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0.14000000000000004
GOYkaZ035FBuj3sgJOT0
{"NO": 86.19219155893866, "YES": 249.1215673774648}
0.05331991184845286
will-paul-christiano-named-as-us-ai
150
Will "Paul Christiano named as US AI Safety Institu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1769904000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714509921615
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
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LessWrong
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vms15yy4ppjAADvH0wuc
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1
will-larry-chief-mouser-to-the-cabi
28445.196291707707
Will Larry, Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, live to see another Prime Minister?
1720205958328
fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52
cpmm-1
0
6.606643938619181
True
basic
YES
public
1714509977165
Zac Parker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Larry, a cat who is currently 17, live to see the next Prime Minister of the UK?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, Larry has served under five prime minister and two monarchs. He...
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1720205958328
4750
ZacParker
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0
https://firebasestorage.…4d0-dbaec72eff5e
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9
0.3333333333333333
1648110702205
0
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fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52
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0.39146901858706196
is-the-qstar-misterious-technique-c
30
Is the Q-star misterious technique claimed by openAI the same of Quiet-STaR (the paper released by stanford)?
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cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
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public
1714510523622
Giacomo Bocchese
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
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GiacomoBocchese
1715187327951
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7i2135FD4y0mbn9D4yhXBj_5KyKAiNffbFVcgvk-WdrDV7A=s96-c
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1714509745936
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1715187324671
1714523911651
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what-will-be-the-top-rated-game-on
116.897421263713
What will be the top rated game on BoardGameGeek at the end of 2025?
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hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714510733942
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Going By combined \"Board Game Rank\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://boardgamegeek.com/browse/boardgame", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:under...
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strutheo
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https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
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{"NO": 161.26075083142058, "YES": 90.52310197767275}
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will-i-be-accepted-to-pair-2024
116.40150605133148
Will I be accepted to PAIR 2024?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
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1714511443843
Conflux
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which-will-spend-more-consecutive-w
310.11949496382357
Which will spend more consecutive weeks in the Netflix Top 10: "Unfrosted", or "Rebel Moon: Part Two"?
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Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
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CHOOSE_MULTIPLE
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1714511566254
Ziddletwix
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1680369520541
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will-marijuana-cannabis-be-legalise
360
Will marijuana (cannabis) be legalised for recreational use in the UK by 2026?
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10.586609649448985
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play
public
1714511922253
Elliot
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Cannabis is currently a Class B drug in the UK.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "conten...
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which-film-will-leave-the-netflix-t
703.0765956473231
Which film will leave the Netflix Top 10 first: "Anyone But You", or "Rebel Moon: Part Two"?
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Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
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CHOOSE_MULTIPLE
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1714512001234
Ziddletwix
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.557805130185065, "platformFee": 5.557805130185065, "liquidityFee": 0}
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[{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714512001483}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1714512001498}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime"...
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1715715328110
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10
Will "Thoughts on seed oil" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
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h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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1714512238144
Less Wrong
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LessWrong
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1715502366409
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if-cannabis-is-removed-from-schedul
160
If Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1 during Biden's presidency, and Trump wins, will he revert this within 1 year?
1768982340000
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
public
1714512488579
Dan Schwarz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market is canceled if the re-scheduling doesn't happen, or if Trump loses the election. Must happen betwe", "type": "text"}, {"text": "e", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "n Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2026.", "type": "text"},...
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DanSchwarz
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Will I be a practicing Catholic as of June 1, 2025?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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public
1714513055953
Enopoletus Harding
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I was baptized in April 2023 and continue to attend church weekly. Nevertheless, I find some of the Church's doctrines difficult (e.g., I don't think one can prove the Omni God outside religious doctrine).", "type": "text"}]}]}
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EnopoletusHarding
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0
https://firebasestorage.…5ad-95807cd293b0
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1714693901530
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110
Which jockey will have the most wins at Churchill Downs on May 1st?
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cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
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1714513099374
Stuart Slagle
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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1714600250579
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will-i-study-chess-today-may-2024-e
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Will I study chess today? May 2024 edition
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1714537496226
mr_mino
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Will home team win? (May 3, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️
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cpmm-multi-1
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MKT
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1714538205646
Franklin Baldo
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183
A week after Jimmy Carter's death, will the price of Jimmy Carter pins go up?
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nikki
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Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
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Charlie
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Will bitcoin go below $55000 in May 2024
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brian wang
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Will the total mana supply be higher or lower, 30 days after the first prize points are withdrawn to cash?
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Eliza
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Will rabbit_hmi make the features of the Rabbit r1 available as a standalone app, on Android or iOS, in 2024?
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1714542445581
Sky Velleity
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Will Nvidia stock NVDA end the month of May at $888 or more?
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chris (strutheo)
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chris (strutheo)
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Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 4/20?
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chris (strutheo)
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Which organization will Tim Dettmers work at after completing his PhD?
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Will Bitcoin hit $64K in May 2024?
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Crypto Cat
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