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0.14000000000000004 | GOYkaZ035FBuj3sgJOT0 | {"NO": 86.19219155893866, "YES": 249.1215673774648} | 0.05331991184845286 | will-paul-christiano-named-as-us-ai | 150 | Will "Paul Christiano named as US AI Safety Institu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714509921615 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.43921631126761274, "platformFee": 0.43921631126761274, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | LessWrong | 1715319931818 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1714509921775}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1715319928587 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7447770983165167 | vms15yy4ppjAADvH0wuc | {"NO": 32733.854671222718, "YES": 2415.0497579416806} | 1 | will-larry-chief-mouser-to-the-cabi | 28445.196291707707 | Will Larry, Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, live to see another Prime Minister? | 1720205958328 | fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.606643938619181 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714509977165 | Zac Parker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Larry, a cat who is currently 17, live to see the next Prime Minister of the UK?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, Larry has served under five prime minister and two monarchs. He... | BINARY | {"day": 0.04756861612858765, "week": 0.09730331674159787, "month": 0.13197957514398617} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 137.50244313616335, "platformFee": 17.547989375324065, "liquidityFee": 0} | 13050 | 1720205958328 | 4750 | ZacParker | 1720206430796 | 0 | 43 | 9 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1648110702205 | 0 | [{"name": "🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1714509977576}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1714509977578}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-de... | ["-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720185741019 | 1720206428860 | 0.98 | fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48172285497319567 | Ee5C81c6MsNM1d70r30d | {"NO": 117.04025716317608, "YES": 169.10473101468088} | 0.39146901858706196 | is-the-qstar-misterious-technique-c | 30 | Is the Q-star misterious technique claimed by openAI the same of Quiet-STaR (the paper released by stanford)? | 1735685940000 | zVStnk2gb4c50yTIgD8clBwog7A2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714510523622 | Giacomo Bocchese | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.44763449265954103, "platformFee": 0.44763449265954103, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | GiacomoBocchese | 1715187327951 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7i2135FD4y0mbn9D4yhXBj_5KyKAiNffbFVcgvk-WdrDV7A=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714509745936 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714510523760}, {"name": "GPT-4", "slug": "gpt4", "groupId": "eBnKor4XWTFwJQA6TOpd", "createdTime": 1714510523758}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714510523755}, {"name": "GPT-5... | ["openai", "gpt4", "ai", "gpt5-speculation", "q"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715187324671 | 1714523911651 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
wBLKBiiR9DnpOK9f0PzP | what-will-be-the-top-rated-game-on | 116.897421263713 | What will be the top rated game on BoardGameGeek at the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714510733942 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Going By combined \"Board Game Rank\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://boardgamegeek.com/browse/boardgame", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:under... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.8685303624196108, "platformFee": 1.8685303624196108, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 255 | strutheo | 1715037174879 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "93c184572d43", "prob": 0.09778721577881766, "text": "Brass: Birmingham", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.735990132117706, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 135.9584540726202, "textFts": "'birmingham':2 'brass':1", "contractId": "wBLKBiiR9DnpOK9f0PzP", "createdTime": 1714510733942,... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714510734397}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1714510734394}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8I... | ["entertainment", "board-games", "video-games", "card-games", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 1715037171619 | True | prob-desc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5420265609561369 | 1FGxOot02P8HMgYYI3DL | {"NO": 161.26075083142058, "YES": 90.52310197767275} | 0.678289333754585 | will-i-be-accepted-to-pair-2024 | 116.40150605133148 | Will I be accepted to PAIR 2024? | 1719903540000 | HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714511443843 | Conflux | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last year I made it to the final stage, only being rejected after the interview. (And I felt very good about my interview, so I think it genuinely was due to a lack of slots. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "The market was overly confident in me", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5986104875178393, "platformFee": 1.5986104875178393, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | Conflux | 1716395028784 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640740518271 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714511444120}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716395025162 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nSfy9v8KbxeQn8qdOCPu | which-will-spend-more-consecutive-w | 310.11949496382357 | Which will spend more consecutive weeks in the Netflix Top 10: "Unfrosted", or "Rebel Moon: Part Two"? | 1716992393373 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1714511566254 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S", "type": "text"}, {"text": "ource", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ": ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Netflix Top 10 Films (English)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.netflix.com/tu... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4270817898222536, "platformFee": 1.4270817898222536, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716992393373 | 100 | Ziddletwix | 1720053161621 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "470fdfe7cc25", "prob": 0.5140247406407136, "text": "Rebel Moon — Part Two: The Scargiver", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 51.422707053585874, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 48.61665484461633, "textFts": "'moon':2 'part':3 'rebel':1 'scargiv':6 'two':4", "contr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714511566592}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714511566602}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30X... | ["entertainment", "television-film", "tv", "culture-default", "movies"] | 0.25 | 1716318451610 | 1716992422425 | {"470fdfe7cc25": 50, "e1f04ca6c7b0": 50} | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3024711705756434 | CeE35zhWvzUMBfMAifH5 | {"NO": 115.02864365588593, "YES": 445.1337623755285} | 0.10076516296105055 | will-marijuana-cannabis-be-legalise | 360 | Will marijuana (cannabis) be legalised for recreational use in the UK by 2026? | 1767311940000 | hhHmuBsRMnQpDdJzrF3VDnnQZ3s2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714511922253 | Elliot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Cannabis is currently a Class B drug in the UK.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "conten... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.002968441265076366} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.955530707177626, "platformFee": 2.8844724678941507, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Elliot04624 | 1717751055563 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocITWArpK3sXS6d44npeePKoMgwjVLZOskwPr3Scv7NeB738RQ=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713507196976 | 0 | [{"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1714511922433}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1714511922444}, {"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-4621-8487-f98ffa56b0c5... | ["cannabis", "uk-politics", "drugs", "drug-policy", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717751052447 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ilQv4vXS2W97JdOeUv0W | which-film-will-leave-the-netflix-t | 703.0765956473231 | Which film will leave the Netflix Top 10 first: "Anyone But You", or "Rebel Moon: Part Two"? | 1715731366855 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1714512001234 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S", "type": "text"}, {"text": "ource", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ": ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Netflix Top 10 Films (English)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.netflix.com/tu... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.557805130185065, "platformFee": 5.557805130185065, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715731366855 | 240 | Ziddletwix | 1720053161621 | 0 | 11 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1920cb1287c1", "prob": 0.36744561165852874, "text": "Anyone But You", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 100.30603024192142, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 172.6759487485827, "textFts": "'anyon':1", "contractId": "ilQv4vXS2W97JdOeUv0W", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYc... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714512001483}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1714512001498}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime"... | ["television-film", "tv", "culture-default", "entertainment", "movies"] | 0.25 | 1715715328110 | 1715731412888 | {"188630367d5f": 50, "1920cb1287c1": 50} | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14 | LOHmVCeDbsOIle38lVtM | {"NO": 109.4582117253896, "YES": 57.39882493179003} | 0.23689638866107932 | will-thoughts-on-seed-oil-make-the | 10 | Will "Thoughts on seed oil" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714512238144 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.27089413730519935, "platformFee": 0.27089413730519935, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | LessWrong | 1715502369642 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1714512238621}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1715502366409 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3655076946593527 | nkiJsNamQbY18h4hlEF5 | {"NO": 78.89903042231842, "YES": 297.02023191993425} | 0.13271436966991892 | if-cannabis-is-removed-from-schedul | 160 | If Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1 during Biden's presidency, and Trump wins, will he revert this within 1 year? | 1768982340000 | w3hpoDoivgQ8fq7wAQSQ70m97B92 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714512488579 | Dan Schwarz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market is canceled if the re-scheduling doesn't happen, or if Trump loses the election. Must happen betwe", "type": "text"}, {"text": "e", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "n Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2026.", "type": "text"},... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.489884040032828, "platformFee": 1.489884040032828, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | DanSchwarz | 1714532010440 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaxrFcxMLjIfGqD4WM8MtWH3eVdi5_rKHnBdFQca28=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677888229628 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714532007126 | 1714522207142 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6003330476571271 | 9GWNRF8irjSGelvbxXBY | {"NO": 6178.984868099394, "YES": 144.43298991580934} | 1 | will-openai-have-an-event-before-ma | 22185.08915340183 | Will OpenAI have an event before May 15? | 1715621218274 | aewrKmqZeeP6AAjUaYsgvKGjGmy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714533500711 | Async | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Leak Source:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fva3afAmfet.png?alt=media&token=399c6089-2ab0-4043-b0b9-94091da49515"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 156.27252135900457, "platformFee": 156.27252135900457, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715621218274 | 660 | T38f3 | 1715621218274 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702767368021 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714533500861}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714533500864}] | ["ai", "openai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715620732068 | 1715526351056 | 0.98 | aewrKmqZeeP6AAjUaYsgvKGjGmy1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rPyz5oqgknhXQKIYgbCc | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-76 | 20 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 76) | 1714600740000 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714533569659 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.24558359023816773, "platformFee": 0.24558359023816773, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714629181426 | 125 | komplexkonjugat | 1714651411974 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a0a2f118fdd1", "prob": 0.76, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 44.50883281952366, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 14.042156587980575, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct':3 'mattcwilson... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1714533569825}, {"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1714533569834}] | ["gaming", "manifoldplaysciv6"] | 0.25 | 1714536247453 | 1714651410517 | 0.76 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2224606448618578 | WQ4YHeGDkEoXIiBifjLr | {"NO": 932.4948553203076, "YES": 1156.9752592843467} | 0.18738612046792502 | will-columbia-undergraduate-applica | 242 | Will Columbia undergraduate applications decrease by >=10% next application season? | 1743134340000 | XKa2QecvfKW8eGR6d5XoAIBwqVG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.671602020592854 | False | basic | public | 1714535452245 | justanotherstrange | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will use data provided by Columbia.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.567065309762592, "platformFee": 2.567065309762592, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | justanotherstrange | 1715603438889 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJxmtmGqI7ApcG1Xgg73Ah73zc_WAP_V1YdwY7op124=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700237718402 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714535452396}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715135764383 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6307305526452196 | HXPJXlHkgLkrI9tJZaaA | {"NO": 269.2953048277072, "YES": 132.28557817790144} | 0.7766409667500225 | will-kirk-cousins-be-on-the-falcons | 114 | Will Kirk Cousins be on the Falcons on July 1, 2025? | 1751515140000 | BrBG7QaUHeMrx3ZXPqy5AxfeFTw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714536140381 | pitstop | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if he is on roster.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves no if he has been traded, cut or he retired.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conten... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3244754903529667, "platformFee": 1.3244754903529667, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | pitstop | 1714654394003 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1661266134199 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714536164400}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1714536167588}, {"name": "NFL Futures", "slug": "nfl-futures", "groupId": "470aae8a-05a8-4fee-8127-7e3fbd4db7c8", "creat... | ["sports-default", "nfl", "nfl-futures", "football", "atlanta-falcons"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714654390570 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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KzTnPJOVT0IoTpy5ScE1 | which-part-of-yourself-would-you-ra | 0 | Which part of yourself would you rather kill? | 1735711140000 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1714536822517 | Plasma Ballin' | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | PlasmaBallin | 1714908174389 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668786016313 | 0 | [{"name": "Cringe", "slug": "cringe", "groupId": "5d66eafd-8b69-401a-b847-1019926a87e2", "createdTime": 1714536822655}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714536822665}, {"name": "Personality", "slug": "personality-28d0a99b0819", "groupId": "7c028986-7eb... | ["cringe", "culture-default", "personality-28d0a99b0819"] | 0.25 | 1714908173092 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
