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0.5125290948098553 | wxdmKph9DCLjh1bxd02j | {"NO": 124.3014571977837, "YES": 115.69255778135502} | 0.5304373899409154 | will-i-draw-every-weekend | 26.19131671036409 | Will I draw every weekend? | 1735707540000 | bXEQDhXwAFZTl6FI9FYrNdh5HzC3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713109369874 | SSStokes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No expectations, only a personal commitment to pick up drawing again. I plan to share my weekly artworks and conduct live drawing sessions on Discord down the line.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.18619669838694877, "platformFee": 0.18619669838694877, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | SSStokes | 1716177290611 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIURnbYdIvtNGRpW0nFac-IIXe6KYQg9nLGnpDDzEW3=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705975956740 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1713109370027}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715270738029 | 1716177289420 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
G5bZOlPOM3yTsmt8NqvA | who-will-be-manifolds-favorite-pres | 2896.8405140608943 | Who will be manifolds favorite president | 1715054340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1713109373767 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will make a poll in a week to resolve this market with all the submissions must have been a US president to count. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.52101053245122, "platformFee": 15.52101053245122, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715078109377 | 1190 | JamesF | 1715079224581 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 24 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5d7fdccae8f6", "prob": 0.004646194266098422, "text": "George Washington", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.867741679350763, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1257.0458050411394, "textFts": "'georg':1 'washington':2", "contractId": "G5bZOlPOM3yTsmt8NqvA", "resolverId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9F... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1713109374019}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713109374021}] | ["manifold-users", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 1715054338414 | 1715079222834 | {"1409fd78f9ae": 50, "f1d580f26cd8": 50} | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
u8t8h6syfFQtLWNxoNJc | who-is-your-favorite-manifold-user | 0 | Who is your favorite manifold user | 1713758340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713109691166 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who is your favorite used to resolve this market", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/JamesF/who-will-be-manifolds-favorite-user", "frameBorder": 0}}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713758340617 | JamesF | 1713748004095 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 27 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1713109691356}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713109691365}, {"name": "Manifold's favorites", "slug": "manifolds-favorites", "groupId": "e... | ["manifold-users", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifolds-favorites"] | 0.25 | 1713748003289 | ["3a2054c8984a"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I1oCR0ONsloxZPIXDF61 | what-will-be-manifolds-favorite-cou | 4390.302611431614 | What will be manifolds favorite country | 1715054340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 3ec728546ece | public | 1713110346083 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to a poll a week from now. I will be very liberal with what constitutes a country anything remotely close will count.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.6210823275832755, "platformFee": 7.6210823275832755, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715078124016 | 580 | JamesF | 1715054340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 18 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "d452617870ac", "prob": 0.003073475349081175, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.44674083532152, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2739.8234991868408, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "I1oCR0ONsloxZPIXDF61", "resolverId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "createdTime":... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713110346530}, {"name": "Manifold's favorites", "slug": "manifolds-favorites", "groupId": "e2977ce8-9caf-4506-9f80-e6895dc84aa2", "createdTime": 1713110346531}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifolds-favorites"] | 0.25 | 1715054179024 | 1715054359916 | {"3ec728546ece": 100} | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.33643862543604675 | yX27wFTI4bpwjU07ZI39 | {"NO": 87.71956065021811, "YES": 730.5750494843637} | 0.05738404395062737 | is-there-even-the-proof-of-jason-ge | 803.8060792673502 | is there even the proof of jason get his dih weh or is he is the virgin sturgeon??? | 1735707540000 | s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713110371483 | Quantum Gambler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "get freaky...? who knows? it's his words that I know of only.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "need concrete evidence by end of year to resolve. wom is not it for this!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "con... | BINARY | {"day": -6.938893903907228e-18, "week": -6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -6.938893903907228e-18} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7127380543035455, "platformFee": 0.7127380543035455, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Mirek | 1714052416957 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644464681678 | 0 | [{"name": "jasontheween", "slug": "jasontheween", "groupId": "0d39aa2b-1447-4298-bc60-5ef67d9cea4f", "createdTime": 1713110371686}] | ["jasontheween"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714052413700 | 1713206404625 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5621014780112856 | BwYEsdaeqBBa45p5SBbo | {"NO": 1840.7462440379088, "YES": 28.713757789434055} | 1 | will-the-golden-state-warriors-win-598a8875928c | 2141.2009304528183 | Will the Golden State Warriors win today [April 14th]? | 1713131194204 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.407376638743436 | True | play | YES | public | 1713115156650 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the Golden State Warriors win their home game against the Utah Jazz?