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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gKVeqo7JUsB4sTfqrkx7 | what-will-the-status-of-tiktok-be-i | 247.64407722781297 | What will the status of TikTok be in the US by the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | vcWSUFg2E9QnftwOgvdGQ7FPziA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713644771532 | Guy Cohen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3227634161436748, "platformFee": 3.3227634161436748, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | GuyCohen | 1716280618471 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtegVMmYNHa0cwfrPTcGDfRtlb9N_ChRppJ7zUVeTjBg=s96-c | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a6e4feebbeef", "prob": 0.17484689436082854, "text": "It will remain operational, and operated by ByteDance", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.4063114147973, "userId": "vcWSUFg2E9QnftwOgvdGQ7FPziA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 138.77689551201263, "textFts": "'byted':8 'oper':4,6 'remain':3", "contractId": "gKVeqo7JUs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690680671946 | 0 | [{"name": "TikTok Ban", "slug": "tiktok-ban", "groupId": "cdb620e7-b50a-44ee-8a56-024a0af9f040", "createdTime": 1713644771743}, {"name": "Internet Censorship", "slug": "internet-censorship", "groupId": "xc7qnOtTOi1dJ336sUJe", "createdTime": 1713644771747}, {"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLH... | ["tiktok-ban", "internet-censorship", "tiktok"] | 0.25 | 1716280615189 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4830479152801463 | 5s22zIylZq3WYjcFaepJ | {"NO": 101.64965809277257, "YES": 142.47448713915887} | 0.4 | will-i-have-14-open-markets-with-14 | 54.446258008629925 | Will I have 14 open markets with >= 14 traders each some time until September? | 1725130740000 | lUGDbuJVTpPyYsXTYXpd4139sE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713645186917 | Ender Ting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8400869808802978, "platformFee": 0.8400869808802978, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | AnT | 1713686558298 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcWkbPJnNa7oUkYFwveuKh1CoCbDrksUco-QNBP=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1686508617605 | 0 | [{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1713645187087}, {"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1713645187093}] | ["metaforecasting", "personal"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713686554937 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CRasa0GpmNzSNE9BvzL1 | how-many-selected-jurors-will-drop | 84.34321623264645 | How many selected jurors will drop out of a Trump trial in 2024 (including those who already have)? | 1735711140000 | B8KBN0Ws4nQSRyz3a0aFazVsi8F2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713645865048 | Jacob Holz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A selected juror is one that has been selected to serve on the jury or as an alternate.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To my knowledge, 2 jurors have already stepped down in the People of New York trial.", "type": ... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.835170727739701, "platformFee": 4.835170727739701, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Jacobmpp | 1713844104664 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLPlNd2nnkVu344Ob5Mp_qrN5LSf9Xt681QXwIcPVDmWqI=s96-c | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "74a132f6542e", "prob": 0.16107270423732423, "text": "2-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.604880661738261, "userId": "B8KBN0Ws4nQSRyz3a0aFazVsi8F2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 29.19232900998886, "textFts": "'-3':2 '2':1", "contractId": "CRasa0GpmNzSNE9BvzL1", "createdTime": 1713645865048, "probChanges": {"day": 0, ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702664887879 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713645865298}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713645865303}] | ["us-politics", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 1713844101116 | 1713649074542 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fGAdInLIh0cCOFhQlVTs | which-jockey-will-have-the-most-win-e0082960952c | 498.7311749788878 | Which jockey will have the most wins at Keeneland on April 21st? | 1713734160000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713646513162 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prima... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.9759509793140655, "platformFee": 4.9759509793140655, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713734678066 | 700 | ovals | 1713734705876 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "64478cd92d1e", "prob": 0.18, "text": "Irad Ortiz, Jr.