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ANaCK5lrIQzMDCWWO0FZ | who-will-win-netherlands-v-qatar-20 | 1843.4690192449568 | Who will win Netherlands v Qatar (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669752221888 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.644464811856108 | True | play | 5284124a0299 | public | 1669511144565 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669752221888 | 460.00000000000006 | shade | 1669740848009 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "5284124a0299", "prob": 0.9965508729861869, "text": "Netherlands", "index": 0, "poolNo": 26.577980862607717, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.09198811044250362, "textFts": "'netherland':1", "contractId": "ANaCK5lrIQzMDCWWO0FZ", "createdTime": 1669511144565, "probChanges":... | 10 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669511160888}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669511158010}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669740847905 | 1669511223874 | {"5284124a0299": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dyfzjMBAKXyWEhP0Lgzv | who-will-win-iran-v-usa-2022-fifa-w | 7774.361707306402 | Who will win Iran v USA (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669767052486 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.622620021448599 | True | play | b9f85033643a | public | 1669511179838 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669767052486 | 940 | shade | 1669756891652 | 0 | 23 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "939deef0f2ad", "prob": 0.004019394755961191, "text": "Iran", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.14639382012584654, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 36.275462955382174, "textFts": "'iran':1", "contractId": "dyfzjMBAKXyWEhP0Lgzv", "createdTime": 1669511179838, "probChanges": {"day": 0,... | 24 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669511193053}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669511190109}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669756891454 | 1669733953768 | {"b9f85033643a": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bZ6O3Ghcug4xtJdbIyNy | who-will-win-wales-v-england-2022-f | 882.1652125552524 | Who will win Wales v England (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669767062767 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.6671432634121945 | True | play | da31358ade27 | public | 1669511222656 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669767062767 | 420.00000000000006 | shade | 1669756526843 | 0 | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "181d5a8777db", "prob": 0.0038061015831175465, "text": "Wales", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.05018886141759542, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 13.136233077559172, "textFts": "'wale':1", "contractId": "bZ6O3Ghcug4xtJdbIyNy", "createdTime": 1669511222656, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 8 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669511238073}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669511236496}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669756526671 | 1669511338154 | {"da31358ade27": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
uQ2cRURxT9hMUEMUwEPq | who-will-win-tunisia-v-france-2022 | 3988.5313952916 | Who will win Tunisia v France (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669834716904 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.639550803550433 | True | play | 0b235a3e5002 | public | 1669511293060 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669834716904 | 680 | shade | 1669827595088 | 0 | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0b235a3e5002", "prob": 0.9791673139068667, "text": "Tunisia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 70.45982326001477, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.4990976100874558, "textFts": "'tunisia':1", "contractId": "uQ2cRURxT9hMUEMUwEPq", "createdTime": 1669511293060, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 15 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512026821}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512024633}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669827594939 | 1669511475450 | {"0b235a3e5002": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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gSakgn4MLQiJ7iu40LNP | who-will-win-australia-v-denmark-20 | 1013.770286485762 | Who will win Australia v Denmark (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669834779225 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.666906407735794 | True | play | d50fedd8ded2 | public | 1669511967382 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669834779225 | 480.00000000000006 | shade | 1669831246414 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d50fedd8ded2", "prob": 0.9735040158680813, "text": "Australia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 59.95917783756403, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.6319166625423212, "textFts": "'australia':1", "contractId": "gSakgn4MLQiJ7iu40LNP", "createdTime": 1669511967382, "probChanges": {"da... | 9 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512038971}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512037460}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669831246281 | 1669512070806 | {"d50fedd8ded2": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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xRxmJFXLILOZLwcSozb3 | who-will-win-saudi-arabia-v-mexico | 956 | Who will win Saudi Arabia v Mexico (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669916905183 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.661360839276252 | True | play | 726306b4f718 | public | 1669512196144 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669916905183 | 380.00000000000006 | shade | 1669844373493 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d982083a57f2", "prob": 0.004141497838230794, "text": "Saudi Arabia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.05697653837295069, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 13.700494936558565, "textFts": "'arabia':2 'saudi':1", "contractId": "xRxmJFXLILOZLwcSozb3", "createdTime": 1669512196144, "prob... | 6 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512251436}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512249459}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669844373371 | 1669512328339 | {"726306b4f718": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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gLJXrKgtcdTeRjv26fX7 | who-will-win-japan-v-spain-2022-fif | 5018.231642872811 | Who will win Japan v Spain (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669942913620 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.626308147011635 | True | play | 85772a66f64e | public | 1669512370352 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669942913620 | 680 | shade | 1669934715210 | 0 | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "85772a66f64e", "prob": 0.9967776520224652, "text": "Japan", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.692302021888988, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.08305717658343177, "textFts": "'japan':1", "contractId": "gLJXrKgtcdTeRjv26fX7", "createdTime": 1669512370352, "probChanges": {"day": 0,... | 15 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512381269}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512379635}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669934714938 | 1669512447421 | {"85772a66f64e": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
oySoYn9U9OjaIv0QY5DW | who-will-win-costa-rica-v-germany-2 | 13797.419647571434 | Who will win Costa Rica v Germany (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669942895581 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.619667599487737 | True | play | e9f9ab347c3e | public | 1669512433405 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669942895581 | 700 | shade | 1669938328984 | 0 | 15 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7e442594fdd3", "prob": 0.0007717410024702796, "text": "Costa Rica", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.008864932617177156, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 11.478062143696292, "textFts": "'costa':1 'rica':2", "contractId": "oySoYn9U9OjaIv0QY5DW", "createdTime": 1669512433405, "probCh... | 16 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512442799}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512441309}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669938328851 | 1669927444304 | {"e9f9ab347c3e": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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XJQFBbHyXssLxoP3CToA | who-will-win-ghana-v-uruguay-2022-f | 1951.9351819798503 | Who will win Ghana v Uruguay (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1670002727897 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.640954206445212 | True | play | 3093400c6c6d | public | 1669512638527 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670002727897 | 640 | shade | 1669999934076 | 0 | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6fa2d0bf5804", "prob": 0.00235278122132386, "text": "Ghana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.04265604517392349, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 18.087395651652287, "textFts": "'ghana':1", "contractId": "XJQFBbHyXssLxoP3CToA", "createdTime": 1669512638527, "probChanges": {"day": 0... | 15 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512649128}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512647480}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669999933907 | 1669512665294 | {"3093400c6c6d": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ji2HpOypXErrYH2VyMiH | who-will-win-serbia-v-switzerland-2 | 1605 | Who will win Serbia v Switzerland (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1670015048581 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.646169269841296 | True | play | 2a9fde25e60b | public | 1669512685884 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670015048581 | 580 | shade | 1670014974270 | 0 | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "67663a630a71", "prob": 0.004125559348121022, "text": "Serbia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.08851170582745477, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 21.3659623081671, "textFts": "'serbia':1", "contractId": "ji2HpOypXErrYH2VyMiH", "createdTime": 1669512685884, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 14 