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0.5159000595492093 | GPc0wbPkE36w7CUUm3Yb | {"NO": 900.8614646952155, "YES": 1081.4216289021617} | 0.4702704597699905 | when-manifolds-agi-countdown-resolv | 1447.333560756217 | When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved? | 1861873140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.411419218366216 | False | basic | public | 1713795816231 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When this market resolves YES: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link"... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.05291675065212165} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.11972119401026, "platformFee": 13.276967330889036, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jim | 1718832904926 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713795816570}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713795816639}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-4... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "agi", "technology-default", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718832901829 | 1714122258220 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
jKnJWFwD8ciVUcq9X760 | who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-roman | 3581.56930442594 | Who will win the 2024 Tour de Romandie? | 1714315120207 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | df44f2b3199f | public | 1713796155201 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.405159591379071, "platformFee": 10.405159591379071, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714315120207 | 340 | egroj | 1714315120207 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ca54e540df0e", "prob": 0.0018402580233896847, "text": "Adam Yates", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.6395134406966585, "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 889.2754668818658, "textFts": "'adam':1 'yate':2", "contractId": "jKnJWFwD8ciVUcq9X760", "resolverId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PH... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1655411946178 | 0 | [{"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXzAzPN8OcW", "createdTime": 1713796155405}, {"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1713796155677}] | ["peloton-discord", "road-bicycle-racing"] | 0.25 | 1714315061510 | 1713796452334 | {"df44f2b3199f": 100} | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GFtfybHvFTUhscPqQXGG | how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-24d8a84489c4 | 620.2562086648425 | How many Senators will vote for the TikTok ban bill? [Precise Version] | 1713923123355 | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 245d9233995d | public | 1713796486023 | mint | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve to the amount of U.S. Senators who vote YES on final passage of the TikTok ban bill, or any bill which contains provisions that ban TikTok if it is not divested from its Chinese parent company.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.84433580507431, "platformFee": 10.84433580507431, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713923123355 | 220 | mint | 1713923123355 | 0 | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9b54123dd888", "prob": 0.0003959716438752863, "text": "50-51", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2540353030830147, "userId": "ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 641.2951943256544, "textFts": "'-51':2 '50':1", "contractId": "GFtfybHvFTUhscPqQXGG", "resolverId": "ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2", "cr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697647723543 | 0 | [{"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1713796486438}, {"name": "TikTok Ban", "slug": "tiktok-ban", "groupId": "cdb620e7-b50a-44ee-8a56-024a0af9f040", "createdTime": 1713796486444}, {"name": "🏛 118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg"... | ["tiktok", "tiktok-ban", "118th-congress", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1713922929021 | 1713806287495 | {"245d9233995d": 100} | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
kTW3E6NUa5d39Ok2yI04 | if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-c0bd5c9b8e87 | 3088.3040895279714 | If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year? | 4102531140000 | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713796492107 | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each option resolves YES if, within a year of artificial superintelligence (ASI) being created (and not killing us all), it is able to create computer hardware that can run the ASI itself and theoretically be able to survive these temperatures bein... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.30398121446307, "platformFee": 15.040302593832072, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1295 | TheAllMemeingEye | 1719067027763 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | 22 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "36a343293458", "prob": 0.2145295444828003, "text": "1687 K (melting point of silicon)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 82.13871087055567, "userId": "a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 300.73960581342476, "textFts": "'1687':1 'k':2 'melt':3 'point':4 'silicon':6", "contractId": "kTW3E6NUa5d39Ok2... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704035290346 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713796492497}, {"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1713796492507}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": ... | ["technology-default", "technical-ai-timelines", "science-default", "ai-safety", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1719067024702 | 1713945370897 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36387954537897965 | 3aJ6etIvrzQZyQtnzIMh | {"NO": 685.4296121990345, "YES": 1852.1842683614545} | 0.17470527692202073 | will-dwarkesh-patels-youtube-channe-597f762abc06 | 1638.7721716617848 | Will Dwarkesh Patel's Youtube channel reach 500,000 subscribers by EOY 2024? | 1735707540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.759875798203176 | False | basic | public | 1713796587968 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He currently has ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "112K subs.