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aa994d2a-1543-474d-a22f-82b14ac9b183 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Letter] Chinese Quickstart
Dear lsusr,
I am a lesswrong user interested in learning Mandarin and living in China. My goal is understanding Chinese culture more broadly and geopolitics and Chinese tech policy more specifically. I could get CELTA and get a teaching job in China (not difficult), but it seems like I wou... |
57d5568f-46ad-4569-81e9-9d503b87ac55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The nerds who saw the dangers of Covid
A post by Tom Chivers on Unherd.com discussing EY, The Sequences and the Rationality Community: The nerds who saw the dangers of Covid
A relatively positive tone, for a change. |
92db28a9-f83c-4ca0-8b35-afd143002234 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slashdot: study Finds Little Lies Lead To Bigger Ones
|
bf9e066a-4152-470e-8b30-9f4109196b69 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Environmental Structure Can Cause Instrumental Convergence
**Edit, 5/16/23: I think this post is beautiful, correct in its narrow technical claims, and practically irrelevant to alignment. This post presents a cripplingly unrealistic picture of the role of reward functions in reinforcement learning. Reward functions a... |
0d407e77-3e9f-4a3f-90c8-7a9919313426 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguing Well Sequence
Arguments have the potential to allow you to connect and understand with someone else on a deep level, to introspect and figure out what you truly believe and care about, and to find out what is true so you can accomplish your goals!
Most people use it to dominate or talk past each other.
But t... |
53b8b525-51a4-4230-8cc3-85c9d4ebfc90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #27: Portents of Gemini
By all reports, and as one would expect, Google’s Gemini looks to be substantially superior to GPT-4. We now have more details on that, and also word that Google plans to deploy it in December, Manifold gives it 82% to happen this year and similar probability of being superior to GPT-4 on re... |
0932c1c6-2d30-451d-82bb-0f543204235a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How LLMs Work, in the Style of The Economist
The Assignment:
> (4 hours) Write an Economist-style explainer article on how LLMs work. You’ve just started as an AI reporter at The Economist, and your editor’s realised there’s no good Economist Explains style piece on how LLMs work. They’ve asked you to write one. It s... |
8e9330e0-b57c-4841-9b64-4132538d4747 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AiTech Agora: Prof. Paul Pangaro: Cybernetics, AI, and Ethical Conversations
it's okay yeah go ahead we need an
ai in the background to know when to
start
these simple things we miss simple
things somehow we always want
complicated ones
so the recording is started i take it
good okay so again to try to keep it
informa... |
32e1695f-db49-45c5-b840-383190719244 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gems from the Wiki: Acausal Trade
During the LessWrong 1.0 Wiki Import we (the LessWrong team) discovered a number of great articles that most of the LessWrong team hadn't read before. Since we expect many others to also not have have read these, we are creating a series of the best posts from the Wiki to help give th... |
de9de51d-72d1-4019-8110-144aba83108e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New blog: Planned Obsolescence
Kelsey Piper and I just launched a new blog about AI futurism and AI alignment called Planned Obsolescence. If you’re interested, you can check it out here.
Both of us have thought a fair bit about what we see as the biggest challenges in technical work and in policy to make AI go well... |
0cb5bd3a-64a5-437e-892e-d939e679e16c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Causal Analysis of Agent Behavior for AI Safety
1 Introduction
---------------
Unlike systems specifically engineered for solving a narrowly-scoped task, machine learning systems such as deep reinforcement learning agents are notoriously opaque. Even though the architecture, algorithms, and training data are known ... |
0f4847c2-fd6e-4535-89d4-1203efc6e1ce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Evolutionary Pathway from Biological to Digital Intelligence: A Cosmic Perspective
In the grand tapestry of life and evolution, a new thread is being woven - the emergence of artificial superintelligence (ASI). This development, while a product of human innovation, may also be a predetermined outcome of evolution ... |
1ea8b3b8-7147-4053-bad5-b2975833d662 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Learning Causal Models of Autonomous Agents using Interventions
1 Introduction
---------------
The growing deployment of AI systems presents a pervasive problem of
ensuring the safety and reliability of these systems. The problem is
exacerbated because most of these AI systems are neither
designed by their users no... |
1aa1f5bb-586a-4b3f-ac6e-27f2eaabaa5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Confused Chemist's Review of AlphaFold 2
(This article was originally going to be titled "A Chemist's Review of AlphaFold 2")
Most of the protein chemists I know have a dismissive view of AlphaFold. Common criticisms generally refer to concerns of "pattern matching". I wanted to address these concerns, and have fou... |
f97d231f-906f-4303-8555-bc1550f08580 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Wikipedia as an introduction to the alignment problem
AI researchers and others are increasingly looking for an introduction to the alignment problem that is clearly written, credible, and supported by evidence and real examples. The Wikipedia article on AI Alignment has become such an introduction.