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512697317}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669512695660}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1670014974142 | 1669512801262 | {"2a9fde25e60b": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YJNGb6e6ALCVvN5TmLOF | who-will-win-cameroon-v-brazil-2022 | 4332.526027978329 | Who will win Cameroon v Brazil (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1670015056488 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.627762993459186 | True | play | f0e9aeacf3cd | public | 1669512720686 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670015056488 | 660 | shade | 1670014814812 | 0 | 15 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "f0e9aeacf3cd", "prob": 0.992831355589906, "text": "Cameroon", "index": 0, "poolNo": 31.495827953058914, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.22741263128502484, "textFts": "'cameroon':1", "contractId": "YJNGb6e6ALCVvN5TmLOF", "createdTime": 1669512720686, "probChanges": {"day... | 16 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669512753115}, {"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669512751029},... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "brazil-cameroon-20221202"] | 1670014814720 | 1669512800055 | {"f0e9aeacf3cd": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40260541050743454 | eUz4uBuD592jrLq8eJwq | {"NO": 155.22197727263804, "YES": 278.0743149605693} | 1 | will-anyone-get-both-stars-on-day-1 | 248.80720391918413 | Will anyone get both stars in a minute or less on Day 1 of 2022’s Advent of Code | 1669870800000 | ruICuyLDhbhsg2p1MJI23aVqDrL2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7493854441585528 | True | play | YES | public | 1669513427852 | Anthony Peterson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last year, the top leaderboard spot for both stars on day 1 of the Advent of Code was 1:07, with the top 7 getting both stars in 90 seconds.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "That's faster than ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669873902811 | 210 | AnthonyPeterson | 1710208049940 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw6Se3lLl7KLNeb0yooHgjcUR78bSawSCd2SznS=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Advent of Code", "slug": "advent-of-code-0b9522d17a3e", "groupId": "48609770-257d-4f66-b641-5d3c09cf6990"}] | ["advent-of-code-0b9522d17a3e"] | 0.5 | 1669870305246 | 1669873885069 | 0.27335770981759344 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9721531766736305 | o2TnVCfbHApqfxuKD2e3 | {"NO": 1284.0629764682437, "YES": 954.7708352299923} | 0.9791454421382471 | will-kalorm-survive-to-the-end-of-t | 720.4477922009448 | will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo) | 1790809140000 | Dz6gwRuKMgh2AIjiLfxqe8cX7rt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669513539585 | Mordecai Weynberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve no if before the end of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://glowfic.com/replies/1887460", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://glowfic.com/replies/1887460", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:d... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MordecaiWeynberg | 1718738251106 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "W8AdhSftkyQGFLEIUEp7LgFJKwx2", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1669514201684}] | ["glowfic"] | 0.5 | 1683030355765 | 1718738250030 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6311181749135579 | IhALDskbYMZYMhjTKAGZ | {"NO": 850.9940484380018, "YES": 163.35704309718582} | 1 | democrats-vs-republicans-1-day-only-84afdd1fb2a4 | 23661.03027005681 | Democrats vs Republicans (1 day only) | 1669604400000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.470689856477781 | True | play | YES | public | 1669520711763 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ">50.0% = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669605720581 | 390 | Gamble_market | 1714075048454 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1669530285547}, {"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669530283759}... | ["selfresolving", "whale-watching", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive"] | 0.5 | False | 1669604396764 | 1669605786305 | 0.8991198963349402 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47719509839113566 | phBddJ9xNNPJfu4SCcQj | {"NO": 46.67091047153704, "YES": 81.06091687782985} | 1 | will-xqc-get-top-3-next-race | 527.7672940463526 | Will XQC get TOP 3 next race | 1669522931387 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2335922215070942 | True | play | YES | public | 1669522749479 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-26 10:22 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669523089419 | 410 | PryingMind | 1669522931230 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669522750199}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1669522931096 | 1669522852216 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.49126674305866014 | Y3ObHKFUd5VdN4DFOZVi | {"NO": 57.52221230583398, "YES": 66.69929883333766} | 0 | will-xqc-get-top-3-godstiny-rapthis | 542.0350696905748 | Will XQC get TOP 3 GODSTINY RapThis | 1669523400152 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.851152615966569 | True | play | NO | public | 