id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
7fa691f5-ccd5-4d23-85bc-4a3e30ce3a9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eulogy to the Obits
By Xander Balwit
With death all but obsolete, Jamie’s life felt moot and emaciated. The Obituary Desk at The Times, where he worked, had turned into a ghost town he presided over with the bearing of a man who had given everything up for the bitter disappointment of a mine devoid of mineral riches.... |
0f7c0f89-1bbd-4628-bf24-3826f714ee19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The Additive Summary Equation
This post contains some theorems and proofs needed for a hopefully-upcoming post on some powerful generalizations of the [Koopman-Pitman-Darmois (KPD) Theorem](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sufficient_statistic#Exponential_family). Unless you find functional equations interesting in their... |
1626b853-f85f-43b3-9131-9b7788ae8361 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Virtue of Silence
Leah Libresco writes a couple of essays (1, 2) on an ethical dilemma reported in the New York Times. In the course of a confidential medical history, a doctor hears her patient is suffering from stress-related complaints after having sent an innocent man to prison. The doctor wants to know whethe... |
926431c4-bde3-46ee-8f77-d50ef360ca56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Place-Based Programming - Part 2 - Functions
In Part 1, we defined a place-of macro and a value-of function. The code from Part 1, as originally written, was not an importable module. I have modified the code from Part 1 to be portable.
;; Module from Part 1
;; Save this code into a file called part1.hy and then use ... |
f9de62fd-ae35-4251-a1c2-70f8ce445fbb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Survey - Psychological Impact of Long-Term AI Engagement
Hello everyone,
I’m conducting a survey to better understand the psychological and emotional effects of long-term engagement with AI technologies, particularly within the AI safety community. This is an invitation for you to take part in this anonymous question... |
50c07157-0f90-4094-8049-df9ff127b5d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CFAR’s new focus, and AI Safety
A bit about our last few months:
* We’ve been working on getting a simple clear mission and an organization that actually works. We think of our goal as analogous to the transition that the old Singularity Institute underwent under Lukeprog (during which chaos was replaced by a simpl... |
f2b2828d-2714-4adb-98b2-4c4943a28bcf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MoNETA: A Mind Made from Memristors [link]
>DARPA's new memristor-based approach to AI consists of a chip that mimics how neurons process information
http://spectrum.ieee.org/robotics/artificial-intelligence/moneta-a-mind-made-from-memristors/0 |
4fa64616-1443-42fd-895d-77d11bccf016 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Manifesto
About one month ago, I saw an Agile Manifesto. It inspired me to create my own one because you know, manifests seem to be popular. So, for the 1st of April, I created Rational Manifesto:
* Manifests are full of obvious things. This is one of them.
* The previous item was a recursive joke.
* Befo... |
ce52aee9-95e8-418a-8209-7b1e03a75d94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Featherless Biped
The classical understanding of categories centers on necessary and sufficient properties. If a thing has X, Y, and Z, we say that it belongs to class A; if it lacks them, we say that it does not. This is the model of how humans construct and recognize categories that philosophers have held sinc... |
87fabdfd-8677-4e25-84df-6cfad96ef188 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Continental Philosophy as Undergraduate Mathematics
TL;DR: Revisionist continental philosophy, starring Hegel, Heidegger, and Kant (!?). A fair bit of hand-waving and namedropping maths. Certainly on the weirder end of essays I've written.
Previously in this series: Frankfurt Declaration on the Cambridge Declaration ... |
757731b1-0e0a-400f-966f-f76926865546 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Aligned AI via monitoring objectives in AutoGPT-like systems
Thanks to Arun Jose, Joseph Bloom, and Johannes Treutlein for feedback/discussions.
