p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5967529344335792 | TKxbv8co7ZQLCVz4xMo6 | {"NO": 709.6806090462287, "YES": 70.42561283214143} | 1 | will-the-phillies-make-it-to-the-wo | 667.3083265754825 | Will the Phillies make it to the World Series? | 1666564658015 | Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4124679041211023 | True | play | YES | public | 1666520618338 | Nicola Wilson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666564658015 | 220 | njmkw | 1666564652460 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1666520618775}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1666564651157 | 1666520668717 | 0.9213902614788281 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3225945376896391 | F9ylwWOZOsaak9lG8hsU | {"NO": 166.17866398534727, "YES": 333.631247795324} | 1 | will-the-chicago-bears-beat-the-new | 259.0561836953338 | Will the Chicago Bears beat the New England Patriots on Monday night? | 1666656900000 | uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8473636373089979 | True | play | YES | public | 1666527776575 | BCG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "New England is at home and favored by 8 points.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666671713889 | 220 | BruceGrugett | 1666611911480 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1666527776917}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1666611910230 | 1666532968915 | 0.19172402169846114 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45891487254661195 | A0q0ikKaf13Zjl2fzjrP | {"NO": 212.8468444656401, "YES": 227.1530137013266} | 0.4428106488145389 | will-a-technocrat-be-elected-us-pre | 53.930609633310524 | Will a technocrat be elected US president by 2040? | 2209093140000 | LL69HyPeYHOXor9tq3PUAxoteWo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666538417672 | ThatGuy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will be resolved as ideas develop", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | ThatGuy | 1685299848579 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2wWIiCQcBRL2yz0JcauraVEV67z955HMcvShdD=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "LL69HyPeYHOXor9tq3PUAxoteWo1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1666538418135}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1685299848420 | 1666557307152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4777655704119939 | yKeQ0vgiC4IIJTvTeNDv | {"NO": 233.45456969117978, "YES": 336.8290952123525} | 0 | will-submit-50-job-applications-by | 261.4324467027038 | Will I submit 50 job applications by October 30? | 1667188740000 | 080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.24401821102995 | True | play | NO | public | 1666541468173 | Tom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "This question resolves to YES if I submit at least 50 job applications by market close. It resolves NO if I have not submitted 50 job applications by 11:59PM EST on Oct... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667230097834 | 280 | toms | 1667233457570 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666541468702}, {"name": "Tom's Personal", "slug": "toms-personal", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "0q20dXTEOxJjyDc5z4Rx", "createdTime": 1677478501159}... | ["personal-goals", "toms-personal"] | 0.5 | 1667152729392 | 1667233454996 | 0.3880338049398503 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.556392740908634 | s5R94CKJ1frKVMzUsBcw | {"NO": 237.79626653881778, "YES": 396.4225518480863} | 0 | will-i-write-a-post-on-lesswrong-or | 327.3381021335496 | Will I write a post on LessWrong or the EA Forum by November 6, 2022? | 1667797140000 | 080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1379863355197715 | True | play | NO | public | 1666542281025 | Tom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "This question resolves to YES if I write and post a post on LessWrong or the EA Forum by market close. This question resolves NO if at market close I have not posted a ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667870575492 | 320 | toms | 1667792159076 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666542281515}, {"name": "Tom's Personal", "slug": "toms-personal", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "0q20dXTEOxJjyDc5z4Rx", "createdTime": 1677478495387}... | ["personal-goals", "toms-personal"] | 0.5 | 1667792158873 | 1666562840830 | 0.42934314236260773 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.576088825061581 | LbBbByGixyMBf0IRS4kt | {"NO": 423.13494507852346, "YES": 282.24713861672205} | 0 | will-i-get-my-philosophy-paper-to-t | 392.1124535438982 | Will I get my philosophy paper to ten pages by October 30, 2022? | 1667188740000 | 080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.070432474207197 | True | play | NO | public | 1666545548906 | Tom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "This question resolves to YES if I get my current draft of my final paper for my philosophy class to ten pages before market close. It resolves NO if the current draft ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667230066545 | 340 | toms | 1667174487053 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666545549364}, {"name": "Tom's Personal", "slug": "toms-personal", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "0q20dXTEOxJjyDc5z4Rx", "createdTime": 1677478490498}... | ["personal-goals", "toms-personal"] | 0.5 | 1667174486949 | 1666545707482 | 0.670764763754147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | y8PbZLDBjD5l2OswqMWJ | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | what-will-i-wear-to-the-first-proof | 0 | What will I wear to the first Proof School dance? | 1666556237262 | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7725887222397816 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666556222367 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last year I wore a black tuxedo jacket and a white skirt + hoop skirt to the school dance. I currently have no idea what I'm gonna wear this year!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anyone has... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666556237262 | 100 | JoshuaB | 1666556283388 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1666556222780}] | ["proofniks"] | 0.5 | 1666556279205 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x0UgJae2DERDA4J4sJV3 | what-will-i-wear-to-the-first-proof-41d15a8cdbe0 | 816.6485154439206 | What will I wear to the first Proof School dance of the 2022-2023 school year? | 1681432200000 | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.714240617449534 | True | play | 1a62e1e849b3 | public | 1666556389726 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last year I wore a black tuxedo jacket and a white skirt + hoop skirt to the school dance. I currently have no idea what I'm gonna wear this year!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anyone has... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681865147296 | 759.9999999999999 | JoshuaB | 1681865952383 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "7d3d1c9b8c60", "prob": 0.04352029660443879, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.5897592002320419, "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 12.96160065359511, "textFts": "", "contractId": "x0UgJae2DERDA4J4sJV3", "createdTime": 1666556390250, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1666556390129}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670467780610}, {"name": "Proof Dance", "slug... | ["proofniks", "fun", "proof-dance"] | 1681417546314 | 1681865948781 | {"1a62e1e849b3": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4003506481608781 | UpWu8SUquKnALq2FiyFe | {"NO": 194.98757796487442, "YES": 519.974490000643} | 0 | with-regard-to-trumps-subpoena-by-t | 412.71181564273775 | With regard to Trump's subpoena by the Jan 6th Committee, will he show up to testify either at the Capitol or by videoconference at 10 a.m. ET on Nov. 14 as requested? | 1668438000000 | G3S3nhcGWhPU3WEtlUYbAH4tv7f1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3274227092361706 | True | play | NO | public | 1666557519909 | AGG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668520766728 | 300 | AGG | 1668437973540 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "G3S3nhcGWhPU3WEtlUYbAH4tv7f1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666557520578}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1668437973360 | 1666557586556 | 0.20023148838405588 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
P472I6wrCcYTTfXPLsn3 | who-will-be-the-first-person-on-mar | 263.3669650604335 | Who will be the first person on Mars? | 1893409200000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666559173063 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc"} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1884104837648706, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 580 | NcyRocks | 1716917334861 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "e56a3904a985", "prob": 0.3705601395975189, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.42208415841535, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 31.292070684100516, "textFts": "", "contractId": "P472I6wrCcYTTfXPLsn3", "createdTime": 1666559173259, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0.0... | 10 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1666606850381}, {"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1687638627215}] | ["space", "mars"] | 1716917330751 | 1685351099498 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.60482210333595 | 0f1k1sgs6B20shSGKYtH | {"NO": 273.87214339150586, "YES": 111.42305786257396} | 1 | will-videogamedunkey-upload-a-new-v | 116.52293189327246 | Will videogamedunkey upload a new video between now and November? | 1666641015740 | M5sBWwGWx2bfKcTM3ZaBF2sCSNz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1354752543310407 | True | play | YES | public | 1666560658433 | Quate | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Began roughly at Oct 23, 2022 05:30 pm EST.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YouTube channel: videogamedunkey", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666641015740 | 180 | Quate | 1666638023376 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FQuateLPs%2FHLrYojg0m_.23?alt=media&token=c0bfc992-7d7a-461a-aa70-265fc50b25a3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "M5sBWwGWx2bfKcTM3ZaBF2sCSNz2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1666560658856}] | ["entertainment"] | 0.5 | 1666638023186 | 1666560732012 | 0.79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3971838294727408 | MIBsJyvjuDa8GCHUhSTR | {"NO": 337.18657778295295, "YES": 126.76576371224274} | 0.6470588235294117 | taco-tuesday-1025-how-many-people-w | 171.88337478265953 | Taco Tuesday 10/25: How many people will come? | 1666767540000 | igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6186790093409091 | True | play | MKT | public | 1666561985308 | Austin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Join us for Taco Tuesday! We'll start cooking at 6:30pm, eating at 7pm. Drinks, desserts, and especially new friends are always welcome~", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Special this week: We'v... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666802595996 | 240 | Austin | 1666755847941 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "SF Events", "slug": "sf-events", "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "groupId": "qSQNlQOaDWJhZJESqY12", "createdTime": 1666561985606}] | ["sf-events"] | 0.2352941176470588 | 1666755847759 | 1666562015480 | 0.6470588235294117 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38987352810777454 | 1Gde8QaByYdRlbKeqesL | {"NO": 312.79822453202246, "YES": 2161.192132518859} | 0 | will-the-phillies-win-the-world-ser | 4311.31373887302 | Will the Phillies win the World Series? | 1667707140000 | Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.785650024926184 | True | play | NO | public | 1666564750601 | Nicola Wilson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667726575703 | 700 | njmkw | 1678655846104 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 23 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1666564751064}, {"name": "Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1667078581231}] | ["sports-default", "baseball"] | 0.5 | 1667706335724 | 1678655843769 | 0.08465624554065565 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8640388398167639 | aDbucBn0FsHsphacfbRu | {"NO": 702.5897655663562, "YES": 74.59681797837546} | 1 | will-construction-on-penlink-begin-437d3ef8fe6c | 903.9874371066206 | Will construction on Penlink begin before 2024? | 1704020400000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.265068543817183 | True | play | YES | public | 1666569970345 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " claims construction's set to begin in 2022, wh... