p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.42085236333325526 | 9ZYmTBm76ymtvljOgv98 | {"NO": 405.75530121648836, "YES": 3390.802735550999} | 0.07999999999999999 | shortfuse-hot-take-will-the-imo-gol | 18995.430335720674 | [Short-fuse / hot take] Will the IMO Gold by 2025 Market be Above* 30% for a 1-month window before August 1, 2024? | 1722581940000 | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.41342474687881 | False | basic | public | 1714204132690 | AdamK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I want to take a short-term position against people's pessimism.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if the IMO Gold Before 2025 Market (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "http... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.2893392307458068, "month": -0.30646678903742763} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 242.17875834015558, "platformFee": 22.394830326139576, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AdamK | 1719984313496 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | 18 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687620319599 | 0 | [{"name": "IMO Grand Challenge", "slug": "imo-grand-challenge", "groupId": "rOTh4ovS26Q699HzfgGy", "createdTime": 1714204132838}, {"name": "๐งฎ Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1714204132842}, {"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "... | ["imo-grand-challenge", "mathematics", "technical-ai-timelines", "short-fuse", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719984310445 | 1718642291087 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42938007251804555 | u2tdKKRNholzyqtU4Ljc | {"NO": 971.0943684202413, "YES": 1027.1392411939007} | 0.41569045120287185 | will-amd-become-a-trillion-dollar-c | 608.1408042538885 | Will AMD become a Trillion Dollar Company before 2030? ๐ข๐ป๐ค๐โก | 1893502740000 | cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.785264888772478 | False | basic | public | 1714207911774 | Elf | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AMD's current market cap ~250 Billion ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nvidia's current market cap ~2.2 Trillion ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | BINARY | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.972197947363457, "platformFee": 9.972197947363457, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | elf | 1715862155777 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668973436049 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714207911920}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714207911918}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 17142079119... | ["stocks", "ai", "economics-default", "technology-default", "finance"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715862147169 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZzIpGhETtjpeq3vEfEQC | what-books-will-kongo-enjoy-reading | 1402.6912213018602 | What books will Kongo enjoy reading? [Add answers] | 1735685940000 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714208180109 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have not read a lot of fiction books. After I got interested in science at school the majority of what I've read were articles, encyclopedias.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here is my top:... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.687941309887904, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1200 | KongoLandwalker | 1718565804610 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "d47b41933fc5", "prob": 0.5019287586924686, "text": "B.A. Davey, H.A. Priestley - Introduction To Lattices And Order", "index": 0, "poolNo": 250.96624659731495, "userId": "9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 249.0374735542969, "textFts": "'b.a':1 'davey':2 'h.a':3 'introduct':5 'lattic':... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Books", "slug": "books", "groupId": "o3T3Wvaoqw90dns1Q7nU", "createdTime": 1714208180327}] | ["books"] | 0.25 | 1718565801530 | 1717101829901 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WH9DrDZmW4ijloJl2nF7 | will-home-team-win-april-29-2024-ma | 12777.528292722007 | Will home team win? (April 29, 2024 matches) โฝ๐๏ธ | 1714456800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714215345241 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โฝ Will home team win? (April 29, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Monday, April 29, 2024. The matches featured in this... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 49.51451440532768, "platformFee": 49.51451440532768, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714737576326 | 2055 | FranklinBaldo | 1714456800000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 13 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "5ab6a976e063", "prob": 0.9895836048299358, "text": "19:00 - Barcelona vs Valencia - La Liga ๐ช๐ธ", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1876.0129333471325, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.746984451357594, "textFts": "'00':2 '19':1 'barcelona':3 'la':6 'liga':7 'valencia':5 'vs':4", "... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "โฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714215345435}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 1714442811900 | 1714522316643 | 0.01 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | alphabetical | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fFV71TJSpq6PLBBWaH9V | which-simple-games-will-get-their-o | 338.2065784143037 | Which simple games will get their own seasons of Jet Lag before 2026? | 1767196740000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714215753097 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A simple game like Tag, Hide and Seek, Capture the Flag etc", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is based off a round in the Family Feud 2 Layover Episode. The first six games feature... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.328575081478441, "platformFee": 3.344668652964525, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 720 | JoshuaWilkes | 1719792210580 | 0 | 8 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1225167702f2", "prob": 0.5372028559376176, "text": "Monopoly", "index": 0, "poolNo": 46.93480464307787, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 40.43406192997726, "textFts": "'monopoli':1", "contractId": "fFV71TJSpq6PLBBWaH9V", "createdTime": 1714215753098, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "Jet Lag: The Game", "slug": "jet-lag-the-game", "groupId": "sATnBDFFC3pK7wcamkkR", "createdTime": 1714215753300}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1714215753305}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK... | ["jet-lag-the-game", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 1719792207501 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MjhIk4fI9R4gWG16b0yg | what-will-be-the-of-yes-votes-for-t | 416.00000000000006 | What will be the % of "yes" votes for the Swiss anti-vaccine ballot initiative "For freedom and physical integrity"? | 1717955940000 | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 17085b09dbff | public | 1714216302085 | M L | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Initiative details: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.bk.admin.ch/ch/d/pore/vi/vis510.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bk.admin.ch/ch/d/pore/vi/vis510.html", "class": "break-anywhere hover:und... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.998700679151715, "platformFee": 3.0118414196786087, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717956032871 | 260 | ML12d1 | 1717955940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b08fa5162f58", "prob": 0.002954796287632134, "text": "0-5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.1992761697385674, "userId": "QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 404.67512361828324, "textFts": "'-5':2 '0':1", "contractId": "MjhIk4fI9R4gWG16b0yg", "resolverId": "QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2", "create... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706799245162 | 0 | [{"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS", "createdTime": 1714216302406}, {"name": "๐ซ Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1714216302408}, {"name": "Switzerland", "slug": "switzerland", "groupId": "9e505422-e9c6-41e4-b0dc-eb81b9bcd07e", "... | ["covid-d7a9361d772d", "health", "switzerland", "politics-default", "-swiss-politics"] | 0.25 | 1717944176236 | 1717357281051 | {"17085b09dbff": 100} | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | True | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
d4n8hqRTQSvixDu6V6kW | premier-league-weekend-prop-bets-ap-275abc1ca18a | 7258.610852651987 | Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, Apr 27-28 | 1714330302678 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714217917428 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: this is just for the 10 games on Saturday/Sunday, not the midweek games. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All bets should be affected by at least one of the 10 PL games happening this we... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 31.671765577271586, "platformFee": 31.671765577271586, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714330302678 | 1185 | Tyler31 | 1714330391194 | 0 | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "57740f8b06bb", "prob": 0.01083294472171812, "text": "Manchester City ends the weekend on top of the table", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.05521776117817, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 735.5300185807831, "textFts": "'citi':2 'end':3 'manchest':1 'tabl':10 'top':7 'weekend':5",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "groupId": "45a307ca-d75b-4ae8-a58d-01330e1f2be5", "createdTime": 1714217917733}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1714217917740}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "prem... | ["premier-league-20232024", "prop-bets", "premiere-league"] | 0.25 | 1714324746041 | 1714330389608 | 0.01 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23952663468187974 | a2uirHWxU825vLVdXAhx | {"NO": 83.98672394796776, "YES": 1706.2971996554138} | 0 | will-the-date-of-the-next-uk-genera | 1628.3333333333333 | Will the date of the next UK general election be officially declared by 6th May 2024? | 1714986898391 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714218802888 | Daisy W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A โyesโ requires a calendar date (e.g. โOctober 5thโ) not just a period (โOctober-Novemberโ) for when the general election will take place. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "โNoโ otherwise.", "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.6758630593444193, "platformFee": 3.6758630593444193, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714986898391 | 200 | DaisyWelham | 1714986898391 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705674736043 | 0 | [{"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-f6d1f44dfa2c", "createdTime": 1714218803031}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1714218803039}, {"name": "๐ฌ๐ง UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-ge... | ["uk-conservative-party", "uk-politics", "-uk-general-election-2024"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714977447100 | 0.02 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tv3bUswOLkAXl4MwVJQg | -premier-league-2324-supermarket-ye | 5501.764241337765 | โฝ๐โฝ Premier League 23/24 SUPERMARKET: YES for home team, NO for away team or draw | 1714334776158 | gohyqRRJ0jXzrXUJHGpdvLhxBOk1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714219529598 | ARCHIT | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES: the home team wins", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO: the away team wins OR draw", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.599510841192355, "platformFee": 23.599510841192355, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714334776158 | 910 | tihcra | 1714334776158 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJgmTEpR46dSS1_pXuMytxA3p95UD546qsjXzOCtWUwvIIWkMGv=s96-c | 14 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "c77a49f6da5b", "prob": 0.02, "text": "West Ham v. Liverpool (27/4/24)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.4400858713349614, "userId": "gohyqRRJ0jXzrXUJHGpdvLhxBOk1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 217.27242089409089, "textFts": "'27/4/24':5 'ham':2 'liverpool':4 'v':3 'west':1", "contractId": "tv3bUswOLkAXl4MwVJQg", "reso... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713270985110 | 0 | [{"name": "โฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714219529875}, {"name": "โฝ ๐ Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714219529891}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime"... | ["soccer", "football", "premiere-league"] | 0.25 | 1714324662149 | 0.01 | gohyqRRJ0jXzrXUJHGpdvLhxBOk1 | False | gohyqRRJ0jXzrXUJHGpdvLhxBOk1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5119827169467387 | B0wm7XCyYlxw4sZQhUjV | {"NO": 214.81603966318522, "YES": 224.480169222648} | 0.5009836760771825 | will-an-f5-tornado-strike-the-unite | 80 | Will an F5+ Tornado strike the United States by the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714219570127 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EF5 and any higher categories also count. The tornado in question must be officially rated according to the first chart in this Wikipedia article: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_F5_and_EF5_tornadoes", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": 6.661338147750939e-16, "week": 6.661338147750939e-16, "month": 6.661338147750939e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3519933986751098, "platformFee": 1.3519933986751098, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | Panfilo | 1714326036391 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "Natural Disasters", "slug": "natural-disasters", "groupId": "7DheCrWGY6V4tkvFa7y9", "createdTime": 1714219570301}, {"name": "Extreme Weather", "slug": "extreme-weather", "groupId": "211601b5-4d33-4531-ae59-93cb57e4aa94", "createdTime": 1714219570313}, {"name": "๐ชธ Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97o... | ["natural-disasters", "extreme-weather", "climate", "disasters", "united-states"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714326033049 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