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/dwarkesh_patel", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "a... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 0.02651021741716053, "month": -0.14554753864154904} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 25.325827612649153, "platformFee": 7.052436052787604, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1720011036259 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1713796588116}, {"name": "Subscriber Milestones", "slug": "subscriber-milestones", "groupId": "if2RfO5Jwj5bOuJEudCG", "createdTime": 1713796588121}] | ["youtube", "subscriber-milestones"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720011033185 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | htGo5wCzWEPmgN7jN0LC | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | richards-employment-status | 0 | Richard’s Employment Status | 1715986973766 | jjn6QI3Sf3b17Kw3epXNALjHCCi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713797017686 | GentleRiley857 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Is he making it?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715986973766 | 100 | GentleRiley857 | 1715986973766 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLTQ1UfVLfFQCcQoS2LRe5Vew8opHQs96csBnCmTywL-xNT36Rd=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712958152118 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715303859083 | 0.5 | jjn6QI3Sf3b17Kw3epXNALjHCCi1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5157805034707367 | JSnJDBIcOOb8lMhSTo2G | {"NO": 154.5258935120475, "YES": 127.28897278089093} | 0.5639096962068388 | will-jim-become-a-father-by-2030 | 15 | Will @jim become a father by 2030? | 1893409140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713797620942 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -7.771561172376096e-16, "week": -7.771561172376096e-16, "month": -7.771561172376096e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2370532439762379, "platformFee": 0.2370532439762379, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | jim | 1715017616338 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Children", "slug": "children", "groupId": "M3DL9ICA4BGx11x5YnPi", "createdTime": 1713797621096}, {"name": "Human population crisis", "slug": "human-population-crisis", "groupId": "d77ccabf-f820-4d62-b943-67d476500a02", "createdTime": 1713797621097}] | ["children", "human-population-crisis"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714489672397 | 1715017614737 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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yyGSTumk4io82u3sD5OQ | what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-we-6ec562232f5a | 680.8680562525013 | What will be true of the xkcd on Wednesday, April 24th, 2024? | 1713931140000 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713798009187 | EBurk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve any answers to these questions as soon as I see the xkcd posted for the given day and have time to resolve. If it ever appears that the post was skipped (I don’t see anything before the next usual post day) I will resolve all answers... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.762433451832005, "platformFee": 7.762433451832005, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713963904981 | 1075 | EBurk | 1713931140000 | 0 | 11 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8addff4f0900", "prob": 0.07, "text": "Black Hat will make an appearance", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.434529886939698, "userId": "yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 142.51004974908568, "textFts": "'appear':6 'black':1 'hat':2 'make':4", "contractId": "yyGSTumk4io82u3sD5OQ", "resolution": ... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706489499554 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713798010636}, {"name": "Webcomics", "slug": "webcomics", "groupId": "tO2lKFZZPUkSUzf064Rp", "createdTime": 1713798010638}, {"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1713798010637... | ["space", "webcomics", "mathematics", "engineering", "xkcd"] | 0.25 | 1713929875336 | 1713960781932 | 0.04 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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v3bGIHEQJc7IquLEm57m | how-much-mana-will-you-earn-by-tomo | 0 | How much Mana will you earn by tomorrow | 1713934740000 | BhYTw8AB2uUPk4f9Pz2DCUwlNXk2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713798784730 | Dallas Schmidt | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/DallasSchmidt?tab=payments&a=10", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/DallasSchmidt?tab=payments&a=10", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-40... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713934740935 | DallasSchmidt | 1713809106759 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL5U4HJ1xZs2R-_nlsRAKzjPKoS_GP3lSiNvY-aGq_U=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708699677720 | 0 | [{"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnTTgom", "createdTime": 1713798785083}] | ["mana"] | 0.25 | 1713808314949 | ["7fc78df110e0"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9XTDK4EKyoqtM9PPfGv9 | how-many-of-their-core-players-will | 9.999999999999988 | How many of their core players will stay with Bayer Leverkusen next season? | 1725314340000 | vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713798939834 | A. Dings | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By \"core players\", I quite arbitrarily mean these 13 players:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Wirtz", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3411737896812426, "platformFee": 0.3411737896812426, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | ADings | 1713805084997 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKyQmiXuUz7vNTKFEGxzvoGhgYnrN03vcCFlsSwpc7SDg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3aecd3f442fa", "prob": 0.052272738681068465, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.8011550230698403, "userId": "vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 68.91657737396064, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "9XTDK4EKyoqtM9PPfGv9", "createdTime": 1713798939834, "probChanges": {"day": -... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709564544314 | 0 | [{"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1713798940128}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1713798940137}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", ... | ["bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "germany", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 1713805081556 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1335300543334984 | IeRD0KuHxZUTSgDCSnNE | {"NO": 1608.9776006771426, "YES": 6993.672531029817} | 0 | at-manifest-2024-will-jim-convince | 46026.89457891262 | At Manifest 2024 will @jim convince Eliezer Yudkowsky that an AI moratorium would be a bad idea? | 1718007931749 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.656512461504336 | True | basic | NO | public | 1713799967303 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the resolution criterion is slightly loose, goal is just to convince Yudkowsky that a risk of human extinction is justified by the chance of the creation of a cool AI", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.04} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 256.45875887367725, "platformFee": 4.2307313174925545, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718007931749 | 2000 | jim | 1718107465063 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖❤️ AI Alignment", "slug": "ai-alignment", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1713799967443}, {"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1713799967441}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b3... | ["ai-alignment", "ai-safety", "manifest-2024", "eliezer-yudkowsky-25acf68e45f1", "manifest"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717784958999 | 1718107463891 | 0.03 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
h1nixqrx2RMsuQLpK8dH | what-kind-of-music-genres-do-manifo | 0 | What kind of music genres do Manifold users prefer? | wnHYBHeSeBfs8NXfjCH0gbqsKLc2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1713800941716 | door | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’m just wondering what music Manifold users prefer and creating various markets for the genres that are popular.", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | door | 1713802488104 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJmwlDTCsO9Gr7ethXaI7IcclkQhsb0CkwGEDbFrxiNg=s96-c | 33 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711860508588 | 0 | [{"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1713800941888}, {"name": "Manifold's favorites", "slug": "manifolds-favorites", "groupId": "e2977ce8-9caf-4506-9f80-e6895dc84aa2", "createdTime": 1713800941906}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e",... | ["music-f213cbf1eab5", "manifolds-favorites", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 1713802487270 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZZRN5wZXRUFcQq5adht9 | how-many-millions-of-views-will-the | 0 | How many millions of views will Ryan Reynold's upload of the new Deadpool & Wolverine trailer get after one week? | 1713813894676 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1713801664777 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reached 3M three hours after release today", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cen0rBKLuYE", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://w... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713813894676 | 100 | strutheo | 1713813894676 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e86ca4983c5d", "prob": 0.02127659574468085, "text": "4-5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0869565217391304, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'-5':2 '4':1", "contractId": "ZZRN5wZXRUFcQq5adht9", "resolverId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "createdTime": 171380166... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | True | 0 | [{"name": "Marvel", "slug": "marvel", "groupId": "weefY0ZpfzcPtvFhQMWY", "createdTime": 1713801680220}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1713801681614}, {"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1713801683286}, {... | ["marvel", "movies", "hollywood", "entertainment", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 1713803595767 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8uNW56jtFZ8LhEu720MR | gpt5-vs-grok2-who-will-be-funnier | 108.65175625008705 | GPT-5 vs Grok-2+: who will be funnier? | 1735685940000 | y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713801844198 | Bair | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "* In this market I will compare GPT-5 with Grok-2 OR any subsequent version of xAI Grok if it's released before GPT-5.