Introduction
============
The release of [AutoGPT](https://github.com/Significant-Gravitas/Auto-GPT) [prompted](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/566kBoPi76t8KAkoD/on-autogpt... |
e1660abf-6f90-4929-9911-a1203bac5cde | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compendium of methods for going from undesirable to desirable
[Plans](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theory_of_planned_behavior) predict behaviour. When you notice something on the Not preferable list, [talk to yourself]( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_response_model) or [learn]( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... |
e633c381-291f-46b0-9749-e506eb5cb950 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Probability is in the Mind
Today's post, Probability is in the Mind was originally published on 12 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Probabilities express uncertainty, and it is only agents who can be uncertain. A blank map does not correspond to a blank territory. Ignorance is in the m... |
e560f01a-7ae8-42dd-8fe0-fa107b177fee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Church: a language for probabilistic modeling
I've been reading about Church, which is a new computer language, developed in a prize-winning MIT doctoral thesis, that's designed to make computers better at modeling probability distributions.
The idea is that simulations are cheap to run (given a probability distrib... |
4244fc6f-8c77-4e1c-abd0-53e1ab6713e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I'm consistently overwhelmed by basic obligations. Are there any paradigm shifts or other rationality-based tips that would be helpful?
I often get panicky and stressed at the thought of the never-ending nature of simple tasks. Laundry and dishes will always pile up; food and other stocks will always need to be resupp... |
56e9f7ec-c13d-4b35-90de-0ea90ea94ca8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fixing akrasia: damnation to acausal hell
DISCLAIMER: This topic is related to a potentially harmful memetic hazard, that has been rightly banned from Less Wrong. If you don't know what is, it is more likely you will be fine than not, but be advised. If do know, do not mention it in the comments.
--------------------... |
ede158a6-cdfa-4dd4-be30-de5c8130da5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit
About nine months ago, I and three friends decided that AI had gotten good enough to monitor large codebases autonomously for security problems. We started a company around this, trying to leverage the latest AI models to create a tool that could replace at least a g... |
8a0e3364-516c-49f7-b703-be780d557551 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What is the most convincing article, video, etc. making the case that AI is an X-Risk
In particular, for someone who is very hard to convince and that addresses all of the objections a well-educated, rational person may have |
174fdff9-810f-4afd-bfd7-2bbd7f038e96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Cynicism in Ev-Psych (and Econ)
Today's post, Cynicism in Ev-Psych (and Econ?) was originally published on 11 February 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Evolutionary Psychology and Microeconomics seem to develop different types of cynical theories, and are cynical about different things.
Di... |
02a567a3-20ec-4be7-aa6f-72c311bcff38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Systemic risk: a moral tale of ten insurance companies
Once upon a time...
Imagine there were ten insurance sectors, each sector being a different large risk (or possibly the same risks, in different geographical areas). All of these risks are taken to be independent.
To simplify, we assume that all the risks follow... |
521c2556-3519-4974-8477-d76c1bad3145 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reality vanishes in a puff of logic
This post is part of a series where I hope to share some of what I've learned about a woefully overlooked connection between rationality and mysticism.
----------------------------------------
Many people have a deep intuition that there's something unspeakably magical about life ... |
1d9d4582-a4b9-426b-ad19-319fc52ac78d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Spending Update 2024
I'm generally a pretty big fan of transparency, and one way I try to promote this is writing up our finances every few years ( 2022, 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014). This is also useful to me: putting things into a form where others can understand it is pretty good for getting myself to really understand ... |
1ba05375-e0d9-42c4-b681-6d9e98140bf9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reference Points
I just spent some time reading Thomas Schelling's "Choice and Consequences" and I heartily recommend it. Here's a Google books link to the chapter I was reading, "The Intimate Contest for Self Command."
It's fascinating, and if you like LessWrong, rationality, understanding things, decision theories,... |
b94fe8d7-e646-470e-8c9d-ad9024f91d40 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Electrical efficiency of computing
Computer performance per watt has probably doubled every 1.5 years between 1945 and 2000. Since then the trend slowed. By 2015, performance per watt appeared to be doubling every 2.5 years.
Details
-------
In 2011 Jon Koomey reported that computation per kWh had doubled every rou... |
aad91c25-cf79-4f45-85c6-ac2cec4885bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Models of moderation
[Author's note: I will move this into meta in a week, but this is a bit more important than the usual meta-announcements, so I will have it in community for a bit.]
