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0.41973741217266536 | zjV1d3VRvKoU1nplvebY | {"NO": 18.780904639683513, "YES": 1344.9458904159744} | 0 | will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-may | 1327.8613767610834 | Will the S&P 500 open higher on May 1st than its previous day close? | 1714572876843 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714559136642 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.1960669411569995, "platformFee": 4.1960669411569995, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714572876843 | 120 | RiskOptimization | 1714572876843 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714572502636 | 1714572590562 | 0.01 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.524851222904311 | I8RC4jbiFAZZOlkeOsBI | {"NO": 142.5687088393336, "YES": 269.7052028776499} | 0.3686486259756171 | will-germany-give-a-taurus-missile | 149.24356156387225 | Will Germany give a Taurus missile to Ukraine before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country? | 1930517940000 | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714559470150 | RemNi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Germany gives Ukraine a Taurus missile before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country, and before January 1st 2031, this question resolves as YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.057652945793251476, "month": -0.057652945793251476} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.9953283566822346, "platformFee": 1.788624451179282, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | RemNi | 1720081399051 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690812555459 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1714559470504}, {"name": "Taurus Missile", "slug": "taurus-missile", "groupId": "663cc9a4-6a99-462a-b54d-46abf7eb76f7", "createdTime": 1714559470570}, {"name": "🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId":... | ["ukraine", "taurus-missile", "ukrainerussia-war", "nato", "germany"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720081395988 | 1716238745293 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077028809984169 | 7xoDAhPEs3SZ66flqjL8 | {"NO": 57.19868287019787, "YES": 245.86944519007167} | 0 | will-there-be-a-protest-that-disrup | 583.302320965929 | Will there be a protest that disrupts the Columbia University commencement ceremony this year? | 1715016332518 | kreb1qPmZFTPuiJlLTMpcHQmjY12 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714561207971 | Madeleine Lemos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Disrupts meaning that speeches will have to stop or names will stop being read for a period of time while protestors are either allowed to protest or removed. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.699827352190063, "platformFee": 7.699827352190063, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715016332518 | 120 | MadeleineLemos | 1715017377873 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1689307071356 | 0 | [{"name": "Protest", "slug": "protest-477e21b09291", "groupId": "B68FJhVP7WsoNPK1cFwq", "createdTime": 1714561208156}] | ["protest-477e21b09291"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715016292028 | 1715017376236 | 0.19 | kreb1qPmZFTPuiJlLTMpcHQmjY12 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1287653488088363 | pqGRn8CLzGeaXSz05Lpr | {"NO": 122.9285738055955, "YES": 90.75048256464451} | 0.16680671500103061 | will-i-encounter-issue-number-2-whe-29a82e14f83e | 49 | Will I encounter Issue Number 2 when I resolve this market? | 1717138860000 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714561274744 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a weekly auto-generated market used for internal purposes. You are welcome to bet, but context may remain limited. The goal is for the probabilities of these weekly markets to reach close to zero. Additional info: This market is reliability... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6192194807712119, "platformFee": 0.6192194807712119, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | Charlie | 1715346809323 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1648498239600 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.1 | 1715346806134 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.49999999999999994 | ioKHc8rQwgrtjCl99sQm | {"NO": 59.44610371116613, "YES": 168.21960356876406} | 0.2611113655253892 | will-sirius-xms-pandora-music-be-sh | 70 | Will Sirius XM's Pandora Music be shut down by 2032? | 1988168340000 | LuPTAI6V7CXuYdZfRlD8N4G7Qk72 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714565122758 | Nick Allen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8901982156179742, "platformFee": 0.8901982156179742, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | NickAllenc961 | 1714613739431 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXRehhnCBU6ZDuSEv4pLGf0IAFcyQEOOk1kcBpXbkZ=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703458959667 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714613736068 | 1714613727438 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2943389419475615 | 27LLAUykPuLrYROvwK6V | {"NO": 757.2812235431558, "YES": 1840.3406082095437} | 0 | will-japans-currency-fall-continue | 1521.1156268874731 | Will Japan's currency fall continue to accelerate? | 1717163940000 | kuSBowxQeqan6bOXkbQ1N3YYs9m2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.690426504498344 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714566646195 | Dacer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here is some background:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/is-japan-having-a-currency-crisis", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/is-japan-havi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.14649322078464613} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.216464141421547, "platformFee": 6.010901226762192, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717275560868 | 1000 | MichaelWeiner | 1717163940000 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1667873660743 | 0 | [{"name": "Financial crisis", "slug": "financial-crisis", "groupId": "4TAmalgRi1jgHh8HTQd5", "createdTime": 1714566646615}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714566646655}] | ["financial-crisis", "finance"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717151257007 | 0.15 | kuSBowxQeqan6bOXkbQ1N3YYs9m2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5334484608368827 | EV6SSWQ77CiTM1qSjoI5 | {"NO": 263.1013851641946, "YES": 219.4694210862129} | 0.5781834025231691 | will-manifold-be-allowed-in-all-50 | 105 | Will Manifold be allowed in all 50 states on Halloween Day? | 1730444340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714567354370 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On Halloween Day, will Americans in all 50 states be ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "allowed", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " to use Manifold?