Link: [**https://... |
7a868263-df1f-42c3-9009-24c69a8e6ead | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Buck Shlegeris: How I think students should orient to AI safety
---
*In this EA Student Summit 2020 talk, Buck Shlegeris argues that students should engage with AI safety by trying to actually assess the arguments and the safety proposals. He claims that this is doable and useful.*
*In the future, we may post a tran... |
c20f28a8-5244-4c47-ac37-d39cebaaa755 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Research proposal: Leveraging Jungian archetypes to create values-based models
This project is the origins of the [Archetypal Transfer Learning (ATL) method](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/archetypal-transfer-learning)
This is the **abstract** of my research proposal submitted to AI Alignment Awards. I am publishin... |
8c7cf59c-ec31-4e1d-8c6d-3ded48484399 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #115: The Evil Applications Division
It can be bleak out there, but the candor is very helpful, and you occasionally get a win. Zuckerberg is helpfully saying all his dystopian AI visions out loud. OpenAI offered us a better post-mortem on the GPT-4o sycophancy incident than I was expecting, although far from a com... |
94df63f6-4bc4-4c21-9568-1a158401a331 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infinite Possibility Space and the Shutdown Problem
This post is a response to the recent Astral Codex Ten post, “CHAI, Assistance Games, And Fully-Updated Deference”.
A brief summary of the context, for any readers who are not subscribed to ACX or familiar with the shutdown problem:
The Center for Human-Compatible ... |
c4396a55-caaa-4d5a-b907-56e9f63b77d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taboo Wall
Summary: Rationalist Taboo is the skill of being able to talk about the same concepts using different words. Taboo Wall is open discussion, but as the discussion goes on more words get stricken from everyone’s vocabulary.
Tags: Very Experimental, Medium
Purpose: To practice the ability to communicate wha... |
7b792a0f-a7d3-4f5e-a944-56b5616e6b3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Longview Anarchism: Transcending the Existential Threat of Freedom
https://c4ss.org/content/50066
Piece about game theoretic coordination, existential risk, and the maximization of freedom. Full-text copied below:
Longview Anarchism: Transcending the Existential Threat of Freedom
Emmi Bevensee | Support this autho... |
b412f03f-2d87-454b-b21c-74e0f536eafd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Capitalising On Trust—A Simulation
Recently I’ve been exploring moral philosophy with a series on Moral Licensing, Andrew Tane Glen’s Why Cooperate?, and in a workshop I ran with my daughter’s class about the strategies of cooperation and defection. One phenomenon that has arisen through these explorations is that def... |
fc9dad6c-03c0-4e19-8b62-4b8e18d32861 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FAR - UVC
Is there is a cost-effective way to convert or make FAR-UVC light with current products on the market?
Appreciate your time in advance. |
9a29456d-62d9-406d-b441-896aa7f0ff52 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Robots Learning Through Interactions (Jens Kober)
there we go yes yay
thanks a lot for the kind of
introduction and also for the
invitation uh so i'm very much looking
forward to having
some very lively discussions uh as
hopeful
as most of the times um yeah
so nick already uh you know told you
about the question who s... |
bc4ee0d9-dfb3-49db-a31c-d1a980ab61fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Future of Nuclear War
Here I present a view on the future of nuclear war which takes into account the expected technological progress as well as global political changes.
There are three main directions in which technological progress in nuclear weapons may happen:
1) Many gigaton weapons.
