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kg9YaPIbuylSKbjBFBAL | which-team-will-win-lmt-spring-2024 | 2085.660172798324 | Which team will win LMT spring 2024 | 1714827600000 | i1EcZlZuQVTm4u6nNcBtjxNWDIw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | edceb149046b | public | 1714349158255 | Snorlax Gengar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LMT spring 2024 which team will win", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.43927773488576, "platformFee": 14.43927773488576, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715114497900 | 320 | SnorlaxGengar | 1715118548358 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJzgV2XgSd3kQxVfmWsIb3ImhRXFSmBFCENsuIakGgK=s96-c | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "23c0ae48ce9e", "prob": 0.6380129171654302, "text": "we only came for the pizza", "index": 0, "poolNo": 112.19302579976092, "userId": "i1EcZlZuQVTm4u6nNcBtjxNWDIw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 63.65455154743946, "textFts": "'came':3 'pizza':6", "contractId": "kg9YaPIbuylSKbjBFBAL", "resolverId": "i1EcZlZuQVTm... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711248312354 | 0 | 0.25 | 1714822497637 | 1715118546603 | {"edceb149046b": 100} | i1EcZlZuQVTm4u6nNcBtjxNWDIw1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
kFIClVrFFpKsbjiQN4e1 | how-many-marijuana-thefts-in-oregon-b64824e6f14a | 0 | How many marijuana thefts in Oregon will be reported in November? | 1733039940000 | bYO9yYhDGQg5G6z5a6RZ3fmkt8B3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714349275647 | Lukas Day | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Oregon Liquor and Cannabis Commission provides a dashboard about documented theft activity at OLCC Recreational Mari... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | LukasDay | 1714349998359 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e4bcc7c5cc96", "prob": 0.04, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.0833333333333335, "userId": "bYO9yYhDGQg5G6z5a6RZ3fmkt8B3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "kFIClVrFFpKsbjiQN4e1", "createdTime": 1714349275647, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "subs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1652812495711 | 0 | [{"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1714349275908}, {"name": "Oregon", "slug": "oregon-3ad789ce7df0", "groupId": "f01139d9-32a0-42a5-8bfd-d5748a2b986c", "createdTime": 1714349275916}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO... | ["crime", "oregon-3ad789ce7df0", "economics-default", "law-order", "marijuana"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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GevjlGn3JOCBQz6UnHAV | asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-ae560e0ca511 | 2709.1787286106405 | Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On April 30 Compared To Its Close On April 29? | 1714481653365 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714384973173 | Grey Box | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.091854812136305, "platformFee": 16.091854812136305, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714481653365 | 420 | GreyBox | 1714481653365 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "cab4903d9b59", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.833749628354212, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 874.5412132070682, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "GevjlGn3JOCBQz6UnHAV", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692725309128 | 0 | [{"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1714384973590}, {"name": "Nifty", "slug": "nifty", "groupId": "51e933dd-5102-4766-ad56-c8b5634a0028", "createdTime": 1714384973592}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFi... | ["stock-marketdaily", "nifty", "stocks", "india", "asia"] | 0.25 | 1714471867835 | 0.01 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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bmiW85K1qqp9a5H5yMSA | will-the-pittsburgh-pirates-have-a-2eec8bbc73b4 | 50 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates have a winning record in | 1727841540000 | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714390365915 | James Dillard | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Winning record means they won more games than they lost that month (not record to date)", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7117838788024161, "platformFee": 0.7117838788024161, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 225 | jdilla | 1714402830698 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "445ed908663f", "prob": 0.3415018549518627, "text": "May", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.375739486725774, "userId": "UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 54.715286448479034, "textFts": "'may':1", "contractId": "bmiW85K1qqp9a5H5yMSA", "createdTime": 1714390365915, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640809152248 | 0 | [{"name": "Pittsburgh Pirates", "slug": "pittsburgh-pirates", "groupId": "13fa0fb3-515e-4c00-a06c-aaacbbba0c69", "createdTime": 