CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

0.7478809588544164

TGizeX4vO5iNoDcGYjtf

{"NO": 554.6966564590135, "YES": 325.33451140074396}

1

will-a-majority-of-the-bangalore-le

619.429896628747

Will a majority of the Bangalore LessWrong/ACX meet-up attendees on 8th Jan 2023 find the discussion useful that day?

1673183476507

w2OmiuSuHsVDWi8NFhgum8jUu0B2

cpmm-1

0

1.2847042808826203

True

play

YES

public

1672814526190

Weaver

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is just a test market for running the group. Depending on how it goes I might post similar markets for other group related things.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Link to LessWrong event page: ", "typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673183476507

430

Weaver

1673182580667

0

https://firebasestorage.…0b0-0b1a6e73e4e2

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…a20-7615083c4b9e

17

[{"name": "Bangalore LessWrong Meetups", "slug": "bangalore-lesswrong-meetups", "userId": "w2OmiuSuHsVDWi8NFhgum8jUu0B2", "groupId": "NaPF0mBFp2GmU6mjqAOb", "createdTime": 1672814526384}]

["bangalore-lesswrong-meetups"]

0.5

1673182580499

1673176850797

0.83

0.5664801959033615

HcyrqtV7DrBaEjxMc4ya

{"NO": 100.00000000000003, "YES": 51.241394248561384}

1

will-i-stay-up-past-2-am-before-jun

30

Will I stay up past 2 AM before June for math camps?

1678374768609

x4Md3ynwwyWjoGOYlkJvcO9vqQT2

cpmm-1

0

3.72021270633126

True

play

YES

public

1672815418914

pancakes ♠︎

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1678374768609

70

cece

1710976847103

0

https://firebasestorage.…130-ba6f3589b750

2

0

https://firebasestorage.…a77-a60ae782f470

2

[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "x4Md3ynwwyWjoGOYlkJvcO9vqQT2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1672815419138}, {"name": "Sleep Management", "slug": "sleep-management", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "gfjnZX83RUVNwW2tfG8G", "createdTime": 1673373833368}]

["proofniks", "sleep-management"]

0.5

1672816129701

1672815469940

0.72

0.20261892596707376

a0ilyNvb6Sx0ScupwG7n

{"NO": 177.45241822153466, "YES": 405.8247380717289}

0

will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorrow-be

1296.9339793774277

Will "Will the sun rise tomorrow?" be at 99.9% chance or more when it closes?

1672862400000

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

0.2762403852303601

True

play

NO

public

1672815534094

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-the-sun-rise-tomorrow-dbb96cdd639b", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-the-sun-rise-tomorrow-dbb96cdd639b", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672865021698

270

ZZZZZZ

1672862398149

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

14

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…e93-ffc8ac53845c

10

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1672815534317}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "cre...

["predictions-on-predictions", "whale-watching"]

0.5

False

1672862398013

1672850482185

0.1

0.5

QXqmooPCf5fU1bQqtrx3

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

what-will-mrgirls-approval-rating-b

0

What will MrGirl's approval rating be at the end of January? (MrGirl Stock)

1672816538139

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672816418668

arae

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of January, I will post a poll asking Destiny fans if they approve of MrGirl. This market resolves to the percentage of yes votes on that poll. You can also buy and sell shares to try to turn a profit.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672816538139

50

a

1672816418668

0

https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650

0

https://firebasestorage.…355-9affc00bf795

1

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672816419282}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

iNdc6IOQsV3D8NaOYhIZ

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

what-will-mrgirls-approval-rating-b-bd326f7ba456

0

What will MrGirl's approval rating be at the end of January? (MrGirl Stock)

1672816554730

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672816424795

arae

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672816554730

50

a

1672816424795

0

https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650

0

https://firebasestorage.…548-386cb23c884e

1

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672816425371}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

EL0Vdlsr6lHBLaZYoV04

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

what-will-mrgirls-approval-rating-b-9b3b506927ab

0

What will MrGirl's approval rating be at the end of January? (MrGirl Stock)

1672816566565

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672816434427

arae

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of January, I will post a poll asking Destiny fans if they approve of MrGirl. This market resolves to the percentage of yes votes on that poll. You can also buy and sell shares to try to turn a profit.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672816566565

50

a

1672816434427

0

https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650

0

https://firebasestorage.…fff-e8fadf623371

1

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672816435071}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

0.36048394844014187

KIjUKqFk1SmsknA9YqSy

{"NO": 109.37049351121915, "YES": 240.8878507661156}

0.2

what-will-mrgirls-approval-rating-b-54a2495ce8fc

175.89898145244453

What will MrGirl's January approval rating be? (MrGirl Stock)

1675227540000

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

cpmm-1

0

2.344313000206603

True

play

MKT

public

1672816488449

arae

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of January, I will post a poll asking Destiny fans if they approve of MrGirl. This market resolves to the percentage of yes votes on that poll. You can also buy and sell shares to try to turn a profit.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675228376298

150

a

1710218348399

0

https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650

1

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…9aa-57319f09e8e1

7

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1675204639634

1675228347830

0.2

0.6218075798273142

UJ7Qy0f7f9uJFYtuQRPC

{"NO": 539.9819312428342, "YES": 98.64609768495703}

1

will-will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorro

954.9255623380213

Will 'Will "Will the sun rise tomorrow?" be at 99.9% chance or more when it closes?' be at 10% chance or less when it closes?

1672862400000

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

2.1132702594604083

True

play

YES

public

1672817736614

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorrow-be", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorrow-be", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672865060535

250

ZZZZZZ

1672862386376

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

1

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…987-eb7febb1f2bf

12

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1672817736919}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "cre...

["predictions-on-predictions", "whale-watching"]

0.5

False

1672862386123

0.9

0.559048142938908

Oskkx4vIIjhIA0IpBYjD

{"NO": 245.74647313590273, "YES": 45.68672129647755}

1

will-will-will-will-the-sun-rise-to

189

Will `Will 'Will "Will the sun rise tomorrow?" be at 99.9% chance or more when it closes?' be at 10% chance or less when it closes?` be at 90% chance or more when it closes?

1672862400000

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

3.2405713774987275

True

play

YES

public

1672817809341

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorro", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-will-the-sun-rise-tomorro", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672865073713

130

ZZZZZZ

1672862311027

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

5

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…031-a2b60d7387cd

5

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1672817809672}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "cre...

["predictions-on-predictions", "whale-watching"]

0.5

False

1672862310910

0.87

0.5434276484057322

SIOKxH0jwT5lbPQDCoO6

{"NO": 48.48275225411375, "YES": 108.802909585883}

0

will-will-will-will-will-the-sun-ri

80

Will «Will `Will 'Will "Will the sun rise tomorrow?" be at 99.9% chance or more when it closes?' be at 10% chance or less when it closes?` be at 90% chance or more when it closes?» be at 30% chance or less when it closes?

1672862400000

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

3.4873410505173426

True

play

NO

public

1672818217818

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-will-will-the-sun-rise-to", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-will-will-will-the-sun-rise-to", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672865080257

90

ZZZZZZ

1672862341603

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

3

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…833-69f4af8d45c8

3

[{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1672818218053}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "cre...

["whale-watching", "predictions-on-predictions"]

0.5

False

1672862341479

0.35

0.5056852290639932

FfPJ1raYy6thnEvW3cgn

{"NO": 2176.130823498764, "YES": 16.672787252215446}

1

will-someone-post-a-comment-on-this

3028.0426645994207

Will someone post a comment on this market in the next 24 hours with a c# function that takes a Manifold Markets api key and a mana link and redeems it?

1672874294034

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

4.024791237229899

True

play

YES

public

1672819550664

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672874294034

210

ZZZZZZ

1672874779032

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…a15-41577d8421cf

4

[{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1672819550863}, {"name": "Tasks", "slug": "tasks", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "9jElX9OwL6NvJtDYRfdz", "createdTime": 1672866248924}]

["programming", "tasks"]

0.5

1672874290883

1672874777222

0.95

0.1558954719768926

7Z4CTmxzSjfDz4WKSd8d

{"NO": 951.6541590044299, "YES": 1177.8109298435738}

0.1298481818481251

will-ufos-be-a-partisan-issue-by-20

885.0614870867691

Will UFOs be a partisan issue by 2025?

1735775940000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

9.859150586431433

False

basic

public

1672820681696

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if, on Jan 1st 2025, I see questions about \"what are UFOs\" as being a partisan issue.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As resolution may be somewhat subjective, I won't be bettin...

BINARY

{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.46032235753048534, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScottLawrence

1716768118118

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…25e-75ca636cb950

9

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672820682766}]

["politics-default"]

0.5

1716768114338

1673192623730

0.5444383635382335

5u2em87tM7AarXQPDsvI

{"NO": 200.18601991312119, "YES": 146.20948463603392}

0.6206787882383932

will-someone-be-charged-for-using-a

51

Will someone be charged for using a real-money prediction market in Singapore by 2033 Jan?

1988423940000

HMYslTDAGjXYifJsz7V7m1BL1Cm1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672820842616

footgun

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://singaporelegaladvice.com/law-articles/gambling-legally-home-public-online-singapore/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://singaporelegaladvice.com/law-articles/gambling-legally-home-public-online-singapore...

BINARY

{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

footgun

1683361820070

0

https://firebasestorage.…979-84cc7a804f11

1

6

0

https://firebasestorage.…9f8-0e3984b2a512

5

[{"name": "Prison Markets", "slug": "prison-markets", "userId": "HMYslTDAGjXYifJsz7V7m1BL1Cm1", "groupId": "ybPe7R5zhvOzOIs3n3yM", "createdTime": 1672821256112}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "HMYslTDAGjXYifJsz7V7m1BL1Cm1", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "cre...

["world-default", "predictions-on-predictions", "prison-markets", "singapore"]

0.5

1683361819932

0.3584251237043367

gSKsfa1UoVehCdSY4dxu

{"NO": 584.6189928094518, "YES": 18741.98912259147}

0

will-scott-alexander-blog-about-ufo

26717.611421599384

Will Scott Alexander blog about UFOs this year?

