default"]

0.5

1669074668715

1668442472981

0.14032664432243486

0.1779241621282221

WpEKMrKnYjpHhDcr0vIw

{"NO": 249.56552154863772, "YES": 1888.9839185301018}

0

will-google-layoff-at-least-8000-em

3811.6368460976946

Will Google layoff at least 8000 employees before the end of November 2022.

1669852740000

5CHs0RB6Y7PHei0OQGlhFOG6eKl2

cpmm-1

0

1.9566436083675172

True

play

NO

public

1668442552773

Aidan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669928954625

390

taz

1669764383739

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu17WFs599mOW90w_gwmRCNfbl2euySseghxKHVx=s96-c

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…878-f144dfe4be40

15

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "5CHs0RB6Y7PHei0OQGlhFOG6eKl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668442553114}]

["technology-default"]

0.5

1669764383631

1668442606270

0.027799389594339488

0.07480086021327238

kzVZ1VwtJL4mVyKOJ567

{"NO": 254.60492614590018, "YES": 6065.4524810856765}

0

will-the-ftx-future-fund-spend-more-b7b6c6683632

5948.363741834832

Will the FTX Future Fund spend more than $20mn in 2023?

1703980740000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

4.036450307721873

True

play

NO

public

1668443550164

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related markets:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "S4vX0HkG12LH8zCm4S9c,4kRrqbSM9l1s7aKOy7c7,VHdhgJGxHL1TZ71ZJChV,kzVZ1VwtJL4mVyKOJ567"}}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704013299331

352

itsTomekK

1704013299685

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

17

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c12-205f4c3fccbd

12

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668443550565}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz"...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "effective-altruism", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1686660438444

1704013295078

0

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

0.5361554656964155

KfyaUYOrxrAwCT3q0iGB

{"NO": 1172.9668921979187, "YES": 871.0068981903257}

0.51

at-the-end-of-2023-will-people-in-e

1864.2741818114114

At the end of 2023, how well will people in EA think they handled the FTX scandal?

1704085200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

9.623823688383151

True

basic

MKT

public

1668443763809

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of 2023, I will post a poll in EA spaces asking the following question:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Near the end of 2022, there was a large sc...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715380809545

1015

IsaacKing

1715380834963

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

3

51

0

27

31

[{"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1669423096247}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 166844386...

["effective-altruism", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "polls", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

0.5

1702851983851

1715380833119

0.51

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

0.7460275940018312

Zo1RrP6AiuUGeRsqrLyb

{"NO": 886.9293907831067, "YES": 27.992666462824644}

1

will-there-be-a-4th-tweet-in-sbfs-w

1386.762328071479

Will there be a 4th tweet in SBF's weird thread

1668449626234

FPs5hzoibSUgBLOEexZTAQO4kfm1

cpmm-1

0

6.128224516366921

True

play

YES

public

1668443864695

Ophelia

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thread starts here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591989554881658880", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591989554881658880", "class": "z-10 break-a...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668449626234

150

Ophelia

1668449645234

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjHJ7fDIclHMksPAWYaVwA8WNC_yVZpTf-g4hNO=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…861-2a8d8f0c1a4d

8

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "FPs5hzoibSUgBLOEexZTAQO4kfm1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668443864978}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1668448971196

1668449645112

0.9893697012256113

QWxAQ6QDh1vvacghRi9q

what-will-be-the-4th-tweet-in-sbfs

2080

What will be the 4th tweet in SBF's weird thread

1668449592105

FPs5hzoibSUgBLOEexZTAQO4kfm1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.637792084126758

True

play

865da91fd397

public

1668444189857

Ophelia

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Conditional on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Ophelia/will-there-be-a-4th-tweet-in-sbfs-w", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Ophelia/will-there-be-a-4th-tweet-in-sbfs-w",...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668449592105

459.99999999999994

Ophelia

1668449597879

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjHJ7fDIclHMksPAWYaVwA8WNC_yVZpTf-g4hNO=s96-c

0

9

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "468274715722", "prob": 0.0021041999831664, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.00938639431227302, "userId": "FPs5hzoibSUgBLOEexZTAQO4kfm1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 4.451403638652358, "textFts": "", "contractId": "QWxAQ6QDh1vvacghRi9q", "createdTime": 1668444190230, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,...

https://firebasestorage.…12d-4e4e05b1104c

11

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "FPs5hzoibSUgBLOEexZTAQO4kfm1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668444190110}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

1668448830672

1668449596341

{"865da91fd397": 100}

True

hN520q669qgVP21wLvLY

lottery-which-number-between-1-and

117

LOTTERY: Which number between 1 and 10 will win? [Nov 20, 12:00:00 AM ET]

1668941940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.822041232648582

True

play

43a6fa37362a

public

1668444234146

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "WELCOME TO MANIFOLD LOTTERY.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Win 10x your input!", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market will resolve to the number from 1 to ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668983621757

920

itsTomekK

1668948183283

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

8

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "1b2426b99c4d", "prob": 0.07239482681730341, "text": "1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.044917935686897, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 51.82810660921198, "textFts": "'1':1", "contractId": "hN520q669qgVP21wLvLY", "createdTime": 1668444234146, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0...

1

https://firebasestorage.…60b-8fa5295eb5dc

9

[{"name": "Lotteries", "slug": "lotteries", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "MdqNUtni6p3Jc1R0WvBL", "createdTime": 1668444234342}, {"name": "Manifold Casino", "slug": "manifold-casino", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "NhTIwfvuWcE1O7k057gC", "createdTime": 1668444267679}]

["lotteries", "manifold-casino"]

1668935906968

1668948181255

{"43a6fa37362a": 100}

True

0.07687139653738048

n503YRCDLi0EtfLnMqwX

{"NO": 251.52191586814206, "YES": 6002.373394046944}

0

will-the-ftx-future-fund-spend-more-03aa5de2e876

6146.459736461374

Will the FTX Future Fund spend more than $5mn in 2023?

1703980740000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

3.9898607282986367

True

play

NO

public

1668444388305

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Other markets about FTX Future Fund, with other thresholds:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "S4vX0HkG12LH8zCm4S9c,4kRrqbSM9l1s7aKOy7c7,VHdhgJGxHL1TZ71ZJChV,kzVZ1VwtJL4mVyKOJ567"}}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704028805281

350

itsTomekK

1704028806693

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

17

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…2b7-6779cdbbf832

13

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668444413116}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz"...

["effective-altruism", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.12360172533630012

0.5

1686660456140

1668444515836

0

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

0.24304233184383825

pYgUCQXcRkpW8YDyaOWP

{"NO": 70.06459597716982, "YES": 870.7741442322464}

0

will-ftx-token-ftt-dip-below-010-by

722.463309223959

Will FTX Token (FTT) dip below $0.10 by the end of 2022?

1672527540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

3.20222924544304

True

play

NO

public

1668444541646

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "prices via Coingecko, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ftx-token", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ftx-token", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:unde...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672654357003

170

itsTomekK

1672510740373

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f35-eb72b1e6aa41

9

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668444541908}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1672510740209

1668444618218

0.03

0.7565299836704943

r9Uq4QsTQTwOWxDkMBoq

{"NO": 19101.456075363545, "YES": 461.3106345912599}

1

will-manifold-introduce-a-verifiedo

22342.69743906855

Will Manifold introduce a "verified"/"official"/"confirmed" badge by the end of 2023?