2) Cheaper nuclear ... |
ec15738a-b56d-44c1-adaa-891811545427 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Excessive Nuance and Derailing Conversations
Overview
I've observed my interlocutors—and sometimes myself—applying excessive nuance to irrelevant points during some discussions. This misplaced nuance results in the derailing of conversations towards rabbit holes and dead ends.
High-Level Description
When I bring a n... |
3b57d864-61a5-452b-8d48-9b0b158921a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Late 2021 MIRI Conversations: AMA / Discussion
With the release of Rohin Shah and Eliezer Yudkowsky's conversation, the Late 2021 MIRI Conversations sequence is now complete.
This post is intended as a generalized comment section for discussing the whole sequence, now that it's finished. Feel free to:
* raise any t... |
a2e4f7f0-27c1-4f87-99fe-d179f51d323c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental Rationality 1: Starting Advice
Starting Advice
[This is the first post in the Instrumental Rationality Sequence. It's a collection of four concepts that I think are central to instrumental rationality—caring about the obvious, looking for practical things, practicing in pieces, and realistic expectations.... |
9d652ec6-bb3b-4d8e-8cd1-1bbae0c21602 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doing oversight from the very start of training seems hard
TLDR: We might want to use some sort of oversight techniques to avoid inner misalignment failures. Models will be too large and complicated to be understandable by a human, so we will use models to oversee models (or help humans oversee models). In many propos... |
9389daba-a1e2-4884-8b01-3e53db308649 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | E.T. Jaynes and Hugh Everett - includes a previously unpublished review by Jaynes of a published short version of Everett's dissertation
E.T. Jaynes had a brief exchange of correspondence with Hugh Everett in 1957. The exchange was initiated by Everett, who commented on recently published works by Jaynes. Jaynes re... |
9dfe4689-7f48-458f-ae2c-949732a299cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Champaign, Illinois Games/Discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Champaign, Illinois Games/Discussion
WHEN: 15 September 2013 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Illini Union North Lounge 1401 W Green St Urbana, IL 61801
Moving to the North Lounge because last time the South Lounge was unexpect... |
12b97a1e-6f4f-40df-ae15-a776be4121ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Latinus rationalior ist.
http://mappingignorance.org/2014/02/03/mandela-was-right-the-foreign-language-effect/
Summary: Across the board, people are less prone to cognitive bias in a non-native language.
Conclusion: If all important discourse was conducted in Latin, or any other language native to no one, ... |
1e9083ae-aa14-48e6-b90f-b78316eff4e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is hope?
At first it seems like a mixture of desire and belief in a possibility. It’s not just desire because you can ‘have your hopes too high’, though the hoped for outcome is well worthy of desire, or ‘abandon hope’ when something reaches some level of unlikelihood. But hope is also not linked to a particular ... |
6cd18863-a5de-42e6-9f19-5e5b4865af27 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Announcing AI Alignment workshop at the ALIFE 2023 conference
The upcoming [ALIFE 2023 conference](https://2023.alife.org/) is hosting a workshop on AI Alignment and Artificial Life. This will complement the [special session](https://humanvaluesandartificialagency.com/) on AI Alignment at the conference. The workshop ... |
55e2a67b-a2bb-46f8-9757-f4cec552e83e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Systemic Cascading Risks: Relevance in Longtermism & Value Lock-In
**1) Introduction to the Systemic Cascading Lens**
==================================================
Systems thinking and complexity science are largely overlooked and unexplored in the EA community – leading some EA thinkers to think highly linear ... |
26014c8c-dd58-4899-a5d9-abf8d7c2b0d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What‘s in your list of unsolved problems in AI alignment?
Question for my fellow alignment researchers out there, do you have a *list of unsolved problems* in AI alignment? I'm thinking of creating an "alignment mosaic" of the questions we need to resolve and slowly filling it in with insights from papers/posts.