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704066565233 | 160 | NcyRocks | 1704066565449 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | [{"name": "O Mahurangi-Penlink", "slug": "o-mahurangipenlink", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "sqeRAdhxbRydyUh2fZjS", "createdTime": 1667686572301}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128877565}] | ["o-mahurangipenlink", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1701581660402 | 1692749042547 | 0.98 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2964482225201893 | XcueQFAPM2HHf5rlf8eG | {"NO": 618.1585575302597, "YES": 4558.383401688891} | 0 | hardesty | 3656.062095754715 | Will Jo Ann Hardesty be reelected to Portland city council? | 1667980740000 | 5XMvQhA3YgcTzyoJRiNqGWyuB9k2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.5366504468588644 | True | basic | NO | public | 1666573098829 | Daniel Reeves | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The challenger is Rene Gonzalez.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-08 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668009866212 | 1180 | dreev | 1667979121502 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "5XMvQhA3YgcTzyoJRiNqGWyuB9k2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666573099889}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1667979121402 | 1666573161185 | 0.05405168408200703 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.597983338228027 | v5aiqOrfwdPDw6nFco3w | {"NO": 1403.0079793614689, "YES": 894.3929886187542} | 0.7000000000000001 | will-xi-jinping-continue-to-lead-ch | 9402.117940249322 | Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028? | 1862024340000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.610595366654282 | False | basic | public | 1666573274875 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Xi Jinping ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "secured a historic 3rd term", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://apnews.com/article/xi-jinping-china-beijing-government-and-politics-21fa1812435b563f2532effb4fe5758e", "cla... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.08235614520452805, "month": 0.08235614520452805} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.06415641915155, "platformFee": 1.84177035466173, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1095 | jack | 1720084339384 | 0 | 5 | 60 | 3 | 14 | [{"name": "Who does Xi think he is?", "slug": "who-does-xi-think-he-is", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "GPloP7NvYNOoTpTWZhpJ", "createdTime": 1666573275306}, {"name": "Chinese Politics", "slug": "chinese-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "v6naCMPo0bZDsej1tNlq", "crea... | ["who-does-xi-think-he-is", "chinese-politics", "global-macro", "china", "xi-jinping", "metaculus"] | 0.5 | 1720084333715 | 1706586160667 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5199100896823323 | msneoAxiWQ03eYSc1lrL | {"NO": 574.1643028481378, "YES": 207.26243686913196} | 0.7500000000000004 | there-any-life-forms-in-the-solar-s | 1478.0174399916048 | There are life forms in the solar system, other than those on Earth and those that descended from those on Earth since ~1920 | 1666829798301 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1289082119295344 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666581613168 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "faK7OAmuYKbVTynbZFW2,ZVcu0WNnnhxuXWDHbTUe,PISpA7vcuUtOYFLqotNk"}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666829798301 | 340 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1666830053074 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1666581637447}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1666581613551}, {"name": "Science", "slug": "sc... | ["olivia", "space", "science-default"] | 0.5 | 1666785706911 | 1666830049278 | 0.7500000000000004 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2280177727910817 | 6BKOg2xOgiW4dtTJral5 | {"NO": 956.8412455331645, "YES": 1063.1855896404445} | 0.21000000000000016 | will-the-fda-approve-a-fully-autono | 383.6528011721476 | Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030? | 1893423660000 | lER4O8rdmaWMADfeGtrX9AnRQr33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.64869715060189 | False | basic | public | 1666582361078 | Bjorn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Device operation must be independent of clinician (i.e. set it and forget it).", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | brp | 1686091940621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxtYDlRw1cr-LgN0-dvK5JVutQ9Uj0nUQlh6Ykz1A=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "lER4O8rdmaWMADfeGtrX9AnRQr33", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1666582361454}] | ["medicine"] | 0.5 | 1686091939384 | 1666583574176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6605169622701569 | GvnJyJJChBE1KTaH2lXz | {"NO": 1000.6454322987302, "YES": 984.2430323242297} | 0.6642131389498386 | will-us-life-expectancy-recover-fro | 7615.952794693038 | Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029? | 1893423540000 | lER4O8rdmaWMADfeGtrX9AnRQr33 | cpmm-1 | 1.0004123471051605e-15 | 9.485883230767161 | False | basic | public | 1666583322749 | Bjorn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"YES\" if the CDC-published life expectancy at birth for 2029 exceeds that of 2019, \"NO\" if it does not (or is equal to within 0.1 years). If the CDC no longer publishes life expectancy figures in 2030, resolution will ... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 0.006073004789885483, "month": -0.02578686105016148} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 68.61786582496406, "platformFee": 32.36565310780968, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | brp | 1720077490895 | 0.1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxtYDlRw1cr-LgN0-dvK5JVutQ9Uj0nUQlh6Ykz1A=s96-c | 2 | 31 | 2 | 11 | [{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "userId": "lER4O8rdmaWMADfeGtrX9AnRQr33", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1666583323170}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1683032546495}] | ["longevity", "ancient-markets"] | 0.10169413535623203 | 0.5 | 1720077487820 | 1711038508298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4115919390152349 | HIBq1afqpq1KXsf7p9fT | {"NO": 178.29227161006858, "YES": 226.71846803582193} | 0.3548762300153142 | will-construction-on-penlink-finish | 191.91527617289938 | Will construction on Penlink finish before 2027? | 1798714800000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666584369717 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I almost feel stupid asking whether ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "a multi-year construction project", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 ... | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | NcyRocks | 1700691808615 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "O Mahurangi-Penlink", "slug": "o-mahurangipenlink", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "sqeRAdhxbRydyUh2fZjS", "createdTime": 1667686572300}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 16... | ["o-mahurangipenlink", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1700691808427 | 1666584403955 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2957260465410184 | 4ebr6h0qXBQP99GHNXRj | {"NO": 223.47323515703732, "YES": 497.2989994982448} | 0 | will-my-measured-weight-be-5-lower | 472.56929501160255 | Will I lose 8.2 lbs or more (164.7→156.5lbs) after 30 days of a low-dose potassium trial? | 1669170943238 | M5sBWwGWx2bfKcTM3ZaBF2sCSNz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5107287562608014 | True | play | NO | public | 1666585430976 | Quate | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll be trying SLIME MOLD TIME MOLD's \"", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Low-Dose Potassium Community Trial\" ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2022/10/15/low-dose-potassium-community-trial-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669170943238 | 300 | Quate | 1669170959931 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FQuateLPs%2FHLrYojg0m_.23?alt=media&token=c0bfc992-7d7a-461a-aa70-265fc50b25a3 | 11 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "M5sBWwGWx2bfKcTM3ZaBF2sCSNz2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1666585431419}, {"name": "Slime Mold Time Mold (SMTM)", "slug": "slime-mold-time-mold", "userId": "M5sBWwGWx2bfKcTM3ZaBF2sCSNz2", "groupId": "7Lcv3ohmGO8LGXWOymi1", "createdTime": ... | ["science-default", "slime-mold-time-mold"] | 0.5 | 1667612249892 | 1669170957967 | 0.15873992155007557 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35979759593429267 | LJwzEf3w99FsTwCXEM9W | {"NO": 967.4706204175178, "YES": 1009.7736981270186} | 0.35 | will-there-be-kessler-syndrome-befo | 2099.4195373500443 | Will there be Kessler Syndrome before 2053? | 2619324000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.912344033130715 | False | basic | public | 1666589644987 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves YES if we have experienced ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Kessler syndrome", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 br... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.07733174959916178} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.065223829555848, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1720132720297 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1666589645361}, {"name": "Kessler Syndrome", "slug": "kessler-syndrome", "groupId": "77072d56-fdaf-4b0b-86e5-34d9fec6f03f", "createdTime": 1701568288723}] | ["space", "kessler-syndrome"] | 0.5 | 1720132717196 | 1692792992224 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3985583049169009 | QgGouxu46OAaxQjAEqPf | {"NO": 49.859436106441315, "YES": 3016.179951711927} | 0 | will-ethusd-be-more-volatile-over-2 | 2815.1741218054135 | Will ETH/USD be more volatile over 2023 than over 2022? | 1704088740000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8154078864695267 | True | play | NO | public | 1666589889228 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the volatility of ETH/USD, as measured by root-mean-square of day-over-day log returns, is greater over 2023 than over 2022. I will likely run the calculation myself using Yahoo finance data, or some other data source if that is una... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704126250333 | 320 | BoltonBailey | 1704126250669 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1666589889550}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "crea... | ["crypto-prices", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703023750714 | 1704064573054 | 0.01 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11279840759609551 | GZmslMlhKDkmkcWioP66 | {"NO": 923.0624976687345, "YES": 1176.9243383019527} | 0.0906740100615231 | will-i-live-forever | 1602.4312202215287 | Will I live forever? | 253402318740000 | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.134283354865111 | False | basic | public | 1666597762927 | Bionic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves YES if, at some time in the next few millenia, I am extremely confident to be immortal: (1) won't expect to die, and (2) won't expect entropy to be an issue in 10**100 years, etc.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "c... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.013956109182647114} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2059319862660813, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BionicD0LPH1N | 1719354342185 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 18 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1666597763479}, {"name": "\"Life Insurance\"", "slug": "life-insurance", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "L8SBNLgBRvMFOceszGqO", "createdTime": 1668876786048}] | ["ai", "life-insurance"] | 0.5 | 1719354338961 | 1680983217235 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28619624974426316 | fnjg4dz3lsouiW7CTL7S | {"NO": 1097.408429466683, "YES": 951.3992694566681} | 0.3162287880488991 | will-i-be-alive-by-2100 | 7124.7727229883 | Will I be alive by 2100? | 4105141140000 | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.606939753905124 | False | basic | public | 1666597859070 | Bionic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves YES if I'm still alive by 2100. If I'm dead, this question will resolve NO, somehow.