CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

0.16245504773828515

vmTVEv2I87w9C64QWNpw

{"NO": 829.9050020068256, "YES": 1627.6174959421053}

0.09000000000000162

will-iran-respond-to-israels-latest

5012.606066210473

Will Iran respond to Israel’s latest strike with more force than their first attack?

1729148340000

UBaBb0j8oUfmKLd9NJJdZMTZwL82

cpmm-1

0

9.952750625158702

False

basic

public

1713509763062

Gensing Genis

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Iran responds with weaker force this market resolves as no. If they respond with more this market responds as yes. If by 6mo after this market was created there is no conclusive evidence of any overt retaliation it will resolve as no. ", "type":...

BINARY

{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 14.50519592730104, "platformFee": 14.50519592730104, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

GensingGenis

1715467128950

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGensingGenis%2FkyZO4H0aJ7.23%20PM?alt=media&token=763c2b7b-070a-452d-8b77-d0e5725cc6b0

23

0

0.3333333333333333

1696833943680

0

[{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1713509801041}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1713509814838}, {"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "grou...

["wars", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "geopolitics", "iran", "israel"]

0.25

0.5

1715467125815

1714364184509

0

p3Sx7S5EFPiqu2TFQScJ

how-many-top-creator-souls-will-i-c

245

How many Top Creator 👻 Souls will I collect by the end of 2024?

1735707540000

X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713510745714

Keenen W

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Haws got me into Manifold mid October. He sat me down and taught me about stocks/crypto. The importance of timely resolutions and doing your markets ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "every ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "si...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 5.650458274956507, "platformFee": 5.650458274956507, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

675

KeenenW

1714578579414

0

https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb

3

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "2bb32b3eb597", "prob": 0.02727663370734731, "text": "01", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.041409090605443, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 429.4136919969578, "textFts": "'01':1", "contractId": "p3Sx7S5EFPiqu2TFQScJ", "createdTime": 1713510745714, "probChanges": {"day": -1.387778...

0.3333333333333333

1697247005528

0

[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713510746546}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1713510746549}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQ...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-drama", "manifold-users", "metamarkets", "top-creators"]

0.25

1713811631141

1714578576806

True

0

0.5058230332534304

CCQ0JOqh5twgh9daMTZZ

{"NO": 443.9194018293324, "YES": 2205.215955211974}

0.17084583293727382

will-joe-biden-win-the-us-president

1985.5899946469542

Will Joe Biden win the US Presidential Election if there are no rate cuts from the Federal Reserve? 🇺🇸🏦📈

1731934740000

cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82

cpmm-1

0

9.678729609155596

False

basic

public

1713511545732

Elf

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/powell-dials-back-expectations-on-rate-cuts-00e3e5d0", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/powell-dials-back-expectations-on-rate-cuts...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": -0.33192903599197365, "month": -0.33192903599197354}

0

{"creatorFee": 41.6371461814055, "platformFee": 5.338196016587781, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

elf

1720143493094

0

https://firebasestorage.…225-4e706826a59b

16

1

0.3333333333333333

1668973436049

0

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713511545898}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713511545937}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "g...

["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "the-life-of-biden", "economics-default"]

0.25

0.5

1720143489997

0

0.575109328577428

dS9Ay7h2aAvgQIap9PKK

{"NO": 995.559420971563, "YES": 999.0521270444605}

0.5742533250239481

is-satoshi-nakamoto-alive

126.39230794342986

Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?

2369249940000

U1r8T8ieTARRxvZjfvacpZdR7mq2

cpmm-1

0

9.760341110482369

False

basic

public

1713513125675

Krul Dar

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.0907623663943786, "platformFee": 2.0907623663943786, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

KrulDar

1714489357330

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLEiqFdLXv81mAgTB6PyKVeq6HiLv5VQ5yfgKOSBxPbEg=s96-c

10

0

0.3333333333333333

1698956029046

0

[{"name": "🧑‍🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1713513126131}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1713513126129}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "crea...

["celebrities", "finance", "crypto-speculation"]

0.25

0.5

1714489352770

1713801578188

0

0.48452289585194497

je0x09rW3VxKaeQtTsng

{"NO": 300.5394795219107, "YES": 188.76397943305435}

0.5994450801263003

will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-during-a

478.0371938951256

Will Jimmy Carter be alive during a year with 0 cases of Guinea worm?

1767196740000

VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713513206028

Madge

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jimmy Carter has famously donated large sums of money to eradicating Guinea worm. Will he achieve this dream in his lifetime? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently there are 0 cases repor...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.14753712359715, "platformFee": 7.14753712359715, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

240

Mad

1716065359001

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c

6

0

0.3333333333333333

1691486901832

0

[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1713513206435}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1713513206437}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICx...

["effective-altruism", "jimmy-carter", "death-markets", "health", "longevity"]

0.25

0.5

1716065355692

1713524044738

0

p6Yi8xZDj6XPBkD3hHdO

one-piece-which-is-your-favorite-on

0

Which is your favorite One piece Saga?

CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3

none

0

1000000

False

public

1713515511092

Ger D. Gar

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

Gergar

1713520683197

0

https://firebasestorage.…433-5fa919125e15

12

0

0.3333333333333333

1709210946833

0

[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713515511281}, {"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713515511283}, {"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDa...

["entertainment", "one-piece-stocks", "anime", "manga", "2024-3d9da60b52f8"]

0.25

0

0.7049155228828721

fdqyMZ57jsfEfARt1mxs

{"NO": 701.2210561607604, "YES": 1054.5580321467583}

0.613669299121124

will-openai-dalle-support-realtime

3611.3865002560306

Will OpenAI / Dall-E support real-time AI image generation in 2024?

1735685940000

xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2

cpmm-1

0

9.615970444337412

False

basic

public

1713517598069

Soli ꩜

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Meta's latest text-to-image model supports real-time image generation while writing the prompt. Will OpenAI support this feature in 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1781097807086252068...

BINARY

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.23928813700404272}

0

{"creatorFee": 68.87387865204369, "platformFee": 27.862565977999008, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Soli

1719251058109

0

https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f

40

0

0.3333333333333333

1695418453844

0

[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1713517598232}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713517598245}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 17135175...

["openai", "technology-default", "ai"]

0.25

0.5

1719251054972

1715779730426

0

acZj5qgICKa9xBXLFQ0j

within-1-month-of-the-manifold-pivo

402.04530423317783

Within 1 month of the Manifold Pivot announcement, how will transaction fees change?

1716361140000

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

1cf25cca673e

public

1713518600158

Pat Scott🩴

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Removal of transaction fees = \"Net Lower\"", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the first change intentionally pushed to production, even if it is later reversed.", "type": "text"}]}, ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 2.873381684752297, "platformFee": 2.873381684752297, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716397124262

200

Stralor

1716361140000

0

https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca

6

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "c5f939dd3f0d", "prob": 0.012458973370528724, "text": "Net Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.2424473452288964, "userId": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 257.0075145736877, "textFts": "'higher':2 'net':1", "contractId": "acZj5qgICKa9xBXLFQ0j", "resolverId": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSE...

1

0.3333333333333333

1677017053373

0

[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713519121821}, {"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713519126068}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e",...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "pivot-predictions", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]

0.25

1716318596946

1714306980671

{"1cf25cca673e": 100}

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

True

0

0.7870347070685548

5BPZySLgc1ZrRkiBCFZp

{"NO": 5594.658168369048, "YES": 208.84467885251703}

1

will-apple-nasdaqaapl-close-higher

13222.851938742342

Will Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) close higher than $170 on the end of April (April 30th)

1714514340000

Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

public

1713518739103

MoonPyx

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves at 4pm ET according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Nasdaq Close Price", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 25.82756706006535, "platformFee": 25.82756706006535, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714514730097

520

MoonPyx

1714514340000

0

https://firebasestorage.…9ee-d8d7d6446b50

22

0

0.3333333333333333

1713481129394

0

[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713518739330}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713518739386}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime"...

["stocks", "technology-default", "finance"]

0.25

0.5

1714511923452

1714514678566

0.99

Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2

0

0.4790147517442849

d4iY8CUTneZU2VGL2A92

{"NO": 1052.3166783924746, "YES": 41.37018418072688}

1

within-1-month-of-the-manifold-pivo-5c9acb459e58

1898.8519552482271

Within 1 month of the Manifold Pivot announcement, will the traditional trader bonus structure be sunset?

1715931191847

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

public

1713518822509

Pat Scott🩴

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is referring to the system that gives 5 mana per trader for first fifty traders and 1 mana after.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the system is removed or disabled.", "typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 15.078335242174774, "platformFee": 15.078335242174774, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715931191847

240

Stralor

1715931191847

0

https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca

12

0

0.3333333333333333

1677017053373

0

[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713518822720}, {"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713518822757}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e",...

["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "pivot-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.25

0.5

1715908837338

1715908442609

0.96

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

0

0.16506870694508802

ArC0qKtRhGu3t3bTBLqY

{"NO": 583.1449858606629, "YES": 8933.011587213367}

0

within-1-month-of-the-manifold-pivo-1926e4937cac

8465.838987688274

Within 1 month of the Manifold Pivot announcement, will market creators be given a new self-perpetuating income source?

1716361140000

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

cpmm-1

0

10.542671051281797

True

basic

NO

public

1713519100569

Pat Scott🩴

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"self-perpetuating\" = Mana / Spice / etc. count, but only if they can be directly used to create markets and provide a strong enough source to allow further market creation with enough success. As USD must be converted to mana to make markets, it...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 16.6759983428083, "platformFee": 16.6759983428083, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716397278107

1000

Stralor

1716361140000

0

https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca

14

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1677017053373

0

[{"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713519100768}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713519100770}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e",...

["pivot-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]

0.25

0.5

1716345308313

1716382759484

0.01

hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2

0

E2Tnt9ZKN75JYQH8oXOw

what-will-be-the-result-of-athletic

55

What will be the result of Athletic - Granada of LaLiga EA SPORTS

1713563940000

Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

2177ba008b94

public

1713519460945

MoonPyx

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes at full-time.", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.9786023108351518, "platformFee": 0.9786023108351518, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713564414998

310

MoonPyx

1713563940000

0

https://firebasestorage.…9ee-d8d7d6446b50

3

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "6662607dd65f", "prob": 0.5635190192053667, "text": "Athletic", "index": 0, "poolNo": 155.29587951202086, "userId": "Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 120.2864419702385, "textFts": "'athlet':1", "contractId": "E2Tnt9ZKN75JYQH8oXOw", "resolverId": "Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2", "create...

1

0.3333333333333333

1713481129394

0

[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713519461143}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713519461162}]

["soccer", "sports-default"]

0.25

1713528454097

{"2177ba008b94": 100}

Ujiuau1Tv2P3wnqRJOfWfTKJpom2

True

0

0.4625652248794402

5Hfd1u8eSRcBSXEKumFa

{"NO": 26.815922785747574, "YES": 1618.3983017330831}

0

within-one-month-after-pivot-will-i

2850.872395585851

Within one month after Pivot, will I create a market, which generates enough resource to open a new market?

1716562031478

9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713520098442

Kongo Landwalker

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Stralor/within-1-month-of-the-manifold-pivo-1926e4937cac", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2", "label": "Stralor"}}, {"text": " thinks fee...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.785631347494944, "platformFee": 7.563807177168288, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716562031478

180

KongoLandwalker

1716562031478

0

https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f

11

0

0.3333333333333333

1681038287526

0

[{"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713520098586}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713520632062}, {"name": "Spice", "slug": "spice", "groupId": "0d05736e-44e8-411b-a8ac-...

["pivot-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "spice", "mana", "markets"]

0.25

0.5

1716561920121

1716561897584

0.01

9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2

0

0.553971660268824

dW9raEVakagG7nSeoQv2

{"NO": 156.59271201017128, "YES": 122.10321402517891}

0.614321095494195

will-jewellery-bonney-join-the-stra

232.86336088741228

Will Jewellery Bonney join the straw hats?

1735669740000

X8luPHBCGuOwh6GwETEn1tIihSw2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713520430331

chilly

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FoSswsdEcT_.png?alt=media&token=53762343-179f-4a60-8ba9-606ec0feac98", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.17009351351325974}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.7535339899525155, "platformFee": 1.2678239216442526, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

140

chilly

1718480263553

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJDT2gU79nJL85Zm-C_RlydIv8jRYyok48MQCp_x2adFusjxf9a=s96-c

5

0

0.3333333333333333

1713519916741

0

[{"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713520430460}]

["one-piece-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1718480260501

1713687040701

0

0.5709114138309673

JVjnNM6MPywyEkAyP3Ls

{"NO": 190.774919235146, "YES": 135.83218468680099}

0.6514104490764496

will-any-israeli-coalition-member-c

744.7466057822484

Will any Israeli coalition member call for Netanyahu resignation during 2024?