1691401649864

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

0.8127622856459418

True

basic

YES

public

1668444980028

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES for any type of badge/type of account which indicates this person is somehow confirmed/verified/real.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1691401649864

1330

itsTomekK

1691375205405

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

69

0

https://firebasestorage.…800-e5b980683a51

46

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668444980527}, {"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672112576085}]

["manifold-6748e065087e", "manibadges"]

0.5

1691375205295

1691354919300

0.99

0.3716550926094796

KAlDBi1o8bF6HlMxTmWg

{"NO": 36.49442907350323, "YES": 248.23693637267306}

0

will-cryptocom-token-cronoscro-dip

197.0020804162256

Will Crypto.com token Cronos(CRO) dip below $0.05 by the end of 2022?

1672527540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

4.056545953690293

True

play

NO

public

1668445242881

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "prices via Coingecko, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cronos", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cronos", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672658969685

90

itsTomekK

1672525292111

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d0b-78f48d9d3088

4

[{"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1668445258248}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668445260707}]

["crypto-news", "crypto-prices"]

0.5

1672525291984

1668445325121

0.08

0.45180722891566133

RRjpV4HCkMchmz3fMOXA

{"NO": 55.71428571428577, "YES": 89.99999999999986}

0.3378378378378372

will-austin-ever-be-a-billionaire

20

Will @Austin ever be a billionaire?

1668494939140

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

3.637883983194914

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668445785877

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668494939140

70

IsaacKing

1668494931419

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…bde-9573fe0727ba

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668445870766}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1668446110402

1668494929565

0.3378378378378373

0.09487817114277806

GnymqDW6qySOTrExnrm2

{"NO": 916.335927292542, "YES": 1417.7545171973768}

0.06345168060794992

will-austin-ever-be-a-billionaire-38170ae33002

28196.071139469357

Will @Austin ever be a billionaire?

4102462800000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

10.271014023368796

False

basic

public

1668445876400

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.1011738857284876, "platformFee": 1.0569510627520382, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

IsaacKing

1716601193320

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

2

40

0

https://firebasestorage.…f3e-149a56e1941f

11

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668445884999}, {"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1668445977898}]

["personal-goals", "finance"]

0.5

1716601189559

1704472154395

Xj9CpoyO7bteID9q2PgG

what-team-will-win-the-premier-leag

93423.00711802352

What team will win the Premier League 2022/23?

1684948434833

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.6161052633390085

True

basic

9907b5a61106

public

1668446046318

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1684948434833

1440

itsTomekK

1684960707353

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

38

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "3f38a5c66ae4", "prob": 0.0001, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.000450033752814e-05, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 0.8999549988749438, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Xj9CpoyO7bteID9q2PgG", "createdTime": 1668446046672, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month":...

https://firebasestorage.…6e4-644a84c106d0

19

[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1668446046528}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1672760090396}, {"name": "Sp...

["soccer", "premiere-league", "sports-default"]

1684944602899

1684960704189

{"9907b5a61106": 100}

True

0.5682302023263922

14PIy2WbJT281PeuileK

{"NO": 337.061474999325, "YES": 197.8014197681202}

0.6916054761738278

esfand-stock-permanent

333.74456924945724

Esfand Stock (Permanent)

33217163036404

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668446237629

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent Stock for Esfand.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.6035849896999959, "platformFee": 1.6035849896999959, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

250

Cooley

1715004803523

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

13

0

https://firebasestorage.…300-01dc110fdb95

5

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668446238091}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396519}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1715004800017

1668446587075

False

0.2935935106328209

EcOoKLghvApUZiumDRnA

{"NO": 161.42510636443745, "YES": 247.5975762570907}

0.21319753377763737

mike-from-pa-centralcommittee-stock

441.3684874630181

Mike from PA (Central_Committee) Stock (Permanent)

33217163036411

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668446429724

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock for Mike from PA (Central_Committee)", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 3.0531133177191805e-16, "week": 3.0531133177191805e-16, "month": 3.0531133177191805e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

190

Cooley

1713585782587

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…e98-af4708d20024

6

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668446430315}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396514}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1706080386171

1668446587331

False

0.7412604420568556

P38qNsxmvQynddfJiwoS

{"NO": 1219.8215940412451, "YES": 35.46765334744223}

1

will-gianni-infantino-still-be-the

1696.378969993995

Will Gianni Infantino still be the President of FIFA on March 1, 2023?

1680299940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

5.285679559425389

True

play

YES

public

1668446509722

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to NO, if for any reason Infantino is no longer President of FIFA by March 1, 2023.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680346603626

130

itsTomekK

1679517528723

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

1

6

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d37-1cb946d2fcf4

6

[{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1668446520239}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "creat...

["2022-fifa-world-cup", "fire-the-ceo-markets", "soccer", "fifa-2022-controversies"]

0.5

1679517528571

1668446585745

0.99

0.5401207506808311

O0TgyGgJ7bPSs9T54wos

{"NO": 1086.6666666666667, "YES": 6.67349819793958}

1

2022-fifa-world-cup-will-cristiano

1035

2022 FIFA World Cup: Will Cristiano Ronaldo score any goal?

1669903951073

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

6.066611595575017

True

play

YES

public

1668446650019

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Own goals do not count)", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "(Penalty shoot-outs do not count)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669903951073

70

itsTomekK

1669903945811

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…91f-1d16aeebb655

3

[{"name": "Cristiano Ronaldo", "slug": "cristiano-ronaldo", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Wdtt9jfeGME2D3k1B59k", "createdTime": 1668446662176}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1668446650243}, {"name"...

["soccer", "cristiano-ronaldo", "2022-fifa-world-cup"]

0.5

1669903945642

1668446794048

0.6391408598105216

0.8911695071983359

38PZFb7lI182ewnEmTj9

{"NO": 8684.23130763445, "YES": 1093.1344731071047}

1

will-destiny-canvass-in-the-georgia

24169.713224476734

Will Destiny canvass in the Georgia runoff election 2022

1670389140000

xHSUjTuHgDSfXPeGaHWgZvOytWg2

cpmm-1

0

0.8171682716984274

True

basic

YES

public

1668446819516

redacted from redacted

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When speaking with IRI regarding the Georgia elections, Destiny promised he'd canvas if a runoff election was triggered. This will resolve on the day of the Georgia runoff election 12/6/22, or earlier if definitive evidence is given that Destiny wo...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670517109329

1450

redactedfromredacted

1670390652313

0

https://firebasestorage.…aaa-f07f2b9e655b

73

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…59e-610ef9e913c7

60

[{"name": "2022 Georgia Runoffs", "slug": "2022-georgia-runoffs", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "TdE6khkHIRpYbjH6kYp7", "createdTime": 1670370504142}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "xHSUjTuHgDSfXPeGaHWgZvOytWg2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668446819...

["destinygg", "2022-georgia-runoffs", "please-resolve"]

0.5

1670346298619

1670390647951

0.98

0.6562920103496366

VktkyqjxirNgAeOvcqei

{"NO": 145.53310165445572, "YES": 63.661662561339405}

1

us-venture-capital-investment-in-cr

61.00000000000004

US venture capital investment in crypto exceeds $2 billion in either Q4 of 2022 or Q1 of 2023

1680332340000

AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2

cpmm-1

0

3.312938637780818

True

play

YES

public

1668446956708

Ian Philips

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market created for nonrival: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://nonrival.substack.com/p/will-vcs-give-up-on-crypto", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://nonrival.substack.com/p/will-vcs-give-up-on-crypto", "clas...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1682948175210

90

ian

1680793956947

0

https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0

3

0

7

5

[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1668446957002}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 167035987...