1704067140000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0.002170181746052761

0.4488385743784602

True

basic

NO

public

1672821057004

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In order for a post to resolve YES, it must be substantially about UFOs (the threshold might be about 33%---references in links posts don't count), and it must consider factual questions about UFOs as being on-topic. It's okay if UFOs are then used...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704068711355

2090

ScottLawrence

1704068712203

1.3

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

0

144

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…35e-d1c57d50db2f

90

[{"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672896167945}, {"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1672821057948}, {"name": "Austin Less wro...

["culture-default", "acx", "austin-less-wrong-2023-predictions", "blogs", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.1348718008036227

0.5

1704050312209

1694607029735

0.02

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

0.4129873351504182

RbuM4p3qOH0BmlmucGe4

{"NO": 628.2441318874303, "YES": 1803.976920457768}

0.19679466126965986

will-scott-alexander-endorse-joe-bi

6762.724350896859

Will Scott Alexander endorse Joe Biden in 2024?

1735689540000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

9.895307011516056

False

basic

public

1672821125595

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only publicly posted endorsements count (e.g. to ACX).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To be clear, this resolves YES if any endorsement is made in the primary ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "or...

BINARY

{"day": -0.030884253672585876, "week": -0.32606424553300883, "month": -0.21903826403041168}

0

{"creatorFee": 127.38237788777832, "platformFee": 2.0422845857501803, "liquidityFee": 0}

290.088148

1000

ScottLawrence

1720223920319

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

0

65

2

https://firebasestorage.…2a3-2c65dd8281b2

14

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672821126585}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672955029301}]

["us-politics", "acx"]

0.5

1720223916858

1720027457654

0.5218318774632882

zW51SKs0mggt6URO4PDS

{"NO": 972.4501667322592, "YES": 1062.0962634991604}

0.4998005153093539

will-scott-alexander-endorse-any-pr

8402.047491499994

Will Scott Alexander endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?

1735689540000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

9.523186192489167

False

basic

public

1672821901927

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only endorsements posted publicly (mainly to ACX) count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To be clear, this resolves YES if any endorsement is made in the primary ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "...

BINARY

{"day": -0.08210464189013023, "week": -0.1376849920092822, "month": 0.038398526449900716}

0

{"creatorFee": 109.10362622362135, "platformFee": 0.3942801420570686, "liquidityFee": 0}

350

1025

ScottLawrence

1720245418323

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

82

1

https://firebasestorage.…775-ff73d6f23b3a

24

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672821902765}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672955029303}]

["us-politics", "acx"]

0.5

1720245415231

1717602518452

0.06681395790241237

jxMC8Y1qX5KZgto7vhnU

{"NO": 885.4674680895282, "YES": 3116.1415534787925}

0.019939185885373266

will-scott-alexander-endorse-donald

4821.0018088201305

Will Scott Alexander endorse Donald Trump (for president) in 2024?

1735689540000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1672821928567

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only publicly posted (e.g. to ACX) endorsements count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related markets", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs":...

BINARY

{"day": -3.469446951953614e-18, "week": -0.009916299098252947, "month": -0.03743612387100046}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.837621703388776, "platformFee": 0.6215062223775999, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScottLawrence

1720060444869

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

25

1

https://firebasestorage.…b2a-82e7cbea8263

16

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672821929459}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672954962511}, {"name": "Donald Trump", ...

["us-politics", "acx", "donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

0.5

1720060441803

False

0.06949553161551976

5uKfYDRuCKeonUWzuKGB

{"NO": 871.9067672124512, "YES": 3427.324577620143}

0.018645715544614368

will-scott-alexander-endorse-ron-de

5589.384792517022

Will Scott Alexander endorse Ron DeSantis (for president) in 2024?

1735689540000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

basic

public

1672821955803

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only publicly posted endorsements count (e.g. to ACX).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To be clear, this resolves YES if any endorsement is made in the primary ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "or...

BINARY

{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.15798834290946465, "platformFee": 0.15798834290946465, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScottLawrence

1714058794811

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

2

32

0

https://firebasestorage.…bb6-bf82adca63d2

22

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672821956776}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1672955029303}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Pr...

["us-politics", "acx", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

0.11779981720449062

0.5

1714058791236

1712109816763

0.4593134520787631

9TCh3PSBuUx2UY1FbLj9

{"NO": 1044.2819204742025, "YES": 931.5570203748273}

0.48778256518160057

will-zvi-endorse-a-presidential-can

666.9234468778891

Will Zvi endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?

1735689540000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0.028086879080214427

9.668456516527366

False

basic

public

1672822323072

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2", "label": "ZviMowshowitz"}}, {"text": " posts a public endorsement of a presidential candidate, primary or general, in 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]...

BINARY

{"day": -6.106226635438361e-16, "week": -6.106226635438361e-16, "month": -6.106226635438361e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.10136206180219849, "platformFee": 0.10136206180219849, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScottLawrence

1713852968435

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae1-52fbf2cd656a

11

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672822324232}]

["us-politics"]

0.11601481394729232

0.5

1713852965211

1702050023910

0.5419026736721447

uaLhvjRfaD4G3E0kiI9V

{"NO": 44.37960429794655, "YES": 697.4801798768883}

0

will-manifold-posts-still-exist-at

1071.093926118712

Will Manifold "posts" still exist at the end of the year?

1704067140000

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

cpmm-1

0

2.4685464079743222

True

play

NO

public

1672822544210

Scott Lawrence

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if the \"posts\" feature has been mostly or entirely removed. For example if old posts are visible, but it's impossible to create new ones, that would be a NO resolution.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704068138284

210

ScottLawrence

1704068138588

0

https://firebasestorage.…f7f-18a56a1ee575

1

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c90-f2a202858505

4

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672822545018}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130278124}]

["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1702783575603

1701846196160

0.07

FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1

0.8317337484723291

c0tP5c5lPKALuAL3zLra

{"NO": 18004.288278209875, "YES": 226.78149113988795}

1

will-kevin-mccarthy-be-the-next-spe-c8186c01015f

46277.161765833116

Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker of the House?

1673085725888

uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2

cpmm-1

0

1.4014845266138658

True

play

YES

public

1672822884411

Bolton Bailey

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673085725888

670

BoltonBailey

1673084334425

0

https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103

32

0

https://firebasestorage.…1db-95b1ab04cf29

26

[{"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr", "createdTime": 1672884857137}, {"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "arbbot-inbox"]

0.5

1673084333232

1673071233750

1

0.7223339592426515

XqDz7cipw3mmocSPWLgR

{"NO": 6974.194382454392, "YES": 120.11965632638794}

1

will-putin-announce-a-2024-presiden

7142.42394725234

Will Putin announce a 2024 presidency bid in 2023?

1702035536691

9il5Z8Wrd5Y3LZvsLbQqC8Tdy1O2

cpmm-1

0

2.201045293171812

True

play

YES

public

1672823967856

PS

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Russian presidential elections are due to be held in March 2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Russian_presidential_election", "class": null, "tar...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702035536691

410

PS

1702035428961

0

https://firebasestorage.…db4-29bed7995530

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…79c-57d2f49b971e

9

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "9il5Z8Wrd5Y3LZvsLbQqC8Tdy1O2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672823979449}, {"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "9il5Z8Wrd5Y3LZvsLbQqC8Tdy1O2", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1672823968198}, {"name": "Electio...

["russia", "politics-default", "elections-world", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.5

1702035428816

1702035392444

False

0.99

0.11476925254338693

oUSHiftvvIP8yq2AxNuS

{"NO": 38.18309850779673, "YES": 94.05758676399333}

0.05000000000001225

dont-bet-46fcb02e638d

6.0675870907118785

Don't bet

1672855297444

wuOtYy52f4Sx4JFfT85LpizVGsx1

cpmm-1

0

0.23361485118176173

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672824519314

Travis Wiley

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't, i will resolve how i want", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672855297444

90

JeremyK

1672835570455

0

https://firebasestorage.…495-664ad97c2373

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…0e9-ef50d15a06e4

3

[{"name": "puup questions", "slug": "puup-questions", "userId": "wuOtYy52f4Sx4JFfT85LpizVGsx1", "groupId": "AJKYJUuY9fKw18v3LBrW", "createdTime": 1672824519539}]

["puup-questions"]

0.99

1672835570248

0.05

0.4649832584073048

nkdS9MPjDOGLSAKNR5Pw

{"NO": 51.9480550022422, "YES": 97.36818412429969}

0

will-fnatic-make-it-to-stage-three

124.69670849660974

Will Fnatic make it to stage three (playoffs) in the spring split 2023 of the LEC (League of Legends)

1676110542804

w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1

cpmm-1

3.6288961369113726

True

play

NO

public

1672826574503

yunglady

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LEC has a new format and now the old playoffs are called stage three! Let's see if they make it there :)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676110542804

70

yunglady

1675787869817

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7FQMqwZBcCEK7gBJ428sQ-Ra8BNOPEPbgz7JlgYw=s96-c

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…8d4-b19a1e4a158f

2

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672826575478}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1675787869709

0.32

0.09115765715933032

4UcqoDBWovjkRNdlO6KD

{"NO": 517.3646188200602, "YES": 372.54790323777837}

0

will-i-be-tested-positive-for-chlam

1218.6194550169287

Will I be tested positive for Chlamydia? (lab results in a few days)

1674604740000

s4wa4nePv7UAhmCcHuptmnCjhoC3

cpmm-1

0

2.2001531002143393

True

play

NO

public

1672827155774

Lina

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I've had unprotected sex recently with someone who's never gotten tested. He claims that he's always had safe sex with previous partners with unclear STD status, but since men often don't experience any symptoms, I can't be sure whether or not he's...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674642788031

530

linapredictsstuff

1674600863202

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7ytWXh1fQDDKTQcGUljLQk3ixnZXEEHoRNgmpG=s96-c

27

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…db9-f17d11a66f27

26

[{"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "s4wa4nePv7UAhmCcHuptmnCjhoC3", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1672827157234}]

["medicine"]

0.5

1674600863048

1673703563198

0.12

0.5

cGyURrHmb8FXU5XmOiuh

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

how-many-people-will-show-up-to-the

0

How many people will show up to the Bangalore LW/ACX meetup on 8th January?