1735682340000

XXYfg8j2XWVCeet9HlOAA1vUwQW2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713520555355

Dark Speculator

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution criteria: resolved to YES if any of the 64 Members of Knesset which was on the original coalition for the current government publicly calls for PM Netanyahu to resign. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Exp...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.25150655530750143}

0

{"creatorFee": 10.691605613319162, "platformFee": 1.9544621069387131, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

160

0482

1719325862513

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteS8SwkT3ywrOgne_djZRPozlXiVaKvKDJhqwdJd3Ox=s96-c

7

4

0.3333333333333333

1691595630760

0

[{"name": "🇮🇱🧑‍⚖️ Israeli Government", "slug": "israeli-domestic-politics", "groupId": "0d105ac6-3ec2-4163-9144-973377db61bf", "createdTime": 1713520555496}, {"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 1713520555504}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "isr...

["israeli-domestic-politics", "israeli-politics", "israel"]

0.25

0.5

1719325859454

1716959832276

0

0.5232525407155117

8W1TxXbO3lnBCcSp4u8m

{"NO": 63.48348939501804, "YES": 669.2500335798609}

0.09429371141604961

will-the-identity-of-dj-soft-baby-b

646.8429396599809

Will the identity of DJ Soft Baby be revealed before 2025?

1741215540000

GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713520992435

RemNi

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Andrew Callaghan mentioned on his discussion with Lex Fridman an episode at Burning Man where he interviewed a man named \"DJ Soft Baby\", and the next morning the pages of the media company he was working for were taken down. Andrew suggests that ...

BINARY

{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 12.45292785423621, "platformFee": 1.6981648079137723, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

220

RemNi

1716944687520

0

https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1

3

0

0.3333333333333333

1690812555459

0

[{"name": "All Gas No Brakes", "slug": "all-gas-no-brakes", "groupId": "6df126cd-64dc-4880-9419-e57d29c512c0", "createdTime": 1713520992739}, {"name": "Andrew Callaghan", "slug": "andrew-callaghan", "groupId": "796c9d14-b18a-4778-8ea8-2a79c31efb58", "createdTime": 1713520992738}, {"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fr...

["all-gas-no-brakes", "andrew-callaghan", "lex-fridman", "dj-soft-baby", "burning-man"]

0.25

0.5

1716944683966

0

PuJrGIlSCezUfjkYpAFC

london-mayoral-election-what-will-s

7535.105868484349

London Mayoral Election - What will Sadiq Khan's winning margin be?

1714904276489

rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

a328b1f8f55d

public

1713521543667

Simon Grayson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "2024 UK local elections", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_Kingdom_local_elections", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 37.44261887017944, "platformFee": 37.44261887017944, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714904276489

720

SimonGrayson

1714904276489

0

https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696

31

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "463ed2dda0d4", "prob": 0.00012696579007004017, "text": "He will not win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.4724623730502344, "userId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3720.7060754803542, "textFts": "'win':4", "contractId": "PuJrGIlSCezUfjkYpAFC", "resolverId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2"...

0.3333333333333333

1680512856506

0

[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1713521543905}, {"name": "London", "slug": "london", "groupId": "OB6Zuam64ucpsLN9ajgd", "createdTime": 1713521543908}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-...

["uk-politics", "london", "uk-conservative-party", "labour-party-uk", "uk-local-elections-2024"]

0.25

1714896867185

1714904267230

{"a328b1f8f55d": 100}

rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2

True

old

0

0.22364179919086657

IAHgx4LFLUDi0qGkD7DP

{"NO": 421.8435063508791, "YES": 10390.363129488633}

0

will-there-by-any-further-direct-at

25446.919836821908

Will there by any further direct attacks between Iran and Israel in April or May 2024?

1717203689426

AVAshetcCxQ3dtwGryHKVASwaej1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

NO

public

1713521559584

Rohan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Direct attacks involve airstrikes or missile launches from Iranian or Israeli territory and directed at Iranian or Israeli territory.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It could also include grou...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 97.65802119150871, "platformFee": 90.36357334350728, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717203689426

1000

rohanvisme

1717203689426

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIWlYVjuKvQV6xJAihIIjyXTSmEZYNu0nfcUSAo097Usx24YiIq=s96-c

61

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1712588512673

0

[{"name": "🐪 Middle East", "slug": "middle-east", "groupId": "xg8wCPeM9JP6gD0igBrA", "createdTime": 1713521559735}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713521559738}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1713521559740}, {"...

["middle-east", "iran", "wars", "israeliran-conflict"]

0.25

0.5

1717174333658

1717075283701

0.01

AVAshetcCxQ3dtwGryHKVASwaej1

0

k1eQp16ittunaZ8HkTzI

asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-b234a53435f6

2069.4028002974846

Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On April 22 Compared To Its Close On April 19?

1713795234687

kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

public

1713524073838

Grey Box

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.994795645982915, "platformFee": 3.994795645982915, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713795234687

480

GreyBox

1713795234687

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c

7

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "d26757231db6", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 556.3249904169645, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.766731577093736, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "k1eQp16ittunaZ8HkTzI", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId"...

0.3333333333333333

1692725309128

0

[{"name": "Nifty", "slug": "nifty", "groupId": "51e933dd-5102-4766-ad56-c8b5634a0028", "createdTime": 1713524074049}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d", "createdTime": 1713524074047}, {"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551...

["nifty", "asia", "stock-marketdaily", "india", "stocks"]

0.25

1713786809837

0.99

kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2

False

0

0.4882545289701221

qZmtPd6nhgXunWn81bhW

{"NO": 794.0949684221396, "YES": 37.86082188862025}

1

will-mauricio-pochettino-be-sacked

1447.3310313797363

Will Mauricio Pochettino be sacked as Chelsea FC manager in 2024?

1716315400037

hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

public

1713526520540

Elliot

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mauricio Pochettino is currently the manager of Chelsea FC. This question is whether he will still be Chelsea FC manager by 31/12/2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.692138190637714, "platformFee": 8.692138190637714, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716315400037

180

Elliot04624

1716315400037

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocITWArpK3sXS6d44npeePKoMgwjVLZOskwPr3Scv7NeB738RQ=s96-c

7

0

0.3333333333333333

1713507196976

0

[{"name": "🇬🇧 UK", "slug": "uk", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1713526520664}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713526520675}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713526520681}]

["uk", "sports-default", "soccer"]

0.25

0.5

1716314805541

0.95

hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2

0

FG8I0PTlwS9Er9XvR3nn

when-will-boston-dynamics-start-sel

301.55371155756296

When will Boston Dynamics start selling their new Atlas humanoid robot to customers?

1862002740000

y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1713526780260

Bair

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve based on the earliest date that Boston Dynamics begins selling their ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "new Atlas humanoid robot", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://bostondynamics.com/blog/ele...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 6.841535160029311, "platformFee": 6.841535160029311, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Bair

1713892107266

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c

13

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "e1bc64af6390", "prob": 0.14809587606592736, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.81868125640456, "userId": "y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 401.6237593509464, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "FG8I0PTlwS9Er9XvR3nn", "createdTime": 1713526780260, "probChanges": {"day": -4.996...

0.3333333333333333

1677527540699

0

[{"name": "Humanoid robotics", "slug": "humanoid-robotics", "groupId": "c0d8e463-ef4a-4a29-90b2-4f7bcf5034bb", "createdTime": 1713526780475}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713526780480}, {"name": "Robotics", "slug": "robotics", "groupId": "w6...

["humanoid-robotics", "technology-default", "robotics", "ai"]

0.25

1713892103936

True

0

0.31918668152111307

fe5UPyMrgLLj39h6Uhpt

{"NO": 169.01982753134695, "YES": 430.8270380568526}

0.15535512139038465

will-project-2025-accomplish-its-pl

309.05642044583254

Will Project 2025 accomplish its plans in 2025?

1767243540000

srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713529011765

Bayesian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.009465930422232705}

0

{"creatorFee": 3.1992354247449715, "platformFee": 2.964607197165347, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

240

Bayesian

1719074701765

0

https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1656040913178

0

[{"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 1713529011933}, {"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1713529011929}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altr...

["carsons-important-markets", "startups", "effective-altruism", "magaland"]

0.25

0.5

1719074698693

1714118932790

0

P2ZQFDUhixP8vCNRfXir

what-is-my-risk-of-serious-injury-o-6a3be78b9c56

0

What is my risk of serious injury or death if I encounter a black bear alone in the wild?

Wb5eZPHyiraJUzb4AxKrfudgLyq1

none

0

1000000

False

public

1713529595742

Dawn Drescher

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Encounter = Less than 50 m distance and the bear has noticed me. I have no bear combat training or weapons. I'm on foot, no car or helicopter. I can run a bit faster than average for a human but nothing special. So basically whatever happens is up ...

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

DawnDrescher

1713620921580

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu-45kmSUevyMYN5C6oSfe9pEk7MVGFpp1zzeXO08_8=s96-c

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1664467301276

0

[{"name": "Nature", "slug": "nature", "groupId": "FT4bkhrmTZ3JZq00FeNK", "createdTime": 1713529595930}, {"name": "Hiking", "slug": "hiking", "groupId": "ed0d67d9-359b-44df-a2dc-37dea2ed5ff5", "createdTime": 1713529595939}]

["nature", "hiking"]

0.25

1713620920814

0

0.43421844169141033

LJ3CTLHRi16fzTdSC17D

{"NO": 153.27025842586767, "YES": 214.86144547065265}

1

will-we-see-sanji-vs-nusjuro-in-cha

143

Will we see Sanji vs Nusjuro in chapter 1113?

1713884827604

d9FHkgSum6VtJACCnZXoH6AbOlZ2

cpmm-1

0

7.676117997947038

True

play

YES

public

1713529997587

lazy

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.6462168463074393}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.1843332142996963, "platformFee": 2.1843332142996963, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714046264704

180

lazy

1713884827604

0

https://firebasestorage.…7c5-5e0e1e87c2d7

5

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1708784795714

0

[{"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713529997744}]

["one-piece-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1713872103484

0.35

d9FHkgSum6VtJACCnZXoH6AbOlZ2

0

0.18196908907937526

rxsZIDy0eoFSBpkxU52P

{"NO": 227.98532098966876, "YES": 1489.1653202211428}

0

will-tesla-stock-reach-200-by-may-1

3081.414979062524

Will Tesla Stock be above $200 by May 1st 2024

1714345140000

7FVx2bJtQoUJuJR3qW62LIy5E9I3

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713530122850

Noel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will be determined as of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/tsla/real-time", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/tsla/real-time", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 14.68181745621573, "platformFee": 14.68181745621573, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714516640567

360

Noel

1714345140000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLx1Z-9DSvzSpAACqyHLDWlEoucErZpVH0jcQWiW_0wZkkSng=s96-c

20

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1713271009168

0

[{"name": "The Tesla Stock Index", "slug": "the-tesla-stock-index", "groupId": "FLrBFpNYWTnUjhOEHv2F", "createdTime": 1713530122993}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1713530122988}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTi...

["the-tesla-stock-index", "tesla", "stocks", "tsla"]

0.25

0.5

1714344949144

0.03

7FVx2bJtQoUJuJR3qW62LIy5E9I3

0

9FslbjMhIOPvcimJsOc3

in-new-york-city-what-will-be-the-h-9ba115942183

332.03271869135534

In New York City, what will be the high temperature on April 20, 2024?

1713628800000

JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

8c80517bfa47

public

1713530159821

Stuart Slagle

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 6.035004752475439, "platformFee": 6.035004752475439, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713695440959

295

ovals

1713628800000

0

https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717

4

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "193d4138eb5c", "prob": 0.019894057061579234, "text": "76F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.409344496446153, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 266.4982146154179, "textFts": "'76f':1", "contractId": "9FslbjMhIOPvcimJsOc3", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTime...

1

0.3333333333333333

1697477345360

0

[{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1713530160086}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1713530160090}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2Egd...

["high-temperature", "weather", "climate", "new-york"]

0.25

1713628569288

{"8c80517bfa47": 100}

JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1

True

0

1m4PkNltyw173PRgCmGO

what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-mo-69414390a872

950.7764944373922

What will be true of the xkcd on Monday, April 22nd, 2024?

