id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
1108c57f-2c0f-4729-a7bf-f4435cea368d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking for a post about vibing and banter
I'm looking for a post that describes the difference between staying in our head, which is something nerds tend to do (and bantering), and feeling your whole body, "vibing" but thus having less control over your actions.
If someone knows it I would really appreciate a link!
... |
cd98555a-bb0f-4ffd-9def-d6357787632f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not owning our beliefs
Julian Baggini argues that we might be more willing to judge our beliefs objectively if we avoid thinking of them as "our own". I hadn't thought before about explicitly distancing myself from my beliefs in this sense. |
b5873469-f603-42ff-9b75-1ae40a4d7741 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking for an alignment tutor
Hey, this is me. I’d like to understand AI X-risk better. Is anyone interested in being my “alignment tutor”, for maybe 1 h per week, or 1 h every two weeks? I’m happy to pay.
Fields I want to understand better:
* Anything related to prosaic AI alignment/existential ML safety
* Fa... |
9edf34ef-592e-4111-a930-8eac3c0887f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Strangest Thing An AI Could Tell You
Human beings are all crazy. And if you tap on our brains just a little, we get so crazy that even other humans notice. Anosognosics are one of my favorite examples of this; people with right-hemisphere damage whose left arms become paralyzed, and who deny that their left arms... |
5e71857c-f615-4320-982a-9a12720b351f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Fully" acausal trade
Acausal trade happens when two agents manage to reach a deal with each other, despite not being able to interact causally (and, in some cases, not being sure the other one exists). Consider, for example, the prisoner's dilemma played against another copy of yourself, either in the next room or th... |
cd8c39f8-890a-4d06-92bb-27c5eb1e3217 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | A quick econ FAQ for AI/ML folks concerned about technological unemployment
This is a FAQ aimed at a very rapid introduction to key standard economic concepts to professionals in AI and machine learning who have become concerned with the potential economic impacts of their work in the field.
It takes a strong intuiti... |
bbc35422-f20d-47c9-9a87-7fe09876275f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | individuallyselected_7ujun-by Vael Gates-date 20220318
# Interview with AI Researchers individuallyselected\_7ujun by Vael Gates
\*\*Interview with 7ujun, on 3/18/22\*\*
\*\*0:00:03.4 Vael:\*\* Alright. So jumping right in, my first question is, can you tell me about what area of AI you work on in a few sentences?
... |
dbeba29b-0fcc-4c08-9e94-8627d4148354 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can we lobby to get a vaccine distributed faster?
Fellow Rats,
Tyler Cowen has argued that we can release vaccines now without compromising phase III trials through randomization. We could thus benefit from the expected value of innoculating more people earlier and of getting an answer sooner. He has proposed two... |
ffb28a9e-6328-468c-ac27-4abc7625ce20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consequences of the Non-Existence of Perfect Theoretical Rationality
Caveats: Dependency (Assumes truth of the arguments against perfect theoretical rationality made in the previous post), Controversial Definition (perfect rationality as utility maximisation, see previous thread)
This article is a follow up to: The N... |
59c50488-33e8-4c18-83a7-5d3d23fe513a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are we doing when we do mathematics?
I am a mathematician turned cognitive scientist/AI researcher. I wrote a short essay on the philosophy of mathematics that I think will be of interest to many people here. I combine platonist and formalist ideas and frame mathematics as an experimental activity, extremely simi... |
a54ab71d-696b-46fc-b0af-8da58ca84ae5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D.Sci (Easy Mode): On The Construction Of Impossible Structures [Evaluation and Ruleset]
This is a followup to the D&D.Sci post I made last Friday; if you haven’t already read it, you should do so now before spoiling yourself.
Below is an explanation of the rules used to generate the dataset (my full generation cod... |
c8c8b4ea-b6f2-4f8f-824f-f5de3ac1142d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conditional Importance in Toy Models of Superposition
Abstract
This post summarises my findings from investigating the effects of conditional importance on superposition, building on Anthropic's Toy Models of Superposition work. I have summarised my takeaways from the Toy Models of Superposition paper in this blog po... |
9f785c55-6563-42fa-a5f8-732bd67ef0d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87
This is a new thread to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and anything related to it. This thread is intended for discussing chapter 87. The previous thread has passed 500 comments.