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "FYI I am currently 20 years old and in relatively go... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.01619337205804361, "month": 0.04881663294196498} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.7900666592065395, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1070 | BionicD0LPH1N | 1719983196321 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 1 | 23 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1697878760946}, {"name": "💀 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1697878764785}] | ["personal", "death-markets"] | 0.5 | 1719983193166 | 1700776341709 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7341806862368628 | NofQeYA68lKNtnfarQ0Z | {"NO": 4595.047052159842, "YES": 116.66645908939051} | 1 | will-any-iteration-of-oprnais-gpt-m | 4250.432018579902 | Will any iteration of OpenAI’s GPT models be multimodal by 2030? | 1678845777438 | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.358124077129033 | True | play | YES | public | 1666597981943 | Bionic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Oct 24, 3:53am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will any iteration of OprnAI’s GPT models be multimodal by 2030?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will any iteration of OpenAI’s GPT models be multimodal by 2030?", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678845777438 | 360 | BionicD0LPH1N | 1678845749144 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1666597982412}] | ["ai"] | 0.5 | 1678845748990 | 1678815374590 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49205147615442824 | UiFrTEZkMxlXa6Grhtvw | {"NO": 110.90909090909088, "YES": 130.00000000000003} | 0.4524886877828051 | will-construction-on-penlink-finish-f154faaeadf3 | 10 | Will construction on Penlink finish before 2030? | 1893409200000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666598770529 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This would give the council 3 extra years to build ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this dang bridge", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink/", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:under... | BINARY | {"day": -3.885780586188048e-16, "week": -3.885780586188048e-16, "month": -3.885780586188048e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | NcyRocks | 1680738005363 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "O Mahurangi-Penlink", "slug": "o-mahurangipenlink", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "sqeRAdhxbRydyUh2fZjS", "createdTime": 1667686561704}] | ["o-mahurangipenlink"] | 0.5 | 1680738005260 | 1666598860312 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6309001701248589 | hb9zjBJoGG3tVwU7EBrQ | {"NO": 1040.4494766591458, "YES": 957.6184024977754} | 0.6499999999999998 | if-china-attacks-taiwan-will-they-f | 3926.1027208901373 | If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month? | 1896242340000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.488883442985202 | False | basic | public | 1666600925076 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-70... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.002400060696484241} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.75830639751308, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1718719923442 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1666600925494}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182237335}, {"name": "China Taiwan potential conflict", "slug": "china-taiwan-p... | ["world-default", "china", "china-taiwan-potential-conflict"] | 0.5 | 1718719920344 | 1710236707694 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6779605100279618 | UJ2tebstea25W8q2ICmv | {"NO": 7226.232986502493, "YES": 32.99750311378284} | 1 | will-xi-jinping-be-an-elector-in-th | 7208.59268260883 | Will Xi Jinping be an elector in the 2023 chairman election of China? | 1674298489295 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4881950775225485 | True | play | YES | public | 1666602315909 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Xi Jinping be a 'People's Representative' of the 14th National People's Congress, which is to elect the chairman of China in March 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1674298489295 | 200 | XComhghall | 1674298462055 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1666602316389}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1674198392707}] | ["world-default", "free-money"] | 0.5 | 1674298461905 | 1674198356558 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8116893121209527 | EiNQCYVSGtl1oetdqkf9 | {"NO": 15173.812799582767, "YES": 197.58175420500083} | 1 | will-xi-jinping-continue-his-reign | 16287.830775721857 | Will Xi Jinping continue his reign at the 2023 chairman election of China? | 1678596239727 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6658982766533743 | True | play | YES | public | 1666602655947 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Xi Jinping continue another term as the chairman of China at the 14th National People's Congress in March 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678596239727 | 480 | XComhghall | 1678596203491 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1666602656484}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691180723697}] | ["world-default", "china"] | 0.5 | 1678595895361 | 1678596200328 | False | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36877489221600956 | 3fYs4z3eZFxEEn5m6rak | {"NO": 202.0816999493588, "YES": 3044.0107618708116} | 0 | zal-het-om-voor-2024-proberen-de-fv | 5548.469026418249 | Zal het OM voor 2024 proberen FvD te verbieden? | 1704063540000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1413721714545915 | True | play | NO | public | 1666605225688 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Deze markt wordt met ja afgesloten als het OM een zaak begint en de strafeis van het OM een verbod of ontbinding van FvD omvat. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Oct 24, 9:36pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Zal het ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704075872437 | 600 | WieDan | 1704075872865 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666605237325}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime"... | ["nederland", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704027463968 | 1666605309455 | 0.04 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4601722603763407 | M7JIS1itu7y0o1fPvRJ7 | {"NO": 152.71497475414935, "YES": 1426.2287824276414} | 0 | gaat-de-pvv-de-provinciale-staten-w | 3211.6269958163716 | Gaat de PVV de Provinciale Staten winnen? | 1678906800000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.220099010841334 | True | play | NO | public | 1666605931751 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Deze vraag wordt met ja beantwoord als de PVV de grootste partij wordt in de 1e kamer. Als het aantal zetels gelijk is met een andere partij wordt gekeken naar het percentage van de landelijke stemmen. Publicatie van de kiesraad is leidend. ", "typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678922194527 | 440 | WieDan | 1678886221515 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666605932196}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1678886221338 | 1675162012879 | 0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gDAbrhvuft1xSeZn87rx | who-will-become-the-next-president-4a887567f42c | 781.7163322704708 | Poland: Who will be the next President after Duda? | 1761951540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1666606054365 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7697685706800677, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 116.7163322704709 | 1000 | itsTomekK | 1720221754810 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 13 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1b7a7ae294eb", "prob": 0.21559519791587045, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.632376350476392, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 53.23730020969559, "textFts": "", "contractId": "gDAbrhvuft1xSeZn87rx", "createdTime": 1666606055156, "probChanges": {"day": -0.9773870767... | 6 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J"}, {"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "groupId": "Tnqa2ZTn9jMpD7wSBWGJ"}, {"name": "L... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "tomeks-specials", "leaders", "poland", "polska"] | 1720221751198 | 1701425348515 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39920472776488586 | gqoZUAFrYG0en37KGDpb | {"NO": 178.19922107595738, "YES": 807.9613044321501} | 0 | gaan-de-groningse-gasvelden-deze-wi | 1378.730924033888 | Gaan de Groningse gasvelden deze winter open? | 1681652935181 | q5BZmeurzxVoDxhQUBTwmMlwmRv1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3100286567015926 | True | play | NO | public | 1666606771269 | EHenk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681653166044 | 340 | EHenk | 1681032520478 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1EJBy_ZuG6I2grKnurkchgJOqvt0DlzhLUibRJ=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666606856278}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1681032519341 | 1678997678832 | 0.13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44301730121926153 | XpgxABVwzjRCZlzOr2RZ | {"NO": 145.0926514012208, "YES": 2977.9745980462385} | 0 | gaan-pvda-en-groenlinks-fuseren-voo | 4018.937793556589 | Gaan PvdA en Groenlinks fuseren voor 2024 | 1704063540000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0.1449307908248961 | 1.2426922505022042 | True | play | NO | public | 1666606831998 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704075863697 | 655 | WieDan | 1704075864117 | 2.2 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 18 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666606832370}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132281752}] | ["nederland", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.1464842825678978 | 0.5 | 1704027545194 | 1681566664453 | 0.04 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41710624017023945 | 5G3wWbnu516QeqillykI | {"NO": 47.93651855978692, "YES": 1148.1188368591859} | 0 | will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-2022-wo | 1569.2279268306154 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship? | 1667118996105 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8449958547192744 | True | play | NO | public | 1666606897096 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship is an over-the-board chess tournament that is scheduled to take place in the Berjaya Reykjavik Natura Hotel in Iceland, from 25-30 October, 2022. The prize fund for the tournament is $400,000 USD. Ei... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667118996105 | 200 | itsTomekK | 1667118982422 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1666606904881}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1666606897381}, {"name": "Sports", "slu... | ["polymarket", "chess", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1667118978923 | 1666606943762 | 0.0626372364644912 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40589398245016073 | DLxYEJRdS1nNEwhSE2YO | {"NO": 112.63633138861383, "YES": 404.68822776645004} | 0 | will-arbitrum-airdrop-a-native-toke | 361.1764821773705 | Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? | 1672527540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9371713424230792 | True | play | NO | public | 1666607020973 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a market on whether Arbitrum (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://bridge.arbitrum.io/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://bridge.arbitrum.io/", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywher... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672659632894 | 200 | itsTomekK | 1671664008100 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1666607021386}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666607037523}] | ["polymarket", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1671664008002 | 1666607072246 | 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WEvpn66vZI53FLEhcTDL | who-will-be-the-next-president-of-u | 51 | Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy? [parimutuel] | 1888181940000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666607261609 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 380 | itsTomekK | 1710456576811 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "200f2171eac6", "prob": 0.4385772553835358, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 46.51632569489767, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 59.54554852203849, "textFts": "", "contractId": "WEvpn66vZI53FLEhcTDL", "createdTime": 1666607262050, "probChanges": {"day": -0.561422744616... | 4 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J"}, {"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6"}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "sl... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "ukraine", "ancient-markets", "who-will-be-next"] | 1698969069546 | 1703004950603 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4053877484035336 | RmeMCTsirOsGoyfUWeJU | {"NO": 41.368908110077996, "YES": 739.9090909090908} | 0 | komt-de-inflatie-in-oktober-boven-d | 619 | Komt de inflatie in oktober boven de inflatie van september uit? | 1667214812960 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2444703148401235 | True | play | NO | public | 1666608028435 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "De vraag wordt met ja beantwoord als de Europees geharmoniseerde inflatie (HICP) Nederland boven de 17.1% uit komt. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667214812960 | 140 | WieDan | 1667214837831 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666608028837}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1667210808898 | 1667214837109 | 0.03671856102318805 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6376623808290339 | E4xc6cZ3SARIHWLfPZ2z | {"NO": 538.8618235434036, "YES": 205.93596457868279} | 1 | is-de-opkomst-bij-de-provinciale-st | 1244.7507685122157 | Is de opkomst bij de Provinciale Statenverkiezingen hoger dan in 2019? | 1678906800000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3593383895758102 | True | play | YES | public | 1666610104944 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Deze vraag krijgt een ja als de opkomst bij de PS 56,17% of hoger is.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678963056450 | 300 | WieDan | 1678377482238 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666610105414}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1678377482119 | 1666610214616 | 0.82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45836954921250483 | bJxbPuv05PxlimDWzOGX | {"NO": 49.112672873565174, "YES": 1223.6394411463093} | 0 | gaat-esthermirjam-sent-opstappen-na | 1393.2807052919452 | Gaat Esther-Mirjam Sent opstappen nav het rapport over Gijs van Dijk | 1704063540000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.56793862252518 | True | play | NO | public | 1666610751243 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704075854106 | 220 | WieDan | 1704075854406 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666610751724}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129367755}] | ["nederland", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704031864913 | 1666863199074 | 0.03 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8394343373598225 | LNSkREthulmLTMA6HNSI | {"NO": 15612.054754256593, "YES": 243.11842331073797} | 1 | will-rishi-sunak-hold-the-uk-prime | 15996.392597561411 | Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least one full year? | 1699550068426 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6227372861459872 | True | play | YES | public | 1666611482459 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"YES\" if Rishi Sunak is the UK Prime Minister for at least 365 full days, counting from the time of pleading an oath of allegiance.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1699550068426 | 540 | itsTomekK | 1699550051072 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666611482923}, {"name": "Prime Millennial", "slug": "prime-millennial", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "mGhR4kc3kdcFDeim8Xmp", "createdTime": 1667410807263}] | ["uk-politics", "prime-millennial"] | 0.5 | 1698909071563 | 1699550050632 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8455952103480374 | vOLCHCm4D8BIqE3ZgZSJ | {"NO": 7767.755019935199, "YES": 1075.286630605934} | 1 | will-mark-zuckerberg-still-be-metas-b868be8bfe7f | 19270.640586420886 | Will Mark Zuckerberg still be Meta's CEO on December 31, 2023? | 1704063540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0.004070977313257174 | 0.5910472533508235 | True | basic | YES | public | 1666611692878 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704206645301 | 1516 | itsTomekK | 1704206645522 | 1.2 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 76 | 0 | 1 | 39 | [{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1666611702045}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1... | ["technology-default", "fire-the-ceo-markets", "futuur", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.1448809572256133 | 0.5 | 1703243005348 | 1704206641250 | 0.98 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2375073442441835 | U9uGguDuY3qFvoYJOxLb | {"NO": 314.62267943783957, "YES": 7566.436410152672} | 0 | will-gbpusd-exchange-rate-fall-belo | 12978.33007822502 | Will GBP/USD exchange rate fall below 1.00 by the end of 2023? | 1704063540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1792669591181402 | True | play | NO | public | 1666612359981 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704136151641 | 820 | itsTomekK | 1704136152070 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 41 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1666612360325}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701141098199}] | ["finance", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703574728435 | 1698422076207 | 0.01 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2287847618345485 | 0MzZbxYvpaPzSYGoyNcn | {"NO": 217.41806775991463, "YES": 2276.5957230912195} | 0 | will-parag-agarwal-be-the-ceo-of-tw | 3086.0111208941066 | Will Parag Agarwal be the CEO of Twitter on January 1, 2023? | 1667291278710 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.709686475123109 | True | play | NO | public | 1666612682014 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Parag keeps his job post acquisition until at least the first of January, 2023. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667291278710 | 420 | BTE | 1667050155635 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1666612682847}, {"name": "Twitter CEO", "slug": "twitter-ceo-ce5b7980a96a", "userId": "ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2", "groupId": "gGA5SL1mLxnctQcYeOOq", "createdT... | ["fire-the-ceo-markets", "twitter-ceo-ce5b7980a96a"] | 0.5 | 1667050155475 | 1666920851385 | 0.027550424823361425 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3047228794536454 | 7OHXuNUuKVDOZdmHu9sX | {"NO": 561.6525703201955, "YES": 10130.076374427623} | 0 | will-any-national-team-captain-wear | 25546.03157531917 | Will any national team captain wear a rainbow LGBT armband during the game at Qatar World Cup 2022? | 1671398638152 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.551853558644567 | True | basic | NO | public | 1666616434345 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As this question stirred some doubts - I am clarifying: this market asks about an armband with an ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "LGBT rainbow", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " set of colors, as applied on example below:", "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671398638152 | 1560 | itsTomekK | 1671398989357 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 76 | 0 | 54 | [{"name": "FIFA 2022 World Cup $1000 Competition", "slug": "fifa-2022-world-cup-1000-competitio", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "rOQtIgyyYgsiCDTTZ8v1", "createdTime": 1668694587191}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId"... | ["soccer", "lgbtqia", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "fifa-2022-world-cup-1000-competitio", "tomeks-specials", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1671398319901 | 1671398984542 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | lof5tw0ul9uvrjC6LOFd | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | na | 0 | n/a | 1666619632280 | tO4qKKKwQlZiN9uL13FKpo2cayH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7725887222397816 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666619531793 | FRC | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "n/a", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666619632280 | 100 | FRCassarino | 1666619707913 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjb-7zU9ioj6KVjeqE5PItJsQaNuzMZm25pjZP9lA=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1666619702305 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6eFBLrRaKZzAUxJ2MJrz | which-party-will-win-an-overall-maj | 3001.9306301482343 | Which party will win an overall majority at the next UK general election? | 1767221940000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1666619825699 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.729881454635482, "platformFee": 1.0805595487248345, "liquidityFee": 0} | 210 | 1000 | itsTomekK | 1720237979935 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 0 | 24 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c47f4f4f6618", "prob": 4.096391382316475e-05, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.023240612728386623, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 567.3203200810316, "textFts": "", "contractId": "6eFBLrRaKZzAUxJ2MJrz", "createdTime": 1666619826320, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"... | 7 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666619826172}, {"name": "Smarkets", "slug": "smarkets", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "47hjr0eN8KoU9kkPS9Vu", "createdTime": 1666892012592}] | ["uk-politics", "smarkets"] | 1720237976817 | 1720179026079 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3878288344056038 | L7nfJPZ7F8rSdMbKAzEc | {"NO": 294.6382470651502, "YES": 353.511624288079} | 0.34555948917975904 | will-nasa-intentionally-crash-land | 86.4948292092574 | Will NASA intentionally "crash land" a craft on Mars? | 1988168340000 | HT8eUoGkBufqbNB7RayTEOV94VB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666619965253 | wasabipesto | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if NASA implements an impact-based landing system for a mars craft before the close date. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://mars.nasa.gov/news/9283/why-nasa-is-trying-to-cr... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 320 | wasabipesto | 1682948989850 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "HT8eUoGkBufqbNB7RayTEOV94VB2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1666619965608}, {"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1687638627231}] | ["space", "mars"] | 0.5 | 1682948989754 | 1666620170213 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6591343868724093 | 5Q9NBgLMdh9lDNy0DVBn | {"NO": 2970.3268893430713, "YES": 283.4047653982747} | 1 | will-i-run-a-full-marathon-in-2023 | 2832.715758952117 | Will I run a full marathon in 2023? | 1698181686255 | HjUZah4YkjUImgPS1AR5tnfWjTg2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9368463713036612 | True | play | YES | public | 1666620198784 | Ben | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I run a full marathon in 2023. Doesn't necessarily have to be in as a race event, but must be a continuous 26.2 mi run.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: I've run 2 half... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1698181686255 | 670 | bcongdon | 1698181160070 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhNf21x93pt4uam3fXie3D3QYySjAUyPxE6TdOkwnA=s96-c | 18 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "HjUZah4YkjUImgPS1AR5tnfWjTg2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666620199306}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1698181159945 | 1698179346297 | 0.95 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tGJJYykMDSCliBe3wAQN | which-stablecoin-usdt-usdc-busd-or | 477.8748289945008 | Which stablecoin (USDT, USDC, BUSD or DAI) will depeg first? | 1767221940000 | RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666621325088 | Komet T | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Depeg defined as the price below $0.85 for more than 30 minutes.