Meta
This post is trying to achieve roughly four things:
1. Be a future reference for some hopefully useful models about moderatio... |
04d265ed-1af8-4c2f-8d69-9dc9b9e4b173 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Impossibility results for unbounded utilities
Some people think that they have unbounded utility functions. This isn't necessarily crazy, but it presents serious challenges to conventional decision theory. I think it probably leads to abandoning probability itself as a representation of uncertainty (or at least any ho... |
c62ca445-3fbd-4041-a5a9-1d164c4443f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is daily caffeine consumption beneficial to productivity?
Caffeine raises human alertness by binding to adenosine receptors in the human brain. It prevents those receptors from binding adenosine and suppressing activity in the central nervous system.
Regular caffeine productions seems to result in the body building m... |
4d5803c3-bf12-460c-bcc9-a9c6c32a7e89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] A Sense That More Is Possible
Today's post, A Sense That More Is Possible was originally published on 13 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The art of human rationality may have not been much developed because its practitioners lack a sense that vastly more is possible. The level of expe... |
b5a20bb6-ce16-469a-8d15-a603cf35dca9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What bootstraps intelligence?
Cross post from: https://invertedpassion.com/what-bootstraps-intelligence/
A musing on how intelligence comes to be.
The bedrock of intelligence is abstractions – the thing we do when we throw away a lot of information and just emphasise on a subset of it (e.g. calling that thing an app... |
955c1ff2-1eaf-4224-8683-ffa23bb3d2d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Sarah Constantin on RaDVaC
None |
2f63e34d-49b9-423f-9581-6b205f8a6d6a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The Value Alignment Problem in Artificial Intelligence
school and this gets summarized in this
nifty little equation up here where
we're maximizing over a vector of
actions over a sequence of actions the
sum over all time of the reward you get
four states and this is related to
models of rationality where we say
peopl... |
5856c27a-b530-4561-8163-51f998f26874 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking for proof of conditional probability
From what I understand, the Kolmogorov axioms make no mention of conditional probability. That is simply defined. If I really want to show how probability actually works, I'm not going to argue "by definition". Does anyone know a modified form that uses simpler axioms than ... |
753b8363-8b60-4e02-a9a3-4722da5734ae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Logarithms and Total Utilitarianism
*Epistemic status: I might be reinventing the wheel here*
A common cause for rejection of total utilitarianism is that it implies the so-called [Repugnant Conclusion](https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/repugnant-conclusion/), of which a lot has been written elsewhere. I will argue ... |
3acc9b40-51b8-42c2-ae53-6cb51359310c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What concepts underlie existential risk from AI?
Theorizing about existential risk from AI uses existing concepts from various fields and has also produced its own.
For example, one possible case for misalignment combines the [orthogonality thesis](/?state=6568&question=What%20is%20the%20orthogonality%20thesis%3F), [... |
8099037d-4de8-44db-a347-5ef6f1ac6b01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Silent War: AGI-on-AGI Warfare and What It Means For Us
By A. Nobody
Introduction
The emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) presents not just the well-theorized dangers of human extinction but also an often-overlooked inevitability: AGI-on-AGI warfare as a result of the creation of AGI hunters—AGIs ... |
0950d6d6-58dc-4f1c-b70f-e9511ec69dd8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | And My Axiom! Insights from 'Computability and Logic'
Foreword
Max Tegmark's Our Mathematical Universe briefly touches on a captivating, beautiful mystery:
> The arrows indicate the close relations between mathematical structures, formal systems and computations. The question mark suggests that these are all aspects ... |
fcab5381-8eaa-442d-9663-ff47715a0752 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #25: Inflection Point
Inflection.ai is the latest AI lab whose CEO is advocating for regulation of AI. I discuss that under the Quest for Sane Regulation. Amazon and Apple are incrementally stepping up their AI game. Hotz and Yudkowsky debate whether AI is existentially risky, cover all the usual bases with mixed r... |
20173f86-8fd1-48ff-8a80-61d9ce5b5ce2 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3784
A putative new idea for AI control; index here . In the " AIs in virtual worlds " setup, the AI entertains two hypotheses: one, W , that it lives in a deterministic world which it knows about (including itself in the world), and W ′ , an alternate hypothesis that the world is "like" W but that there are s... |
d6e813ef-23be-43ee-b2f8-64b8d890251c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mailing Lists for Event Announcements
Let's say I'm organizing a repeated event like a meetup or dance series: how should I let people know about it so they can decide whether they want to attend? You can break the world down into three groups:
1. People who wouldn't be interested, even after fully learning about th... |
50ea6955-2e6e-40cb-90b0-913f282e6911 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learned pain as a leading cause of chronic pain
Epistemic status: Amateur synthesis of medical research that is still recent but now established enough to make it into modern medical textbooks. Some specific claims vary in evidence strength. I’ve spent ~20-30 hours studying the literature and treatment approaches, whi... |
358d4fba-cd66-474a-8b9b-ea740c61f82b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fisherian Runaway as a decision-theoretic problem
Introducing what I think may be an interesting toy problem for timeless-like considerations.
