CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Joshua/approval-voting-which-living-airela", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "post a comment here when you do ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll reward Ṁ10 t...

BOUNTIED_QUESTION

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0

1713126685194

robm

1713126613553

0

https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf

0

["cW1HzCedgQpWYO7Ktgjl", "bi0Jr6vLvl7ZR5LPUzlZ", "anudCdjPOFHEboVkwDvD", "n4ptzGaWJ6tBvsU8euVG", "y5DWrSBbakMmICLoaVKS", "ekOS1mXqn2hTtFqi5qrw", "DBenO3x88oGnhywnQmxC", "2CitCFGPZKwVWuHqb2CY", "TbCPHr6b4iuzTvhNP6qn"]

0.3333333333333333

1673486173688

0

0.25

1713126612403

qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12

300

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0.18147432533867008

Cyvyw6tg4Ux8TeKixm7t

{"NO": 406.93884843730854, "YES": 7366.4157056471}

0

will-the-us-strike-iranian-soil-bef

14364.647139378421

Will the US strike Iranian soil before May 2024?

1714514340000

brEHeVfwNxdHIZ0cF4B3JsNnU212

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713046946656

Predict

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The US military must be launching the strike.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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0

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1714516310650

740

Predict

1714514340000

0

https://firebasestorage.…26e-437e1b348c8e

30

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1674173931553

0

[{"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713046947335}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713046947328}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-a...

["israel", "iran", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "geopolitics", "arabisraeli-conflict"]

0.25

0.5

1714261894320

0.01

brEHeVfwNxdHIZ0cF4B3JsNnU212

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muEn6jQd3zkQn0nGXNRv

{"NO": 106.19131671036409, "YES": 94.16965821485117}

0.53

will-i-receive-spice-from-selling-s

6.191316710364091

Will I receive Spice from selling shares in Manifold markets on May 10th 2024?

1713054690654

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

2.7280713143859483

True

play

CANCEL

public

1713047021447

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "'spice' is a new currency that has been spotted in the manifold codebase, it converts to mana", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713054690654

100

strutheo

1713054690654

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

1

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

True

0

[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713047041933}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713047045075}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-...

["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e", "mana", "spice"]

0.25

0.5

1713047031629

1713047508554

0.53

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

0

0.22627647708977494

rhrmY1cjbjAA8gMl3XE3

{"NO": 113.33242334359831, "YES": 3248.6849778890632}

0

how-many-iranians-will-be-killed-by

3833.2568140983526

How many Iranians will be killed by Israel in a week?

1713844740000

h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2

cpmm-1

0

10.225102802390495

True

play

NO

public

1713047079093

Benjamin Ikuta

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If more than 100, it'll resolve to 100. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010099312458622028}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.068499853827452, "platformFee": 8.068499853827452, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1713959000192

280

benjaminIkuta

1713844740000

0

https://firebasestorage.…42c-4fd343f08410

10

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0.3333333333333333

1666832885921

0

[{"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1713047079461}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1713047079456}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 17...

["arabisraeli-conflict", "wars", "iran", "israel", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"]

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0.5

1713697231691

1713682434288

0.01

h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2

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zBsRZkjWx2ejUb4MId6X

what-will-be-true-about-spice-the-n

64746.731806447766

🧂What will be true about Spice, the new Manifold currency? [ADD RESPONSES]

1715929140000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

MKT

public

1713047134663

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FfaEOvDv8W9.png?alt=media&token=5d8b15d1-dd0d-4a2a-a628-ce6e873bded7", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://github....

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 330.05821283488257, "platformFee": 330.05821283488257, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717663217851

16525

strutheo

1715929140000

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

138

0

ONLY_CREATOR

[{"id": "cfd842833584", "prob": 0.95, "text": "Converts to mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 684.0733392623275, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 33.26288972426453, "textFts": "'convert':1 'mana':3", "contractId": "zBsRZkjWx2ejUb4MId6X", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUV...

5

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Spice", "slug": "spice", "groupId": "0d05736e-44e8-411b-a8ac-41a012b2d5fe", "createdTime": 1713047143884}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713047144871}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupI...

["spice", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-business-future", "mana"]

0.25

1715928851515

1717447143563

0.48

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

False

0

0.20061463542625296

RYFgGdY0oHZNhiQoSxCz

{"NO": 408.63029580199463, "YES": 5676.426039621375}

0

will-at-least-10-people-die-from-is

6127.50299633767

Will at least 10 people die from Israeli strikes on the Iranian mainland before June 2024?

1717192740000

brEHeVfwNxdHIZ0cF4B3JsNnU212

cpmm-1

0

10.577291131472244

True

basic

NO

public

1713047147337

Predict

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 29.78143001763171, "platformFee": 28.362993136466002, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717194349245

1000

Predict

1717192740000

0

https://firebasestorage.…26e-437e1b348c8e

24

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1674173931553

0

[{"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1713047147476}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713047147469}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwI...

