Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.3014476743274216
J1cr4T8KRvic7a8KCMcm
{"NO": 95.55216479809891, "YES": 214.98434298628015}
0
will-this-market-3-have-at-least-5
115.01565701371983
Will this market (#3) have at least 5 more traders than #2?
1672549200000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
2.9225033031280936
True
play
NO
public
1669232695135
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Markets in this series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "#1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672690046506
130
IsaacKing
1669940414965
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
4
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…d61-6fee25d007e9
5
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669232695460}]
["fun"]
0.5
1669940414782
1669232741679
0.16
0.3952996489254066
OGJtoVHHFlKDb5fvMZQE
{"NO": 55.8838557897925, "YES": 166.42321917272957}
1
will-this-market-4-have-the-same-nu
116.90275722685077
Will this market (#4) have the same number of traders as any other market in this series?
1672549200000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
3.3732410912389685
True
play
YES
public
1669232842805
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Markets in this series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "#1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672808195262
90
IsaacKing
1669767324824
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
4
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…66a-cbc518cc6897
6
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669232843310}]
["fun"]
0.5
1669767324677
1669313250887
0.18
Qb8F09E4yoZXvJyiUhMI
where-is-default-city
545.4829472401191
Where is Default City?
253402322340000
qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1669234094026
Elspeth
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market shall resolve to the region in which it is confirmed by Eliezer Yudkowsky that Default City of dath ilan resides.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Elspeth
1713890334360
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c
1
19
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "53d0f0b10050", "prob": 0.08561509601873711, "text": "North America", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.504547726271868, "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 90.83012713539766, "textFts": "'america':2 'north':1", "contractId": "Qb8F09E4yoZXvJyiUhMI", "createdTime": 1669234094026, "probCh...
https://firebasestorage.…bc8-cb899f90782a
8
[{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1669234094337}]
["glowfic"]
1713890334360
1698799337529
True
True
0.05524760616854768
3K63FYyhwljHyac11tXy
{"NO": 906.3490773629657, "YES": 2304.009621339496}
0.022486883321026645
will-virginia-governor-glenn-youngk
19075.0014679879
Will Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin be the Republican Party nominee for President in 2024 in the general election.
1731023940000
MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1
cpmm-1
0.023581978612130967
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1669234784358
Jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based in results of the 2024 primaries as reported in the Wall Street Journal ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -0.004161920122416458}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9814709893015433, "platformFee": 0.38334820246855544, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JimAusman
1718405215744
1.2
https://firebasestorage.…02c-9c3e2d7602ee
24
0
https://firebasestorage.…7c1-763d6840ee98
11
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669234784826}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1674501194848}]
["us-politics", "politics-default"]
0.14530205481902483
0.5
1718405212700
1678837490655
0.5227256707614968
SDQ1zapXeQRifDztnTvL
{"NO": 263.16662685756353, "YES": 196.0721036015962}
0.5951435997836864
will-smeth-pay-destiny-15-by-the-en
207.76507693511914
Will Smeth pay Destiny $15 by the end of January?
1675231140000
kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52
cpmm-1
0
1.479631926237083
True
play
CANCEL
public
1669234999165
GAZE WITHIN
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677825602187
230
destiny
1677537223873
0
https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405
10
0
7
https://firebasestorage.…406-5074d1673955
10
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669234999952}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1675201216836
1677537221977
0.6
0.6268892572913873
BzF0vxzYh0MMDOtLPBc5
{"NO": 101.55585999597538, "YES": 109.01696760175162}
0
will-i-have-caught-up-with-my-flash
160
Will I have caught up with my flashcard debt by the end of February, 2023?
1677625200000
tfvngTPpESRWGE8z3IAy1LLU7Ww2
cpmm-1
0
2.837981048399551
True
play
NO
public
1669235323599
Emrik Garden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if I hit inbox zero at any point before the deadline in 70 days.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In June, July, and August, I consistently did ~3.3 flashcard reviews p...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678426934977
110
EmrikGarden
1677586954773
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqiZswK9-4B4ThVuCETCkpXzHVFKKxTcv-_R5zhbQ=s96-c
4
0
2
https://firebasestorage.…504-0d85272769ad
5
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "tfvngTPpESRWGE8z3IAy1LLU7Ww2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669235323886}]
["personal-goals"]
0.5
1677586954570
1669235890654
0.61
0.47069876369178815
2VHIzWxtZ6smIxTK9Jno
{"NO": 61.79749574545897, "YES": 79.78516940574112}
0.4078611891976782
mr-girl-stock-1-day-resolve
32.21483059425885
Mr. Girl Stock (1 Day resolve)
1669348032942
tdHw4gvdENcGFEDeGtzP5NLl3oP2
cpmm-1
0
3.579696435107592
True
play
MKT
public
1669235660784
Jon Lamb
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve probabilistically in order to allow traders to make a profit based on the percentage, at the end of the day. I'm interested in seeing how the community feels about Mr. Girl and the 'community interrogation' he is conducting...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1669348032942
70
JonLamb
1710218332036
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2c5VWMcAbmdr-9mWu1lVF-Cfwo9FtcKWL6mag_=s96-c
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…70a-5ba8d7cb1b80
2
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1669338775785
1669235722266
0.4078611891976782
0.3199375011528337
uQVX9JvJ0eN9EmSvIXZ4
{"NO": 93.29939526753822, "YES": 2270.0000000000027}
0
number-of-markets-in-isaackings-ser
2000
Number of markets in @IsaacKing's series by EOY
1672549140000
Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2
cpmm-1
0
2.3401693127839485
True
play
MKT
public
1669236084840
Jenny
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently there are 4: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "#1 ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-market-1-have-more-trader", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decorat...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672607521566
270
Jenny
1671147386239
0
https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0
1
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…550-7e5fdb91163b
3
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669236085184}]
["fun"]
0.3562071871080221
1671147386041
1669313226241
0
0.40287461081724213
k0RmELvj3tPYQqzlFYAu
{"NO": 232.11271781051283, "YES": 2020.3745881804587}
0
will-there-be-sexual-misconduct-all
3437.6749927642363
Will there be sexual misconduct allegations as a result of the DGG canvasing efforts in Georgia?