There is now a... |
339f72f6-ed92-44bb-b731-8c10f831461e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deconstructing overpopulation for life extensionists
|
22864544-b8d6-44ca-a6fb-3c827be4522d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] 2015 modafinil user survey
I am running, in collaboration with ModafinilCat, a survey of modafinil users asking about their experiences, side-effects, sourcing, efficacy, and demographics:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1ZNyGHl6vnHD62spZyHIqyvNM_Ts_82GvZQVdAr2LrGs/viewform
This is something of a followup to t... |
8a260861-0eb4-435f-ae55-c87c453f7efc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Networked Memory Hierarchy Overhang
tl;dr
It seems likely, based on current capabilities of Transformers, that in the near future humans will engineer systems to maximize real time communication bandwidth between AI and all physical systems (including humans) by saturating networked models of hierarchical size be... |
c2aa9a9a-11dd-4c34-b78a-fd77933fc61c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : First meetup in Stockholm
Discussion article for the meetup : First meetup in Stockholm
WHEN: 15 October 2015 03:00:00PM (+0000)
WHERE: Stockholms universitetsbibliotek, Universitetsvägen 14, 114 18 Stockholm, Sweden
To clarify, the time is 17:00 Swedish time.
I'm going to sit at a table for at least an h... |
b0309fc9-0d95-4e56-a5b3-89e63774f37e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London social meetup - possibly in a park
Discussion article for the meetup : London social meetup - possibly in a park
WHEN: 27 July 2014 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, Holborn, WC2B 6BG
The next LW London meetup will be on July 27th. Join us from 2pm to talk about the sorts of things that ... |
5bc80eb7-36e8-423b-90e6-032bed735fad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hiring Programmers in Academia
A professor I know through the EA community has been trying to hire a software engineer for their research, and they explained some privately about how this is tricky. The following are points I took away that might be useful to programmers considering job postings, people in academia lo... |
a5452d2f-b5db-46cb-8d59-aad99f123f69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When will GPT-5 come out? Prediction markets vs. Extrapolation
So far, each generation of GPT has brought significant improvements. Thinking about the timeline for the next iteration, I noticed that there is a striking difference between extrapolating the past trend and what prediction markets seem to believe.
Forec... |
fab62af7-ff49-40f0-b341-20cceac7a620 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC: Singing
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC: Singing
WHEN: 20 April 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA
We'll be meeting up to go singing!
Because this is probably not a good idea in the portrait gallery, we'll meet there, and th... |
40540853-d633-4957-9f39-055cd436d295 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acoustic vs Electric Mandolin
When I bought my mandolin in 2013, I recorded some examples comparing it to my previous one. Now that I have an electric mandolin, I wanted to do something similar.
The acoustic mandolin is a Collings MT, and the electric is a Gold Tone GME-4. Here's how they sounded:
CHORDS
( acoust... |
43be7115-b401-493f-acc4-7e71d3326779 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Ritual
The room in which Jeffreyssai received his non-beisutsukai visitors was quietly formal, impeccably appointed in only the most conservative tastes. Sunlight and outside air streamed through a grillwork of polished silver, a few sharp edges making it clear that this wall was not to be opened. The floor and wa... |
7683204e-73e2-45e3-bb81-e5727000da04 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Confidence-aware motion prediction for real-time collision avoidance <sup>1</sup>
Introduction Motion planning serves a key role in robotics, enabling robots to automatically compute trajectories that achieve the specified objectives while avoiding unwanted collisions. In many situations of practical interest, such as... |
fcaef7fc-bb73-4402-8db4-6268096f0a28 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | RUDDER: Return Decomposition for Delayed Rewards
RUDDER: Return Decomposition for Delayed
Rewards
Jose A. Arjona-MedinaMichael GillhoferMichael Widrich
Thomas Unterthiner Johannes Brandstetter Sepp Hochreitery
LIT AI Lab
Institute for Machine Learning
Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria
yalso at Institute of A... |
83878cc6-9195-4e66-ae0a-7f9a462d29ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | February 2022 Open Thread
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invited. This is... |
4773bfa9-9f3c-4361-ae66-e6ef3f5d233d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | New Speaker Series on AI Alignment Starting March 3
After talking with a lot of people in Alignment, I think there is still a lot of good to be done for idea diffusion at the object/technical level. We seem to have done a lot of outreach presenting the philosophical arguments, but less so on the technical ground.
Sin... |
88574041-1944-4bc8-9252-7091cd227c51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Credit Cards for Giving
The standard advice for how to physically make a donation is something like: if you're donating less than ~$1,000 use a credit card, otherwise use a check or other method with lower fees. For example, GiveWell writes:
> We recommend that gifts up to $1,000 be made online by credit card. If you... |
c84c2964-9ac4-48a2-b92f-9cc2c15bd766 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where do dualists go wrong?