["geopolitics", "israel", "arabisraeli-conflict", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "iran"]

0.25

0.5

1716872023534

0.02

brEHeVfwNxdHIZ0cF4B3JsNnU212

0

0.373879339018987

kosmUlycZTOLpef7B1IT

{"NO": 70.05537710889323, "YES": 4141.42786259264}

0

will-i-be-able-to-pay-for-market-cr

3902.2150844382004

Will I be able to pay for market creation cost in Spice on May 10th 2024?

1715394403740

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713047473054

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "'spice' is a new currency that has been spotted in the manifold codebase, it converts to mana", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 9.187605289804413, "platformFee": 9.187605289804413, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715394403740

360

strutheo

1715394403740

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

20

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713047473192}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713047473196}, {"name": "Spice", "slug": "spice", "groupId": "0d05736e-44...

["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e", "spice", "mana", "manifold-business-future"]

0.25

0.5

1715394398433

1713822258846

0.01

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

0

0.6289295113853295

TAjtnx0H4pZPCQNmTGR5

{"NO": 39.52922929535907, "YES": 6632.833553914176}

0

in-march-41-of-newly-created-market

7845.607970987558

In March, 41% of newly created markets were long term (close date after 2024). In May, will that shrink to <33%?

1717268223172

Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1

cpmm-1

0

9.459136111639854

True

basic

NO

public

1713047841316

Ziddletwix

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold has ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "announced ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Announcement-A-sustainable-mana-economy-08b86e8937554cc7a4608371f66ecb10?pvs=4", "class": "bre...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.03866454196822803}

0

{"creatorFee": 74.55612306402354, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1717268223172

1000

Ziddletwix

1717268249677

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https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96

10

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0.3333333333333333

1680369520541

0

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1717267964760

1717268248239

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Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1

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0.5625299055732925

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{"NO": 187.3036049116064, "YES": 107.73502691896259}

0.6909345528870723

will-hunter-delauer-lose-his-virgin

117.73502691896259

Will Hunter DeLauer lose his virginity by 2025?

1735714740000

YvUR9UVo0rYrhJ8TkynwsfJRiuD3

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713048370596

Hunter delauer

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "he gets no play", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

140

Hunterdelauer

1713050629992

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQEb8jeLl7bAknuEBrmrlfhZEEeoaGdOvaaqWS1eGJQS8=s96-c

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0.3333333333333333

1711999538288

0

0.25

0.5

1713050626742

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0.5055325468024953

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{"NO": 210.30722728032515, "YES": 153.8602039566985}

0.5828918483035234

something-like-lantern-bioworks-but

88.14898515953001

Something like Lantern Bioworks but for body odor by mid 2027

1814421540000

kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713048969364

Ernie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At least a company similar to lantern in size/credibility is offering a bacterial treatment alleging these benefits by the due date.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

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{"creatorFee": 0.2912248025504599, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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180

Ernie

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https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466

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0.3333333333333333

1668384110640

0

[{"name": "Lantern Bioworks", "slug": "lantern-bioworks", "groupId": "ccbcf485-8ae0-41df-a6c2-c708b0436471", "createdTime": 1713049015353}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1713049024398}, {"name": "Epic sci-fi", "slug": "epic-scifi", "groupId": "b0800dce-70d1-4...

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0.5

1716838640085

1716838812162

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0.4547982831434234

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0.4162029925894108

will-dan-abelon-create-a-manifold-a

65

Will Dan Abelon create a Manifold account in 2024?

1735707540000

hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713049941336

Ammon Lam

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Has to be verified by Manifold staff for it to count", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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140

AmmonLam

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0

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1713150085939

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0.07967456129914988

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will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-54454f6bc6fa

8850.0527691991

Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Jul 2024?

1720108636994

GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

NO

public

1713050081130

RemNi

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if Iran has detonated a nuclear device by July 1st 2024", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Questions with the same criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "...

BINARY

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1720108636994

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0.3333333333333333

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1690812555459

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[{"name": "🐪 Middle East", "slug": "middle-east", "groupId": "xg8wCPeM9JP6gD0igBrA", "createdTime": 1713050081274}, {"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1713050081272}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 17130...

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Will the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament decided in round 14?

1713745927892

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cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

a4a4315d971a

public

1713050677000

Captain Jack Sparrow

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as soon as there's a clear winner in the open section of the Candidates", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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0

1713745927892

841

diadematus

1713745927892

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DISABLED

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True

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1

is-spice-a-major-part-of-the-new-pi

8093.231097624656

Is Spice a major part of the new pivot?

1714535940000

hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

public

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Ammon Lam

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