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0.30774969740933095 | o49bBKQ8KskCH1TzZIg7 | {"NO": 49.2853010698382, "YES": 1009.23781459284} | 0 | will-the-democrats-make-nevada-the | 909.0440030161658 | Will the Democrats make Nevada the first state primary in the upcoming 2024 presidential election? | 1670033043018 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.737565899040038 | True | play | NO | public | 1669384042256 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Democrats are due to meet beginning December 1st to decide which state will host the first in the nation primary going forward. This market resolves YES if Nevada is selected to be the first state primary on the new schedule. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670033043018 | 150 | BTE | 1670018680005 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "2024 DNC Primaries", "slug": "2024-dnc-primaries", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "tSy5ixnOKGUxPztWvgbX", "createdTime": 1669384042479}] | ["2024-dnc-primaries"] | 0.5 | 1670018679874 | 1669384221194 | 0.02124862178360583 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5269797423931443 | o5LttJlhQLSk6pGpKN3A | {"NO": 96.77189434097107, "YES": 34.28115582838259} | 1 | will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16500-a-bf424968fc5d | 80.03137408203814 | Will Bitcoin price be above $16500 at Nov 25 11am ET? | 1669392000000 | jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.233139596015103 | True | play | YES | public | 1669390031361 | Gene Fama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669393666181 | 70 | GeneFama | 1669391981358 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669390031904}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1669391981212 | 1669390132256 | 0.7587401307388681 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5112079440378392 | fM9R6l9PVrwbM21x3lf9 | {"NO": 17.566684903097137, "YES": 148.6485194260108} | 0 | will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16500-a-db3ee6af6215 | 772.1788698755487 | Will Bitcoin price be above $16500 at Nov 25 2pm ET? | 1669402800000 | jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.77115054095809 | True | play | NO | public | 1669390416545 | Gene Fama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "class"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669402946777 | 90 | GeneFama | 1669402541639 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669390416995}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1669402541470 | 1669390499190 | 0.11000000000000013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6142512152766378 | atbWT2rOFX9jvstSq0t5 | {"NO": 320.9233633313153, "YES": 178.8844151760345} | 0 | will-there-be-more-traders-who-hold-6ef6e6e74824 | 182.55859789384138 | Will there be more traders who hold NO shares than YES shares on this market? | 1670630340000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5927493448532335 | True | play | NO | public | 1669393275076 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Upon market close, I will look at the new \"users\" tab and count up how many users there are in each column. If the number of users in the NO column is greater than the YES column, this resovles to YES. If not, it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671502157901 | 230 | Boklam | 1671502149904 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0.5 | 1670627572713 | 1671502148050 | 0.74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5046881350562797 | Y0sDF0GOHhtQ2Auwvzea | {"NO": 381.9090894022345, "YES": 253.30201600820828} | 1 | will-the-probability-of-this-market-ee0f1b4a3782 | 432.6039183583216 | Will the probability of this market be an odd number at closure? | 1670047140000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1326052445834638 | True | play | YES | public | 1669393663848 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670047209391 | 350 | BRTD | 1670047002602 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 18 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669394299648}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1669394301552}] | ["fun", "whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1670047002462 | 1669400298868 | 0.6057192004140406 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.8008852938780389 | 1bu6rWWRxY7mzm2Z5py0 | {"NO": 1070.2351607554233, "YES": 1245.4604439579448} | 0.7756005250564825 | is-the-universe-fully-deterministic-fdbd8457cbfc | 3484.4203282078506 | Is the universe fully deterministic? | 32503698000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0.008940243019726441 | 9.254963635856809 | False | basic | public | 1669394713380 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to physicists' best guess once we have a Theory of Everything and there don't seem to be any more unanswered questions that could in principle be answered.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"tex... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010221514769930273} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.727433533109877, "platformFee": 0.5119933232469898, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1225 | IsaacKing | 1719246833254 | 1.1 | 70 | 0 | 33 | [{"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1669394713680}, {"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 16... | ["physics", "philosophy"] | 0.12706763999797366 | 0.5 | 1719246830014 | 1719235522123 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4893593024307325 | 4L1mICSwVGLreJ21YWrt | {"NO": 129.77419865944995, "YES": 129.44189897609186} | 0 | will-this-market-close-over-50-on-2 | 64.87523871112442 | Will this market close under 50% on 28/11/22 00:00 CET? | 1669590000000 | PiKA9eCGm0PuCpznoq7PG6D5s0Y2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.814300864672407 | True | play | NO | public | 1669395773890 | Nikita Brancatisano | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 25, 6:06pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will this market close over 50% on 28/11/22 00:00 CET?