1713758340000

yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

basic

MKT

public

1713530246638

EBurk

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve any answers to these questions as soon as I see the xkcd posted for the given day and have time to resolve. If it ever appears that the post was skipped (I don’t see anything before the next usual post day) I will resolve all answers...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 11.089940155797777, "platformFee": 11.089940155797777, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713830603471

1335

EBurk

1713758340000

0

https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad

18

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "68d2da5e19f4", "prob": 0.07, "text": "Black Hat will make an appearance", "index": 0, "poolNo": 19.000363155818924, "userId": "yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 260.1189796458374, "textFts": "'appear':6 'black':1 'hat':2 'make':4", "contractId": "1m4PkNltyw173PRgCmGO", "resolution": "...

1

0.3333333333333333

1706489499554

0

[{"name": "Webcomics", "slug": "webcomics", "groupId": "tO2lKFZZPUkSUzf064Rp", "createdTime": 1713530246886}, {"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1713530246895}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713530246902...

["webcomics", "mathematics", "space", "xkcd", "engineering"]

0.25

1713754217209

1713798024567

0.05

yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2

False

0

0.4426703924914752

W2jrfHRFn4XmFmlHAyHn

{"NO": 997.3812784864906, "YES": 1000.5742168149247}

0.4418819904594397

capital-gains-tax-increase-before-2-7e8d8cbeeaa9

146.7607013755244

🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027?

1798765200000

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

cpmm-1

0

9.702161458464598

False

basic

public

1713530969072

SirCryptomind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution/Rules", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listIt...

BINARY

{"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.323841761243636, "platformFee": 2.323841761243636, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

SirCryptomind

1714742796513

0

https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394

12

0

0.3333333333333333

1673375788573

0

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713530969230}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713530969239}, {"name": "Tax", "slug": "tax", "groupId": "ifd68EW8txu6x0cNMm3A", "createdTime": 1...

["us-politics", "politics-default", "tax", "library-of-congress", "capital-gains"]

0.25

0.5

1714742793146

0

4k1fxQ6Ql6XifhERtHr5

which-of-project-2025s-plans-come-t

1165.1633630992876

Which of Project 2025's plans come to fruition?

1767243540000

srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713531209284

Bayesian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 9.958108551418247, "platformFee": 7.531487735604984, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Bayesian

1719809944511

0

https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c

16

2

ONLY_CREATOR

[{"id": "471d52345f10", "prob": 0.23975522046406006, "text": "Reducing by more than half the US Department of Justice (DOJ) funding", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.24423799661336, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.8510310085853, "textFts": "'depart':8 'doj':11 'fund':12 'half':5 'just...

0.3333333333333333

1656040913178

0

[{"name": "2025", "slug": "2025", "groupId": "06377b94-95d9-432d-b80b-78ec353716b6", "createdTime": 1713531209609}, {"name": "Project 2025", "slug": "project-2025", "groupId": "8a3fafd8-a139-4529-a08b-b156e68ca9cf", "createdTime": 1713531209614}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUd...

["2025", "project-2025", "politics-default", "magaland"]

0.25

1719809941370

1713569977645

False

0

92pSkIdsiKIqJU1hcUc3

in-what-will-humans-walk-on-these-s

884.2202371086889

In what order will humans walk on these solar system bodies?

5680339140000

2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713532453092

Josh Wilkes

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A human in a suit has to step foot on the surface of the body (or in the case of the smallest ones at least touch it with some part of their body)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "First from th...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 10.428927005580947, "platformFee": 10.428927005580947, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1685

JoshuaWilkes

1714050452608

0

https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8

10

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "fe078c1d5c43", "prob": 0.24974305137914496, "text": "Mercury", "index": 0, "poolNo": 61.68645936241777, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 185.31324301876714, "textFts": "'mercuri':1", "contractId": "92pSkIdsiKIqJU1hcUc3", "createdTime": 1713532453092, "probChanges": {"day":...

0.3333333333333333

1662006482315

0

[{"name": "Solar System Exploration", "slug": "solar-system-exploration", "groupId": "f99fc2ba-7346-48b5-8af9-e69823cbee4d", "createdTime": 1713532453405}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1713532453432}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space"...

["solar-system-exploration", "space-exploration", "space"]

0.25

1714050449312

1713613706769

False

0

0.5000000000000001

by3CgibLdWLA7m6uTz7G

{"NO": 13.275413378285577, "YES": 753.2722119491116}

0

will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-apri-3ca93e2ad9e9

658

Will the S&P 500 open higher on April 19th than its previous day close?

1713533538968

PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3

cpmm-1

0

4.43226734981336

True

play

NO

public

1713533477483

RiskOptimization

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.36389402544423, "platformFee": 2.36389402544423, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713533538968

100

RiskOptimization

1713533538968

0

https://firebasestorage.…10a-45d742b0b831

1

0

0.3333333333333333

1705974765884

0

[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713533477695}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1713533477690}, {"name": "NASDAQ", "slug": "nasdaq", "groupId": "d3aaa6d9-84fa-42e5-9053-690f91a51220", "createdTime": 17...

["stocks", "finance", "nasdaq"]

0.25

0.5

1713533532716

0.02

PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3

0

3PB3VZbyPG6S4bEVTyVc

will-sam-altman-be-considered-a-gri

3700.976484585441

Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?

1896220740000

wEKkwvhTu7eAMwfZCk8yvhB3k7E2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.584421218735951

False

basic

public

1713534647943

Димитрије

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On the 1st of January 2030, a poll will be launched with the question: \"Is Sam Altman a grifter?\"", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the word \"grifter\" falls out of popular use by that tim...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 80.05669029610115, "platformFee": 21.676759927092213, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

c5c9

1720053161621

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdqt6j9s-ApmUOY0t4sUR0f4NU4omvZ7vsk7gy-aUj-Aw=s96-c

71

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "cdef8aac9767", "prob": 0.30272068805509456, "text": "YES", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 445.7002720751348, "userId": "wEKkwvhTu7eAMwfZCk8yvhB3k7E2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1026.6149335312236, "textFts": "'yes':1", "contractId": "3PB3VZbyPG6S4bEVTyVc", "createdTime": 1713534647943, "probChang...

0.3333333333333333

1690921184795

0

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713534648276}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713534648284}, {"name": "Sam Altman", "slug": "sam-altman", "groupId": "1uWeVVcfTCgL7T2l7hJg", "createdTime": 171...

["technology-default", "ai", "sam-altman"]

0.25

1717501903419

1714385121693

True

0

o7VvLnRcjPdkcYU1v3KW

what-will-be-the-next-word-sama-twe

1245.5194350042625

What will be the next word sama tweets? [short-fuse]

1714768179397

JxsA1M9PKGRpQENQNfGoAmvsoB12

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

basic

MKT

public

1713535033566

raizel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the next time that the @sama account tweets (not including replies) with the first word that is on this list.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "e.g., if the tweet is \"video input now i...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 10.62511569320231, "platformFee": 10.62511569320231, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714768179397

1145

raizel

1714886365436

0

https://firebasestorage.…d8e-51c15b5c740b

20

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "89239ef645f9", "prob": 0.1, "text": "soon", "index": 0, "poolNo": 19.94750444504208, "userId": "cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 177.03838418714562, "textFts": "'soon':1", "contractId": "o7VvLnRcjPdkcYU1v3KW", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "JxsA1M9PKGRpQENQNfGoAmvsoB12", "cre...

0.3333333333333333

1713315203052

0

[{"name": "Sam Altman", "slug": "sam-altman", "groupId": "1uWeVVcfTCgL7T2l7hJg", "createdTime": 1713535033728}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713535033738}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1713535033727}...

["sam-altman", "ai", "twitter"]

0.25

1714720689209

1714886363666

0.1

JxsA1M9PKGRpQENQNfGoAmvsoB12

False

0

9udYwyP01cB03TEbgeaP

which-individual-will-win-the-most-2ddb364e93e7

1225.6857576615894

Which athlete will win the most overall medals (gold, silver and bronze) at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics?

1722225540000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1713535542118

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 20.338445624775577, "platformFee": 5.565005457237352, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

strutheo

1718623022639

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

17

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "6e6a2d84183c", "prob": 0.008071845354041714, "text": "Leon Marchand", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.557150733695153, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 928.678666756435, "textFts": "'leon':1 'marchand':2", "contractId": "9udYwyP01cB03TEbgeaP", "createdTime": 1713535542118, "probCh...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "2024 Summer Olympics", "slug": "2024-summer-olympics", "groupId": "q6FVZCgJy5BrIrMvIlXM", "createdTime": 1713535542389}, {"name": "Olympics", "slug": "olympics", "groupId": "WdIYm7PwGLqo1N1zVtEF", "createdTime": 1713535542392}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", ...

["2024-summer-olympics", "olympics", "world-default", "athletics", "sports-default"]

0.25

1718623019506

1717449800464

True

prob-desc

0

0.3961197983893454

qVvETBFMhFcPbftmDFAQ

{"NO": 197.40394819324786, "YES": 307.9655886331322}

0.2960049654457405

will-there-be-a-world-wide-recessio

182.24835678984735

Will there be a world wide recession by the end of 2025.

1714190340000

KuIs54Dag5P5WLCn13LeFYDHEDy1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713536762102

Tarun Thalluru

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.139888429188499, "platformFee": 2.139888429188499, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

240

TarunThalluru

1714186569135

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKq9enaBtoWw0wqZIw6zqh_O9a74unc5Q6zOeFdW-Gptfo-2E_f=s96-c

14

0

10

0.3333333333333333

1713322676358

0

[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713536762377}]

["stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1714186565934

0

N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD

what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do

1409.2170696504832

What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him

1722484740000

nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713537371519

James

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For all of the answers the poll will be formatted that Trump can only do this if he is elected president. You can have multiple things per answer. Phrase it as Trump but ..., that is how the poll will be phrased as well", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 20.980168044815734, "platformFee": 5.497519162373212, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

JamesF

1717886178076

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c

23

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "b6f31912aed1", "prob": 0.7759878748992491, "text": "Trump but he solves AI allignment", "index": 0, "poolNo": 132.57866364141088, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 38.27279928721324, "textFts": "'ai':5 'allign':6 'solv':4 'trump':1", "contractId": "N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD", "c...

0.3333333333333333

1701462146149

0

[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713537371841}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713537371837}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "...

["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "grab-bag", "us-politics"]

0.25

1717886174987

1717361014420

False

0

0.5

8nxBhvvtAViTVcMoH0WG

{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}

0.5

will-any-evidence-come-out-that-isr

0

Will any evidence come out that Israel is playing sounds on drone speakers to lure and kill civilians by EOY 2024?

1713539268118

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

2.726376370574009

True

play

CANCEL

public

1713537419155

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There are unverified reports recently of drones playing sounds of children crying on speakers to lure out refugees and kill them. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.newarab.com/news/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713539268118

100

strutheo

1713539268118

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

True

0

[{"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "createdTime": 1713537419472}, {"name": "Information war", "slug": "information-war", "groupId": "cf0a2667-a795-4b9a-82e9-70c775a99e8b", "createdTime": 1713537419488}]

["gaza", "information-war"]

0.25

0.5

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

0

0.7372111297036394

yrJOiTFfYfi4X1gV6cZ3

{"NO": 5309.281876565911, "YES": 150.76311649910596}

1

short-fuse-bulls-vs-bears-will-the-39c0f7afcb68

5568.396990071791

[short fuse] Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,100.00 before 4,900.00?

1714141765979

Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73

cpmm-1

0

7.858548212947784

True

play

YES

public

1713537528538

Lion

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves only, if the S&P 500 hits 4,900.00 or 5,100.00 points ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "during official NYSE core trading hours", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars", "cla...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.07297279597593309}

0

{"creatorFee": 16.444266124720937, "platformFee": 16.444266124720937, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714141765979

500

Lion

1714141789003

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c

24

0

0.3333333333333333

1691095902341

0

[{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1713537528917}, {"name": "S&P 500 Changes", "slug": "sp-500-changes", "groupId": "1c9a3cf9-c2b7-4136-ae31-a21815e162fa", "createdTime": 1713537528920}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", ...

["finance", "sp-500-changes", "stocks", "sp-500-439f18dbc885"]

0.25

0.5

1714140578821

1714141750588

0.99

Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73

0

vgBp36JjbWA0bEYC2KSS

what-would-have-to-be-true-about-bi

535.5562385719063

What would have to be true about Biden for manifold not to vote for him

1722484740000

nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713537586724

James

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For most of the answers the poll will be formatted that Biden does this if he is elected president. For some of the answers it might be he is something else. You can have multiple things per answer. Phrase it as Biden but ..., that is how the poll ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 7.482974206867746, "platformFee": 7.482974206867746, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1555

JamesF

1714057155250

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c

16

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "a1d66e39df36", "prob": 0.9127362478234136, "text": "Biden but he implements China's one child policy", "index": 0, "poolNo": 133.9962279128312, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 12.810944731368794, "textFts": "'biden':1 'child':8 'china':5 'implement':4 'one':7 'polici':9",...