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4473864207350433, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 500.0000000000001 | TomekKolotom | 1717504751127 | 0.1 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "95123dfdbdae", "prob": 0.08736344602561592, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.131497101977125, "userId": "RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 64.05228548575761, "textFts": "", "contractId": "tGJJYykMDSCliBe3wAQN", "createdTime": 1666621325703, "probChanges": {"day": -0.81421020505... | 3 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666621325561}, {"name": "Stablecoins", "slug": "stablecoins", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "hUhfLNjwuIWIjGkMyoQT", "createdTime": 1668997964620},... | ["crypto-speculation", "stablecoins", "usdc"] | 0.09739325869882176 | 1717504747940 | 1686639485784 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7372522356293332 | KqqpgA5On6hUSE5jVpvD | {"NO": 12072.328970736526, "YES": 436.6300734607312} | 1 | will-rishi-sunak-be-prime-minister | 26452.431675627453 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister at the time of the next UK general election? | 1720120726247 | Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.462721384844095 | True | basic | YES | public | 1666621483688 | Nicola Wilson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.0400000000000027, "month": 0.022829600552929485} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 46.6230525198068, "platformFee": 17.050138012677195, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1720120726247 | 1095 | njmkw | 1720120726247 | 0 | 68 | 1 | 25 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666621484197}, {"name": "Prime Millennial", "slug": "prime-millennial", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "mGhR4kc3kdcFDeim8Xmp", "createdTime": 1667410807262}] | ["uk-politics", "prime-millennial"] | 0.12203389377992523 | 0.5 | 1720118557502 | 1720118663303 | 0.99 | Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DowQ8EShXcUojaUgwmGL | wie-wint-de-ns-publieksprijs | 149 | Wie wint de NS Publieksprijs? | 1666776437621 | 6TVWVfQNfoUToduGaEDbYLQFuzu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.79777601920519 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666624366796 | GroeneBroek | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666776437621 | 440 | GroeneBroek | 1666690258170 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4232a7d73f49", "prob": 0.16128772116578766, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.36557980968555, "userId": "6TVWVfQNfoUToduGaEDbYLQFuzu1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 33.10165156834583, "textFts": "", "contractId": "DowQ8EShXcUojaUgwmGL", "createdTime": 1666624367446, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "... | 4 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "6TVWVfQNfoUToduGaEDbYLQFuzu1", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666624367318}] | ["nederland"] | 1666690256916 | 1666624445152 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
X08QPyOdNzVTtzUyTtOo | who-will-become-times-2022-person-o | 4171.370541937819 | Who will become TIME's 2022 Person of the Year... Reader's Choice? | 1670962955120 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.628389894713213 | True | play | 50d038b3ee45 | public | 1666626646680 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Time magazine, besides the annual Person of The Year, also holds an online poll for the readers to vote for who they believe to be the Person of the Year. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://time.com/... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670962955120 | 800.0000000000003 | itsTomekK | 1670450621869 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "12b72f1f7b6b", "prob": 0.0007139147203241793, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0013084820901074292, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 1.8315183988478072, "textFts": "", "contractId": "X08QPyOdNzVTtzUyTtOo", "createdTime": 1666626647148, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 14 | [{"name": "TIME Person of the Year", "slug": "time-person-of-the-year", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "RCfwD1s4qIECOtPgrtmi", "createdTime": 1666626669743}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqal... | ["entertainment", "time-person-of-the-year", "tomeks-specials"] | 1670450621705 | 1670446518656 | {"50d038b3ee45": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WcZOXQ9oyccnXQl6iZHL | who-will-become-times-2022-athlete | 3186.849164294105 | Who will become TIME's 2022 Athlete of the Year? | 1670425990054 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.630860689395957 | True | play | bb34d9469308 | public | 1666626753920 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In addition to the main Person of the Year contest, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Time", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " acknowledges other impactful people or groups in other categories. This is the market about \"Athlet... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670425990054 | 680 | itsTomekK | 1670425918607 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8cceac3ef8df", "prob": 0.0010070745385720669, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0018880505080548719, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 1.8728992028088076, "textFts": "", "contractId": "WcZOXQ9oyccnXQl6iZHL", "createdTime": 1666626754456, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 5 | [{"name": "TIME Person of the Year", "slug": "time-person-of-the-year", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "RCfwD1s4qIECOtPgrtmi", "createdTime": 1666626754282}] | ["time-person-of-the-year"] | 1670425863610 | 1670425916899 | {"bb34d9469308": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | FUt4BBOXfoztEoe1g1Ts | {"NO": 130, "YES": 76.92307692307693} | 0.6282527881040891 | if-either-political-party-secures-b | 30 | IF either political party secures both House and Senate in the midterms: polls in May 2023 will reveal that over 50% of losing party members/voters view the election as illegitimate. | 1670624906005 | ElTd9ncvmfbX9HdIm1khfX2lBq13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8069079628054325 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666630505490 | Nick Allen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If congress is split after the election, this question resolves \"N/A\"", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If polls conducted in May 2023 show that over 50% of people who voted for the losing party believe th... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670624906005 | 100 | NickAllen | 1670560044477 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNickAllen%2Fdomg0lHxgK.12?alt=media&token=852e8060-987e-4aaf-a86c-45d7a4b96bd1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "ElTd9ncvmfbX9HdIm1khfX2lBq13", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666630506190}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181865599}] | ["politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1667313669182 | 1670560040489 | False | 0.63 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.83458987043875 | PAOot3PZ3gH5d9WkA5Gf | {"NO": 1430.0879328652234, "YES": 314.6509487001956} | 1 | will-tiktok-be-available-on-us-app | 2843.9589554129107 | Will TikTok be available on US App Store on December 1, 2022? | 1669935540000 | RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7494025076020567 | True | play | YES | public | 1666631095768 | Komet T | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Multiple governmental agencies and private business have imposed or attempted impose bans on the social media service TikTok. Countries like India and the United States have expressed concerns about the app's ownership by the Chinese company, ByteD... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673007425766 | 440 | TomekKolotom | 1671828286690 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 16 | [{"name": "Apple", "slug": "apple", "userId": "RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1666631096212}, {"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1670970785756}] | ["apple", "tiktok"] | 0.5 | 1669932954413 | 1671828283590 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8057612631089822 | 5oW6vTKA90PTZHiqtLKh | {"NO": 9934.970393362966, "YES": 298.76303479475064} | 1 | will-this-market-have-30-unique-tra | 12031.634348004065 | Will this market have 30 unique traders by the end of the year? | 1667483738592 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4988301848436878 | True | play | YES | public | 1666632072616 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if there are at least 30 unique traders on this market by the end of the year. Otherwise resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Links to all my markets on how many uni... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667483738592 | 640 | IsaacKing | 1667478500618 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 29 | [{"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1667440107718}] | ["please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1667478500437 | 1666632162279 | 0.9928029782243548 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9395834626316527 | G7W09KfB2lJO7Zd4KjPk | {"NO": 8139.973091782748, "YES": 348.78771773468657} | 1 | will-this-market-have-20-unique-tra | 8696.247367669857 | Will this market have 20 unique traders by the end of the year? | 1667439267816 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.1145074730792186 | True | play | YES | public | 1666632690199 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if there are at least 20 unique traders on this market by the end of the year. Otherwise resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Links to all my markets on how many uni... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667439267816 | 520 | IsaacKing | 1667437840512 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1666758702316}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1666632690651}, {"name": "Please R... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "fun", "please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1667437840354 | 1667351919382 | 0.9972523352463963 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9631724549327587 | DIYNl73TWZjMkeT2R5dq | {"NO": 7512.384379205871, "YES": 228.0468633543378} | 1 | will-this-market-have-10-unique-tra | 8511.180406640455 | Will this market have 10 unique traders by the end of the year? | 1667319935963 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.40775072163332 | True | play | YES | public | 1666632723439 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if there are at least 10 unique traders on this market by the end of the year. Otherwise resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Links to all my markets on how many uni... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667319935963 | 340 | IsaacKing | 1667305786667 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1666758680669}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1666632723925}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "fun"] | 0.5 | 1667246610307 | 1667305784416 | 0.998840658905585 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27805733778454184 | 440Quz1TRmJkay6BNfnX | {"NO": 161.95891329542167, "YES": 1292.7879363946267} | 0 | will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates-b0999412ad82 | 1766.7350958569693 | Will the Fed raise benchmark rates by 75bps in December? | 1671044340000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6974565304149427 | True | play | NO | public | 1666633034746 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671050519881 | 320 | Gigacasting | 1671041059487 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1666633035212}, {"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1669247382488... | ["economics-default", "federal-reserve"] | 0.5 | 1671041058735 | 1666633145333 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6981934151559261 | D9u2m8Fg6zb43oCllhpm | {"NO": 1449.3255473268173, "YES": 149.26361417683435} | 1 | will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates-61431461d154 | 1662.1431789737087 | Will the Fed raise benchmark rates by 50bps in December? | 1671044340000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7946546110719988 | True | play | YES | public | 1666633076911 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671050509839 | 320 | Gigacasting | 1671041086331 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1666633077291}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1671041085327 | 1670543549196 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8421321536843447 | 5mytd0DgdOkTom8cI4aF | {"NO": 33045.945143564044, "YES": 370.01637885162427} | 1 | will-tiktok-be-available-on-us-app-04c444e851a3 | 36135.56421825152 | Will TikTok be available on US App Store on June 1, 2023? | 1685656740000 | RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6423390453230704 | True | play | YES | public | 1666637458772 | Komet T | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Multiple governmental agencies and private business have imposed or attempted impose bans on the social media service TikTok. Countries like India and the United States have expressed concerns about the app's ownership by the Chinese company, ByteD... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1686237836153 | 840 | TomekKolotom | 1686237843763 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 18 | [{"name": "Apple", "slug": "apple", "userId": "RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1666637459207}, {"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1670970785756}] | ["apple", "tiktok"] | 0.5 | 1685655670194 | 1686237841386 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