1672531140000
4JghCk9plyfWOmBTHttPznUssuA3
cpmm-1
0
0.9701417586298944
True
play
NO
public
1669236238021
pigatron
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673122623558
570
spamspam
1673109158332
0
https://firebasestorage.…874-87bc3e0a4751
29
0
2
https://firebasestorage.…be6-16112b93eccb
21
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "4JghCk9plyfWOmBTHttPznUssuA3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669236238505}, {"name": "2022 Georgia Runoffs", "slug": "2022-georgia-runoffs", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "TdE6khkHIRpYbjH6kYp7", "createdTime": 1670370504...
["destinygg", "2022-georgia-runoffs"]
0.5
1672368234415
1673109152847
0.07
0.5236248958444297
dAftBqfEKEHKYGlAOwIe
{"NO": 1.1965182239182468, "YES": 10865.89143612438}
0
will-there-be-10-or-more-goals-on-n
11367.082942941259
Will there be 10 or more goals on Nov 24 at the FIFA World Cup?
1669323514164
hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2
cpmm-1
0
4.748768292342736
True
play
NO
public
1669236337727
Rafael Zamora
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolved to YES if the total of goals score in the nov 23 world cup matches is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "10 or more", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ". Resolves to NO if the total is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "9 ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1669323514164
150
RafaelZamora
1669323503862
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GggL6q5Ycr6GnEmC_K4agbZHBpHXNfbvyGJd6v7SwA=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…130-42768b58fd30
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[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669236338347}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
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1669323504033
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{"NO": 354.8898716469802, "YES": 649.3730422880985}
0
will-i-discover-the-identity-of-my
604.3236165225768
Will I discover the identity of my secret admirer?
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y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
1.463645589618569e-15
1.0933565369965934
True
play
NO
public
1669236895943
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I just recieved this message on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "my admonymous page", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.admonymous.co/isaacking", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1689710343310
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IsaacKing
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https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
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0
4
https://firebasestorage.…b32-be81dd8d4060
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0.5
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{"NO": 18.52178342767393, "YES": 14662.265133714885}
0
will-portugal-win-against-south-kor
21053.59397026657
Will Portugal win against South Korea at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
1670000127375
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cpmm-1
0
4.367190923056616
True
play
NO
public
1669237252606
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Portugal wins against South Korea in their group match on December 2. Resolves NO if South Korea wins the match or the match ends in a tie.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1670000127375
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egroj
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0
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
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0
https://firebasestorage.…c27-f994ac2933bc
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["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
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0.562848450478268
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{"NO": 12880.237845021158, "YES": 71.39443091390793}
1
will-uruguay-against-ghana-at-the-2
18404.035068820318
Will Uruguay win against Ghana at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
1670000653203
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
2.0663548790318567
True
play
YES
public
1669237292127
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Uruguay wins against Ghana in their group match on December 2. Resolves NO if Ghana wins the match or the match ends in a tie.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1670000653203
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egroj
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0
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[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669237292595}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
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{"NO": 12574.301119828186, "YES": 13.593102570896008}
1
will-switzerland-win-against-serbia
22742.33258861599
Will Switzerland win against Serbia at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
1670014904858
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
2.6372836022458714
True
play
YES
public
1669237336619
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Switzerland wins against Serbia in their group match on December 2. Resolves NO if Serbia wins the match or the match ends in a tie.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670014904858
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egroj
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0
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[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669237336939}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
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{"NO": 4.253907761783921, "YES": 9174.345767180557}
0
will-brazil-win-against-cameroon-at
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Will Brazil win against Cameroon at the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
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cpmm-1
0
3.2827125612721124
True
play
NO
public
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will-the-fine-usd-4-million-imposed
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Franklin Baldo
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