1669523275236 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-26 10:22 pm", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-26 10:27 pm", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669523499884 | 330 | PryingMind | 1669523405751 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669523275431}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1669523393999 | 1669523405337 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5031934809063047 | n5klLjrWousZBmeWdfsJ | {"NO": 56.23630149834473, "YES": 51.844325494951576} | 0 | top-3-top-g | 288.0956583551821 | TOP 3? TOP G? | 1669523633610 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9162426636117074 | True | play | NO | public | 1669523516945 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-26 10:22 pm", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-26 10:27 pm", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669523683414 | 250 | PryingMind | 1669523687853 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669523517149}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1669523624528 | 1669523687679 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13465781399913537 | ZMXjdTljnQoUxWE3ePLy | {"NO": 172.2615703825217, "YES": 2172.2609657491535} | 0 | will-jojothebanker-be-on-the-all-ti | 2584.06975095124 | Will @jojothebanker be on the all time leaderboard by the end of 2023? | 1704085200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9968981592639006 | True | play | NO | public | 1669523525026 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "HQ93fVcFTve8lMMEHzt618jbcQz1", "label": "jojothebanker"}}, {"text": "'s profile currently says \"Future Richest person on this site\". This sounds like a prediction! This market resolves to YES if I become aware that jojo... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704146085119 | 270 | IsaacKing | 1704146085451 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669523545239}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 166952352541... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "personal-goals", "predictions-on-predictions", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.5 | 1689407959820 | 1669569834139 | 0.01 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.0875948209860332 | TUwAOqI9IdarbRCkg5Jc | {"NO": 134.07977616838616, "YES": 8558.588116028337} | 0 | will-jojothebanker-be-a-manifold-mi | 10124.577738756749 | Will @jojothebanker be a Manifold millionaire by the end of 2023? | 1704086376928 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | cpmm-1 | 2.927291179237138e-15 | 2.3488658455580493 | True | play | NO | public | 1669527170073 | arae | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "HQ93fVcFTve8lMMEHzt618jbcQz1", "label": "jojothebanker"}}, {"text": "'s portfolio value reaches M$1,000,000 at any time before close. As far as I know this has only been achie... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704086376928 | 250 | a | 1704086377803 | 1.2 | 14 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1669527170455}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "cr... | ["predictions-on-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.12079147765126082 | 0.5 | 1704086363239 | 1704086370999 | 0 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.33478874699305367 | nIu1v03XhMMCYla238MH | {"NO": 327.0992877124765, "YES": 333.49020773243313} | 0.3304933227792984 | if-vladimir-putin-is-not-in-power-i | 135.22326918799567 | If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report? | 1798747140000 | ZNbZqVJ7rJUmjzymhIgtfMc6JJQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669533545715 | Vadim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The score is from 0 to 10. Russia's score in 2021 ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "was 3.24", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 4.440892098500626e-16, "week": 4.440892098500626e-16, "month": 4.440892098500626e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 330 | wadimiusz | 1685991685617 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu30gaq8rWjmpzfVLcGMCtPvX9oYTxN3NWEN6SJ4=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "ZNbZqVJ7rJUmjzymhIgtfMc6JJQ2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669533546333}, {"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "ZNbZqVJ7rJUmjzymhIgtfMc6JJQ2", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1669540040852}, {"name": "Ancient... | ["politics-default", "russia", "ancient-markets"] | 0.324 | 1685991685388 | 1669533618663 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7437693728564362 | NuY02JhiR8GtWKE1LULt | {"NO": 421.1924503708318, "YES": 77.64520961572646} | 1 | will-fable-of-the-mirror-breaker-be | 714.3010696515706 | Will Fable of the Mirror Breaker be banned from Standard? | 1685513601792 | qLpMbN5eb9c2jztfX3j7ClDjXPj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5164717448083027 | True | play | YES | public | 1669533863833 | Unconditional Probability | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Fable of the Mirror Breaker be banned from Standard before it rotates out?