1714390366211}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714390366207}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQ... | ["pittsburgh-pirates", "sports-default", "baseball"] | 0.25 | 1714402827148 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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tAGufxhz95vuDloCgzR7 | have-you-ever-watched-a-video-on-x | 0 | Have you ever watched a video on X / Twitter with sound for longer than five minutes? | 1715032740000 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714405593721 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "just for my interest, thanks :)", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715032740917 | Lion | 1714683238505 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 35 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714405593856}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1714405593868}] | ["twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.25 | 1714683237102 | ["457d3bf5bd38"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.09259732986124189 | bXSQh7WPkkXLfH51g1E5 | {"NO": 898.459461891193, "YES": 1586.3235585939644} | 0.054639007485338675 | will-garry-kasparov-be-taken-into-c | 629 | Will Garry Kasparov be taken into custody by the Russian government before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.334359160052117 | False | basic | public | 1714406582743 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If he is arrested or turns himself in this resolves YES", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FBwEWfp2xP7.png?alt=media&... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.977027766661945, "platformFee": 2.977027766661945, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1716170071809 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Jokes", "slug": "jokes", "groupId": "2zIDGOz7Q1vYxKsRNKlY", "createdTime": 1714406583239}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1714406606166}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1714406608184}, {"name... | ["chess", "russia", "law-order", "ukrainerussia-war", "celebrities"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716170068568 | 1714406595788 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5512847861654779 | JdaTGCxbwp7vE9iz3b1P | {"NO": 8536.354046882432, "YES": 370.58512765336536} | 1 | is-the-gpt2chatbot-in-chatlmsysorg | 41992.30403811849 | [HARD CRITERIA, READ DESC] Will all "gpt2-chatbot" models in LMSYS prove to be new, improved models from OpenAI? | 1715851254028 | lCq4BTG0BZYYz9SL5tGVOOz3Bx52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.761553837967835 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714406767030 | Peter 1169 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "IMPORTANT: Read full criteria. This market has a strict criteria. If all \"gpt2-chatbot\" models are removed from LMSYS without a reintroduction within 15 days the market resolves as NO. For a less strict criteria you have this market: ", "type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 453.3006040784635, "platformFee": 453.3006040784635, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715851254028 | 1610 | Peter1169 | 1715854238076 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL6Qvm2Aa9pfA8_rzlDW13AQD1I4falviuj6hu28IrUbLU=s96-c | 153 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707660435691 | 0 | [{"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1714406767210}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714406767211}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1... | ["chatgpt", "technology-default", "openai", "ai", "chatbot-arena-leaderboard"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715719076610 | 1715851220640 | 0.97 | lCq4BTG0BZYYz9SL5tGVOOz3Bx52 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5019392160211624 | tww5U6cVoVWLslnXrm9Q | {"NO": 109.98738711736677, "YES": 130.8261910673677} | 0.4586578387625903 | will-the-elder-scrolls-vi-have-a-90 | 35.92111800307333 | Will The Elder Scrolls VI have a 90%+ all reviews rating on steam 6 months after its release? | 2209035540000 | O9BNSBOVuPhTRbFFM493Kfc3qO72 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714406935996 | MadCloud101 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6263454647794859, "platformFee": 0.6263454647794859, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | MadCloud101 | 1714440459073 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2s8WCB5PDslfyxS6iYdQsL7j-rOkiERdYSG3au=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1666533811557 | 0 | [{"name": "The Elder Scrolls", "slug": "the-elder-scrolls", "groupId": "cG4L0xAME3AgQ9HnV0iI", "createdTime": 1714406936209}, {"name": "Bethesda", "slug": "bethesda", "groupId": "Z5JDJRfViL6ntjIJCwZV", "createdTime": 1714406936211}] | ["the-elder-scrolls", "bethesda"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714440455717 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TPFmS5BHNJ6CyaZD5WCw | which-path-in-life-is-better-for-so | 0 | Which path in life is better for society. | 1717019940000 | HWKtbHfQPBSXvw8LICx3atroQGr2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714407477053 | MADGAMBLER6969 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's say the