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 29.98839736589658, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 133.05256335877507, "textFts": "'irad':1 'jr':3 'ortiz':2", "contractId": "fGAdInLIh0cCOFhQlVTs", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Jockey", "slug": "jockey", "groupId": "383cbd3e-b514-4419-ba36-e121d65d7b2f", "createdTime": 1713646513422}, {"name": "Horse racing", "slug": "horse-racing", "groupId": "ef96178c-314c-4aed-be84-e13d3875ff06", "createdTime": 1713646513426}, {"name": "Keeneland", "slug": "keeneland", "groupId": "d18116ec-df21-... | ["jockey", "horse-racing", "keeneland", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1713733796336 | 1713734705219 | 0.33 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8680354834623364 | 1WH5TTrCuBXXrdaowMPV | {"NO": 2198.2117303549962, "YES": 334.987986705094} | 1 | will-the-tiktok-ban-be-signed-by-bi | 2719.830826080893 | Will the TikTok ban be signed by Biden before the end of May 2024? | 1713974381444 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.489799707574127 | True | play | YES | public | 1713646603830 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c7vUW2ZF8mItHAptPjgP", "label": "/strutheo/will-the-tiktok-ban-be-signed-befor"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "TkASYkyNr9Aj1vVT... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.13762300581057363} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.66826440392919, "platformFee": 8.66826440392919, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713974381444 | 480 | strutheo | 1713974381444 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1713646603985}, {"name": "TikTok Ban", "slug": "tiktok-ban", "groupId": "cdb620e7-b50a-44ee-8a56-024a0af9f040", "createdTime": 1713646603999}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l... | ["the-life-of-biden", "tiktok-ban", "internet", "tiktok", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713966627777 | 1713670992659 | 0.98 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8179557959348958 | lkYTpgSu5GtX9gNoOvja | {"NO": 1177.4119391482277, "YES": 224.7898681455995} | 1 | will-the-tiktok-ban-be-signed-befor-426b58dc7e13 | 1476.0499924520966 | Will the TikTok ban be signed before Trump announces his Vice President Running Mate? | 1713974404761 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.202326457624068 | True | play | YES | public | 1713647038928 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.08515338582926901} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.051527487553562, "platformFee": 8.051527487553562, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713974404761 | 340 | strutheo | 1713974404761 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1713647039067}, {"name": "Vice President", "slug": "vice-president", "groupId": "nGBfyadry75PAjENM5Fq", "createdTime": 1713647039076}, {"name": "🥈Trump VP", "slug": "trump-vp", "groupId": "91cb9237-771a-4e21-8eb2-d05f3f6d9e5b", "cr... | ["tiktok", "vice-president", "trump-vp", "us-politics", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713974372277 | 0.96 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dmhV65yEOJGWLBgm2qPL | how-many-views-will-mr-beasts-ages | 5134.01383932719 | How many views will Mr Beast's "Ages 1 - 100 Decide Who Wins $250,000" video have after 1 month? | 1716216212111 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1713647294692 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "May 20th", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ", one month after release? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"ty... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.930491968622361, "platformFee": 14.930491968622361, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716216212111 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1716216218086 | 0 | 14 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "a716fbb43156", "prob": 0.99, "text": ">50 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 484.4935692788592, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.8938744371602, "textFts": "'50':1 'million':2", "contractId": "dmhV65yEOJGWLBgm2qPL", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeG... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "Mr. Beast", "slug": "mr-beast", "groupId": "fm5SLlSiPxQNZftQzAta", "createdTime": 1713647294930}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713647294931}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQ... | ["mr-beast", "entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "culture-default", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 1716157029582 | 1716216216235 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | old | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9269440825542916 | 23YBMVSpyRqG48RLkQVs | {"NO": 607.0255815841542, "YES": 921.250231769648} | 0.8931670606881722 | will-ding-liren-defend-his-world-ch | 6385.868500740371 | Will Ding Liren defend his World Chess Championship title? | 1735714740000 | q6cyay0jSSgLBeVOZYgG6tsHcn93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.501675553647871 | False | basic | public | 1713648252268 | AkameAkiyama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EDIT: Defend as in to show up to the match. He doesn't necessarily need to win.