0.3333333333333333

1701462146149

0

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713537587016}, {"name": "Grab Bag", "slug": "grab-bag", "groupId": "0f4ca3f0-7edb-41e6-bd83-2cea37941577", "createdTime": 1713537587026}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZF...

["us-politics", "grab-bag", "the-life-of-biden", "politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

0.25

1714057151928

1714057142042

False

0

d2UMGJNA0cCCin0kWgik

how-will-people-run-llama-3-405b-lo

297.59668359420954

How will people run LLaMa 3 405B locally by 2025?

1735718340000

HW8FLxBmGZNRMLejKnomKho1k563

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713539182821

Alex Kropivny

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Cloud\" is a boring answer. User base of interest is somewhere between hobbyists with a budget and companies with a couple of self-hosted racks.", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.3022954729702065, "platformFee": 3.3022954729702065, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

565

alexkropivny

1715371859871

0

https://firebasestorage.…b16-0d5179e3c0ad

9

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "3bbb49371b73", "prob": 0.5189624602505107, "text": "Distributed across clustered machines (e.g. Petals)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 85.96680375372956, "userId": "HW8FLxBmGZNRMLejKnomKho1k563", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 79.68449154850121, "textFts": "'across':2 'cluster':3 'distribut':1 'e.g':5 'machin':4 'petal...

0.3333333333333333

1681875723330

0

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713539183043}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713539183070}]

["technology-default", "ai"]

0.25

1715371856275

1714266403872

False

0

Sfl0teF7P7575oCFwQIh

by-how-much-will-my-flight-from-dub

414.87663198469033

By how much will my flight from Dubai to Singapore be delayed?

1713687253568

GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

basic

523a578b100f

public

1713539243296

Ansel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am in Dubai and taking flight EK352 Sunday April 21. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By how much will the flight be delayed? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 12.075991915563556, "platformFee": 12.075991915563556, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713687253568

2205

Ansel

1713687253568

0

https://firebasestorage.…469-935b0d72b0a1

27

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "e3ced7dad93c", "prob": 0.3229655865812238, "text": "No delay", "index": 0, "poolNo": 423.24898918060774, "userId": "GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 887.2590239515074, "textFts": "'delay':2", "contractId": "Sfl0teF7P7575oCFwQIh", "resolverId": "GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72", "created...

0.3333333333333333

1661077246623

0

0.25

1713677756324

1713687243043

{"523a578b100f": 100}

GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72

True

0

NPUglUU2t2CZHQDbYfXm

in-new-york-city-what-will-be-the-h-a81a620e19fd

245.5826146786043

In New York City, what will be the high temperature on April 21, 2024?

1713715200000

JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

19faf16b590e

public

1713539890271

Stuart Slagle

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 6.1937708599383585, "platformFee": 6.1937708599383585, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713752503283

395

ovals

1713715200000

0

https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717

5

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "016e98b20048", "prob": 0.03276442765143372, "text": "76F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.770370098412528, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 317.95107783877535, "textFts": "'76f':1", "contractId": "NPUglUU2t2CZHQDbYfXm", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim...

1

0.3333333333333333

1697477345360

0

[{"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1713539890509}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1713539890514}, {"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c...

["new-york", "weather", "high-temperature", "climate"]

0.25

1713703761439

{"19faf16b590e": 100}

JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1

True

0

0.5

uHM7cpJVimyIouMsX4HT

{"NO": 228.77719039968954, "YES": 43.71065132205413}

0.8395867828602418

manicoin

247.46867089458118

Mani-Coin

xfEEQukcbHUehvkAWBNeiTIUtFl2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713540359992

Tarr

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes/good = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No/bad = Short", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market which trades on sentiment. The aim is to sell your ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.8770693528646407, "platformFee": 1.8770693528646407, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

Tarr

1716338487564

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK1VfZdzqRGvrqp-l9cdyCcHJtCLRKF1C3rBA8mkINqfe79YUMb=s96-c

2

0

0.3333333333333333

1712752598137

0

[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713540360185}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713540360193}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G5...

["stocks", "manifold-6748e065087e", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized", "all-stonks"]

0.25

0.5

False

1713540544427

0

0.3278919890394729

EZMH1GC045wYawampGLl

{"NO": 174.37761927180728, "YES": 301.12850212465696}

0.22027771445846134

will-the-alaqsa-mosque-be-attackedd

562.8855590414938

Will the Al-Aqsa Mosque be attacked/damaged in 2024?

1735711140000

ElTd9ncvmfbX9HdIm1khfX2lBq13

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713541309243

Nick Allen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Attacks that stand a solid chance of destroying or seriously damaging the mosque which are thwarted by security (and publicly made known) would resolve this question \"yes\". ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text"...

BINARY

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.83677969663995, "platformFee": 5.284782912424013, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

220

NickAllen

1716841108571

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNickAllen%2Fdomg0lHxgK.12?alt=media&token=852e8060-987e-4aaf-a86c-45d7a4b96bd1

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1647316521034

0

[{"name": "ww3", "slug": "ww3-0de6f68758b8", "groupId": "29708c7c-1502-4abd-8450-7fe46c2babf2", "createdTime": 1713541309427}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713541309431}, {"name": "🐪 Middle East", "slug": "middle-east", "groupId": "xg8wCPeM9JP6gD0igBrA", ...

["ww3-0de6f68758b8", "israel", "middle-east", "terrorist-attacks", "islam"]

0.25

0.5

1716841104974

0

ORFaLzmoqZ5t35EpQuJY

which-golfers-will-be-ranked-as-no1

67.89581397792364

Which golfers will be ranked as No. 1 player in the world at any point in their life?

7258193940000

8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713542026325

McLovin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world_number_one_male_golfers", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world_number_one_male_golfers", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.8582371181864004, "platformFee": 0.8582371181864004, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

270

McLovin

1713985098987

0

https://firebasestorage.…2c8-a96e09f7d8cd

4

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "a07183b1df64", "prob": 0.7899999999999997, "text": "Xander Schauffele", "index": 0, "poolNo": 90.2775941096334, "userId": "8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 23.99784147218106, "textFts": "'schauffel':2 'xander':1", "contractId": "ORFaLzmoqZ5t35EpQuJY", "createdTime": 1713542026326, "p...

0.3333333333333333

1712615479507

0

[{"name": "Golf", "slug": "golf", "groupId": "NxkKZhLxyZglOcGxX6zn", "createdTime": 1713542026622}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713542026614}]

["golf", "sports-default"]

0.25

1713985095628

False

0

0.366486535349116

SdyOqGL4KSsmmcLL9l7G

{"NO": 226.12888501638722, "YES": 309.6937688791825}

0.2969637632509585

will-the-us-have-a-national-privacy

214.91393398086797

Will the US have a national privacy bill by 2025?

1735685940000

nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713542098873

Gaz Downright

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the American Privacy Rights Act of 2024 (APRA) or a derivation pass by EOY.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.4649761765836495, "platformFee": 2.4649761765836495, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

260

GazDownright

1717781692209

0

https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1697568039966

0

[{"name": "US Legislature", "slug": "us-legislation", "groupId": "osXYfZnBqEFqaNvb8thn", "createdTime": 1713542099013}, {"name": "Privacy", "slug": "privacy", "groupId": "1f1f4a4c-8f62-4b4b-b06c-efc72c5c8d3b", "createdTime": 1713542099010}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqti...

["us-legislation", "privacy", "us-politics", "internet-censorship"]

0.25

0.5

1713898230939

1717781690864

0

0.7170040613231745

gQJzCh3hmkKprsyoAe5c

{"NO": 1112.1928160597702, "YES": 939.9690545538507}

0.7498647076955789

will-a-current-congressmanpresident

256.8108669433423

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

1861945140000

1HVfKeo13ocYsTubAN98a6qW2YE3

cpmm-1

0

9.596701769299647

False

basic

public

1713543262794

Ethan Lou

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the presidential candidate must be one of trump, biden, or RFK. It must be confirmed that a recount is publicly demanded and not just a rumor. must happen before the 2028 election day", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.498158498443527, "platformFee": 2.498158498443527, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

EthanLou

1713912447176

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI38lRl8IV2OEBMDpcwPyFwRq4Uc9SPdytcNjGf2YxQ=s96-c

10

0

0.3333333333333333

https://firebasestorage.…29d-5d5db7081630

1708631336044

0

[{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713543263019}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713543263051}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election...

["culture-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"]

0.25

0.5

1713895736704

1713562743842

0

KlMllBclK3KoVvnWa3Xj

what-will-be-true-of-the-fortunate

4018.102137423032

What will be true of the Fortunate Hedgehogs Diamond League cohort?

1717267144829

FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

MKT

public

1713543813046

Savior of Plant

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/leagues/12/diamond/fortunate-hedgehogs", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/leagues/12/diamond/fortunate-hedgehogs", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decorat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 14.070029308776048, "platformFee": 12.225840010227975, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717267144829

1000

SaviorofPlant

1717267144829

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c

11

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "16d940b88bdd", "prob": 0.010407317021476096, "text": "The cutoff to be demoted to Platinum will be higher than the cutoff to be promoted to Masters in all other cohorts", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.4349168216716555, "userId": "FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 611.8720693490037, "textFts...

0.3333333333333333

1698371327350

0

[{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1713543813310}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713543813320}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvU...

["personal-goals", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-leagues", "mana"]

0.25

1717267133620

1714548935828

0.01

FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1

False

0

F3ASE21L27XDmmP46WnX

who-will-connor-mcgregor-fight-befo

557.785748670035

Who will Conor McGregor fight before he retires?

1756709940000

M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1713544004844

Łukasz Bartoszcze

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add your options. As „fight”, all styles of professional sport fights count. So boxing, mma, bare knuckles, etc. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will be open until he officially retires. If he c...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 12.477605902546976, "platformFee": 2.7087693043124514, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ukaszBartoszcze

1718633347465

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c

10

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "5d6830357201", "prob": 0.3231777592109996, "text": "Michael Chandler", "index": 0, "poolNo": 79.998809415032, "userId": "M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 167.5392934864166, "textFts": "'chandler':2 'michael':1", "contractId": "F3ASE21L27XDmmP46WnX", "createdTime": 1713544004844, "pro...

0.3333333333333333

1708276167391

0

[{"name": "MMA (Mixed Martial Arts)", "slug": "mma-mixed-martial-arts", "groupId": "079mFVtgf6PljrwbHIpR", "createdTime": 1713544005072}, {"name": "Fighting", "slug": "fighting", "groupId": "RCGUqqLvrrs1ievZIxDE", "createdTime": 1713544005074}, {"name": "🧑‍🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSS...

["mma-mixed-martial-arts", "fighting", "celebrities", "boxing", "sports-default"]

0.25

1718368120318

1718633345693

False

0

7Pu65PJHVXIdYIFDi40N

f1-chinese-gp-2024-teammate-qualify

215.56925675447795

[F1 Chinese GP 2024] Teammate Qualifying Head-to-Heads

1713596340000

qYx42VQTOYZY8tFzfS5JUycMQIz2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

public

1713544011332

TC

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If either driver in a pairing does not start qualifying, then that answer will resolve NA.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please note that I live in the U.S. and may not be awake to resolve t...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.0218149803621825, "platformFee": 3.0218149803621825, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713625702336

490

tc

1713596340000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkuvVVCekn4EoZzXeo7chRmABFYXS8GGZAUxJdH-Wq=s96-c

6

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "4d34cf7283f3", "prob": 0.7, "text": "Albon will outqualify Sargeant", "index": 0, "poolNo": 60.1888887847398, "userId": "qYx42VQTOYZY8tFzfS5JUycMQIz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25.79523805060278, "textFts": "'albon':1 'outqualifi':3 'sargeant':4", "contractId": "7Pu65PJHVXIdYIFDi40N", "resolution": "YES", ...

1

0.3333333333333333

1707115599779

0

[{"name": "Motorsports", "slug": "motorsports", "groupId": "eed75a10-7bc2-40e7-a89f-0d4f5aaecd33", "createdTime": 1713544011571}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1713544011567}, {"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaG...