["venture-capital", "private-markets", "crypto-speculation"]

0.5

1680100620015

1680793953462

False

0.81

0.7822307009126117

kLnJaEJdkkEqXNugCyii

{"NO": 305.51113574707904, "YES": 272.30901659463564}

0.8011921756494551

horse-stock-permanent-fuck-cars

576.3853052508679

Horse Stock (permanent) (fuck cars)

33217163036428

XYc7oYhAg2dPBDSMaYqsOY9D29S2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668447253249

thumbreon

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

290

thumb

1713585428180

0

https://firebasestorage.…25d-eb3ed1e73e3b

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff0-324f7751b6fb

14

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1704742476437

1668498895192

False

0.47435958908057935

80DwmBXfZ3LJlBNtsa1B

{"NO": 4.840367685022329, "YES": 2222.1026075718705}

0

2022-fifa-world-cup-will-cristiano-c7a65d452595

2231.8973924281295

2022 FIFA World Cup: Will Cristiano Ronaldo be benched for any full game?

1670865480975

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

5.5448035588258175

True

play

NO

public

1668447770212

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve to YES, if during 2022 World Cup there is any game of Portugal team, in which Cristiano Ronaldo does not play for any minute.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670865480975

90

itsTomekK

1670799755429

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a4-17952bba24dc

4

[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1668447770450}, {"name": "Cristiano Ronaldo", "slug": "cristiano-ronaldo", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Wdtt9jfeGME2D3k1B59k", "createdTime": 1669228227354}]

["soccer", "cristiano-ronaldo"]

0.5

1670691539290

1670799752939

0

0.4970167736521569

NGK8HXXR7yoENOPsRPDM

{"NO": 424.3773809111115, "YES": 101.72444505478983}

1

will-this-stream-turn-into-another

2532.088708310133

Will this stream turn into another Orbiter clusterduck 🦆?

1668469011643

kOufdnIK6eOcLm8nZ3q1TLvyPBP2

cpmm-1

0

1.7868657972920725

True

play

YES

public

1668447847459

YoloHobbit

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Orbiter calls in, which triggers another one to call in etc. which provides the main stream content ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668469011643

230

YoloHobbit

1710218352108

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2o7HbHXIKQTiUJqXRAGnLDSHX9AyJPIsyKprHBONc=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…f6b-a36f96a337c8

12

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668468141234

1668455593746

0.8047769525009507

0.2358997022048647

GC9QSFzSREPP1h2d6jHM

{"NO": 149.6650754455746, "YES": 822.0701563641213}

0

will-blockfi-reenable-withdrawals-b

1627.0984775241811

Will BlockFi re-enable withdrawals by the end of 2022?

1672527540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.3194647492066673

True

play

NO

public

1668447902065

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "BlockFi says it can no longer operate its business as usual, pausing client withdrawals in the wake of FTX collapse.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market will resolve to YES, if in 2022 BlockFi reen...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672659323004

270

itsTomekK

1672514437563

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…e83-74f931e8859b

12

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668447902294}, {"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-news"]

0.5

1672514437394

1668448249748

0.05

m6YVJt3wZTlpLnraiJ0u

what-is-the-first-letter-sbf-will-t

8

What is the (first) letter SBF will tweet next?

1668448662081

0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.99412493717808

True

play

980a1961b7f3

public

1668448246988

Sinclair Chen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which letter (from A-Z, case insensitive) will the account ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "@SBF_FTX", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:deco...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668448662081

759.9999999999998

Sinclair

1668449045753

0

https://firebasestorage.…05f-2c822e6eeb32

2

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "69537bacdaab", "prob": 0.03175328964080679, "text": "A", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.3152013170312143, "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.61137071996941, "textFts": "", "contractId": "m6YVJt3wZTlpLnraiJ0u", "createdTime": 1668448246988, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mo...

https://firebasestorage.…5d1-598eca88811b

3

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668448247221}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

1668448435196

1668449044562

{"980a1961b7f3": 100}

True

0.7561655914722093

V2hh0wKi04RaNqjJEEqT

{"NO": 538.0969750775677, "YES": 14.67539285578786}

0

will-you-lose-smash

636.8391599911163

will you lose smash?

1668450323091

Z1fsJCJYg5a4E4tV63l0Hza7pYs1

cpmm-1

0

8.61843773013677

True

play

NO

public

1668448460835

Drown

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "bing chilling", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668450323091

90

Drown

1668449006025

0

https://firebasestorage.…0b5-83d2471f0bbc

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…c49-443bacc17e81

4

[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "Z1fsJCJYg5a4E4tV63l0Hza7pYs1", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668448461167}]

["gaming"]

0.5

1668448955610

1668449004232

0.9912822463396487

0.3015816909376796

ad6tsmUDciCq0ggm7zVC

{"NO": 148.03391375279665, "YES": 11168.127457070921}

0

will-cz-changpeng-zhao-be-the-ceo-o

55888.60990168303

Will CZ (Changpeng Zhao) be the CEO of Binance through 2023?

1700615184488

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.3027940996591942

1.7241540823746075

True

basic

NO

public

1668448681003

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Changpeng Zhao", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALiCzsajzYDdmJ5h0wc4sl1A1Hf8YhordA:1668448621127&q=Changpeng+Zhao&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgVuLVT9c3NEw3...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1700615184488

1480

itsTomekK

1700610672874

2

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

57

0

https://firebasestorage.…aae-17cc24d1ee03

9

[{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1668448688628}, {"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1668448...

["crypto-news", "fire-the-ceo-markets", "binance"]

0.17519564275389854

0.5

1700610672719

1700610122595

0.01

0.2701239612425122

Vst2jHINgwBN393QAa5X

{"NO": 216.16006950898574, "YES": 1068.602672625133}

0

will-lav-stream-before-112122

5802.466491983483

Will Lav stream before 11/21/22

1669093140000

qF2nxPGVRIW76ls4NNrhbe72Pcd2

cpmm-1

0

1.5301753756557215

True

play

NO

public

1668448882743

Gravy Gnome

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Lav stream within the next week despite swearing off streaming in her latest patreon post?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves yes if she appears on any stream (not just her own). Resolves no if ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669151603312

370

GravyGnome

1669135021838

0

https://firebasestorage.…536-061757bbae0f

20

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a97-bc96fc089716

19

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "qF2nxPGVRIW76ls4NNrhbe72Pcd2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668448883143}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1669092584734

1669135017344

0.06964977022074806

0.48178553357362836

d8WfgeI7DSsUXUAPhsJF

{"NO": 196.01600446159233, "YES": 41.97812409211315}

1

will-destiny-bring-up-the-redacted

1001.6673659951148

redacted

1668450183158

6PSZWYVp8Cd0cwEbVdALGCp2UZj2

cpmm-1

0

3.2069932233326135

True

play

YES

public

1668448905991

marketman

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "MMMM", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 3, 9:04pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Destiny bring up the [REDACTED] drama today?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → redacted", "type": "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668450183158

370

marketman

1668450197463

0

https://firebasestorage.…fd3-b35b3b83d681

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…baf-00d5061f3388

19

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "6PSZWYVp8Cd0cwEbVdALGCp2UZj2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668448906331}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1668450183383

1668450196021

0.49670794703810484

0.140249841884879

H4jvRcIaD8ycZ3VaHOZx

{"NO": 778.8854291366638, "YES": 6428.418905481949}

0

will-the-us-intercept-a-north-korea

8905.149375558518

Will the US intercept a North Korean missile before the end of 2023?