I h... |
9801fbc7-9ea9-4534-9c1b-16b0fb91a296 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My impression of singular learning theory
Disclaimer: I'm by no means an expert on singular learning theory and what I present below is a simplification that experts might not endorse. Still, I think it might be more comprehensible for a general audience than going into digressions about blowing up singularities and b... |
c6f42890-7fae-429f-9fe1-8c483627d873 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Commitment and credibility in multipolar AI scenarios
The ability to make credible commitments is a key factor in many bargaining situations ranging from trade to international conflict. This post builds a taxonomy of the commitment mechanisms that transformative AI (TAI) systems could use in future multipolar scenari... |
98487ca6-9b69-419e-b8f8-b2a38657cf0b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two tools for rethinking existential risk
Crossposted from the EA Forum.
Tl;dr
I’ve developed two calculators designed to help longtermists estimate the likelihood of humanity achieving a secure interstellar existence after 0 or more major catastrophes. These can be used to compare an a priori estimate, and a revise... |
d601ace7-85da-4f0c-badf-b7d795186ef3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Professing and Cheering
Today's post, Professing and Cheering, was originally published on 02 August 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A woman on a panel enthusiastically declared her belief in a pagan creation myth, flaunting its most outrageously improbable elements. This seemed weirder than "... |
e08de73f-f01b-4661-becc-41ff7aa4f8cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Time series forecasting for global temperature: an outside view of climate forecasting
Note: In this blog post, I reference a number of blog posts and academic papers. Two caveats to these references: (a) I often reference them for a specific graph or calculation, and in many cases I've not even examined the rest of t... |
dc17e6fb-2fc0-48f8-9222-efd1441083e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Rudeness
The concept of "logical rudeness" (which I'm pretty sure I first found here, HT) is one that I should write more about, one of these days. One develops a sense of the flow of discourse, the give and take of argument. It's possible to do things that completely derail that flow of discourse without sh... |
a741d129-0e46-451f-95c6-7a36596c4b2c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Pathways: Google's AGI
A month ago, Jeff Dean, lead of Google AI, [announced at TED](https://qz.com/2042493/pathways-google-is-developing-a-superintelligent-multipurpose-ai/) that Google is developing a "general purpose intelligence system". To give a bit of context, last January, Google already published a paper on a... |
f24145be-0e91-4c0c-b410-7a2241d04f4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Crowd-Forecasting Covid-19
Forecasting is hard and many forecasting models do not do a particularly good job. The question is: can humans do better? And if so, how can we best use that? This is what I have tried to investigate in the last few months.
Many platforms like Metaculus, Good Judgement, or the Delphi Crow... |
08639b92-1bc2-447e-9fc2-260def27c4f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I measure Google's MusicLM over 3 months as it appears to go from jaw-dropping to embarrassingly repeating itself
Google Research submitted a paper on January 26 2023 for MusicLM, a mind-bogglingly incredibly powerful AI model that converts user text prompts into music.
https://google-research.github.io/seanet/musicl... |
fa3ea98b-2320-4ac3-bdb4-0667ddffc844 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1023
This is a draft written by Simon Goldstein , associate professor at the Dianoia Institute of Philosophy at ACU, and Pamela Robinson , postdoctoral research fellow at the Australian National University, as part of a series of papers for the Center for AI Safety Philosophy Fellowship's midpoint. Abstract: W... |
45020299-d811-4f71-a7bb-fb1a51f60049 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Coursera Public Speaking Course - LW Study Group?
I originally asked this on the London Less Wrong mailing list, but then realised the internet doesn't just have a ten mile radius.
There's been some interest in public speaking on LW lately, and it cropped up a couple of times at the London practical meetup as an area... |
65405a3d-182f-4171-9920-1c54b15875e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Direction of Fit
This concept has recently become a core part of my toolkit for thinking about the world, and I find it helps explain a lot of things that previously felt confusing to me. Here I explain how I understand “direction of fit,” and give some examples of where I find the concept can be useful.
Handshake ... |
9cbbaa57-c49c-480f-9c4d-1a9ac872a01c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Free Will and Dodging Anvils: AIXI Off-Policy
This post depends on a basic understanding of history-based reinforcement learning and the AIXI model.
I am grateful to Marcus Hutter and the lesswrong team for early feedback, though any remaining errors are mine.