OYKO0FjX4KxyJdaaSV5U | how-common-will-jury-nullification | 81 | How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review? | 1898668740000 | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714536990565 | AdamK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For each of the following years, I commit to spending at least $100 to fund a collaborative review by debaters and credible judges (with specific rules/mechanism tbd - open to suggestions) to give an estimate of the proportion of US criminal trials... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9887142162886516, "platformFee": 0.9887142162886516, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 285 | AdamK | 1714539992952 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "7e4940be62f1", "prob": 0.2584433648262667, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.77046022304758, "userId": "Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 82.55164797805845, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "OYKO0FjX4KxyJdaaSV5U", "createdTime": 1714536990565, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687620319599 | 0 | [{"name": "Jury Nullification", "slug": "jury-nullification", "groupId": "9d9b6f73-0fd2-4346-bc17-3ef38cf95a82", "createdTime": 1714536990848}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714536990850}, {"name": "Legal Decisions", "slug": "legal-decisions", "gr... | ["jury-nullification", "us-politics", "legal-decisions"] | 0.25 | 1714539976314 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ssm2TxUfDy5reftUcWAo | will-i-study-chess-today-may-2024-e | 25091.276032718448 | Will I study chess today? May 2024 edition | 1717224176390 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714537496226 | mr_mino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each date will resolve YES if I study at least 150 minutes of chess on that date, and NO otherwise. Chess study includes tactics, opening preparation and game study, but not online games. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "para... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 76.96226881183756, "platformFee": 53.2638665285421, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717224176390 | 1855 | mr_mino | 1717224176390 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c | 17 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "59f0f67f3e5d", "prob": 0.99, "text": "May 1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 628.0964107509228, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.344408189403282, "textFts": "'1':2 'may':1", "contractId": "ssm2TxUfDy5reftUcWAo", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700547753036 | 0 | [{"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1714537496571}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714537496579}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTim... | ["board-games", "personal-goals", "chess", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1717224161909 | 0.01 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | False | old | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xAFarnKIHjgbdpcPgkUi | will-home-team-win-may-3-2024-match | 2218.637733044803 | Will home team win? (May 3, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️ | 1714770707907 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714538205646 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Will home team win? (May 3, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Friday, May 3, 2024. The matches featured in this marke... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.179150394823732, "platformFee": 7.179150394823732, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714770707907 | 275 | FranklinBaldo | 1714770711845 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 8 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "36549d61d405", "prob": 0.01, "text": "18:30 - 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig - Bundesliga 🇩🇪", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.998287314117078, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1090.823874972472, "textFts": "'18':1 '1899':3 '30':2 'bundesliga':8 'hoffenheim':4 'leipzig':7 'rb':6... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714538206057}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 1714770490354 | 1714770710220 | 0.01 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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exVOzikuoMz864j7YZOe | how-many-shower-alerts-will-aella-p-5c3fe1f15689 | 1506.8600750246462 | How many shower alerts will Aella post in May 2024? | 1717239401789 | 8ntNjtw3m7gJKwpf2nDGEvnpU6y1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | b8ffc8d88e61 | public | 1714549355700 | Schneefackel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On 2024-03-16, Aella started ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "a new shower alert blog", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://showeralert.substack.com/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.73362256697954, "platformFee": 4.159739964366832, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717239401789 | 460 | Schneefackel | 1717239401789 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaIkLPQddNdum_OH2iW5S1nKX7q6NQ8X1v6csyu=s96-c | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b8ffc8d88e61", "prob": 0.9725052414230345, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 375.9938112254083, "userId": "8ntNjtw3m7gJKwpf2nDGEvnpU6y1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10.630131978464904, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "exVOzikuoMz864j7YZOe", "resolverId": "8ntNjtw3m7gJKwpf2nDGEvnpU6y1", "createdTime": 1714... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1683929838497 | 0 | [{"name": "Aella", "slug": "aella", "groupId": "PtIApT55aHEw0uQB4lNo", "createdTime": 1714549355922}] | ["aella"] | 0.25 | 1717227779760 | {"b8ffc8d88e61": 100} | 8ntNjtw3m7gJKwpf2nDGEvnpU6y1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 7vtYBYxf7I0E2WnotChZ | {"NO": 91.20363545458277, "YES": 109.64475209959984} | 1 | set-and-get-my-burpee-goal-at-least-e43fc1bc99ae | 60 | Set and get my burpee goal at least 3 weeks this month? | 1717128000000 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714550423865 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a weekly auto-generated market. Manually added details potentially forthcoming.