The latest zombie debates have made me reflect on how a purely philosophical dispute may lack any resolution and yet be harmless as long as the consequences of a 'confused' position don't leak out into the world. Hence, I've brainstormed a short list of practical ways in which dualists may ... |
3a436db3-b42f-49d8-b58c-e0a5b0c88570 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London Social Meetup, 24/11/2013 [Back to the Shakespeare's Head]
Discussion article for the meetup : London Social Meetup, 24/11/2013 [Back to the Shakespeare's Head]
WHEN: 24 November 2013 02:00:00 PM (+0000)
WHERE: 64 Shakespeare's Head, Africa House, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG, UK-68 Kingsway, Londo... |
e8af5a94-eb65-498e-a362-0271cb43d845 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
WHEN: 18 June 2016 03:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24
Agenda 15:00 - 15:30 arrival and social time 15:30 official start with an introduction round 16:00 defining the topic(s) of the day (might be one big pr... |
bddb4245-c2ab-4166-aac4-54ce248208c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lesswrong Community's How-Tos and Recommendations
The Lesswrong community is often a dependable source of recommendations, network help, and advice. When I'm looking for a book or learning material on a topic I'll often try and search here to see what residents have found useful. Similarly, social advice, anecdotes an... |
186e3064-2792-42e6-a9f3-20f550bb0965 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning Normativity: Language
Abram Demski has been writing about Normativity. The suggested models so far have mostly looked at actions rather than semantics, despite suggestions that this is possible and language learning as a motivating example. There is a simple mechanism that seems to me to mostly fit that bill.... |
d44d6f09-c05d-4676-8844-9bfdfe50dfe9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subspace Rerouting: Using Mechanistic Interpretability to Craft Adversarial Attacks against Large Language Models
Warning, this head is easily distracted by adversarial perturbations and should not be relied on to ensure safety.
Code and notebooks available here: https://github.com/Sckathach/subspace-rerouting.
T... |
a1203d5b-54e3-4735-82d7-0bba34c05a5c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone Familiar with Ground News?
I cam across this aggregator site and like the concept but not completely sure to what extent I should trust its truth ratings.
Has anyone else used it as a new source?
https://www.ground.news/ |
7b9719f5-1519-40df-906a-36bf2dd53d26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memetic Tribes and Culture War 2.0
Long, but absolutely worth the read IMHO. Brings together many aspects of today's cultural crisis, explains both its origins and effects, and proposes solutions. |
8c057400-57ed-4ec3-91f2-bab20b9552f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The High Impact Network (THINK) - Launching Now
THINK, The High Impact Network, is going live this week.
We're a network of Effective Altruists (EAs), looking to do the most good for the most people1 as efficiently as possible. We aren't bound by a central cause or ethical framework, but rather by a process, and a... |
a2aff9ed-d099-4ced-86ed-42d309daa0a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | OpenAI introduce ChatGPT API at 1/10th the previous $/token
OpenAI add `gpt-3.5-turbo` to their API, charging $0.002 per 1k tokens. They cite "a series of system-wide optimizations" for 90% cost reduction.
Another example of the dizzying speed of language model progress. |
cc4e6fdb-1112-4573-81f8-bd39f5674a94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The First Filter
Consistently optimizing for solving alignment (or any other difficult problem) is incredibly hard.
The first and most obvious obstacle is that you need to actually care about alignment and feel responsible for solving it. You cannot just ignore it or pass the buck; you need to aim for it.
If you car... |
5c9ecb0d-a618-459b-b673-7ee37f9ae5dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Mutual fund fees
An easy win for rationalists is to avoid actively managed mutual funds. As a NYT article points out:
"High fees, often hidden from view, are still enriching many advisers and financial services companies at the expense of ordinary people who are struggling to salt away savings....even f... |
2b2e44e3-6baf-4e19-aa2c-4e89163ddcf1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Deception as the optimal: mesa-optimizers and inner alignment
*This is a brief distillation of* [*Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems*](https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.01820) *(Hubinger et al. 2019) with a focus on deceptive alignment. Watching* [*The OTHER AI Alignment Problem: Mesa-Opti... |
3153d3d8-70b3-4e89-b32b-0d1606b055b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Nash equilibriums can be arbitrarily bad
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; flo... |
f5b7b097-3a4b-473a-8fdf-31fcc7b02033 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Agent Based Approaches to Engineering Autonomous Space Software
1 Introduction
---------------
Modern control systems are limited in their ability to react flexibly
and autonomously to changing situations. The limiting factor is the
complexity inherent in analysing situations where many variables are
present. There... |
b405f820-d846-4a7b-bd67-eb091b74ed92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts on AI, Philosophy, and Safety
I've spent some time over the last two weeks thinking about problems around FAI. I've committed some of these thoughts to writing and put them up here.