kUTZ3n3MCSbFv51XJUUE | on-how-many-days-will-i-smoke-weed-7979f3e62cf9 | 15007.287254190102 | On how many days will i Smoke Weed in May 2024? | 1717192252376 | rMROKBpw5hSaHASvQsDrGzJ88xi1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 46a9aa99087c | public | 1714225119963 | Drugsornot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "01.05 โ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "02.05 โ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "03.05 โ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "04.05 โ", "type": "text"}]}, ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 17.300163300841767, "platformFee": 9.464128549451546, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717192256867 | 520 | Drugsornot | 1717192301071 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJC2QE9apST7N13cfgLTRsUfeRGnBlFrdXSqW2C5-_Y=s96-c | 12 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4c0d47d14278", "prob": 3.6668049537565925e-05, "text": "0-10 days", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.26156643215472286, "userId": "rMROKBpw5hSaHASvQsDrGzJ88xi1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7133.0993691352405, "textFts": "'-10':2 '0':1 'day':3", "contractId": "kUTZ3n3MCSbFv51XJUUE", "resolverId": "rMROKBpw5hSaHASvQsDr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701650122616 | 0 | [{"name": "420 baby", "slug": "420-baby", "groupId": "r6A8yqhwedPg0kW29p6u", "createdTime": 1714225120203}, {"name": "weed", "slug": "weed", "groupId": "b918750e-1b23-4223-8f0a-e4d83fcacc7b", "createdTime": 1714225120205}, {"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-4621-8487-f98ffa56b0c5", "createdTim... | ["420-baby", "weed", "drugs", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1717192234599 | 1717192300115 | {"46a9aa99087c": 100} | rMROKBpw5hSaHASvQsDrGzJ88xi1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7226289177738975 | x7VGs1FbJw8feEIvK0UT | {"NO": 484.1982360287707, "YES": 122.39851240782471} | 1 | will-i-make-imo-2024-hong-kong-team | 691.4015060513315 | Will I make IMO 2024 Hong Kong team? | 1714890458416 | NdPdAH74lxcS02HTey8pABjDR4m2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714226623562 | Lincoln Liu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We have a Mock IMO left next week, out of 42, after rescaling.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 5.7 points above 7th place, after rescaling.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.8222022858010725, "platformFee": 4.8222022858010725, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714890458416 | 200 | LincolnLiu2b77 | 1715101619974 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLMQAdLbTK74We0VG3dBVAUazUoTKjxmHbjEPnkuaKfbA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711116068538 | 0 | [{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1714226623706}, {"name": "IMO", "slug": "imo", "groupId": "131e7893-2872-4a6c-bbec-dc702b40b5cd", "createdTime": 1714285421183}] | ["competition-math", "imo"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714846572676 | 1715101617844 | 0.91 | NdPdAH74lxcS02HTey8pABjDR4m2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.478100312127913 | ogJ12WSj5mmwWTObLOTw | {"NO": 193.80513005129015, "YES": 164.29092920770753} | 0.5193801666536773 | do-you-think-npr-has-a-decade-left | 180.57901250646947 | Do you think NPR will exist in its current form in a decade? ๐บ๐ธ๐ป๐ชฆ | 2019801540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714227602935 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Inside the Crisis at NPR", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/business/media/npr-uri-berliner-diversity.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.888437723069699, "platformFee": 2.888437723069699, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | mattyb | 1714301670336 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714227603145}, {"name": "Radio", "slug": "radio", "groupId": "49ebd73f-e12f-44d0-a9f2-521aa81945d5", "createdTime": 1714227603169}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba... | ["entertainment", "radio", "united-states", "death-markets", "npr"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714301666983 | 1714239974487 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
uHXDGhtzEPGR3TcMIr2K | squid-game-season-2-multi-market | 153.16778263718456 | Squid Game season 2 Multi Market | 1777931940000 | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714227697759 | Base | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.0369699069925744, "platformFee": 2.0369699069925744, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 175 | Base | 1714609391716 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "1520345c0b83", "prob": 0.2200000000000001, "text": "Hwang-In-Ho to compete in a game", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.277125113594867, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 47.07344358456359, "textFts": "'compet':6 'game':9 'ho':4 'hwang':2 'hwang-in-ho':1", "contractId": "uHXDGhtzEP... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690298751650 | 0 | [{"name": "Squid Game Challenge", "slug": "squid-game-challenge", "groupId": "86ea1c98-e81c-4e58-82a3-ef0d04a29980", "createdTime": 1714227698073}, {"name": "Series", "slug": "series", "groupId": "f86a87b3-8762-49b7-9e8e-ca8b4b92a0d9", "createdTime": 1714227698074}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoF... | ["squid-game-challenge", "series", "tv", "netflix"] | 0.25 | 1714609388316 | 1714235718637 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45834677794420764 | XrQndgUDequvH02UVYok | {"NO": 240.23324377190895, "YES": 270.6077087491711} | 0.4289687577131831 | will-i-be-able-to-get-honorswinner | 687.3910147026087 | Will I be able to get Honors/Winner (top 20%) on the 2025 USAJMO? | 1745812740000 | 1GLLRJ6olwhn3Tb1DUkBKB1Ch0O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714229723626 | Kevin Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.09044748682763626} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.813205763547138, "platformFee": 10.207927561708305, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | KevinChen95b9 | 1718500604784 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJF_pqQdUkHodUr1U0aOMeO5rzyRpmIdPQp-SdKaQ5QGf0=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711059025623 | 0 | [{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1714229723928}] | ["competition-math"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718500601724 | 1715480620541 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mJFnY0UVVgBai3mCy24c | what-will-be-true-about-my-experien | 509.37526906698855 | What will be true about my experience building apps for the VisionPro in 2024? (# of Downloads, # of hours, etc.) | 1735685940000 | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714230380014 | Soli ๊ฉ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I bought a VisionPro a couple of days ago to learn everything about building apps for this device. I want to publish some apps on the app store this year. I have a few apps on the regular app store, so I am familiar with Apple's review process and ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.011479057584436, "platformFee": 2.399010297928622, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 275 | Soli | 1718302252541 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c6b31f413c6d", "prob": 0.7131224136312598, "text": "publish an app that receives > 1,000 downloads", "index": 0, "poolNo": 48.79316449572852, "userId": "xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.628699076432888, "textFts": "'000':7 '1':6 'app':3 'download':8 'publish':1 'receiv':5", "contr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695418453844 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Apple Vision Pro", "slug": "apple-vision-pro", "groupId": "gEardgc5T6coQqiEmYG1", "createdTime": 1714230380334}, {"name": "๐ Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1714230552872}, {"name": "๐ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p"... | ["apple-vision-pro", "apple", "personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 1718302247625 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mMAvtLb3WmemmGafyf6T | if-vr-becomes-popular-333-million-o | 222.69078755651802 | when VR becomes popular (333 milly MAU accross all metaverses), what will people call it? (resolves to multiple) | 1830250740000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714234284787 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Like, right now you're using the internet/the web. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the sentence \"so I was hanging out in [the metaverse]\", what phrases might go in the square brackets to... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.5495422290225522, "platformFee": 2.5495422290225522, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 450 | jim | 1714476702495 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "e0686236b8ad", "prob": 0.24368589088704304, "text": "the metaverse", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.81022999446264, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 89.4166804335079, "textFts": "'metavers':2", "contractId": "mMAvtLb3WmemmGafyf6T", "createdTime": 1714234284788, "probChanges": {"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF", "createdTime": 1714234285419}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714234285423}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "created... | ["virtual-reality", "technology-default", "ai", "metaverse", "vr"] | 0.25 | 1714476698918 | 1714238615951 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40301082244395636 | LfnITQCX4tY1DxOOFEMd | {"NO": 292.6755268418907, "YES": 385.61348575694444} | 0.3387865317408595 | will-the-name-of-a-hurricane-be-inc | 192.12275875493884 | Will the name of a hurricane be included in any question asked during any 2024 Presidential debate? | 1728619140000 | BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714234474194 | For Truth | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if the name given to any hurricane is included in any question during any televised Presidential debate in 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The name must be u... | BINARY | {"day": -0.05241186021596689, "week": -0.05241186021596689, "month": -0.05241186021596689} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.400609981559871, "platformFee": 2.1566169307780365, "liquidityFee": 0} | 50 | 330 | ForTruth | 1720202605008 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c | 8 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714184615024 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714234474345}, {"name": "๐ง๏ธ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714234474357}, {"name": "๐งช Science", "slug": "science-default", "group... | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "weather", "science-default", "climate", "hurricanes"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720202601648 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.600978523827383 | mEMUsjSFyI6NDFk7LXnP | {"NO": 274.4171630104605, "YES": 105.60820806746051} | 0.7964831715441894 | seoul-metro-will-line-8-byeollae-ex | 166.57189826379923 | Seoul Metro: Will Line 8 Byeollae extension open before 2025? | 1735743540000 | 0XU8ppCgFMduidHnt6Lo8OmAjkf1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714235199571 | Seo Sanghyeon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Real time tracking of construction progress is available from Seoul CIS(Construction Information System): ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://cis.seoul.go.kr/TotalAlimi_new/SmrizeBsnsNews.action", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.869403158077393, "platformFee": 1.869403158077393, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | SanghyeonSeo | 1714534957251 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfk8pEYlfSft1e7_O9jcXxymjE4hqjrIj-0xJ8l44ff9DY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690372396327 | 0 | [{"name": "Transit", "slug": "transit", "groupId": "LoaGOR2QWe9ffrUKWZXj", "createdTime": 1714235199750}, {"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1714235199761}] | ["transit", "south-korea"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714534954006 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48919412177834243 | fF4Qz6y1RzlvEGd8GXwq | {"NO": 159.62877630959957, "YES": 160.18836780938204} | 0.4883197018281711 | seoul-metro-will-gtx-a-phase-2-from | 64.98051740441521 | Seoul Metro: Will GTX A phase 2 (from Unjeong to Seoul) open before 2025? | 1735743540000 | 0XU8ppCgFMduidHnt6Lo8OmAjkf1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714235881025 | Seo Sanghyeon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Phase 1 (from Suseo to Dongtan) opened on 2024-03-30. The current plan is to open phase 2 (from Unjeong to Seoul) in December 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0986535730008198, "platformFee": 1.0986535730008198, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | SanghyeonSeo | 1714267440297 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfk8pEYlfSft1e7_O9jcXxymjE4hqjrIj-0xJ8l44ff9DY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690372396327 | 0 | [{"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1714235881199}, {"name": "Transit", "slug": "transit", "groupId": "LoaGOR2QWe9ffrUKWZXj", "createdTime": 1714235881225}] | ["south-korea", "transit"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714267437013 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42718519636450003 | Q7D6vbEV4dbLn9pIvTeS | {"NO": 83.77942596009977, "YES": 248.5434439526901} | 0.20088455753396706 | will-1-usd-200-yen-before-2025 | 369.6051664368379 | Will 1 Usd > 200 yen before 2025? | 1735750740000 | HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714236012425 | Timothy Bandors | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves yes if 1 usd is greater in value than 200 Japanese yen before January 1 2025.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.547191407751838, "platformFee": 4.547191407751838, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | TimothyBandors | 1720004251375 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690819422060 | 0 | [{"name": "Forex", "slug": "forex", "groupId": "WVDbfcAwnmsZVjy3wJVh", "createdTime": 1714236012619}, {"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1714236012639}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": ... | ["forex", "currency", "us-economy"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715248701614 | 1720004250258 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27760286794018424 | hdkbr5s9v6OqujWQajnw | {"NO": 1016.1927246048745, "YES": 877.4314003063207} | 0.30798342339657575 | within-2-months-of-manifold-adding | 1687.794344575278 | Within 2 months of Manifold adding cash prizes, the number of daily active users will more than double. | 1735707540000 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.582436447809553 | False | basic | public | 1714237279659 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.025100156735267387} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 32.85867269459095, "platformFee": 13.468732292399297, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bruce54df | 1718656518574 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 36 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714237279853}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714237279880}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718656515495 | 1714300589748 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | x70v1JoJIIhsjW7M5xHK | {"NO": 49.83641766575765, "YES": 200.65647709809105} | 0.1989534182705691 | ktx-will-incheon-ktx-line-open-befo | 103 | KTX: Will Incheon KTX Line open before 2026? | 1767279540000 | 0XU8ppCgFMduidHnt6Lo8OmAjkf1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714237330005 | Seo Sanghyeon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The current plan is to open in June 2025, but it is very doubtful, because stations havenโt started construction yet and the plan specifies 3 years for station construction, see ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://v.daum.net/v/20240214141713320",... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1717614509544705, "platformFee": 1.1717614509544705, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | SanghyeonSeo | 1714237466022 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfk8pEYlfSft1e7_O9jcXxymjE4hqjrIj-0xJ8l44ff9DY=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690372396327 | 0 | [{"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1714237330162}, {"name": "High speed rail", "slug": "high-speed-rail", "groupId": "b34ad8e9-f60c-41ee-9742-e8c645be936d", "createdTime": 1714237330163}] | ["south-korea", "high-speed-rail"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714237462505 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5311319856598853 | bnMshXhuR45RCsNWimhX | {"NO": 160.93273348499943, "YES": 122.6376051902358} | 0.5978325147954653 | ktx-will-suwon-ktx-line-open-before | 39.90469626105246 | KTX: Will Suwon KTX Line open before 2026? | 1767279540000 | 0XU8ppCgFMduidHnt6Lo8OmAjkf1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714237375285 | Seo Sanghyeon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The current plan is to open in June 2025.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5812851269740811, "platformFee": 0.5812851269740811, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | SanghyeonSeo | 1714810033406 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfk8pEYlfSft1e7_O9jcXxymjE4hqjrIj-0xJ8l44ff9DY=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690372396327 | 0 | [{"name": "High speed rail", "slug": "high-speed-rail", "groupId": "b34ad8e9-f60c-41ee-9742-e8c645be936d", "createdTime": 1714237375442}, {"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1714237375449}] | ["high-speed-rail", "south-korea"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714810030128 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2893843197427413 | Og5VAg85K0LyL6NOd1Mq | {"NO": 941.8597091599685, "YES": 1111.080886004737} | 0.2566204934999728 | will-russia-open-new-front-in-2024 | 175 | Will Russia open new front in 2024? | 1735765140000 | 0Mvu6WxrIeWYbnDpWACos8EWwU43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.584763640110966 | False | basic | public | 1714237574486 | ะัะฐะบะพัััั | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By opening new front I mean ground troops assault or naval invasion in the south with the goal of long-term occupation through the blue line. It's decided by general consensus in the media and sites like live map ua. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.215118967863368, "platformFee": 2.215118967863368, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | de27 | 1714463899785 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKMGuXHzL-xCz2PQe3xZl34zheYdpAsK48llMkk1VGyl4RByKo=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714187376456 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1714237574651}, {"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1714237574644}, {"name": "โ๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "created... | ["ukrainerussia-war", "ukraine", "wars", "russia"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714463896538 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42156643943623634 | W7o2ltRzEzb0AmiW1mvQ | {"NO": 22.187117678606683, "YES": 1600.842584252338} | 0 | will-ben-oconner-finish-within-the | 1677.8805635363956 | Will Ben O'Conner finish within the top 3 of the Giro d'Italia GC? | 1716782340000 | 747ytmM32gh59y0tD9oCrTFrSUs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714237943204 | Owen Evans | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.274741365671239, "platformFee": 3.368903991256229, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716840366642 | 140 | OwenEvans | 1716911743660 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJnY8FzlkedqlIcVepjr-2bnemvO3BndhRUqMaYNXFCN6wH7w=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714181628958 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1714237943332}] | ["road-bicycle-racing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716719558734 | 1716911742019 | 0.01 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.463759966289964 | BoyJSplho4xCjfsR6f1h | {"NO": 992.2499758041725, "YES": 1006.6389664984855} | 0.4601814943307095 | will-donald-trump-die-before-joe-bi | 305.8101862468448 | Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden? | 1735707540000 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.6256674844658 | False | basic | public | 1714238352243 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.08220014565235, "platformFee": 5.08220014565235, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bruce54df | 1714519304676 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714238352420}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714238352422}, {"name": "๐ด๐ผ Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n",... | ["donald-trump", "us-politics", "the-life-of-biden", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714519301322 | 1714406409039 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5612239201843411 | S2Fe9lJnhw4gQVlyK71Z | {"NO": 1812.8557641964535, "YES": 23.421854920323767} | 1 | will-mana-get-devalued-to-at-least | 1660.507977708334 | Will mana get devalued to at least $1:M1000 by June 15th? | 1716091562531 | lDgdckAk1MS3J7GEXimfFZqiROC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714239874015 | Rachel Freedman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the default mana purchasing price is $1:M1000 on at least one day prior to June 15th, 2024. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.826106755940264, "platformFee": 3.826106755940264, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716091562531 | 160 | RachelFreedman | 1716091562531 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJz6MFrIAvVMW92Wr8W5XLrJ6lyZ7Olb-ZzAdRs_y3-l84=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699066357993 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Investors", "slug": "manifold-investors", "groupId": "A2ZvhuOUWz24vfhGP7sO", "createdTime": 1714239874156}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714239874162}, {"name": "Keeping Score", "slug": "keeping-score", "groupId": "cS4tal... | ["manifold-investors", "manifold-6748e065087e", "keeping-score", "mana"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716005983087 | 1715902310292 | 0.99 | lDgdckAk1MS3J7GEXimfFZqiROC2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I0u80QFBsZgeOey9RIU5 | 2024-georgia-us-state-senate-distri | 444 | 2024 Georgia (US) State Senate District 48 election winner | 1735804740000 | n7K8X2GXFjd6E6VqrIYdLSsp8XI3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714240393576 | Mike Linksvayer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Georgia_State_Senate_election#Results_summary", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Georgia_State_Senate_election#Results_summary", "class": "break-anyw... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.458524967798252, "platformFee": 3.458524967798252, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1570 | MikeLinksvayer | 1716840106195 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMEt_vp87oGWCPN6fczOoU_PSbnY8JZQWWdkXjXQ=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "00c72a40d88b", "prob": 0.5434399862043815, "text": "Shawn Still (R, incumbent)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 478.9957898163516, "userId": "n7K8X2GXFjd6E6VqrIYdLSsp8XI3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 402.4185373881372, "textFts": "'incumb':4 'r':3 'shawn':1 'still':2", "contractId": "I0u80QFBsZgeOey9RIU5", "createdTi... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678567919781 | 0 | [{"name": "Georgia", "slug": "georgia", "groupId": "1SZUm3xkSdrsYdSmI8TZ", "createdTime": 1714240393825}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714240393828}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 171... | ["georgia", "us-politics", "elections", "2024-us-election"] | 0.25 | 1714516267948 | 1716840104924 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
87uNsUSWp4WMyC0mjq8h | premier-league-weekend-prop-bets-ma-583b6472d5c4 | 3427.5151806219183 | Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, May 3-6 (Week 36) | 1715031725863 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714240958942 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: this is for all 10 games including Friday + Monday games. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All bets should be affected by at least one of the 10 PL games happening this weekend (May 3-6)... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.617552211774925, "platformFee": 20.617552211774925, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715031725863 | 320 | Tyler31 | 1715031725863 | 0 | 32 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "de2725a636b7", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Arsenal ends the weekend on top of the table", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.74685927665502, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.512594538148022, "textFts": "'arsenal':1 'end':2 'tabl':9 'top':6 'weekend':4", "contractId": "87uNsUSWp4WMyC0m... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1714240959187}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1714240959180}, {"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "g... | ["prop-bets", "premiere-league", "premier-league-20232024"] | 0.25 | 1715028816009 | 0.01 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
k67goYu5cC94Njn4tGmg | premier-league-weekend-prop-bets-ma-4fc013c11e66 | 4748.091777946595 | Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, May 11-13 (Week 37) | 1715634412248 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714241015380 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: this is for all 10 games including Monday game. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All bets should be affected by at least one of the 10 PL games happening this weekend (May 11-13) and sho... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.08074443009688, "platformFee": 23.08074443009688, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715634412248 | 345 | Tyler31 | 1716121725223 | 0 | 17 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "40c0f967c768", "prob": 0.98, "text": "Arsenal ends the weekend on top of the table", "index": 0, "poolNo": 174.99999999999412, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.571428571428699, "textFts": "'arsenal':1 'end':2 'tabl':9 'top':6 'weekend':4", "contractId": "k67goYu5cC94Njn4... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1714241015604}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1714241015612}, {"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "g... | ["premiere-league", "prop-bets", "premier-league-20232024"] | 0.25 | 1715634134748 | 1716121723774 | 0.98 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cbMLp7R1vCZWyltsnEma | premier-league-weekend-prop-bets-ma-f5f2e5e0d3c6 | 3788.9394034936836 | Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, May 19 (Week 38) | 1716139920179 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714241182298 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The last weekend - all 10 games at 11a EST.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All bets should be affected by at least one of the 10 PL games happening this weekend (May 19) and should be written... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.950437398186159, "platformFee": 13.950437398186159, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716139920179 | 250 | Tyler31 | 1716139920179 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "3b174c7edb2f", "prob": 0.99, "text": "A player scores a hat trick", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.74685927665482, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.512594538148022, "textFts": "'hat':5 'player':2 'score':3 'trick':6", "contractId": "cbMLp7R1vCZWyltsnEma", "resolution": "YES",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "groupId": "45a307ca-d75b-4ae8-a58d-01330e1f2be5", "createdTime": 1714241182548}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1714241182546}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "g... | ["premier-league-20232024", "premiere-league", "prop-bets"] | 0.25 | 1716138235835 | 1716131033055 | 0.01 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
g7ZjpQwIo41NimuGqVAQ | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-1c2d9b399e60 | 108 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for June 2024? | 1720699200000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714242436231 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.8159189432003116, "platformFee": 0.23156003567562883, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Tyler31 | 1718833996725 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "416e7adcef1b", "prob": 0.20024708583270892, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 112.4381685708601, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 449.058984325505, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "g7ZjpQwIo41NimuGqVAQ", "createdTime": 1714242436231, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1714242436452}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714242436449}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37e... | ["inflation", "economics-default", "us-economy"] | 0.25 | 1718833993517 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