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.009100011189581925} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 30.768948562446916, "platformFee": 17.255550728659802, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AkameAkiyama | 1719583664906 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAMGtGLiotvexiGPDT35VhSxKqklKF6SgdztfTDI3lCey_QA=s96-c | 31 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713406077740 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1713648252408}, {"name": "2024 World Chess Championship", "slug": "2024-world-chess-championship", "groupId": "82bbe890-f64b-464b-9a21-7858dafbc5a5", "createdTime": 1713648252411}] | ["chess", "2024-world-chess-championship"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719583661850 | 1717435801554 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45522956852736973 | SIM2LHkj2GIVGDk16Vz7 | {"NO": 121.57518525826573, "YES": 162.14130627042186} | 0.3852086095537405 | manifold-to-minmax-autoscale-y-axis | 50 | manifold to min/max autoscale y axis in profit graph by EOY 2024? | 1735685940000 | TVbBrEXvrLfttgh5OtxGz84wWsn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713649508038 | carl | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolves yes if y axis in profit graphs autoscale minimums and maximums to make data more readable", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7813069516567887, "platformFee": 0.7813069516567887, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | carl | 1714660229711 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668431084994 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713649508208}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713649508207}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "grou... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-users", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714660226450 | 1713699708536 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8577661551631165 | 7pz37pLT8cfVSdiuwmMO | {"NO": 5008.76329420506, "YES": 724.8113487726249} | 0.9765668591913855 | will-king-charles-still-be-alive-by | 9017.56563980492 | Will King Charles still be alive by JULY 31ST | 1722466740000 | i4NAhXYkNwUzso19bCuQs6aKJKe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.301971352361734 | False | basic | public | 1713650590157 | Bhavya | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "King Charles who is 75 is king of England currently has been reported of having cancer ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0.037697587366375074, "week": 0.028906336632216978, "month": 0.03194160105819466} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 41.94495634292275, "platformFee": 24.296727193552062, "liquidityFee": 0} | 3110.9068671624027 | 1000 | BhaSh | 1720245062586 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713270849970 | 0 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1713650590302}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713650590305}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "... | ["uk-politics", "culture-default", "death-markets", "uk", "king-charles-iii"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720245059376 | 1714122343170 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1957403359305944 | U3K6qpp4tvhO6ZeQY0VJ | {"NO": 936.9827616490046, "YES": 1156.41733590443} | 0.16471581746407907 | will-the-fmoc-stay-with-their-march-b00562c17f39 | 175 | Will The FOMC Stay With Their March 2024 Indication In Their Statement Of Penciling In 0.75% Total Rate Cut During 2024? | 1722448800000 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.732226790764454 | False | basic | public | 1713651319435 | SirCryptomind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "Will The FOMC Stay With Their March 2024 Indication In Their Statement Of Penciling In 0.75% Total Rate Cut During 2024?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.03240264333553708} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.120295758654507, "platformFee": 1.243490276057009, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SirCryptomind | 1718223712766 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673375788573 | 0 | [{"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1713651319605}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1713651319602}, {"name": "Interest Rates", "slug": "interest-rates", "groupId": "NQRP4KzZgRzws... | ["federal-reserve", "economics-default", "interest-rates", "monetary-policy", "fomc"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718208828960 | 1718223710784 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6757793471314602 | owMBk8GKYnuImatxE3Cq | {"NO": 1082.1048168178081, "YES": 951.1396125378121} | 0.7033798631234048 | will-putin-live-to-see-wikileaks-po | 198.74588557616656 | Will Putin live to see Wikileaks post another leak? | 2082776340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.593704744039346 | False | basic | public | 1713653521479 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://wikileaks.org/-Leaks-.