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "It seems that people ex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.320183160813855, "platformFee": 1.320183160813855, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | Bair | 1720053161621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "80c30137c917", "prob": 0.645870375110936, "text": "GPT-5", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 188.35993843910967, "userId": "y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 103.27743292469776, "textFts": "'-5':2 'gpt':1", "contractId": "8uNW56jtFZ8LhEu720MR", "createdTime": 1713801844198, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677527540699 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713801844405}, {"name": "Grok", "slug": "grok", "groupId": "cb36ffd9-d4c1-44be-8e4b-f8b6b332cd65", "createdTime": 1713801844410}, {"name": "GPT-5 Speculation", "slug": "gpt5-speculation", "groupId": "XjoIQCNrsc4HP3H3DdTP", "createdTime"... | ["ai", "grok", "gpt5-speculation", "openai", "xai"] | 0.25 | 1714066278508 | 1715677956357 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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GqsHaCIbvx1dHxir30YT | what-government-positions-will-kama | 1754.0087191160924 | What government positions will Kamala Harris hold for any length of time in the rest of her life? | 2556161940000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713806134090 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from this market's creation. Terms used refer to the United States presidency, congress, states, and so on in whatever their most obvious normal meaning is. Note that this market refers to time served, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not", "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.902110909220408, "platformFee": 18.097678111605617, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1495 | Panfilo | 1719944531306 | 0 | 31 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3c4f81a8067f", "prob": 0.5126964953576584, "text": "President", "index": 0, "poolNo": 277.93566612636283, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 264.16998242595315, "textFts": "'presid':1", "contractId": "GqsHaCIbvx1dHxir30YT", "createdTime": 1713806134090, "probChanges": {"day"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713806134419}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713806134424}, {"name": "🧑🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebri... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "celebrities", "118th-congress", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1719944527682 | 1714064075235 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xy5KL0kt1mzARh2SZhzb | what-government-positions-will-tim | 834.3274488385274 | What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life? | 2556161940000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713806314921 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from this market's creation. Terms used refer to the United States presidency, congress, states, and so on in whatever their most obvious normal meaning is. Note that this market refers to time served, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not", "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.101564339873319, "platformFee": 6.134441568076385, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Panfilo | 1718887827708 | 0 | 11 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "13e08398ad30", "prob": 0.1110676582850747, "text": "President", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.13774528437196, "userId": "U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 129.15878417834162, "textFts": "'presid':1", "contractId": "xy5KL0kt1mzARh2SZhzb", "createdTime": 1713806314921, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713806315289}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713806315305}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-elect... | ["us-politics", "politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "118th-congress", "celebrities"] | 0.25 | 1718887824656 | 1718887802774 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5735643257854495 | MjHquxdaA19osMp25KmG | {"NO": 995.2947494289073, "YES": 999.4070621996498} | 0.5725555246457581 | will-amazon-have-more-robots-than-f | 158.52980936870736 | Will Amazon have more robots than FTE humans before 2026? | 1767247140000 | 6OdppuFL4yb9LluSepEpnpRACOd2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.765409081031505 | False | basic | public | 1713807814076 | Zachary Austin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any official announcement will suffice, Alex Stepp just posted we are at 2 humans per robot currently ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://x.com/alecstapp/status/1782427374711181540?s=46",... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.444071214586597, "platformFee": 2.444071214586597, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ZacharyAustin | 1714925667133 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYSWiJDVD3EIb6fApR04Khx0yPxChRVtl0pzUpI1w=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678299183892 | 0 | [{"name": "Robotics", "slug": "robotics", "groupId": "w6Q4c8YIK0W5GMslvGbd", "createdTime": 1713807814277}, {"name": "Amazon", "slug": "amazon", "groupId": "GtXXC8KCkQZSzzhZBgIu", "createdTime": 1713807814275}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713807814273}] | ["robotics", "amazon", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714925663882 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2YCGJjYJwNiJwYzlGLRO | what-will-be-the-sentence-for-bishi | 10 | What will be the sentence for Bishimbayev (former minister of Kazakhstan) in the current trial of murdering his wife | 1715605800453 | PkMUoaBAt0WIIkA8nju4U4HsFns1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | a1655b84ddc5 | public | 1713826553378 | dhempfs | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve based on the final v... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1576380021714282, "platformFee": 0.1576380021714282, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715605800453 | 120 | dhempfs | 1715605800453 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6c13ae121e16", "prob": 0.20207020634399617, "text": "He will be acquitted (free).", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.527075002206972, "userId": "PkMUoaBAt0WIIkA8nju4U4HsFns1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.36415164145105, "textFts": "'acquit':4 'free':5", "contractId": "2YCGJjYJwNiJwYzlGLRO", "resolverId": "PkMUoaBA... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671645415118 | 0 | [{"name": "Court cases", "slug": "court-cases", "groupId": "ilQEa8qtQ0UUcM8uTMkB", "createdTime": 1713826553832}, {"name": "Murder", "slug": "murder", "groupId": "fb3e117a-9407-44b8-a695-3d9432bd114f", "createdTime": 1713826553831}, {"name": "Kazakhstan", "slug": "kazakhstan", "groupId": "Rdrm6y9R9TjmPQrBowLT", "create... | ["court-cases", "murder", "kazakhstan"] | 0.25 | 1713874182304 | {"a1655b84ddc5": 100} | PkMUoaBAt0WIIkA8nju4U4HsFns1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5418687781392058 | 40lNYz5YyG9xhButnxys | {"NO": 401.1060835281934, "YES": 30.235674961161806} | 1 | will-someone-who-recently-bought-ma | 300 | Will someone who recently bought mana complain about the mana devaluation? | 1713827022926 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.96634850461762 | True | play | YES | public | 1713826726303 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manipulating this market is allowed.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By close date.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9422167927184257, "platformFee": 1.9422167927184257, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713827022926 | 140 | nikki | 1713839486880 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713826759630 | 1713839486239 | 0.94 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WByr6loBoWofKCyuym63 | when-will-3d-printers-make-3d-print | 645.8184075257763 | When will 3D printers make 3D printers? | 3155875140000 | xULIs4V4S5ag3T5XjHGYXOMfLIm2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713826803878 | Zander | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves when a printed printer manufactures a working printer. This is similar to the Reprap project, but must use only printed circuitry.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Details:", "type": "... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 60.74626485020713, "platformFee": 3.6949054606465075, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | CommanderZander | 1718587899759 | 0 | 12 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4dcb12ad57ec", "prob": 0.006042689813854474, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.943366319185929, "userId": "xULIs4V4S5ag3T5XjHGYXOMfLIm2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 977.6196664148758, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "WByr6loBoWofKCyuym63", "createdTime": 1713826803878, "probChanges"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706651753925 | 0 | [{"name": "Manufacturing", "slug": "manufacturing", "groupId": "1ffdfefe-f3c3-44d7-aeaf-c55d3e80e75d", "createdTime": 1713826804651}, {"name": "3D Printing", "slug": "3d-printing", "groupId": "14bd25db-b687-4e70-a7c5-895ba54c1606", "createdTime": 1713826804650}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "gr... | ["manufacturing", "3d-printing", "economics-default", "robotics", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1718587895541 | 1713839656552 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
o3fXwgi6nuoQLAHJ7t1Q | will-manifold-be-legally-allowed-to | 0 | Will Manifold be legally allowed to use the sweepstakes model on 1/1/2025? | 1735707540000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1713827004994 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd39... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | SemioticRivalry | 1713891956733 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713827005142}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713827005145}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.25 | 1713891956102 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4240444277441426 | TErSWtnJLjSzGXhhj3OD | {"NO": 109.12796380478588, "YES": 341.2521743126498} | 0.19057275751527583 | will-the-cftc-investigate-manifold | 265 | Will the CFTC investigate Manifold before the end of 2024? | 1735718340000 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827112768 | Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolutions redeemable for cash! ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:d... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1076018248834231} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.905292788000945, "platformFee": 2.259261957283057, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | DanMan314 | 1718263428240 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673046794414 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713827112907}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713827112909}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-... | ["manifold-business-future", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718263425110 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7072547028261874 | x7Km2EGXNbeGmgohfCDC | {"NO": 3324.6089690945137, "YES": 82.00142332876779} | 1 | will-more-than-10000-worth-of-mana | 3462.007562183655 | Will more than 10,000$ worth of mana be donated by the end of April? | 1714033640889 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.017166157399298 | True | play | YES | public | 1713827149322 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to manifold stats", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010106099040121164} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.740852511842473, "platformFee": 8.740852511842473, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714033640889 | 280 | Bayesian | 1714033640889 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Investors", "slug": "manifold-investors", "groupId": "A2ZvhuOUWz24vfhGP7sO", "createdTime": 1713827149668}, {"name": "Manifold for Charity", "slug": "manifold-for-charity", "groupId": "HFlasvJJLTujevzme7rL", "createdTime": 1713827149670}, {"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnT... | ["manifold-investors", "manifold-for-charity", "mana"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713955994956 | 1714033634968 | 0.99 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