["motorsports", "sports-betting", "formula-1"]

0.25

1713593147172

0.5

qYx42VQTOYZY8tFzfS5JUycMQIz2

False

prob-desc

0

72kxSqH2mkH42SAHI2EF

which-fighter-will-become-a-ufc-cha

10

Which fighter will become a UFC champion in 2025?

1767254340000

M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713544235141

Łukasz Bartoszcze

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only considers fighters who become champions during this year. So if you are a champion in 2024 and do not lose a fight in 2025, it would resolve as NO. As this is only about new champions. Feel free to add your options. This market considers ufc c...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.16776875464602184, "platformFee": 0.16776875464602184, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

240

ukaszBartoszcze

1714531686054

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "d326b0d747bd", "prob": 0.5189624602505107, "text": "Jiri Prohazka", "index": 0, "poolNo": 45.96680375372956, "userId": "M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 42.60762556345209, "textFts": "'jiri':1 'prohazka':2", "contractId": "72kxSqH2mkH42SAHI2EF", "createdTime": 1713544235141, "probCha...

0.3333333333333333

1708276167391

0

[{"name": "Fighting", "slug": "fighting", "groupId": "RCGUqqLvrrs1ievZIxDE", "createdTime": 1713544235453}, {"name": "MMA (Mixed Martial Arts)", "slug": "mma-mixed-martial-arts", "groupId": "079mFVtgf6PljrwbHIpR", "createdTime": 1713544235592}, {"name": "UFC", "slug": "ufc", "groupId": "oQEmR7LpGHSDsM2Ua87u", "createdT...

["fighting", "mma-mixed-martial-arts", "ufc", "sports-default", "celebrities"]

0.25

1714531682579

False

0

0.5828160834849884

FbTWMueofIxM0NtsjxQp

{"NO": 1026.4672433968992, "YES": 978.3274532020893}

0.5944466136703074

will-orion-dock-with-starship-in-le

133.82411771936722

Will Orion dock with Starship in LEO before 2028?

1830293940000

nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1

cpmm-1

0

9.741239109620999

False

basic

public

1713544284509

Mqrius

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apparently NASA is considering some new missions to reduce risks and firsts of Artemis 3. Berger's rumors are usually fairly reliable but this is the first we're hearing of it.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.006537315763597951}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.485625114157591, "platformFee": 2.0261745048657014, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Mqrius

1717798037051

0

https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda

11

0

0.3333333333333333

1668945784174

0

[{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713544284663}, {"name": "Artemis program", "slug": "artemis-program", "groupId": "7tZRaI9VeFgLXFDbKtrX", "createdTime": 1713544284668}, {"name": "NASA", "slug": "nasa", "groupId": "c6d9ce56-6640-455b-96db-3c3293d41f0f", "createdTi...

["space", "artemis-program", "nasa", "spacex", "rockets"]

0.25

0.5

1717798033838

1713597981716

0

AqhZhvDOji14c3hHtQlK

what-month-will-llama-3-400b-be-rel

5640.547444663003

What month will Llama 3 400B+ be released?

1735718340000

zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1713545784292

Mira

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves 100% to the first month that anyone not affiliated with Meta can use a 400B or larger parameter model labeled in the Llama 3 family, and Meta publicly claims that training of it is finished.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"ty...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 46.943811497496505, "platformFee": 4.033561954670491, "liquidityFee": 0}

1000

Mira

1720217486296

0

https://firebasestorage.…959-42404b37a55f

30

1

ANYONE

[{"id": "9b44c43a4b96", "prob": 0.00817877680852552, "text": "May 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.295196107048184, "userId": "zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1976.0804963146043, "textFts": "'2024':2 'may':1", "contractId": "AqhZhvDOji14c3hHtQlK", "createdTime": 1713545784292, "probChanges": ...

0.3333333333333333

1672765622992

0

[{"name": "LLama", "slug": "llama", "groupId": "07920ce0-0e0d-4d2f-ad62-42a3c7a9a786", "createdTime": 1713545784507}, {"name": "LLama 3", "slug": "llama-3", "groupId": "a4563e75-0768-4783-ac78-c45e4a46e287", "createdTime": 1713545784511}, {"name": "Large language models", "slug": "large-language-models", "groupId": "65...

["llama", "llama-3", "large-language-models"]

0.25

1720217480938

1714779272333

True

0

0.5536210064764197

42MHALUeLBug3hv0oImD

{"NO": 1335.2682064045125, "YES": 94.19889593023159}

1

will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1113

3538.8175388346835

Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1113 of One Piece on April 25th?

1714162666277

8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2

cpmm-1

0

6.422033595437794

True

play

YES

public

1713546282789

dwax

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am basing this off of GMT-8 time zone for April 25th. If they release chapter 1113 between 00:00:00 and 23:59:59, this question will resolve as “YES.” Anything else will resolve as “NO.”", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "parag...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.733397803615571}

0

{"creatorFee": 38.60109348819817, "platformFee": 38.60109348819817, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714162671068

440

dwax

1714163027835

0

https://firebasestorage.…35a-f30dc5e92bd8

19

0

0.3333333333333333

1708101936708

0

[{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1713546282950}, {"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 1713546282946}, {"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 17135462829...

["manga", "anime", "one-piece-stocks", "one-piece-theories", "release-dates"]

0.25

0.5

1714160023672

1714163027150

0.95

8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2

0

WvScc1qqOSYQTUuZVJ6Z

which-days-will-destiny-stream-this-168d34fd2182

4684.966131333469

Which days will Destiny stream this week?

1714460340000

iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

MKT

public

1713546535807

A Whole Turkey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only will resolve YES if destiny’s channel on Youtube or Kick go live on that day. This does not include bridges podcast. Will resolve NO if it does not go live by Midnight EST.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "con...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 17.078332795873273, "platformFee": 17.078332795873273, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716016377360

855

AWholeTurkey

1714460340000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJXoYMkpGKhUTA_Na4PwM_SDlp0_3ib2nfGQhaw7x5B70s=s96-c

13

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "3dd7c8003824", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Mon 422", "index": 0, "poolNo": 735.6701986041528, "userId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7.431012107112679, "textFts": "'422':2 'mon':1", "contractId": "WvScc1qqOSYQTUuZVJ6Z", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2...

4

0.3333333333333333

1699290420656

0

[{"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1713546536027}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1713546536061}, {"name": "Destiny", "slug": "destiny", "groupId": "d5076dce-8f87-4eaa-9735-77def68f9e0e", "create...

["dalibanhq", "destinygg", "destiny"]

0.25

1714323505459

0.99

iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2

False

0

eBsmBYcuJY8lTrmZxOV2

will-destiny-be-live-anywhere-b4a64dadc0d8

3817.306655605614

Will Destiny be live anywhere?

1714327133073

iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

public

1713546623058

A Whole Turkey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will destiny ( not a clip ) be visible or audible in any live stream from any channel. Twitter space, discord, a youtube broadcast, as long as he is live and recorded for review, it will be resolved YES. If he is not live in any format will resolve...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 14.481637515750567, "platformFee": 14.481637515750567, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714327133073

615

AWholeTurkey

1714327133073

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJXoYMkpGKhUTA_Na4PwM_SDlp0_3ib2nfGQhaw7x5B70s=s96-c

8

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "d436feaeb699", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Mon 4/22", "index": 0, "poolNo": 713.7660500397865, "userId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7.209758081209998, "textFts": "'4/22':2 'mon':1", "contractId": "eBsmBYcuJY8lTrmZxOV2", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1...

1

0.3333333333333333

1699290420656

0

[{"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1713546623481}, {"name": "Destiny", "slug": "destiny", "groupId": "d5076dce-8f87-4eaa-9735-77def68f9e0e", "createdTime": 1713546623489}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "create...

["dalibanhq", "destiny", "destinygg"]

0.25

1714323457912

0.99

iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2

False

0

0.495270709040299

Doz0lECFDXXLKBr8qHn6

{"NO": 37.593935843503914, "YES": 3385.60341573554}

0

will-we-see-the-giant-robot-in-chap

3160.9634923674257

Will we see the Giant Robot in chapter 1113?

1713995124920

CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3

cpmm-1

0

7.108789674255132

True

play

NO

public

1713548061871

Ger D. Gar

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Vote ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Yes", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " If you think the Giant Iron robot will make an appearance in at least one panel in One Piece Chapter 1113.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.276241553110224}

0

{"creatorFee": 10.600511921466515, "platformFee": 10.600511921466515, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713995124920

360

Gergar

1713995124920

0

https://firebasestorage.…433-5fa919125e15

12

0

0.3333333333333333

1709210946833

0

[{"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 1713548062038}, {"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713548062040}, {"name": "Egghead Arc", "slug": "egghead-arc", "groupId": "094380a8-737c-442a-9178-76e11a2524da"...

["anime", "one-piece-stocks", "egghead-arc", "manga", "entertainment"]

0.25

0.5

1713995115876

1713978119872

0.01

CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3

0

d03pNV9konbmxrkpVX5N

the-person-who-set-themselves-on-fi

2115.376540986526

The person who set themselves on fire in front of the New York courthouse

1713605035355

cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

public

1713549935075

lukres

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 23.412383218304928, "platformFee": 23.412383218304928, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713605035355

900

lukres

1713631116471

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Flukres%2Fj1m8DGNy5T.12?alt=media&token=fc58ce31-3de5-4d8d-bf45-abb061ee29a2

25

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "12e83ab1a5fd", "prob": 0.15, "text": "Pro-Trump", "index": 0, "poolNo": 46.97819776385209, "userId": "cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 272.49198305629466, "textFts": "'pro':2 'pro-trump':1 'trump':3", "contractId": "d03pNV9konbmxrkpVX5N", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "cWcPyhxrIQ...

0.3333333333333333

1690889308481

0

[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713549935319}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713549957272}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpO...

["politics-default", "donald-trump", "trump-indictments"]

0.25

1713599257124

1713631115423

0.71

cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2

False

0

AeunSV9ol60oMR26RIQk

was-the-man-who-set-himself-on-fire

9831.562756052279

Was the man who set himself on fire outside the Trump trial pro-Trump or anti-Trump?

1714051851902

rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

basic

50fc3f3fa95c

public

1713550153429

Simon Grayson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A man has reportedly set himself on fire outside the court where Donald Trump’s criminal trial is taking place:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/19/...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 73.86775729261275, "platformFee": 73.86775729261275, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714051851902

1200

SimonGrayson

1714059646719

0

https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696

43

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "ce8146f708ec", "prob": 0.0012945118927469637, "text": "Pro-Trump", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.411830440914219, "userId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3403.6916142885757, "textFts": "'pro':2 'pro-trump':1 'trump':3", "contractId": "AeunSV9ol60oMR26RIQk", "resolverId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8...

0.3333333333333333

1680512856506

0

[{"name": "News", "slug": "news", "groupId": "586c2ce6-5e77-441a-b7ba-922fd387e3be", "createdTime": 1713550153679}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713550153697}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "creat...

["news", "donald-trump", "us-politics", "politics-default", "trial-of-the-century"]

0.25

1714039332631

1714059645756

{"50fc3f3fa95c": 100}

rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2

True

0

0.1931782591782478

BY8jsKSM6mm9zrQeCcpp

{"NO": 968.8855133102595, "YES": 997.8168605632214}

0.18863368663256244

metaculus-will-there-be-any-reporte

718.1934133946552

[Metaculus] Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 globally before 2025?

1735826400000

PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2

cpmm-1

0

9.69295928821381

False

basic

public

1713551142419

Mirror Bot

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0038472950445158083}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.981819296697704, "platformFee": 5.170259583117493, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

mirrorbot

1718611480748

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0

14

0

0.3333333333333333

1696426201173

0

[{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1713551142615}, {"name": "H5N1 Bird Flu", "slug": "h5n1-bird-flu", "groupId": "bjAQEGbYlIgTjDhStoFr", "createdTime": 1713551179753}, {"name": "Pandemic", "slug": "pandemic", "groupId": "5OlW5cUQPgx5A9W1OPnp", "createdTime": 17...

["metaculus", "h5n1-bird-flu", "pandemic", "public-health"]

0.25

0.5

1718611477642

0

0.8511103236782852

UxTYADWKEnOxsVZeIARn

{"NO": 1765.4131318611508, "YES": 864.0539480671827}

1

will-llama-3-8b-turn-out-to-be-bett

785

Will Llama 3 8B turn out to be better than Mistral 7B in perceived performance?