1672828499520

w2OmiuSuHsVDWi8NFhgum8jUu0B2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672828471340

Weaver

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link to LW Event page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.lesswrong.com/events/n9oCbX2yPXHd6pM2K/bengaluru-lw-acx-social-meetup-jan-2023", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/events/n9oCbX2...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672828499520

50

Weaver

1672828471340

0

https://firebasestorage.…0b0-0b1a6e73e4e2

0

https://firebasestorage.…9d0-616e58c71da2

1

0.5

0.3518964483868016

5LteLwskx61bln9TNjRI

{"NO": 657.4346426376734, "YES": 354.43063890616867}

0.52

how-many-people-will-show-up-to-the-79c7f33a3b67

1373.6927860762426

How many people will show up to the Bangalore LW/ACX meetup on 8th January?

1673175600000

w2OmiuSuHsVDWi8NFhgum8jUu0B2

cpmm-1

0

0.785844796761038

True

play

MKT

public

1672828583445

Weaver

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link to Relevant LW event page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.lesswrong.com/events/n9oCbX2yPXHd6pM2K/bengaluru-lw-acx-social-meetup-jan-2023", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/event...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673182985396

610

Weaver

1673175906954

0

https://firebasestorage.…0b0-0b1a6e73e4e2

21

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…ffa-f4ce2c74f000

20

[{"name": "Bangalore LessWrong Meetups", "slug": "bangalore-lesswrong-meetups", "userId": "w2OmiuSuHsVDWi8NFhgum8jUu0B2", "groupId": "NaPF0mBFp2GmU6mjqAOb", "createdTime": 1672828583761}]

["bangalore-lesswrong-meetups"]

0.2

1673175596299

1673175903349

0.52

0.43852914096874757

Y498zrM7RpQRDK6UIjCI

{"NO": 75.56321262347888, "YES": 109.99999999999999}

0

will-i-feel-confident-that-i-know-e

20

Will I feel confident that I know exactly “what makes Sammy run” by the end of the book?

1673855940000

kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1

cpmm-1

0

3.0740691749653424

True

play

NO

public

1672828853263

Yona

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to attempt to convince me one way or the other in the comments. I plan to finish the book by Jan 12.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 4, 2:44am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will I feel confident that ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674324070769

90

xyz

1673439066277

0

https://firebasestorage.…9c0-05d4951471d1

2

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…77b-22c680277fda

3

[{"name": "Decision markets", "slug": "decision-markets", "userId": "kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1", "groupId": "AN86UMYtGAWVJ9uOq8Ok", "createdTime": 1672828871158}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 167282885...

["technology-default", "decision-markets", "books"]

0.5

1673439066115

0.35

0.15647688619536645

e5nmmTksRnyxpky9BvU7

{"NO": 749.4339336570415, "YES": 1879.6216390680668}

0.06886946278609944

will-leo-messi-ever-play-for-fc-bar

13950.455255927714

Will Leo Messi ever play for FC Barcelona again?

1798757940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.22540985751744505

10.081784777320799

False

basic

public

1672829933485

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "no memorials, friendlies, etc. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "competitive games only", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to NO once ...

BINARY

{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.24343924207511392, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

itsTomekK

1716611877518

2.2

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

34

0

https://firebasestorage.…2f1-850c17fc0425

3

[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1672829933834}, {"name": "Messi", "slug": "messi", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "39rlvjD2vLdhJNcvOVfi", "createdTime": 1672831284320}, {"name": "Football Rumors", "sl...

["soccer", "messi", "football-rumors"]

0.16732308074873456

0.5

1716611873950

1703018631444

0.2080732678351189

8CKeM7xyh9z1rA1jUHEU

{"NO": 930.8830450402686, "YES": 1167.884192685671}

0.1731601733380405

will-ali-khameini-cease-to-be-supre

813.4263375971876

Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?

1735603140000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

9.704615180291178

False

basic

public

1672830028286

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 8.326672684688674e-17, "week": 8.326672684688674e-17, "month": 8.326672684688674e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

itsTomekK

1710071567122

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…2a5-559128fd9a0a

4

[{"name": "Middle East", "slug": "middle-east", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "xg8wCPeM9JP6gD0igBrA", "createdTime": 1672830239731}, {"name": "Leaders", "slug": "leaders", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "rCuXL6t9gAHm82vbWLoN", "createdTime": 1672830243424}]

["middle-east", "leaders"]

0.5

1710071563561

1706682446100

Aq0SI0bKwP2sOIkQ75kR

2023-what-game-will-win-the-steam-a

8295.031840170454

2023: What game will win The Steam Awards' Game of The Year?

1704224542433

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.621855031408119

True

basic

c3da8b2316bb

public

1672830713809

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "results from 2022: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://store.steampowered.com/SteamAwards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://store.steampowered.com/SteamAwards", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704224542433

1340.0000000000002

itsTomekK

1704224543030

1.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

37

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "664668974a27", "prob": 0.00018266598503676804, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0001885440339521764, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 1.031990675946304, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Aq0SI0bKwP2sOIkQ75kR", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "createdTime":...

1

https://firebasestorage.…873-75fc09780002

8

[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1672830714090}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129663071}]

["gaming", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.1205348817733026

1704224383680

1704224531681

{"c3da8b2316bb": 100}

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

True

old

0.7284964364638354

I8X5vPa7vS8TfjwmO1Vc

{"NO": 198.81764559317102, "YES": 148.45069208510918}

0.7823038023206167

will-the-uk-nhs-national-health-ser

418.6855360511233

Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2030

1893455940000

Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672831974580

WXTJ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This means there is no up front fee, no subscription, no insurance requirements. Someone with no money or bank account should be able to receive non-emergency care without needing to pay. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "parag...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.07769619767938307}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.161786440878106, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

WXTJ

1719495175852

0

https://firebasestorage.…ed7-9ff9afa6374e

8

1

https://firebasestorage.…771-16b0ed2f5e20

5

[{"name": "UK", "slug": "uk", "userId": "Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1672831982650}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1672831974853}, {"name": "Health", "slug": ...

["uk-politics", "uk", "health"]

0.5

1719495172699

1717611152134

0.7121834481260547

YL8HJdfkCVizG7PMoA5n

{"NO": 676.2333915079134, "YES": 49.544995559717336}

1

january-2023-will-putins-approval-i

1457.8209940020336

January 2023: Will Putin's approval in Russia be more than 80%?

1676593073600

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

4.031915435711763

True

play

YES

public

1672831978908

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "According to the independent L...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676593073600

130

itsTomekK

1676348427330

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

6

0

https://firebasestorage.…998-c9a463797dc4

5

[{"name": "Leaders", "slug": "leaders", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "rCuXL6t9gAHm82vbWLoN", "createdTime": 1672832074152}, {"name": "Vladimir Putin", "slug": "vladimir-putin", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "GRfh1hXGBmhMWy8gwn7p", "createdTime": 1672832071752}, {"name": "R...

["russia", "vladimir-putin", "leaders", "public-opinion", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.5

1676348427129

1676314464085

False

0.97

0.5079710564090432

oeYATU2AGhZvjVYyCiJ8

{"NO": 80.8960240732354, "YES": 5488.701540427467}

0

will-putins-approval-in-russia-fall

7118.04003284715

Will Putin's approval in Russia fall below 75% in 2023?

1703687701194

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.07670340476122597

1.620954569103061

True

play

NO

public

1672832056551

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "According to the independent L...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703687701194

750

itsTomekK

1703687702589

1.4

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

41

0

https://firebasestorage.…458-70ddcbeacd86

10

[{"name": "Leaders", "slug": "leaders", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "rCuXL6t9gAHm82vbWLoN", "createdTime": 1672832090172}, {"name": "Public Opinion", "slug": "public-opinion", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Lt7NilEBMhPGdsSsqGF1", "createdTime": 1672832087979}, {"name": "V...

["russia", "2023", "vladimir-putin", "public-opinion", "leaders", "nathans-dashboard", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.12093916583111244

0.5

1703683205569

1703687561225

False

0.01

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

0.6492748678461612

p0mSvUwyzruumWS20Rr6

{"NO": 152.01029243761104, "YES": 143.27564481612134}

0.6626288133216097

will-the-uk-nhs-national-health-ser-75439c349fba

939.644953693645

Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2035?

2082758340000

Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672832107918

WXTJ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This means there is no up front fee, no subscription, no insurance requirements. Someone with no money or bank account should be able to receive non-emergency care without needing to pay.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragr...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1454275412056364}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.5053273840082424, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

WXTJ

1719495149817

0

https://firebasestorage.…ed7-9ff9afa6374e

0

8

1

https://firebasestorage.…9ef-c86fa28eb2dd

2

[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1672832115997}, {"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1672832108911}, {"name": "UK", "slu...

["health", "uk-politics", "uk"]

0.5

1719495146577

1717611126790

0.7970312364944289

aeDjOBtgWJ1cr9qUF8TC

{"NO": 14789.983406255209, "YES": 80.2360962123119}

1

2023-will-bidens-approval-rating-fa

37506.50742025198

2023: Will Biden's approval rating fall below 40%?

1688745250176

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

2.696015314934984

True

play

YES

public

1672833180096

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES, if in any point of 2023, Approval Rating for Joe Biden falls below 40%", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1688745250176

450

itsTomekK

1688983748980

0.7

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…73e-2b4c5bb1502b

8

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672833195370}, {"name": "The Life of Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1672833190802...

["leaders", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics", "public-opinion"]

0.14274186792701216

0.5

1688648204042

1688983745900

1

0.5018013067453689

8MBWTWxdm93Dz8iGq6be

{"NO": 7.871236573097235, "YES": 316.8101112117522}

0

is-this-the-run-bf51c4e81845

511.40957425836723

IS THIS THE RUN????

