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cpmm-1
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cpmm-1
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cpmm-1
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will-i-do-satacts
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will-i-do-a-us-research-placement-a
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cpmm-1
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will-i-get-a-19-or-better-on-my-5th
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V75x7sflYwSFJJXCq2S1HKzONJo2
cpmm-1
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1.8474260772813824
True
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1672618994750
oh no
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hectohenry
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will-sam-bankmanfried-post-on-twitt
1841.7543740697852
Will Sam Bankman-Fried post on twitter at least once every month in 2023?
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kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-1
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2.637976501036717
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play
NO
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1672619065885
Ernie
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best-actress-oscar-is-removed-renam
1287.6091785766316
Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by June 2025
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Ernie
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Ernie
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1718893014325
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which-rocket-will-go-orbital-first
11954.152003185896
Which rocket will go orbital first
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HnyzqGs3sdhBeabLBhGhPgP4i3y2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.61949675814365
True
play
1bcb3bf5ffee
public
1672619420083
NGK
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the-top-trader-by-creator-count-has
267.6800055288441
The top trader by creator count, weekly, from https://manifold.markets/leaderboards has more than 5000 traders by June 2024
1718478000000
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
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1672619594831
Ernie
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Ernie
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will-destiny-appear-on-the-scuffed
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Will Destiny appear on the Scuffed Podcast in 2023?
1702651141624
5om4frnzUaYDgC192KQEEBGStIj1
cpmm-1
0
1.0777032351808495
True
play
YES
public
1672620097871
Daliban Adjacent
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There were some rumblings of Train doing a special YouTube episode of Scuffed so that Destiny could be a guest. This never came to fruition.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2023, do you thi...
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DalibanAdjacent
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https://firebasestorage.…61d-e32f4a60b06d
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https://firebasestorage.…a0c-dd28afbebf1c
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will-spy-rise-10-or-fall-10-first
2258.593868564378
Will SPY rise to 392.5 or fall to 372.5 first?
1673296724601
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
cpmm-1
0
5.09073507816633
True
play
YES
public
1672620103794
Jonathan Ray
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JonathanRay
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https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
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will-hololive-announce-a-new-genera
627.613326596536
Will Hololive announce a new generation of vtubers before March 1, 2023?
1672887725205
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cpmm-1
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4.2050851082501355
True
play
YES
public
1672620331535
Arctanno
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the purposes of this question, an announcement of any new talents, e.g. VSingers like IRyS would suffice for YES.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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Arctanno
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https://firebasestorage.…82f-c45d26aaa8df
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will-gpt4-score-1200-sat
1354.1079780532286
Will GPT-4 score 1200+ SAT?
1678814851431
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
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3.403231442918438
True
play
YES
public
1672620491966
Gigacasting
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will-gpt4-score-1400-sat
2997.5358899102284
Will GPT-4 score 1400+ SAT?
1678814731422
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
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2.0715946009799477
True
play
YES
public
1672620511585
Gigacasting
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will-any-speech-model-exceed-chatgp
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cpmm-1
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2.025458037847277
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play
NO
public
1672620569528
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will-any-speech-model-exceed-chatgp-3bdb412b6a09
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cpmm-1
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basic
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1672620592420
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will-sbf-be-offered-a-099-yr-deal
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Will SBF be offered a single-digit deal?
1672620748346
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
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4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1672620720745
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1672620748346
50
Gigacasting
1672620720745
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…247-4cb861e9d819
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[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1672620721004}]
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0.5
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0.23
will-neuralink-join-the-sp-500
187.16341265906695
Will Neuralink join the S&P 500?
2524629540000
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
9.608322401759475
False
basic
public
1672620902067
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
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0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Gigacasting
1695279827282
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
3
10
0
https://firebasestorage.…ad5-c532f0663523
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0.5
1695279826958
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0.09713432130967595
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{"NO": 823.8332239827872, "YES": 2336.4536416975548}
0.03654785131735149
will-coinbase-join-the-sp-500
1982.4151009255502
Will Coinbase join the S&P 500?
2524629540000
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
10.407304729815106
False
basic
public
1672620969231
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Gigacasting
1701287465733
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
0
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…6d7-2b094ddd8cd2
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1701287465565
1672672362918
0.17317143655448858
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1
will-comments-cost-m-in-2023
1761.8902015295162
Will comments cost M$ in 2023?
1685753818627
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
cpmm-1
0
5.554555621907923
True
play
YES
public
1672621020091
Martin Randall
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0
1685753818627
350
MartinRandall
1685753808726
0
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…d7d-0355bc64e555
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1685753808484
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9.989702036513142
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1672621376439
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