The Fisherian Runaway is a proposed mechanism for the development of apparently-detrimental ornamentation such as peacock tails. It goes something like this: You start out wit... |
8dbb9b27-a2ce-43ac-8c9d-410d3f106aaf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Isn't capitalism the real unaligned superintelligence?
<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/L5pUA3LsEaw" title="Why Not Just: Think of AGI Like a Corporation?" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Th... |
2ac10d7c-af3d-42d7-81e2-6b78e4abb508 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wednesday Sept 28 7pm
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wednesday Sept 28 7pm
WHEN: 28 September 2011 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Bean Cycle, 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524
Coffee and chat with smart, interesting people.
Discus... |
c1a6c2aa-f352-4467-925a-6c93392d4aa2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : UMD Calibration Games
Discussion article for the meetup : UMD Calibration Games
WHEN: 13 October 2011 05:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: STAMP, University of Maryland
We're in Terrapin Room A in the Student Involvement Suite, meeting at 5 PM.
We plan to play some calibration games.
Discussion article for the mee... |
53af3681-9ab6-406b-8885-3b78e4f76615 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simultaneous Redundant Research
Suppose for some big problem that research labor is plentiful and time is short. Obviously the first thing to do is to divide the research into subproblems and research them in parallel. But what if the number of research teams still exceeds the number of real subproblems identified?
... |
48de253c-c0ff-42f3-84e1-2321fec37e7b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How the MtG Color Wheel Explains AI Safety
Duncan Sabien has a post titled How the ‘Magic: The Gathering’ Color Wheel Explains Humanity. Without the context of that post, or other experience with the MtG color wheel, this post will probably not make sense. This post may not make sense anyway. I will use a type of anal... |
b335c89c-3ac2-4f44-8580-0d8775a81c42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Requests to the Right Ear Are More Successful Than to the Left
Talk into the right ear and you send your words into a slightly more amenable part of the brain.
I urge you to try this at home. |
b7e71a31-6732-4d0c-bc3f-7885f6ba80e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four things every community should do
Yesterday I attended church service in Romania where I had visited my sister and the sermon was about the four things a (christian) community has to follow to persevere and grow.
I first considered just posting the quote from the Acts of the Apostles (reproduced below) in the Ra... |
a9b6642f-c88d-4ec3-b0f1-c839ff8050b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tinker
A story I wrote about AI designing and building nanotechnology. |
0e319314-d76f-4de5-b3ab-13ca1f5a41e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictions made by Mati Roy in early 2020
Author: Mati Roy | Created: 2020-01-11 | Updated: 2020-03-01 (Adjusted: 2020-11-07) | Published: 2020-11-07
Quality: Those are notes I took for my present and future selves; they weren’t taken with the purpose of informing others.
