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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.17926195974519454 | GLs7Bpirr8480BLV47mJ | {"NO": 935.8115986443511, "YES": 1235.2978344309465} | 0.1419717421055179 | a-netflix-liveaction-show-will-be-h | 693.4613388070023 | A Netflix live-action show will be hosted or have a main character that is AI Generated, with no actor involved, before the end of 2025 | 1767225540000 | ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.77964416180793 | False | basic | public | 1672112385474 | Reality Quotient | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The visuals and voice of the character will be fully generated using generative AI techniques. The dialog can be written by a person, but if so, it must start from text. That is, it can't take voice captures and stylistically transfer them (otherwi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0270774689827846, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | RealityQuotient | 1717479969035 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672112385863}] | ["ai"] | 0.5 | 1717479965884 | 1672345912099 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3529600145830823 | nz3YaRPJhUxuB4dgy7B7 | {"NO": 155.3579225096724, "YES": 258.82814156722293} | 0.2466636798766683 | the-tsa-or-us-border-security-will | 119.01096505391064 | The TSA or U.S. Border Security will experiment with automating their ID checks / Q&A using voice synthesis and speech recognition before the end of 2026 | 1798761540000 | ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1672113079095 | Reality Quotient | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In addition to the new facial recognition software being roled out by the TSA (United States Tranportion Security Agency), the TSA or Border Security will offer an automated option when checking your ID and to ask you questions. Resolves to YES if ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | RealityQuotient | 1703246904331 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "AI Impacts", "slug": "ai-impacts", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "q3Su0NeV9ta4DqhqlIEq", "createdTime": 1672113203059}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672113178915}, {"nam... | ["ai", "technology-default", "ai-impacts", "law-order", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1703246904153 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.18380213962034642 | EdwT99bag3G3Txd6Wd83 | {"NO": 192.35765036773708, "YES": 1165.1021668570943} | 0 | is-2023-the-year-the-last-blockbust | 1057.2595957049914 | Is 2023 the year the last Blockbuster closes? | 1704067140000 | ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3771731057989567 | True | play | NO | public | 1672113896302 | Reality Quotient | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockbuster_(Bend,_Oregon)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockbuster_(Bend,_Oregon)", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704166314557 | 290 | RealityQuotient | 1704166314738 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1672113931287}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 16721... | ["fun", "internet", "entertainment", "culture-default", "technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704022873478 | 1704166309979 | 0.04 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20024065692807577 | O7i09CTYxpSkdueIjLzG | {"NO": 576.5314413026038, "YES": 3415.0890547251133} | 0 | will-a-trustworthyish-user-get-bann | 14806.865431023909 | Will a trustworthy-ish user get banned by end of 2023? | 1704085140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8348715366473134 | True | play | NO | public | 1672113950762 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if a user who had a trustworthy-ish at some point gets banned before the end of 2023. They do not need to have such a badge at the time of ban.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if this doesn'... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704144268391 | 870 | Jenny | 1704144269075 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672113950947}, {"name": "Manibans", "slug": "manibans", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "54w7ywmVRtwkShAAhknZ", "createdTime": 1672113935505}, {"name": "Manifol... | ["manibadges", "manibans", "manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704039820834 | 1688646473724 | 0.04 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9012724048863895 | dJfrtI9tLl8PwjYtrmwj | {"NO": 7609.214785845377, "YES": 301.2991503308882} | 1 | will-anyone-stop-being-trustworthyi | 22177.746321548548 | Will anyone stop being trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1683950297954 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7558230399323076 | True | play | YES | public | 1672114960579 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "P6qcdzqsxAWWDD6bXCmL,Jv6ALTwDpKdAH7xk0sww,O7i09CTYxpSkdueIjLzG"}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683950297954 | 470 | Jenny | 1683950294707 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672114960839}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672114947973}] | ["manibadges", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1683940205613 | 1683950291257 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4507109191233742 | vv4Bw2XDtXpYtCL0wABQ | {"NO": 932.0209082815883, "YES": 1075.2570991532152} | 0.4156252325367445 | a-screen-actors-guild-support-tv-sh | 348.5897668466962 | A Screen Actor's Guild supported TV Show or Movie will list an AI in its writing credits before the end of 2025 | 1767225540000 | ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.687866994692039 | False | basic | public | 1672115232793 | Reality Quotient | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Count only if the TV show / Movie is released before the end of 2025, and someone shares a screen shot and the title of the work in the comments within 1 week of the market closing.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "D... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | RealityQuotient | 1707983451128 | 0.2 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672115246601}, {"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672115241490}, {"name": "AI Impacts"... | ["ai-impacts", "ai", "technology-default", "entertainment"] | 0.09848294706045775 | 0.5 | 1707983450983 | 1673553005431 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13806577937560469 | EUybyKamJiCioUZvn71E | {"NO": 407.77013688857494, "YES": 1889.9839597539221} | 0 | will-gigacasting-be-trustworthyish | 2614.1307427702686 | Will @Gigacasting be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1704085140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2276610455118737 | True | play | NO | public | 1672115281572 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704090329168 | 570 | Jenny | 1704090329524 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672115281805}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701141100015}] | ["manibadges", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703372180006 | 1683072559558 | 0.03 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2189967964351798 | 1jAft0l4pSwxVy7ZuWWU | {"NO": 312.62071995830576, "YES": 1891.4772323957136} | 0 | will-predictor-be-trustworthyish-by | 4401.902493842803 | Will @Predictor be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1704085140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3332804840974508 | True | play | NO | public | 1672115315295 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704090274357 | 510 | Jenny | 1704090443501 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672115315493}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131305737}] | ["manibadges", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703801591859 | 1704090442892 | 0.04 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7118880173813502 | 6ykrDSO59rcglEc66McN | {"NO": 2335, "YES": 34.655084409333995} | 1 | will-duncan-be-trustworthyish-by-en | 2205 | Will @Duncan be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1672786054749 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.766637987637452 | True | play | YES | public | 1672115339102 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672786054749 | 150 | Jenny | 1672870552331 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672115339314}] | ["manibadges"] | 0.5 | 1672786037800 | 1672870550182 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8246126258243436 | 9dfYdb7Wx1wup5DNgVUn | {"NO": 957.3375260231468, "YES": 44.7371786979135} | 1 | will-ammonlam-be-trustworthyish-by | 1442.2145068456543 | Will @AmmonLam be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1681349775089 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.8148927528489684 | True | play | YES | public | 1672115386844 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681349775089 | 150 | Jenny | 1681349774519 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672115387153}] | ["manibadges"] | 0.5 | 1680629253300 | 1681349771265 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7492580677013837 | b8d16SvYhP7OOfmmR6q8 | {"NO": 2713.433844222969, "YES": 131.12861523231365} | 1 | will-destiny-stream-before-jan-4th | 2744.983629070477 | Will Destiny stream before Jan 4th? | 1672256256252 | 9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3087764999732374 | True | play | YES | public | 1672137801024 | johnleoks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Destiny said in Dgg that he won't be streaming until Jan 4th.", "type": "text"}]}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672256256252 | 310 | johnleoks | 1710218581772 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c | 1 | 15 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672255765166 | 1672255823252 | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34828633972053824 | PLhJflqa7ZqNUdAZKii9 | {"NO": 1172.2690223103946, "YES": 960.4399737152062} | 0 | will-manifold-markets-become-an-ech | 5289.152214336604 | Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023? | 1701428460000 | iNdo3RtvE3MNmRV48J2kMIAkHyw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.38701896818353676 | True | basic | NO | public | 1672139087649 | Luigisopa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold Markets might become obsolete in 2023 because of its heavily biased userbase. Markets are not balanced. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In December 2023 I will look at the most common markets and topics of... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704288849096 | 1115 | Luigisopa | 1704289473173 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gg1Cm2vPAX1t3iyDUicpgpB2fuVERiBcaoCY2OT=s96-c | 0 | 83 | 0 | 7 | 15 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "iNdo3RtvE3MNmRV48J2kMIAkHyw1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672139088015}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "c... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "nonpredictive"] | 0.5 | False | 1701428185361 | 1704289472499 | 0.39 | iNdo3RtvE3MNmRV48J2kMIAkHyw1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15625115402546308 | 2cojTlmkeHKv2BYsKK7R | {"NO": 378.53991932080135, "YES": 2914.210213613845} | 0 | will-oil-rise-to-150-a-barrel-and-t | 3653.358723319316 | Will oil rise to $150 a barrel, AND the gas price top $5.000 per 1.000 cubic meters in 2023? | 1704067140000 | TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5402517689387851 | True | play | NO | public | 1672139750402 | Alex... | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FdW_QMz2_1f.jpg?alt=media&token=965fbc4e-ba7d-4bfc-a9d9-887b1ee90e05", "title": null}}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t160748734254... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704151317749 | 550 | AlexLiesman | 1704151317917 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1672139751186}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129470135}] | ["economics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1701120067177 | 1704147245593 | 0.02 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | MwWzTDMhJUR36vF83Lw7 | {"NO": 65, "YES": 38.461538461538474} | 0.6282527881040891 | will-vinland-saga-season-2-be-the-m | 15 | Will “Vinland Saga Season 2” be the most popular new Winter 2023 TV anime on MyAnimeList? | 1673630465372 | PFBRdH9O4uUy0MvKLQEXD32m8uH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.424984098934017 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1672143156565 | Monte Carlo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Information source for resolution is \"TV (New)\" section at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://myanimelist.net/anime/season/2023/winter", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://myanimelist.net/anime/season/2023/wi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673630465372 | 50 | MonteCarlo | 1672143226806 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "userId": "PFBRdH9O4uUy0MvKLQEXD32m8uH2", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 1672143156752}] | ["anime"] | 0.5 | 1672143226670 | 0.63 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6514181967063123 | HUaBYndjTO6j7rwd7Erj | {"NO": 160.84259349339496, "YES": 106.05003469179677} | 0 | will-i-be-able-to-watch-dragon-ball | 291.1304287394108 | Will I be able to watch dragon ball super:super hero online by mid-March 2023? | 1678917540000 | RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.64767090025985 | True | play | NO | public | 1672144062304 | Shaked Koplewitz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as true if I manage to find somewhere online I can watch it at reasonable quality (official English dub only). Note that going long on this market and then sending me a link is fair play.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679162579131 | 130 | ShakedKoplewitz | 1679002638553 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "userId": "RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 1672144062742}] | ["anime"] | 0.5 | 1676678018932 | 1679002635708 | 0.74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.04733109855160368 | 1nW2RDZbReuF5oR3ZYgR | {"NO": 948.240851557179, "YES": 1452.3616864662704} | 0.031418443708894676 | will-uk-rejoin-the-eu-by-the-end-of | 1371.0682549101791 | Will UK rejoin the EU by the end of 2025 | 1735682460000 | 4JCvwecWgqOc1bNPyZhnQ085BEw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1672149599197 | humblestumble | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "UKs notoriously poor choice of leaving the EU accompanied by some rather silly monetary policies have been a heavy burden on the UKs economic situation. The question is whether this will lead to the UK rejoining the EU by the end of 2025.", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.17292631076627105, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | humblestumble | 1717526845135 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fhumblestumble%2Fbkinag6pWF.14?alt=media&token=302ce71c-98fc-4c47-a784-79fac2888a82 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "userId": "4JCvwecWgqOc1bNPyZhnQ085BEw2", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr", "createdTime": 1672149609558}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "userId": "4JCvwecWgqOc1bNPyZhnQ085BEw2", "groupId": "yDH8ujgF86zAYx8XpCc1", "createdTime": 1672149599505}, {"name": "UK ... | ["european-union", "europe", "uk-politics"] | 0.5 | 1717526842010 | 1672150621382 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39713160435195666 | qQkpLToRp6VFy2Cm9NLx | {"NO": 75.60740485243873, "YES": 2282.3618395312237} | 0 | will-manifold-allow-deleting-commen | 3365.2881357799993 | Will Manifold allow you to delete your own comments by April 2023? | 1680321540000 | kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.040806580682078 | True | play | NO | public | 1672151350532 | Jon Simon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Many highly informative discussions happen in the per-market comment sections. However sometimes a user leaves a comment that they think better of later, and wish to remove.