1672834707935

O5ZcwsbGcIcYTvvertFlpEBwBH72

cpmm-1

0

5.76729268046229

True

play

NO

public

1672834120672

Dxcomx

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672834707935

70

Dxcomx

1672834430368

0

https://firebasestorage.…d69-6c0a97c8af17

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…6f7-029959181c26

2

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "O5ZcwsbGcIcYTvvertFlpEBwBH72", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672834121722}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1672834430078

0.13

L8nUz694n0rbEV5OFTjS

will-nope-be-nominated-for-oscar-20

1149.9531258802817

Will "Nope" be nominated for Oscar 2023?

1674577892821

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.654385992595948

True

play

5c8af8b6f6a1

public

1672834716354

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "in any category ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "(it is on a shortlist for Visual Effects and Original Score)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674577892821

320

itsTomekK

1674577825205

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

4

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "2bee2d4a96c1", "prob": 0.002140015660634604, "text": "Yes, and it will win an Oscar", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.021142159407517677, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.85829928414161, "textFts": "'oscar':7 'win':5 'yes':1", "contractId": "L8nUz694n0rbEV5OFTjS", "createdTime":...

https://firebasestorage.…0b3-9e5a3b8d8c70

4

[{"name": "Oscars 2023", "slug": "oscars-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "THBPkY1hBc2LRpoFYi6f", "createdTime": 1672834716598}, {"name": "Futuur", "slug": "futuur", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "xHXI3QN7xUV2FwEtKxm8", "createdTime": 1672836641663}]

["oscars-2023", "futuur"]

1674577825038

1672836566927

{"5c8af8b6f6a1": 100}

True

0.6717026303780517

sEV28sR7yKL4AboDd5D6

{"NO": 167.43926101274354, "YES": 258.44048322122416}

0

will-destiny-make-a-funny-sound-wit

832.4256641377727

Will Destiny make a funny sound with his mouth during the first 10 minutes of his next stream?

1672871650276

5om4frnzUaYDgC192KQEEBGStIj1

cpmm-1

0

1.6934858177817174

True

play

NO

public

1672834825336

Daliban Adjacent

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The 10 minute timer starts counting once he cams up. If he only makes a funny noise while the intro screen is still showing but not within 10 minutes of camming up, it doesn't count and will resolve to no.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672873676372

250

DalibanAdjacent

1672874538475

0

https://firebasestorage.…61d-e32f4a60b06d

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f12-bb017b9438dd

11

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "5om4frnzUaYDgC192KQEEBGStIj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672834825883}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672870944399

1672874536538

0.57

CYRYTlcbzh5RdY9zqM12

2023-which-national-currency-will-p

47.22111974395801

2023: Which national currency will perform best?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.942091167182067

True

play

794e078d09db

public

1672835026318

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2024 Open price vs 2023 Open price", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "all currencies will be compared to USD.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"al...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704370525436

420

itsTomekK

1704370525629

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

3

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "05697e47941d", "prob": 0.11620303371388754, "text": "USD (U.S. dollar)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.243550554281857, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 39.88049127746934, "textFts": "'dollar':3 'u.s':2 'usd':1", "contractId": "CYRYTlcbzh5RdY9zqM12", "resolverId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74...

1

https://firebasestorage.…e2d-46074a0c921d

3

[{"name": "Forex", "slug": "forex", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "WVDbfcAwnmsZVjy3wJVh", "createdTime": 1672835026561}, {"name": "Financial crisis", "slug": "financial-crisis", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "4TAmalgRi1jgHh8HTQd5", "createdTime": 1672835096706}, {"name": "�...

["forex", "financial-crisis", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

1696713280437

{"794e078d09db": 100}

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

True

0.21693103860925989

AIKDx21A7UWLqNvjil5m

{"NO": 1031.9922322366854, "YES": 14008.582555145005}

0

will-we-have-a-speaker-of-the-house

187868.40126231292

Will we have a Speaker of the House by Friday?

1673073082271

TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2

cpmm-1

0

0.009083647769121406

True

basic

NO

public

1672835178215

Alex...

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673073082271

1990

AlexLiesman

1673072477119

0

https://firebasestorage.…972-756d2782adfc

171

0

https://firebasestorage.…7b3-8ef255348316

126

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672835179148}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672836344791}, {"name"...

["us-politics", "politics-default", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "118th-congress", "please-resolve"]

0.5

1673072476925

1673071714094

0.02

0.5

ckK53Zj6fj3catzvd9kZ

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

what-is-the-peak-height-of-this-riv

0

What is the peak height of this river between Jan 01 and March 25 2023? (Data provided)

1672835345848

PXelv1QrwZPOyEcal9Rg6B6gxer2

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672835304751

Patrick Barry

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The River Ely is a small, steep very flashy river in Cardiff. I am tracking the nearest river gauge to me: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://riverlevels.uk/ely-st-fagans-community-st-fagans#.Y7VtO9Wnz3B", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "lin...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672835345848

50

CromlynGames

1672835304751

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCromlynGames%2F3S6CfEbdrZ._The_zombies_gut_is_missing_5460183c-da59-4002-a7d8-abbd87b47b2d?alt=media&token=ce64ada6-2f49-4765-ad0c-fed13541dc5e

0

https://firebasestorage.…3dc-64e33239dbb9

1

[{"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "userId": "PXelv1QrwZPOyEcal9Rg6B6gxer2", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1672835305864}]

["physics"]

0.5

0.7177303768873299

jHaRxG7w1cqhBAfgzTpx

{"NO": 312.1258329314962, "YES": 220.82984302495092}

1

i-just-ordered-a-keyboard-from-amaz

137.70437160009254

I just ordered a keyboard from Amazon Warehouse Deals. It's condition is marked as "Acceptable". Will I be happy with the condition in which it arrives?

1673136826979

5om4frnzUaYDgC192KQEEBGStIj1

cpmm-1

0

1.7104920955266705

True

play

YES

public

1672835465366

Daliban Adjacent

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I bought a mechanical keyboard at a nice discount, paying $170 instead of $240. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a keyboard I've wanted for a while, I've been keeping an eye out for sa...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673136826979

250

DalibanAdjacent

1673137007596

0

https://firebasestorage.…61d-e32f4a60b06d

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…a9f-ac9b02fd6722

12

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "5om4frnzUaYDgC192KQEEBGStIj1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672835466423}]

["technology-default"]

0.5

1672937156267

1673137005671

0.78

0.6063954718341453

uO9a8M8cbp2XRvi73ug4

{"NO": 527.3629765913748, "YES": 294.3621499377206}

0.874047619047619

what-is-the-expected-peak-of-this-r

764.6782342904969

What is the expected peak of this river between Jan 01 and Mar 25 2023 (data provided)?

1679788440000

PXelv1QrwZPOyEcal9Rg6B6gxer2

cpmm-1

0

1.0293686537259614

True

play

MKT

public

1672835885721

Patrick Barry

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The River Ely is a small, steep very flashy river in Cardiff. I am tracking the nearest river gauge to me: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://riverlevels.uk/ely-st-fagans-community-st-fagans#.Y7VtO9Wnz3B", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "lin...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1679845742438

390

CromlynGames

1679903438171

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCromlynGames%2F3S6CfEbdrZ._The_zombies_gut_is_missing_5460183c-da59-4002-a7d8-abbd87b47b2d?alt=media&token=ce64ada6-2f49-4765-ad0c-fed13541dc5e

1

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…4a6-234073138bbf

3

[{"name": "UK", "slug": "uk", "userId": "PXelv1QrwZPOyEcal9Rg6B6gxer2", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1672835908801}, {"name": "Climate", "slug": "climate", "userId": "PXelv1QrwZPOyEcal9Rg6B6gxer2", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1672835886130}, {"name": "Rivers, drought and flood...

["climate", "uk", "rivers-drought-and-flooding"]

0.5

1679785095724

1679903434133

0.874047619047619

0.693756983103812

uFIIRH1nKrtcVGugrz5C

{"NO": 3580.1525764250273, "YES": 474.2798392994585}

0.9447528155210365

will-lebron-james-and-lebron-james

7221.679447561065

Will LeBron James and LeBron James Jr. get to play in the same season of the NBA?

1767221940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

10.052591745360466

False

basic

public

1672836037617

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If LeBron James and his son, LeBron Jame Jr., get to play on the same season of the NBA - regardless of which team each of them plays for - this market will be resolved as \"Yes\".", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0.004468498757129624, "month": 0.044654701758259474}

0

{"creatorFee": 7.394405433325914, "platformFee": 0.13549396340970893, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

itsTomekK

1719797821438

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

1

45

1

https://firebasestorage.…927-573db897306e

10

[{"name": "Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}, {"name": "Futuur", "slug": "futuur", "groupId": "xHXI3QN7xUV2FwEtKxm8"}]

["basketball", "nba", "futuur"]

0.10778721033455121

0.5

1719797818379

1697659379786

False

0.5053917018491692

ReDMih4EadU3NCyBIERs

{"NO": 1004.5819108527652, "YES": 70.31909944642484}

1

2023-will-the-who-declare-that-the

2081.891156956056

2023: Will the WHO declare that the world reached the Sars-CoV-2 post-pandemic period?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

1.9763133535642692

True

play

YES

public

1672836276671

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the epidemic caused by the new coronavirus, Sars-CoV-2 (the cause of COVID-19) had become a pandemic, reaching all continents and infecting hundreds of millions of people. Since t...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704217496178

290

itsTomekK

1710206840511

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

1

16

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d03-f2caf4a4063b

6

[{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS"}, {"name": "Futuur", "slug": "futuur", "groupId": "xHXI3QN7xUV2FwEtKxm8"}]

["new-years-resolutions-2024", "covid-d7a9361d772d", "futuur"]

0.11311258849899922

0.5

1695644376899

1704217758818

0.94

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

0.3287679523146548

rghsLaf9OOpnTul8kBt2

{"NO": 158.80050872565607, "YES": 2931.1380362935533}

0

will-the-sec-punish-tesla-for-any-o

8762.310695870157

Will the SEC punish Tesla for any of Elon Musk’s tweets by the end of 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0.19626992537445268

1.5355517629471294

True

play

NO

public

1672836649389

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Due to a court settlement with the US securities watchdog, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), since 2018 Elon Musk must have his tweets pre-approved by Tesla’s lawyers before publishing them if they address the company’s financial condit...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704214127073

470

itsTomekK

1710451952688

1.2

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

23

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…fa8-931dcd273b29

12

[{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV"}, {"name": "Futuur", "slug": "futuur",...