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7106958821950364, "platformFee": 1.7106958821950364, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | mattyb | 1716006101790 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714567354537}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1714567354550}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId":... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "united-states", "manifold-users", "manifold-business-future", "halloween"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716006098361 | 1714584445949 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sBnPyanLXwR1uHKQAN1Z | how-many-seats-will-the-republican | 79.99999999999999 | How many seats will the Republican Party gain/lose in the U. S. Senate in 2024? (Subsidized)
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0.5 | J1R1azRrx2C1V8NRNNyb | {"NO": 86.69111328748923, "YES": 115.35207728660174} | 0.4290721852152639 | will-togashi-yoshihiro-publish-a-ne-7a9164ed4997 | 35 | Will Togashi Yoshihiro publish a new chapter of Hunter × Hunter in 2025? | 1767221940000 | tsLGbpzbvEZt0Y4tafpjAqCMQeF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714571336179 | Noya | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if a new Hunter x Hunter chapter (401+) is published in Japan ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "betweetn the start", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " of 2025 and ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the end", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9863239381298393, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | NoyaV | 1716969371147 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYZ0_H2vY9Mr8HoT1lAqx7RKtsu8hU7Lk1lx7Gr=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1679587233389 | 0 | [{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1714571336335}, {"name": "Hunter × Hunter", "slug": "hunter-hunter", "groupId": "ac1fc063-654b-4c1c-b4cf-853e133b282f", "createdTime": 1714571336346}, {"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime"... | ["manga", "hunter-hunter", "anime"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716969365905 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
h0DDiKFRIeYvEc1s3D3h | will-manifold-kill-the-part-of-itse | 35.89395849292334 | Will Manifold kill the part of itself that's cringe, or the part that cringes? | 1735711140000 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714571420198 | Plasma Ballin' | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on the results of this poll:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/PlasmaBallin/which-part-of-yourself-would-you-ra?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3537676870295793, "platformFee": 0.18850667380394617, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | PlasmaBallin | 1720053161621 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "5bcd4e7a915c", "prob": 0.45658908142732324, "text": "The part that's cringe", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 45.83197634661182, "userId": "eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 54.54706951961538, "textFts": "'cring':5 'part':2", "contractId": "h0DDiKFRIeYvEc1s3D3h", "createdTim... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668786016313 | 0 | [{"name": "Cringe", "slug": "cringe", "groupId": "5d66eafd-8b69-401a-b847-1019926a87e2", "createdTime": 1714571420458}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714571420479}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2Nri... | ["cringe", "manifold-6748e065087e", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1718240227839 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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l6t9etcw2OAywbjhsie3 | gpt2chatbot-parameters-in-billions | 49.99999999999998 | gpt2-chatbot #parameters in billions | 1798779540000 | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714572091400 | Sss | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolve when we find out", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.905578289720403, "platformFee": 1.905578289720403, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | Sss19971997 | 1715214142451 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "975ad63dc10c", "prob": 0.011819250792740994, "text": "0-100", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0428178574870581, "userId": "8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 87.18763564363702, "textFts": "'-100':2 '0':1", "contractId": "l6t9etcw2OAywbjhsie3", "createdTime": 1714572091400, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696879998283 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714572091807}, {"name": "gpt2-chatbot", "slug": "gpt2chatbot", "groupId": "6d859f1e-dcc8-474b-a346-5fc0c8f50723", "createdTime": 1714572091815}, {"name": "GPT-5 Speculation", "slug": "gpt5-speculation", "groupId": "XjoIQCNrsc4HP3H3DdTP"... | ["ai", "gpt2chatbot", "gpt5-speculation"] | 0.25 | 1715214137845 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