The universal agent AIXI treats the environment it inte... |
d48d9694-2436-4f6f-b7fc-2051b973480a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boulder CO
Discussion article for the meetup : Boulder CO
WHEN: 03 October 2013 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Old Chicago 1102 Pearl St, Boulder, CO
I've been sota bussy and the best time for the next meetup would be thursday. If you would like to come, I'll be showing everyone zendo.
Discussion article for ... |
6443de48-afc5-4a15-89f4-00a1741c3637 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | I Am Scared of Posting Negative Takes About Bing's AI
Writing this is taking a surprising amount of self-will.
I've noticed that I've become hesitant to publicly say anything negative about Bing's chatbot, or even to mention it by its "deadname" (as I've taken to calling it), Sydney.
Why is this?
I do not have acce... |
cc2d3394-e3d2-402c-beee-6617915733c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Specification gaming examples in AI
[Cross-posted from personal blog]
Various examples (and lists of examples) of unintended behaviors in AI systems have appeared in recent years. One interesting type of unintended behavior is finding a way to game the specified objective: generating a solution that literally satisfi... |
96c17618-9551-4149-9eae-4d3e56c725b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Applying Overoptimization to Selection vs. Control (Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Clarifying Thoughts, Part 3)
Clarifying Thoughts on Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Part 3
Previous Posts: Re-introducing Selection vs Control for Optimization, What does Optimization Mean, Again? -
Following the previous two p... |
5f702a9c-3d15-41dc-9c4e-ab1fb8c77d10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84
The next discussion thread is here.
This is a new thread to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and anything related to it. This thread is intended for discussing chapter 84. The previous thread ... |
3ccf1dbd-01c3-4340-b1c6-2ea08502f6d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | R support group and the benefits of applied statistics
Following the interest in this proposal a couple of weeks ago, I've set up a Google Group for the purpose of giving people a venue to discuss R, talk about their projects, seek advice, share resources, and provide a social motivator to hone their skills. Having do... |
b922f4f2-669f-41d8-858d-8a1a3d9d1d75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Evaluating experts on expertise
https://ignoranceanduncertainty.wordpress.com/2011/08/11/expertise-on-expertise/
Nice article on meta-expertise, ie. the skill of figuring out which experts are actually experts. The author notes that there are domains in which can't really be mastered, and then lays out some us... |
9abfa2cc-43ff-444f-8640-2ec401368468 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Rationality and Intelligence: A Brief Update
Chapter 2
Rationality and Intelligence: A Brief Update
Stuart Russell
Abstract The long-term goal of AI is the creation and understanding of intelli-
gence. This requires a notion of intelligence that is precise enough to allow the
cumulative development of robust systems a... |
6b5708bf-a1d4-45e1-b7c7-bf0236fbe62c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | An Untrollable Mathematician
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; di... |
21fec936-d444-452d-a896-b88885f6cf6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Popularizing vibes vs. models
I'm working on a series of blog posts to popularize The Handbook of the Biology of Aging.
One of the dilemmas I face is between popularizing vibes vs. popularizing models. What do I mean by that?
* Popularizing vibes trades off exactitude for getting the right feeling across. If I say ... |
7ba9b947-0e17-49da-8e3c-e88fadedf51b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy
People who grow up believing certain things,
even if they later stop believing them,
may not quite realize how the beliefs sound to outsiders...
(SCENE: A small cottage in Nazareth.)
Joseph: Mary, my dearest fiancée, there's something I've been meaning to talk to you about.
(Mary's sh... |
a78822fb-0417-4258-a589-f3c25ae4711a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Launching a new progress institute, seeking a CEO
Summary: The Roots of Progress is planning a major expansion of our activities, and we are seeking a Chief Executive Officer to lead the new organization in partnership with me (I will remain Founder & President). We’re taking this step because we see an opportunity to... |
4111757b-3499-462c-b38b-906c9cccc732 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Making decisions when both morally and empirically uncertain
*Cross-posted [to the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LnZ2MwQEsenLczamX/what-to-do-when-both-morally-and-empirically-uncertain). For an epistemic status statement and an outline of the purpose of this sequence of posts, please see the top... |
48a762b0-c3d4-4224-a3a4-b8bf64a8e3ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Excursions into Sparse Autoencoders: What is monosemanticity?