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://wikileaks.org/-Leaks-.html", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0028151799597304628} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.4693703311948947, "platformFee": 2.265015845697826, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719413759649 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Vladimir Putin", "slug": "vladimir-putin", "groupId": "GRfh1hXGBmhMWy8gwn7p", "createdTime": 1713653521770}, {"name": "Putin Succession", "slug": "putin-succession", "groupId": "8b1f5243-6036-4de7-82be-725a612607d7", "createdTime": 1713653521814}, {"name": "Wikileaks", "slug": "wikileaks", "groupId": "6PtggP... | ["vladimir-putin", "putin-succession", "wikileaks", "russia", "internet"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719413756457 | 1719293127787 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5231437281191096 | JDrX1ypPikNRJ2aEV7z2 | {"NO": 649.8705620079193, "YES": 803.5484854368231} | 0 | will-i-resolve-this-market-before-2-4e80a00466ec | 695.2615134524543 | Will I resolve this market before 23:59:59 BST 30 April 2024? | 1714085940000 | 32qBVHQd2ThPLdLE4Mp6UH3Tdir2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.510626930979239 | True | play | NO | public | 1713653643848 | Ayush Shah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Question closes 25th April 2024", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have a RANDOMLY selected date between 21st April and 10th May (inclusive) which will be posted AFTER the market has been resolved- there is photograp... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.423393301635206, "platformFee": 11.423393301635206, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714887440210 | 730 | AyushShah | 1714901883212 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIBl-C1C2azit04RpP4FcVE_5KX5Ql6RP2jZk0BXM3GSimO87sU=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713274608492 | 0 | [{"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1713653644079}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1713653644074}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", ... | ["metamarkets", "predictions-on-predictions", "world-default", "technology-default", "fairlyrandom"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714085644206 | 1714901881721 | 0.47 | 32qBVHQd2ThPLdLE4Mp6UH3Tdir2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0S3FT6zjyhVvoxC58WJG | societal-trolley-problems-what-conc | 1319.8280814426985 | Societal Trolley Problems: What concepts (Social Media/Porn/AI/etc) will Manifold run over in their trolley? | 1716145140000 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1713656310755 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Previously:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "NadnBmv2o17rHuVKwdj1", "label": "/Joshua/what-will-manifold-want-to-ban-most"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.231334413477326, "platformFee": 15.231334413477326, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716415089030 | 1275 | Joshua | 1716145140000 | 0 | 25 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "16f3ac7df3a0", "prob": 0.4, "text": "Left track: Social Media(NO) - Right Track: Pornography(YES)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 167.050803674195, "userId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 250.57620551129244, "textFts": "'left':1 'media':4 'pornographi':8 'right':6 'social':3 'track':2,7 ... | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645516283433 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713656311061}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713656311070}, {"name": "History", "slug": "history", "groupId": "J32Si3DhXq2184I9... | ["culture-default", "entertainment", "history"] | 0.25 | 1716138803161 | 1715541748795 | 0.4 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5211730812447914 | xnRwIQc5IJirh48wVebA | {"NO": 59.40139856822866, "YES": 395.69041141329495} | 0.14044832202981822 | will-canada-win-at-least-3-gold-med | 644.3857148918544 | Will Canada win at least 3 gold medals at IOI 2024 | 1725865140000 | 5TqNY2IY6fexX1DReP6MosYSGNb2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713658501906 | Ryan Bai | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Canada's best performance ever was 2 golds and 2 silvers in 2020 (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://stats.ioinformatics.org/results/CAN", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://stats.ioinformatics.org/results/CAN"... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.2736299145207156} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.789561894864322, "platformFee": 2.3342207999726994, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | skittles1412 | 1717732839503 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKFFPUnclHk9iqssmCzhmMm4xiWbpJ-s7OzuChQb0mb=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1710211201739 | 0 | [{"name": "Competitive Programming", "slug": "competitive-programming", "groupId": "ebfc51ef-eff4-4813-9ae7-0573e0b15da6", "createdTime": 1713658502058}, {"name": "IOI", "slug": "ioi", "groupId": "1151204b-c5a3-48a8-9968-47987939bb0d", "createdTime": 1713658502070}] | ["competitive-programming", "ioi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717732836385 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7034927989366867 | bTrUM3QNuqKkzBUh8xWa | {"NO": 5546.106822563505, "YES": 478.1520778971989} | 0.9649367433816647 | will-nvidia-stock-end-the-year-at-7 | 13775.890546263063 | Will Nvidia stock end the year at $750 or more? (divide by 10 if stock split) | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.072291327373087 | False | basic | public | 1713658903398 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "Tdac37R0UpyTeVydqwtK", "label": "/strutheo/will-nvidia-stock-end-the-year-at-1"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "tPYIoZkivliAmMRW... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04557206137689407} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 171.22821625287526, "platformFee": 14.880127477665932, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718510298764 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713658903733}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1713658903771}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "c... | ["stocks", "nvidia", "technology-default", "tech-stocks", "gpu"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718510295715 | 1716747306729 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5424598718787619 | qAyUjmzDoS3mh88rDbrm | {"NO": 150.718408627821, "YES": 469.14597751040094} | 0.27582805012955003 | will-you-be-able-to-buy-three-share | 747.0310008927448 | Will you be able to buy 30 shares of Nvidia NVDA for one Ethereum ETH at the end of 2024? (Split adjusted) | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713659098493 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the value of three shares of NVIDIA is less than or equal to the price of one ETH this resolves YES", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If splits, will multiply requirement accordingly", "type"... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.1533875622123546} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.689121258941917, "platformFee": 2.097586194959418, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | strutheo | 1719356626302 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1713659098642}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1713659098649}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", ... | ["nvidia", "crypto-speculation", "tech-stocks", "ethereum", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719356622902 | 1718656177840 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5698115575326281 | 1G5lOVJgU0BaST6lQ51e | {"NO": 214.321920683183, "YES": 154.06700986876203} | 0 | will-i-achieve-any-jhana-at-an-inpe | 513.8783880162622 | Will I achieve any jhana at an in-person Jhourney retreat in May? | 1716862263965 | m7CaAAQavKh7BTJ1pq4jG2QTQ7F3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713660773892 | Roving Sign | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll be going to an in-person jhana retreat put on by", "type": "text"}, {"text": " jhourney.io", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.jhourney.io/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pri... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.420035190051415, "platformFee": 5.082155845152749, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716862263965 | 180 | RovingSign | 1716862356225 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcxQfn1cK0RahS1w209GEpaI8UXbEx79TOiDBRC=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687211864576 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1713660774061}] | ["personal"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716759337541 | 1716862355101 | 0.65 | m7CaAAQavKh7BTJ1pq4jG2QTQ7F3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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a56PMvV5OuL6jzGlQSwJ | help-me-fight-procrastination-manif | 0 | Help me fight procrastination (manifold and youtube) | 1713733936073 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713723933317 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mental tricks, thoughts to concentrate on or something else.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713733936073 | KongoLandwalker | 1713770650765 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["NTj7Irywrx0YyTyszR89", "X7LIHinFbTLU9WmRXdEX", "HAbhGm6OTDRQ2l568fSG", "UI6caTXJDRtsntNTxbEl"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713770649891 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | 260 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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KMZgxsBR9M1sthgwSZz4 | which-of-the-following-or-other-hon-33201f65ccdb | 124 | Which of the Following (Or Other) Hong Kong Based Companies Will Be In the Top 10 by Market Cap at the End of 2024? | 1735775940000 | esS5F31AqyY17JoXt48pa4ZCE5m1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713724664401 | UnlockedCPU | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Using:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Largest Hong Kong companies by market cap:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.785985561176135, "platformFee": 1.785985561176135, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 780 | UnlockedCPU | 1713735808234 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3445fd69472a", "prob": 0.6939688276828679, "text": "AIA Group Limited (1299.HK)", "color": "#e91e63", "index": 0, "poolNo": 57.646721143623736, "userId": "esS5F31AqyY17JoXt48pa4ZCE5m1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25.42144970794557, "textFts": "'1299.hk':4 'aia':1 'group':2 'limit':3", "contractId": "KMZgxsBR... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1694543109962 | 0 | [{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1713724664656}, {"name": "2024 Stocks Forecasting", "slug": "2024-stocks-forecasting", "groupId": "5563bd11-4120-4b6b-89b4-86997b0f9724", "createdTime": 1713724664658}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "... | ["business", "2024-stocks-forecasting", "economics-default", "hong-kong", "finance"] | 0.25 | 1713735804703 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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dsC3B2VECZ0smXZuBGya | in-which-country-will-tesla-build-i | 65 | In which country will Tesla build its next factory? | 1830277740000 | 702EISigGBTva58JNlP5zVU1Jai1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713725645135 | Manan Raina Kumar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add other countries", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.0543202270314618, "platformFee": 2.0543202270314618, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 285 | MananRainaKumar | 1713769041152 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKbMCx5xKdKtkA8G8bCrm9gGxY6kVhuMBRW92Ir8YVKHdDP=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ea87b13379ee", "prob": 0.1574106726191264, "text": "India", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.327673615143155, "userId": "702EISigGBTva58JNlP5zVU1Jai1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 98.10454352866584, "textFts": "'india':1", "contractId": "dsC3B2VECZ0smXZuBGya", "createdTime": 1713725645135, "probChanges": {"day": 5.55... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708543093312 | 0 | [{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1713725645422}, {"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1713725645432}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "selfdriving-vehicles", "tesla"] | 0.25 | 1713769037885 | 1713726481151 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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p7IOF3p18E6wpkUEFQGJ | which-manufacturers-car-will-win-th-2f4c79b888c1 | 352.72372689730395 | Which manufacturer's car will win the NASCAR Cup Series GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway? (04/21/2024) | 1713738983419 | 5dLEFgPffiPrNxZ1shxAbQTOKeE3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 431ff7a56a85 | public | 1713726185715 | EA Parker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.262156844965376, "platformFee": 5.262156844965376, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713738983419 | 140 | EAParker | 1713738983419 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKa-av0NDjLFNINwXPsU-J6gfQi7QvX2cy4bFOImf9uhw=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "34d9611dd39a", "prob": 0.04432652338133363, "text": "Chevrolet", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.674406945934697, "userId": "5dLEFgPffiPrNxZ1shxAbQTOKeE3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 208.57882403063886, "textFts": "'chevrolet':1", "contractId": "p7IOF3p18E6wpkUEFQGJ", "resolverId": "5dLEFgPffiPrNxZ1shxAbQTOKeE3", "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709174949498 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713726185917}, {"name": "Motorsports", "slug": "motorsports", "groupId": "eed75a10-7bc2-40e7-a89f-0d4f5aaecd33", "createdTime": 1713726185916}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rd... | ["sports-default", "motorsports", "sports-betting", "auto-racing", "nascar"] | 0.25 | 1713738944528 | {"431ff7a56a85": 100} | 5dLEFgPffiPrNxZ1shxAbQTOKeE3 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.38887304995452043 | adP6zFYdXRkdswSZ3U5I | {"NO": 171.32767489108488, "YES": 235.47911953207395} | 0.3164583256282919 | will-the-us-abolish-the-nickel-by-2 | 197.5544296104017 | Will the US abolish the nickel by 2040? | 2209013940000 | nT459mSV5DgFzB6sNO9nnwGdoy72 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713727254661 | Hadean | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if the US stops minting the nickel for general circulation by Dec. 31, 2039. This will be defined as producing less than than 10 million nickels per year over a period of two consecutive years prior to the resolution date. For refer... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.9718068933720456, "platformFee": 2.9718068933720456, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Hadean | 1713958812089 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FLukeB%2FjgaAQCLQYb.13?alt=media&token=cb9113cf-4a34-4168-afd0-c7d95bbbaca0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699492480134 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713958808644 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077028809984175 | ChIcTZiIkgfIvEH61muW | {"NO": 178.00576911583696, "YES": 81.77444149915941} | 0.691824989072876 | is-average-probability-upon-resolut | 67.52607961289888 | Is average probability (upon resolution) of manifold.markets questions less than 50% for all questions settled in 2024 | 1735707540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713727309036 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.011824989072876102} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.971037938633652, "platformFee": 0.8634825146970125, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | StochasticParrot | 1717867246626 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717867243467 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NVhHjnWNzaBu2CJEID5W | how-many-seats-will-be-won-by-ekre-b5e025cd44ff | 8.000000000000012 | How many seats will be won by N-VA (New Flemish Alliance) in the next Belgian federal election? | 1717973940000 | zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1713728843299 | Punished Ten Shino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Chamber of Representatives is made up of 150 seats. N-VA won 25 in the last election in 2019. The next Belgian federal election will be held on 9 June 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6328286167650375, "platformFee": 0.6328286167650375, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718000692401 | 100 | TenShino | 1717973940000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c63a512a2be4", "prob": 0.017099648186715093, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0427467645950974, "userId": "zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 59.93785080145419, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "NVhHjnWNzaBu2CJEID5W", "resolverId": "zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2", "created... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668962116383 | 0 | [{"name": "Belgium", "slug": "belgium", "groupId": "70529ede-adf9-4262-8911-434d7a3bd1d2", "createdTime": 1713728843614}, {"name": "Elections: World", "slug": "elections-world", "groupId": "w5UI0a5OgD7u18Y4gxJs", "createdTime": 1713728843620}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZ... | ["belgium", "elections-world", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1713729006857 | {"368692526c8": 50, "7587ef771bee": 50} | zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
86kYKWc3yZ6J92p58XT2 | when-will-waymo-offer-a-public-driv | 879.5429464360265 | When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)? | 1783061940000 | z7x41Ou3ltYBfdjn4VmETLiPbE73 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713729679361 | Anonculously | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FBkG9grdC2z.png?alt=media&token=8e8b62c9-cb02-43bf-9888-89c9565705c1", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background:", "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.030002202340011, "platformFee": 5.047863819570104, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 470 | Anonculously | 1719298597183 | 0 | 11 | 2 | DISABLED | [{"id": "31657e51b23a", "prob": 0.009999999999999995, "text": "Before July 1, 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.9701859491419214, "userId": "z7x41Ou3ltYBfdjn4VmETLiPbE73", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 393.0484089650504, "textFts": "'1':3 '2024':4 'juli':2", "contractId": "86kYKWc3yZ6J92p58XT2", "createdTime": 171372967936... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1694888638546 | 0 | [{"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1713729680105}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1713729680108}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "I... | ["selfdriving-vehicles", "san-francisco", "technology-default", "waymo"] | 0.25 | 1719298594123 | 1718653095607 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ptIKV8bL22ypbhz1BsmG | who-is-my-strongest-character-in-de | 0 | Who is my strongest character in Dead by daylight? | 1713733554031 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1713730596146 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will play with empty build. The strength for this experiment is defined by the longest winstreak. Win = 4 kills if playing as killer or 4man-out if playing as survivor.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713733554031 | 100 | KongoLandwalker | 1713733554031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "c245a0d425f9", "prob": 0.3333333333333333, "text": "Survivor", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'survivor':1", "contractId": "ptIKV8bL22ypbhz1BsmG", "resolverId": "9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2", "createdTime": 1713730596146, "probC... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | True | 0 | 0.25 | 1713733546492 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4710027672137698 | KXGwAAUpn1dZdEvVg81v | {"NO": 211.02734722475097, "YES": 148.2669326707818} | 0.558938284309791 | will-china-win-fewer-medals-in-swim | 97 | Will China win fewer medals in swimming at the 2024 Summer Olympics than the 2020 Olympics? | 1723532340000 | Kh8RxHF4w5Ove09idxV3XGMve3A2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713731215450 | Tychon Notos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "New York Times investigation", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/21/world/asia/chinese-swimmers-doping.html", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6252208522696079, "platformFee": 1.6252208522696079, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | TychonNotos | 1714289206012 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1676640996388 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713731215602}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1713731215596}, {"name": "2024 Summer Olympics", "slug": "2024-summer-olympics", "groupId": "q6FVZCgJy5BrIrMvIlXM"... | ["sports-default", "china", "2024-summer-olympics", "olympics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714289202755 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