n0h3kbzINGNJkyHes9od | are-you-satisfied-with-the-announce | 0 | Are you satisfied with the announced pivot? | Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1713827213813 | It's Me | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The pivot has been announced here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.no... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | ItsMe | 1714634189538 | 0 | 124 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680482300718 | 0 | [{"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713827213954}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713899778145}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZ... | ["pivot-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-drama", "pivot"] | 0.25 | 1714634187741 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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EiHgRxUtm1bCn861SRrx | who-will-qualify-for-the-leadboulde | 371.95813880436543 | Who will qualify for the Lead/Bouldering event in the 2024 Paris Olympics? | 1719251936097 | ADQS38rFiKRKzSQz1YV32VCtbsg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713827449101 | Weepinbell | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The 2024 Olympic Qualifier Series for Lead/Bouldering are coming up, so soon the final slate of athletes for the 2024 Lead/Bouldering event in the Olympics will be set. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Mul... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.203716664412542, "platformFee": 1.6472648342870106, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719251936097 | 225 | Weepinbell | 1719251936097 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "94df082bdaa4", "prob": 0.74, "text": "Adam Ondra", "index": 0, "poolNo": 114.30006093710536, "userId": "ADQS38rFiKRKzSQz1YV32VCtbsg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 39.43865650884065, "textFts": "'adam':1 'ondra':2", "contractId": "EiHgRxUtm1bCn861SRrx", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "ADQS38rFiKRKzSQz1YV32... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680042597895 | 0 | [{"name": "Olympics", "slug": "olympics", "groupId": "WdIYm7PwGLqo1N1zVtEF", "createdTime": 1713827449431}, {"name": "Bouldering", "slug": "bouldering", "groupId": "6601fb87-260f-4637-b615-9d98b199d575", "createdTime": 1713827449440}, {"name": "Rock Climbing", "slug": "rock-climbing", "groupId": "b254f2e7-a72b-4ae5-882... | ["olympics", "bouldering", "rock-climbing", "2024-summer-olympics", "sports-climbing"] | 0.25 | 1719247400388 | 1715792413113 | 0.6 | ADQS38rFiKRKzSQz1YV32VCtbsg1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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TK0voQYmHNyQSlhfAvGt | how-many-games-will-the-cincinnati | 95.00000000000006 | How many games will the Cincinnati Bengals win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827543422 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.0741161639821, "platformFee": 0.6599847099225614, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1719977835605 | 0 | 4 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d2cecd6008c5", "prob": 0.010546230891184291, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.5672069395222084, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 147.0363041814275, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "TK0voQYmHNyQSlhfAvGt", "createdTime": 1713827543422, "probChanges": {"day": -... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "Cincinnati Bengals", "slug": "cincinnati-bengals", "groupId": "f37c49fd-2d5c-4f1b-8c60-c22299872f98", "createdTime": 1713827543721}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713827543727}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Q... | ["cincinnati-bengals", "football", "nfl", "american-football", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1719977832286 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JbjSroEwDsOtYx8DXQWx | how-many-games-will-the-cleveland-b | 60.00000000000001 | How many games will the Cleveland Browns win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827549592 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3253197339152775, "platformFee": 0.3253197339152775, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AlexanderMiller | 1713988071085 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "14ba218f4617", "prob": 0.011317030602444605, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.5238110618585876, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 133.1237935429595, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "JbjSroEwDsOtYx8DXQWx", "createdTime": 1713827549592, "probChanges": {"day": 1... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713827549883}, {"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827549891}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAR... | ["nfl", "american-football", "sports-default", "cleveland-browns", "football"] | 0.25 | 1713988067301 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NK1jrX95ElYJwzU0qtli | how-many-games-will-the-dallas-cowb | 54.99999999999999 | How many games will the Dallas Cowboys win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827564746 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0308552694950275, "platformFee": 1.0308552694950275, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1713988056571 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6e2f94cd0479", "prob": 0.013418373083124317, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.5955424133422706, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 