Importance: 3/10. I don’t think all those p... |
ec8f77d2-9705-448f-9024-cd64fec66d51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logging Shell History in Zsh
By default most shells don't log your history in a detailed durable way, which gives up one of the big advantages of working on the command line. Good history lets you look back at things you did months or years ago, in a searchable and skimmable fashion, so you can answer questions like "... |
7fb31ab1-33d1-4cc6-9cab-882bfa0423e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Radio interview with Daniel Kahneman
Daniel Kahneman is being interviewed on Desert Island Discs on BBC Radio 4 right now (09:00-09:45 BST). The recording should be permanently available at that link from an hour after the programme ends. |
3fd1c333-e587-429d-a6fb-b1e78c527cf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Mind reading" - how is this done?
I just want to burn him at a stake and watch his witch's heart bubble. It’s extraordinary. Great trick. - Stephen Fry
Derren Brown does many amazing tricks - I want to focus here on his "mind reading". This is way beyond any cold reading I've seen, but he insists that he uses no act... |
418ba94a-9589-4249-a429-07d384219f42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Coming Out
It's 11 p.m. on a Friday night and I'm heading home from work, shivering in the cold wind. My mind's divided on what to do after getting home: practice my guitar stuff and go to sleep, or head to a nightclub and get the fatigue out of my system? Given two nearly identical emotional assessments and honestly ... |
f0c57693-6995-4305-b1e2-2198a4c2629e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forever Leaders
“dictators die… and so long as men die liberty will never perish…”
This is an abbreviated quote from Charlie Chaplin’s “The Great Dictator” which stuck with me ever since the clip was played for me in middle school. Political but prescient, these words describe a natural limiter on any man’s ambitions... |
0f49e5a6-7bc0-484e-a6d3-6e7f70e013cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Just making sure posts can be written
Hi |
a04d255d-d08d-4aa9-8427-d6615552174b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tweet markets for impersonal truth tracking?
Crossposted from world spirit sock puppet.
Should social media label statements as false, misleading or contested?
Let’s approach it from the perspective of what would make the world best, rather than e.g. what rights do the social media companies have, as owners of the s... |
646dfee6-db89-4952-a28e-64df9ff20368 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How to regulate cutting-edge AI models (Markus Anderljung on The 80,000 Hours Podcast)
We just published an interview: [**Markus Anderljung on how to regulate cutting-edge AI models.**](https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/markus-anderljung-regulating-cutting-edge-ai/) You can click through for the audio, a full tr... |
1a24b6a1-7fd2-4df1-8730-2448f40a9079 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Encourage creating repositories on Github instead of Lesswrong
It seems to me that the current practice of maintaining repositories is very inefficient on Lesswrong. Only one person maintains each repo, the repos can’t be found easily, the different kinds of discussions and comments get mixed together, there isn’t eno... |
1bcaca47-ddaa-4f6d-bc13-8cbec7707a55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to quantify uncertainty about a probability estimate?
How does one express how confident or uncertain about a probability estimate one is, in numeric terms?
Consider some different situations where you might have 50% confidence in a "yes" answer to a question:
* Will this atom of hydrogen have decayed after its... |
1b2a50df-b1c6-4788-9125-64163e8d2662 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Hybrid Intelligence
CATCHWORD
Hybrid Intelligence
Dominik Dellermann M.Sc. •Philipp Ebel •Matthias So ¨llner •Jan Marco Leimeister
Received: 30 October 2017 / Accepted: 7 November 2018 / Published online: 28 March 2019
/C211Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH, ein Teil von Springer Nature 2019
Keywords Hybrid intellig... |
e5674bbf-b530-43ac-b102-f9f30a8b5764 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does rationalism affect your dreams?
Given how much you have learned of the techniques of rationality, of Bayesian updates and standard of evidence, of curiosity being the first virtue and being willing to update your beliefs... have any of your dreams been affected by them?
