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0.41973741217266536
zjV1d3VRvKoU1nplvebY
{"NO": 18.780904639683513, "YES": 1344.9458904159744}
0
will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-may
1327.8613767610834
Will the S&P 500 open higher on May 1st than its previous day close?
1714572876843
PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1714559136642
RiskOptimization
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
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0
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1714572876843
120
RiskOptimization
1714572876843
0
https://firebasestorage.…10a-45d742b0b831
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0.3333333333333333
1705974765884
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1714572502636
1714572590562
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0.524851222904311
I8RC4jbiFAZZOlkeOsBI
{"NO": 142.5687088393336, "YES": 269.7052028776499}
0.3686486259756171
will-germany-give-a-taurus-missile
149.24356156387225
Will Germany give a Taurus missile to Ukraine before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country?
1930517940000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714559470150
RemNi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Germany gives Ukraine a Taurus missile before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country, and before January 1st 2031, this question resolves as YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.057652945793251476, "month": -0.057652945793251476}
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200
RemNi
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https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
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["ukraine", "taurus-missile", "ukrainerussia-war", "nato", "germany"]
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7xoDAhPEs3SZ66flqjL8
{"NO": 57.19868287019787, "YES": 245.86944519007167}
0
will-there-be-a-protest-that-disrup
583.302320965929
Will there be a protest that disrupts the Columbia University commencement ceremony this year?
1715016332518
kreb1qPmZFTPuiJlLTMpcHQmjY12
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1714561207971
Madeleine Lemos
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Disrupts meaning that speeches will have to stop or names will stop being read for a period of time while protestors are either allowed to protest or removed. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
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1715016332518
120
MadeleineLemos
1715017377873
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https://firebasestorage.…017-7f896b2ed1e5
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0.3333333333333333
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0.16680671500103061
will-i-encounter-issue-number-2-whe-29a82e14f83e
49
Will I encounter Issue Number 2 when I resolve this market?
1717138860000
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714561274744
Charlie
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Charlie
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148.7882648871715
Where will Luca Modrić play next?
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n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714564153883
Universal FC ⚽
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Next move he makes after Real Madrid is to where? Resolves after move or other announcement. Team names only, not leagues.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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is-there-a-significant-link-between
420.97685665955015
Is there a significant link between gpt2-chatbot and the firing of Sam Altman?
1930777140000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714564470351
RemNi
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70
Will Sirius XM's Pandora Music be shut down by 2032?
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LuPTAI6V7CXuYdZfRlD8N4G7Qk72
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
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1714565122758
Nick Allen
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0.3333333333333333
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FNd2vAkGzrlLrI6yokip
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-fr-a89bdc2156f9
1170.1986416244918
What will be true of the xkcd on Friday, May 3rd, 2024?
1714708740000
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1714566146444
EBurk
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{"NO": 757.2812235431558, "YES": 1840.3406082095437}
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will-japans-currency-fall-continue
1521.1156268874731
Will Japan's currency fall continue to accelerate?
1717163940000
kuSBowxQeqan6bOXkbQ1N3YYs9m2
cpmm-1
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9.690426504498344
True
basic
NO
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1714566646195
Dacer
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MichaelWeiner
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105
Will Manifold be allowed in all 50 states on Halloween Day?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714567354370
Matty B
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how-many-seats-will-the-republican
79.99999999999999
How many seats will the Republican Party gain/lose in the U. S. Senate in 2024? (Subsidized)
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tqP1xJXWFBM5SFi4xmwDSCj1Ffv1
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
public
1714568141663
Eddison Chen
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EddisonChen
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who-will-win-the-presidential-elect
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cpmm-multi-1
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1714568905908
Henry Fu
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what-will-trumps-polling-lead-over-24633a2f320b
544.2342502569945
What will Trump's polling lead over Joe Biden on RCP be on June 1st 2024?
1717263883674
ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
2819c9b66c5b
public
1714569498837
Captain Jack Sparrow
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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1717263883674
300
diadematus
1717263883674
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1717262344819
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play
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1714584742266
Ginger Khan
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when-will-mike-johnson-resign-or-be
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When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house?
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4whKWb3H9zU6BW4b2jrtc9VKxOT2
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1714584820014
Omar B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
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1716573464707
1714591698234
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will-the-close-price-of-alphabet-in
4992.724815118376
Will the close price of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) be higher than the previous day? [Closes early]
1717178400000
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1714584942614
Haws
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GOOGL", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.slickcharts.com/symbol/GOOGL", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400...
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Haws
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what-will-be-the-rating-outcome-of
523.1241060047105
What will be the rating outcome of my first chess tournament of the year?
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ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
997109a8fc5f
public
1714585121935
Captain Jack Sparrow
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm playing my first tournament of the year this weekend in a 4-round local tournament. I'm seeded 8th in the Open section but the ratings are pretty bunched up and a lot of the players are very underrated imo", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image",...
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https://firebasestorage.…1fb-6f1bd0a31520
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2oh5BpQwFFM4NG4Gi7Eq
how-many-times-before-january-1st-w
39
How many times before January 1st will Putin publicly mention the threat of a nuclear showdown or human extinction?
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9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
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1714585249322
Ginger Khan
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will-the-close-price-of-xrp-be-high-120c74ea3699
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Will the close price of XRP be higher than the previous day?
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BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1714585249741
Haws
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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1717561055851
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go1oiZL03H9fXj2L2AqY
federal-reserve-march-prop-bets-man
4529.673645048587
Federal Reserve May Meeting Prop Bets [Manifold TV]
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cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1714585693349
Dan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Federal Reserve will hold its next policy meeting on May 1, 2024. After a decision is made and statement published, Jerome Powell will give an elaborate speech in the FOMC Press Conference on May 1, 2024 13:30 EST.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type":...
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DanMan314
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Will "Transformers Represent Belief State Geometry ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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1714585858171
Less Wrong
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will-putin-publicly-say-anglosaxon
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Will Putin publicly say "anglo-saxon" during May?
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cpmm-1
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1714585921375
Kongo Landwalker
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what-will-tesla-nasdaq-tsla-close-p-d18dc2dde063
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What will Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) close price be for May 2?
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cpmm-multi-1
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True
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771050754d3f
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1714586786557
Keenen W
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what-will-nvidias-nasdaq-nvda-close-61f2752be53c
73.78495753417643
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cpmm-multi-1
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True
play
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1714586869189
Keenen W
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cpmm-multi-1
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True
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CANCEL
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1714586906298
Keenen W
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1714586925844
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