["new-years-resolutions-2024", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "tesla", "futuur"]

0.12900451629884033

0.5

1703857678824

1675257700857

0.03

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

0.43594370959856704

DeJ4xzMwGWei7hDcgtz2

{"NO": 143.16924049121127, "YES": 13519.80341622876}

0

will-russia-begin-a-new-wave-of-mob-bb11ce38d81f

22624.20551192948

Will Russia begin a new wave of mobilisation by March 1, 2023?

1677675540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

1.2281993774545068

True

basic

NO

public

1672837373353

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1678121423968

1650

itsTomekK

1677672838779

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

10

84

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…16a-72ed8d794236

70

[{"name": "Russian Mobilization", "slug": "russian-mobilization", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ezxIfUpZ3tFWftxcjGCP", "createdTime": 1672837425547}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdT...

["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war", "russian-mobilization", "russia"]

0.5

1677672838612

1675362046542

0.01

0.24022295758959297

pii0ibULWs7Ahc4Zjo8E

{"NO": 233.56991761163528, "YES": 2562.6463174578785}

0

will-joe-biden-file-to-run-for-pres

3620.115200407285

Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023?

1680299940000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

1.5338843748480686

True

play

NO

public

1672837605286

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, between the dates of January 3, 2023, and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragrap...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680798938917

470

itsTomekK

1680290698513

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

0

24

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…c09-f8346bdb2922

12

[{"name": "The Life of Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1672837748348}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1672837720058},...

["us-politics", "polymarket", "the-life-of-biden", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

0.5

1680290698364

0.03

0.8704913264465117

QG7GC6ELEUOViBRPzSwl

{"NO": 4946.474416382402, "YES": 78.7039585951884}

1

will-genesis-announce-it-is-filing

5413.529319945885

Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023?

1674205870035

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

5.579166857047391

True

play

YES

public

1672837710573

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Genesis (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://genesistrading.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://genesistrading.com/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674205870035

210

itsTomekK

1674205864756

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…aeb-2bead5759ebc

9

[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1672951645055}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime":...

["polymarket", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-news"]

0.5

1674205864639

1674192519376

1

0.5333801156387133

BKDPpX7ory23o4f1WRIS

{"NO": 1943.2345186442662, "YES": 73.80529079534588}

1

will-destinys-twitter-reach-115k-fa

4439.051222384696

Will Destiny's twitter reach 115k fallowers before February?

1675131244244

cxNmlAWuS4R5o9ggxKAxenhF63C3

cpmm-1

0

1.929632063318799

True

play

YES

public

1672839103146

Matches

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny's twitter ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/TheOmniLiberal", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/TheOmniLiberal", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " reach 115...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675131244244

430

Matches

1675128552123

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2e1P_YB6FWzbFywBtZ3dGF2Fo9ieZLblqlLMCc=s96-c

22

0

https://firebasestorage.…44d-1c1ea4abaa5f

18

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "cxNmlAWuS4R5o9ggxKAxenhF63C3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672839103682}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1675128541804

1675128544804

0.97

bX1oCEmD4E8UkBLEUYNB

golden-globes-2023-who-will-win-the

255.6069706054202

Golden Globes 2023: What movie will win Best Animated Feature Film?

1673432222571

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.748333731489008

True

play

22cfe7709925

public

1672839843968

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Golden Globe Awards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goldenglobes.com/winners-nominees", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " are accolades bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Associat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673432222571

480

itsTomekK

1705540679017

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

6

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "22cfe7709925", "prob": 0.9198684230184293, "text": "Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio", "index": 0, "poolNo": 65.15922976429506, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.676150746412627, "textFts": "'del':2 'guillermo':1 'pinocchio':5 'toro':3", "contractId": "bX1oCEmD4E8UkBLEUYNB"...

https://firebasestorage.…49d-a99e394c2ea8

6

[{"name": "Movies", "slug": "movies", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1672839844154}, {"name": "Golden Globes 2023", "slug": "golden-globes-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "lupNaePLY2T1tJLtJGuf", "createdTime": 1672839969408}, {"nam...

["movies", "golden-globes-2023", "oscars-2024-758857439e79"]

1673430483041

{"22cfe7709925": 100}

True

NpF9ic2v47om6r7cLD3y

golden-globes-2023-who-will-win-the-b6b23d55cc5c

455.42821294408543

Golden Globes 2023: Who will win Best Director?

1673429618791

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.711335245789862

True

play

47296e12963e

public

1672839963014

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Golden Globe Awards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goldenglobes.com/winners-nominees", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " are accolades bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Associat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673429618791

500

itsTomekK

1673429609549

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

7

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "2539c6606987", "prob": 0.008176573010710267, "text": "James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.1187845016866293, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 14.408634446451762, "textFts": "'avatar':3 'cameron':2 'jame':1 'water':7 'way':5", "contractId": "Np...

https://firebasestorage.…064-d884d7542999

7

[{"name": "Movies", "slug": "movies", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1672839963179}, {"name": "Golden Globes 2023", "slug": "golden-globes-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "lupNaePLY2T1tJLtJGuf", "createdTime": 1672840036846}]

["movies", "golden-globes-2023"]

1673429609386

1673421817619

{"47296e12963e": 100}

True

xClWSwtvLuXRC6EdDvYj

golden-globes-2023-which-actor-will

504.9493051922439

Golden Globes 2023: Which actor will win Best Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama?

1673432202770

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.694964910315712

True

play

9d1c1d9244f8

public

1672840126140

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Golden Globe Awards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goldenglobes.com/winners-nominees", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " are accolades bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Associat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673432202770

420

itsTomekK

1673430019775

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

4

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "9d1c1d9244f8", "prob": 0.9525524329859968, "text": "Austin Butler – Elvis as Elvis Presley", "index": 0, "poolNo": 51.02260886069039, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.5414859794730797, "textFts": "'austin':1 'butler':2 'elvi':3,5 'presley':6", "contractId": "xClWSwtvLuXR...

https://firebasestorage.…036-2b3b0653455f

4

[{"name": "Golden Globes 2023", "slug": "golden-globes-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "lupNaePLY2T1tJLtJGuf", "createdTime": 1672840126344}]

["golden-globes-2023"]

1673430019566

{"9d1c1d9244f8": 100}

True

2myDSmOYSpcqy6pml9O9

golden-globes-2023-which-actress-wi

914.0628323925519

Golden Globes 2023: Which actress will win Best Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama?

1673432239310

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.664370345020383

True

play

d4500ac92826

public

1672840208947

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Golden Globe Awards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goldenglobes.com/winners-nominees", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " are accolades bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Associat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673432239310

440

itsTomekK

1673432219006

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

5

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "d4500ac92826", "prob": 0.9856863782527191, "text": "Cate Blanchett – Tár as Lydia Tár", "index": 0, "poolNo": 23.756045108356457, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.34497285484975615, "textFts": "'blanchett':2 'cate':1 'lydia':5 'tár':3,6", "contractId": "2myDSmOYSpcqy6pml...

https://firebasestorage.…357-b5377fef283a

5

[{"name": "Golden Globes 2023", "slug": "golden-globes-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "lupNaePLY2T1tJLtJGuf", "createdTime": 1672840209127}]

["golden-globes-2023"]

1673432218836

{"d4500ac92826": 100}

True

0dfl53oUzoakkS4zNW9I

golden-globes-2023-who-will-win-bes

562.1892007896016

Golden Globes 2023: Who will win Best Screenplay?

1673432187146

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.690083205970664

True

play

b897aeb75444

public

1672840254793

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Golden Globe Awards", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goldenglobes.com/winners-nominees", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " are accolades bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Associat...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673432187146

440

itsTomekK

1673424787551

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

6

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "3fa8bb05ee8d", "prob": 0.013157859536466513, "text": "Todd Field – Tár", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.3038673379359876, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 22.790112126872152, "textFts": "'field':2 'todd':1 'tár':3", "contractId": "0dfl53oUzoakkS4zNW9I", "createdTime": 16728402547...

https://firebasestorage.…ee4-8a0bc9f1eca9

6

[{"name": "Golden Globes 2023", "slug": "golden-globes-2023", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "lupNaePLY2T1tJLtJGuf", "createdTime": 1672840254988}]

["golden-globes-2023"]

1673424786379

{"b897aeb75444": 100}

True

MDhxVFut0Jls6ZtScX4D

who-will-be-the-nba-mvp-2024-regula

128373.44474268185

Who will be the NBA MVP 2024 (regular season)?

1715214010275

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

48d6f70a1f1a

public

1672841745815

DismalScientist

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715214010275

2720.000000000002

DismalScientist

1715214010275

1.2

https://firebasestorage.…b16-0ce5136b681e

0

32

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "757a4b4d4f39", "prob": 0.0001, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.9050571650018465e-05, "userId": "St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 0.5904466659285347, "textFts": "", "contractId": "MDhxVFut0Jls6ZtScX4D", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "createdTime": 1672841746187...

https://firebasestorage.…bf9-df4242b9e79c

11

[{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}]

["nba"]

0.12136074332722857

1715212755933

1715211325138

{"48d6f70a1f1a": 100}

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

True

0.2846645237076872

wvxlkfPK7ojR8nw9NYtb

{"NO": 4893.580158124491, "YES": 202.92908988303282}

1

will-bing-integrate-chatgpt-from-op

18446.76688673094

Will Bing integrate ChatGPT from OpenAI before the end of 2023'Q1?

1675915538190

ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23

cpmm-1

0.5246318849000859

True

basic

YES

public

1672842849716

Reality Quotient

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/microsoft-hopes-openai-s-chatbot-will-make-bing-smarter", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/microsoft-hopes-openai-s-c...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675915538190

2010

RealityQuotient

1675970105880

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783

2

136

0

https://firebasestorage.…afd-4d2bec0faeec

117

[{"name": "AI Impacts", "slug": "ai-impacts", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "q3Su0NeV9ta4DqhqlIEq", "createdTime": 1672842964277}, {"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672842960496}, {"name": "Technology", "slug"...