1704085140000

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

0.8792071746636876

True

basic

NO

public

1668448992925

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Missile tests and real world combat both count. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704085268153

1100

BTE

1704085269666

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

60

0

https://firebasestorage.…35d-718e75860b99

15

[{"name": "North Korea", "slug": "north-korea", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "5aafMiQ5NeYij6TE1G1i", "createdTime": 1675260987848}, {"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1668448993239}, {"name"...

["global-macro", "north-korea", "pacific-rim", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704085117305

1668449911033

0.02

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

0.10107433832028756

L3Uegzpj18gM5FE66VCO

{"NO": 210.8738668681537, "YES": 3290.736074692496}

0

will-an-above-ground-nuclear-test-t

6606.47948445101

Will an above ground nuclear test take place by the end of 2022?

1672538819325

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

3.8733178391018575

True

play

NO

public

1668449084062

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672538819325

310

BTE

1672538814484

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…834-d03a93e603af

11

[{"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1668449084296}]

["nuclear-risk"]

0.5

1672538814363

1668449943829

0.05

0.10217756126050602

FMRsohgwRADhI8t23AZm

{"NO": 762.2267288859695, "YES": 4631.404363616679}

0

will-an-above-ground-nuclear-test-t-74cfd7f5603e

4798.2237074818495

Will an above ground nuclear test take place by the end of 2023?

1704082655827

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

1.230263472802486

True

play

NO

public

1668449102611

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704082655827

945

BTE

1704082656961

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

54

0

https://firebasestorage.…c2e-4f4039aa78a9

8

[{"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1668449102865}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701133669823}]

["nuclear-risk", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704082652470

1672276245385

0.02

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

0.5

NypucncnlIgjbODRRlUl

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

what-is-the-next-letter-in-sbfftxs

0

What is the next letter in @SBF_FTX's tweetstorm?

1668449152570

MWW2zdtdTcVPBIcmJMWpNwKTikp2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668449125028

Byrne Hobart

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We're at:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1) What", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2) H", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "3) A", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680211256505

50

ByrneHobart

1668450213592

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyWRUkVKow5CE1qtRKVDnXQoCE5tuz9y0VWxPCn=s96-c

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…02e-2099716a48aa

3

[{"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "userId": "MWW2zdtdTcVPBIcmJMWpNwKTikp2", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1668449125444}]

["nuclear-risk"]

0.5

1668450213079

0.5

0.832754632744573

Xnumulluz3xyxp2BAx3Q

{"NO": 574.0563503814312, "YES": 356.7848174857022}

0.8890300660907174

nick-p-greenzerg-stock-permanent

1786.4404442191412

Nick P. [GreenZerg] Stock (Permanent)

33217163036422

KZNcZNMlHuWwDYvOX5UnfmBxfL42

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668449130564

Songaro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "D&D Nick.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

STONK

{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

410

MagicanSongaro

1713585045102

0

https://firebasestorage.…242-3449143b8f04

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…6d9-49f82adee4d3

16

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "Tombs of Scoria", "slug": "tombs-o...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "tombs-of-scoria", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1685181850109

1668524770472

False

mSJjKUVyyFjgXq0to9Yu

what-will-be-the-next-letter-in-sbf

2623.604020874802

What will be the next letter in SBF_FTX's tweetstorm?

1668451985666

MWW2zdtdTcVPBIcmJMWpNwKTikp2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.634118799555438

True

play

a13e61a29279

public

1668449201974

Byrne Hobart

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592214726708453376", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592214726708453376", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-40...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668451985666

499.99999999999994

ByrneHobart

1668450542675

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyWRUkVKow5CE1qtRKVDnXQoCE5tuz9y0VWxPCn=s96-c

0

10

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "4f5c1e899ee8", "prob": 0.0014720386262935539, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.006028751976102661, "userId": "MWW2zdtdTcVPBIcmJMWpNwKTikp2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 4.089483327949719, "textFts": "", "contractId": "mSJjKUVyyFjgXq0to9Yu", "createdTime": 1668449202359, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"...

https://firebasestorage.…166-87109682a490

11

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "MWW2zdtdTcVPBIcmJMWpNwKTikp2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668449202233}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

1668450542559

1668450224168

{"a13e61a29279": 100}

True

0.8343904080925051

qFDtth5pxeDjO5hm4HVx

{"NO": 1078.5442871404953, "YES": 722.8172630058142}

1

will-i-resolve-this-market-to-yes-o-34f68043f0dc

4298.627059586481

Will I resolve this Market to YES or NO?

1669849140000

WUi9IAOSWVNKjzcG1YU2OcJvpjp1

cpmm-1

0

0.8886952209531196

True

play

YES

public

1668449409323

Neko

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes on the end of November.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be putting M200 on YES.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669849334369

810

NekoHime

1669849112495

0

https://firebasestorage.…383-28c19403d1e5

41

0

https://firebasestorage.…e67-a8a9513e0758

36

[{"name": "Interest Rates", "slug": "interest-rates", "userId": "WUi9IAOSWVNKjzcG1YU2OcJvpjp1", "groupId": "NQRP4KzZgRzwssnVKlp9", "createdTime": 1668449436175}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WUi9IAOSWVNKjzcG1YU2OcJvpjp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668449431649}, {"name...

["free-money", "destinygg", "interest-rates", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive"]

0.5

False

1669847780195

1669849110151

True

0.8825993930984746

0.16215827597385293

Xa4Eex0iH7bhcWNLq2Eq

{"NO": 404.9621315204148, "YES": 1033.8386862204898}

0

will-destiny-get-a-ridge-wallet-spo

1224.5566628149586

Will Destiny get a Ridge Wallet sponsorship in 2022?

1672552740000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

1.471153572561664

True

play

NO

public

1668449706320

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672555131759

490

destiny

1671795434679

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

24

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c69-377968d2ff7d

20

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668449706835}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1671795434544

1668450715954

0.07

0.352844211814271

I6fgAmpLtDTAntHlJYwc

{"NO": 153.2224547617358, "YES": 264.5446140694424}

0.23999999999999996

will-there-be-a-postmortem-album-by

189.93509742633177

Will there be a post-mortem album by David Bowie released before 2027?

1825109940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.557929215630805

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668449717178

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "David Bowie died on January 10 2016.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will resolve to \"YES\" if there is a David Bowie's album released, with at least 3 new studio songs, recorded specifically...

BINARY

{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

190

itsTomekK

1688372931452

2.3

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

1

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…9e0-c95a448f31f2

7

[{"name": "Arts", "slug": "arts", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "rvlLWOxULpzwHIaMDePa", "createdTime": 1668450010933}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1668450004328}, {"n...