klHPF5ec1t25ZmwVOpwH | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-3b462ea54520 | 0 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for July 2024? | 1723636800000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242518937 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 175 | Tyler31 | 1714242519169 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3d34b761f6db", "prob": 0.14285714285714285, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.583333333333334, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 87.5, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "klHPF5ec1t25ZmwVOpwH", "createdTime": 1714242518938, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mont... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242519163}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1714242519177}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9... | ["us-economy", "inflation", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CkKluQv16Q57AhBEg9xZ | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-acfc14dc7879 | 50 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for August 2024? | 1726056000000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242563089 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7168815481483516, "platformFee": 0.7168815481483516, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 275 | Tyler31 | 1714381902629 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "ceaa3b80d127", "prob": 0.217417769793289, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 27.805740975661767, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100.08509794747782, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "CkKluQv16Q57AhBEg9xZ", "createdTime": 1714242563089, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242563328}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1714242563337}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9... | ["us-economy", "inflation", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1714381898447 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PF9UJEULzq1yNNH0rZLa | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-56450b3308df | 473.8656903962255 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for September 2024? | 1728561600000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242601098 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.563701139983197, "platformFee": 1.563701139983197, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 275 | Tyler31 | 1714399700091 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "89d652d6fd1c", "prob": 0.16918301998090507, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 27.88733592499279, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 136.94797631934657, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "PF9UJEULzq1yNNH0rZLa", "createdTime": 1714242601098, "probChanges": {"day": 2.7755... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1714242601308}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242601328}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9... | ["inflation", "us-economy", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1714399696735 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4835891101577526 | nRFNJXJurjMDjEkM5KNz | {"NO": 17.880570489376396, "YES": 1657.6685055895714} | 0 | new-realdonaldtrump-tweet-before-05 | 1528.9218028044675 | New @realdonaldtrump Tweet before 05/10? | 1715399940000 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714242621807 | Manifest | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is a new Tweet on the @realdonaldtrump X account before May 10 2024 midnight Central Time, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to no. For the purposes of this market, likes, replies and retweets will not be sufficie... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.370233170424265, "platformFee": 4.370233170424265, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715493076429 | 160 | Manifest | 1715399940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKs4ivwXlfw5hVhXnylTr9DptiaPpPpJp0OCMy66sWTKu3NJA=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714011036131 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715395026923 | 0.01 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
wkc5ZRYwuyWsqZTNmnK1 | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-0395a0155d3f | 20 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for October 2024? | 1731502800000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242649623 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0807286060463504, "platformFee": 0.0807286060463504, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 215 | Tyler31 | 1714337751490 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "4235369acaf1", "prob": 0.12407092014297832, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.220217495661096, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 114.51321687372254, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "wkc5ZRYwuyWsqZTNmnK1", "createdTime": 1714242649623, "probChanges": {"day": 2.636... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714242649884}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242649886}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asX... | ["economics-default", "us-economy", "inflation"] | 0.25 | 1714337748039 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LTrDnQpy0KzhStG3jBio | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-08588b62e2a2 | 20 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for November 2024? | 1733922000000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242738996 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4483436605413275, "platformFee": 0.4483436605413275, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 235 | Tyler31 | 1714307133012 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "5f7f3e6b3ea6", "prob": 0.1038495339991336, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.160298518317731, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 104.93506098920959, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "LTrDnQpy0KzhStG3jBio", "createdTime": 1714242738996, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "we... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242739257}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714242739259}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asX... | ["us-economy", "economics-default", "inflation"] | 0.25 | 1714307129586 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4500662422231638 | AuVRc8mAIU68fbiAj31m | {"NO": 1376.6583148679456, "YES": 673.6790189087295} | 0.6258040032235215 | will-my-coolfold-financial-portfoli | 1169.6744016342286 | Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months? | 1730519940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.817704174027249 | False | basic | public | 1714242768733 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tracking spreadsheet: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Link HERE", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s1OxlwEalnadLVi8z0OMdV-tToKSRUnu8NpE52AF1hQ/edit#gid=0", "class": "break-anywhere ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.08745019708179524} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.716646935757545, "platformFee": 13.165627813391879, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719277616817 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Investing", "slug": "investing", "groupId": "uVOFCm1wHEnCBkk8fwY2", "createdTime": 1714242768898}, {"name": "๐ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714242768903}, {"name": "๐ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 171424276890... | ["investing", "stocks", "finance", "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718964825643 | 1718932313111 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
VLarAAdQOHIy3HAK4G5J | us-core-inflation-what-will-be-the-2d1c34582996 | 123 | US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for December 2024? | 1736773200000 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714242794781 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: BLS, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month, All items less food and energy.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.363788032932161, "platformFee": 2.363788032932161, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 295 | Tyler31 | 1715829375930 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "340770effe9c", "prob": 0.03435273905922717, "text": "0.1%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.066129000456053, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 198.62719252110935, "textFts": "'0.1':1", "contractId": "VLarAAdQOHIy3HAK4G5J", "createdTime": 1714242794781, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "we... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1714242795020}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714242795029}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9... | ["inflation", "us-economy", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1715829372601 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KI7a9eGJr8QI7STI092T | which-driver-will-be-the-winner-of-900d3570c1fa | 211 | Which driver will be the winner of the 2024 Wurth 400 Race? | 1714334400000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | ddb017993344 | public | 1714242853210 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Results verified at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Nascar.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Nascar.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underli... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.878631571594824, "platformFee": 5.878631571594824, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714344072900 | 1305 | ovals | 1714334400000 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "120443a61a59", "prob": 0.013095277441949498, "text": "Joey Logano", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.345946039627144, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 855.0691482508889, "textFts": "'joey':1 'logano':2", "contractId": "KI7a9eGJr8QI7STI092T", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQC... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Auto Racing", "slug": "auto-racing", "groupId": "MIDhbxvpwoHQ3QaG7xfU", "createdTime": 1714242853473}, {"name": "๐๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714242853475}, {"name": "NASCAR", "slug": "nascar", "groupId": "63ffc939-8e85-4288-a59f-a157f0ae08b7", "cr... | ["auto-racing", "sports-default", "nascar", "wurth-500"] | 0.25 | 1714271732613 | 1714344039427 | {"ddb017993344": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.177701752424098 | r2r7qPssWqNz64MBTv2W | {"NO": 558.8038611110378, "YES": 11955.202557804489} | 0 | if-trump-and-biden-have-a-debate-wi | 14906.269776412382 | If Trump and Biden have a debate, will RFK Jr. participate? | 1719587492013 | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714243231545 | mint | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Trump and Biden participate in a nationally televised debate in which RFK Jr. is also a participant, this market will resolve YES. If Trump and Biden have debate(s), but RFK Jr. is not present at atleast one, this market will resolve NO.", "type... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1590835376049691} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 58.7094177125607, "platformFee": 20.67524659632484, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719587492013 | 1000 | mint | 1719587492013 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697647723543 | 0 | [{"name": "๐๏ธ Debate", "slug": "debate", "groupId": "gOk2vU8cIw0cnCKM4GAh", "createdTime": 1714243231849}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714243231857}, {"name": "๐ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime"... | ["debate", "politics-default", "donald-trump", "us-politics", "robert-f-kennedy-jr"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719544620306 | 1719536883694 | 0.01 | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47195181712578677 | VPgVGidtYri6OZKrFKDg | {"NO": 374.02692143515947, "YES": 250.0859634679021} | 1 | will-any-more-tory-mps-defect-to-la | 208.36111111111111 | Will any more Tory MP's defect to Labour before the next UK General Election? | 1715166364072 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714243523574 | George King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dan Poulter defected to Labour today (27/04/2024). Will any more defect to Labour before the next GE?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.434869511051815, "platformFee": 3.434869511051815, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715166364072 | 310 | GeorgeKing | 1715174267012 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLREkWeCqCESZhunyVvs20CVlg5bdQm78RQqgj8U8d_bpTwoujRzA=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714089921913 | 0 | [{"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-f6d1f44dfa2c", "createdTime": 1714243523730}, {"name": "๐ฌ๐ง UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1714243523761}, {"name": ... | ["uk-conservative-party", "-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715166127651 | 1715174265606 | 0.57 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
X59JvtyVPdePi5lpneuo | how-many-views-will-mr-beasts-in-10 | 4540.435341075732 | How many views will Mr Beast's "In 10 Minutes This Room Will Explode!" video have after 1 month? | 1716730538971 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714243763577 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "May 27th", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ", one month after release? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"ty... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.12382874443202, "platformFee": 15.14509067596275, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716730538971 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1716730538971 | 0 | 15 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "2d8e6f9fe2bd", "prob": 0, "text": ">100 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.393001189955498, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1055.3175694638587, "textFts": "'100':1 'million':2", "contractId": "X59JvtyVPdePi5lpneuo", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVe... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "Mr. Beast", "slug": "mr-beast", "groupId": "fm5SLlSiPxQNZftQzAta", "createdTime": 1714243763792}, {"name": "๐งโ๐ค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1714243763811}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSn... | ["mr-beast", "celebrities", "entertainment", "youtube", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1716568833408 | 1714666836058 | 0 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | old | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42498998082940587 | G3u3UoFrimGF3U08zHKN | {"NO": 142.46944264110667, "YES": 238.41992603622103} | 0.3063524278640879 | will-the-11th-panchen-lama-gedhun-c | 60 | Will the 11th Panchen Lama (Gedhun Choekyi Nyima) be freed by the Chinese Government before the end of 2030? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714244351614 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Gedhun Choekyi Nyima turned 35 recently while still being detained by the Chinese government. He has not been seen in public since 1995.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"... | BINARY | {"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7900369818894812, "platformFee": 0.7900369818894812, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | strutheo | 1714347260071 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Religion", "slug": "religion", "groupId": "Oc6SrO47XuiKvrcujdXq", "createdTime": 1714244351776}, {"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714244351778}, {"name": "๐จ๐ณ China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 171424... | ["religion", "culture-default", "china", "geopolitics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714347256807 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