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-09-30 12:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1685513601792 | 130 | UnconditionalProbability | 1685500386272 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gg_mob4uLJLk2h35aS2Rp1vnzwAcqWCD37ig_Hk=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1672615737081}] | ["magic-the-gathering"] | 0.5 | 1685500375478 | 1685500383283 | 0.94 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3709028645447902 | Rt73LkteG0QdyNW1zbkj | {"NO": 936.790839922726, "YES": 1090.143989447604} | 0.3362723509750702 | conditional-on-not-having-died-from | 550.2711838571989 | Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030 | 1924991940000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.653792280326135 | False | basic | public | 1669534482278 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I suspect that the primary mechanism by which this market resolves to NO would be either burnout or running out of funding. However, do not be limited to these mechanisms when trading.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph... | BINARY | {"day": 8.326672684688674e-16, "week": 8.326672684688674e-16, "month": 8.326672684688674e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Alana | 1702474400527 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "AI Alignment ", "slug": "ai-alignment", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1669534482864}] | ["ai-alignment"] | 0.5 | 1702474399783 | 1671483698608 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14379553705860826 | uMY8fNycQTw9wZtgMB0X | {"NO": 928.9901494606095, "YES": 1292.954239422415} | 0.1076758970313667 | eliezer-yudkowsky-performs-predicti | 2289.383940166529 | Eliezer Yudkowsky is found to have performed prediction market fraud by the end of 2025 | 1767225540000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.937241481736681 | False | basic | public | 1669535052259 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will exercise my judgement on what counts as prediction market fraud.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 26, 11:44pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Eliezer Yudkowsky performs prediction market fraud by the end of... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.00447067600544529} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4401399781793033, "platformFee": 0.05847736112485947, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Alana | 1718680255664 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1669551365837}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJ... | ["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "manifold-users"] | 0.5 | 1718680252618 | 1669690593066 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8117724345472257 | bZrD9k2NHaB2yHjWJ0ap | {"NO": 3965.4736472936106, "YES": 296.13985010339934} | 1 | will-manifold-do-something-about-th | 3889.1625748945808 | Will Manifold do something about the free money markets by the end of the year? | 1669596599645 | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.576338005474894 | True | play | YES | public | 1669535653524 | SneakySly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lately there have been many \"free money\" markets crowding up the main page. If Manifold enacts some changes with the intent to limit these markets this market will resolve ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bo... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669596599645 | 570 | SneakySly | 1669595605600 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 27 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669535663647}, {"name": "Maniifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "create... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.5 | 1669595604200 | 1669575589965 | 0.9829786194641791 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27064052768966335 | 9o1HwBLJ6vKUmvOLVIxc | {"NO": 310.77988401442764, "YES": 3557.1223875322626} | 0 | will-updateless-decision-theory-hav | 3506.759711407328 | Will Updateless Decision Theory have a Wikipedia page by 2023 Dec 31? | 1704095940000 | iNWIzJOlO1Ykrfyp8yaW9vdA21f2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0687989520315089 | True | play | NO | public | 1669537715641 | Phi Φ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to yes if the page is created before Dec 31. I'll resolve the market early if the page is created earlier, but it has to stay up for at least one week without being taken down by moderators.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704420945096 | 630 | Phi | 1704506754859 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxzxWnBKqiNTEau9Ku37_OexLgPmiblXL0AkhU8=s96-c | 1 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "iNWIzJOlO1Ykrfyp8yaW9vdA21f2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669537716237}, {"name": "AI Alignment ", "slug": "ai-alignment", "userId": "iNWIzJOlO1Ykrfyp8yaW9vdA21f2", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1669537938772}, ... | ["technology-default", "ai-alignment", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.10466329289763536 | 0.5 | 1704090083266 | 1704506754137 | 0.03 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18514916653606286 | vUslWAdaquBsgUcyLjGC | {"NO": 388.6953654603821, "YES": 14773.119068687929} | 0 | will-belarus-troops-join-the-war-in | 16050.397871514011 | Will Belarus troops join the war in Ukraine by the 1st of June 2023 | 1685574000000 | AmDreupC5zVViJfkqkxLFzVxCpa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2448140158864183 | True | play | NO | public | 1669546607892 | mat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1685695973865 | 810 | mat | 1685695251182 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1yMnfvPRHKyutA_t0zf0KTa829xTpLw_MxBHLB=s96-c | 2 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 31 | [{"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1671064428857}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1671064426197}, {"name": "... | ["ukraine", "belarus", "ukrainerussia-war", "wars", "world-default"] | 0.5 | 1685559678265 | 1685695247348 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29274818612826586 | 91R9MMZABJ6UOcufx4z3 | {"NO": 107.93572910275836, "YES": 376.2430970096928} | 0.10614158418211715 | on-resolution-will-i-think-that-str | 425.8882234954123 | On resolution, will I think that Strong Minds analysis of their work is correct? 10% chance to resolve each year | 1767225540000 | lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669546745887 | Nathan Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to my credence that their studies show what they claim to. 10% chance to resolve each new year.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.27938722903310115, "platformFee": 0.27938722903310115, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | NathanpmYoung | 1713898935691 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Change My Mind", "slug": "change-my-mind", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "kzzraVgQ4jzw7XmLUZDv", "createdTime": 1669546746089}] | ["change-my-mind"] | 0.5 | 1713898932151 | 1670685451369 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8062330107657033 | wvDABwqdOLDXrxbQi4rV | {"NO": 986.4981290279272, "YES": 981.7801560749325} | 0.806980839581077 | on-resolution-will-i-think-cash-tra | 408.6082377214168 | On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year | 1767225540000 | lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.710077504409416 | False | basic | public | 1669546839525 | Nathan Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to my credence. 10% chance to resolve each new year.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NathanpmYoung | 1693714855201 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Change My Mind", "slug": "change-my-mind", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "kzzraVgQ4jzw7XmLUZDv", "createdTime": 1669546839700}] | ["change-my-mind"] | 0.5 | 1693714855068 | 1676108935047 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6616437474097582 | 5MsuGDyAWOIt2QQYFbDn | {"NO": 1069.384959166818, "YES": 2672.3402075395165} | 0 | will-the-ccp-respond-to-zero-covid | 7276.444060568352 | Will the CCP respond to Zero Covid protests with riot control methods (batons, gas etc), before the start of 2023? | 1670407546019 | 812KvE03IFa5c6DA547Uv29fMjn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.24368494869348317 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669549306788 | Jethro Reeve | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current calls are for Xi Jinping to resign - but how will the CCP will respond? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Using a simple short term question for my first market here. I'll resolve eithe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670407600074 | 2010 | JethroReeve | 1670601685412 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu_amJUdA19DJJnUXwzIPWoHhxAm5x4NHVtYPBIffS8=s96-c | 125 | 0 | 110 | [{"name": "China", "slug": "china", "userId": "812KvE03IFa5c6DA547Uv29fMjn1", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1669549307340}, {"name": "Improperly Resolved", "slug": "improperly-resolved", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "H4pCAtNjKfKA1dq7NCBl", "createdTime": 1670428113644}] | ["china", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1670380870024 | 1670601681005 | 0.4389947107735301 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11190920026842183 | 6Jw4sap0oUFu9pv8Xxsa | {"NO": 924.0406785632887, "YES": 1473.7867765299156} | 0.0732218413743999 | will-lula-be-impeached | 2421.6240433420458 | Will Lula be impeached? | 1798775940000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.140941951336096 | False | basic | public | 1669552736455 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if Lula is removed from the presidency for at least one day due impeachment.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related markets:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0055221850737142} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.786752643035456, "platformFee": 0.25810242462716215, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | FranklinBaldo | 1718117034485 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1669552736757}, {"name": "FranklinBaldo bets NO", "slug": "franklinbaldo-bets-no", "groupId": "9a6edcee-152d-417d-8dd8-01d20263ae8b", "createdTime": 1706319895660}] | ["brazil-3292d24d179f", "franklinbaldo-bets-no"] | 0.5 | 1718117031327 | 1714156778469 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2653054304070672 | W2D2yFu8jkUC8FJYnKX1 | {"NO": 61.87003792507363, "YES": 2902.981744697744} | 0 | will-manifold-markets-add-search-by | 7771.893421599838 | Will Manifold Markets add Search by Even % before January 2023? | 1672617540000 | Scigu3xyl1gT12kdEJ1rgUvVBXH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.539556979382 | True | play | NO | public | 1669553006323 | Pacc | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to NO if in January 1st, 2023, the github issue #1252 below isn't adressed or is rejected as a proposed feature: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/issues/1252", "type": "text", "marks": [... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672618518026 | 190 | pakoito | 1672618912991 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Scigu3xyl1gT12kdEJ1rgUvVBXH2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669553006745}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "created... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.5 | 1672615719486 | 1672618909609 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.318480161175431 | XdGl8FRrBmmB3IrAAGnY | {"NO": 1032.1332302067472, "YES": 910.2154216547618} | 0.3463633067948886 | when-will-cultured-meat-take-up-10 | 1545.3705994655684 | When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country? | 3218828340000 | EUxW8oPZBNPRI9gcN1yXN19kKHc2 | cpmm-1 | 1.9515274528247587e-15 | 9.562536833068169 | False | play | public | 1669555433598 | Ivan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2022-11-28: Clarification.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Meat refers to animal-based meat, both cultured and from animals with nervous systems. It does not include plant-based meat.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, ... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0017884496519695592} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.299420672526457, "platformFee": 0.1807650769602005, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ivan | 1718143948952 | 0.2 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwtivOIMBddu1xeg5SyjqSqGqMZimwJsFiV57UG=s96-c | 5 | 23 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "EUxW8oPZBNPRI9gcN1yXN19kKHc2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669555434009}, {"name": "Vegan", "slug": "vegan", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "Xrhp6fk47Bx8oRUyB0vJ", "createdTime": 1669574139469}, {"name": "Anima... | ["technology-default", "vegan", "animal-consumption-trends", "animal-welfare"] | 0.10446062433405262 | 0.35064935064935066 | 1718143945764 | 1701610451944 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8167785499098472 | 5t8ucfQHibDyjxP5mLWE | {"NO": 4571.10384569823, "YES": 150.3669137652534} | 1 | will-there-be-a-floor-challenge-to | 5262.739848475147 | Will there be a floor challenge to Kevin McCarthy becoming Speaker of the House? | 1672808340000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8091884613631963 | True | play | YES | public | 1669557927834 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "vyKMVP20SooUd6dsDTwH,mQDutJlIqVMVSpLqEZ3J,p3p5C058aJABIzqBip3b,VWdUPJgiU5RrihR07uzO"}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672849137357 | 330 | BTE | 1672797279194 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1669557928093}] | ["118th-congress"] | 0.5 | 1672797279047 | 1669558048483 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44319934196278205 | cjCarbRoLt8i5Xat283m | {"NO": 73.52788477740806, "YES": 113.60997337861498} | 0.34000000000000025 | georgia-state-stock-permanent | 158.9813578019481 | Georgia (State) Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036424 | Z79JyjnS4zaBLf2jVAAK4NFpRzE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669559572944 | robotwife | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a permanent stock for the US State of Georgia. Vote YES for Georgia's stock to increase, or vote NO for it to decrease.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | STONK | {"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 90 | robotwife | 1713587351587 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669564322176}, {"name": "Georgia", "slug": "georgia", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "1SZUm3xkSdrsYdSmI8TZ", "createdTime": 1682101968501}, {"nam... | ["permanent-markets", "georgia", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1697808477744 | 1676493247343 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7069471614756244 | LE93QBRXz0vbP53K2FfZ | {"NO": 12491.504098153724, "YES": 32.364069553212175} | 1 | will-mexico-score-a-goal-at-the-202 | 12389.963777862706 | Will Mexico score a goal at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669839358538 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.263272337517161 | True | play | YES | public | 1669562631374 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, Mexico has 0 goals in 2 matches. Resolves YES if Mexico scores against Saudi Arabia in their final group match on November 30.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669839358538 | 230 | egroj | 1669839350215 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669562631666}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669839350052 | 1669675471450 | 0.8404062723203919 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7157812437792958 | vq8GjCLJhrE45VLAy6fx | {"NO": 11399.135460270956, "YES": 35.55720378106584} | 1 | will-poland-concede-a-goal-at-the-g | 11332.921423889293 | Will Poland concede a goal at the group stage of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669838929078 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3080488085188775 | True | play | YES | public | 1669562889685 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Poland has 0 goals-against in 2 matches so far. Resolves NO if Argentina scores against Poland or Poland scores an owngoal in their final group match on November 30.