The reason I ask; I'm reading the entir... |
0c20933b-5c2c-4641-9ee6-789f793724dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Competence in experts: summary
Just giving a short table-summary of an article by James Shanteau on which areas and tasks experts developed a good intuition - and which ones they didn't. Though the article is old, the results seem to be in agreement with more recent summaries, such as Kahneman and Klein's. The heart o... |
8a176a5e-f5f0-4734-992b-04060e4a0f62 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What 2025 looks like
**I wrote almost all of this in mid-March before the FLI Open Letter and Eliezer's TIME piece. Weirdly, after just six weeks I'd likely write something different. This isn't as finished/polished as I'd like, but better to ship it as is than languish incomplete forever.**
---
Not quite two year... |
c19e05af-4442-4ac6-b0a4-ad12aa8458bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outline of Possible Sources of Values
I don't know what my values are. I don't even know how to find out what my values are. But do I know something about how I (or an FAI) may be able to find out what my values are? Perhaps... and I've organized my answer to this question in the form of an "Outline of Possible Source... |
8a14bf70-8652-459a-a6ad-4de4f2d4f137 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experimenting with microsolidarity crews
(2023 edit: I've compiled a list of session templates at eacrews.org)
In 2020 I was introduced to "microsolidarity", a set of ideas and methodologies on relating to others in groups. Over the last 6 months I've been experimenting with it in the form of "crewing". This post is... |
04495eb6-5ff0-4b13-9e61-975db71a3b4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will posting any thread on LW guarantee that a LLM will index all my content, and if questions people ask to the LLM after my name will surface up all my LW content?
Eg a LLM like GPT4/GPT5 (they don't seem to capture all of it yet)? Would it capture all shortform posts and shortform questions?
If I want to reliably ... |
ddedc192-b6fe-4886-a3ce-8f286a7acc38 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Re-introducing Selection vs Control for Optimization (Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Clarifying Thoughts, Part 1)
This is the first post in a small sequence I'm writing on "Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Clarifying Thoughts" (I have re-organized to make part 2, "Revisiting What Optimization Means" separate.)
Re... |
06c9eb45-ca10-4549-ac5f-34d4a0a54a34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Malicious Use
of Artificial Intelligence:
Forecasting, Prevention,
and Mitigation
None |
f159db62-b6d2-4b3c-a678-1a76d981fcdf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On green
(Cross-posted from my website. Podcast version here, or search for "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app.
This essay is part of a series that I'm calling "Otherness and control in the age of AGI." I'm hoping that the individual essays can be read fairly well on their own, but see here for brief summaries... |
159a6ed3-8a20-4366-9511-c110c063b91b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SRG 4: Biological Cognition, BCIs, Organizations
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
--------------------------------... |
54e231c3-c466-4820-9ba7-78a42238c227 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Overemployed Via ChatGPT
Previously: Escape Velocity From Bullshit Jobs
They took our jobs! They took… several of our jobs?
> “ChatGPT does like 80 percent of my job,” said one worker. Another is holding the line at four robot-performed jobs. “Five would be overkill,” he said.
The stories told in this Vice arti... |
d140925e-ee49-4a58-985b-408216b8d9e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Attainable Utility Preservation: Empirical Results
*Reframing Impact* has focused on supplying the right intuitions and framing. Now we can see how these intuitions about power and the AU landscape both predict and explain AUP's empirical success thus far.
Conservative Agency in Gridworlds
--------------------------... |
5897a2ab-5aad-43a2-9f33-0047aaca4475 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advancing Certainty
Related: Horrible LHC Inconsistency, The Proper Use of Humility
Overconfidence, I've noticed, is a big fear around these parts. Well, it is a known human bias, after all, and therefore something to be guarded against. But I am going to argue that, at least in aspiring-rationalist circles, people a... |
ecdb2317-ca21-478f-ae83-4f7935c9506c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ACI#6: A Non-Dualistic ACI Model
Most traditional AI models are dualistic. As Demski & Garrabrant have pointed out, these models assume that an agent is an object that persists over time, and has well-defined input/output channels, like it's playing a video game.
In the real world, however, agents are embedded in the... |
45f1b919-6d53-4b07-88fd-fa849ecc92d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Precursor checking for deceptive alignment
This post is primarily an excerpt from “Acceptability Verification: a Research Agenda” that I think is useful enough on its own such that I’ve spun it off into its own post.