f4YalBSMMlglrp3fWWSK | will-the-drug-enforcement-agency-an | 8390.487089003556 | Will the Drug Enforcement Administration announce that it is going to reschedule marijuana? If so, when? | 1715887057792 | vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | d17a7a94ad24 | public | 1713731971017 | Manifold Politics | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to time period in which the Drug Enforcement Administration announces that it intends to remove Marijuana from its current Schedule I Drug status. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.502297305416835, "platformFee": 20.502297305416835, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715887472183 | 745 | ManifoldPolitics | 1715887791829 | 0 | 22 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d17a7a94ad24", "prob": 0.950365023108834, "text": "In April, May, or June", "index": 0, "poolNo": 544.7482966186296, "userId": "vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.450719940975045, "textFts": "'april':2 'june':5 'may':3", "contractId": "f4YalBSMMlglrp3fWWSK", "resolverId": "vuI5upWB8... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701801625125 | 0 | [{"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-4621-8487-f98ffa56b0c5", "createdTime": 1713731971242}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713731971243}, {"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82b... | ["drugs", "politics-default", "cannabis", "drug-policy", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1715886930225 | 1715887790016 | {"d17a7a94ad24": 100} | vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5193166606969677 | 9hzf5ATg4WSIOSU6Josh | {"NO": 9491.513323038622, "YES": 112.60757192669269} | 1 | will-the-drug-enforcement-agency-an-762bf0a596c9 | 17693.046532166823 | Will the Drug Enforcement Administration announce before election day that it is going to reschedule marijuana? | 1715887561874 | vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.068653496553654 | True | basic | YES | public | 1713732019475 | Manifold Politics | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if the Drug Enforcement Administration announces before November 5th that it intends to remove Marijuana from its current Schedule I Drug status. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 88.02764386916851, "platformFee": 88.02764386916851, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715887561874 | 1115 | ManifoldPolitics | 1715887565480 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701801625125 | 0 | [{"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-4621-8487-f98ffa56b0c5", "createdTime": 1713732019629}, {"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1713732019640}, {"name": "Drug Policy", "slug": "drug-policy", "groupId": "B6bj6VYMErDbfcWWSpAj... | ["drugs", "cannabis", "drug-policy", "us-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715887561991 | 1715887557123 | 0.99 | vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4839383522612551 | VtvxZ1ZI4z9f9P7vk5Zt | {"NO": 30.412084519005816, "YES": 2823.3832903669627} | 0 | will-challengers-2024-have-a-metacr-5ba2459bc079 | 3223.705521952152 | Will "Challengers" (2024) have a Metacritic score >84? | 1715354183432 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713733520636 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Challengers\" (2024) Metacritic page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.metacritic.com/movie/challengers/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.094747593479207, "platformFee": 15.094747593479207, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715354183432 | 280 | Ziddletwix | 1715354300802 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713733520813}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713733520809}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5Lt... | ["culture-default", "entertainment", "boxoffice", "movies", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715353842352 | 1715354299555 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8067557241533737 | uzqNqxpr1Mcv2pn0j829 | {"NO": 1859.302282201557, "YES": 822.6697479508776} | 0.904172251887984 | will-any-candidate-receive-more-tha | 2065.577794901673 | Will any candidate receive more than 45% of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election? | 1733119140000 | yv3waCUZ4GWBrDznjtSkIF7QL1k2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.832420542993841 | False | basic | public | 1713733990729 | Balasar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution deadline will be extended in the case that the answer is not yet clear.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.01653151223128313} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.834434864870312, "platformFee": 12.368029191885494, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Balasar | 1719146392288 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1663640280350 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713733990876}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713733990881}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719146389219 | 0 |
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