["technology-default", "ai", "ai-impacts", "business"]

0.5

1675908751742

1675970102213

0.91

0.6951152801654974

C4y3Q4AFTVuGP8S0LJ9J

{"NO": 21924.18913714702, "YES": 311.3300756452127}

1

will-kevin-mccarthy-be-next-speaker

82226.15884564974

Will Kevin McCarthy be next Speaker of the House?

1673069937297

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0

0.920145616503703

True

basic

YES

public

1672842909930

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Kevin McCarthy is elected the next Speaker of the House of Representatives, otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.pol...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673069937297

1490

jack

1673069824495

0

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

74

0

https://firebasestorage.…d67-3e1c75deb7bb

56

[{"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr", "createdTime": 1672884857124}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "cre...

["118th-congress", "us-politics", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "arbbot-inbox"]

0.5

1673069824337

1673069468304

0.95

0.8081715541226949

5zzcR9bfo8XDvxUCkT44

{"NO": 15848.637043472587, "YES": 494.7936808994617}

1

will-nathan-be-on-stream-by-the-end

49280.34969578672

Will Nathan be on stream by the end of the year?

1696428757801

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0.18919826850751725

0.9673575262849496

True

basic

YES

public

1672842957616

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Nathan (his son) appears on any Destiny owned stream by Dec 31st 2023", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1696428757801

1150

Wobbles

1696428751745

1.4

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

0

60

0

https://firebasestorage.…3cf-e21ef1f273ee

18

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672842958125}]

["destinygg"]

0.14361491490272943

0.5

1696428751445

1696388454795

0.99

0.3853688712351697

XxvDQSgkuYpKHlYJ71C9

{"NO": 199.5475513116959, "YES": 4371.693412802145}

0

will-destiny-talk-with-sam-seder-ag

7977.148559927274

Will Destiny talk with Sam Seder again?

1704045540000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0.8110694432415858

1.0909057754007243

True

play

NO

public

1672843114260

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is either on Sam's show, or Sam is on Destiny's stream by the end of the year. They must be actively discussing something live. Any clarifying questions will be answered in the comments.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704244806686

710

Wobbles

1704244806923

1.3

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

1

38

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d61-6ad8f7589cfd

13

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672843114790}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132983465}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.18593373546712652

0.5

1703875376697

1699804915814

0.03

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

0.7360425969950416

lKKs6x5eQJMT7wtSPhRt

{"NO": 3315.241446603604, "YES": 280.81696404022347}

1

will-destiny-talk-with-david-pakman

4199.6242627975225

Will Destiny talk with David Pakman again?

1693103821228

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.1944088303352953

True

play

YES

public

1672843177479

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is either on Pakman's show, or Pakman is on Destiny's stream by the end of the year. They must be actively discussing something live. Any clarifying questions will be answered in the comments.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1693103821228

570

Wobbles

1693060146958

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

28

0

https://firebasestorage.…b9d-c01b3a4bba37

16

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672843177994}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1693060146820

1693058783840

0.97

0.4954844333286348

wtwQBNuvt88sSJ6zILNG

{"NO": 169.50891362994085, "YES": 604.9160981055142}

0

will-this-market-close-at-an-odd-pe

1017.4173641840766

Will this market close at an odd percentage?

1673121540000

UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1

cpmm-1

0

1.2390830720453254

True

play

NO

public

1672843728363

Jonathan Ray

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The decimal part is truncated", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673121823997

350

JonathanRay

1673121539567

0

https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660

1

18

0

https://firebasestorage.…53d-a349c1cfd868

15

[{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1672843741337}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1672843729227}, {"name": "...

["gambling", "selfresolving", "fun"]

0.5

1673121539455

0.22

0.2655393214285749

ztKUfiBZlkUcl0Y6O3D8

{"NO": 387.6337139335426, "YES": 2281.6345096208706}

0

will-destiny-have-700k-subs-by-apri

5290.925799256236

Will Destiny have 700k subs by April?

1680325140000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

0.9226959601833702

True

play

NO

public

1672843873688

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Destiny channel reaches or exceeds 700k subscribers by April 1st 12:00am, 2023. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Helpful link", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://socialblade.com/youtube/user/dest...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680325670796

650

Wobbles

1680291599029

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

1

32

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…91c-ddbb0a23b7bf

24

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672843874164}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1680291598926

0.06

0.6616473767484223

8p0zOcrU162NHXjR2OWn

{"NO": 49.81049092366677, "YES": 3462.773062754323}

0

will-destiny-play-a-game-with-lilyp-6f415f031982

7989.741783140719

Will Destiny play a game with Lilypichu?

1704045000000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0.027704167053040747

1.7483896259412928

True

play

NO

public

1672844420071

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny plays a \"game\" with Lilypichu by the end of the year. A \"game\" is qualified by a mulitplayer game that is actively livestreamed. If a situation where the \"game\" they play is argueably a game but controversal, I will ha...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704244801579

985

Wobbles

1704244801964

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

55

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a7d-683cb877a7ec

24

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672844420840}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131285237}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.1253068808588068

0.5

1704000197488

1672844563619

0.03

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

0.817272021834366

raMuWGxexMZ6IlrNIreE

{"NO": 12681.493329927529, "YES": 977.7384984388905}

1

will-destiny-talk-to-anastasiya-thi

15019.69844221847

Will Destiny talk to Anastasiya this month?

1673989206558

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

0.5425225038547441

True

basic

YES

public

1672844703268

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny has a convo with Anastasiya on stream by Jan 31st at 11:59pm cst", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673989206558

1610

Wobbles

1673989201090

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

0

81

0

https://firebasestorage.…b51-ff10385d0d2d

71

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672844703806}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1673989200916

1673983015944

0.98

5DzIdrKhGBifmjDCmEOV

resolves-to-whichever-comment-has-t

6673.81489321148

Resolves to whichever comment has the most number of likes

1677628800000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.637637595655283

True

basic

63f3d446789b

public

1672844786570

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "title, also duplicates will not count", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1677634383404

1560

Wobbles

1677486941781

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

2

38

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "f4c9797834e4", "prob": 0.0020752924294105504, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.007571118645026507, "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 3.6406466157476864, "textFts": "", "contractId": "5DzIdrKhGBifmjDCmEOV", "createdTime": 1672844787031, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week...

1

https://firebasestorage.…2d9-ecc9a6a2e411

40

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1672844786896}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1672975490281}]

["fun", "nonpredictive-profits"]

False

1677486941608

1677208250514

{"63f3d446789b": 100}

True

0.2417950953586529

Pcr24JtOgDTageccaz8A

{"NO": 210.26324592743507, "YES": 3742.168142838003}

0

will-the-buffalo-bills-win-a-super

5127.1295099059425

Will the Buffalo Bills win a Super Bowl between January 1, 2023 and April 1, 2024?

1705891900394

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

cpmm-1

0

1.6438334589218222

True

play

NO

public

1672844931847

Dustin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Bills win in the Super Bowl taking place in 2023 or the one in 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1705891900394

470

Dustin

1705891901280

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c

1

24

0

https://firebasestorage.…8d6-06d323b937f5

11

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672844932359}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1705891641681

0.02

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

0.6464594349185694

UDiGpM1zFiD59L0MW5sj

{"NO": 33440.908434146215, "YES": 292.34885460594523}

1

will-destiny-talk-with-mrgirl-or-la

44170.503767709764

Will Destiny talk with MrGirl or Lav by the end of the year?

1678034815644

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

0.7823687500208569

True

basic

YES

public

1672845070840

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if he has a conversation on stream with either by Dec 31st 11:59pm cst", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1678034815644

1790

Wobbles

1680057855548

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

0

90

0

https://firebasestorage.…44e-5cff4463a2f6

55

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672845071320}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1678034811597

1678050872650

1

0.1803395184485344

sWrR3TiAJ7BIyrMYUEg1

{"NO": 333.3575297989378, "YES": 4729.27934211641}

0

will-the-minnesota-vikings-win-a-su

5846.341529315931

Will the Minnesota Vikings win a Super Bowl between January 1, 2023 and April 1, 2024?

1704681588449

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

cpmm-1

0.2415311204354715

1.48027039039509

True

play

NO

public

1672845188166

Dustin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Vikings win the Super Bowl in 2023 or 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704681588449

570

Dustin

1704681589156

1.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c

0

30

0

https://firebasestorage.…13d-aab7afc5f710

17

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672845188485}]

["sports-default"]

0.1896646077455709

0.5

1704662061637

1674102959333

0.02

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

0.47059774094873597

q5dOQXmlv4V7UV3tn8Hb

{"NO": 386.099193549463, "YES": 86.34920348611381}

0.7989829463329

xbox-vs-ps

2766.113136139592

Xbox vs PS

1673762340000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.9424191284437458

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672845282463

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes=Xbox", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No=PS", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to whichever side has the majority (Yes: >50%, No: <50%)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragr...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673804867935

210

Wobbles

1673805203617

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

10

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c17-2dee8b9ff7e1

10

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1672845283039}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1672980835292}]

["fun", "nonpredictive-profits"]

0.5

False

1673762325555

1673805201301

0.8

0.5840672937528919

nVTRt3Il0jfNlOImfaPR

{"NO": 408.00648943352166, "YES": 39.33695956132697}

1

will-this-resolution-council-propos

516.0855183861067

Will this resolution council proposal for the linked George Santos market work?

1672966743641

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0

3.41602807152882

True

play

YES

public

1672845357587

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is about how to resolve the following market:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/jack/will-george-santos-rny-begin-servin", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}, {"type": "p...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672966743641

110

jack

1672966738322

0

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

1

5

0

https://firebasestorage.…356-350bc04cca65

5

[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1672845357863}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 167284536...

["metaforecasting", "manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.5

1672940485302

1672966736017

0.94

0.29384797541982816

F4p4JmQKQkZTjpCy9Nhj

{"NO": 110.49608486331522, "YES": 13754.67625051877}

0

will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-a

19817.908411892102

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win a Super Bowl between January 1, 2023 and April 1, 2024?