117.31175010700898, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "NK1jrX95ElYJwzU0qtli", "createdTime": 1713827564746, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827565173}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713827565179}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq... | ["american-football", "nfl", "football", "sports-default", "dallas-cowboys"] | 0.25 | 1713988053145 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KS2yy71cKSNJ5qiTBdDm | how-many-games-will-the-denver-bron | 34.99999999999999 | How many games will the Denver Broncos win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827571777 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3363203254715825, "platformFee": 0.3363203254715825, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AlexanderMiller | 1713988033483 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0451f581e8dc", "prob": 0.020031988084514073, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.153683024673284, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 105.3585127487562, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "KS2yy71cKSNJ5qiTBdDm", "createdTime": 1713827571777, "probChanges": {"day": -4... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713827572270}, {"name": "Denver Broncos", "slug": "denver-broncos", "groupId": "4272fabb-0bfd-4a66-a1ac-eab0edba907d", "createdTime": 1713827572241}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", ... | ["sports-default", "denver-broncos", "nfl", "football", "american-football"] | 0.25 | 1713988029942 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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z7hCxKadd1x9HAGb41qP | how-many-games-will-the-green-bay-p | 35.00000000000001 | How many games will the Green Bay Packers win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827584427 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.32599435191637605, "platformFee": 0.32599435191637605, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AlexanderMiller | 1713987659088 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "15f84f52c8d2", "prob": 0.01943152804173599, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.9220332425539193, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 96.99109589611608, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "z7hCxKadd1x9HAGb41qP", "createdTime": 1713827584427, "probChanges": {"day": 0,... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827584761}, {"name": "Green Bay Packers", "slug": "green-bay-packers", "groupId": "35a567da-1e36-45b8-b425-071bfba1a735", "createdTime": 1713827584762}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "fo... | ["american-football", "green-bay-packers", "football", "nfl", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1713987653701 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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pJBgfLZuEl5htiVB6Xki | how-many-games-will-the-indianapoli | 45.000000000000014 | How many games will the Indianapolis Colts win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827604666 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6522017736070009, "platformFee": 0.6522017736070009, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1713987953589 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4d47d45b65d4", "prob": 0.01634594073209832, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.09279271622957, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 125.9385485524916, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "pJBgfLZuEl5htiVB6Xki", "createdTime": 1713827604666, "probChanges": {"day": 1.73... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827604891}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713827604893}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp... | ["american-football", "football", "nfl", "sports-default", "indianapolis-colts"] | 0.25 | 1713987950116 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LJFBF9hGhGrdzZjE1NYm | how-many-games-will-the-jacksonvill | 54.999999999999986 | How many games will the Jacksonville Jaguars win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827610467 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0402443149645062, "platformFee": 1.0402443149645062, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1713987938766 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e3ded75e4869", "prob": 0.013714636654764826, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.8880276016458062, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 135.77712891490367, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "LJFBF9hGhGrdzZjE1NYm", "createdTime": 1713827610467, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713827610982}, {"name": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "slug": "jacksonville-jaguars", "groupId": "5babe5e7-c5dd-477c-a739-e6fdc4db4ee7", "createdTime": 1713827610977}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": ... | ["football", "jacksonville-jaguars", "sports-default", "nfl", "american-football"] | 0.25 | 1713987935270 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