["music-f213cbf1eab5", "entertainment", "arts", "tomeks-specials"]

0.13507400792511778

0.5

1688372928721

1668450715452

0.6079554435167427

CIb7RtmdpgOkFECQ1oxI

{"NO": 1112.0742126853343, "YES": 3.9958152950706727}

1

will-the-next-tweet-by-sam-bankmanf

1070.1867624368679

Will the next tweet by Sam Bankman-Fried start with the letter “P”?

1668450763343

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

7.538937575333398

True

play

YES

public

1668449956607

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the first A-Z character in the next tweet posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as \"SBF\") verified Twitter account (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668450763343

90

itsTomekK

1668450753744

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…444-c813558dba6c

4

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668449956827}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime":...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "polymarket"]

0.5

1668450722916

1668450751276

0.9803565212807643

0.8677323894196439

WGwTJJBdNw52prVGFb2U

{"NO": 6849.93519242197, "YES": 123.30374866951206}

1

will-any-frenchborn-player-score-a

11376.025933686877

Will any French-born player score a goal against France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup?

1670621581396

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

cpmm-1

0

3.884909281022354

True

play

YES

public

1668449991994

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There will be more french-born players playing against France than players in the French roster. Will any of those players or the teams they are on score a goal against France in the world cup?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670621581396

350

Predictor

1670621573437

0

https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…785-663ebe3178d2

15

[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1668449992433}]

["2022-fifa-world-cup"]

0.5

1670621573266

1670565410548

0.99

0.08309784399460085

tPIz6MwvRiCt0hfBIETG

{"NO": 1001.4621337725257, "YES": 650.670281378286}

0.12241373305675489

is-dan-a-femboy

965.562073710924

Is Dan a Femboy?

1798779600000

9wnnTy1Z0TcyO1tk86cSJYP3OXv2

cpmm-1

0

10.31021870273926

False

basic

public

1668450010129

ByZyGuy

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Evidence:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FhU5i1hIBcZ.png?alt=media&token=915ecc35-5a19-4611-ba0c-db393a4b6ba1", "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0.017295216179574982, "month": 0.06830074043566761}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.587725937516062, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ByZyGuy

1720203588965

0

https://firebasestorage.…3bd-685aec92715b

0

14

1

7

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9wnnTy1Z0TcyO1tk86cSJYP3OXv2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668450010641}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1720203588965

1668466242150

0.9024179961077794

8rYmn6DNdFpeqs8z8FVU

{"NO": 1822.4575921636385, "YES": 258.33731053499565}

1

will-the-next-three-letters-in-sbfs

1755.4170103720135

Will the next three letters in SBF's weird thread make it spell out "What HAPPEN"?

1668467042303

K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3

cpmm-1

0

3.4123603554339117

True

play

YES

public

1668450247485

Tetra

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The thread starts ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591989554881658880?s=20&t=PnL7eae--FtwTTZmsIrl5g", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underlin...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668467042303

370

Tetraspace

1668463499673

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f

18

0

https://firebasestorage.…200-6fa9451bc7ab

19

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668450247842}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1668463499555

1668450927023

0.9849031885502726

0.5034208641122881

b6PLeGHx8KsDUQ02zEsI

{"NO": 1594.391679954114, "YES": 1.7324991460432102}

1

will-the-next-tweet-by-sam-bankmanf-70ef623aa20e

1543

Will the next tweet by Sam Bankman-Fried start with the letter “E”?

1668451268363

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

6.656615914345851

True

play

YES

public

1668450605949

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the first A-Z character in the next tweet posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as \"SBF\") verified Twitter account (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668451268363

90

itsTomekK

1668451262723

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…9b9-1fef1de562e5

4

[{"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1668450606187}]

["polymarket"]

0.5

1668451262621

1668450927107

0.5901639344262294

0.44400137348346636

0GC7yzBHY3URwEmsjguX

{"NO": 991.384644676233, "YES": 981.8773803670172}

0.4463814627709088

will-there-be-97-billion-humans-liv

1091.0099076486315

Will there be 9.7 billion humans living on Earth in 2050?

2556161940000

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

cpmm-1

0

9.739833538968107

False

basic

public

1668450734405

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current UN projection, do you think it will stand? Humans must be living on Earth and not on another planet. Resolves yes if the UN doesn't alter this estimate in 2050 by more than 500 million in either direction. So anywhere between 9.2 B to 10.2 ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.016381462770909128}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.1352001690464688, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Predictor

1718292128659

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…962-ef0bc5ead4de

10

[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1668450734712}]

["world-default"]

0.1020706355753013

0.5

1718292125445

1679103786056

fMfn4zK1WjzG1BPbv36C

what-will-be-the-next-letter-in-sbf-6aee25699fe1

458

What will be the next letter in SBF_FTX's tweetstorm?

1668451240217

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.7008628107595865

True

play

18fbcc9dd9c1

public

1668450811226

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592214726708453376", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592214726708453376", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-40...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668451240217

360

itsTomekK

1668451197340

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

5

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "fcd31d323db6", "prob": 0.032116750812553795, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.8190566712080127, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 24.683419466193154, "textFts": "", "contractId": "fMfn4zK1WjzG1BPbv36C", "createdTime": 1668450811625, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ...

https://firebasestorage.…914-0a501337c061

6

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668450811495}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

1668451181580

1668451195954

{"18fbcc9dd9c1": 100}

True

0.5453672982674422

CnUPcXOO1oWtugSWAZuZ

{"NO": 291.62784699850874, "YES": 9549.258453319813}

0

will-mrgirls-investigation-conclude

94813.2460166253

Will MrGirl's "investigation" conclude that Destiny is a serial sexual abuser?

1680411540000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

0.5635288502633511

True

basic

NO

public

1668450891542

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the line is blurry on the conclusion, I'll cancel the market returning everyone's investment.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-02-01 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}, {"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1681316808156

1990

destiny

1681366764090

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

5

421

0

3

282

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668450891900}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1680407055222

1681366760083

0.04

Kg8pVnzCI4grqiChwiLe

what-will-be-the-result-of-the-twee

1048.1568392644358

What will be the result of the tweetstorm thread by Sam Bankman-Fried?

1670532827360

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.675867210455248

True

play

MKT

public

1668450919697

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The most precise answer wins.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will resolve when the thread will seem to be discontinued, ie. there is no more SBF's answers to that tweet of his own.", "type": "text"}, {"ty...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670532827360

940

itsTomekK

1669251825398

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

15

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "6ebe8fad9d26", "prob": 0.015709593482108257, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.12900280420976903, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 8.082718546612647, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Kg8pVnzCI4grqiChwiLe", "createdTime": 1668450920051, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ...

https://firebasestorage.…548-50440383628b

18

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668462275453}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668462273080...

["polymarket", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "tomeks-specials"]

1669251825247

1669155736551

{"3a9b63afb67a": 57.5, "829a439500dc": 2.5, "f637365f5b2c": 40}

True

0.2934174363499736

jPBWPU7Tt9V46YLk6om1

{"NO": 970.1616342881996, "YES": 1035.0600202034884}

0.2801745864917218

will-any-ftxff-grantee-be-legally-c

816.1461936998761

Will any FTXFF grantee be legally compelled to return funds due to FTX's bankruptcy?