The central idea of this section in the original agenda document is to understand the necessary desid... |
332bb7d9-6a4a-4726-a61a-5d5089898a87 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | EA relevant Foresight Institute Workshops in 2023: WBE & AI safety, Cryptography & AI safety, XHope, Space, and Atomically Precise Manufacturing
**Foresight Institute is a research organization and non-profit that supports the development of technologies that can have a positive impact on the world. Since 1986, we hav... |
b3b30193-ae7d-4ae9-abc5-eae17ac56e8c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AI Safety Reading Group (Session 42)
hello and welcome to the 47 40 second
session of the AI safety RK reading
group and today we will talk about a
article in nature called robotics ethics
of artificial intelligence by Stuart
Russell Russell man and manuel de
Villota nature is probably the most
prestigious internation... |
f4ced5f9-fccf-4956-a165-847a155a856d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Drexler’s Nanotech Forecast
In 1986, Drexler predicted (in Engines of Creation) that we'd have molecular assemblers in 30 years. They would roughly act as fast, atomically precise 3-d printers. That was the standard meaning of nanotech for the next decade, until more mainstream authorities co-opted the term.
What wen... |
e55b966d-8d1b-4b89-ac0d-42c1f701c3ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Question to LW devs: does LessWrong tries to be facebooky?
Or maybe it’s deliberately trying not to be facebooky? By “facebooky”, I mean a website that tries to hack your brain through various stimuli, like optimizing suggestions, tracking your data, steering your interests, inferring personal information, clustering ... |
c8ad3c5a-1d72-4b28-967c-230682c1b8dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Effective Utopia & Narrow Way There: Multiversal AI Alignment, Place AI, New Ethicophysics... (Updated)
(This is the result of three years of thinking and modeling hyper‑futuristic and current ethical systems. The first post in the series. Everything described here can be modeled mathematically—it’s essential... |
2b2a22a7-2b57-441a-a81a-91dcf05cb0ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causal without correlation, how?
There is correlation without causation, but there is also causation without correlation. Why, when is the latter? Is there one reason or more and if so how can they be structured and by what? If one of the observables does not change, because there is a controlling observer (prediction... |
0c2cb29b-6614-4b82-b262-73583cefcf12 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Safer ML paradigms team: the story – AI Safety Research Program
Safer ML paradigms team: the story
==================================
\*This is a summary of the project the team focussing on combining Inductive Logic Programming with Deep Learning undertook.\*
Exploration phase
-----------------
During the fir... |
d8187368-2c4d-497c-8a2c-c87caaa59016 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eliezer Yudkowsky & Connor Leahy | AI Risk, Safety & Alignment Q&A [4K Remaster + HQ Audio]
Many complained about broken audio. I fixed the audio + upscaled to 4k to bring new life into this important discussion. |
cdfc5e32-80b0-4743-9a42-95d6073659ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exploring Llama-3-8B MLP Neurons
TL;DR: We created a dataset of text snippets that strongly activate neurons in Llama-3-8B model. This dataset shows meaningful features that can be found. Explore the neurons with the web interface: https://neuralblog.github.io/llama3-neurons/neuron_viewer.html
An example of a "deriv... |
2abf44b4-70e5-4820-8f48-ed0c69870980 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can we ensure that a Friendly AI team will be sane enough?
One possible answer to the argument "attempting to build FAI based on Eliezer's ideas seems infeasible and increases the risk of UFAI without helping much to increase the probability of a good outcome, and therefore we should try to achieve a positive Sing... |
730ddff8-6d4b-4785-a95e-e9cea9b56740 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Manifest 2023 (Sep 22-24 in Berkeley)
Forecasting Festival hosted by Manifold
TL;DR: Manifold is hosting a conference! 🥳 Chat with the Manifold team, special guests like Robin Hanson, Shayne Coplan, Patrick McKenzie, Dylan Matthews, Destiny, Aella, and more at our inaugural in-person gathering of the forec... |
63185db8-4a1a-4e76-a2d9-e71a70bca1db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Singularity Institute is hiring remote editors!
