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fYTTSA2znYtXxr1zSLHd | sitewide-limit-order-challenge-whic | 5713.256952858628 | Sitewide Limit Order Challenge: Which Limit Orders on other markets will be filled or cancelled within 2 weeks? | 1717272240000 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714617900549 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a market for drawing attention to large limit orders on other markets, challenging other users to fill them. Larger limit orders get advertised at the top of the market! ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 34.62486254944144, "platformFee": 30.343104090313012, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718136532401 | 1500 | Joshua | 1717272240000 | 0 | 16 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "e045dbd91e42", "prob": 0.99, "text": "B: @Joshua bets 5000 mana at 75% that Donald Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election: https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-donald-trump-be-convi", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.74685927665487, "userId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "isOther": fal... | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645516283433 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714617900780}, {"name": "Grab Bag", "slug": "grab-bag", "groupId": "0f4ca3f0-7edb-41e6-bd83-2cea37941577", "createdTime": 1714617900788}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "grab-bag", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1717270345467 | 1716693940095 | 0.2 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | False | prob-asc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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UfpCook6zJYyYWtUVZ3r | will-home-team-win-may-4-2024-match | 5575.734537234105 | Will home team win? (May 4, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️ | 1714875211624 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714624610324 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Will home team win? (May 4, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Saturday, May 4, 2024. The matches featured in this mar... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.229612112800297, "platformFee": 26.229612112800297, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714875211624 | 600 | FranklinBaldo | 1714875211624 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 20 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "169e453b437f", "prob": 0.01, "text": "11:30 - Arsenal vs Bournemouth - Premier League 🇬🇧", "index": 0, "poolNo": 489.89794855662126, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 20.412414523193778, "textFts": "'11':1 '30':2 'arsenal':3 'bournemouth':5 'leagu':7 'premier':6 'vs':4", ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714624610563}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 1714875180771 | 1714867310611 | 0.04 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | alphabetical | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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8Vr96CTURsX9AWEycBNt | choose-lil-basils-new-name-after-it | 0 | Choose Lil' Basil's new name, after it turns out it isn't even a basil plant: | 1715313540000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714631958892 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See the market for context:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/what-will-manifold-name-lil-basil-b", "frameBorder": 0}}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715313540354 | Bayesian | 1715841206680 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Mr. Basil", "slug": "mr-basil", "groupId": "c53d9296-7a91-4405-a54f-1e3171f28f76", "createdTime": 1714631959032}, {"name": "Plants", "slug": "plants", "groupId": "77f8a35a-0f81-4411-b685-cf0d9b613d7a", "createdTime": 1714631959045}] | ["mr-basil", "plants"] | 0.25 | 1715841204310 | ["530bc9118940", "b90f65f45b1e", "23b0e6e3b0ea"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
wMxYtzjnlOW1z1KLKJNt | asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-a87bfac6b6d0 | 1324.298926854081 | Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On May 3 Compared To Its Close On May 2? | 1714733391160 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714632469359 | Grey Box | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.750791644466675, "platformFee": 4.750791644466675, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714733391160 | 100 | GreyBox | 1714733391160 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7b94696d9b1e", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.3410760720505728, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 266.9712477358997, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "wMxYtzjnlOW1z1KLKJNt", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692725309128 | 0 | [{"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1714632469599}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d", "createdTime": 1714632469606}, {"name": "🇮🇳 India", "slug": "india", "groupId": "Y2J00UcVhr3wKq2lAOAy", "cr... | ["stock-marketdaily", "asia", "india", "nifty", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 1714730500022 | 0.01 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4a4wZyG8OwmFyXSWMRZL | manifold-leagues-megamarket-season-44e1da24b291 | 9735.043030058525 | Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 13 (May) | 1717300740000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714632738411 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Add anything about manifold leagues you can think of! ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I give myself the right to N/A any option that is spammy, not about manifold leagues, etc.", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 66.71242682359953, "platformFee": 6.601947981777996, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717315068613 | 1250 | Bayesian | 1717315125667 | 0 | 19 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "3df87dadb243", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Someone earns 200k+ mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.501178263459877, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 342.33941652694784, "textFts": "'200k':3 'earn':2 'mana':4 'someon':1", "contractId": "4a4wZyG8OwmFyXSWMRZL", "resolution": "NO", "res... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1714632738681}] | ["manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | 1717284238437 | 1717315124128 | 0.01 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999895 | IqpQgMGhtJ2L8BDbnLJn | {"NO": 994.9874371066201, "YES": 10.050378152592202} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-may-85e65e07bcce | 899.8563284434516 | Will the S&P 500 open higher on May 2nd than its previous day close? | 1714659854482 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714632868524 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.434445668415722, "platformFee": 2.434445668415722, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714659854482 | 100 | RiskOptimization | 1714659854482 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714632868667}, {"name": "NASDAQ", "slug": "nasdaq", "groupId": "d3aaa6d9-84fa-42e5-9053-690f91a51220", "createdTime": 1714632868671}, {"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f1... | ["stocks", "nasdaq", "sp-500-439f18dbc885"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714659843926 | 0.99 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | Fc3vkzWkbOcxN6YBQpfL | {"NO": 31.58707096483215, "YES": 316.58522599748574} | 0.09072252801391248 | will-liverpool-win-the-202425-premi | 500.21049673248115 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 Premier League | 1749477540000 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714634517975 | TP King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.6802233211236173, "platformFee": 2.6802233211236173, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | tpking | 1716170561766 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697442193885 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714634518112}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714634518119}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTi... | ["soccer", "sports-default", "premiere-league", "football"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716170558200 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | luSVwhadx0OTuSHuwu0I | {"NO": 48.051272531254085, "YES": 208.11103376077455} | 0.18758135506663878 | will-arsenal-win-the-202425-premier | 336.99262713704815 | Will Arsenal win the 2024/25 Premier League | 1749477540000 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714634636528 | TP King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.091772782675383, "platformFee": 1.6157085616506015, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | tpking | 1717160904073 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697442193885 | 0 | [{"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1714634636690}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714634636695}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714634636691}, ... | ["uefa", "soccer", "sports-default", "premiere-league", "football"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717160900830 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
trYebfjoEkMo84bJKreP | which-price-points-will-sharks-brea-f56cb6b26159 | 2345.7103568526145 | Which price points will Sharks break in May? | 1717436666685 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714634807409 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://secure.runescape.com/m=itemdb_oldschool/Shark/viewitem?obj=385", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://secure.runescape.com/m=itemdb_oldschool/Shark/viewitem?obj=385", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.528131673418459, "platformFee": 8.739416231772882, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717436666685 | 550 | KeenenW | 1717436666685 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "5288311eea4e", "prob": 0.99, "text": "1300", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.7468592766549, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.512594538148022, "textFts": "'1300':1", "contractId": "trYebfjoEkMo84bJKreP", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "create... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Sharks", "slug": "sharks", "groupId": "d17ddcf4-5868-46c7-84f1-fa6d0b10902c", "createdTime": 1714634807632}] | ["sharks"] | 0.25 | 1717436660136 | 0.01 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UpseGbpY89xbSPkFFtP9 | total-value-of-crypto-stolenscammed-6b1bf3d71866 | 1220.4885706889945 | Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between May 16th and Jun 15th as tracked by Molly White (W3IGG) | 1718488740000 | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 047456081ab3 | public | 1714635022491 | Martin Modrák | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The grift counter at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://web3isgoinggreat.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://web3isgoinggreat.com/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.8792111530114495, "platformFee": 0.3518767462351065, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718612327076 | 100 | MartinModrak | 1718488740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6944a265442a", "prob": 0.0016531778319869791, "text": "Less than $100 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.17470398914746, "userId": "P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 709.3985727741671, "textFts": "'100':3 'less':1 'million':4", "contractId": "UpseGbpY89xbSPkFFtP9", "resolverId": "P6S5r... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672234503136 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714635022767}, {"name": "scam", "slug": "scam", "groupId": "UUO3pjm3NOVkhRoggNLl", "createdTime": 1714635022766}, {"name": "Web3 Is Going Just Great", "slug": "web3-is-going-just-great", "groupId": "e0df2e83-33e5-42a... | ["crypto-speculation", "scam", "web3-is-going-just-great"] | 0.25 | 1718436292704 | 1718612316754 | {"047456081ab3": 100} | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | rH5ImYpQMHCXFDz7wia5 | {"NO": 186.85130704301454, "YES": 120.4166048183989} | 0.6081054995657659 | will-dougdoug-raise-over-1000000-fo | 205.66088101600215 | Will DougDoug raise over $1,000,000 for Monterey Bay Aquarium in the next Rosa Birthday stream? | 1725209940000 | Pp3P3xg6EKPkFQfn3kJCXiDw3cg1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714635035398 | leonissenbaum | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2019, Doug raised $320.18.