1735689540000

UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1

cpmm-1

0

9.580775784784365

False

basic

public

1668451158221

Jonathan Ray

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2024-12-31 3:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

JonathanRay

1713870456009

0

https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660

1

17

0

14

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668451158658}]

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]

0.5

1710538177598

1710538236832

0.25141600219877985

CvoF8uLmyK8IWhdqbwYt

{"NO": 889.7525918841458, "YES": 1273.951976462812}

0.19000000000000014

will-a-significant-portion-of-jeff

739.1682352606942

Will a significant portion of Jeff Bezos charitable projects be EA aligned?

1735772340000

E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2

cpmm-1

0

9.652311596805674

False

basic

public

1668452649079

Mathias Bonde

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will consider the question to have resolved positively if any of the following conditions are met:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [...

BINARY

{"day": 8.326672684688674e-17, "week": 8.326672684688674e-17, "month": 8.326672684688674e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

MathiasBonde

1706005003250

0

https://firebasestorage.…8f0-e7d0878eb269

20

0

https://firebasestorage.…4b9-279c75242397

19

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668452649324}, {"name": "Chana's Dashboard", "slug": "chanas-dashboard", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "ou4nJIhiHkAfq90VMVNC", "createdTime": ...

["effective-altruism", "chanas-dashboard"]

0.5

1706005003057

1689194972688

D3lbro9DRzie0hxvJmq3

what-is-the-best-explanation-for-sb

4259.11897300264

What is the best explanation for SBF's weird tweet thread?

1704085200000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.667412847793566

True

basic

MKT

public

1668452976779

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market to the answer or answers that seem to me like the best explanation of why SBF's twitter account is posting these tweets. If we get a good answer I'll resolve it early, otherwise I'll wait untill the close date to see if n...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1706373889472

1779.9999999999995

IsaacKing

1706373889786

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

31

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "1812b017b10f", "prob": 0.011540155015060581, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.08312787699373661, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 7.120230906770418, "textFts": "", "contractId": "D3lbro9DRzie0hxvJmq3", "resolverId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "createdTime": 166...

6

https://firebasestorage.…c87-421982a90e77

33

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668452977017}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 17031...

["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]

1682548043761

1706373401900

{"16456421c982": 10, "654651639114": 45, "f0f4f04cb5ca": 45}

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

True

0.492014243167402

4bQhdsPOCK1IcEPXMuZe

{"NO": 855.6334454612297, "YES": 1238.7433172917144}

0.40084239227448504

hasan-stock-permanent-845594eeeb6d

5034.589210379035

Hasan Stock (Permanent)

33217163036407

jFnTp2mYkRdfk0QDLXFBKWacHBn1

cpmm-1

1.7314829084512394e-16

9.484015908325553

False

basic

public

1668453926922

Bryan Wade

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0018611940888837442}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.029494709766207, "platformFee": 1.8927209280345751, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1040

BryanWade

1717882134052

0.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu28_baW3Z7ehqXIRh4XEGH_iXdlocuoWBufW-F1=s96-c

55

0

https://firebasestorage.…cef-50fc174f8da5

38

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti...

["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.11689389563037308

0.5

False

1717882130883

1679112182953

False

0.26195264875519814

yjiMcQM2TZfHVLr9Or9I

{"NO": 24.64353145821529, "YES": 1239.9999999999998}

0

will-gigi-sohn-be-seated-to-the-fcc

1150

Will Gigi Sohn be seated to the FCC on or prior to January 3, 2023?

1672761335149

fnZNlvoKIdMGuEJNgh7kH5VbdWs1

cpmm-1

0

6.2930111755258125

True

play

NO

public

1668454699957

Konstantin Medvedovsky

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The FCC currently sits at a 2-2 split. President Biden has nominated Gigi Sohn to fill the 5th seat, but she has run into Republican and moderate Democrat opposition. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672761335149

90

KonstantinMedvedovsky

1672688531136

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3VOM_E1Mo2CvStxFmvgtPniJ80yMbN-Gmi8Fh8Dw=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…e6e-fafd4797c612

4

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "fnZNlvoKIdMGuEJNgh7kH5VbdWs1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668454700485}]

["politics-default"]

0.5

1672688530994

1668454935433

0.01

0.10724718318374069

9XQCfK9kHKxttRXwaWuP

{"NO": 216.51692943310456, "YES": 1546.1351942004235}

0

will-xi-jinping-sit-for-an-intervie

2150.25357092684

Will Xi Jinping sit for an interview with a major US media outlet by the end of 2022?

1672537227765

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

3.610694483350474

True

play

NO

public

1668454963111

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To date, Xi has ONLY ONCE submitted to an interview with Western media, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "with the WSJ in 2015", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wsj.com/articles/full-transcript-interview-with-c...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672537227765

290

BTE

1672537222164

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…af3-11239e1df5a5

10

[{"name": "Who does Xi think he is?", "slug": "who-does-xi-think-he-is", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "GPloP7NvYNOoTpTWZhpJ", "createdTime": 1668454963313}]

["who-does-xi-think-he-is"]

0.5

1672537221999

1668455077803

0.04

0.16237324368344136

jNxX1P00ugsn8zT9XWB2

{"NO": 625.4092620943181, "YES": 5567.463591024585}

0

will-xi-jinping-sit-for-an-intervie-0566fbe1c921

7586.6339951417895

Will Xi Jinping sit for an interview with a major US media outlet by the end of 2023?

1704082353369

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

0.9302940072709522

True

play

NO

public

1668455000556

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To date, Xi has ONLY ONCE submitted to an interview with Western media, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "with the WSJ in 2015", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wsj.com/articles/full-transcript-interview-with-c...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704082353369

925

BTE

1704082354428

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

1

55

0

https://firebasestorage.…e53-1b49845ddd56

8

[{"name": "Who does Xi think he is?", "slug": "who-does-xi-think-he-is", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "GPloP7NvYNOoTpTWZhpJ", "createdTime": 1668455000769}, {"name": "Xi Jinping", "slug": "xi-jinping", "groupId": "9a2af487-f1e7-4147-ad6e-0ee17a81e74f", "createdTime": 1696613807326}, {"name": "🎆...

["who-does-xi-think-he-is", "xi-jinping", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704082348821

1668455076362

0.02

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

0.5

FbqEODSu5s4vJJlkwNO2

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

if-republicans-win-the-house-in-202

0

If republicans win the house in 2022, will Trump be given the role of speaker of the house at any point before the end of 2023?

1668455542028

9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668455505248

L

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1668455542028

50

L

1668455548698

0

https://firebasestorage.…776-643c9417e854

0

https://firebasestorage.…3a8-1c8281dc9fdf

2

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668455505901}]

["us-politics"]

0.5

1668455547052

0.5

0.34851128588632624

8NfJEtLfEeAAUJSjcKZA

{"NO": 96.58669361569545, "YES": 123.01922129693612}

0.29577703881055845

mitch-jones-stock-permanent

139.92647541687066

Mitch Jones Stock (Permanent)

33217163036408

GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668456121510

Cooley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock for Mitch Jones.", "type": "text"}]}]}

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0.024444895790185772, "month": 0.02444489579018566}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.19908057772713256, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

110

Cooley

1719785393860

0

https://firebasestorage.…4a2-d79494769b45

5

1

https://firebasestorage.…c24-8cf56db4f677

4

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668456121809}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396520}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1719785390748

1668456475763

False

0.7962573594823819

DIiwldqOc4Be5Q2akCe8

{"NO": 943.1702652510015, "YES": 134.21454634613332}

1

will-destiny-even-in-his-life-dye-h

1701.3989780324432

Will Destiny Even In His Life Dye His Hair Blue?