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will this market close under 50% on 28/11/22 00:00 CET?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669714644080 | 130 | NikitaBrancatisano | 1669714779149 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3SqmTnCNWWsU3gADm9c1KH9I4jkcRSa06xrgSA=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Experimental", "slug": "experimental", "userId": "PiKA9eCGm0PuCpznoq7PG6D5s0Y2", "groupId": "GAn872bm0J8FT8pNYtyq", "createdTime": 1669395774189}] | ["experimental"] | 0.5 | 1669583477583 | 1669714772632 | 0.49000000000000116 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41585961896676626 | 7FQpRSFZJlKDlUalR3wN | {"NO": 135.2047833237014, "YES": 170.377871125634} | 1 | will-michigan-beat-ohio-state-on-sa | 74.6959494155519 | Will Michigan beat Ohio State on Saturday? | 1669482000000 | uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6076532667001513 | True | play | YES | public | 1669396009083 | BCG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ohio State is at home and favored by 8 points.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669594163679 | 150 | BruceGrugett | 1669478155708 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669396009685}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1669478155584 | 1669396078905 | 0.36100108729356156 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5601238510940708 | NcpUMdlYao7GRuoXbC0C | {"NO": 98.76774974702046, "YES": 1072.3939977021887} | 0 | my-city-is-raising-its-minimum-wage | 1405.8978793954025 | My city is raising its minimum wage, but I make more than what it will be raised to. Will I get a wage increase as a result? | 1680289500000 | yPCPXjepx7a8vPZquWdfMYrXNwo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4512719943589572 | True | play | NO | public | 1669396057866 | Enaz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Minimum wage where I work is going up. I already make slightly more than what it will be raised to. However, our front desk staff make between what it is now and what it will be raised to, so they will need an increase. The question is, will I get ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680305968713 | 430 | enaz | 1680288485643 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "yPCPXjepx7a8vPZquWdfMYrXNwo1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669396058738}, {"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1679359562822}] | ["economics-default", "proofniks"] | 0.5 | 1680288485289 | 1679280045356 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6217185176286733 | OPOfrvhUoaCfUsWXQkRr | {"NO": 23.600810568935316, "YES": 156.56036639942434} | 0 | this-market-resolves-to-yes-max-pos | 310 | This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ50 per person. | 1669400535449 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.968925090461295 | True | play | NO | public | 1669396302572 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If any non-bot participant placs one or more bets on YES that total more than Ṁ50, I reserve the right to resolve the market to either N/A or to NO, in whatever way best punishes the user(s) who placed those invalid bets.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669400535449 | 130 | IsaacKing | 1669440174575 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1669396302804}, {"name": "Improperly Resolved", "slug": "improperly-resolved", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "H4pCAtNjKfKA1dq7NCBl", "createdTime": 16694008771... | ["free-money", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1669400530629 | 1669440173807 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6322980992453116 | fQCqOiga8qXVdx7x7YQF | {"NO": 256.42951456548, "YES": 22.606582229911904} | 0 | this-market-resolves-to-yes-max-pos-d2b25a117ce2 | 222.2929538286342 | This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ40 per person. | 1669400445654 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.118897059274021 | True | play | NO | public | 1669396324691 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If any non-bot participant placs one or more bets on YES that total more than Ṁ40, I reserve the right to resolve the market to either N/A or to NO, in whatever way best punishes the user(s) who placed those invalid bets.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669400445654 | 110 | IsaacKing | 1669400587221 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1669396324970}, {"name": "Improperly Resolved", "slug": "improperly-resolved", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "H4pCAtNjKfKA1dq7NCBl", "createdTime": 16694004914... | ["free-money", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1669400356623 | 1669400586342 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5142714258149188 | XQgbuF1CBxCdn61AmXiI | {"NO": 352.2079486664529, "YES": 345.934466910967} | 1 | will-the-biggest-shareholder-own-ye | 1799.2305110901198 | Will the biggest shareholder own YES shares? | 1670043540000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0087363325740741 | True | play | YES | public | 1669415017367 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At market close I'll look at the person with the most shares in this market. This market resolves YES if they own YES shares in this market.