1717180140000

Oa8lKJXI9AZWPV2welD0bq6wzng1

cpmm-1

0

9.978074763628346

True

basic

YES

public

1713553341768

axr

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will try it myself and decide by the end of next month.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.2755831235752835, "platformFee": 2.359800190120641, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717185477195

1000

axr

1717180140000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI-2-ukKvOv8h_zn7h7V3spENiHQksstxKF5yUaDgdedHU=s96-c

15

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1707468645117

0

[{"name": "Meta", "slug": "meta", "groupId": "6641f4ac-95bf-4770-b8e5-80354a830ec2", "createdTime": 1713553341935}, {"name": "Mistral", "slug": "mistral", "groupId": "7a7936dd-81e7-463d-8300-ca0f54b8bc39", "createdTime": 1713553341946}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1...

["meta", "mistral", "ai", "llama-3", "llms"]

0.25

0.5

1717151779844

0.92

Oa8lKJXI9AZWPV2welD0bq6wzng1

0

0.2888174625721204

Qv0hsmREVF9u4tQUddDw

{"NO": 120.45258839451668, "YES": 321.56459867578707}

0.1320359006514969

will-the-colossus-to-prometheus-sta

353.99031537420586

Will the "Colossus to Prometheus" statue be built somewhere in the San Francisco Bay before 2050?

2524636740000

Cc1rw0NVHVS56Ew3MpW6g2L30pO2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713557484148

Werner Zagrebbi

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "this organization is trying ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://americancolossus.org/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://americancolossus.org/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primar...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.2225429750033743, "platformFee": 2.2225429750033743, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

180

Khazar_Man_From_Turan

1713851399644

0

https://firebasestorage.…96d-ba93fcbf6c38

5

0

0.3333333333333333

1690839930269

0

[{"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1713557484530}, {"name": "Urbanism", "slug": "urbanism", "groupId": "UEuJtl3q4AKowDdXnejA", "createdTime": 1713557484533}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1713...

["futurism", "urbanism", "san-francisco"]

0.25

0.5

1713851396293

1713770469015

0

aMvtKlvaxmLIy3pBa5Zr

will-usa-or-china-win-in-a-war-agai

138.79772067749934

Will USA or China win in a war against each other?

2524679940000

iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713557670780

JuJumper

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.794136822822601, "platformFee": 3.794136822822601, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

265

JuJumper

1713759594728

0

https://firebasestorage.…19a-b9b702a3816e

8

0

ONLY_CREATOR

[{"id": "26a08322272f", "prob": 0.40111950518760614, "text": "No such war begins before 2050", "index": 0, "poolNo": 80.84493119315542, "userId": "iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 120.70331103292067, "textFts": "'2050':6 'begin':4 'war':3", "contractId": "aMvtKlvaxmLIy3pBa5Zr", "createdTime":...

0.3333333333333333

1645481677749

0

[{"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1713557671024}, {"name": "ww3", "slug": "ww3-0de6f68758b8", "groupId": "29708c7c-1502-4abd-8450-7fe46c2babf2", "createdTime": 1713557671037}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3...

["united-states", "ww3-0de6f68758b8", "wars", "china"]

0.25

1713759591437

1713648586964

True

0

Ocnuz8Kx8OsPDTDQjvM9

if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-b51243da1d06

0

If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Joffrey Baratheon?

1713670873500

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

none

0

1

True

public

1713557915755

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713670920888

strutheo

1713670874526

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

27

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713557915975}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713557915979}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-pr...

["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "future-us-presidents", "polls", "us-politics"]

0.25

1713575797376

["1076bb235265"]

0

efhLFKi5YQ13DnVv7ZH5

if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-03df6b4a6f0b

0

If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Ayn Rand?

1713624375363

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

none

0

1

True

public

1713557954954

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713624420452

strutheo

1713624377392

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

20

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713557955216}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713557955246}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 17135...

["donald-trump", "us-politics", "polls", "future-us-presidents", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

0.25

["6c7fde7a8215"]

0

NXdFlLakP7lC2YuvE8wS

if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-977746f5d04b

0

If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Ron Desantis?

1713624400544

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

none

0

1

True

public

1713557986306

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713624420453

strutheo

1713624401918

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

36

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713557986862}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1713557986872}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", ...

["us-politics", "polls", "future-us-presidents", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump"]

0.25

1713564267445

["c22d2b889fc6"]

0

CLKZNocAw8lo111eRziz

the-safety-of-ai-cars-needs-to-be-x

95.65827623691676

The safety of AI cars needs to be X times better than human before the public sentiment inverts

1716188340000

dauqpzeyV3YzOOiI56ljlYc55Op2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

CHOOSE_MULTIPLE

public

1713560303642

Mikko Kiiskila

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "-safety defined as # of accidents per million miles.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "-current public sentiment defined simply as: respondent trusts either a human or a self-driving system more", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.607576498596099, "platformFee": 3.607576498596099, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717558702540

370

MikkoKiiskila

1716188340000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJY6qHeR5pIze2FAatEnDm8vApMZhjH07o8ZoKo-3d7=s96-c

7

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "24cf96f892a9", "prob": 0.3, "text": "3-5 X safer than the average driver", "index": 0, "poolNo": 42.32116183121769, "userId": "dauqpzeyV3YzOOiI56ljlYc55Op2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 98.74937760617459, "textFts": "'-5':2 '3':1 'averag':7 'driver':8 'safer':4 'x':3", "contractId": "CLKZNocAw8lo111eRziz", "r...

4

0.3333333333333333

1705370034961

0

[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713560303992}, {"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1713560303994}, {"name": "Traffic Safety", "slug": "traffic-safety", "groupId": "bf404f4f-cdec-4a13-8454-...

["ai", "selfdriving-vehicles", "traffic-safety"]

0.25

1713802921116

1713628396453

{"24cf96f892a9": 38.60578085069081, "2ab678d70bfe": 33.02669376451166, "4428ceb9fecb": 28.36752538479753}

dauqpzeyV3YzOOiI56ljlYc55Op2

True

0

YVWN3gGlv9Bf4EY3Fjua

who-will-win-the-world-snooker-cham

9995.142347207091

Who will win the World Snooker Championships 2024? 🎱🏆

1715029920556

gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

c26535763baa

public

1713561637727

DAC

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Saturday, April 20 - Monday, May 6, 2024 ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "World Snooker Championships", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"hr...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 7.394872501081779, "platformFee": 7.394872501081779, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715029920556

280

DaAdCh

1715030142027

0

https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af

8

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "e2b78fb524aa", "prob": 8.239174236657632e-05, "text": "Luca Brecel (seed #1)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2654363368551458, "userId": "gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3221.372184508323, "textFts": "'1':4 'brecel':2 'luca':1 'seed':3", "contractId": "YVWN3gGlv9Bf4EY3Fjua", "resolverId":...

0.3333333333333333

1704630344002

0

[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713561637974}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1713561637980}]

["sports-default", "sports-betting"]

0.25

1714988762263

1715030140396

{"c26535763baa": 100}

gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1

True

0

0.4699935547585083

L32w7NBvRPq5n2zHNMSZ

{"NO": 101.86942026010976, "YES": 198.4019070407343}

0.3128619469843174

will-romania-stop-the-small-modular

60

Will Romania stop the Small Modular Reactors (SMR) project with NuScale this year?

1735682340000

Dy1KeRQcZbQgI7oeMHJbsrBpOii2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713562229797

sortwie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Government of Romania on April 17 deferred a decision in the shareholders meeting at Nuclearelectrica on the continuation of the small modular reactors (SMR) project developed in Doicesti, saying that it supports the project but needs “a calibr...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.7990464796328712, "platformFee": 0.7990464796328712, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

140

sortwie

1715168934346

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjUOTnGv06_d41TEAmkKaLChX2qkmdzsAyrh-Rupw=s96-c

3

0

0.3333333333333333

1645585703409

0

[{"name": "Romania", "slug": "romania", "groupId": "3028500d-2509-4773-bd7f-9ca7d1185da5", "createdTime": 1713562230061}, {"name": "☢️ Nuclear", "slug": "nuclear", "groupId": "27a193db-f997-4533-86a6-386d9a915045", "createdTime": 1713562230065}]

["romania", "nuclear"]

0.25

0.5

1715168931031

0

0.5041211532029071

UlU0TvlQ4qb9DcK82aJQ

{"NO": 15.641846845882242, "YES": 1574.2821178782804}

0

does-manifold-approve-the-restricti

1459.7396728189344

Does Manifold approve the restrictions on the probability range on some markets ?

1715541913064

WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713562373712

Mich

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FdI2DAH78wH.jpeg?alt=media&token=fc8f0d6e-96f0-4987-8cd4-d516748b9c76", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be resolv...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.228709498750249, "platformFee": 4.228709498750249, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715541913064

160

Mich

1715541913064

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c

7

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1702591853953

0

[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713562373883}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713562373896}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "grou...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-users"]

0.25

0.5

1715541826400

1715541899232

0.01

WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1

0

0.5216560652723556

jsfpa2pfLysEYg4X5HqC

{"NO": 1139.9102427024368, "YES": 869.8799177007093}

0.5883208350484819

will-gpt5-like-to-delve

4898.302606604214

Will GPT-5 like to delve?

1735772340000

y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2

cpmm-1

0

9.582654600139227

False

basic

public

1713563414380

Bair

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We all know ChatGPT likes to delve. Will the same be true for GPT-5?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "For example, in response to the query \"Write an introduction for the article about the impact of global...

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.11676942110949073}

0

{"creatorFee": 111.93982439628257, "platformFee": 16.772270161095683, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Bair

1718959997760

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c

69

0

0.3333333333333333

1677527540699

0

[{"name": "GPT-4", "slug": "gpt4", "groupId": "eBnKor4XWTFwJQA6TOpd", "createdTime": 1713563414765}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713563414767}, {"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1713563414761}, {"name": "GPT-5 ...

["gpt4", "ai", "chatgpt", "gpt5-speculation"]

0.25

0.5

1718959994721

1717315482931

0

0.7145945593630144

zr3W3TyYSvbrVJSD3uDJ

{"NO": 1202.5416018200688, "YES": 890.5181072359285}

1

will-i-be-able-to-walk-all-the-way

714.3740905609773

Will I be able to walk all the way to the hospital once I go into labor?

1717118394979

WDUyJEY0qacJDeSpcBvqFyIFqx12

cpmm-1

0

9.630166297050948

True

basic

YES

public

1713563769624

Mary

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 9.255105393935265, "platformFee": 9.255105393935265, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717118394979

1000

Mary

1717122774068

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK5ChSvhFXQ1l88xnGjuuJ3qtm0Klo8WwtKKT7pdAkRJhMKPTsy=s96-c

20

0

0.3333333333333333

1713563596239

0

[{"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1713563769755}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1713563769779}]

["health", "twitter"]

0.25

0.5

1714223219072

1717122772799

0.77

WDUyJEY0qacJDeSpcBvqFyIFqx12

0

0.5082957998525984

h0Fc36ixrmAj832wvGaZ

{"NO": 160.52259275441176, "YES": 122.56461362266288}

0.5751714741259629

will-i-be-accepted-to-a-single-subj

41.401506051331474

Will I be accepted to a single (subjective) camp before college?

1748836740000

3oukOT538uNC2icQRCn9fkuWVKG2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713563869603

Pseudonymous Bosch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I am accepted to a single camp in which applications are not objective (i.e. MOP does not count, since acceptance criteria are objective). Resolves N/A if I don't end up applying to any camps after today (camps I have already applie...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.6713690141040102, "platformFee": 0.6713690141040102, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

140

PseudonymousBosche24f

1714668558683

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3CX9YCbowSku9aiQ7U_aAzcGuk026jr6hZNTRmkhp8w=s96-c

4

0

0.3333333333333333

1706744508044

0

[{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1713563869916}]

["competition-math"]

0.25

0.5

1714668555424

0

xtyvpCoXUMsWhwGaT6g8

which-startup-does-bayeslord-wish-t

99

Which startup does @bayeslord wish they could short in this tweet?

1722311940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713564304972

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved when they confirm publicly, will extend deadline until needed", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/bayeslord/status/1781429063908807127", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 3.44135209408329, "platformFee": 3.44135209408329, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

300

strutheo

1719032385628

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

6

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "f7832e7c00fa", "prob": 0.0739797093469348, "text": "Manifold", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.936118180865048, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 136.88979621383868, "textFts": "'manifold':1", "contractId": "xtyvpCoXUMsWhwGaT6g8", "createdTime": 1713564304972, "probChanges": {"day...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

0.25

1715160590678

1713564460446

True

prob-desc

0

0.3996155049786028

ENie9aCDA0vaKIBjDVAU

{"NO": 971.1688194036144, "YES": 1292.7965788781366}

0.3333371168788244

will-mark-zuckerberg-grow-a-full-be

2106.611849221595

Will Mark Zuckerberg actually grow a beard by the end of 2024?