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669838929078 | 190 | egroj | 1669838917998 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669562890085}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669838917828 | 1669759035778 | 0.7965443947236162 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34586294217134955 | 82Mg1pJMHxlPe41lIwyA | {"NO": 223.78669849824078, "YES": 7760.192817344996} | 0 | will-a-protest-in-china-exceed-1000-3231b7c14b58 | 24933.395426042982 | Will a protest in China exceed 100,000 people before 2024? | 1704089227316 | E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2 | cpmm-1 | 6.156383674493296e-16 | 1.0288173225081176 | True | play | NO | public | 1669563066977 | Mathias Bonde | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if multiple credible western news-sources report more than 100,000 being present at a protest.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question resolves true if one hundred thousand o... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704089227316 | 850 | MathiasBonde | 1704089228163 | 1.3 | 44 | 0 | 34 | [{"name": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "userId": "E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1669651919909}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669651918003}, {"name"... | ["china", "politics-default", "geopolitics", "nathans-dashboard", "global-macro"] | 0.13044081688050677 | 0.5 | 1701174905342 | 1701121557863 | 0.02 | E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19083054717823775 | v5EjFZtmx5czDugMPDpV | {"NO": 92.1567823929483, "YES": 1047.364202058249} | 0 | gaat-ja21-de-ps-winnen | 1114.2378184066145 | Gaat JA21 de Provinciale Staten winnen? | 1678906800000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9414237629830366 | True | play | NO | public | 1669564451903 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678923061545 | 170 | WieDan | 1678124739294 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1669564452205}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1678124737790 | 1669564537203 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.053904492153999096 | ZNhjAeSnMAB6xwbqtx1E | {"NO": 949.869657365732, "YES": 1366.1875670309066} | 0.03810410251462447 | will-an-inconsistency-in-zfc-be-fou | 433.73641672028026 | Will an inconsistency in ZFC be found before 2050? | 2524604400000 | MK41h2o2SiUuYYD09pusseIzyHI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669567274327 | Jesper Cockx | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to Wikipedia, \"it is deemed unlikely that ZFC harbors an unsuspected contradiction; it is widely believed that if ZFC were inconsistent, that fact would have been uncovered by now\". (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.or... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JesperCockx | 1715756600993 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0Gt5dwKjXvdy1UdnzL7vld29tmN1ir3yT8AGV=s96-c | 1 | 12 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "MK41h2o2SiUuYYD09pusseIzyHI3", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1669567274541}] | ["mathematics"] | 0.5 | 1708579863860 | 1669574374889 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07665211977150854 | rzX7g9P5Wmg5qBcp5kp6 | {"NO": 185.44497688989213, "YES": 3800.1460847084986} | 0 | will-outsidertrader4cb6-resolve-the | 10276.19390625808 | Will @outsidertrader4cb6 resolve their FIFA markets correctly? | 1670967622385 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.411142716641814 | True | play | NO | public | 1669567404083 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "JDxGl5Or3zN93VBHKF3qnHJ7md42", "label": "outsidertrader4cb6"}}, {"text": " resolves all of the following markets correctly according to their (current) title:", "type": "text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670967622385 | 310 | Jenny | 1670958799644 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1670860813539}, {"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUG... | ["soccer", "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "please-resolve", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670958798427 | 1670796842302 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3227761031197856 | cVrnAeaZMeEmMvbDKyXD | {"NO": 73.32001346501237, "YES": 213.60104364524588} | 0.14059952534820014 | by-2040-will-the-majority-of-the-us | 185.85750615514792 | By 2040, will the majority of the US population be taking medication prescribed for mental health. | 2240611140000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669567702699 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.008440166813310853, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | DanielKilian | 1716520198690 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669567703097}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1716520194978 | 1681251140547 |
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