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.2797680308777001} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713131194204 | 220 | mattyb | 1713131194204 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Golden State Warriors", "slug": "golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2", "groupId": "0e7bc4b6-aec0-43d0-b6ca-6a0abd0f97da", "createdTime": 1713115156891}, {"name": "๐ Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1713115156890}, {"name": "2023-2024 NBA Season", "slug": "2... | ["golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2", "basketball", "20232024-nba-season", "nba", "short-fuse"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713131146271 | 1713131184594 | 0.99 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.812312549508488 | 0bfWQvW8J7DGBg9lHb6M | {"NO": 1307.006516797139, "YES": 906.3790654887503} | 0.8618979752734708 | will-destiny-discuss-ai-safety-befo | 367.75643548664607 | Will Destiny discuss AI Safety before 2026? | 1767221940000 | V1YeIh32ozXzkndrxK0uHSPNlc53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.778052530800974 | False | basic | public | 1713116965192 | Jono | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if Destiny debates anyone on the moratorium, orthogonality, e/acc, P(doom) or other stuff aimed at making future AI go well. Also resolves yes if he interviews anyone from or opposing the field about the field.", "type": "text"}]}, {"t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1041072517768507, "platformFee": 0.10654432062790094, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Jono3h | 1717244058380 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691850127277 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1713116965336}, {"name": "๐คโค๏ธ AI Alignment", "slug": "ai-alignment", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1713116965354}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713... | ["destinygg", "ai-alignment", "ai", "ai-safety"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717244055263 | 1713188448336 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8261149079599003 | V2k5BLlgMAbAQaMKHpP3 | {"NO": 1189.3196653208238, "YES": 931.8575159016867} | 0.8584281930898274 | has-djt-peaked-0013e34b6603 | 308.04076984675424 | Has DJT peaked? ๐๐๐ | 1735718340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.80643342970144 | False | basic | public | 1713117253996 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Trump Media", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJT?p=DJT", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 acti... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.006369712416215978} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8893131782948812, "platformFee": 0.285168874796387, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1718368305437 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1713117254213}, {"name": "๐ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713117254208}, {"name": "๐ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713117... | ["free-money", "stocks", "donald-trump", "meme-stocks", "donald-trump-abde6b743b74"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718368302391 | 1713117419894 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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U4aPePyxoaibr46xvtJ1 | counterparty-risk-which-whales-will | 2085.2516003736487 | Which manifold whales will go bankrupt in 2024? | 1735718340000 | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713139605360 | Jonathan Ray | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bankruptcy is defined as a negative net worth on their profile page for 24 hours. Glitches don't count. Only after market creation. Any number can resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.5101566023360182, "platformFee": 0.11022996063700588, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1330 | JonathanRay | 1718737975106 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "356d583a8561", "prob": 0.03325036013667713, "text": "@MarcusAbramovitch", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.790442726563676, "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 284.6557733841675, "textFts": "'marcusabramovitch':1", "contractId": "U4aPePyxoaibr46xvtJ1", "createdTime": 1713139605360, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1647294987992 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1713139848187}] | ["whale-watching"] | 0.25 | False | 1718737972055 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39312207265925353 | 6m8joiOtQilXkkGISBoE | {"NO": 120.05684318433772, "YES": 1117.447529985361} | 0 | will-apple-nasdaq-aapl-close-higher-75c2232d955f | 1213.5213510222675 | Will Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) close higher Apr 15 than Apr 12? | 1713209400000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6143415653643152 | True | play | NO | public | 1713140266880 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apple Inc - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to", "type": "text"}, {"text": " Nasdaq Close Price", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/aapl/h... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.06506778053317613} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713218767685 | 340 | KeenenW | 1713209400000 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "createdTime": 1713140267020}, {"name": "AI Stocks", "slug": "ai-stocks", "groupId": "Jf4rKNcxovEVEE8CyOgN", "createdTime": 1713140267035}, {"name": "๐ Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 171314026... | ["tech-stocks", "ai-stocks", "apple", "stocks", "aapl"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713206788940 | 0.07 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2017975224023669 | 1g0PmPp4vhoXd07XfaKJ | {"NO": 136.7090358403407, "YES": 643.6637125726957} | 0.05095956023187588 | on-april-13-2029-will-apophis-appro | 457.00000000000006 | On April 13, 2029 will Apophisโ approach โthread the keyholeโ such that it will impact earth 7 years later? | 1871524740000 | pU1GVxGJWeWLfhYWXQWBJS7a59W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713140586410 | Stefan Gorsch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On April 13, 2029 Apophisโ trajectory is such that it will closely approach the earth (coming in below/closer than geosynchronous earth satellites) & if itโs trajectory is just right, when it returns seven years thereafter it would impact earth. ",... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | StefanGorsch | 1713306695189 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocINZB6QXaonZH1gw0SOlGiOdaV2cXGYcRibdWhTi1PI=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698802032026 | 0 | [{"name": "apocalypse", "slug": "apocalypse", "groupId": "e9f9195f-9561-449c-a2c6-613ff5b28b1d", "createdTime": 1713140586544}, {"name": "๐งช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1713140586554}, {"name": "Astronomy", "slug": "astronomy", "groupId": "RmJECKggoxP8lVO7JADZ"... | ["apocalypse", "science-default", "astronomy", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713306691940 | 1713239687117 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
K94JpsCXYLkmYR53Wn0J | which-of-the-following-entities-wil | 999.010306267406 | Which of the following entities will strike/attack Israel before the end of 2024? [add responses] | 1735707540000 | qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713140860933 | Qoiuoiuoiu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A strike is defined as an attack with any sort of bomb, missile, or something else that destroys something whether it be a building or a field within a specific area.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.354037162184029, "platformFee": 0.9057851219223632, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Qoiuoiuoiu | 1719956699383 | 0 | 16 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "3ac68bed0991", "prob": 0.9822309773902663, "text": "Hezbollah", "index": 0, "poolNo": 376.14590757211806, "userId": "qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.804657244639277, "textFts": "'hezbollah':1", "contractId": "K94JpsCXYLkmYR53Wn0J", "createdTime": 1713140860933, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704655971908 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713140861187}, {"name": "โ๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1713140861190}, {"name": "๐ Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 171314086... | ["israel", "wars", "geopolitics", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1719956695770 | 1713823755402 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4928806707736567 | Te1yYHXcQnYANnx9aFpz | {"NO": 193.69345884102339, "YES": 249.26620713312582} | 0.4302763182221092 | will-manifolds-agi-clocks-1-yearave | 110 | will the AGI Clock's one-year average be below two years when 'AGI When?' resolves? | 1798714740000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713140930830 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708", "frameBorder": 0}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.14936396481202197, "platformFee": 0.14936396481202197, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | jim | 1714508403558 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713140930969}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713140930982}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime": 1... | ["ai", "technology-default", "agi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714508400328 | 1713142686121 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12917162398494722 | tcpytCBpsMqU8x0iH9fl | {"NO": 806.469682806027, "YES": 2298.1487643507326} | 0.04947740355697061 | will-daisy-give-birth-to-her-claime | 1788.2622386510075 | Will Daisy give birth to the baby she claims she is pregnant with by Fresh from the Fresh & Fit podcast? | 1730415540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.173808482095447 | False | basic | public | 1713142194389 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.255779297635243, "platformFee": 9.255779297635243, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1715648713177 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1713142194531}, {"name": "๐ Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1713142201869}, {"name": "Drama", "slug": "drama", "groupId": "R43etpZETahlV98T5b9u", "createdTime": 17131422051... | ["destinygg", "internet", "drama", "podcasts", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715648709929 | 1715626234083 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
vtip0orOTPbtkepggG7r | what-year-will-the-first-chinese-pe | 303.74218292311804 | What year will the first Chinese person walk on the Moon? | 2218723140000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713142327422 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The first PRC citizen to step out of a lander onto the surface ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "N/A if if doesn't happen by the end of 2040", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1161813595401937, "platformFee": 1.1161813595401937, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | JoshuaWilkes | 1713847052036 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0166aa5c1d7a", "prob": 0.005191400394890203, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4055247615463828, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 269.3354419590738, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "vtip0orOTPbtkepggG7r", "createdTime": 1713142327423, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713142327692}, {"name": "Moon Race", "slug": "moon-race", "groupId": "1e5f9baf-cea4-4f1f-bd88-151abbfbfa5a", "createdTime": 1713142327690}, {"name": "๐ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 171... | ["space", "moon-race", "moon", "china", "space-exploration"] | 0.25 | 1713847048539 | 1713327446458 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5442735510648982 | yTxzrjHGgN37UIHPHoX1 | {"NO": 204.89944476751108, "YES": 99.28019887675488} | 0.7113875217275996 | will-european-union-greenhouse-gaz | 65 | Will European Union greenhouse gaz emissions reach less than 5tCO2 eq per capita by 2035? | 2095970340000 | fC1ansMApEQHjwO65QG3ZqDe6N03 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713143339837 | MindcraftMax | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will EU-27 net greenhouse gas emissions (so taking into account removals) reach less than 5tCO2 eq per capita before year 2035?