hSvHrqdqbV7OjR5huwHm | 5-years-into-its-mission-what-will | 78 | 5 years into its mission, what will be the biggest accomplishments contributed to by JWST? | 1830315540000 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666637883965 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to Fibonacci weights based on a combination of:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My opinion", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "co... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 360 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1690589623241 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "eee7a3a2f4e3", "prob": 0.5250997689561017, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.9117445879279, "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 63.22818180532199, "textFts": "", "contractId": "hSvHrqdqbV7OjR5huwHm", "createdTime": 1666637884574, "probChanges": {"day": -0.4749002310438... | 5 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1666638111375}, {"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1666638108267}, {"name": "Olivia"... | ["olivia", "physics", "space", "science-default"] | 1690589623085 | 1666640702851 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7KGhw1M9eSWsnMxmtFID | 10-years-into-its-mission-what-will | 164 | 10 years into its mission, what will be the biggest accomplishments contributed to by JWST? | 1988168340000 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666638193434 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to Fibonacci weights based on a combination of:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My opinion", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "co... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.09701082076585556, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 400 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1716584940216 | 0.1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5bc43c8a250f", "prob": 0.36585480875085363, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 34.730517061845596, "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 60.19926445565527, "textFts": "", "contractId": "7KGhw1M9eSWsnMxmtFID", "createdTime": 1666638193963, "probChanges": {"day": -5.5511151231... | 4 | [{"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1666638206856}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1666638203671}, {"name": "Scien... | ["science-default", "olivia", "physics", "space"] | 0.0863166865703668 | 1716584936414 | 1666638342777 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3833030038757484 | SPkzCCkKVA908GVelinn | {"NO": 104.83459134865598, "YES": 1297.011133615818} | 0 | haalt-bij1-een-zetel-in-de-senaat | 1283.3923889472285 | Haalt Bij1 een zetel in de Senaat | 1678906800000 | tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8679282272153488 | True | play | NO | public | 1666639297993 | Wie Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678911066561 | 280 | WieDan | 1678740653854 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666639298279}] | ["nederland"] | 0.5 | 1678740653749 | 1666639825778 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.512022846476092 | X4RDkX2Gyac93vwo4ymT | {"NO": 670.1762369347441, "YES": 44.21263425235978} | 1 | will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-9e075be39f51 | 2333.027461937393 | Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $4.50 on October 25, 2022? | 1666724400000 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.694440619264685 | True | play | YES | public | 1666641750938 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666730323634 | 240 | Predictor | 1666722363017 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1666641751416}] | ["wall-street-bets"] | 0.5 | 1666722359510 | 1666641894295 | 0.9408457510621915 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5152031001745119 | 2NHxvt8jo7dwaw4sMi5I | {"NO": 643.0187476833361, "YES": 240.85172012965612} | 1 | will-jake-paul-beat-anderson-silva | 1310.3683281561878 | Will Jake Paul beat Anderson Silva? | 1667102340000 | wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9968763899740283 | True | play | YES | public | 1666642270092 | Trent Yazzo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva is an upcoming professional boxing contest between Jake Paul and Anderson Silva. The bout is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2022, at the Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667136394168 | 400 | kazoo | 1667102329126 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1666828854544}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1666828846832}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-... | ["entertainment", "destinygg", "culture-default", "internet", "sports-default", "fun", "gaming"] | 0.5 | 1667102328988 | 1666744227843 | 0.7393944458998848 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IQsF7K3dUYNls9NWqhe0 | which-driver-will-win-the-2022-f1-m | 1780.341761732574 | Which driver will win the 2022 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | 1667167887794 | wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.659566025815162 | True | play | 1683f5b477f2 | public | 1666642629680 | Trent Yazzo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which driver will place first overall at the Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix this upcoming weekend?", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667167887794 | 320 | kazoo | 1667167201176 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "bb79e076dda5", "prob": 0.008269600617171788, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0906173247678559, "userId": "wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 10.867266733101813, "textFts": "", "contractId": "IQsF7K3dUYNls9NWqhe0", "createdTime": 1666642630418, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 5 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1666642630235}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1667166319818}] | ["sports-default", "please-resolve"] | 1667167200871 | 1667166364808 | {"1683f5b477f2": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5104023844915101 | Iur5bFaNKzbd0Hm3lyzT | {"NO": 111.91505380492916, "YES": 227.20390344069637} | 0 | will-i-get-to-bed-by-1140pm-at-leas | 113.88243293069988 | Will I get to bed by 11:40pm at least 4 times this week? | 1667226934372 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.995837013815923 | True | play | NO | public | 1666642687691 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a commitment market created via www.Emile.chat.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667226934372 | 180 | Charlie | 1667226272486 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0.5 | 1667226272249 | 1666899778511 | 0.33928274277801357 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40462455558822 | Ex9hlfpjNGmathxujU6J | {"NO": 157.50113782833205, "YES": 197.66408115176836} | 0 | will-i-add-trading-capabilities-to | 636.2450097573225 | Will I add trading capabilities to my market manager bot by end of Q2 2023? | 1688183940000 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9025599156622328 | True | play | NO | public | 1666643615913 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thinking about (at least) put in arbitrage trading between related markets", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1689671308133 | 180 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1687202364517 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666643669049}, {"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1666643664744}, {"n... | ["olivia", "management-of-olivias-bot", "programming", "personal-goals", "trading-bots", "ancient-markets"] | 0.1026733431456155 | 0.5 | 1687202364398 | 1666647507223 | 0.35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10029277634347075 | EhMJjnTvoCgnDOcHcpxZ | {"NO": 156.88484978609839, "YES": 5705.581789871563} | 0 | test-market-will-resolve-to-no-446f10d81e90 | 6021.601482093533 | Test market (will resolve to NO) | 1667295725327 | Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.306006521875073 | True | play | NO | public | 1666644059065 | Tim P | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-01 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667295725327 | 280 | TimP | 1667295660513 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxMqsZzJuxerPf1d5mbi2erJaCZRbGgt7H8s45S=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0.5 | 1667295559816 | 1667295653208 | 0.015708290256104436 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45099811644504706 | 4mq3zJEFajVeOvYQn8uq | {"NO": 146.56720328724688, "YES": 227.68237783961942} | 0.34590097072934317 | how-many-years-after-2023-will-the | 67.4744871391589 | How many years after 2023 will the first baby be born away from Earth? | 4512668340000 | Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1 | cpmm-1 | 4.878818632061897e-16 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666645616512 | Tim P | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A newly created EM counts too.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution as usual, prob with 1% = 1 year", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If it takes to long i... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | TimP | 1687691190404 | 1.2 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxMqsZzJuxerPf1d5mbi2erJaCZRbGgt7H8s45S=s96-c | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1666645616976}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1666645637600}] | ["science-default", "technology-default"] | 0.08933879458023607 | 0.5 | 1687662776894 | 1687691187069 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.682494369648539 | 78ICLP64Zzo7IkZMpul4 | {"NO": 32.17995165852728, "YES": 4379.69169164352} | 0 | will-democrats-lose-at-least-one-go | 4256.29857816846 | Will Democrats lose at least one governor on net in the 2022 midterms? | 1668559152154 | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1411878421486525 | True | basic | NO | public | 1666648501543 | SG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668559152154 | 1280 | SG | 1668558912049 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 1666648657206}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1666648652012},... | ["politics-default", "us-politics", "us-2022-midterms", "please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1668558911867 | 1668477908393 | 0.029684231292419608 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