1670258612957

Dlp2xnBeI4cV86OEaqSAY0R7O2a2

cpmm-1

0

2.8594075346819325

True

play

YES

public

1668456539849

RAMZY

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will destiny finally complete the promise he made to chat and actually dye his hair blue?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1670258612957

250

RAMZY

1670232659802

0

https://firebasestorage.…b9a-0d5e68bc0cfe

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…c58-84ce44129da7

12

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668456948895}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1670232659620

1670220481396

0.9648677668329274

0.6532349720424668

8BWQdF1KkNMnyqSgguZL

{"NO": 417.04045274685336, "YES": 413.5335587143451}

0.6551453416862024

will-a-crazy-sexual-partner-of-dest

2377.86773897792

Will a crazy sexual partner of destiny come up in 2023?

1704085140000

AZZMz66No5hM8dgmTLQ9naJHpUU2

cpmm-1

0.7961127670452441

0.9535994075730024

True

play

CANCEL

public

1668456735501

9"

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704544283625

470

9

1704544283862

3.3

https://firebasestorage.…22b-106024161a47

25

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…58b-33c813461685

10

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "AZZMz66No5hM8dgmTLQ9naJHpUU2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668456735810}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132981262}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.15557641151575602

0.5

1703776617151

1704544278809

0.66

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

0.1229525582826679

jldkXkhAAsAz3yoXY0iH

{"NO": 394.7606661887877, "YES": 727.878339325701}

0

will-hasan-and-destiny-have-a-conve

2502.873368337447

Will Hasan and Destiny have a conversation before January 15th 2023?

1673805600000

rlCeC8X8HyYv681hpz9HFFIFwur2

cpmm-1

0

1.9832148882809224

True

play

NO

public

1668457017426

Rum Ham

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Hasan and Destiny have a conversation on stream OR a conversation off stream that can be referenced this will resolve as YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the Redacted arc bring the...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674847979305

450

RumHammithy

1674461580559

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3-vGjnHLa_cxhW3grynhDGg7qhhXfLnDsQcz_i=s96-c

21

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…d58-66b4d26a9d0e

20

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rlCeC8X8HyYv681hpz9HFFIFwur2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668457017855}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1673780821352

1674461575686

0.07

nwKmPLwK5eqLIaOjFiFs

what-will-be-the-title-of-a-new-boo-fadcf619d603

47426.2239243499

What will be the title of a new book by Michael Lewis about Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX & crypto?

1685483940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.616548628412796

True

play

eb60bc22b91f

public

1668457402432

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Michael Lewis, 62, has been described as 'the most talented and successful non-fiction writer working today'. 'The Big Short' author is writing a book about FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBrea...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1685488009902

2059.9999999999995

itsTomekK

1685488053916

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

0

45

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "048ab6234f9e", "prob": 0.0001, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.379579330518922e-05, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 0.537904137258587, "textFts": "", "contractId": "nwKmPLwK5eqLIaOjFiFs", "createdTime": 1668457402781, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": ...

1

https://firebasestorage.…5ec-cde99bbf992c

38

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668462323200}, {"name": "Financial crisis", "slug": "financial-crisis", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "4TAmalgRi1jgHh8HTQd5", "createdTime": 1668457651110}, {"name": "Crypt...

["books", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-news", "crypto-speculation", "financial-crisis", "ftx", "tomeks-specials"]

1685470079524

1685488050945

{"eb60bc22b91f": 100}

True

0.44265941655722457

p8G6PxhZ68oPkDBctOWq

{"NO": 129.7774071571668, "YES": 412.29505290744146}

0

will-neo-defeat-orangie-in-the-1-mo

3865.418180868815

Will Neo Defeat Orangie in the 1 Month Weight Loss Battle?

1671062340000

FOX5rPQIjzbvshx6ffRa82AzB3q2

cpmm-1

0

1.680225367639479

True

play

NO

public

1668457628129

NeoFegg0tFockerBallz

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Neo and Orangie have begun a competitive weight cut. Who will Win? YES for Neo, NO for the feeble Orangie", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 14, 12:29pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Neo Defeat Orangie in the...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1683784986032

250

NEO

1671031589256

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNEO%2FeU_dHl7PYv.22?alt=media&token=e6a51ea6-21c0-4c10-92e6-4a4a0e301b75

13

0

30

https://firebasestorage.…7ba-8a76e28dc600

12

[{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "FOX5rPQIjzbvshx6ffRa82AzB3q2", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668457637923}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "FOX5rPQIjzbvshx6ffRa82AzB3q2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668457628934}]

["personal-goals", "eto"]

0.5

1671031589127

1668482856330

0.2

0.3945438476450861

EoEYKhpSDbI26fnb8BpY

{"NO": 127.8044433185843, "YES": 185.3727654051114}

0.53

predict-metaculus-will-ukraine-seve

378.6490336629119

Predict Metaculus: Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and the occupied East before 2024?

1668661200000

4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2

cpmm-1

0

2.1775141661761213

True

play

MKT

public

1668458341873

Johnny Ten-Numbers

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13531/ua-to-sever-southeas...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669305605870

150

1941159478

1710462490585

0

https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5

1

8

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…ffa-a870b323b353

11

[{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe"}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz"}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE"}, {"name": "🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOu...

["world-default", "wars", "russia", "ukrainerussia-war", "ukraine", "metaforecasting", "predictions-on-predictions", "short-fuse", "reciprocal-scoring"]

0.5

1668661174459

1668458486006

False

0.53

0.7112812867403141

fiBB6g5RMD2Rh7PKVvXD

{"NO": 292.87925301822844, "YES": 174.32665698189984}

0.64

predict-metaculus-will-twitter-expe

218.1822752226168

Predict Metaculus: Will Twitter experience an outage greater than 60 minutes before mid-2023?

1668549600000

4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2

cpmm-1

0

1.983323176862278

True

play

MKT

public

1668458539158

Johnny Ten-Numbers

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13538/twitter-outage-befor...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669070443490

210

1941159478

1710462511044

0

https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5

9

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…c06-7c9b422456e7

11

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej"}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecas...

["technology-default", "twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "metaforecasting", "predictions-on-predictions", "short-fuse", "reciprocal-scoring"]

0.5

1668549573433

1668532270566

0.64

0.7788071673827005

YpDq7Ip8co9u9GoXbMzG

{"NO": 13489.601748013749, "YES": 31.098604064765823}

1

will-someone-get-a-straight-red-car

14677.98483126508

Will someone get a straight red card at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?

1669378535059

946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2

cpmm-1

0

4.466736653786818

True

play

YES

public

1668459772117

JAAM

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if someone is shown a direct red card. Notice that a player will get a red card after two yellow cards, but that will not resolve this market as YES.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669378535059

170

egroj

1669378608888

0

https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…9af-9c08a95d84c4

9

[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1668459772433}]

["2022-fifa-world-cup"]

0.5

1669378520879

1669378602057

0.9890350766661156

0.2793493364245103

KrrAyylMaqsfP0IB2VoR

{"NO": 55.66178955717078, "YES": 13606.315931106346}

0

will-more-than-5-owngoals-be-scored

20785.439721758466

Will more than 5 own-goals be scored at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?