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will use European Environment ... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 0.009214765759031351, "month": 0.00921476575903124} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.10055523248889223, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | MindcraftMax | 1719883964764 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLFNiBV5WLe33nxw1zahFOXsof39amFqPvYjUk9K_QkB4yBpPo=s96-c | 3 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712993461229 | 0 | [{"name": "Climate change", "slug": "climate-change", "groupId": "f090cc48-76a0-43b7-8595-2a3d262e9f68", "createdTime": 1713143339968}, {"name": "CO2", "slug": "co2", "groupId": "60ded756-1b97-43d2-9c32-96eeb42efaea", "createdTime": 1713143339972}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "groupId": "yDH8uj... | ["climate-change", "co2", "european-union", "climate", "greenhouse-gaz"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719883961648 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25067972544367706 | 1n1yFBEOk5JmsB3MC9Gw | {"NO": 847.4313684365095, "YES": 1231.3801990327033} | 0.18714463216805505 | will-israel-attack-at-least-one-of | 2891.6584851384177 | Will Israel attack at least one of Iran's nuclear facilities by year-end 2024? | 1735707540000 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.708555364418572 | False | basic | public | 1713143415237 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.05295872818038522} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 31.13159486266811, "platformFee": 25.507130439368233, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bruce54df | 1719218905768 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 24 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713143415412}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713143415464}, {"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-a... | ["israel", "iran", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719218902646 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3787036336899005 | gOewRoC2CAJZk0LxIfZf | {"NO": 61.16564516152144, "YES": 376.9702715428576} | 0 | gsw-gets-past-round-2-of-nba-playof | 332.06100370114444 | gsw gets past round 2 of nba playoffs? | 1713696014559 | ra2AfiGtK4VKi4Uf4XBtYONeTe42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.569952711950707 | True | play | NO | public | 1713143490490 | AnimeEonYT | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0900000000000019} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9407267465885267, "platformFee": 0.9407267465885267, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713696031300 | 140 | AnimeEonYT | 1713696014559 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK4V4PdhRDsnYJB6NJyue-8eUpRQVL6QYPzdekMUjbVSClQoi7s=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713143033906 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1713143490667}] | ["basketball"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713692408801 | 0.09 | ra2AfiGtK4VKi4Uf4XBtYONeTe42 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I9R1aNeusnrpOU9bprxj | if-a-user-was-considering-purchasin-8d92c08f2e8f | 0 | [V2] If a user was considering purchasing mana, should they do it today or wait until after the 'big pivot' is enacted? | 1714385640000 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713144502827 | Eliza | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold announced new mana prices here:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/New-mana-purchase-price-schedule-f6910630291f4f3f8f3cccc5e61ee5b9", "type": "text",... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714385640631 | Eliza | 1715970496789 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | 32 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680816506031 | 0 | [{"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnTTgom", "createdTime": 1713144502967}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713144502965}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82I... | ["mana", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future"] | 0.25 | 1715970494755 | ["bb34ec72ec31"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7079899516929156 | LrAod83odnkUzZGTWX1I | {"NO": 1188.1552377199691, "YES": 47.398212438281234} | 1 | will-there-be-a-taco-tuesday-on-tue | 1246 | Will there be a Taco Tuesday on Tuesday 04/16/2024? | 1713327169598 | Cc1rw0NVHVS56Ew3MpW6g2L30pO2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.8555706080778616 | True | play | YES | public | 1713145982088 | Werner Zagrebbi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "pls tell me ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "label": "Austin"}}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.018643673736362887} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713327169598 | 180 | Khazar_Man_From_Turan | 1713327169598 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690839930269 | 0 | [{"name": "Taco Tuesday", "slug": "taco-tuesday", "groupId": "080ccb8d-6169-4d41-ab33-bbedbd0293a1", "createdTime": 1713145982229}, {"name": "SF Events", "slug": "sf-events", "groupId": "qSQNlQOaDWJhZJESqY12", "createdTime": 1713145982233}] | ["taco-tuesday", "sf-events"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713327084969 | 1713281495245 | 0.98 | Cc1rw0NVHVS56Ew3MpW6g2L30pO2 | 0 |
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