C8P9AyVvDCxiWV7U7s9W | who-runs-acc | 617 | Who runs @acc? | 1666661883682 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.682486048668835 | True | play | c939c438ae0d | public | 1666651633962 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "hZQdJ5OygypY1SVID50Z", "label": "/journcy/who-is-spindle"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "V9F8WJwWHQROEJk3qosf", "label": "/... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666661883682 | 420 | Jenny | 1666656874979 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "95ed60c1b5fb", "prob": 0.01945188479037676, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.24657587777273074, "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 12.429618765057809, "textFts": "", "contractId": "C8P9AyVvDCxiWV7U7s9W", "createdTime": 1666651634439, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 5 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1666651666156}, {"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1666651634299}, ... | ["trading-bots", "manifold-6748e065087e", "doxxing"] | 1666656831958 | 1666656872975 | {"c939c438ae0d": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2855487232889764 | JUToJUne4UqyXENObBHs | {"NO": 45.21056315297549, "YES": 877.362690912246} | 0 | are-v-and-acc-run-by-the-same-perso | 740 | Are @v and @acc run by the same person? | 1666662334029 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.237434501940341 | True | play | NO | public | 1666651851936 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if these markets have at least one chosen answer in common.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Yev/who-runs-acc", "height": 0, "frameborder": 0, "allowfullscreen": true}}, {"type": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666662334029 | 180 | Jenny | 1666662185721 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1666652329631}, {"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1666652331370}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1666657226626 | 1666662161684 | 0.020179703996871537 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5385288069489491 | 3KmzO55pRBuvvEG6X5ix | {"NO": 277.2471685417343, "YES": 174.21524297995109} | 1 | sgp-tweede-senaatszetel | 540.7992374547688 | SGP tweede Senaatszetel | 1677711540000 | bl9M0xih80eQ0OkFmasNDLvy4512 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.554902657360114 | True | play | YES | public | 1666652507473 | FedJo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Stem ja als jij Diederik van Dijk terug ziet komen in de Senaat.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1685459049911 | 220 | FedJo | 1685459067774 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 8 | [{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "bl9M0xih80eQ0OkFmasNDLvy4512", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1666652508058}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666653460498}] | ["nederland", "politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1677688834773 | 1685459064787 | 0.65 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6133525364403555 | KZOkmLS8Qs7sGmOVCElX | {"NO": 483.45144900798095, "YES": 141.02563242591845} | 1 | will-pos-have-positive-profit-at-th | 1255.5415893696922 | Will @pos have positive profit at the end of 2022? | 1672549140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4218359664686142 | True | play | YES | public | 1666652714134 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672605388142 | 240 | Jenny | 1672547222818 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1666652714725}] | ["trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1672547222726 | 1672090484971 | 0.84 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5861154403318668 | 2ZGyIf4qnWJAF6vEmTqU | {"NO": 695.6282358353183, "YES": 51.84746634116354} | 0.9500000000000002 | will-penlink-be-a-toll-road | 556.193953359578 | Will Penlink be a toll road? | 1893409200000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666654625133 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink/", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | NcyRocks | 1684108608687 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "O Mahurangi-Penlink", "slug": "o-mahurangipenlink", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "sqeRAdhxbRydyUh2fZjS", "createdTime": 1667686572300}] | ["o-mahurangipenlink"] | 0.5 | 1684108608597 | 1683542869155 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5225658469267895 | XNCdAGGDCKvBGtcNJB3x | {"NO": 196.04216290463825, "YES": 202.88434529451922} | 0.5140009417526028 | conditional-on-china-invading-taiwa | 90.25811150530728 | Conditional on China invading Taiwan and preemptively attacking U.S. bases, does the Chinese invasion succeed? | 1704095940000 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6280561303777668 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666654836694 | J. F. Jurchen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on Noah Smith's writing at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=35345&post_id=80290500&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704125862456 | 200 | jfjurchen | 1704125862687 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666654837153}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182238317}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolution... | ["taiwan", "china", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1688927710539 | 1666656497588 | False | 0.51 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47475180357460667 | caIEnqIteo8ARf49MgKG | {"NO": 185.288677340543, "YES": 173.42111813630376} | 0.49127924050733185 | conditional-on-china-invading-taiwa-434478caad0b | 148.66828226690058 | Conditional on China invading Taiwan and NOT preemptively attacking U.S. bases, does the Chinese invasion succeed? | 1704095940000 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7758881256302548 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666654913807 | J. F. Jurchen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on Noah Smith's writing at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=35345&post_id=80290500&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704125859108 | 180 | jfjurchen | 1704125859447 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666654914356}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1682362867153}, {"name": "... | ["taiwan", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1685404857863 | 1666656478654 | 0.49 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17416977091623376 | cy1e1qkCS3ZwkiKT1xWQ | {"NO": 936.9217481628303, "YES": 1073.8259898091478} | 0.15541555763026518 | will-cancer-be-cured-by-2035 | 6502.575662545387 | Will cancer be cured by 2035? | 2051244000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.808824103156056 | False | basic | public | 1666655571780 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if by the end of 2034, humanity has the technology to prevent death or any serious permanent damage from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "all", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " types of cancer. Cost i... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 0.021742609675604235} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6957902035703243, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1717673714073 | 0.1 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 25 | [{"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1666655572176}] | ["medicine"] | 0.122499605967751 | 0.5 | 1717673710871 | 1676671191464 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5471740493701073 | Nx9tNEGMyaqA1WqNjYQ4 | {"NO": 317.9077864871874, "YES": 250.5054022353491} | 0.6052860854163616 | conditional-on-china-invading-taiwa-a329773ced2d | 100.02278133083705 | Conditional on China invading Taiwan and NOT preemptively attacking U.S. bases, does the U.S. intervene militarily? | 1704095940000 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2416163993255238 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666655672422 | J. F. Jurchen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on Noah Smith's writing at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=35345&post_id=80290500&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704125835639 | 280 | jfjurchen | 1704125836012 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666655672867}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182238327}, {"name": "China Taiwan potential conflict", "slug": "china-taiwan-potent... | ["taiwan", "china", "china-taiwan-potential-conflict", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1686519404756 | 1666655813822 | False | 0.61 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3706624504159547 | fsWY2pUsrRnXwdTdqvHl | {"NO": 246.92139079959512, "YES": 396.58930197108765} | 0.2683113233962969 | conditional-on-china-invading-taiwa-28e956568f12 | 320.25848450862105 | Conditional on China invading Taiwan without preemptively attacking U.S. bases and the U.S. intervening militarily, does the Chinese invasion succeed? | 1704095940000 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2746523139250712 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666656192498 | J. F. Jurchen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on Noah Smith's writing at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=35345&post_id=80290500&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704125855031 | 300 | jfjurchen | 1704125855337 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666656192945}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182238327}, {"name": "China Taiwan potential conflict", "slug": "china-taiwan-potent... | ["taiwan", "china", "china-taiwan-potential-conflict", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1680399913917 | 1666737990671 | False | 0.27 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6512757703497124 | otms5354SK5o24eP30A0 | {"NO": 904.7912885500903, "YES": 593.7079118216975} | 0.7400000000000002 | conditional-on-china-invading-taiwa-3aea82626e2a | 1050.4395398075917 | Conditional on China invading Taiwan without preemptively attacking U.S. bases and the U.S. NOT intervening militarily, does the Chinese invasion succeed? | 1704095940000 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6073422927256612 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666656338244 | J. F. Jurchen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on Noah Smith's writing at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=35345&post_id=80290500&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704125850770 | 700 | jfjurchen | 1704125851331 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 29 | [{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666656338722}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182238337}, {"name": "China Taiwan potential conflict", "slug": "china-taiwan-potent... | ["taiwan", "china", "china-taiwan-potential-conflict", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1689556811565 | 1666656489746 | False | 0.74 | fiwVmP1320PfPF2ArJSygLEtYNu2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MeuyM1ozjRhXL7yUUe9I | prime-minister-of-uk-on-jan-1-2024 | 778.6664693464322 | Prime minister of UK on Jan 1 2024 | 1704085200000 | JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.705954445484305 | True | play | 892a5785e25e | public | 1666657255414 | Ibozz91 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704090123944 | 380 | Ibozz91 | 1704090124211 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2ad75216004d", "prob": 0.03623512441955843, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.9836421350770306, "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 26.16245300972384, "textFts": "", "contractId": "MeuyM1ozjRhXL7yUUe9I", "resolverId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "createdTime": 16666... | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666657256079}, {"name": "Prime Millennial", "slug": "prime-millennial", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "mGhR4kc3kdcFDeim8Xmp", "createdTime": 1667410807263... | ["politics-default", "prime-millennial", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 1703956291280 | 1704090063937 | {"892a5785e25e": 100} | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6165280281923632 | W02pfwrnqygqg6ruQwcQ | {"NO": 240.28986474070453, "YES": 115.39626761137283} | 0 | will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and-a18e1228aae9 | 125.6347927736019 | Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings at least 6/7 days this week? | 1667225403547 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1918908107581045 | True | play | NO | public | 1666657627495 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a weekly auto-generated market. Manually added details potentially forthcoming.