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0.49999999999999956 | GJGfEZDdbvbqTAfWVBTg | {"NO": 206.56787184563402, "YES": 48.41023877843358} | 1 | shortfuse-will-the-poll-creation-co | 226.12131537707407 | [Short-fuse] Will the poll creation cost really increase to 250 mana in the pivot? | 1715885940000 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1715778778124 | Plasma Ballin' | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the cost of creating a poll is increased to 250 mana or more at the same time other markets types have their creation costs increase. Resolves NO if the cost is less than 250 mana. N/A if polls cease to exist or the pivot never happ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.720060409442133, "platformFee": 2.720060409442133, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715919692957 | 100 | PlasmaBallin | 1715885940000 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668786016313 | 0 | [{"name": "Pivot", "slug": "pivot", "groupId": "825a042c-ac2e-4dd9-9edd-1545fafc8719", "createdTime": 1715778778473}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c", "createdTime": 1715778778491}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW2... | ["pivot", "short-fuse", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715884209659 | 1715919675968 | 0.81 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PMIKI64VKKDt4mtOzt4f | kansas-city-chiefs-buffalo-bills-we | 633.751877753096 | Kansas City Chiefs / Buffalo Bills 🏈 Week 11 4:25pm | 1731905940000 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715795155401 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.22038347161415, "platformFee": 0.49716514453114297, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 450 | 10thOfficial | 1718837003708 | 0 | 11 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5230e42bd37e", "prob": 0.6442342301738292, "text": "Chiefs win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 33.641846660839164, "userId": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 18.578052694340737, "textFts": "'chief':1 'win':2", "contractId": "PMIKI64VKKDt4mtOzt4f", "createdTime": 1715795155401, "probChanges"... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1715795155783}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1715795155787}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1715... | ["nfl", "football", "sports-betting", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1718837000645 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17008396883161103 | Z6av2xvfnczIFFbqsyYa | {"NO": 954.4102136566855, "YES": 1067.5846704087319} | 0.15484534821188214 | openai-releases-a-model-unquestiona | 329.2103479950619 | OpenAI releases a model unquestionably named "GPT-4.5" or "GPT-4.5x" (where X varies) by mid 2025, hardcore legalism arc | 1751353140000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.805625982865605 | False | basic | public | 1715795155919 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a hard core well defined market. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Names that count, with symbolic regex", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.566123666190929, "platformFee": 3.118278828029575, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ernie | 1716782372635 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "GPT-4 speculation", "slug": "gpt4-speculation", "groupId": "SWiC5KtQnc48oWmaoAZA", "createdTime": 1715795156387}, {"name": "GPT-5 Speculation", "slug": "gpt5-speculation", "groupId": "XjoIQCNrsc4HP3H3DdTP", "createdTime": 1715795156389}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGk... | ["gpt4-speculation", "gpt5-speculation", "openai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716782368967 | 1715836861394 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2FDlARQvyoFHKNdCHdnc | new-orleans-saints-denver-broncos-t | 64.26549307454286 | New Orleans Saints @ Denver Broncos 🏈 TNF | 1729223940000 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715795286022 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7909728800407254, "platformFee": 0.7909728800407254, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | 10thOfficial | 1715967144878 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "d2015d776117", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Saints win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'saint':1 'win':2", "contractId": "2FDlARQvyoFHKNdCHdnc", "createdTime": 1715795286022, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "subsidyPo... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1715795286413}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715795286428}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 17157952... | ["football", "sports-default", "nfl", "sports-betting"] | 0.25 | 1715967141693 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5296414660284179 | dU2Uiw6OuEEHUOMaeUY6 | {"NO": 10616.379246515666, "YES": 120.75195774379108} | 1 | bulls-vs-bears-will-the-sp-500-hit-d15eec2d540e | 11455.698860553955 | Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,500.00 before 5,100.00? | 1718892890504 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.038174280067311 | True | basic | YES | public | 1715795354726 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves only, if the S&P 500 hits 5,500.00 or 5,100.00 points ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "during official NYSE core trading hours", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars", "cla... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.42316777048342835} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 106.93561812692661, "platformFee": 3.309097632572275, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718892890504 | 1000 | Lion | 1718892890504 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | [{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1715795355081}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1715795355085}, {"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f101525", "cr... | ["finance", "stocks", "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "sp-500-changes", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718890255674 | 1718892876916 | 0.99 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RuQpCKiMf34SQS8Vdnd0 | besides-pogacar-who-will-place-high | 1733.8639355356872 | Besides Pogacar who will place highest on GC at the 2024 Giro d'Italia? | 1716782340000 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | d73e010d4f60 | public | 1715795898932 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the second place at the end of the Giro d'Italia if Tadej Pogacar wins the general classification, or the first place if he doesn't.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.786799769921194, "platformFee": 4.6464120841301035, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716827005076 | 100 | egroj | 1716782340000 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "d73e010d4f60", "prob": 0.9945420410365267, "text": "Daniel Felipe Martínez", "index": 0, "poolNo": 477.25605452012843, "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.619139114446341, "textFts": "'daniel':1 'felip':2 'martínez':3", "contractId": "RuQpCKiMf34SQS8Vdnd0", "resolverId": "9... | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1655411946178 | 0 | [{"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1715795899292}, {"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXzAzPN8OcW", "createdTime": 1715795899295}, {"name": "Giro d'Italia", "slug": "giro-ditalia", "groupId": "33757f25-58... | ["road-bicycle-racing", "peloton-discord", "giro-ditalia"] | 0.25 | 1716719653116 | 1715796641430 | {"d73e010d4f60": 100} | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | True | 0 |
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