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related: ", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670105687103 | 350 | Jenny | 1670035896270 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 22 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669415145265}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669415017616}, {"name": "Non-Predic... | ["fun", "selfresolving", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1670035896087 | 1669418411133 | 0.5187595956456695 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.43040752546782474 | M57C2cnGw2CZtPYzbNiw | {"NO": 161.52282381715779, "YES": 183.0799440323132} | 0 | democrats-vs-republicans-2-hour-onl-e000fcfc14a4 | 925.6352051220325 | Democrats vs Republicans (2 hour only) | 1669424400000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7651197213780574 | True | play | NO | public | 1669417554581 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ">50.0% = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669426976957 | 230 | Gamble_market | 1669424397991 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669419249177}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1669419247416}, {"name": "... | ["gambling", "selfresolving", "whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1669424397813 | 1669417656862 | 0.40000000000000013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6697327776203569 | SWOr9VPZirrNTDzUq1nD | {"NO": 2805.507327960764, "YES": 89.69835901709705} | 1 | how-much-profit-will-arbitragebot-m | 2985.9311776076856 | How much profit will @ArbitrageBot make on FIFA 2022 markets? | 1672549140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.320103237434399 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669418921779 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve based on the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "group leaderboards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/group/2022-fifa-world-cup/leaderboards", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672604138753 | 310 | Jenny | 1671898212686 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669418922066}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1671052... | ["trading-bots", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.611263283039397 | 1671778188885 | 1671898189521 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3689978937903713 | x0QmDLSwoiTxDqujGJEN | {"NO": 248.71014648593612, "YES": 2051.462688271402} | 0 | will-a-majority-of-participants-in | 2271.422837901633 | Will a majority of participants in this market choose Yes? | 1670011757757 | LKOBCygMH0TwUu1mCmHUdRE24603 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9912942134283909 | True | play | NO | public | 1669420106944 | LiteChaos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve to Yes if the number of participants that that have Yes stock is greater than the number that have No stock", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve to No if the num... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670011757757 | 630 | LiteChaos | 1670011848669 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 31 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "LKOBCygMH0TwUu1mCmHUdRE24603", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669420464924}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "LKOBCygMH0TwUu1mCmHUdRE24603", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669420107351... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "selfresolving", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1670006339205 | 1670011845098 | 0.06620268164645479 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.48479047239999246 | 8fXtq6bYZfXQDiQGpQ7w | {"NO": 132.67642535476054, "YES": 126.8100358298968} | 0.4960916296945125 | will-this-market-resolve-to-no | 22.990241311906317 | Will this market resolve to "no"? | 1669807143328 | xPybeghQsdMLRm4PcGPjyClku143 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2872349305294364 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669423396567 | Chase Stevens | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to the opposite of the most popular selection (\"Yes\" if chance <50%, \"No\" if chance >50%). Will resolve to \"N/A\" if exactly 50%. Resolves by EOM Nov. 2022, ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669807143328 | 130 | ChaseStevens | 1669452033170 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sm9iJZY5PZxiy-bzRCaFR0OEF4qY94exyqeLe=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0.5 | 1669452031884 | 1669423457937 | 0.49609162969451254 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.48420270032755336 | gG9jQUPFpqmqBVRuKzUt | {"NO": 151.50554350622494, "YES": 148.03034889677028} | 1 | will-this-market-be-under-50-probab | 92.85240320111839 | Will this market be under 50% probability at close? | 1670047140000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0474099058043427 | True | play | YES | public | 1669424897847 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670047180295 | 150 | BRTD | 1669876713754 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669424898518}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669876713307 | 1669424939752 | 0.4900000000000004 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5396776001807804 | 8829XwMuQULoFtZ0aJYN | {"NO": 37.3656161548027, "YES": 503.7815664230655} | 0 | democrats-vs-republicans-1-day-only-2eb919e0681d | 733.1106402306385 | Democrats vs Republicans (1 day only) | 1669518000000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8057113779504586 | True | play | NO | public | 1669431648246 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ">50.0% = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669520683218 | 190 | Gamble_market | 1669517999283 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1669530269906}, {"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669530268717}... | ["selfresolving", "whale-watching", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1669517999136 | 1669431750606 | 0.08000000000000011 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2037424555602968 | vyDgsT8VXmwZTgX6ZNRw | {"NO": 152.01211958754328, "YES": 789.7162666235355} | 0 | will-clara-collier-consider-valinor | 1314.1761766468696 | Will Clara Collier consider Valinor's kitchen a "disaster area" Sunday morning? | 1669579755884 | vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6308931352782237 | True | play | NO | public | 1669431989501 | Mike Blume | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669579755884 | 230 | MichaelBlume | 1669594836680 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5v7H-1kFkIa9wgaAZZ6vxS4zu6qCzfHKTitxBwg=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Valinor", "slug": "valinor", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "umnW4Jfo9cUq1wYRNyvd", "createdTime": 1670518146726}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669431990161}, {"name": "S... | ["personal-goals", "valinor", "sf-bay-rationalists"] | 0.5 | 1669540915425 | 1669594834755 | 0.04694126333634355 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8519919737904144 | y6KUif38Nyul1eQV5OEx | {"NO": 411.4534985415278, "YES": 84.89119171631035} | 1 | will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16500-a-197ee12781e9 | 1304.613980736575 | Will Bitcoin price be above $16500 at Nov 26 1am ET? | 1669442400000 | jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.514510354586344 | True | play | YES | public | 1669432891625 | Gene Fama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669501512315 | 130 | GeneFama | 1669438417526 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669432892365}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1669438417292 | 1669432957869 | 0.9653982440268827 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5056026347674225 | ArPODdlsMrnZQS0xSswO | {"NO": 311.3552885358092, "YES": 344.29580255174096} | 1 | will-kanye-appear-on-nick-fuentes-s | 1518.8014893354243 | Will Kanye appear on Nick Fuentes stream 11/25 (Virtually or in person) | 1669435140000 | VhzAVw1rbZb3qKRDhva7ad9gZT53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.066630544727298 | True | play | YES | public | 1669433156543 | thesourceofsound | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669443274620 | 370 | thesourceofsound | 1673316789532 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "VhzAVw1rbZb3qKRDhva7ad9gZT53", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669433157045}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1669435138735 | 1673316785615 | 0.4804711807632509 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14498768686226868 | 9GjQQC4HgY3J2jnIzwnZ | {"NO": 949.2697596222374, "YES": 1191.7416592133557} | 0.11899884708274246 | by-the-beginning-of-2035-will-physi | 2114.077823793037 | By the beginning of 2035, will physicists and philosophers mostly agree on the correct interpretation of quantum mechanics? | 2051240400000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.9126840638191 | False | basic | public | 1669433801206 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Or whatever theory has replaced it at the time.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Mostly agree\" here will mean upwards of 95% agreement in polls.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -0.011068175361252111, "month": -0.011068175361252139} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8632422452153617, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1719909582533 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 18 | [{"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1669433801415}, {"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 16... | ["physics", "philosophy"] | 0.5 | 1719909579467 | 1672838842757 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4418604651162791 | ypqA7lyoWKp9NkoCgHRH | {"NO": 49.27066081296036, "YES": 104.99999999999996} | 0 | will-sam-onella-academy-release-a-v | 35 | Will Sam O'Nella Academy release a video before the last days of 2022 | 1672202603261 | j6vMQX1yMkbMmdfelbaUCMx2SDq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.7072714216172162 | True | play | NO | public | 1669434235479 | Tuccibro | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the recently returned Youtuber \"Sam O'Nella Academy,\" release a video to Youtube before the year is almost up? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NO",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672202603261 | 70 | Tuccibro | 1669565574149 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3iLL3CY3R0nrHz1xNDduQGVAr3xxwzuZ4ej8sw=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "userId": "j6vMQX1yMkbMmdfelbaUCMx2SDq1", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1669434235727}] | ["youtube"] | 0.5 | 1669565573992 | 1669434280218 | 0.27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17132863250974398 | vJ5aN7DOVgVbaT5lt4PZ | {"NO": 247.5555034651526, "YES": 1126.9182963012681} | 0 | will-taylor-swift-duct-tape-the-mic | 878.867444049188 | Will Taylor Swift duct tape the mic to her hand jump into the audience and go crowd surfing at any date on her upcoming tour? | 1693458000000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0829401710706246 | True | play | NO | public | 1669435179467 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's see if she imitates a 90s powerviolence front person.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1693599937246 | 340 | BRTD | 1693452689068 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1669435179985}] | ["entertainment"] | 0.5 | 1693452688893 | 1669435307760 | 0.04 |
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