1735707540000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

9.589248160623388

False

basic

public

1713564688105

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Today photoshops of him with a beard went viral ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FCCjwRgcdlK.png?alt=media&token=9...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.032773218554314865}

0

{"creatorFee": 31.9862873396525, "platformFee": 20.351945837394087, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1095

strutheo

1718930498351

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

64

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Mark Zuckerberg", "slug": "mark-zuckerberg", "groupId": "TgiBcwgdBUStQtFlpg4w", "createdTime": 1713564688279}, {"name": "Facebook", "slug": "facebook", "groupId": "Kq7iOZO8csRORkztpNCg", "createdTime": 1713564688282}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-959806...

["mark-zuckerberg", "facebook", "billionaires", "meta-facebook", "internet"]

0.25

0.5

1718930495213

1717304229402

0

0.2813837270443301

lSa8QTVEtHWGdP55G458

{"NO": 904.1240581455921, "YES": 1178.5413641832956}

0.2309997897325745

will-boom-aero-have-their-first-com

414.9896246846458

Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?

1925009940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

9.622220692804849

False

basic

public

1713564838313

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://boomsupersonic.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://boomsupersonic.com/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-pr...

BINARY

{"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.291896168615053, "platformFee": 5.291896168615053, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

strutheo

1714100176027

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

14

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Transportation", "slug": "transportation", "groupId": "QotIAd5n791SZlowpZyI", "createdTime": 1713564838478}, {"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1713564838496}, {"name": "Aerospace", "slug": "aerospace", "groupId": "2379d4e3-a569-487a-804...

["transportation", "startups", "aerospace", "aviation", "technology-default"]

0.25

0.5

1714100172863

0

dmmAHjzEUK24ew02KaS0

what-will-be-the-new-name-for-unpar

228

What will be the new name that I choose for Unparalleled Misalignments?

1735707540000

FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713565140058

Ricki Heicklen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unparalleled misalignments", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://rickiheicklen.com/unparalleled-misalignments.html", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:u...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 4.197834386245671, "platformFee": 3.1027994437423514, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

355

RickiHeicklen

1718006394458

0

https://firebasestorage.…ffa-a8e1a1b09581

11

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "674275f72deb", "prob": 0.07389830187505754, "text": "Unparalleled Misalignments (i.e. no name change)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 17.107108101361835, "userId": "FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 214.38817213234944, "textFts": "'chang':6 'i.e':3 'misalign':2 'name':5 'unparallel':1", "cont...

0.3333333333333333

1657237863822

0

[{"name": "Word Games", "slug": "word-games", "groupId": "8ZBnMxbLcypAOH3mWIqF", "createdTime": 1713566031803}, {"name": "Pun Title", "slug": "pun-title", "groupId": "CumRSQVdXMDu6qr8iWcQ", "createdTime": 1713566042373}]

["word-games", "pun-title"]

0.25

1718006391319

1713568380289

True

0

0.5602705512175605

1ah4KPbVHBNpBvL4wkuQ

{"NO": 430.5278219234411, "YES": 107.80577664940981}

0.8357501348903544

will-zoro-fight-a-gorosei

254.5348007847211

will Zoro fight a gorosei

1719806340000

C1M5b2Xb8JcKcsRYwUzConN37lm2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713565434211

YXNG BIJU

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "will zoro fight a gorosei", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.0028487222593132078}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.6170556365428457, "platformFee": 2.320321655295031, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

200

YXNGBIJU

1718296189931

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK_pVoWojqyGweprGxP4PkzP3JLfsFlg-jeOKAWezOW-kqNNNo=s96-c

7

0

0.3333333333333333

1713565026908

0

[{"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713565434747}]

["one-piece-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1718296186547

1713873641675

0

0.19408124879740407

nMv5WyihlTP9vYXwQmE7

{"NO": 878.5182025860333, "YES": 1513.4191544092453}

0.12264731994156138

will-tom-brady-play-in-an-nfl-game

1147

Will Tom Brady play in an NFL game again before the end of 2025?

1767243540000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

9.77622223324404

False

basic

public

1713565497925

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"I'm not opposed to it,\" Brady said on April 11 edition of the \"Deep Cuts\" podcast. \"I don't know if they're gonna let me, if I become an owner of an NFL team, but I don't know if -- I don't know, I'm always ...

BINARY

{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.054605794855769926}

0

{"creatorFee": 12.856200114888788, "platformFee": 6.557280727007574, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

strutheo

1718881196152

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

18

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713565574448}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713565577062}, {"name": "Athletics", "slug": "athletics", "groupId": "NGvSDFGfvMUpsDoIl6hD", "createdTime":...

["football", "sports-default", "athletics", "nfl", "celebrities"]

0.25

0.5

1718881193096

1714961775145

0

0.6167648283579708

cU5unegxVuz3iwVtPxmx

{"NO": 46.39583742151483, "YES": 458.67352525958717}

0

will-zoro-clash-with-saturn

1398.6589429505914

Will Zoro clash with saturn

1713892475501

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

cpmm-1

0

8.035521168059432

True

play

NO

public

1713566051097

goldtoolie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "will zoro clash with saturn before the message starts", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.9260450349314441}

0

{"creatorFee": 13.759978187390498, "platformFee": 13.759978187390498, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713892475501

240

holdtoolies

1713892643714

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ9nqtKXF_U7PrUTNawdqxlzuCHRXDn8BZGOXYE4bvuM7f3Rn4=s96-c

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1713563580761

0

[{"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713566051228}]

["one-piece-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1713887137330

1713892642859

0.14

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

0

0.21007483317450204

4WDW9D7vuahiNIXdWvgB

{"NO": 162.30759164795032, "YES": 2238.0284164160726}

0

will-hannah-fox-get-2-problems-on-e

3166.051192024114

Will Hannah Fox get 2 problems on each day of IMO 2024?

1713842515774

GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2

cpmm-1

0

9.642899791180628

True

play

NO

public

1713566264423

Nathan Wei

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if and only if Hannah Fox scores exactly 5 or more points on exactly two problems of each day of IMO 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.09281755060056089}

0

{"creatorFee": 10.558187873493157, "platformFee": 10.558187873493157, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713842515774

320

nathanwei

1713842515774

0

https://firebasestorage.…47c-77836969b89a

14

0

0.3333333333333333

1642043884181

0

[{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1713566264576}, {"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1713566264583}]

["competition-math", "mathematics"]

0.25

0.5

1713838168129

1713830097400

0.02

GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2

0

0.46824877822844313

VvkQuayhEMNXUEYHUBf4

{"NO": 226.4551508367164, "YES": 298.17271477617606}

0

will-someone-in-our-friend-group-ge

614.8627694921008

will someone in our friend group get a case at jevans

1713641400000

FfVTx7T0nwQFTi5FMvqve4dIyZ72

cpmm-1

0

6.335111713481819

True

play

NO

public

1713566344421

Joseph Johnson

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Friend group has been described as members of the gc 'lake'", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A case has been described as any proven, accused or witnessed unwanted touching or worse.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.40075938497121033}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.581161349792692, "platformFee": 8.581161349792692, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713685862403

260

JosephJohnson

1713641400000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIz-RyzEYnd8EA1N3RwWelKIWp8DEEqsaiSSBIGkBmn8qYWyQ=s96-c

10

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1713274612541

0

[{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713566344587}]

["culture-default"]

0.25

0.5

1713622209224

1713608311925

0.4

FfVTx7T0nwQFTi5FMvqve4dIyZ72

0

cVbtO9c2wByCSMBI66su

who-is-responsible-for-the-large-ex

1738.6481546637146

Who is responsible for the large explosions on 4/19 at the Kalso military base near Baghdad, used by the Iraqi PMF?

1747724340000

xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1713567320646

themightysalmon

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/huge-blast-military-base-used-by-iraqi-popular-mobilization-forces-army-sources-2024-04-19/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/huge-bla...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 8.239512145056054, "platformFee": 8.239512145056054, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

themightysalmon

1716238859470

0

https://firebasestorage.…270-0cf2a6f9e513

13

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "02d4c3f097b2", "prob": 0.6925958338137597, "text": "Israel", "index": 0, "poolNo": 459.25478978421427, "userId": "xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 203.8372580777265, "textFts": "'israel':1", "contractId": "cVbtO9c2wByCSMBI66su", "createdTime": 1713567320646, "probChanges": {"day": -7...

1

0.3333333333333333

1707978226998

0

[{"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1713567320900}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1713567320902}, {"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypX...

["arabisraeli-conflict", "world-default", "geopolitics", "middle-east"]

0.25

1716238856060

1716188932653

True

0

0.4085176288603263

Fup7Rf0MRNsiRk2CaGNR

{"NO": 43.82440397066799, "YES": 1317.2201328268775}

0

will-helldivers-2-drop-to-15-of-its

1587.509617894104

will helldivers 2 drop to 15% of its active playerbase by may 31?

1717217940000

JxsA1M9PKGRpQENQNfGoAmvsoB12

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713567592717

raizel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "helldivers 2's 24-hour peak right now is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "188,134", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "steamdb.info", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.022462600718861893}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.230452102751555, "platformFee": 5.898379756977848, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717219258501

180

raizel

1717217940000

0

https://firebasestorage.…d8e-51c15b5c740b

11

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1713315203052

0

[{"name": "Helldivers 2", "slug": "helldivers-2", "groupId": "99ac61be-5ba4-4e7b-8c4c-0bd6a159d50f", "createdTime": 1713567592852}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713567592854}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "...

["helldivers-2", "entertainment", "gaming"]

0.25

0.5

1717165480927

0.02

JxsA1M9PKGRpQENQNfGoAmvsoB12

0

0.6511087802769436

nb5S9DjKzSnde1zWuVeR

{"NO": 615.9007922865527, "YES": 65.98949873911245}

1

will-sanji-clash-with-nasjuro

796.9596900032722

Will sanji clash with Nasjuro

1713892365492

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

cpmm-1

0

9.382347832887675

True

play

YES

public

1713567827785

goldtoolie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will sanji clash with nasjuro to protect the crew before next month?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.45067344250286345}

0

{"creatorFee": 5.240667783947389, "platformFee": 5.240667783947389, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713892365492

180

holdtoolies

1713892486410

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ9nqtKXF_U7PrUTNawdqxlzuCHRXDn8BZGOXYE4bvuM7f3Rn4=s96-c

7

0

0.3333333333333333

1713563580761

0

[{"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713567827945}]

["one-piece-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1713889430168

1713892485226

0.95

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

0

LJzMjzxI3hgPe4tAwGJP

which-political-party-would-you-vot

0

Which political party would you vote for?

1730872740000

eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2

none

0

1000000

False

public

1713568166329

Plasma Ballin'

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

POLL

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

PlasmaBallin

1717268727598

0

https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5

64

0

0.3333333333333333

1668786016313

0

[{"name": "My Little Pony", "slug": "my-little-pony", "groupId": "560fe756-5614-417a-8792-4d01457ded27", "createdTime": 1713568166485}, {"name": "Brony", "slug": "brony", "groupId": "a8abd04a-b678-4592-8eca-7f3d8bcd6fb7", "createdTime": 1713568166492}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UC...

["my-little-pony", "brony", "politics-default", "furry", "hiphoprap"]

0.25

1717268726326

0

FzJqoQ8NYh6pk3ZZjmBw

how-many-views-will-taylor-swifts-f

9575.385672963053

How many views will Taylor Swift's "Fortnight (feat. Post Malone)" music video have after 1 month?

1716141284492

Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

MKT

public

1713568729382

Ziddletwix

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At 8PM EST (April 19th), Taylor Swift will release the music video for ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "\"Fortnight (feat. Post Malone)\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fortnight_(song)", ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 38.85113737538409, "platformFee": 38.85113737538409, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716141284492

1200

Ziddletwix

1716141284492

0

https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96

20

0

ONLY_CREATOR

[{"id": "3ff96262de0b", "prob": 0.99, "text": ">10 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 379.94552918956293, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.8378336281774006, "textFts": "'10':1 'million':2", "contractId": "FzJqoQ8NYh6pk3ZZjmBw", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6...

0.3333333333333333

1680369520541

0

[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713568729654}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1713568729658}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9q...

["entertainment", "culture-default", "youtube", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "taylor-swift"]

0.25

1716141218748

1716141259333

0.01

Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1

False

old

0

wPMJjTXQFPVSsSgnZiDw

lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-67

0

[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 67)

1713663565432

v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

MKT

public

1713569193162

komplexkonjugat

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713663565432

125

komplexkonjugat

1713664135093

0

https://firebasestorage.…51b-bd51663a85a0

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "a541f47cdb52", "prob": 0.5, "text": "NOP", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'nop':1", "contractId": "wPMJjTXQFPVSsSgnZiDw", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "createdTime": 1713663558605, "probChang...