f8U1uNFpxZ0ykMIwJ53y | after-stage-1-of-the-2024-la-vuelta | 449.359336360267 | After Stage 1 of the 2024 La Vuelta Femenina, who will be wearing the Maillot Rojo? | 1714320000000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | ba9acc02f531 | public | 1714244560780 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7457175426069023, "platformFee": 1.7457175426069023, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714320275590 | 200 | ovals | 1714446946355 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "7bc9bd839711", "prob": 0.06424555340374614, "text": "Liane Lippert", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.903565253720858, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 144.24819668196795, "textFts": "'lian':1 'lippert':2", "contractId": "f8U1uNFpxZ0ykMIwJ53y", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7v... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Womens Cycling", "slug": "peloton-discord-65dd39510b70", "groupId": "gFM3R8fELUfxPcGgiRP1", "createdTime": 1714244560989}, {"name": "๐ฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1714244560996}, {"name": "Maillot Rojo", "slug": "maillot-rojo", "groupId": "9ca3... | ["peloton-discord-65dd39510b70", "road-bicycle-racing", "maillot-rojo", "vuelta-a-espana", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1714319083157 | 1714320267448 | {"ba9acc02f531": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5026136439645068 | kgvpKQDhkuSIZNErRWuQ | {"NO": 1596.7843350686703, "YES": 16.298644033991877} | 1 | will-the-fall-guy-2024-have-a-highe | 1798.2380210997737 | Will "The Fall Guy" (2024) have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than "Barbie"? (>83%) | 1715960282706 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714244784229 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Barbie\" (2023) was a massive hit, and it ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "currently has an 83% audience on Rotten Tomatoes", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/barbie", "class": "break-any... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.959345180593214, "platformFee": 5.959345180593214, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715960282706 | 160 | Ziddletwix | 1715960282706 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714244784420}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime": 1714244784431}, {"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB"... | ["entertainment", "boxoffice", "movies", "culture-default", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715951952274 | 1715058753883 | 0.99 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
i9d4Mgd3U1iSuDZHJbR9 | after-stage-2-of-the-2024-la-vuelta | 2962 | After Stage 2 of the 2024 La Vuelta Femenina, who will wear the Maillot Rojo? | 1714404600000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | fdbfa24f1cd6 | public | 1714244908412 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Results verified at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.lavueltafemenina.es/en", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lavueltafemenina.es/en", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prim... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.703305080267151, "platformFee": 5.703305080267151, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714408668477 | 440 | ovals | 1714446976157 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "19a0095316f0", "prob": 0.0008541397967579327, "text": "Liane Lippert", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.5480899015999512, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1810.906858897241, "textFts": "'lian':1 'lippert':2", "contractId": "i9d4Mgd3U1iSuDZHJbR9", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1714244908676}, {"name": "Womens Cycling", "slug": "peloton-discord-65dd39510b70", "groupId": "gFM3R8fELUfxPcGgiRP1", "createdTime": 1714244908677}, {"name": "Maillot Rojo", "slug": "maillot-rojo", "groupId": "9ca3... | ["road-bicycle-racing", "peloton-discord-65dd39510b70", "maillot-rojo", "vuelta-a-espana", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1714404441763 | 1714424094336 | {"fdbfa24f1cd6": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5281844652048648 | W6JVRrDxst4zvAQZbwG7 | {"NO": 164.24404373271932, "YES": 120.46814869653358} | 0.6041591683952092 | will-one-of-victortaelin-tszzl-repl | 25 | Will one of @victortaelin, @tszzl, @repligate, or @deepfates end up losing more than 50% of their tweets by EOY 2028? | 1861937940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714244952002 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.377978133640303, "platformFee": 0.377978133640303, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | StochasticParrot | 1714804828751 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | [{"name": "Social Media", "slug": "social-media", "groupId": "YzNv56EFKyx9DHwGYtIU", "createdTime": 1714244952144}, {"name": "โ๏ธ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714244952159}] | ["social-media", "twitter"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714261737827 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5214069133687923 | 7r44NcZYyiGtj6ejAGWe | {"NO": 149.11058625821065, "YES": 97.45298267022676} | 0.6250404508790229 | will-avi-eisenberg-plead-guilty-to | 30 | Will Avi Eisenberg plead guilty to the charges of possession of child pornography? | 1925009940000 | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714245033865 | Marcus Abramovitch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://bsky.app/profile/molly.wiki/post/3kr53kdiwq324", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://bsky.app/profile/molly.wiki/post/3kr53kdiwq324", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 ho... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4447068708946913, "platformFee": 0.4447068708946913, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | MarcusAbramovitch | 1714278819879 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668183636641 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714278816623 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lSdxuYtWAItHh6EJfUaD | will-kingdom-of-the-planet-of-the-a-6b4614a951af | 4564.600754124159 | Will "Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | 1716560622468 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714245131843 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes\" (2024) Rotten Tomatoes page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/kingdom_of_the_planet_of_the_apes", "type": "text"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.31197521114694, "platformFee": 13.85736692931903, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716560622468 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1716560622468 | 0 | 14 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "4bfefd4d9271", "prob": 0.99, "text": ">65%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 653.0955645011903, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.5969248939514085, "textFts": "'65':1", "contractId": "lSdxuYtWAItHh6EJfUaD", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "created... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1714245132051}, {"name": "๐บ Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714245132049}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fO... | ["movies", "television-film", "entertainment", "culture-default", "boxoffice"] | 0.25 | 1716560523700 | 1716560590346 | 0.99 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | alphabetical | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4324282606341449 | H71ce2ZHOntNmJOobFBH | {"NO": 576.606323492429, "YES": 717.9065159033387} | 0 | shortfuse-does-my-mom-know-who-sam-fefec00dcfd6 | 916.8932760218944 | [Short-Fuse ๐ฃ] Does *my* mom know who Sam Altman is? | 1714881540000 | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.541895512700671 | True | play | NO | public | 1714245617313 | mint | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Does MY mom know who Sam Altman is?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will talk to my mom next Saturday (1 week from today) and ask her a simple question, โWho is Sam Altman?โ. If she says, โT... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.07100911836649, "platformFee": 13.07100911836649, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714927709403 | 640 | mint | 1714881540000 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697647723543 | 0 | [{"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c", "createdTime": 1714245617525}, {"name": "Sam Altman", "slug": "sam-altman", "groupId": "1uWeVVcfTCgL7T2l7hJg", "createdTime": 1714245617521}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime":... | ["short-fuse", "sam-altman", "ai", "technology-default", "personal"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714866459183 | 1714927697070 | 0.38 | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4785930866312079 | WfxzEtxtxfmR46Rgqgto | {"NO": 97.45298267022676, "YES": 149.11058625821062} | 0.37495954912097734 | will-more-than-20-of-blood-bags-use | 30 | Will more than 20% of blood bags use non-PVC, or non-plastic/microplastic-emitting material on the inside, by EOY 2030? | 1925009940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714246041993 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4447068708946913, "platformFee": 0.4447068708946913, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | StochasticParrot | 1714257566832 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714257563442 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | KimtRQc6KQFoDfW6AP5A | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-victor-li-victorljz-get-a-girl | 0 | Will Victor Li (@VictorLJZ) get a girlfriend by EOY 2028? | 1861937940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714246101890 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1714246102035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | [{"name": "Relationships", "slug": "relationships", "groupId": "VAXyYZa2gTqTJa0LocsG", "createdTime": 1714246102033}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1714246102035}] | ["relationships", "dating"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5217306432834764 | bbnVg2lky0KjRWqzSY0a | {"NO": 351.00949207061484, "YES": 77.47488060366166} | 0.8317158403737105 | will-henry-arithmoquine-get-a-girlf | 222 | Will henry (@arithmoquine) get a girlfriend by EOY 2028? | 1861937940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714246157150 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.3952129243720806, "platformFee": 2.3952129243720806, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | StochasticParrot | 1716072357380 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | [{"name": "Relationships", "slug": "relationships", "groupId": "VAXyYZa2gTqTJa0LocsG", "createdTime": 1714246157349}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1714246157350}, {"name": "โค๏ธโ๐ฅ Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdT... | ["relationships", "dating", "sex-and-love"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716072354108 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NAvOzKCdlg891Tlt4JBc | if-you-could-press-a-button-that-tu | 0 | If you could press a button that turned everyone into biological females, would you? | 1716879540000 | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714246478477 | singer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We take for granted here that the epistemic shock of something impossible happening wouldn't cause any major societal disturbances and that, after a few weeks, everyone would take the event for granted and have gotten used to it.", "type": "text"}]... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716879540296 | singer | 1714265498874 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695522783407 | 0 | 0.25 | 1714265497424 | ["7f135615b880"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8916785490376162 | LoynXB6m8GMfsHqxY8JX | {"NO": 1502.3854223310375, "YES": 138.14433303551357} | 1 | will-real-madrid-win-the-spanish-la | 1754.2183999752094 | Will Real Madrid win the Spanish Laliga? | 1714345140000 | iLJseJfTc4XDPY5v3w37XTEhsXf1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714247583939 | Yemisi Ajetumobi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.509491079640981, "platformFee": 3.509491079640981, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716663231483 | 240 | YemisiAjetumobi | 1714345140000 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714247414257 | 0 | [{"name": "โฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714247584163}, {"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1714247584170}, {"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1714247584171}] | ["soccer", "la-liga", "uefa"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714344954866 | 1716366092563 | 0.99 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | LqCCzVfYM6vQFwO0FCPv | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-manuel-m-mm03993418-perform-el | 0 | Will Manuel M (@mm03993418) perform ELISA on Minicircle data w/avg increase in follistatin levels > 7 ng/mL by 2026? | 1767243540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714248102799 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/mm03993418/status/1783227521439260997", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/mm03993418/status/1783227521439260997", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1714248111589 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | ErWPca1Zsi65HJYeBLqT | {"NO": 113.55566773228901, "YES": 88.06253531594133} | 0.5632213064865212 | will-bits-in-bio-slack-bitsinbiosla | 14 | Will bits in bio slack (bitsinbio.slack.com) finally upgrade so people can have access to more than 90 days, by EOY2027? | 1830315540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714249536375 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2221661338554958, "platformFee": 0.2221661338554958, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1714249545277 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714249541318 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