There are about a dozen real posts and some scraps. I think some of this material will be interesting to certain LWers; th... |
5461cfb3-061b-4fa6-96a9-d582e06ae444 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review – Too Like the Lightning
Readers who know me only through Putanumonit may suspect that my reading material consists of nothing but research papers in economics and post-rationalist blogs. That’s not true! I have a shelf full of books at home, without which I would be utterly unfuckable.
The books are actu... |
75036f61-3161-4e5f-b739-5432031af1b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Book Review] "Sorceror's Apprentice" by Tahir Shah
I don't like cars. Watching the world go by through a car window is like watching television. You're too protected.
There's a book Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance: An Inquiry into Values by Robert Pirsig. It's about a father-son motorcycle trip. My dad and... |
786813ff-c831-41a8-971c-c81d4755e07b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Bayesian Approach to Identifying Representational Errors
1 Introduction
---------------
Errors in complex decision tasks can be frequent, and the cause is often unclear, making it difficult to take informed steps towards reducing them. For example, a self-driving car may make mistakes on the road due to several f... |
baa1fee0-c039-43ee-b775-b1e66620ff69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exporting Facebook Comments, Again
I want comments on my social media crossposts to show up on my blog as a comment section, and mostly this works well: modern systems ( Mastodon, Bluesky, LessWrong, etc) provide APIs where you can load the replies associated with a post. On the other hand, older systems like Facebook... |
a33de67c-fbba-40c1-803b-111f83db86eb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Algorithmic formalization of FDT?
I occasionally see a question like "what would FDT recommend in ....?" and I am puzzled that there is no formal algorithm to answer it. Instead humans ask other humans, and the answers are often different and subject to interpretation. This is rather disconcerting. For comparison, you... |
9b5d1860-dc94-4164-8355-e92a35bf4a88 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Can Intelligence Explode?
1 Introduction
---------------
The technological singularity is a hypothetical scenario
in which self-accelerating technological advances cause
infinite progress in finite time.
The most popular scenarios are an intelligence explosion
[[Goo65](#bib.bibx13)] or a speed explosion [[Yud96](#b... |
1dc04627-be78-455f-9f43-12b08071b367 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Trolley Problem
If you go to Harvard Law School, one of the first classes you'll take is called "Justice: What's The Right Thing To Do?" It starts with the trolley problem.
> There's a trolley hurling down the tracks with no breaks. It's on its way to hitting and killing 5 people. You can pull a lever but if you ... |
0fe6f020-88d3-4e84-9488-79a64e058714 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Carbohydrate Hypothesis of Obesity: A Critical Examination
Here. A number of people here are fans of Taubes' work, and so I thought they would be interested in a well-referenced criticism. Hat tip to Landsknecht. |
b6253288-1ddb-497c-91cf-22cc6f57aeb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A courageous story of brain preservation, "Dying Young" by Amy Harmon, The New York Times
The recent major media article by Amy Harmon brings to the public eye the potential of human cryopreservation and chemopreservation techniques to preserve the memories and personal identity of individuals. We at the Brain Preserv... |
b0217bb8-beef-4b5c-ae18-2f4db4b46cf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reverse-engineering using interpretability
Building a model for which you're confident your interpretability is correct, by reverse-engineering each part of the model to work how your interpretability says it should work. (Based on discussion in alignment reading group, ideas from William, Adam, dmz, Evan, Leo, maybe ... |
5126c2cf-5c17-4fab-9327-944d3ef5012e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Water Quality x Obesity Dataset Available
Tl;dr: I created a dataset of US counties’ water contamination and obesity levels. So far I have failed to find anything really interesting with it, but maybe you will. If you are interested you can download the dataset here. Be warned every spreadsheet program will choke ... |
f6d7a33a-114c-4ffe-9947-146f1e24de63 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | when in doubt, kill everyone
when in doubt, kill everyone
----------------------------
one thing that is way worse than [mere existential risks](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instrumental_convergence#Paperclip_maximizer), possibly [by a factor of infinity](ai-alignment-wolfram-physics.html), is [suffering risks, or ... |
540e8829-7167-4089-a4c0-d4773776f52b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Use Search Engines Early and Often
The Internet contains vast amounts of useful content. Unfortunately, it also contains vast amounts of garbage, superstimulus hazards, and false, meaningless, or outright harmful information. One skill that is hence quite useful in the modern day is using search engines correctly, all... |
612cb3cb-de5e-4f82-bbd6-a26a36e628c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread for December 9 - 16, 2013
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
f61d1528-0d94-4898-b3c3-456a5d512184 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bayesian statistics as epistemic advantage
Interesting Talking Machines episode quote about Bayesian stats being used at Bletchley and GCHQ (its successor). Seems like they held on to a possibly significant advantage (crypto ppl would be better to comment on this) for years, owing largely to Turing. (The rest of the e... |
8e226f5a-a513-413e-bea2-ae966dd8882c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk
Summary: AGI isn't super likely to come super soon. People should be working on stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in 20 or 50 years, in addition to stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in the next 10 years.