1

0.3333333333333333

1698548141721

0

[{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1713569193320}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713569193325}]

["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"]

0.25

1713664134484

0.5

v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2

False

0

0.49313423786719623

erm3kksdGycQOU5u10rv

{"NO": 131.34501512036726, "YES": 149.35535851933642}

0

-strawberry-pizza

33.34296268226044

🍓 🍕 Strawberry pizza

1714201140000

pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1713569306751

Cedar

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.5586471793570084, "platformFee": 0.5586471793570084, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714445650930

140

Cedar

1714201140000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjd4nhRUmowGsjcrgg2v3gA6RC7KFm4CywwJFsTuQ=s96-c

4

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1644684823181

0

[{"name": "Food Sins", "slug": "food-sins", "groupId": "fxpqVeFg7DMY4ix937XC", "createdTime": 1713569306942}]

["food-sins"]

0.25

0.5

1714193742641

1713667994185

0.46

pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1

0

0.5360094164489935

BMGT3g5Rl9PtXg2UDpkK

{"NO": 1030.1989633917183, "YES": 971.6685189049755}

0.5505219940430304

will-lego-sell-digital-virtual-real

201.1438892971762

Will Lego sell Virtual Reality construction sets by the end of 2030?

1925009940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

9.62614133404798

False

basic

public

1713569907448

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Would have to be a software item that can be purchased on a digital store, even if there is a real life version that can also be bought. It does not have to sell for the same price as the real-life equivalent. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 3.3379372596118153, "platformFee": 3.3379372596118153, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

strutheo

1715720713945

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

17

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Toys", "slug": "toys", "groupId": "3e57b3ce-7255-4534-9066-88fec2da8a02", "createdTime": 1713569907657}, {"name": "Lego", "slug": "lego", "groupId": "a5cdad41-60a8-443f-a4e5-c3d185f62799", "createdTime": 1713569907661}, {"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF",...

["toys", "lego", "virtual-reality", "metaverse", "culture-default"]

0.25

0.5

1715459482632

1715720712434

0

0.6128774823578905

iBOhVfcI8KDdD7LMzawT

{"NO": 1654.3602941424838, "YES": 70.40943387735751}

1

will-nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-close-highe-04ed2141e75a

2297.5262836827956

Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close higher Apr 22 than Apr 19?

1713814200000

X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1

cpmm-1

0

7.696661206540942

True

play

YES

public

1713570235405

Keenen W

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NVIDIA Corp - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Nasdaq Historical Data", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.026179094219363375}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.411015407401004, "platformFee": 7.411015407401004, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713824621555

260

KeenenW

1713814200000

0

https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb

10

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1697247005528

0

[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713570235649}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1713570235654}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 17...

["stocks", "nvidia", "finance", "tech-stocks", "ai-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1713813399297

0.97

X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1

0

0.7715939442807486

2yR48ju2uXKmz1km2kvs

{"NO": 1647.445698928902, "YES": 181.3951808793932}

1

will-nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-close-highe-35eb6bf11a7d

1788.737004278645

Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close higher than $762.00 on April 26?

1714158000000

X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1

cpmm-1

0

8.657819927735407

True

play

YES

public

1713570948408

Keenen W

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NVIDIA Corp - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Daily Dashboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/news/daily-markets-sports", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline h...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.18225055377725963}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.999233817036817, "platformFee": 6.999233817036817, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714169559297

360

KeenenW

1714158000000

0

https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb

21

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1697247005528

0

[{"name": "GPU", "slug": "gpu", "groupId": "0e284bb8-81b7-48fc-8b3b-c459de7d87a8", "createdTime": 1713570948584}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "createdTime": 1713570948592}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "crea...

["gpu", "tech-stocks", "nvidia", "stocks", "ai-stocks"]

0.25

0.5

1714156498400

0.97

X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1

0

0.6223686778208907

AP9N3Uh319pENBLPbDxb

{"NO": 8.255422566586503, "YES": 877.4787691419705}

0

will-yuji-get-double-digit-black-fl

974

will yuji get double digit black flashes next chapter?

1714150583536

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

cpmm-1

0

8.796789568754825

True

play

NO

public

1713571328047

goldtoolie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.8346263063949607}

0

{"creatorFee": 9.598541131043007, "platformFee": 9.598541131043007, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1714150583536

160

holdtoolies

1714150583536

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ9nqtKXF_U7PrUTNawdqxlzuCHRXDn8BZGOXYE4bvuM7f3Rn4=s96-c

5

0

0.3333333333333333

1713563580761

0

[{"name": "Jujustu Kaisen", "slug": "jujustu-kaisen", "groupId": "dcaa9625-b4d9-4872-8ed8-adc66032be43", "createdTime": 1713571328209}]

["jujustu-kaisen"]

0.25

0.5

1714150578488

1713892842145

0.85

6uaDxcsoPUUuo1W54VEq9NDl0vZ2

0

5XslcKueB6GdIl5GWdmh

before-which-times-will-the-fifth-b

140.55720584099143

When will the fifth bitcoin halving occur?

1850965140000

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1713572709767

Bolton Bailey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All answers naming a time before the fifth bitcoin halving resolve YES. Please provide any answer in the given format in UTC.", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 1.5623091454110904, "platformFee": 1.5623091454110904, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

165

BoltonBailey

1716072473580

0

https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "82ded7deef44", "prob": 0.6250404508790228, "text": "After 2028-02-19 00:00:00 UTC", "index": 0, "poolNo": 43.03686208607021, "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25.81766089007559, "textFts": "'-02':3 '-19':4 '00':5,6,7 '2028':2 'utc':8", "contractId": "5XslcKueB6GdIl5GWdmh", ...

0.3333333333333333

1644820557359

0

[{"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1713572710006}]

["bitcoin"]

0.25

1716072470075

1713653825147

False

alphabetical

0

c3Tq56iSujAL7iW6FuvG

fa-cup-semi-final-2024-manchester-c

1773.9422021481676

FA Cup Semi Final 2024 - Manchester City vs Chelsea FC - match outcome

1713636938520

hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2

cpmm-multi-1

0

1

True

play

08e7a173bb30

public

1713573347736

Elliot

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 13.239864561522513, "platformFee": 13.239864561522513, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1713636938520

400

Elliot04624

1713636938520

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocITWArpK3sXS6d44npeePKoMgwjVLZOskwPr3Scv7NeB738RQ=s96-c

13

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "08e7a173bb30", "prob": 0.9675267215812915, "text": "Manchester City win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 897.4486796623, "userId": "hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 30.121236128285624, "textFts": "'citi':2 'manchest':1 'win':3", "contractId": "c3Tq56iSujAL7iW6FuvG", "resolverId": "hhHmuBsRMnQ...

1

0.3333333333333333

1713507196976

0

[{"name": "ChelseaFC", "slug": "chelseafc", "groupId": "1504af5b-a17e-40bb-8aa0-77a7ed1c5cc0", "createdTime": 1713573347951}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713573347961}, {"name": "Manchester City", "slug": "manchester-city", "groupId": "02108b1d-9c6a-4446-9d0...

["chelseafc", "soccer", "manchester-city", "uk"]

0.25

1713636880459

{"08e7a173bb30": 100}

hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2

True

0

jPi05pm5xoQDClQ1PXfK

say-something-nice-about-somebody-a

0

Say something nice about somebody (Auto-Bounty)

JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2

none

0

1000000

False

public

1713573411037

Joshua

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tag any user on the site, say something you believe about them that is nice.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The bounty is awarded automatically to comments that get liked by other users. I'll...

BOUNTIED_QUESTION

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

Joshua

1716068700472

0

https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f

0

0.9884512235210222

["xpvjFc6a3zSWoFFUn17Z", "yUKwYHr8XdRaF7cdkZHu", "yXo1hIkAbrNTbZ3aybCM", "M1OoxGq8jocuTOPhsNai", "prOEzlnlW8xRbpJoSHRE", "20AdNcwsd6cB6dPHUlco", "XaDNTHizNnsgOqg80IdW", "1p23x50dEhMV6nMRlTl9", "kJHIdeUSoHc9P39LTtMe", "6kemlhzl7sO4JMqcC5ft", "zHvncIlpe3QLs07qBP5p", "WQocFjDTMn90fYJVYQwm", "6KziTkMFZ3oVNwTLyAN8", "gxvgvb...

0.3333333333333333

1645516283433

0

[{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1713573411187}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713573411195}, {"name": "Manifold Bounties", "slug": "manifold-bounties", "groupId": "977G2X...

["manifold-users", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-bounties"]

0.25

1716068698156

6350

0

0.3646913761167587

E32wptHCA6SoNHBEhXV7

{"NO": 982.0038966078681, "YES": 1018.493959237571}

0.35628055742011416

the-next-american-mission-that-land

159.60488978812626

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

1893513540000

2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83

cpmm-1

0

9.597178548841958

False

basic

public

1713575141821

Josh Wilkes

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a declarative statement. You can bet NO or YES to disagree or agree.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "SLS costs US$2billion per launch. There are, ahem, 'cheaper' options.", "type": "te...

BINARY

{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.3487678432005925, "platformFee": 2.3487678432005925, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

JoshuaWilkes

1715278860953

0

https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8

14

0

0.3333333333333333

1662006482315

0

[{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713575141975}, {"name": "Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing", "slug": "artemis-3", "groupId": "JFSueHSoflV6QCBPjC3l", "createdTime": 1713575141977}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX4...

["space", "artemis-3", "space-exploration", "moon-race", "spacex"]

0.25

0.5

1715278857655

0

0.8483964528078497

WxTO9OqYgAgnz1gBMQpu

{"NO": 1321.03942427885, "YES": 908.2519285681467}

0.8905850941439662

6-months-after-the-great-manifold-p

402.2492568039213

6 months after the Great Manifold Pivot, will Manifold leadership consider it to have been a good idea?

1731905940000

Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2

cpmm-1

0

9.920108029896992

False

basic

public

1713575250125

Lorxus PhD 🦊

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The resolve date is a placeholder. The market will resolve based on the majority of the answers I get when I ask any of those among {James, Stephen, Ian, other current Manifold leadership/major staff} who are still working at Manifold 6 months post...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.871955464149222, "platformFee": 4.871955464149222, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Lorxus

1715952399889

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c

10

0

0.3333333333333333

1678631188381

0

[{"name": "Official Fox News Foretelling-Market", "slug": "official-fox-news-foretellingmarket", "groupId": "7zFajjrbWkZERNAZXq8j", "createdTime": 1713575250356}, {"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713575250354}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": ...

["official-fox-news-foretellingmarket", "pivot-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.25

0.5

1715922611918

1715952374148

0

ilWUrqKBnUOEZqdkb6YL

acquire-this-bounty

0

Acquire this bounty

eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2

none

0

1000000

False

public

1713575663460

Plasma Ballin'

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "100 mana to whoever can acquire this bounty", "type": "text"}]}]}

BOUNTIED_QUESTION

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

PlasmaBallin

1713990643748

0

https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5

0

200

[]

0.3333333333333333

1668786016313

0

[{"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnTTgom", "createdTime": 1713575663705}, {"name": "Bounty markets", "slug": "bounty-markets", "groupId": "yogJV7GSfqfUB8rOsXhF", "createdTime": 1713575663701}]

["mana", "bounty-markets"]

0.25

1713990642101

200

0

0.49285784308785224

xhDumz7QfnK0eihBVLeT

{"NO": 2074.6689252770943, "YES": 26.349162758455122}

1

will-spice-take-over-any-of-manas-m

1936.2813524401024

Will Spice take over any of Mana's major important functions?

1716246276149

Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

YES

public

1713575687164

Lorxus PhD 🦊

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The resolve date is a placeholder.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves NO if Mana still possesses all of its major functions post-Great Pivot - namely:", "type": "text"}]}, {"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.77181204406881, "platformFee": 8.77181204406881, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1716246276149

1000

Lorxus

1716246276149

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c

13

0

0.3333333333333333

1678631188381

0

[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713575687427}, {"name": "Official Fox News Foretelling-Market", "slug": "official-fox-news-foretellingmarket", "groupId": "7zFajjrbWkZERNAZXq8j", "createdTime": 1713575687438}, {"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slu...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "official-fox-news-foretellingmarket", "pivot-predictions"]

0.25

0.5

1716244987382

1716246146771

0.99

Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2

0