vvoHiEZ6EuK77EvInq1e | when-will-teslas-no-lobger-be-able | 166.06408269476503 | When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving? | 4134355140000 | PVghLfFlmBO25sDxZk4yl0RMfYx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714250345613 | geuber_ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, you can use the Tesla web browser even while actively driving. This market resolves to the year that you can no longer use this in the most recent update. Betas do not count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragrap... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.0994119817332044, "platformFee": 3.0994119817332044, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | geuber_ | 1714633294433 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "fd887c6584f7", "prob": 0.3858837483813591, "text": "2024-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.929806021476764, "userId": "PVghLfFlmBO25sDxZk4yl0RMfYx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 46.040456765766024, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "vvoHiEZ6EuK77EvInq1e", "createdTime": 1714250345614, "probChanges"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703972380297 | 0 | [{"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1714250345899}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714250345891}, {"name": "๐ Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "... | ["tesla", "technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.25 | 1714633290501 | 1714313785882 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sk8kg80NLPd9wfbNsLOA | is-it-good-that-musk-is-defying-aus | 0 | Is it good that Musk is defying Australia's attempted worldwide censorship of X? | 1716879540000 | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714250416972 | Jonathan Ray | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716879540296 | JonathanRay | 1714354449295 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1647294987992 | 0 | [{"name": "โ๏ธ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714250417146}, {"name": "๐ Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1714250417149}, {"name": "Internet Censorship", "slug": "internet-censorship", "groupId": "xc7qnOt... | ["twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "internet-censorship"] | 0.25 | 1714354447916 | ["3c4aa308e8fc"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4998504406086862 | A6yrdjMnA3nglCqVgHrg | {"NO": 240.706002652064, "YES": 165.8331426008604} | 0.5919411766822197 | will-i-enter-a-relationship-in-2024 | 120.40150605133148 | Will I enter a relationship in 2024? | 1735804740000 | lLJ59uxmELOLryUIN2pcT9jyMRH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714250789125 | Alex | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I had a break up in February that made me feel like I wouldn't be ready for anything serious during grad school.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "It's now March and I'm actively going on dates, identifying ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9739113445428913, "platformFee": 1.9739113445428913, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Alex | 1718303092061 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644869599300 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ค Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1714250789288}, {"name": "โค๏ธโ๐ฅ Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1714250789295}, {"name": "Smol Beans", "slug": "smol-beans", "groupId": "XdKmDFqB6Hzet3fYAoW9", "createdTime": 171... | ["fun", "sex-and-love", "smol-beans", "relationships"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716038119438 | 1718303090860 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | ThWvfp6FEZNU53qDuB8L | {"NO": 58.4142028726055, "YES": 171.19124302370133} | 0.25441122550284023 | will-i-double-my-twitterx-followers | 73 | Will I double my Twitter/X followers in 2024? | 1735804740000 | lLJ59uxmELOLryUIN2pcT9jyMRH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714251132249 | Alex | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves 'yes' if the follower count of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "@alex_calderwoo", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/alex_calderwoo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pri... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.15792184118580693} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5001273821455632, "platformFee": 0.3086295941531022, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Alex | 1718304003222 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644869599300 | 0 | [{"name": "โ๏ธ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714251132425}, {"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1714251132431}, {"name": "Social Media", "slug": "social-media", "groupId": "YzNv56EFKyx9DHwGYt... | ["twitter", "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "social-media"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718303999988 | 1717831873039 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | LS4aoXdAx7aomiIoMGIH | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-mathematica-and-maple-software | 0 | Will Mathematica and Maple (software) be interoperable with each other by EOY 2028? | 1861937940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714251307869 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1714251307869 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7087594333488035 | SE61WpLJ0BkbljaMfGT3 | {"NO": 1521.3206575785725, "YES": 827.1624800910071} | 1 | will-i-advance-to-a-phd-candidate-o | 626.6669013035798 | Will I advance to a PhD candidate on my first try? | 1716965940000 | lLJ59uxmELOLryUIN2pcT9jyMRH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.644746097443004 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714251809351 | Alex | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will propose a dissertation project this month. Will I pass (will it get accepted by my committee)? Passing with minor edits counts. Having to redo the advancement does not. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.393089442895494, "platformFee": 1.9786763828847533, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716974839541 | 1000 | Alex | 1716997836108 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644869599300 | 0 | [{"name": "Graduate School", "slug": "graduate-school", "groupId": "ZLKkr0lGopfuMAMSyvr1", "createdTime": 1714251809526}, {"name": "๐ Academia", "slug": "-academia", "groupId": "96982729-5728-43e0-a698-6231f2f6c989", "createdTime": 1714251809525}, {"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqS... | ["graduate-school", "-academia", "personal"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716955429795 | 1716997834635 | 0.82 | lLJ59uxmELOLryUIN2pcT9jyMRH2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NY22JzmqD7rXzIvNGcq0 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-d409f07f112c | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Voldemort? | 1714277776086 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714253528646 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714277820515 | strutheo | 1714277777660 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | ["90fd60df790f"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Eoyyg9Q21xH3xCHt8AXK | at-the-end-of-2045-which-country-wi | 40 | At the end of 2045 which country will have the tallest standing building? | 2398395540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714253608226 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_tallest_buildings", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_tallest_buildings", "class": "break-anywhere hover:und... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9803901083446344, "platformFee": 0.9803901083446344, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 420 | strutheo | 1714313785138 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2ab40bfd2930", "prob": 0.054203650939764585, "text": "United States", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.441066986245708, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 199.63451164885274, "textFts": "'state':2 'unit':1", "contractId": "Eoyyg9Q21xH3xCHt8AXK", "createdTime": 1714253608226, "probCh... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1714253608440}, {"name": "Infrastructure", "slug": "infrastructure", "groupId": "uej971gmu0jqm32ubg8I", "createdTime": 1714253608446}, {"name": "Architecture", "slug": "architecture", "groupId": "dAIyDroJQEDAky3vGm6i", "cre... | ["world-default", "infrastructure", "architecture", "urbanism", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1714313781773 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5278146781726529 | oVYRrkiBxBsfZ8vxdYal | {"NO": 194.27536611164936, "YES": 244.40049408024402} | 0.4704948223348748 | will-moderators-get-paid-before-end | 185.17423244354916 | Will Moderators get paid before end of 2024? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714253892899 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With Partner Program and Sweepstakes cash prize moderators will be busy. If they get incentives but are not paid this will resolve to a poll.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If they are paid c... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.03932339225011877} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.367204811145931, "platformFee": 2.7664353361249003, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | KeenenW | 1718016470951 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714253893081}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1714253893076}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "grou... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "moderators"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718016467781 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44604476048211206 | XdDVXsfhPNNgn1o8wT8Z | {"NO": 1470.30353046254, "YES": 20.099959579773667} | 1 | will-someone-find-a-glitchexploitlo | 1542.032663223541 | Will a glitch/exploit/loophole to consistently make an arbitrary amount of Spice be reported before the end of August? | 1717125003814 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714253922022 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be an unintended method that the team goes on to remove from Manifold", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.201361417266714, "platformFee": 3.8334752244672328, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717125003814 | 220 | strutheo | 1717125003814 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714253922334}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1714253922337}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "grou... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-drama", "bugs"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717124999792 | 1715882258275 | 0.98 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QLn2eBuRCxL5cK9DNdxr | do-you-think-peter-higgs-deserves-t | 0 | ๐๐Do you think PETER HIGGS deserves to go to Heaven, Hell, or Neither? | 1716077716482 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714254191756 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "zoJeOtA6R2xWU3kE6HXp", "label": "/strutheo/who-will-go-to-heaven-by-eoy-2025-a"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716077760778 | strutheo | 1716077720000 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Moral Philosophy", "slug": "moral-philosophy", "groupId": "7GLtF37iGwJNMAwTynMB", "createdTime": 1714254191902}, {"name": "๐ชฆ Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1714254191919}, {"name": "Death", "slug": "death", "groupId": "c3e79d12-8b00-473c-a37d-810c1... | ["moral-philosophy", "death-markets", "death", "life-death", "ethics"] | 0.25 | ["6f753aeb42a0"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qMz6EAB5QFqFqgk1Tnkz | do-you-think-dan-wakefield-deserves | 0 | ๐๐Do you think DAN WAKEFIELD deserves to go to Heaven, Hell, or Neither? | 1716868740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714254216048 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "zoJeOtA6R2xWU3kE6HXp", "label": "/strutheo/who-will-go-to-heaven-by-eoy-2025-a"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716868740717 | strutheo | 1716013939137 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ชฆ Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1714254216291}, {"name": "Moral Philosophy", "slug": "moral-philosophy", "groupId": "7GLtF37iGwJNMAwTynMB", "createdTime": 1714254216293}, {"name": "Ethics", "slug": "ethics", "groupId": "8423af51-efe9-4061-82de-f61... | ["death-markets", "moral-philosophy", "ethics", "death", "life-death"] | 0.25 | 1716013937321 | ["dadcb99d30d3", "400ec623603f"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zbPq1zTr8rWCzi3R7vym | do-you-think-juan-vicente-perez-des | 0 | ๐๐Do you think Juan Vicente Perez deserves to go to Heaven, Hell, or Neither? | 1716868740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714254250418 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "zoJeOtA6R2xWU3kE6HXp", "label": "/strutheo/who-will-go-to-heaven-by-eoy-2025-a"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716868740718 | strutheo | 1714254252367 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Moral Philosophy", "slug": "moral-philosophy", "groupId": "7GLtF37iGwJNMAwTynMB", "createdTime": 1714254252366}, {"name": "Ethics", "slug": "ethics", "groupId": "8423af51-efe9-4061-82de-f61c3ebeac6a", "createdTime": 1714254252369}, {"name": "Death", "slug": "death", "groupId": "c3e79d12-8b00-473c-a37d-810c1e... | ["moral-philosophy", "ethics", "death", "death-markets", "life-death"] | 0.25 | ["a9651158bf8e", "0ed16b0e46a4"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49904402152480987 | PQFpoIBas7zR1XaNJuIR | {"NO": 145.04783966778902, "YES": 135.04474965274284} | 0.5169019315722289 | did-marijuana-legalization-for-adul | 15 | Did Marijuana Legalization For Adults Increases Youth Cannabis Use? | 1745211540000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714254403194 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves to a poll when the markets closes. It will last 1 week and have 4 options.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes", "type": "text"}]}]},... | BINARY | {"day": 7.771561172376096e-16, "week": 7.771561172376096e-16, "month": 7.771561172376096e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2527885468353854, "platformFee": 0.2527885468353854, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | KeenenW | 1719813217125 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1714254403986}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714254403986}, {"name": "weed", "slug": "weed", "groupId": "b918750e-1b23-4223-8f0a-e4d8... | ["cannabis", "manifold-6748e065087e", "weed", "marijuana", "manifold-users"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714306551316 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5628801403563956 | P28otAaubiyP3Lj1VQC0 | {"NO": 674.3477400553536, "YES": 1352.4194042724416} | 0.39101559135390923 | will-a-ukrainian-citizen-be-deporte | 1025.2194643208363 | Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription? | 4102527540000 | 6KWjHgjrlzUCYTxXW9NEGzm5JWu1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.68031097872671 | False | basic | public | 1714255832614 | J00 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Poland and Lithuania's Defence Ministers have \"said they are prepared to help Ukrainian authorities return men subject to military conscription to the country\", according to the Guardian.