pediatrician is working:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "- in a first world country", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "- under a universal health care system in a public sector ", "type": "text"}, ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717019940412 | MADGAMBLER6969 | 1714422481872 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708722860087 | 0 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1714407477228}] | ["effective-altruism"] | 0.25 | 1714422213766 | ["33107521f4df"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36794609722946314 | Lg3p94BIaroWP5A0c0Sf | {"NO": 532.9232525283995, "YES": 1258.2297352453052} | 1 | is-this-real-gpt45 | 11178.23804437191 | Is gpt2-chatbot OpenAI's next-generation model (e.g. GPT-4.5, GPT-5, etc.) | 1715674051675 | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.15688508979689 | True | play | YES | public | 1714407506305 | Soli ꩜ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve yes if gpt2-chatbot turns out to be OpenAI's next-generation model such as GPT-4.5 or GPT-5. If the model is just a new version of GPT-4, then the market will resolve No. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.8022032227935063} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 73.09342329520027, "platformFee": 73.09342329520027, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719286196642 | 740 | Soli | 1719290243641 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695418453844 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714407506476}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714407529776}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 17144075... | ["technology-default", "openai", "ai", "gpt4-speculation", "gpt5-speculation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715671393188 | 1719290241694 | 0.5 | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dPgMvv74DKW8MIrsVQ4W | when-will-rookie-qb-michael-penix-j | 86 | When will rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. start his first game for the Atlanta Falcons? | 1739077140000 | 9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714407724870 | David Glidden | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All answers refer to the 2024-2025 NFL season. Must start at the QB position to qualify.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetI... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2089532165883148, "platformFee": 1.2089532165883148, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 340 | dglid | 1714928421042 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "ad8882a70317", "prob": 0.06088440872119661, "text": "Weeks 1-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.870716622525444, "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 183.10065407574518, "textFts": "'-3':3 '1':2 'week':1", "contractId": "dPgMvv74DKW8MIrsVQ4W", "createdTime": 1714407724870, "probChan... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1643941084707 | 0 | [{"name": "Fantasy Football (NFL)", "slug": "fantasy-football-nfl", "groupId": "fS4PTcbzeUah8qwPcGz8", "createdTime": 1714407725391}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1714407725407}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp"... | ["fantasy-football-nfl", "sports-betting", "nfl", "football", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1714928417711 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46997959771569287 | qDHAg02JNEaSQX842xXr | {"NO": 152.66037867008737, "YES": 265.49151446636506} | 0.3376926884832949 | will-any-chess-prodigy-reach-top-3 | 515 | Will any chess prodigy reach top 3 in the world in 2024? | 1735685940000 | FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714408619454 | Weezing | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For purposes of this market any player who is 22 years old or younger is eligible for YES resolution.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The top 3 can be reached in any moment in the specified pe... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.10580480782088422} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.780078430196377, "platformFee": 6.109011409896417, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Weezing | 1718461528121 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700212225777 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1714408619771}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714408619772}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 171... | ["chess", "sports-default", "board-games"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718461468358 | 1718461526893 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5957840609240564 | q83PKWda2ZjKtQrABlOy | {"NO": 23.861881888719026, "YES": 3570.668013582117} | 0 | will-more-than-50-of-ferraris-car-f | 3874.8021068975872 | Will more than 50% of Ferrari's car for the 2024 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix be blue? | 1714571072720 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714408647773 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Your rule of thumb here for resolving YES should be \"about as much blue as the normal car has red.\" ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This would resolve NO for example if the question was about a \"white\... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.034176554748072, "platformFee": 21.034176554748072, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714571072720 | 540 | KevinBurke | 1714571072720 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1714408647987}, {"name": "Auto Racing", "slug": "auto-racing", "groupId": "MIDhbxvpwoHQ3QaG7xfU", "createdTime": 1714408648048}] | ["formula-1", "auto-racing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714571063194 | 1714570925545 | 0.01 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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qZNZvDhekxNLXNS1vLQU | when-will-a-government-release-a-hu | 96.00828134122867 | When will a government release a human virus as an attack? | 2556172740000 | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714411616264 | ismellpillows | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the year a government releases a human virus as an attack, as reported by news", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.918168217210294, "platformFee": 2.918168217210294, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ismellpillows | 1714590693702 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "da1975367e8d", "prob": 0.024183406902861082, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.4345221402944506, "userId": "5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 98.23459160671975, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "qZNZvDhekxNLXNS1vLQU", "createdTime": 1714411616264, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712019700747 | 0 | [{"name": "Pandemic", "slug": "pandemic", "groupId": "5OlW5cUQPgx5A9W1OPnp", "createdTime": 1714411616631}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714411616649}, {"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS", "createdTi... | ["pandemic", "politics-default", "covid-d7a9361d772d", "technology-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1714590689556 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Y4kepqC59VWBPwBI8VO4 | ukraine-presidential-election | 593.9565207551409 | Ukraine Presidential election | 1767221940000 | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714411870303 | Base | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will be the Ukraine President after next election?", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.032308477061622, "platformFee": 3.200130339403888, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 265 | Base | 1717110573194 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4dca5afbd123", "prob": 0.483404806636205, "text": "Volodymyr Zelensky", "index": 0, "poolNo": 119.31431141932104, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 127.5063858128295, "textFts": "'volodymyr':1 'zelenski':2", "contractId": "Y4kepqC59VWBPwBI8VO4", "createdTime": 1714411870303... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690298751650 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1714411870627}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1714411870629}, {"name": "Presidential Election", "slug": "presidential-election", "groupId": "03cf6f6d-c419-4b77-a271-3e... | ["ukraine", "elections", "presidential-election", "ukrainerussia-war", "russia"] | 0.25 | 1717110568946 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5601470273194371 | hUyBfpVrSv6km982GyNM | {"NO": 2042.8909692287457, "YES": 26.278737582492113} | 1 | will-california-bill-1047-regulatin | 1914.2294794715606 | Will California Bill 1047 regulating AI be passed by the end of 2025? | 1716406805701 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714412386381 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://legiscan.com/CA/text/SB1047/2023", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://legiscan.com/CA/text/SB1047/2023", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:unde... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.193371496833748, "platformFee": 1.3761318855234341, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716406805701 | 180 | strutheo | 1716407469380 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "California Politics", "slug": "california-politics", "groupId": "kS3bCFO3rT9nloxlfeBp", "createdTime": 1714412386687}, {"name": "🏄 California", "slug": "california", "groupId": "72sPPf5PTwnQQWGdZ5cR", "createdTime": 1714412386693}, {"name": "AI Governance & Policy 🏛️", "slug": "ai-governance-policy", "grou... | ["california-politics", "california", "ai-governance-policy", "ai", "ai-safety"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716406801501 | 1716407467944 | 0.99 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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5MrJl67SAPoNOm5Ws1m3 | which-lab-produced-the-gpt2chatbot | 2385.610238018371 | Which lab produced the "gpt2-chatbot" LLM in lmsys? | 1715645926503 | aszcBbhvX1XtRxq0817zDF5Cn8l2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | cab3223dba7b | public | 1714413702508 | brwa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/gfodor/status/1784965347281674538", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/gfodor/status/1784965347281674538", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.80925413706079, "platformFee": 5.80925413706079, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715645926503 | 305 | brwa | 1715645926503 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6YoJGB5y9zsEREtydUDei7I4Bv6GFLk5uTPHk=s96-c | 11 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "cab3223dba7b", "prob": 0.9904072837977401, "text": "OpenAI", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1169.9319088085106, "userId": "aszcBbhvX1XtRxq0817zDF5Cn8l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 11.331524879475808, "textFts": "'openai':1", "contractId": "5MrJl67SAPoNOm5Ws1m3", "resolverId": "aszcBbhvX1XtRxq0817zDF5Cn8l2", "created... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673023593841 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715621199215 | 1715645913893 | {"cab3223dba7b": 100} | aszcBbhvX1XtRxq0817zDF5Cn8l2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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wEAc9USPgOFzMyv1iaoS | what-organizations-will-be-ranked-1-38f6280ae471 | 723.8221697145159 | What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of September, 2024? | 1727762340000 | dEvAkoH19rTcIENraMy3kZyHOe82 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714415070667 | Luke Hanks (HankyUSA) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm referring to this ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Chatbot Arena Leaderboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.78776845207546, "platformFee": 3.8269278687549386, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | HankyUSA | 1719957207975 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrs9Q53gYHp6HbnXlXHhLBPcjB8HOvuaWTt58yPYSM=s96-c | 17 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a4af55de5073", "prob": 0.610856404097572, "text": "OpenAI", "index": 0, "poolNo": 167.78020061504196, "userId": "dEvAkoH19rTcIENraMy3kZyHOe82", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 106.88369664393223, "textFts": "'openai':1", "contractId": "wEAc9USPgOFzMyv1iaoS", "createdTime": 1714415070668, "probChanges": {"day": -0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1658210833379 | 0 | [{"name": "Chatbot Arena Leaderboard", "slug": "chatbot-arena-leaderboard", "groupId": "fecd579f-4044-49c7-9b76-c3a16d222e53", "createdTime": 1714415071136}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714415071139}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupI... | ["chatbot-arena-leaderboard", "technology-default", "ai", "llms"] | 0.25 | 1719957197799 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5928665522438588 | WaPhIgkdKsvgkndTcH0D | {"NO": 272.41053339602263, "YES": 130.01744170678438} | 0.753147473338378 | will-kevin-durant-be-on-the-phoenix | 210 | Will Kevin Durant be on the Phoenix Suns when the 2024-25 season begins? | 1730530740000 | 38xOFDiQu7ecwOnplOG5knjIfbg1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714416503329 | Zooey Sivad | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Season should start in late October.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.06732114890765917} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1467473585035592, "platformFee": 2.1886237654994734, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | ZooeySivad | 1719441323671 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIoODrjueoRUXGsbDAoyKgCJcFfLAByfuyLDtItsBn0=s96-c | 7 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700408915131 | 0 | [{"name": "Kevin Durant", "slug": "kevin-durant", "groupId": "7ab0eece-3f1b-4f70-9c76-0fdb4bbd9685", "createdTime": 1714416503498}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1714416503509}, {"name": "Phoenix Suns", "slug": "phoenix-suns", "groupId": "558a6d1b-accd... | ["kevin-durant", "basketball", "phoenix-suns"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719441320617 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YHQLFtQYE67oZ7IixfjJ | warty-boykisses-2024 | 156 | Warty boykisses 2024 | 1735685940000 | hEV2GJRU5sa3PDAyh4MgwS6LXoY2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714416777155 | Warty | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any kind counts. I will resolve NO if they ask me to.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5295382161233435, "platformFee": 1.5295382161233435, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | warty | 1714470763332 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "16263a288cb9", "prob": 0.18085285260184647, "text": "@ESYudkowsky", "index": 0, "poolNo": 37.55600935225542, "userId": "hEV2GJRU5sa3PDAyh4MgwS6LXoY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 170.10457665429334, "textFts": "'esyudkowski':1", "contractId": "YHQLFtQYE67oZ7IixfjJ", "createdTime": 1714416777155, "probChanges"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1654662071699 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714416778533}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 1714470759775 | 1714433283784 | False | 0 |
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