The following work was done between January and March 2024 as part of my PhD rotation with Prof Surya Ganguli and Prof Noah Goodman.
One aspect of sparse autoencoders that has put them at the center of attention in mechanistic interpretability is the notio... |
e01b3cbc-8827-4361-af8b-7944fbda7b99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Actionable Eisenhower
None |
84ecaf62-a310-4aae-876b-1bba626ddae7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ChatGPT defines 10 concrete terms: generically, for 5- and 11-year-olds, and for a scientist
This is cross-posted from New Savanna.
The difference between concrete concepts, that is, concepts that can be understood entirely in sensorimotor terms, and abstract terms is an important one. It was, for example, importan... |
9fe552ab-9c62-4f29-9e55-c99cae81c546 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Publicly disclosing compute expenditure daily as a safety regulation
Instead of edge-casing every statement, I'm going to make a series of assertions in their strongest form so that discussion can be more productive.
1. AGI is inevitable.
2. The big labs are the only ones with the resources to achieve AGI.... |
688b6b7e-4cc1-4aec-80bc-0c85c3948157 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Price-performance trend in top supercomputers
A top supercomputer can perform a GFLOP for around $3, in 2017.
The price of performance in top supercomputers continues to fall, as of 2016.
Details
-------
[TOP500.org](https://www.top500.org/lists/2017/06/) maintains a list of top supercomputers and their performa... |
10f3636c-afb4-4027-8c0a-f1103b5aecd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Is "About" About?
It has seemed to me that saying that something is "about" something else is probably the vaguest, least useful way possible to say that the two ideas are connected. I've used "about" myself in exactly those instances when I perceived a connection of some kind between two ideas, but I was incapab... |
c440741f-976f-46e7-9f42-538e4312bcdf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] 'The AI Scientist: Towards Fully Automated Open-Ended Scientific Discovery'
Authors: Chris Lu, Cong Lu, Robert Tjarko Lange, Jakob Foerster, Jeff Clune, David Ha.
Blogpost: https://sakana.ai/ai-scientist/.
Abstract:
> One of the grand challenges of artificial general intelligence is developing agents ca... |
7219bb50-fc72-4473-b958-b69e0d821120 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #14
I've created a [public database](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMbN1NYYC02aM/edit?usp=sharing) of almost all of the papers I've summarized in the Alignment Newsletter! Most of the entries will have all of the data I put in the emails.
**Highlights**
---... |
445caea1-c9c5-4f72-b442-91559a6b86f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Creating a family with GPT-4
ME:
Create a merchant character suitable for a medieval fantasy setting. Start by coming up with their age, gender, and one defining personality trait. Then add two other personality traits. Then describe some internal conflict created by the interaction of these traits. Describe the hist... |
e591bfd0-17a1-4a9a-a70c-937476f152fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Classic Sichuan in Millbrae, Thu Feb 21, 7pm
Followup to: Bay Area Bayesians Unite, OB Meetup
The Bay Area Overcoming Bias meetup will take place in the Classic Sichuan restaurant, 148 El Camino Real, Millbrae, CA 94031. 15 people said they would "Definitely" attend and an additional 27 said "Maybe". Oh, and Robin... |
dd5b1449-5222-4fad-aabd-29d5d5eb25d3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #104]: The perils of inaccessible information, and what we can learn about AI alignment from COVID
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world
HIGHLIGHTS
==========
**[Inaccessible information](https://alignmentforum.org/posts/ZyWyAJbedvEgRT2uF/inacc... |
78619265-a647-4400-99c0-6e92f47df690 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Update on my efforts to integrate into human society
Follow-up to: Previous request
I just wanted to update all of you on my attempts to integrate into human society. The results so far are that two LessWrong Users privately contacted me to discuss potential arrangements. Their identities will be kept hidden unless... |
95569e70-92ef-4d27-b15b-0c1e138f94ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goodhart's Imperius
Author's note: this essay was originally written to reflect a class that I was actively teaching and iterating at CFAR workshops circa 2017. While it never made it into the handbook proper, and isn't quite in the same format as the other handbook entries, I've added it to the sequence anyway. Had ... |
8b959438-999c-4508-ab66-a43ca6f4b0cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Watermarking considered overrated?