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2020, Doug raised $2,676.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2021, Doug raised $14,172.92.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1566920344919533, "platformFee": 3.1566920344919533, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | leonissenbaum | 1715547980209 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZBC4875PamuYABH-FFCw5pjlLzB72ob70UeTWFDO91ESOfw=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714541514631 | 0 | [{"name": "Streaming", "slug": "streaming-b160dddff0ab", "groupId": "aqYOc680xI6KmGP1jZUG", "createdTime": 1714635035523}] | ["streaming-b160dddff0ab"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715547976911 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | 5EYuPngLazK71wpJEV9t | {"NO": 449.69040030232605, "YES": 22.237521622158475} | 1 | will-dougdoug-upload-a-chat-vs-ai-v | 1350.1341509718727 | Will DougDoug upload a Chat vs AI video by the end of May? | 1717261140000 | Pp3P3xg6EKPkFQfn3kJCXiDw3cg1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714635908420 | leonissenbaum | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the purposes of this question, the channels that will be checked are the \"DougDoug\" channel and the \"DougDougDoug\" channel. \"DougDougDougDoug\" and \"Doug shorts\" will not be considered.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04712058894815041} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.06907402858026, "platformFee": 0.2369924814076011, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718149474512 | 100 | leonissenbaum | 1718178252518 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZBC4875PamuYABH-FFCw5pjlLzB72ob70UeTWFDO91ESOfw=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714541514631 | 0 | [{"name": "Streaming", "slug": "streaming-b160dddff0ab", "groupId": "aqYOc680xI6KmGP1jZUG", "createdTime": 1714635908543}] | ["streaming-b160dddff0ab"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717253491017 | 1718178251246 | 0.95 | Pp3P3xg6EKPkFQfn3kJCXiDw3cg1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4204013052065973 | E72ByPiJJNLVJp0uBZd8 | {"NO": 258.0148466422288, "YES": 6326.840482721475} | 0 | will-the-netherlands-have-a-new-pri | 6262.717063512631 | Will the Netherlands have a new prime minister by the end of May? | 1717192740000 | 108tp4wNYKfBeVJ62CvCpwu27oC3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.332073248585036 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714637732289 | Marnix Vreugdenhil | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve 'YES' of a Mark Rutte has resigned and has been replaced by a new prime minister by May 31.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.02872992402575926} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 57.455612680015136, "platformFee": 15.676799544472553, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717232904646 | 1000 | MarnixVreugdenhil | 1717192740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL6tCroNJQ0BIgJn6NsAz-hbeS4uB3CxsJ3_N47csrT-4=s96-c | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703774351876 | 0 | [{"name": "Dutch coalition", "slug": "dutch-coalition", "groupId": "2c495961-23f3-435f-8ce5-377a238f59a4", "createdTime": 1714637732595}, {"name": "2023 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election", "slug": "2023-dutch-tweede-kamer-election", "groupId": "74f597c6-8c58-4e88-8ec7-6b9ff1d540de", "createdTime": 1714637732596}, {"name": "T... | ["dutch-coalition", "2023-dutch-tweede-kamer-election", "the-netherlands", "politics-default", "nederland"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717191125366 | 0.03 | 108tp4wNYKfBeVJ62CvCpwu27oC3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | PfUzwhGAmTErAi0x0B2z | {"NO": 72.01130657743015, "YES": 138.8670817859346} | 0.3414826295682201 | will-openais-next-foundation-model | 40 | Will OpenAI's next foundation model score at least 75% in MMMU? | 1767279540000 | lyL5yTJ0YYXzGyheku5TrblGD8r1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714638375702 | CuriousNoob | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is about the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "MMMU benchmark", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.566459107032693, "platformFee": 0.566459107032693, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | 3684 | 1715949784984 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1670181395914 | 0 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1714638375844}, {"name": "GPT-5 Speculation", "slug": "gpt5-speculation", "groupId": "XjoIQCNrsc4HP3H3DdTP", "createdTime": 1714638375850}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO... | ["technical-ai-timelines", "gpt5-speculation", "openai", "gpt5", "ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715623950359 | 1715623973449 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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9BZMwS8SvzfL8s4NrpVM | nfl-week-six-prop-bets | 19.888989858771662 | NFL Week Six - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714654898036 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Six", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2584867897201042, "platformFee": 0.2584867897201042, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1715269279775 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "6d9ee64ad862", "prob": 0.5, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "9BZMwS8SvzfL8s4NrpVM", "createdTime": 1714654898036, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714654898268}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714654898273}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d"... | ["sports-default", "football", "prop-bets", "nfl", "live-betting"] | 0.25 | 1715269276546 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sRP54e7jpL51fBmIA1Fn | nfl-week-seven-prop-bets | 0 | NFL Week Seven - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714654959710 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Seven", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1718652616685 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "d60fd2665da", "prob": 0.5, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "sRP54e7jpL51fBmIA1Fn", "createdTime": 1714654959710, "probChanges": {... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714654959995}, {"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-baa3-f57405b83c36", "createdTime": 1714654960004}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStb... | ["sports-default", "live-betting", "football", "nfl", "prop-bets"] | 0.25 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 6CtDn0Zeh4CqrFg2bcIV | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-the-sao-paulo-mayoral-election | 0 | Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1793491140000 | xu6BIDLCFSaSPFhxDGppn69dTCB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714654967741 | Caterpidgey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024. A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Caterpidgey | 1714654967916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704779829087 | 0 | [{"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1714654967888}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714654967889}, {"name": "Elections: World", "slug": "elections-world", "groupId": "w5UI0a5OgD7u18Y4... | ["brazil-3292d24d179f", "politics-default", "elections-world", "latam-caribbean"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I71hbH4bz2Al7UQRUBrr | nfl-week-eight-prop-bets | 19 | NFL Week Eight - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714654988418 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Eight", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.23656431591704025, "platformFee": 0.23656431591704025, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1714777208867 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "79e3eedba0a7", "prob": 0.5, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "I71hbH4bz2Al7UQRUBrr", "createdTime": 1714654988418, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1714654988654}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714654988657}, {"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-ba... | ["prop-bets", "football", "live-betting", "nfl", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1714777204179 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bp3ws62PZz36y6G8Dsl8 | nfl-week-nine-prop-bets | 44 | NFL Week Nine - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714655064071 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Nine", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6758840891789938, "platformFee": 0.5212778674380066, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1717308707209 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2af228ad7680", "prob": 0.3415018549518627, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.00359622345513, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 34.715286448479034, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "Bp3ws62PZz36y6G8Dsl8",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1714655064332}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714655064335}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime"... | ["nfl", "football", "prop-bets", "live-betting", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1717308704068 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qlbmTptNf3pZYr8cvLBp | nfl-week-ten-prop-bets | 24 | NFL Week Ten - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714655089423 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Ten", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6277348535750676, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1717437492138 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "0b3540776e4a", "prob": 0.5, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "qlbmTptNf3pZYr8cvLBp", "createdTime": 1714655089423, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-baa3-f57405b83c36", "createdTime": 1714655089667}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714655089677}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480... | ["live-betting", "sports-default", "prop-bets", "nfl", "football"] | 0.25 | 1717437489008 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WoFPjKzJwDoD3ZbmIhBb | nfl-week-eleven-prop-bets | 5 | NFL Week Eleven - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714655122180 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Eleven", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.15460622174098715, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1717308889835 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "7517d2a7bcc3", "prob": 0.5, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "WoFPjKzJwDoD3ZbmIhBb", "createdTime": 1714655122181, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-baa3-f57405b83c36", "createdTime": 1714655122443}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1714655122435}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1... | ["live-betting", "nfl", "prop-bets", "sports-default", "football"] | 0.25 | 1717308886701 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
XUkmixF9qAFThTUe0h49 | nfl-week-twelve-prop-bets | 39 | NFL Week Twelve - Prop Bets | 1735966740000 | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714655156359 | Stop Punting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "2024-25 NFL Season - Week Twelve", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Game Slate:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " TBA", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5212778674380066, "platformFee": 0.5212778674380066, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 300 | StopPunting | 1714834369424 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "908d7ad36aa3", "prob": 0.3415018549518627, "text": "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.00359622345513, "userId": "mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 34.715286448479034, "textFts": "'4':3 'favor':4 'least':2 'lose':6 'team':5", "contractId": "XUkmixF9qAFThTUe0h49",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668545009927 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714655156609}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714655156636}, {"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-baa3-f57405b... | ["football", "sports-default", "live-betting", "nfl", "prop-bets"] | 0.25 | 1714834366134 | False | 0 |
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