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0.08673205476341368 | qpSjmFAW1sj3xrKOgFbf | {"NO": 343.80798141909577, "YES": 1956.3787585756188} | 0 | nobody-can-tweet-by-eoy-2023 | 4604.34632417541 | Nobody can tweet by EOY 2023? | 1704095940000 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | cpmm-1 | 0.49757864111820627 | 2.9982342313622885 | True | play | NO | public | 1668889495254 | Johnny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Temporary outages will not cause this market to resolve positively. It must be a premanent, announced unavailability of the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "twitter.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://twitter.com... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704144606604 | 430 | TheSkeward | 1704144607193 | 1.4 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj4aU69N8prXAd7lwmlS3dHW-lp_SfATAlIRGkJtg=s96-c | 0 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668889495553}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129836232}] | ["technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.14065501247412096 | 0.5 | 1704087366565 | 0.02 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4909526738804879 | fRs5fMJ0nVfl6L6WywwC | {"NO": 375.4445604280199, "YES": 391.75916898333355} | 0.02 | this-is-market-a-it-resolves-to-pro | 1535.18182496941 | This is market A. It resolves to PROB set by market B top response. | 1672545540000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8918006364554021 | True | play | MKT | public | 1668890119087 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here is market B:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/FranklinBaldo/this-is-market-b-what-prob-should-m", "height": 0, "frameborder": 0, "allowfullscreen": true}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672551453761 | 410 | FranklinBaldo | 1672545427044 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669091469587}, {"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1668890119445}, {"name": "Non-Predic... | ["selfresolving", "fun", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1672545426889 | 1670053706986 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.051522768251518684 | w6fFPgf8S3nE90gnPxdB | {"NO": 933.6224357114668, "YES": 1575.2049335031857} | 0.03119206884741111 | will-florida-lose-over-25-of-its-la | 2545.3908186465324 | Will Florida lose over 25% of it's land surface area to sea level rise by the end of 2075? | 3345091140000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0.012189808630931371 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1668920556164 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Relative to land surface area as of 2022. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.0408340855860843e-17, "week": 1.0408340855860843e-17, "month": 1.0408340855860843e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | CarsonGale | 1710888227081 | 1.1 | 15 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Climate", "slug": "climate", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1668920556411}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 1673... | ["climate", "carsons-important-markets"] | 0.12945603641361458 | 0.5 | 1710888222889 | 1668928279036 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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20HF3imlVgSFtTcvnmqV | who-will-be-the-next-user-banned-fr | 140.63957291169214 | Who will be the next user banned from Manifold Markets? | 1669645639343 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.846713163617365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668923350817 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the first person who was banned after creation of this market. The user must have at least one market, post, or comment which is not obvious spam.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "U... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670474215491 | 479.99999999999994 | Jenny | 1670474288687 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "20b6d1344b2a", "prob": 0.2727836738172209, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.468755945260122, "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 30.574654442066716, "textFts": "", "contractId": "20HF3imlVgSFtTcvnmqV", "createdTime": 1668923351172, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 2 | 4 | [{"name": "Manibans", "slug": "manibans", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "54w7ywmVRtwkShAAhknZ", "createdTime": 1668923351046}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668923368659}] | ["manibans", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 1669504572898 | 1670474268074 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4101298811139635 | AKOOxZ5G7x0QCVTU1mg2 | {"NO": 157.99838404006718, "YES": 389.4839649866209} | 0 | will-this-market-be-above-50-at-10p | 1750.815205647773 | Will this market be above 50% at 10PM Central Time on Sunday, November 20, 2022? | 1669003200000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2476238518381204 | True | play | NO | public | 1668924549097 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market shall resolve YES if it is above 50% probability at 10PM Central Time November 20, 2022.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669013907745 | 250 | BRTD | 1669003201625 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668972126900}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1668972128203}] | ["fun", "whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1669003199264 | 0.47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8458713993291982 | 5Tebj7XS4ZaTT6pFjKMW | {"NO": 883.7044724286042, "YES": 39.1098741667259} | 1 | will-joe-biden-and-vladimir-putin-a-4dd0eaa12726 | 1705.79284527912 | Will Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin agree to a prisoner swap that includes Brittney Griner by the end of 2022? | 1670515761966 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.359401383322666 | True | play | YES | public | 1668924823525 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if it happens. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670515761966 | 290 | BTE | 1670515752822 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668924824088}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1670513123778 | 1670515749541 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23892770270560817 | RWaxKSnZXPJLGhFzvz33 | {"NO": 166.01018440122104, "YES": 1879.9396559139727} | 0.026974635059423567 | will-joe-biden-and-vladimir-putin-a-5d8f7046295c | 1844.6344161562004 | Will Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin agree to a prisoner swap that includes Brittney Griner in 2023? | 1670619426124 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0414363640317363 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668924875323 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if it happens. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670619426124 | 350 | BTE | 1670623304541 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668924875954}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1670603335332 | 1670623301094 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.21835778899650485 | H5lHanhFbydNlvIECQBW | {"NO": 197.9039440571055, "YES": 4762.461196652117} | 0 | will-donald-trump-follow-100-people | 7741.462861557187 | Will Donald Trump follow 100 people on Twitter by the end of the year? | 1672549140000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8996089428602256 | True | play | NO | public | 1668934471063 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672982384762 | 490 | BTE | 1672548339801 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 15 | [{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1668934471333}] | ["magaland"] | 0.5 | 1672548339655 | 1669084026968 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.29223076384977736 | i4WiupN5PRINjKD4K7Bl | {"NO": 187.54392252912191, "YES": 2332.0279343619445} | 0 | will-lindsey-graham-be-charged-in-g | 2665.031574597325 | Will Lindsey Graham be charged in GA related to the conspiracy to overturn the 2020 election results in the state? | 1699530400952 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5217379478604187 | True | play | NO | public | 1668947049307 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1699530400952 | 430 | BTE | 1699530392324 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1668947049714}] | ["law-order"] | 0.5 | 1699530392138 | 1699527213118 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3080985335289621 | Ae4XcTaqbvvhFLTSlWyj | {"NO": 62.40525174499504, "YES": 1985.184101749629} | 0 | will-rishi-sunak-meet-with-bibi-net | 1984.5783469199137 | Will Rishi Sunak meet with Bibi Netanyahu by the end of 2022? | 1672537484530 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.175378472105735 | True | play | NO | public | 1668947486627 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672537484530 | 190 | BTE | 1672537479167 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Prime Millennial", "slug": "prime-millennial", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "mGhR4kc3kdcFDeim8Xmp", "createdTime": 1668947486840}] | ["prime-millennial"] | 0.5 | 1672537479054 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2268303959625224 | 6R6G42yViCblaTvm60NZ | {"NO": 117.43130963475913, "YES": 2361.7033048184803} | 0 | will-joe-biden-meet-with-bibi-netan | 4330.701525873541 | Will Joe Biden meet with Bibi Netanyahu by the end of 2022? | 1672543442602 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.76945200979186 | True | play | NO | public | 1668947525750 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672543442602 | 250 | BTE | 1672543436947 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "The Life of Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1668947561378}, {"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 166... | ["the-life-of-biden", "israeli-politics"] | 0.5 | 1672543436758 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21381654864025706 | h3Fwodt8N29leIYVdSB4 | {"NO": 953.8021396602531, "YES": 1091.8879481593772} | 0.19196705597662866 | will-bibi-netanyahu-visit-maralago | 5557.122827315265 | Will Bibi Netanyahu visit Mar-a-Lago while Israeli Prime Minister? | 1798779540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0.07168863319362334 | 9.675964786284673 | False | basic | public | 1668947664750 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.20363714846227232, "platformFee": 0.20363714846227232, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BTE | 1716205568503 | 2.4 | 32 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 1668947665161}] | ["israeli-politics"] | 0.14213598854915865 | 0.5 | 1716205565233 | 1711296499743 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25888657474240095 | u6lmh2MuRy6jaiiiee1f | {"NO": 571.6409034955486, "YES": 3826.8207336305013} | 0.04959292113743022 | will-jeff-bezos-return-to-amazon-as | 8730.630207419556 | Will Jeff Bezos return to Amazon as CEO by 2024? | 1735707540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.978269383573341 | False | basic | public | 1668947867019 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Amazon has lost 45 percent of its market cap since Jeff Bezos had his mid-life crisis. Will he take back his company by pushing Andy Jaffy to leave to serve as the chief of AWS after it is spun out of Amazon as independent company? Just one way it ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0008401621529363357} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.17442798048697064, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BTE | 1718203205462 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 0 | 26 | [{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1669079939089}, {"name": "Scott Galloway", "slug": "scott-galloway", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "H6L7cAbL88dRrfAcBflK", "createdTime": 1... | ["scott-galloway", "fire-the-ceo-markets", "ceos-of-companies"] | 0.5 | 1718203201328 | 1673741729176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13764390728815304 | 18ZqhW0aJNHZQmXYtDzJ | {"NO": 273.8278717544471, "YES": 2141.628252006217} | 0 | will-microsoft-acquire-twitter-by-t | 3610.1706144394043 | Will Microsoft acquire Twitter by the end of 2023? | 1704083385063 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3123626591453723 | True | play | NO | public | 1668947963935 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704083385063 | 390 | BTE | 1710451900067 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": "Kara Swisher", "slug": "kara-swisher", "groupId": "TfITyyQIjLFVByjknYLp"}] | ["new-years-resolutions-2024", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "kara-swisher"] | 0.5 | 1704083380923 | 0.05 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7835969518540816 | kXumpOvZLq0Y1A7ZtifK | {"NO": 548.65312209513, "YES": 51.30322167900974} | 1 | will-twitter-take-down-hackers-1995 | 499.29926472828805 | Will Twitter take down "Hackers (1995) full movie official twitter thread" by the end of the week? | 1668963750627 | Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.211439290290409 | True | play | YES | public | 1668948198852 | Andy Martin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Twitter’s copyright strike system appears to be broken. Naturally, one user took this as an opportunity to post the entire The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift movie in a series of two-minute clips spanning nearl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668963750627 | 130 | AndyMartin | 1668963335811 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw0L052KDniGlcKQYGazhwe1SmubhJvKPt9aqoU=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668948199105}] | ["twitter"] | 0.5 | 1668963292227 | 1668963334150 | 0.5 |
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