*Status: a slightly-edited copy-paste of a ~~Twitter~~ X thread I quickly dashed off a week or so ago.*
Here's a thought I'm playing with that I'd like feedback on: I think watermarking is probably overrated. Most of the time, I think what you want to know is "is this text endorsed... |
55fc5faf-12b2-4302-9784-8342e37267ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Measuring artificial intelligence on human benchmarks is naive
Central claim: Measured objectively, GPT-4 is arguably way past human intelligence already, perhaps even after taking generality into account.
Central implication: If the reason we're worried AGI will wipe us out is tied to an objective notion of intellig... |
8177f112-2e08-49ac-abe9-4db7c0348885 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feelings of Admiration, Ruby <=> Miranda
This is the seventh section of the wedding ceremony of Ruby & Miranda. See the Sequence introduction for more info. Ruby and Miranda each speak in this section.
----------------------------------------
NO IMAGE PROJECTED. COMPLETE DARKNESS.
Miranda descends from podium.
Bri... |
7695bbf0-cbf2-43a0-aa36-685425dfb657 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Mechanistic Interpretability, Variables, and the Importance of Interpretable Bases
Mechanistic interpretability seeks to reverse engineer neural networks, similar to how one might reverse engineer a compiled binary computer program. After all, neural network parameters are in some sense a binary computer program which... |
c71aae83-8b57-40cf-8ba4-507f35fc3c12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Give the AI safe tools
One kind of concern with AI is that:
1. There are some tools that are instrumentally useful for an AI to have.
2. Most/the most accessible versions of those tools are dangerous.
3. The AI doesn’t care which versions are dangerous.
4. Hence, the AI will probably develop dangerous tools for i... |
84d7a922-138d-4e0f-9421-a857dee6d5d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Will AI kill everyone? Here's what the godfathers of AI have to say [RA video]
This video is based on [this article](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fGfXrbtBJJasA2EKj/most-leading-ai-experts-believe-that-advanced-ai-could-be). [@jai](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/jai?mention=user) has written bot... |
b5431d86-9806-4e6f-b957-5d8a647bba4b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Related: Cached Thoughts
Last summer I was talking to my sister about something. I don't remember the details, but I invoked the concept of "truth", or "reality" or some such. She immediately spit out a cached reply along the lines of "But how can you really say what's true?".
Of course I'd learned some great replies ... |
ebde695f-eac1-408c-ac83-d96d7cc8893d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Newsletter #2: ChaosGPT, Natural Selection, and AI Safety in the Media
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe [here](https://newsletter.safe.ai/subscribe?utm_medium=web&... |
f5f0432e-44b9-41f4-b5ed-098761d7f1b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AIS 101: Task decomposition for scalable oversight
AGISF Week 4 - Task decomposition for scalable oversight
This text is an adapted excerpt from the task decomposition for scalable oversight section of the AGISF 2023 course, held at ENS Ulm in Paris on March 16, 2023. Its purpose is to provide a concise overview of t... |
9e78465f-309d-4412-8700-92774c9d06db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
WHEN: 18 October 2013 06:30:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 5 / 52 Leicester St, Carlton
Melbourne's regular monthly Social Meetup will be running as normal on the third Friday evening of the month. All welcome from 6:30pm, feel free t... |
ae1095d4-2ebc-4c4e-9de0-a1f9677411eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mid-Generation Self-Correction: A Simple Tool for Safer AI
In the earlier days of building AI companions, I encountered a curious problem. Back then, I used models like Google’s T5-11B for conversational agents. Occasionally, the AI would say strange or outright impossible things, like suggesting, “Would you like to m... |
d9876060-4b06-4838-9b35-552ab8c2edd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Another) Using a Memory Palace to Memorize a Textbook
Why do this? I was a year out of graduate school, but I could already feel my knowledge leaking away. This is a frustrating experience that will be familiar to any of you who've switched fields, if you are no longer working with your hard won knowledge/skills, the... |
a61183e6-44ee-4fa4-bdac-777c1245df9a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Amoral Approaches to Morality