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9748018226608121, "platformFee": 0.9748018226608121, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717137651075 | 100 | Charlie | 1719162896155 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1648498239600 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715538543969 | 1719162894948 | 0.45 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4057601198550276 | 48ciZfFppr1AqhlVc3ZG | {"NO": 657.3772940173061, "YES": 42.25348390372807} | 1 | will-the-agi-fire-alarm-alert-level-4816d9782cb0 | 590 | Will the AGI Fire Alarm alert level be raised above Sapphire Sky 4 before June 2024? | 1717208160678 | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714551538477 | RemNi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as yes if the alert level of the twitter account ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/agifirealarm", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/agifirealarm", "class": "break-anywhere hov... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.08603403318672997} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.140499458640983, "platformFee": 1.103174848365162, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717208160678 | 220 | RemNi | 1717208160678 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690812555459 | 0 | [{"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime": 1714551538610}, {"name": "AGI Fire Alarm", "slug": "agi-fire-alarm", "groupId": "396a8af5-4c7d-43b5-b1a5-ae30320f8386", "createdTime": 1714551538617}] | ["agi", "agi-fire-alarm"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717205768664 | 1717205781323 | 0.91 | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | D7WK5PfdkswnZi4Y9glF | {"NO": 14.497905025987063, "YES": 689.7548288580518} | 0 | will-destiny-have-an-interview-or-a | 1287.165360048732 | Will Destiny have an interview or appearance on a new major news network in May? | 1717279140000 | zbM95IMx4shZAWoU0ziWGxPUxXt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714552618615 | Sunshine State | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A new network is any network on which he has not appeared in the last 3 years, an appearance is a clip at or above 10 sek or his name being used.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.912892477308437, "platformFee": 0.8466824011070512, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717323158891 | 100 | SunshineState | 1717279140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKR_jzFJuwgu-leVmUbSf0ETKP6ELwyG8kNnSPuGhjpifRe3w=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714476496193 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714552618769}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1714552618776}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupI... | ["politics-default", "destinygg", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717267162435 | 0.02 | zbM95IMx4shZAWoU0ziWGxPUxXt1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7742766420336 | FtVOVvmMfrp3cMbIPdFe | {"NO": 6555.260096809927, "YES": 549.7624842801753} | 1 | will-helsinki-finland-average-tempe-89a2b0e07166 | 6233.143745725444 | Will Helsinki, Finland average temperature for May 2024 be higher than average (1991-2020)? | 1717189140000 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.200277535886208 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714555839033 | samikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Compared to the average between 1991-2020, will the temperature anomaly for May 2024 in Helsinki be positive (it means warmer than average month; resolves to YES) or negative (it means colder than average month; resolves to NO)?", "type": "text"}]}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.023865748983759927} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 35.89647493093153, "platformFee": 15.652320862816302, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717243912379 | 1000 | samikki | 1717189140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLOy0IcTRLf-w2cZXy48N0ZIyv0862v5T19VfeujMK91T4=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702671215543 | 0 | [{"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714555839334}, {"name": "Finland", "slug": "finland-998c214eb9a4", "groupId": "f76a99e6-0063-4542-9728-751c68ca806f", "createdTime": 1714555839332}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw",... | ["weather", "finland-998c214eb9a4", "climate"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717188115130 | 0.98 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5226988870142186 | Fl3OogCpoBrn8DAzPEfU | {"NO": 441.21225981016363, "YES": 116.2989424911567} | 1 | will-helsinki-finland-average-tempe-4a1496d01d6e | 226 | Will Helsinki, Finland average temperature for June 2024 be higher than average (1991-2020)? | 1719781140000 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714555924275 | samikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Compared to the average between 1991-2020, will the temperature anomaly for June 2024 in Helsinki be positive (it means warmer than average month; resolves to YES) or negative (it means colder than average month; resolves to NO)?", "type": "text"}]... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.20440734170658226, "month": 0.24521698667411973} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3480688743627733, "platformFee": 1.4396713154736134, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719836336864 | 220 | samikki | 1719781140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLOy0IcTRLf-w2cZXy48N0ZIyv0862v5T19VfeujMK91T4=s96-c | 3 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702671215543 | 0 | [{"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714555924423}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1714555924424}, {"name": "Finland", "slug": "finland-998c214eb9a4", "groupId": "f76a99e6-0063-4542-9728-751c68ca806f",... | ["weather", "climate", "finland-998c214eb9a4"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719776171791 | 0.81 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5719295244392099 | YLsjiRoPW3V3iRqCcFMY | {"NO": 310.3779966695547, "YES": 193.87845295417475} | 0.6814161276328248 | will-helsinki-finland-average-tempe-9c53914e3ed3 | 118.19327571427262 | Will Helsinki, Finland average temperature for July 2024 be higher than average (1991-2020)? | 1722459540000 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714556022092 | samikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Compared to the average between 1991-2020, will the temperature anomaly for July 2024 in Helsinki be positive (it means warmer than average month; resolves to YES) or negative (it means colder than average month; resolves to NO)?", "type": "text"}]... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7143638080863142, "platformFee": 1.7143638080863142, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | samikki | 1715374707253 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLOy0IcTRLf-w2cZXy48N0ZIyv0862v5T19VfeujMK91T4=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702671215543 | 0 | [{"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714556022237}, {"name": "Finland", "slug": "finland-998c214eb9a4", "groupId": "f76a99e6-0063-4542-9728-751c68ca806f", "createdTime": 1714556022246}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw",... | ["weather", "finland-998c214eb9a4", "climate"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715374703961 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5125641928890805 | RqZNuFDAIegfWNxBJVS1 | {"NO": 288.96674502144526, "YES": 169.55346078884946} | 0.6418518269477452 | will-helsinki-finland-average-tempe-bdd525667505 | 71 | Will Helsinki, Finland average temperature for August 2024 be higher than average (1991-2020)? | 1725137940000 | LLZvIAo23QWN3EP4riuVUidpGzK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714556109977 | samikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Compared to the average between 1991-2020, will the temparature anomaly for August 2024 in Helsinki be positive (it means warmer than average month; resolves to YES) or negative (it means colder than average month; resolves to NO)?", "type": "text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0166274892773366, "platformFee": 1.0166274892773366, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | samikki | 1715373916023 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLOy0IcTRLf-w2cZXy48N0ZIyv0862v5T19VfeujMK91T4=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702671215543 | 0 | [{"name": "Finland", "slug": "finland-998c214eb9a4", "groupId": "f76a99e6-0063-4542-9728-751c68ca806f", "createdTime": 1714556110139}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714556110167}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw",... | ["finland-998c214eb9a4", "weather", "climate"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715373912740 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077028809984179 | q7BEdAzQjfhphhi5oawb | {"NO": 101.447100121894, "YES": 141.05944763238162} | 0.42584353102611416 | will-the-desert-rain-frog-breviceps | 99.15107359697411 | Will the Desert Rain Frog (Breviceps macrops) become extinct in the current century? | 4102441140000 | OOuU1xDOeYXmwST8K8XFHi8dedJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714556371463 | Extinction Risk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Desert Rain Frog is a species of frog found in Namibia and South Africa. It lives in the narrow strip of sandy shores between the sea and the sand dunes. This market will resolve YES if the Desert Rain Frog is declared extinct by the IUCN by 21... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2862891607751517, "platformFee": 1.2862891607751517, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | ExtinctionRisk | 1716326337833 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708510781928 | 0 | [{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1714556371642}, {"name": "Biodiversity", "slug": "biodiversity", "groupId": "3721391e-74a0-4bca-9813-fe741dc4306e", "createdTime": 1714556371640}, {"name": "Extinction Risk", "slug": "extinction-risk", "groupId": "... | ["animals", "biodiversity", "extinction-risk", "environment-243810591da2", "zoology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716326334509 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4992961540210599 | rxK9fmHY93stnDP5fquo | {"NO": 373.74238865470073, "YES": 426.99202096662344} | 0 | will-i-go-for-a-walk-every-morning | 71.40150605133148 | Will I go for a walk every* morning until the end of the year? (*exceptions apply) | 1715681904936 | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714557788870 | redcat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I want to take a walk every morning (with a few exceptions) until the end of the year. I'm using markets like this one as a tool, to combat my chronic depression.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.197269695878398, "platformFee": 1.197269695878398, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715681904936 | 400 | redcat | 1715681922713 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697305658168 | 0 | [{"name": "mental health", "slug": "mental-health", "groupId": "d141b062-14d6-4134-bd53-1d35638321cb", "createdTime": 1714557789113}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714557789168}, {"name": "Will I", "slug": "will-i", "groupId": "c10a59eb-6f01-4... | ["mental-health", "personal-goals", "will-i", "health", "depression"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714600650438 | 1715681921382 | 0.47 | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | 0 |
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