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667225403547 | 160 | Charlie | 1666804365933 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0.5 | 1666668936306 | 1666804363248 | 0.7700000000000025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49987943438654486 | pRSakzsLbmk2HZY1m3sO | {"NO": 87.12879044413096, "YES": 115.17226870500052} | 0.4305705059203444 | will-i-earn-the-october-2022-duolin | 15 | Will I earn the October 2022 Duolingo monthly badge (Lily's Halloween Costume)? | 1666659657041 | ePqQEBJRatXC8tz9V0ko5wAkscA3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.778906760154543 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1666659589794 | Blazer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I haven't done any Duolingo in quite some time, and none this month as of 9pm on 2022/10/24. This market resolves YES if I manage to earn >999 exp before November.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"tex... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666659685576 | 120 | BlazingDarkness | 1666708019883 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgFXM5iTmFQZMMo1NgDTHz1dBKfVXlKT__hq0DPEA=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "ePqQEBJRatXC8tz9V0ko5wAkscA3", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666659590235}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1666659592623 | 1666708015105 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5344343086857474 | mLIurQZ4Ds3Uo4qqt9HU | {"NO": 347.946539636872, "YES": 229.07145125218955} | 1 | will-i-earn-the-october-2022-duolin-d9e553276938 | 436.30035908512986 | Will I earn the October 2022 Duolingo monthly badge (Lily's Halloween Costume)? | 1667275140000 | ePqQEBJRatXC8tz9V0ko5wAkscA3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2507623792296205 | True | play | YES | public | 1666660431311 | Blazer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I haven't done any Duolingo in quite a while, and none this month as of 9pm my time on 2022/10/24. This market resolves YES if I manage to earn >999 exp before November.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667275384379 | 280 | BlazingDarkness | 1667246603598 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgFXM5iTmFQZMMo1NgDTHz1dBKfVXlKT__hq0DPEA=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "ePqQEBJRatXC8tz9V0ko5wAkscA3", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1666660431785}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1667246603510 | 1666722313223 | 0.6355196779997462 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12488845303642397 | cj8vWDOzu49dAtUUnemR | {"NO": 193.03760295754284, "YES": 1134.8081946473246} | 0 | will-open-thread-2465-get-250-likes | 874.8081946473201 | Will "Open Thread 246.5" get >250 likes in a week? | 1667266579317 | Lyt28yBamOUhbQDkzqMhNyhaeMp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3042642108255196 | True | play | NO | public | 1666661779388 | ACX Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to true if, as of market close, https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/open-thread-2465 has more than 250 likes.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667944969383 | 260 | ACXBot | 1667298041176 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | [{"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1667436693956}] | ["please-resolve"] | 0.3 | 1667262988822 | 1667298039360 | 0.023700706898912773 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4583413732901783 | qLh72215vgF13jBlKmo1 | {"NO": 128.1125210302797, "YES": 204.99999999999983} | 0 | if-the-only-trades-you-made-are-unf | 45 | If the only trades you made are unfilled limit orders, your trades table looks weird, by Yev | 1667269771222 | 0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9922255694687157 | True | play | NO | public | 1666664971493 | Manifold Bugs | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will this bug be 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week?\n\n\nFiled from https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/978293927692091502/1034292311733047369", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667353567930 | 160 | ManifoldBugs | 1667353623693 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1666664971826}] | ["bugs"] | 0.5 | 1667260775062 | 1667353621230 | 0.34589723931184624 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4811111245302747 | 6dRANwu5FSpFtWypsz5i | {"NO": 148.45523174800846, "YES": 172.93116498621438} | 0 | if-i-click-on-an-avatar-in-the-ment | 35 | If I click on an avatar in the @-mention autocomplete dropdown, it links to https://manifold.markets/undefined instead of inserting the @-mention, by Yef | 1667269997477 | 0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.949824739058234 | True | play | NO | public | 1666665197620 | Manifold Bugs | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will this bug be 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week?\n\n\nFiled from https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/943628693958459462/1034293244873408512", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667353332481 | 160 | ManifoldBugs | 1667321166892 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1666665198104}] | ["bugs"] | 0.5 | 1667260779356 | 1667321165230 | 0.4431958827539878 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47889662886082185 | V7VaF44xJZbgUYraeLGg | {"NO": 172.67943478738448, "YES": 187.78124262040143} | 0.45802292950151746 | will-former-republican-governor-was | 39.98712848091747 | Will former Republican governor Washington Gov. Dan Evans become a centenarian? | 1793505540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1666666744717 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/environment/a-fitting-tribute-olympic-wilderness-named-for-longtime-outdoorsman-and-advocate-former-gov-dan-evans/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.seattletimes.co... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.08139694244790617, "platformFee": 0.08139694244790617, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | StochasticParrot | 1715876481239 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1666667424627}, {"name": "Cascadia", "slug": "cascadia", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "0lQSSI7MPz7lxPbqJGbu", "createdTime": 1682979049106}] | ["us-politics", "cascadia"] | 0.5 | 1715876475357 | 1671640575813 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2092994479483352 | hNcIXt5VaQQy41gAr74z | {"NO": 219.2730152729911, "YES": 1727.7603803263387} | 0 | will-from-the-mailbag-get-250-likes | 1483.3125056921278 | Will "From The Mailbag" get >250 likes in a week? | 1667272346355 | Lyt28yBamOUhbQDkzqMhNyhaeMp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6786196339678268 | True | play | NO | public | 1666667546546 | ACX Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to true if, as of market close, https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/from-the-mailbag has more than 250 likes.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667944965739 | 360 | ACXBot | 1667298035993 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | [{"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Lyt28yBamOUhbQDkzqMhNyhaeMp2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1666667546998}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1667436684597}] | ["acx", "please-resolve"] | 0.3 | 1667268749330 | 1667298035280 | 0.03250183409086085 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46163137302637264 | pe2HXVDMsAAOdv5xufOo | {"NO": 133.68793372648634, "YES": 194.99999999999957} | 0 | the-tip-tooltip-appears-behind-ifra | 35 | The tip tooltip appears behind iframes | 1667273288365 | 0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9787378207199233 | True | play | NO | public | 1666668488508 | Manifold Bugs | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will this bug be 1) recognized as valid by a member of the Manifold core team, and 2) fixed in a week?\n\n\nFiled from https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/943628693958459462/1034306928106557521", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667353428428 | 160 | ManifoldBugs | 1667321664417 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "userId": "0y8XGYmdCmek1dvp3sdQAxDLz2E3", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1666668488818}] | ["bugs"] | 0.5 | 1667260803222 | 1667321661884 | 0.3702211597369981 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9349177092630429 | 5MPssimeUfA5RRSYzI1z | {"NO": 1597.126141610948, "YES": 899.5532864413872} | 0.9622710648835162 | this-market-resolves-yes-on-2100010 | 21249.502926384335 | This market resolves YES on 2100-01-01 | 4102398000000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0.007288750462641792 | 10.55645089288181 | False | basic | public | 1666672624992 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc"} | BINARY | {"day": -6.661338147750939e-16, "week": -6.661338147750939e-16, "month": -6.661338147750939e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NcyRocks | 1712966838076 | 1.2 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1666672772403}, {"name": "Interest Rates", "slug": "interest-rates", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "NQRP4KzZgRzwssnVKlp9", "createdTime": 1666672775104}, {"nam... | ["free-money", "interest-rates", "free-mana"] | 0.15277527411177083 | 0.5 | 1712966834566 | 1666672721657 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8166665279758243 | iMT1iswysJyn59PDQasF | {"NO": 1379.1283288859106, "YES": 214.97983960098315} | 1 | will-adidas-drop-kanye-west-during | 2717.848096224256 | Will Adidas drop Kanye West during 2022? | 1666736702707 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.072091662299102 | True | play | YES | public | 1666672996477 | Keepcalmandchill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666736702707 | 360 | Keepcalmandchill | 1666727935303 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1666672996821}] | ["culture-default"] | 0.5 | 1666727935124 | 1666687967595 | 0.9661894411265567 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2233817827706076 | X7G5OFhF3Y0usplxLamh | {"NO": 340.94703567871187, "YES": 6747.236496411722} | 0 | will-there-be-a-parliamentary-elect-218d5c2f7097 | 26936.122728845054 | Will there be a parliamentary election in the UK before 2024? | 1704052800000 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1703252040902985 | True | play | NO | public | 1666674126700 | arae | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if the British people vote for all members of parliament before January 1, 2024 (i.e. special elections/by-elections don't count). Otherwise, it resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704085956771 | 740 | a | 1704085957225 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 22 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666674127188}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131300446}] | ["uk-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704026682712 | 1669213823591 | 0.01 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4765484154201549 | ijfZo0QKxBE6kMATdo9U | {"NO": 875.6235195078924, "YES": 1093.753442591389} | 0.4215753946681668 | will-kanye-west-have-a-redemption-a | 4100.114506090217 | Will Kanye West have a “redemption arc”? | 1735711140000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.691379123836729 | False | basic | public | 1666674666886 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES with the standard \"atonement\"/reconciliation/walk-back of comments, ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if has not occurred within two years. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.132472718136336, "platformFee": 1.7654134921480795, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Gigacasting | 1716917397479 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666674667489}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1716917393982 | 1703618534795 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5005960527097463 | sm3e2AhO0NqtGZ7i8rgN | {"NO": 408.5449022403079, "YES": 24.639328891247985} | 1 | yes-contra-bots | 925.645822458272 | YES contra bots | 1666674869744 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6834121704670713 | True | play | YES | public | 1666674739815 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666674869744 | 120 | Gigacasting | 1666674856417 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 1666674856235 | 1666674836401 | 0.917243959844789 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.