The Singularity Institute needs to hire remote editors. You don't need to be able to conquer the blank page or write good content, you just need to be able to polish completed 2nd drafts of articles and suggest small fixes to wording when ideas are slightly wrong or ... |
f40f6206-2e92-484b-a236-cccc661ece37 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Historic trends in light intensity
Maximum light intensity of artificial light sources has discontinuously increased once that we know of: argon flashes represented roughly 1000 years of progress at past rates.
Annual growth in light intensity increased from an average of roughly 0.4% per year between 424BC and 1943... |
efa59baf-2407-4790-96a1-f672ad1b5986 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Campaign for AI Safety: Please join me
I will start by saying that I generally agree with Yudkowsky's position on AI. We must proceed with extreme caution. We must radically slow down AI capability advancement. We must invest unfathomable amounts of resources in AI alignment research. We need to enact laws and treatie... |
0234e328-00ef-4faa-8f26-8ca78d38bd92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should LW have an official list of norms?
To get this written and shared quickly, I haven't polished it much and the English/explanation is a little rough. Seemed like the right tradeoff though.
Recently, a few users have written their sense of norms for rationalist discourse, i.e. Basics of Rationalist Discourse and... |
97793dec-78a1-437b-a7d2-3ca70dc177fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Repost] The Copenhagen Interpretation of Ethics
Because the original webpage (and domain) is down, and it takes about a minute (including loading time) for Wayback Machine to give me the page, I've decided to repost this essay here. I consider it an essay that seems core to 2010s rationalist discourse.
-------------... |
fe7be38a-c16b-4fad-a27a-2c0cf7b470c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Dario Amodei leaves OpenAI
This is a linkpost for <https://openai.com/blog/organizational-update/>
> “We are incredibly thankful to Dario for his contributions over the past four and a half years. We wish him and his co-founders all the best in their new project, and we look forward to a collaborative relationship w... |
4a294b6a-4aa4-4c2b-9a24-563366aa2e90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Mechanics of Disagreement
Today's post, The Mechanics of Disagreement was originally published on 10 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Reasons why aspiring rationalists might still disagree after trading arguments.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the origi... |
d3d3c776-1caf-45b6-a251-6cc4cab7d1ec | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism
[Frank Sulloway](http://www.robertboynton.com/?art_id=119) once said: “Ninety-nine per cent of what Darwinian theory says about human behavior is so obviously true that we don’t give Darwin credit for it. Ironically, psychoanalysis has it over Darwinism precisely because its predic... |
e9348ef8-f5ba-44e6-a176-5457011f4a56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does this game have a name?
There is a game where one player wants to predict the action of the other, and the other player wants them to fail (as a fixed sum game)
It has payoffs
1,-1| -1,1
-1,1|1,-1
Or equivalent.
I believe that it has a nash equilibrium of choosing randomly. |
a6980ad5-c575-4de0-8eef-391fac1a5013 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #167]: Concrete ML safety problems and their relevance to x-risk
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the... |
822018b8-8f1e-4962-9893-2344d7b95c38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should you have children? All LessWrong posts about the topic
Currently, there are 26 LessWrong forums posts tagged "family planning", the oldest from 2010. For a writing project, I read all of them. However, I realized that this collection may interest other people, so I publish it as a stand-alone post. I summarize ... |
ee8ab8e4-351c-4c82-a1c4-894c187fc8af | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | AI Timeline predictions in surveys and statements
Surveys seem to produce median estimates of time to human-level AI which are roughly a decade later than those produced from voluntary public statements.
Details
-------
We [compared](http://aiimpacts.org/miri-ai-predictions-dataset/ "MIRI AI Predictions Dataset") ... |
a69acbe2-1aa6-4ef2-9b5d-6e6db9b34f39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nature's Hidden Processes and Structures (Novum Organum Book 2: 1-9)
This is the ninth post in the Novum Organum sequence. For context, see the sequence introduction. For the reading guide, see earlier posts in the sequence.
We have used Francis Bacon's Novum Organum in the version presented at www.earlymoderntexts.c... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.