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680360110307 | 350 | jonsimon | 1693974748507 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672151351407}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "created... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.5 | 1680239592519 | 1693974746910 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2985268397500498 | Z0VFA6IdkKF82hRErzp7 | {"NO": 296.9654480478428, "YES": 6919.726167921305} | 0 | will-nikola-jokic-win-the-most-valu | 17320.650347678453 | Will Nikola Jokić win the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1683070374378 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9926730577927616 | True | play | NO | public | 1672153111631 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if Nikola Jokić wins the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season. The award date has not yet been announced. Starting odds are taken from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Basketball Reference's MVP Award ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683070374378 | 880 | prognostic8r | 1710222965961 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["nba"] | 0.508 | 1683070357970 | 1681912986842 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21838170576190435 | Dh8kSmzD5bfg8ALMwzSC | {"NO": 228.26404871537397, "YES": 7527.170064491923} | 0 | will-luka-doncic-win-the-most-valua | 8959.704998700436 | Will Luka Dončić win the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1683070506937 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6805558289250602 | True | play | NO | public | 1672153388498 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if Luka Dončić wins the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season. The award date has not yet been announced. Starting odds are taken from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Basketball Reference's MVP Award T... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683070506937 | 500 | prognostic8r | 1710222945133 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["nba"] | 0.136 | 1683070495443 | 1672240316297 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.13183173100061382 | EIoVX5TJYNlMiCKqCy0W | {"NO": 136.05316707411157, "YES": 3273.9202461451805} | 0 | will-giannis-antetokounmpo-win-the | 4675.797024307892 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1683070410679 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.214312248898091 | True | play | NO | public | 1672153544196 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if Giannis Antetokounmpo wins the Most Valuable Player award for the 2022-2023 NBA season. The award date has not yet been announced. Starting odds are taken from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Basketball Reference's M... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683070410679 | 210 | prognostic8r | 1710222946569 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["nba"] | 0.057999999999999996 | 1683070395583 | 1681913028834 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7222703698379217 | fTzl9eFQEf8RY8w68lYb | {"NO": 4289.3409236832085, "YES": 17.07432427203821} | 1 | will-arae-be-trustworthyish-by-end | 4500.6590763167915 | Will @a (arae) be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023? | 1672786062242 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.743281721159617 | True | play | YES | public | 1672158949299 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672786062242 | 110 | Jenny | 1672786002946 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672158949532}] | ["manibadges"] | 0.5 | 1672786002844 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.36194175911671256 | V2uUGwmUaN2stChfN2pd | {"NO": 530.0249264257977, "YES": 2697.592240714147} | 0.10027821557875419 | will-there-be-a-new-pope-elected-by | 6435.586005526976 | Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024? | 1734386400000 | 4JCvwecWgqOc1bNPyZhnQ085BEw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.912605382480349 | False | basic | public | 1672174064579 | humblestumble | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Pope Francis is 86 years old at the moment and would be 88 years old on the 17th of December 2024. He seems to be in good health exept impaired mobility coused by pain in his right knee. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragr... | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | humblestumble | 1709821294945 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fhumblestumble%2Fbkinag6pWF.14?alt=media&token=302ce71c-98fc-4c47-a784-79fac2888a82 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 35 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "4JCvwecWgqOc1bNPyZhnQ085BEw2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1672174064865}, {"name": "Religion", "slug": "religion", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "Oc6SrO47XuiKvrcujdXq", "createdTime": 1672828978947}] | ["world-default", "religion"] | 0.5 | 1709821294782 | 1672239604245 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45986910384313423 | H9Rrhsm8PoGsBvx88Trs | {"NO": 65.61666981839623, "YES": 129.30516468170427} | 0.3017001250815666 | will-sadhguru-announce-support-the | 60.23723218794313 | Will Sadhguru announce support the BJP or the Republican Party? | 2524608000000 | ySGTuLQzySgd0T5rbeFr1R9EsvE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1672174646791 | Tedhguru | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.22880156517632572, "platformFee": 0.22880156517632572, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 90 | Tedhguru | 1715568983799 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "ySGTuLQzySgd0T5rbeFr1R9EsvE2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672174647538}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737285715}] | ["politics-default", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1715568980545 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2704272671108933 | KdHk6Rv4lN0A9sBssJAv | {"NO": 108.71821620421761, "YES": 1900.725487861509} | 0 | will-manifold-markets-add-a-feature | 2778.132785277468 | Will Manifold Markets add a feature to change your default betting amount before the end of Q1 2023? | 1680307140000 | ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4821139800078855 | True | play | NO | public | 1672175038142 | Reality Quotient | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be implemented, and I have access, for this to resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680309149406 | 310 | RealityQuotient | 1680309117975 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1672175038366}] | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.5 | 1680247404257 | 1680309117133 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5218317497203037 | dQD083PsHKaYZON0Zab5 | {"NO": 175.65750881428443, "YES": 163.29788287300025} | 0.5400000000000003 | will-ted-cruz-commenttweetetc-on-th | 151.77150793944048 | Will Ted Cruz comment/tweet/etc. on the Save Soil campaign? | 2524608000000 | ySGTuLQzySgd0T5rbeFr1R9EsvE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1672175067541 | Tedhguru | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | Tedhguru | 1694654890426 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "ySGTuLQzySgd0T5rbeFr1R9EsvE2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672175068205}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1682445064084}] | ["politics-default", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1694654889258 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
W6cEuoqCCZXM54HlnoiP | what-browser-will-have-the-highest | 583.8820232242599 | What browser will have the highest percent market share in all of 2024? | 1735689540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1672177535904 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | StochasticParrot | 1714088489855 | 0.1 | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1940f1b99eff", "prob": 0.16508717178477303, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 42.81710261202468, "userId": "1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 216.54346519663625, "textFts": "", "contractId": "W6cEuoqCCZXM54HlnoiP", "createdTime": 1672177536766, "probChanges": {"day": -0.8349128282... | 12 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672177536654}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.10209434443235646 | 1714088489855 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35144405117086247 | 6aA4z6UCCV5uawnqMIAj | {"NO": 98.07594129167035, "YES": 439.42416312464303} | 0.1078954330911614 | will-cryptocurrency-and-web3-be-mai | 558.0484350673761 | Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032? | 1987797660000 | zJTDX2AZYnRSe1mXwbhV4j433s43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1672178520283 | Michael Pfister | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.04419264193248565} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.759753480354516, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | MichaelPfister | 1718531675371 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7PKH2PpJHoaHig3c1XeDuc5W_--GSFXAHGXS4yNA=s96-c | 1 | 10 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "zJTDX2AZYnRSe1mXwbhV4j433s43", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1672178521149}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1718531672253 | 1684334663576 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7447584084022757 | g7awYJ6D4M9yCpnbNM1e | {"NO": 8417.586917059618, "YES": 149.89802656121174} | 1 | will-destiny-post-3-or-more-videos | 8761.185691675722 | Will Destiny post 3 or more videos by the end of the year? | 1672515137557 | UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.018264918925124 | True | play | YES | public | 1672179243617 | Wobbles | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if 3 or more videos are uploaded to the Destiny channel from Dec 27th 4pm CST to Dec 31st 11:59pm CST. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672515137557 | 490 | Wobbles | 1672515133658 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 22 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672179244055}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672515133514 | 0.95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.06351632507765488 | N7o4TYXWrT4rHYVwidS7 | {"NO": 3433.395324225704, "YES": 6935.069898381379} | 0 | has-scott-alexander-ever-attempted | 15141.094583332133 | Has Scott Alexander ever attempted to convince at least one person that white supremacy is good? | 1677657600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.46729089920193534 | True | basic | NO | public | 1672179923557 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inspired by ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this comment", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ACXBot/14-will-there-be-more-than-25-milli#8Ds8vufgdOb6OTJlHHLw", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]},... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679276732221 | 3630 | IsaacKing | 1679282140502 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 48 | [{"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672182745350}, {"name": "Change My Mind", "slug": "change-my-mind", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "kzzraVgQ4jzw7XmLUZDv", "createdTime": 1672182736631}, {"name": "SF Bay Ra... | ["sf-bay-rationalists", "change-my-mind", "acx", "culture-war"] | 0.5 | 1676815049635 | 1679282137619 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5854645278704087 | qmp5NseyON3jfz5kd7f8 | {"NO": 126.3851923740645, "YES": 128.06506898225678} | 0 | will-zorns-overall-profit-in-the-li | 78.00041524205511 | Will @Zorn's overall profit in the linked market be positive? | 1673078400000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.387768447805546 | True | play | NO | public | 1672180180969 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/AlexRockwell/this-market-resolves-against-the-pe", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673557580233 | 130 | IsaacKing | 1673557105666 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | [{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1672180181164}] | ["metaforecasting"] | 0.5 | 1673016000979 | 1673557102880 | 0.58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5234025714515519 | EjYomTszgQsK7fMYRsUx | {"NO": 35.632069564602006, "YES": 519.8883831443203} | 0 | will-trump-and-tether-survive-2023 | 796.4231072242571 | Will Trump and Tether survive 2023? | 1680217293496 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.922993191483399 | True | play | NO | public | 1672180320988 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Trump is not under indictment and Tether is trading at >98c", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if indicted or Tether has 3 consecutive days under that level. ", "type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680217293496 | 150 | Gigacasting | 1680217290482 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Gigacasting", "slug": "gigacasting", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "ypoGbkBreEXiPzcUAruE", "createdTime": 1672180321244}, {"name": "Donald Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1691181893774}] | ["gigacasting", "donald-trump"] | 0.5 | 1680217290382 | 1672180419226 | False | 0.07 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8362709428963053 | KVUIBSW1eJ9KWkrl58eJ | {"NO": 17230.13794376036, "YES": 196.450595809782} | 1 | will-sbf-be-sentenced-to-10-years | 21850.959887373087 | Will SBF be sentenced to 10+ Years? | 1711656351195 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5661859413520407 | True | play | YES | public | 1672180356945 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711656351195 | 450 | Gigacasting | 1711656351195 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1672180357189}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1696357220191}, {"name": "SBF Trial Sentence", "slug": "sbf-trial-sente... | ["ftx", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"] | 0.5 | 1711654145422 | 1711642191587 | 1 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21510503361107597 | c1phOgSNLhi62dP22w8I | {"NO": 212.65432171941177, "YES": 1606.9968425464788} | 0 | will-sbf-plead-guilty-by-mar-31 | 2789.0961646702167 | Will SBF plead guilty before April 1? | 1680325140000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8687362007530575 | True | play | NO | public | 1672180412307 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680341455208 | 350 | Gigacasting | 1680264540175 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1672180412566}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1672779715451... | ["ftx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"] | 0.5 | 1680264540053 | 1673567157685 | 0.03 |
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