CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

3fCAenDpEwImD1bwbEux

who-will-win-eurovision-2023

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Who will win Eurovision 2023?

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.62945301813073

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play

3e2ef439ecef

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Yona

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Eurovision Song Contest 2023 is set to take place in Liverpool, United Kingdom, from May 9 to May 13. Which country will win?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here is a list of recent ", "type"...

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ANYONE

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["entertainment", "culture-default", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "eurovision-2023"]

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will-messi-hold-the-record-for-most

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Will Messi hold the record for most-liked Instagram post throughout 2023?

1704067140000

kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1

cpmm-1

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0.9423254860814967

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YES

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1671950182049

Yona

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve as NO if at any point in 2023 another account's post surpasses the record set by Messi's most-liked post.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1671950182968}, {"name": "Internet", "slug": "internet", "userId": "kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1672289479651}, {"name": "🎆 New ...

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{"NO": 100.61576388168281, "YES": 7745.294569652178}

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will-sam-bankmanfried-receive-a-pri

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Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a prison sentence of over 25 years?

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cpmm-1

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Ernie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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["us-politics", "sbf-wtf", "sbf", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"]

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will-sam-bankmanfried-receive-a-sen-87f42e947ca0

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Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a sentence of over 34 years?

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Ernie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-11-01 3:59 pm", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-12-31 3:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}...

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["us-politics", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "sbf", "sbf-wtf", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"]

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will-finland-and-sweden-be-approved

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Will Finland and Sweden be approved to join NATO by July 1, 2023?

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cpmm-1

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NO

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1671952651451

octothorpe

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if, by the beginning of the day on July 1, 2023, instruments of ratification have been deposited by all parties to the Protocols to the North Atlantic Treaty of 1949 on the Accession of the Republic of Finland and the K...

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will-any-executive-staff-at-direct

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Will any executive staff at Direct Relief be criminally charged by 2032?

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Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Direct Relief", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_Relief", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " is a nonprofit humanitarian organization.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "p...

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ScroogeMcDuck

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will-joe-manchin-win-the-2024-us-se

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Will Joe Manchin win the 2024 US Senate election in West Virginia?

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cpmm-1

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octothorpe

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Joe Manchin wins the West Virginia Senate election in November 2024, and NO otherwise. In particular, if Joe Manchin does not run for reelection, this market will resolve NO (after the relevant filing deadline has passed).", "type":...

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Will Ted Cruz win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?

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octothorpe

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Ted Cruz wins the Texas Senate election in November 2024, and NO otherwise. In particular, if Ted Cruz does not run for reelection, this market will resolve NO (after the relevant filing deadline has passed).", "type": "text"}]}, {"...

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Will Destiny reach 600K subscribers before January 15th?

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marketdestiny

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny reach 600K subscribers before January 15th?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-01-20 12:59 am", "type": "text"}]}]}

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will-the-european-union-vote-to-rep

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Will the European Union vote to repeal mandatory summer time by the end of 2023?

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Stig Johan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background from Wikipedia [1]:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "European Union Directive", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wik...

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StigJohan

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Who will win Swedish Melodifestivalen 2023?

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Henri Thunberg

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HenriThunberg

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["sweden", "culture-default", "entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5"]

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{"NO": 2116.396347238848, "YES": 195.4782027363251}

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war-in-ukraine-will-russia-lose-106

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War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 106,000 troops by the end of 2022?

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cpmm-1

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2.29579766107482

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Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ukraine's Armed Forces estimate Russia's losses daily, which is published by Kyiv Independent.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market will resolve based on these estimations as of January 1, 2023 - or...

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[{"name": "Russian Mobilization", "slug": "russian-mobilization", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ezxIfUpZ3tFWftxcjGCP", "createdTime": 1671973179249}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182227077}]

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will-certificate-markets-go-to-prod

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Will Certificate markets go to prod by Dec 30 23:59?

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cpmm-1

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Gurkenglas

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if there is a Certificate market on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "manifold.markets", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://manifold.markets", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " by Dec 30 23...

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[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "MxdyEeVgrFMTDDsPbXwAe9W1CLs2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1671979286323}]

["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]

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will-kanye-take-his-medication-in-2

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Will Kanye take his medication in 2023?

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cpmm-1

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CANCEL

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