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "para... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.01194850406033987} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 28.52968268928173, "platformFee": 5.4630467007238614, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | J00 | 1718658720829 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLk_gEnLrWNlyW6mDOUfpw0ts6v_z9wyYwNMpg17QPE=s96-c | 32 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705904068130 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1714255832797}, {"name": "Military", "slug": "military", "groupId": "bqdgUcWdGMqqFAy2DBKt", "createdTime": 1714255832801}, {"name": "๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "cr... | ["ukraine", "military", "ukrainerussia-war", "europe", "eu-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718658717786 | 1717301047457 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46257665559268046 | U2PjqWqv0oOGOesUEzmQ | {"NO": 112.68836510392353, "YES": 307.43210122882255} | 0.23983179172986469 | scottish-parliament-will-there-be-a | 234.60106234535232 | Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election? | 1778108340000 | LWRrUOgsKFPT0ItXQqYDqqsUVSX2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714256038282 | Niall Weaver | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Scottish_Parliament_election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Scottish_Parliament_election", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:dec... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.8675182667286405, "platformFee": 2.8675182667286405, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | NiallWeaver | 1714997286297 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1679261276176 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฌ๐ง UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1714256038432}, {"name": "Scotland", "slug": "scotland", "groupId": "0NcQ0rf4rcCvny12bk3g", "createdTime": 1714256038441}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conse... | ["-uk-general-election-2024", "scotland", "uk-conservative-party"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714997283027 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999895 | MqqAhrr3lbYLJmBQHiCV | {"NO": 100.00000000000004, "YES": 100.00000000000016} | 0.49999999999999867 | test-e0750e121f0f | 3970.9212912352377 | test | 1714256502120 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.57033333971475 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1714256279122 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -1.3322676295501878e-15} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.6358613405994, "platformFee": 11.6358613405994, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714256502120 | 100 | AmmonLam | 1714256761285 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "testing", "slug": "testing", "groupId": "Lokp5JWIA0BDlEPePSfS", "createdTime": 1714256279287}] | ["testing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714256494159 | 1714256759857 | 0.5 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48627808496306424 | hg2kxatPOpWa5C9jM7rd | {"NO": 130.3769400930682, "YES": 150.64626029139004} | 0.450313008723666 | will-repligates-generativeink-be-pa | 11 | Will @repligate's generative.ink be part of the Common Crawl by EOY 2024? | 1735707540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714257880056 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.17686985430499294, "platformFee": 0.17686985430499294, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | StochasticParrot | 1714287031090 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714287027794 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
euPZ0ZJc5JOVuMgyT7JL | when-will-extropic-ai-ship-a-produc | 469.2994649389471 | When will Extropic AI ship a product? | 2240636340000 | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714259546569 | notarealuser | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Forecast the year Extropic AI, a company specializing in integrating generative AI with physics principles, will ship its first product. Predictions range from 2024 to 2040.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": ... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.59558244479677, "platformFee": 13.59558244479677, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | notarealuser | 1714851593887 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4e586211e59d", "prob": 0.006444743887498635, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.2546019245522189, "userId": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 193.41596163125746, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "euPZ0ZJc5JOVuMgyT7JL", "createdTime": 1714259546569, "probChange... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700298590902 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714259546804}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714259546819}, {"name": "Quantum Computing", "slug": "quantum-computing", "groupId": "WppmGHiwW2nxSiHi2FiQ", "cre... | ["technology-default", "ai", "quantum-computing"] | 0.25 | 1714851590412 | 1714448423585 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LaLRo0SfVpTPnM56DtMv | who-will-be-the-runnersup-in-mens-b | 50 | Who Will Be the Runners-Up in Menโs Basketball at the Paris Olympics? | 1723532340000 | Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714260389102 | vibhav | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "DM with questions ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thanks for participating!", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3565659137565916, "platformFee": 0.3565659137565916, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vibhav | 1714261200787 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4ad12a6779cf", "prob": 0.10424636334850367, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.608691589032853, "userId": "Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 116.93487033396627, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "LaLRo0SfVpTPnM56DtMv", "createdTime": 1714260389102, "probChanges": {"day": 1.3877... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705419897240 | 0 | [{"name": "Olympics", "slug": "olympics", "groupId": "WdIYm7PwGLqo1N1zVtEF", "createdTime": 1714260389373}, {"name": "2024 Summer Olympics", "slug": "2024-summer-olympics", "groupId": "q6FVZCgJy5BrIrMvIlXM", "createdTime": 1714260389371}, {"name": "Paris 2024", "slug": "paris-2024", "groupId": "a52dcbc5-b87d-4c85-86d4-... | ["olympics", "2024-summer-olympics", "paris-2024", "sports-default", "basketball"] | 0.25 | 1714261197402 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JvZg93akNj3kP5eMu7zt | what-are-your-views-on-cryptocurren | 0 | What are your views on cryptocurrencies besides bitcoin? | nAvJSIWPmhNruNDH7Svb81POXXv2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1714263337842 | Jonas Wang | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | JonasWang | 1714263337842 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLLu6Wb5H14uX8GKemaf4N4893MdXlrj5OXvkdeRexEXcU_Dw=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713328086559 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | kKpwhlrGDWyscsZLxPEc | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | tlc-channel-goodbye | 0 | TLC Channel Goodbye | 1714314608392 | dnH7ASqYnfQ0OycdQietIfM9jai2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714667 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1714263736554 | Nick Julian III | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "tic channel closed 1972-2024 are is your tic channel rip 1972-2024 new nickelodeon nick xd 2024-upcoming", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714314608392 | 100 | NickJulianIII | 1714314608392 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJgqZDAylafazrbkcNOEmoZ9lmX57sdIRZZC7QspSgfn08=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708988078140 | 0 | [{"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1714263736827}] | ["tv"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48172285497319556 | 8xR6EASxqUs1tRf2Q44H | {"NO": 73.16903419381373, "YES": 280.3136954189714} | 0.1952457099465452 | will-joe-biden-appear-on-the-howard | 166.21552600207838 | Will Joe Biden appear on the Howard Stern show again (after April 27, 2024)? | 1735707540000 | W02e6ok1haOPFbK9dv14zzIdBb03 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714266086064 | Frederick Norris | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Has the be live in some fashion, whether in Studio or on the phone, not just playing a tape of him.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.24314510575667822, "month": -0.24314510575667822} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.064899534944871, "platformFee": 0.405879044005277, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | FrederickNorris | 1720042177499 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1nG8JLEomMagK6stKR9jLtLP2h-QTJkMxC9Qz-tJy8A=s96-c | 4 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1693276148495 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ด๐ผ Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1714266086206}] | ["the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720042174401 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
C6EJgHlWQvxrl7a0zu9R | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-73 | 100 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 73) | 1714339071487 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714266249038 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5810560277748065, "platformFee": 0.5810560277748065, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714339298332 | 125 | komplexkonjugat | 1714340074454 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4e4cc154ae88", "prob": 0.96, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 123.83788794445039, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.0469206991026425, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct':3 'mattcwilso... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1714266249195}, {"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1714266249200}] | ["gaming", "manifoldplaysciv6"] | 0.25 | 1714332005365 | 1714340073217 | 0.96 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CqZK4CJH0VcPthnqvF8v | in-new-york-city-what-will-be-the-h-ce3a2f7616b4 | 481.18051126510056 | In New York City, what will be the high temperature on April 28, 2024? | 1714320000000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 970667b162fe | public | 1714267818646 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.9825150067158175, "platformFee": 3.9825150067158175, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714343861586 | 495 | ovals | 1714343912276 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "970667b162fe", "prob": 0.028158596312145585, "text": "78F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.509640892272591, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 259.18124131741604, "textFts": "'78f':1", "contractId": "CqZK4CJH0VcPthnqvF8v", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1714267818977}, {"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1714267819025}, {"name": "๐ง๏ธ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA... | ["high-temperature", "new-york", "weather", "climate"] | 0.25 | 1714317515977 | 1714343910960 | {"970667b162fe": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3E1c4AyKj0Yljh5Maer6 | in-chicago-what-will-be-the-high-te-83a95cba17d3 | 456 | In Chicago, what will be the high temperature on April 28, 2024? | 1714323600000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 2dc6195ec938 | public | 1714267983540 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM CT on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/chicago/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.608521926694478, "platformFee": 2.608521926694478, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714353196506 | 355 | ovals | 1714353241224 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "35514607a063", "prob": 0.041469650498357984, "text": "78F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.508506991506305, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 219.77982501126283, "textFts": "'78f':1", "contractId": "3E1c4AyKj0Yljh5Maer6", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1714267983765}, {"name": "Chicago", "slug": "chicago", "groupId": "Z7gLS1Ih9mM5ayTk86JM", "createdTime": 1714267983762}, {"name": "๐ชธ Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw"... | ["high-temperature", "chicago", "climate", "weather"] | 0.25 | 1714321371936 | 1714353234362 | {"2dc6195ec938": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4qpzKYTPOBk7Lbtcqz3Q | in-san-francisco-what-will-be-the-h-aa2e3cc306ab | 110 | In San Francisco, what will be the high temperature on April 28, 2024? | 1714330800000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 6dbedcf10c4e | public | 1714268183975 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM PT on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/san-francisco/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9280263120594476, "platformFee": 1.9280263120594476, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714353381446 | 355 | ovals | 1714330800000 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a68200574b9b", "prob": 0.034330060678841326, "text": "69F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.735275381773566, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 189.45649499644554, "textFts": "'69f':1", "contractId": "4qpzKYTPOBk7Lbtcqz3Q", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1714268184218}, {"name": "๐ง๏ธ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714268184231}, {"name": "๐ชธ Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2Egd... | ["high-temperature", "weather", "climate", "san-francisco"] | 0.25 | 1714322382057 | 1714353366060 | {"6dbedcf10c4e": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9280933998953551 | C8yRaeURVWHgF19QQmBC | {"NO": 1149.4242772512962, "YES": 149.8539173788443} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-f14e1e884807 | 1666.3538707741727 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on April 28? | 1714366740000 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714271434210 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3167005522802033, "platformFee": 3.3167005522802033, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714453682356 | 240 | JCDM | 1714366740000 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "Jimmy Carter Daily", "slug": "jimmy-carter-daily", "groupId": "19215cc1-e005-4008-80ba-e4df0c64d06f", "createdTime": 1714271435225}, {"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1714271435228}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sI... | ["jimmy-carter-daily", "longevity", "public-figures", "entertainment", "jimmy-carter"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714365701938 | 0.99 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wrw7N7ge3WwzmGZOLFdo | when-will-the-us-have-its-first-ath | 127 | When will the U.S. have its first atheist president? | 3187317540000 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714271691020 | Plasma Ballin' | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the purposes of this market, I will count anyone as an atheist if any of the following things are true of them:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1282684645169256, "platformFee": 1.1282684645169256, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | PlasmaBallin | 1714510401586 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "e866134787bd", "prob": 0.056617086894867066, "text": "2020s", "index": 0, "poolNo": 27.560600166525383, "userId": "eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 459.2288423511192, "textFts": "'2020s':1", "contractId": "Wrw7N7ge3WwzmGZOLFdo", "createdTime": 1714271691020, "probChanges": {"day": -1... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668786016313 | 0 | [{"name": "US presidents", "slug": "us-presidents", "groupId": "eb2744b9-ba7d-44bf-85f7-3e9149765adf", "createdTime": 1714271691275}, {"name": "Religion", "slug": "religion", "groupId": "Oc6SrO47XuiKvrcujdXq", "createdTime": 1714271691282}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqti... | ["us-presidents", "religion", "us-politics", "atheism", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1714510398241 | 1714290187865 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5265909920357401 | VEM1Y5RuNAaeX6DO043b | {"NO": 235.22370022081714, "YES": 276.9553403212764} | 0.485790109098698 | will-the-cftc-ban-derivative-bets-o | 205.36344199481897 | Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714271879962 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3235004654078932, "platformFee": 3.3235004654078932, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | strutheo | 1715875396619 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "US Legislature", "slug": "us-legislation", "groupId": "osXYfZnBqEFqaNvb8thn", "createdTime": 1714271880097}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714271880102}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "... | ["us-legislation", "politics-default", "law-order", "us-politics", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715875374032 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41769761209106765 | r7xZDz6SrAH5eBYad0Rm | {"NO": 219.79888917912626, "YES": 320.38198612627684} | 1 | will-anyone-convince-me-that-christ | 110 | Will anyone convince me that Christopher Hitchens thought waterboarding was not torture? | 1714892340000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714271964453 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There's a common narrative online that Christopher Hitchens was a defender of the US waterboarding terrorists and/or believed it was not a form of torture, until he tried it himself and changed his mind.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6001179189249826, "platformFee": 1.6001179189249826, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715379775333 | 260 | IsaacKing | 1714892340000 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1646352460573 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1714271964636}, {"name": "โ๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1714271964640}] | ["personal", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714376820534 | 1714328022111 | 0.33 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4268922692731048 | mePRkd2KRkjqnIIXfj4N | {"NO": 245.16604814242004, "YES": 276.46545841022987} | 0.39778755833081914 | will-colin-jost-and-scarlett-johans | 89.3568798185732 | Will Colin Jost and Scarlett Johansson divorce before the end of 2030? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714272594687 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3886957076472608, "platformFee": 1.3886957076472608, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | strutheo | 1716337220769 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714272610368}, {"name": "๐งโ๐ค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1714272619335}, {"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJ... | ["entertainment", "celebrities", "culture-default", "relationships", "sex-and-love"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716337217379 | 1716316576268 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6407485735694748 | QrdJovZPsi73ahAfddTR | {"NO": 272.3503324090757, "YES": 184.47252671856106} | 0.7247612369762579 | will-the-borderlands-movie-suck-lik | 134 | Will the Borderlands movie Suck like YourMovieSucks predicts? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714272998245 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See:", "type": "text"}, {"text": " https://www.youtube.com/shorts/GRwyDIcp4uo", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/shorts/GRwyDIcp4uo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pri... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7499329859514812, "platformFee": 1.7499329859514812, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | strutheo | 1714386384593 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1714272998381}, {"name": "๐บ Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714272998386}, {"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "cr... | ["youtube", "television-film", "culture-default", "entertainment", "destinygg"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714386381156 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BQskrJN85l856NIDj6O2 | which-jockey-will-have-the-most-win-7f11670a7ec8 | 84 | Which jockey will have the most wins at Churchill Downs on April 30th? | 1714510500000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714274720269 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prima... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0139150025824992, "platformFee": 1.0139150025824992, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714512973574 | 255 | ovals | 1714510500000 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4c1c233bfdb3", "prob": 0.24, "text": "Declan Cannon", "index": 0, "poolNo": 20.35198576050429, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 64.50883281952368, "textFts": "'cannon':2 'declan':1", "contractId": "BQskrJN85l856NIDj6O2", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Churchill Downs", "slug": "churchill-downs", "groupId": "2a71d897-9cc4-47fc-a401-6ea0174eabe1", "createdTime": 1714274720472}, {"name": "Horse racing", "slug": "horse-racing", "groupId": "ef96178c-314c-4aed-be84-e13d3875ff06", "createdTime": 1714274720469}, {"name": "Jockey", "slug": "jockey", "groupId": "38... | ["churchill-downs", "horse-racing", "jockey", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1714480884162 | 1714512933174 | 0.5 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16161512651862975 | vCuQyIbo1J5gdG2EMfhj | {"NO": 874.4962298497933, "YES": 1609.1455806718711} | 0.09482714963649451 | will-chat-gpt-5-release-before-trum | 865 | Will Chat GPT 5 release before Trump's Vice President Running Mate? | 1722484740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.904456087010267 | False | basic | public | 1714278036781 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.003258683972402962, "month": -0.033235335719474776} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.675215227823783, "platformFee": 3.6198761031229454, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719735048994 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ค OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714278037732}, {"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714278037731}, {"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1714278037734}, {"name": "... | ["openai", "ai", "chatgpt", "gpt5-speculation", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719735045892 | 1714431773764 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TnQnHZwRBvKcqyAhfgqD | which-rookie-quarterback-will-have-cff6268a1f0b | 264.79231490201533 | Which rookie quarterback will have the most regular season passing yards in 2024? | 1738252740000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714278281567 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the 2024 regular season, including games in Janaury 2025", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.648755105045556, "platformFee": 2.6432608433496108, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JoshuaWilkes | 1718828774499 | 0 | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "477ac017b056", "prob": 0.46176438214426396, "text": "Caleb Williams (Bears)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 318.530135486378, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 371.280832625197, "textFts": "'bear':3 'caleb':1 'william':2", "contractId": "TnQnHZwRBvKcqyAhfgqD", "createdTime": 171427... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "NFL Futures", "slug": "nfl-futures", "groupId": "470aae8a-05a8-4fee-8127-7e3fbd4db7c8", "createdTime": 1714278281784}, {"name": "NFL Draft", "slug": "nfl-draft", "groupId": "6489a62f-1dcd-4e12-bb31-7f28c7c87983", "createdTime": 1714278281786}, {"name": "๐ NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Ql... | ["nfl-futures", "nfl-draft", "nfl"] | 0.25 | 1718828771357 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
l5zd9TpzqmO4bETa5aR8 | what-government-positions-will-tom | 1442.9122832029107 | What government positions will Tom Scott (the YouTuber) hold for any length of time in the rest of his life? | 2556161940000 | MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714278463120 | CodeandSolder | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting from this market's creation. Terms used refer to presidency, congress, states, and so on in whatever their most obvious normal meaning is in any country. Note that this market refers to time served, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not", "typ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.456629514426774, "platformFee": 7.163425713212721, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1215 | CodeandSolder | 1719705724331 | 0 | 10 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "ee0233b96d25", "prob": 0.04277248239300452, "text": "President", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.889487811756176, "userId": "MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 377.97858780216865, "textFts": "'presid':1", "contractId": "l5zd9TpzqmO4bETa5aR8", "createdTime": 1714278463121, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671480541301 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714278463374}, {"name": "๐งโ๐ค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1714278463384}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "create... | ["politics-default", "celebrities", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 1719705721225 | 1714293284511 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49991463572784584 | nwHbuZvjPrlNNMIxlQ1X | {"NO": 49.7669696139302, "YES": 802.6158138045757} | 0 | will-bad-lip-reading-post-a-video-o | 670 | Will Bad Lip Reading post a video on the White House Correspondents' dinner before June 2024? | 1717254204616 | 9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714281019319 | Quroe | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bad Lip Reading is a YouTube channel that makes comedy videos on popular events or media, except they switch out the audio with something else the subject \"plausibly\" could have visibly said. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.05836693545970933} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.451370150409845, "platformFee": 1.1816089753550312, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717254204616 | 200 | Quroe | 1717254204616 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705720408182 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1714281019660}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714281019799}] | ["youtube", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717092960390 | 1714316599504 | 0.06 | 9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25305909522097997 | YIqR8HP8hbuv2s6Pb34H | {"NO": 834.7034217867676, "YES": 1540.8970463081816} | 0.1550661450879284 | according-to-the-rolling-stone-wagn | 691.8764543132378 | According to Rolling Stone, Wagner mercenaries are now hunting the warlord Joseph Kony. Will he be apprehended in 2024? | 1735718340000 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.68119657994626 | False | basic | public | 1714282965617 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Rolling Stone:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/russian-mercenaries-wagner-joseph-kony-warlord-1235011454/", "class": "bre... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -0.01859036284111945, "month": -0.025637198308042924} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.750255641283701, "platformFee": 6.797309894353552, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1719737815449 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714282966341}, {"name": "Wagner Group", "slug": "wagner-group", "groupId": "d86d53c0-0cc5-4951-a5c4-6e064e31c5b2", "createdTime": 1714282966338}, {"name": "๐งโ๐ค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIc... | ["politics-default", "wagner-group", "celebrities", "world-default", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719737812381 | 1714311489317 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QhRWHL4RMOm8oLmNRqu4 | where-will-i-study-abroad | 276.81075334122085 | Where will I study abroad? | 1846047540000 | HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714283577763 | Conflux | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Iโm attending Stanford! Since I live so close by, Iโm especially interested in studying abroad in another continent (probably Europe or Asia) - but Iโm not sure where I want to go. Iโm not really fluent in any foreign language, but Iโm reasonably p... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.404586961769182, "platformFee": 2.404586961769182, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 500 | Conflux | 1715663530132 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "94f766173826", "prob": 0.03292690776783898, "text": "NONE", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.258369210149509, "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 301.2913603447547, "textFts": "'none':1", "contractId": "QhRWHL4RMOm8oLmNRqu4", "createdTime": 1714283577763, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "w... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640740518271 | 0 | [{"name": "Stanford", "slug": "stanford", "groupId": "5d3e362a-d2e6-4edc-9f33-b4bc449d07ee", "createdTime": 1714283578228}, {"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1714283578307}] | ["stanford", "personal"] | 0.25 | 1715663526675 | 1714330237111 | True | 0 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.