1705422953789

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

cpmm-1

0

1.7856494237921479

True

play

NO

public

1672845457681

Dustin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Eagles win the Super Bowl in 2023 or 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1705422953789

510

Dustin

1705423254412

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c

28

0

https://firebasestorage.…b37-d95819ef412d

10

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672845458184}]

["sports-default"]

0.11425833779869597

0.5

1705379543102

1705423252822

0

MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2

0.1927812466325614

mWHRkUvUGfSuWUeEHN2m

{"NO": 340.33268914426935, "YES": 17647.664341743744}

0

will-russia-declare-partial-mobiliz-846f33e23f6b

31099.5087587012

Will Russia declare partial mobilization or travel ban before January 6, 2023? [500M subsidized]

1672952400000

kydVkcfg7TU4zrrMBRx1Csipwkw2

cpmm-1

0

1.2490965813703099

True

play

NO

public

1672846081742

Catnee

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves \"YES\" if Russian officials announce partial mobilization or an additional wide travel ban before 0:00 GMT+3 January 6, 2023. If partial mobilization or travel ban is not declared explicitly but it is obvious that some equival...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672952432710

750

Catnee

1672952609980

0

https://firebasestorage.…410-8015486d2017

2

14

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…596-4397a26c0a34

13

[{"name": "Russian Mobilization", "slug": "russian-mobilization", "userId": "kydVkcfg7TU4zrrMBRx1Csipwkw2", "groupId": "ezxIfUpZ3tFWftxcjGCP", "createdTime": 1672846081950}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182227141}]

["russian-mobilization", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.5

1672952306364

1672952606660

False

0

0.8709120858447356

Oz14RYL3fyA0Qnc9TEtw

{"NO": 2552.9891279600974, "YES": 323.66073384137843}

1

will-bing-have-a-chatbot-integrated

3028.3996700790876

Will Bing have a ChatBot integrated into search before Google?

1675915614853

ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23

cpmm-1

2.1298052030480603

True

play

YES

public

1672846089491

Reality Quotient

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to NA if neither integrate a ChatBot before 1/1/2025.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-01-01 12:00 am", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675915614853

450

RealityQuotient

1675882687780

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783

3

22

0

https://firebasestorage.…a6f-b95a5e36740c

24

[{"name": "AI Impacts", "slug": "ai-impacts", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "q3Su0NeV9ta4DqhqlIEq", "createdTime": 1672846110110}, {"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672846107189}, {"name": "Technology", "slug"...

["technology-default", "ai", "ai-impacts", "business"]

0.5

1675863526778

1675882684441

0.98

0.09478775135758916

WGUfLZdrNFZjkZUGWgho

{"NO": 303.8928927808674, "YES": 309.386225315074}

0

how-many-votes-will-jim-jordan-rece

205

How many votes will Jim Jordan receive on the fourth ballot of the 2023 election for speaker of the house?

1672851600000

zKUqnRKaECPoYdN5gWy72dYA6i92

cpmm-1

0

3.3105682291951064

True

play

MKT

public

1672846823590

Quantumcross

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market closes at noon when the house meeting reconvenes.", "type": "text"}]}]}

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672856660233

310

Quantumcross

1672857484243

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6uO1doZ-VD3ekQnF0d5SvIp5Rq0CJBrvS3HJ95FQ=s96-c

4

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…9ef-455de6ed0d9b

4

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "zKUqnRKaECPoYdN5gWy72dYA6i92", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672846824127}, {"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672962971883}]

["politics-default", "118th-congress"]

0.08968609865470852

1672849282900

1672857472959

0

0.3438947857227932

0B7ZRln974JfSVvn8YTg

{"NO": 265.86360218634024, "YES": 15.483476416047324}

1

will-xqc-beat-the-world-record-this

1548.1614437989329

will xqc beat the forsen this stream

1672851626700

O5ZcwsbGcIcYTvvertFlpEBwBH72

cpmm-1

0

2.602689685444385

True

play

YES

public

1672847578737

Dxcomx

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "this is for him beating forsen", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672851626700

290

Dxcomx

1672851624388

0

https://firebasestorage.…d69-6c0a97c8af17

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…026-3619773a1fff

14

[{"name": "xQc", "slug": "xqc", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "YMfPf8QA71hjsIQYoTvV", "createdTime": 1674852686434}, {"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "O5ZcwsbGcIcYTvvertFlpEBwBH72", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1672847579597}, {"name": "Forsen", "slug": "forsen"...

["gaming", "xqc", "forsen"]

0.5

1672851624274

0.68

0.6578767000739959

MHX6RX7XP7dWriHpp83p

{"NO": 17974.97965697544, "YES": 41.255495011309904}

1

will-t1-win-world-2023-this-year

22218.80770694163

Will T1 win World 2023 this year?

1702622267481

iIDUCIbJWDczrDPQMjzr57tAuVT2

cpmm-1

0

2.0098999910087625

True

play

YES

public

1672847854936

Duniel Bakkali

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/T1?so=search", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/T1?so=search", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " Current roster is ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1702622267481

490

DunielBakkali

1702621373825

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6VXxodwkNpuR-KCmsGoTgiYcJJPUwfbt0VZXJJsg=s96-c

1

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…dea-6133b4ebf662

7

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "iIDUCIbJWDczrDPQMjzr57tAuVT2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672847855921}, {"name": "LoL Worlds 2023", "slug": "lol-worlds-2023", "groupId": "f2e23064-eb7f-470f-825a-0b4115f9566e", "createdTime": 1699973047385}]

["sports-default", "lol-worlds-2023"]

0.5

1702621373660

1700491322544

1

hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3

0.8712172300314895

ze9C5KpuLFMXnpIzhoNp

{"NO": 2196.592581909015, "YES": 133.1915418040289}

1

manifold-leaderboard-will-anyone-ha

7095.670342376506

Manifold Leaderboard: Will anyone have Ṁ250,000 profit by the end of 2023?

1675728482107

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

4.057553621075379

True

play

YES

public

1672848880722

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES, if before the end of 2023, there is at least one user who holds Ṁ250,000 in profit for more than 24 hours.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://m...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675728482107

230

itsTomekK

1675728413735

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…ad9-590ee737dff3

10

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672848881120}]

["manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.5

1675727976709

1675728408932

0.99

0.27398599197569723

Ir0jYgSsLVM5SXKiVanE

{"NO": 1060.1635696644641, "YES": 789.8793498573021}

0.33621799303468236

will-there-be-5-thought-leaders-tha

822.3592871056688

Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?

1798790340000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

9.56907040272209

False

basic

public

1672849002974

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trading - not market creation. Does not include people who were already thought leaders before having a trading record.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thought leaders could roughly be approxi...

BINARY

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.04165153863469284}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.948145040611336, "platformFee": 0.0951260048237363, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1718887660038

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

2

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…f8c-f1fee2069aeb

5

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1672849003312}]

["predictions-on-predictions"]

0.5

1718887656897

1672852567066

0.12303398965589028

pSlEFCtgKX8GdfpeH79s

{"NO": 184.7724464207816, "YES": 3354.060180349444}

0

will-fred-upton-be-elected-speaker

3378.1494849352625

Will Fred Upton be elected Speaker of the House?

1673069988546

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

3.5493206395815076

True

play

NO

public

1672850099566

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Very popular retired GOP congressman has said he wouldn't rule it out. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673069988546

290

BTE

1673064216486

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…e5f-7ce09f34749e

11

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672850099782}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1673064216364

False

0.01

0.32436632800386783

Cdyh5K7IMRpv2fholc7W

{"NO": 249.32989624406144, "YES": 3070.2421008792976}

0

will-manifold-introduce-stop-orders

3371.6663779269347

Will Manifold introduce stop orders in 2023?

1704063540000

TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2

cpmm-1

0

1.0871273937068349

True

play

NO

public

1672850276373

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if, before the end of 2023, a regular user could set a stop order on Manifold markets.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A stop order...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704201073496

590

itsTomekK

1704201074748

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c

2

27

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…ba5-303eee1d40b5

7

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672850276785}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "userId": "ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "create...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704032066799

1704201069464

0.04

OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2

0.12796023004791343

ZUY9gxZUcMLtkK1BBiyc

{"NO": 209.77224325374232, "YES": 4236.463836613108}

0

will-the-next-us-speaker-of-the-hou

4322.037809257792

Will the next US Speaker of the House be a woman?

1673073705669

TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2

cpmm-1

0

3.073129476082527

True

play

NO

public

1672851399579

Alex...

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673073705669

330

AlexLiesman

1673073699950

0

https://firebasestorage.…972-756d2782adfc

1

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…3c0-eff11919f658

16

[{"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr", "createdTime": 1672884857135}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "cre...

["us-politics", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "118th-congress"]

0.5

1673073699834

1673070850933

0.01

0.2778135857365879

4OV7PWrqVfJZXTKe7AiS

{"NO": 1131.9161914315175, "YES": 5467.833141223531}

0

will-forsen-beat-xqcs-minecraft-rec

30805.619761929644

Will Forsen beat Xqc's minecraft record before the end of January?

1675209540000

9wiCP3idprb6wzPI0l6QWqgl5fs2

cpmm-1

0

0.3298281333772062

True

basic

NO

public

1672851851656

goldenes56

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675209613458

1810

goldenes56

1706921664165

0

https://firebasestorage.…806-54ee8951c593

3

92

0

https://firebasestorage.…355-bb2d39639597

68

[{"name": "Forsen", "slug": "forsen", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "KdICHFhCLmYkbESMaEq5", "createdTime": 1674852672679}, {"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "9wiCP3idprb6wzPI0l6QWqgl5fs2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1672851852539}, {"name": "xQc", "slug": "xqc"...

["gaming", "forsen", "xqc"]

0.5

1706921664165

1673912035965

0.07

0.5000000000000001

rJi6ajcooPuwqbLSZgAo

{"NO": 95, "YES": 26.31578947368422}

0.7830802603036876

will-forsen-try-to-beat-xqcs-new-mi

45

Will Forsen try to beat xQc's new Minecraft record before February?