jc3wMK6xdplEgVtHdVAP | if-manifold-makes-naing-markets-har | 1891.1874753956909 | If Manifold makes N/Aing markets harder in the pivot, will they add dedicated conditional markets within two months? | 1720497540000 | Z9aZTIVJnUhuuq6utvNs9jSJiHu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714572881668 | Alyssa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If, some time before or during the release of real-money trading on Manifold, markets become harder for users to N/A, do we expect Manifold to, within two months after that change, add a dedicated feature for conditional markets of the sort which h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.293051170831669, "platformFee": 2.7027266592933388, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | Tulip | 1720122803805 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu_S1biLuCg60Z2_YY6AP1AB96QvecyAjv40j_2EHQ=s96-c | 11 | 2 | DISABLED | [{"id": "2f76c42ce4d2", "prob": 0.01041743697195852, "text": "Yes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.521494622850241, "userId": "Z9aZTIVJnUhuuq6utvNs9jSJiHu2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 619.4956956327462, "textFts": "'yes':1", "contractId": "jc3wMK6xdplEgVtHdVAP", "createdTime": 1714572881668, "probChanges": {"day": -0.02756... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1663717371895 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1714572881953}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714572881961}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "grou... | ["manifold-drama", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-business-future", "pivot-predictions"] | 0.25 | 1720122800627 | 1715221478774 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5525172424525332 | yXkzcmgmcN1vmCnIJbk9 | {"NO": 220.30336413824014, "YES": 69.85939044379437} | 0.5 | will-i-meet-my-paper-deadline-on-mo | 107.40150605133148 | Will I meet my paper deadline on Monday? | 1715048877144 | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714573955555 | Bubbles | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have a journal article due in five days. I hope to meet my submission deadline on Monday. Will I succeed? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Information:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragra... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2033308223054844, "platformFee": 1.2033308223054844, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715048877144 | 120 | Lorelai | 1715048924494 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706041838176 | 0 | [{"name": "📖 Academia", "slug": "-academia", "groupId": "96982729-5728-43e0-a698-6231f2f6c989", "createdTime": 1714573955724}, {"name": "Writing", "slug": "writing", "groupId": "66jDurBcd8SrQjfwHxXo", "createdTime": 1714573955733}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime... | ["-academia", "writing", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715035017841 | 1715048923470 | 0.5 | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5148075770269315 | v9NxsGrpwVRyMezolZTF | {"NO": 13.862663489896391, "YES": 1601.7375020674424} | 0 | 2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers-68441ad95894 | 2313.8840017474454 | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen qualify first, win the race and have the fastest lap at the Miami GP? | 1714945239746 | tuLs71AxUDftq1vudwJ1qy3UBnl1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714575921048 | Archie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Verstappen qualifies 1st, then goes on to win the Miami Grand Prix with the fastest lap by race end.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Verstappen qualifies first but is moved ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.6099999999999998} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.673738695434416, "platformFee": 15.673738695434416, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714945239746 | 160 | Arch1e | 1714945239746 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674748485128 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1714575921364}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714575921356}, {"name": "Auto Racing", "slug": "auto-racing", "groupId": "MIDhbxvpwoHQ3QaG7xfU", "createdT... | ["formula-1", "sports-default", "auto-racing", "motorsports"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714944751864 | 0.01 | tuLs71AxUDftq1vudwJ1qy3UBnl1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.4999999999999998 | jszC4BCCDuQqhDkGCUX1 | {"NO": 39.08305045912213, "YES": 255.8653913276098} | 0.13250807572457646 | will-joe-biden-mistake-donald-trump | 210.76154178300052 | Will Joe Biden mistake Donald Trump for George W. Bush during the election? | 1733007540000 | 9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714584742266 | Ginger Khan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The only time politicians are more forgetful than during elections, is after elections.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.004559166295591693} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7611673983616176, "platformFee": 1.6118994910280517, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | jgould1090Gould | 1719446676107 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjgould1090Gould%2FBe1kJdaKw1.09?alt=media&token=c21d98fa-3b02-4605-b3a7-759cf2a3edb7 | 9 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713951777550 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1714584742461}] | ["the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719446673054 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
N7Ig8IX7S7kXE0rdJ7eW | when-will-mike-johnson-resign-or-be | 1476.8022486097786 | When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house? | 1735685940000 | 4whKWb3H9zU6BW4b2jrtc9VKxOT2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714584820014 | Omar B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.178176467067667, "platformFee": 11.55158166401057, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | OmarB | 1716573468447 | 0 | 16 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c2c93628654d", "prob": 0.032184308374963215, "text": "By the end of May 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.285640202596493, "userId": "4whKWb3H9zU6BW4b2jrtc9VKxOT2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 189.01575106440407, "textFts": "'2024':6 'end':3 'may':5", "contractId": "N7Ig8IX7S7kXE0rdJ7eW", "createdTime": 17145848... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697294914972 | 0 | [{"name": "Speaker Johnson", "slug": "speaker-johnson", "groupId": "32882e34-cc29-40ba-9c26-cf1ca5a51eac", "createdTime": 1714584820315}, {"name": "🏛 118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1714584820305}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupI... | ["speaker-johnson", "118th-congress", "politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1716573464707 | 1714591698234 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kde2yxYp6ZhebqK4geUp | will-the-close-price-of-alphabet-in | 4992.724815118376 | Will the close price of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) be higher than the previous day? [Closes early] | 1717178400000 | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714584942614 | Haws | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GOOGL", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.slickcharts.com/symbol/GOOGL", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 43.95760264868982, "platformFee": 23.819798462762353, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717194085551 | 1000 | Haws | 1717178400000 | 0 | 34 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "8e0c53ffcdb6", "prob": 0.8536311616579398, "text": "May 2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 116.16798001959452, "userId": "BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.91887486275385, "textFts": "'2':2 'may':1", "contractId": "Kde2yxYp6ZhebqK4geUp", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34c... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677434458766 | 0 | [{"name": "Google", "slug": "google-ef2cf716540e", "groupId": "z9iJRHLx9TdW3uh6pttp", "createdTime": 1714584943010}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714584943004}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "createdTime"... | ["google-ef2cf716540e", "finance", "tech-stocks", "ai-stocks", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 1717168829230 | 1716836300429 | 0.08 | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000091 | taV7hV305SoecDA54rlf | {"NO": 2147.9878933431582, "YES": 4.655519721964694} | 1 | will-destiny-talk-to-sneako-in-may | 11945.320186601777 | Will Destiny talk to Sneako in May 2024? | 1714955947762 | foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714595317127 | Punished Furry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After his debate with Destiny about age of consent", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.youtube.com/embed/3eHUONosazg", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conten... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 109.0728159580415, "platformFee": 109.0728159580415, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714955947762 | 100 | PunishedFurry | 1714955971853 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c | 55 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1666746014983 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714595317282}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714595317286}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2Nri... | ["politics-default", "technology-default", "culture-default", "destinygg"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714955919807 | 1714955970271 | 1 | foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QXzxXnzzqDtV6WwUnih7 | what-price-points-does-nvidia-nasda | 630 | What price points does Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) hit in May? | 1717131540000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1714595873776 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NVIDIA Corp - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Resolves to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Nasdaq Historical Data", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.98710095736269, "platformFee": 0.3767699818430737, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717186988536 | 500 | KeenenW | 1717131540000 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0cad7cf63294", "prob": 0.0008304264285603219, "text": "750-754", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.7963386312644722, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 958.1551155572224, "textFts": "'-754':2 '750':1", "contractId": "QXzxXnzzqDtV6WwUnih7", "resolverId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1",... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714595874261}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714595874260}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "createdTime": 17145958... | ["finance", "stocks", "tech-stocks", "nvidia", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1717106802127 | 1716428084396 | {"003f1b02582f": 2.9411764705882355, "02e6a16eba87": 2.9411764705882355, "09b31bacdaa8": 2.9411764705882355, "0b4d5ab5b5ef": 2.9411764705882355, "1da4f81f10ff": 2.9411764705882355, "29f5b620088c": 2.9411764705882355, "2fbed5a8b9c6": 2.9411764705882355, "3994c304e867": 2.9411764705882355, "43b343580e8f": 2.9411764705882... | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | LpJW2cQN6TRryN9YmnDy | {"NO": 73.65709082393349, "YES": 135.76425416941237} | 1 | icml-paper-acceptance | 65 | ICML paper acceptance | 1714712340000 | HkS6pNVpG4RASm2gtRcdfnUWUUw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714596254222 | SKLearn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The three reviewers gave 8,5,3 (strong accept, borderline accept, reject). The result will come out tomorrow (May 2nd).", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0126661467112301, "platformFee": 1.0126661467112301, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714730912320 | 100 | SKLearn | 1715306953831 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714595963780 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714596254382}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714596254372}] | ["technology-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714605687983 | 0.35 | HkS6pNVpG4RASm2gtRcdfnUWUUw1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7l67EK0AMD3UJvT0lDk1 | when-will-mkbhd-review-a-product-wo | 99.90413883474798 | When will MKBHD review a product worse than Humane AI pin? | 1893538740000 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714596326720 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On 2024-04-15 Marques Brownlee also known as MKBHD released a review of Humane AI pin, which he entitled ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "The Worst Product I've Ever Reviewed... For Now.