S49mrv8saXEsAzZNnQKi | how-many-games-will-the-kansas-city | 66 | How many games will the Kansas City Chiefs win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827618068 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3460362911082127, "platformFee": 1.3460362911082127, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1714258964501 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "130c55efe13b", "prob": 0.011116554193039977, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.6463950284112003, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 146.45660521981324, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "S49mrv8saXEsAzZNnQKi", "createdTime": 1713827618068, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713827618428}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713827618427}, {"name": "Kansas City Chiefs", "slug": "kansas-city-chiefs", "groupId": "2abf714e-d387-4dc6-af68-4552878... | ["nfl", "sports-default", "kansas-city-chiefs", "football", "american-football"] | 0.25 | 1714258961101 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I4eG93AqYzHRiwv7eynQ | how-many-games-will-the-las-vegas-r | 101.00000000000001 | How many games will the Las Vegas Raiders win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827645808 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.39431051016105, "platformFee": 0.991621701748389, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1718599149933 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "75e8d059508f", "prob": 0.16500551108434913, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.05010548099283, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 30.61597579855957, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "I4eG93AqYzHRiwv7eynQ", "createdTime": 1713827645808, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713827646051}, {"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827646069}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq... | ["nfl", "american-football", "football", "sports-default", "las-vegas-raiders"] | 0.25 | 1718599146538 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LvL9skSip4pntpQ2E7mk | how-many-games-will-the-los-angeles | 77.07331853756408 | How many games will the Los Angeles Chargers win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827654214 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6756786234197767, "platformFee": 1.6756786234197767, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AlexanderMiller | 1713980094253 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "573b12e623d6", "prob": 0.046721605572315424, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.8252796281821784, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 78.04861107665316, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "LvL9skSip4pntpQ2E7mk", "createdTime": 1713827654214, "probChanges": {"day": -... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713827654454}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713827654480}, {"name": "Los Angeles Chargers", "slug": "los-angeles-chargers", "groupId": "1725a943-141b-4... | ["sports-default", "football", "los-angeles-chargers", "american-football", "nfl"] | 0.25 | 1713980090710 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RXFCTcZKaKLWZDYChqLy | how-many-games-will-the-los-angeles-95e638a1f53a | 21.42857142857143 | How many games will the Los Angeles Rams win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827661246 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | AlexanderMiller | 1713847244173 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e68e7defcff9", "prob": 0.024303271196734835, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.1548712291243346, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 86.51102118020052, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "RXFCTcZKaKLWZDYChqLy", "createdTime": 1713827661246, "probChanges": {"day": 6... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713827661638}, {"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827661636}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6C... | ["sports-default", "american-football", "football", "los-angeles-rams", "nfl"] | 0.25 | 1713847240564 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MDgPxkKKaovJsQiI5CY7 | how-many-games-will-the-miami-dolph | 34.999999999999986 | How many games will the Miami Dolphins win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827667173 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.33356538037877576, "platformFee": 0.33356538037877576, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AlexanderMiller | 1713987679141 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "bda32d38d9d1", "prob": 0.019826187840596945, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.1403181249547587, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 105.8137748233705, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "MDgPxkKKaovJsQiI5CY7", "createdTime": 1713827667173, "probChanges": {"day": -... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "Miami Dolphins", "slug": "miami-dolphins", "groupId": "f71ffdb9-b6c6-4581-bb94-a6c5d99eb6bd", "createdTime": 1713827667437}, {"name": "American Football", "slug": "american-football", "groupId": "ce506ff3-38db-4709-83ce-b40797d884e4", "createdTime": 1713827667439}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId"... | ["miami-dolphins", "american-football", "nfl", "sports-default", "football"] | 0.25 | 1713987672791 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NsJCChwfINSMTWy794vr | how-many-games-will-the-minnesota-v | 75 | How many games will the Minnesota Vikings win in the 2024-25 NFL regular season? | 1736139540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713827674545 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5528743562620873, "platformFee": 1.5528743562620873, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | AlexanderMiller | 1714253454586 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c7afbe434b71", "prob": 0.010550223627141133, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4079128318862018, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 132.0407117322657, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "NsJCChwfINSMTWy794vr", "createdTime": 1713827674545, "probChanges": {"day": 0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "Minnesota Vikings", "slug": "minnesota-vikings", "groupId": "ea9a4548-2165-4623-94db-6cf18e1f1d13", "createdTime": 1713827674827}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713827674832}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq... | ["minnesota-vikings", "nfl", "football", "sports-default", "american-football"] | 0.25 | 1714253451141 | True | 0 |
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