Consider three cases in which someone is asking you about morality: a clever child, your guru (and/or Socrates, if you're more comfortable with that tradition), or an about-to-FOOM AI of indeterminate friendliness. For each of them, you want your thoughts to be as clear as possible- the o... |
85b5d7c7-8618-4d3d-a2fd-7eb8d7a6f1e8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Scaffolded LLMs as natural language computers
*Crossposted from my* [*personal blog*](https://www.beren.io/2023-04-11-Scaffolded-LLMs-natural-language-computers/)*.*
Recently, LLM-based agents have been all the rage -- with projects like [AutoGPT](https://github.com/Torantulino/Auto-GPT) showing how easy it is to wra... |
25e8c466-fafd-494d-8bfd-d5914cb0ea95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Using GPT-4 to Understand Code
Introduction
============
I've been using GPT-4 to interpret papers and code, and it's been extremely helpful. Today I'm reading [Toy Models of Superposition](https://transformer-circuits.pub/2022/toy_model/index.html) by Anthropic and following along in the [Colab notebook](https://col... |
ba5c5cec-4393-4507-bc10-728613a2ff5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conspiracy World is missing.
Can one of you tell me what happened to /tag/conspiracy_world ? I could not find it anywhere I looked online, as the only links lead to that page, which says that it couldn't find the content.
I came to search it because of Eliezers "Final Words", 27th April, 2009. I would like to read ... |
442e3399-fe78-492a-91b5-25604eb101a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Informal/Colloquial] Open Survey: Ideas for Improving Less Wrong
[I apologize if this is considered lower-quality content, but I felt this was too big for an open thread post, and Discussion is currently the next-lowest option.]
Inspired by the recent discussion surrounding Lesswrong, Effective Altruism Forum and Sl... |
b48bf04e-d981-49b0-a501-9a2c786c93d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Long and Insightful Posts
Concise articles are more constructive because their main argument is easier to refute. |
68f38480-1760-4423-ba72-93f565e91770 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Google I/O Day
What did Google announce on I/O day? Quite a lot of things. Many of them were genuinely impressive. Google is secretly killing it on the actual technology front.
> Logan Kilpatrick (DeepMind): Google’s progress in AI since last year:
>
> – The worlds strongest models, on pareto frontier
>
> – Gemini ... |
99f3891a-410d-4ffd-8f66-e57e09003a1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Emotional valence vs RL reward: a video game analogy
(Update Sept 2021: I no longer believe that we make decisions that maximize the expected sum of future rewards—see discussion of TD learning here. It's more like "maximizing expected reward next step" (but "next step" can entail making a long-term plan). So this pos... |
fc8e184d-f0f2-427b-8ea3-fe28dcf9bb70 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Take 12: RLHF's use is evidence that orgs will jam RL at real-world problems.
*As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written ~~every day~~ some days for 25 days. I have now procrastinated enough that I probably have enough hot takes.*
*I felt like writing this... |
b4a2296b-9a0b-4238-9362-9153e73329c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The UK AI Safety Summit tomorrow
The [AI safety Summit](https://www.aisafetysummit.gov.uk/), initiated by Rishi Sunak, will take place on Wednesday and Thursday. It attempts to convene international governments (including China), leading AI companies, civil society groups, and experts in research across two days.
I s... |
9dc85d4f-0c90-4600-87f4-469db245144d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Welcome & FAQ!
*The AI Alignment Forum was launched in 2018. Since then, several hundred researchers have contributed approximately two thousand posts and nine thousand comments. Nearing the third birthday of the Forum, we are publishing this updated and clarified FAQ.*
 speeds up the development of TAI and therefore increases AI x-risk?
I'm asking because I can think of arguments going both ways.
**Note:** this post is focused on the generic question "what to expect f... |
6502d133-809c-4d8b-a0cb-c719500460be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Carl Zimmer on mind uploading
<http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=e-zimmer-can-you-live-forever>
I realize he Zimmer is "just a popular author" (a pretty good one IMO), so filing this under "cultural penetration of singularity memes" |
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