1671386332907

946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2

cpmm-1

0

2.5280003595330403

True

play

NO

public

1668459876339

JAAM

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-18 1:05 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1671386332907

370

egroj

1671386327610

0

https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686

19

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d47-08e890e33194

11

[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1668459876616}]

["2022-fifa-world-cup"]

0.5

1671386327514

1671385773913

0.01

0.60355701344466

rCZwvwD9r4EHkoR8hfFp

{"NO": 151.67901624824242, "YES": 114.55924840531114}

0

the-following-bug-is-fixed-within-a-baa8b9096be6

53

The following bug is fixed within a week: "the Swipe mode does not exclude markets that are in a blocked group, even though they are properly excluded from the new markets page "

1669075140000

0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3

cpmm-1

0

2.4218156597032543

True

play

NO

public

1668459971555

Manifold Bugs

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if this bug is 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week. Resolves No if this is a bug and we don't fix it, and N/A if this isn't recognized as a valid bug. Filed from https://discord.com/chan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1669148849188

130

ManifoldBugs

1669148817576

0

https://firebasestorage.…385-21fb1410c1f6

4

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…65f-91531acc4ca4

7

[{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1668459971793}]

["bugs"]

0.5

1669075113183

1669148816952

0.6684056086774285

0.5628194581300217

RA6WgWYRH1NEpyRMVfaN

{"NO": 751.263327882946, "YES": 1236.5662795143426}

0.43887604676177727

will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-electi

10096.274047921484

Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?

1738389540000

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0.006702895627031776

9.75487837969807

False

basic

public

1668460159757

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -0.050766959711133874, "week": -0.07353339265531167, "month": -0.07340992813393588}

0

{"creatorFee": 18.847566394578294, "platformFee": 1.4602696365497385, "liquidityFee": 0}

109.08521711500144

1000

Gigacasting

1720165022199

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

45

1

https://firebasestorage.…47c-f319443ecd96

4

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1668460160310}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181866627}]

["politics-default", "us-politics"]

0.12222430207146912

0.5

1720165019084

1682563444937

False

0.6433657749257488

bQUsSy9RILZnT2ZRFMw6

{"NO": 991.4809368658351, "YES": 974.193107269016}

0.6473915186901128

will-and-his-channel-permanent

2752.3033058390474

Will and His Channel (Permanent)

1767225540000

Um08O4IvLGggExKKM5e50eRiwed2

cpmm-1

0

9.616646036487069

False

basic

public

1668460314370

Will and His Channel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Stock LETS GOOOO! 🙂 ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@willandhischannel", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@willandhischannel", "class": "z-10 br...

BINARY

{"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

WillandHisChannel

1702596565314

0

https://firebasestorage.…c07-eb4d35a5181b

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…1f3-71335391b541

14

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "Um08O4IvLGggExKKM5e50eRiwed2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668460314723}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396508}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "ancient-markets"]

0.5

1702596565174

1669377713973

0.6879963688492691

g9pkXbVETmoqvalBypY2

{"NO": 1619.8935959310022, "YES": 220.82701970421874}

1

will-gary-gensler-hold-the-chair-of

2037.3433107956334

Will Gary Gensler hold the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission through 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.3217448221095593

1.2842405721387398

True

play

YES

public

1668460333904

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gary_Gensler", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gary_Gensler", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704147022288

430

itsTomekK

1704147022448

3.3

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

23

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…990-7f5a9b1fabc3

9

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668461073967}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668461072272...

["finance", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "us-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.14779868427957352

0.5

1703674937182

1668460680910

0.94

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

0.4161896403153888

tILElwfEzNdr9qELoKRv

{"NO": 491.8272458638303, "YES": 1318.984976107371}

0

was-ftx-blown-up-by-tabasco

846.5912057364982

Was FTX blown up by Tabasco?

1672562337493

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

0.569895022622571

True

play

NO

public

1668460622368

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1592237521769234432"}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\r", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution could take a while, PROB that Trabucco was primarily responsible for the blow-up and stealing of c...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672562337493

750

Gigacasting

1672562319113

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

0

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…52d-8e0fedc0b5e1

12

[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1668460622644}]

["ftx"]

0.5

1672562319028

1668462282811

0.3

0.5049560945274599

BBdiZUnnzmkcTre2UDLs

{"NO": 361.5108110395885, "YES": 98.08897483693427}

1

whitrodomas-stocks

3072.472074102457

whitrodomas stocks $PIMP

1673401389654

1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2

cpmm-1

0

1.8850102562123445

True

play

YES

public

1668460933768

whitro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673401389654

195

whitro

1670030658822

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2w2sIYbV8hflFXQh-IVkLKe_8b76_28zdgA2M7mw=s96-c

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…6f4-ab05ef75c9b4

7

[{"name": "Mumbowl Stonks", "slug": "mumbowl-stonks", "userId": "1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2", "groupId": "SHjwHbBTaBXQ73NWSLq0", "createdTime": 1668460934019}]

["mumbowl-stonks"]

0.5

1670030658639

1668461023489

0.79

0.6186695501941079

rBIhufUaaBsk1cug9wfH

{"NO": 145.36429713508016, "YES": 150.82675058816633}

1

ai-stocks

2632.328374936601

AI Stocks $PNOY

1673401373468

1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2

cpmm-1

0

2.180003994666236

True

play

YES

public

1668461243218

whitro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673401373468

155

whitro

1670117936035

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2w2sIYbV8hflFXQh-IVkLKe_8b76_28zdgA2M7mw=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…a62-bdb6406cce61

7

[{"name": "Mumbowl Stonks", "slug": "mumbowl-stonks", "userId": "1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2", "groupId": "SHjwHbBTaBXQ73NWSLq0", "createdTime": 1668461243416}]

["mumbowl-stonks"]

0.5

1670117935769

1670010285778

0.61

0.5741536624970093

0ALnsqBj6R5JXw1hKMR0

{"NO": 312.19677727918565, "YES": 111.4761815246608}

1

riley-stocks

1968.2178795594893

Riley Stocks $FART

1673401368219

1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2

cpmm-1

0

1.9875569316127872

True

play

YES

public

1668461332691

whitro

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673401368219

175

whitro

1670010238163

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2w2sIYbV8hflFXQh-IVkLKe_8b76_28zdgA2M7mw=s96-c

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…966-7340924ea10b

9

[{"name": "Mumbowl Stonks", "slug": "mumbowl-stonks", "userId": "1xH5z7bD5jarkPC4cUuoJdtSZrn2", "groupId": "SHjwHbBTaBXQ73NWSLq0", "createdTime": 1668461332900}]

["mumbowl-stonks"]

0.5

1670010238008

1668527902160

0.79

0.3450083414977892

Lmoq4Zw7xf896XiXrCzJ

{"NO": 136.45367337163634, "YES": 166.46481577449774}

0.30156580628730706

trickman185-stock-permanent

150.70034501852643

trickman185 Stock (Permanent)

33217163036414

WvM5DMB1zUdhBiGm6bOpw7LurAI3

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1668461422532

legolas

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

legolas

1713586717907

0

https://firebasestorage.…2e7-c8b9cf7aeb61

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…3f2-c0d041513490

7

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WvM5DMB1zUdhBiGm6bOpw7LurAI3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668461422915}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396519}, ...

["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "ancient-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1685015648728

1668461523026

False