1672856262430

WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1

cpmm-1

0

4.575477169754104

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672852028017

PieFreak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if Forsen boots up Minecraft", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves No if Forsen doesn't boot up Minecraft before February", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672856262430

50

PieFreak

1672852216704

0

https://firebasestorage.…08e-790c3a23fd6d

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…bbb-294f9918cab7

1

[{"name": "Forsen", "slug": "forsen", "userId": "WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1", "groupId": "KdICHFhCLmYkbESMaEq5", "createdTime": 1672852036713}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672852028515}, {"name": "xQc", "slug"...

["destinygg", "forsen", "xqc"]

0.5

1672852216516

0.78

0.7221048202457581

QvJS7LBqmspBwZafblYU

{"NO": 8704.645460595199, "YES": 95.43597423727078}

1

will-forsen-beat-xqcs-minecraft-rec-af54777f6f42

12513.992150769998

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft record in 2023?

1679526311691

WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1

cpmm-1

0

2.4045298798354358

True

play

YES

public

1672852175802

PieFreak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if Forsen beats xQc's Minecraft record", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves No if he doesn't", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Time to beat: 20:...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1679526311691

390

PieFreak

1679526262313

0

https://firebasestorage.…08e-790c3a23fd6d

20

0

https://firebasestorage.…78e-f6a13de8d1ed

9

[{"name": "Forsen", "slug": "forsen", "userId": "WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1", "groupId": "KdICHFhCLmYkbESMaEq5", "createdTime": 1672852449028}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672852176283}, {"name": "xQc", "slug"...

["destinygg", "forsen", "xqc"]

0.5

1679526262204

1679349331874

1

0.5169082057255215

nDXaEF4HohhhJfmSOooX

{"NO": 1336.1837045787997, "YES": 726.6364060993252}

0.6630252888114038

will-manifold-house-a-prediction-ma

1589.6665632644936

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

2240639940000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0.023211117687774695

9.485574162075167

False

basic

public

1672852894528

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Does not resolve positively if Manifold offers additional things you can trade mana for - trades themselves have to involve USD or another currency. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.5250977446767919, "platformFee": 0.5250977446767919, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1715747218286

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

5

52

0

https://firebasestorage.…93e-2d157f3ec048

8

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672852894906}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "cre...

["manifold-6748e065087e", "carsons-important-markets", "manifold-business-future"]

0.12739456417645403

0.5

1715747215025

1697936821577

0.7677835034628216

3gRR3iwy7Hfgazva4qis

{"NO": 20362.97559809685, "YES": 76.13926282917237}

1

will-destinys-subreddit-reach-173k

20324.62402829846

Will Destiny's subreddit reach 173k members by the end of January?

1673543193833

9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13

cpmm-1

0

2.1203202929288887

True

play

YES

public

1672853374179

johnleoks

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.reddit.com/r/Destiny/new/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.reddit.com/r/Destiny/new/", "class": null,...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673543193833

290

johnleoks

1710218509012

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c

0

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…d4c-3b2eae4d4bfa

14

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1673543187539

1673543402063

0.98

0.4562949459559267

0C5u4awiD11MFAV3RuPh

{"NO": 57.48945509384331, "YES": 2547.394091799916}

0

will-manifold-create-functionality

2569.187320232572

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to "highlight" or "pin" certain markets to their profile by end of 2023?

1704095940000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

2.279384246372164

True

play

NO

public

1672853412456

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Discussed in ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this feature request post", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/carsons-manifold-suggestions-202301", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704149570866

372

CarsonGale

1704149571080

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

5

22

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…cb7-136fc4dcd822

7

[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1672853412752}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtk...

["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704095285580

1679076414295

0.02

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

0.17381005660990784

oxdSsVDHN57KHIeB30jD

{"NO": 11.408302612126136, "YES": 21040.172347483724}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat

20968

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the fourth ballot?

1672856034306

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

9.325807525533762

True

play

NO

public

1672853646131

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672856034306

110

AndrewG

1672856027596

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…2aa-fa9d3217f83f

4

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853681272}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672853647124}, {"n...

["us-politics", "118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election"]

0.5

1672856027351

0

0.2138367133983038

6fPujkGFR7J0a7iqB1hT

{"NO": 16.798314982988813, "YES": 22242.199020218202}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-92b2b80bd6b1

22147

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the fifth ballot?

1672865192670

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

5.871346747417555

True

play

NO

public

1672853670218

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672865192670

110

AndrewG

1672865188854

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…bfa-f34679e762ad

4

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853684463}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672853670714}, {"n...

["us-politics", "118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election"]

0.5

1672865188745

0

0.2072863674427665

AU46FkJOd1J31AlfqSOR

{"NO": 22.562786395836156, "YES": 21665.97582686497}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-037b6cd80f0a

21739.927577156654

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the sixth ballot?

1672867599469

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

5.248919375811412

True

play

NO

public

1672853723119

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672867599469

150

AndrewG

1672867592483

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…9d5-569146d40a19

6

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853723344}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1672867592300

False

0.01

0.138972088565918

gJCL68izhJ69Im5GXDxa

{"NO": 92.70716701937272, "YES": 20615.023298610846}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-a9d1e1a52f45

20707.532950638382

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the seventh ballot?

1672945724959

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

3.3303944084175745

True

play

NO

public

1672853735199

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672945724959

230

AndrewG

1672945715478

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…c7a-45397add76f2

9

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853735419}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1672945715362

False

0.01

0.1389615043112106

L5jKBuMAeDoBIzEyPZ59

{"NO": 75.60536742486147, "YES": 20240.4663775734}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-28118dd24baa

20616.098174315754

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the eighth ballot?

1672948556387

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

3.943806211572222

True

play

NO

public

1672853743217

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672948556387

190

AndrewG

1672948508452

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

9

0

https://firebasestorage.…533-0b8b13b06139

8

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853743440}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1672948508298

False

0.01

0.19127779481752

Uf0SMnJWzHYvycbC1dcF

{"NO": 40.77354096042836, "YES": 20509.882400516253}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-f15bc5ccbff2

20861.21997665379

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the ninth ballot?

1672962344395

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

4.10906024505

True

play

NO

public

1672853750554

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672962344395

150

AndrewG

1672962339575

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…361-eae3873b494b

7

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853750795}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1672962339411

False

0.01

0.18081964419663396

B5Ej4l5DkaddE5Ctt1VH

{"NO": 44.17269504932847, "YES": 19394.179564907998}

0

will-the-speaker-of-the-united-stat-eb1d343ae1d1

19578.398442941423

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the tenth ballot?

1672962365998

H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2

cpmm-1

0

4.2397846402815516

True

play

NO

public

1672853757679

Andrew G

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672962365998

150

AndrewG

1672962362266

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…413-31605a412dc2

6

[{"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672853757887}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr"...

["118th-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"]

0.5

1672962362150

False

0.02

0.4063758236989495

tRho8pI2gK51DzDEfr4i

{"NO": 912.4318939188844, "YES": 1113.1916049072895}

0.3594295177821431

will-the-us-investment-banking-prof

1246.676021594754

Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

1767254340000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0

9.739566170751875

False

basic

public

1672853781274

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Requires at least 3 articles from traditionally reputable news organizations reporting that some investment bankers have lost income, job security, or hiring velocity as a result of AI-based automation.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {...

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.8135785111870858, "platformFee": 0.5985233536084449, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1716935842206

0

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

0

31

0

https://firebasestorage.…9da-d76aa907fc1b

8

[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672853781592}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 1673584907253}...

["ai", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.10684488991395774

0.5

1716935838717

1672857955658

0.5393457674153123

Vt5H2E5rjTtjZaEUN9Wk

{"NO": 737.1846217572574, "YES": 1258.7594966305849}

0.4067699476771945

will-the-us-consulting-profession-b

2135.899984880068

Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

1767254340000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

1.7314829084512394e-16

9.70333057114036

False

basic

public

1672853810139

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Requires at least 3 articles from traditionally reputable news organizations reporting that some U.S. consultants have lost income, job security, or hiring velocity as a result of AI-based automation.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"t...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": -0.10464214210810435, "month": -0.07469663280587308}

0

{"creatorFee": 10.981168298816785, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

CarsonGale

1720086068141

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

41

1

https://firebasestorage.…dfc-cd672d26f692

7

[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672853810563}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 1673584907255}...

["ai", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.10963535602961001

0.5

1720086064475

1720086045900

0.18666704196825373

ogDH2ws0c4ZbqbX808k8

{"NO": 176.205250597126, "YES": 48165.61448199563}

0

will-disney-acquire-roblox-in-2023

48509.86751629207

Will Disney acquire Roblox in 2023?

1704083527034

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

cpmm-1

0.007770367269330436

0.6187423091406732

True

play

NO

public

1672853834215

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704083527034

550

Predictor

1704083527668

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e

1

27

0

https://firebasestorage.…2fc-de04d37ce49e

19

[{"name": "Business", "slug": "business", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1672856895441}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672853834760}, {"name": ...

["technology-default", "business", "wall-street-bets", "roblox", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.12685857523493557

0.5

1704083522170

0

ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2

0.7320598884837151

0aoeJgwTsdA3ub166M1j

{"NO": 1838.738517954756, "YES": 2021.8246925137987}

0.7130366196570826

will-the-us-software-engineering-pr

15427.20451301051

Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

1767254340000

4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1

cpmm-1

0.0624750121219334

8.436863301640514

False

basic

public

1672853841142

Carson Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Requires at least 3 articles from traditionally reputable news organizations reporting that some U.S. software engineers have lost income, job security, or hiring velocity as a result of AI-based automation.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.046392241773828835}

0

{"creatorFee": 132.3434615014454, "platformFee": 0.4592375713590918, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1995

CarsonGale

1718389417765

2.8

https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae

5

168

0

https://firebasestorage.…f73-8fbb46473b7b

10

[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1672853841436}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "createdTime": 1673584907256}...

["ai", "carsons-important-markets"]

0.1531890651895336

0.5

1718389414619

1716554141243