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.375685181028791, "platformFee": 1.1199602998521032, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 125 | OlegEterevsky | 1717656373617 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "d45259974274", "prob": 0.2967283521297314, "text": "Before 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.238951187553404, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 38.48770728980583, "textFts": "'2025':2", "contractId": "7l67EK0AMD3UJvT0lDk1", "createdTime": 1714596326720, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1714596327102}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714596327113}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime... | ["youtube", "technology-default", "internet"] | 0.25 | 1717656370244 | False | old | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999817 | 9ZECafyJJbjhbQzzcVFP | {"NO": 969.2855727573973, "YES": 10.316876966972984} | 1 | will-tesla-tsla-hit-170-again-withi | 1187.9922930161201 | Will $TSLA ≤ $170 at least once by May 22th 11:59PM | 1715373564853 | yZ4vp93rmQfBXllZUiI2WKNJaeF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714597101750 | ElectricSteam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.817364356162703, "platformFee": 3.817364356162703, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715373564853 | 100 | ElectricSteam | 1715373564853 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNq3o7W1unNrbg962fUXzL_KPTLhynNsWcqusZ7gHi-2M=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690922760960 | 0 | [{"name": "$TSLA", "slug": "tsla", "groupId": "288e80f2-83b9-4298-819a-6d12cac1dbba", "createdTime": 1714597101911}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714597101915}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime"... | ["tsla", "ai", "technology-default", "tesla", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715371005668 | 1715371067960 | 0.99 | yZ4vp93rmQfBXllZUiI2WKNJaeF2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999967 | G5sur4Va1GuGrdPspVNv | {"NO": 10.050378152592138, "YES": 994.9874371066195} | 0 | will-dortmund-win-the-20232024-cham | 1759.090870006269 | Will Dortmund win the 2023-2024 Champions League? | 1717300740000 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714597491360 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.388720853390339, "platformFee": 4.060013383388855, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717305808055 | 100 | pa | 1717300740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714597491494}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714597491506}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3... | ["soccer", "sports-default", "uefa-champions-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717275479353 | 1717275849161 | 0.01 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 7q2utMXrHE9pbO0pIyZS | {"NO": 10.050378152592089, "YES": 994.9874371066185} | 0 | will-psg-win-the-20232024-champions | 1015.3994622113185 | Will PSG win the 2023-2024 Champions League? | 1715116202832 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714597527331 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.6338979260497135, "platformFee": 2.6338979260497135, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715116202832 | 100 | pa | 1715116202832 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714597527480}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714597527512}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "uefa-champions-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715115013358 | 1715115301103 | 0.01 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999784 | RFDzfAGNCmHljm74I1CT | {"NO": 899.781436805196, "YES": 11.11381007759664} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-index-close-higher-c63866925797 | 1086.0710221025752 | Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on May 6, 2024 compared to the previous trading day? | 1715027964273 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714597580328 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.6409077541348265, "platformFee": 3.6409077541348265, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715027964273 | 100 | pa | 1715027964273 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714597580548}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714597580555}, {"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f101525", "cr... | ["finance", "stocks", "sp-500-439f18dbc885"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715027232607 | 1715027248824 | 0.99 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.500000000000001 | 2EcQYlSLOCCTPV2bjBAc | {"NO": 768.2560367634967, "YES": 13.01649387895202} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-index-close-higher-f40ce3002432 | 1888.7323325810532 | Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on May 7, 2024 compared to the previous trading day? | 1715112966330 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714597595981 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.022839818127057, "platformFee": 8.022839818127057, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715112966330 | 100 | pa | 1715112966330 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714597596146}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714597596140}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1... | ["economics-default", "finance", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715112155957 | 0.98 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999645 | JP2FkouOvHPf9NwwXJS2 | {"NO": 13.496902503469443, "YES": 740.9107384031292} | 0 | will-the-sp-500-index-close-higher-b72546d9e38a | 6605.140066930123 | Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on May 8, 2024 compared to the previous trading day? | 1715200064941 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714597610043 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 27.445229299269645, "platformFee": 27.445229299269645, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715200064941 | 100 | pa | 1715200064941 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f101525", "createdTime": 1714597610223}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714597610212}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "cr... | ["sp-500-439f18dbc885", "stocks", "finance"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715198664021 | 1715198583641 | 0.02 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 |
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