Thanks to... |
8abfb429-466d-4475-bb21-3bf6fb88da87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The curious case of Pretty Good human inner/outer alignment
I have been convinced to believe that looking at the gap between human inner and outer alignment is a good way to think about potential inner/outer alignment problems in artificial general intelligences:
We have an optimisation process (evolution) trying to ... |
bccb790b-6f33-49c1-831c-d8e7a905906d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI prediction case study 2: Dreyfus's Artificial Alchemy
Myself, Kaj Sotala and Seán ÓhÉigeartaigh recently submitted a paper entitled "The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions and what they mean for the future" to the conference proceedings of the AGI12/AGI Impacts Winter Intelligenceconference. Sh... |
da36944a-70ef-49fc-9819-4832912d2aaa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can Humanism Match Religion's Output?
Perhaps the single largest voluntary institution of our modern world—bound together not by police and taxation, not by salaries and managers, but by voluntary donations flowing from its members—is the Catholic Church.
It's too large to be held together by individual negotiations,... |
7318a1ae-d194-48e7-8759-e472322456a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to Brisbane Slate Star Codex Meetup [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do... |
7e06c0b9-cb8f-4f78-90cb-b02f124998c0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AGI Safety Communications Initiative
A small group of AGI existential safety field-builders and I are starting research exploring a potential initiative about informing the public and/or important stakeholders about the risks of misaligned AI and the difficulties of aligning it.
We are aware that a public communicati... |
1aa05809-fa83-4590-a4df-3b5314e3524b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowledge Base 3: Shopping advisor and other uses of knowledge base about products
In the post Knowledge Base 2: The structure and the method of building I proposed to build a knowledge base on various topics. In this post I am going to present some possible applications of this knowledge base constrained to knowledge... |
f88410a2-ae21-4264-a0a7-bd9d4f917289 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Life on the Grid (Part 2)
Previously: Life on the Grid (Part 1)
Note: there is of course some continuation of themes from part 1, but this essay was written to stand on its own so don’t feel like you have to read the previous installment before digging into this one.
----------------------------------------
Confine... |
2988fc81-9cbc-4ec9-b041-d2f492621446 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automated intelligence is not AI
Crossposted from world spirit sock puppet.
Sometimes we think of ‘artificial intelligence’ as whatever technology ultimately automates human cognitive labor.
I question this equivalence, looking at past automation. In practice human cognitive labor is replaced by things that don’t se... |
26ae307d-36c1-4c92-80fe-37bc6103f529 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there an assurance-contract website in work?
I bet I'm not the only one who, after finishing inadequate equilibria, thought in excitement "Ok, so where's the KickStarter for better Nash equlibria?".
I didn't find any existing site that does something like it, but i wonder if maybe someone in this community is work... |
6a4ab216-2e61-4747-b903-fc86564c3590 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Random Musings on Theory of Impact for Activation Vectors
I want to share some thoughts on why activation vectors could be important, but before you read this post, you should know three things:
1. I don't know what I'm talking about
2. I don't know what I'm talking about
3. I definitely don't know what I'm talkin... |
13e3a6f5-15f7-42bb-9ea3-b26d337c38dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to improve at critical thinking on science/medical literature?
I'm a medical student, and I will often read articles that are critical of scientific literature (Scott Alexander on Pharmacogenomics; EMCrit on thrombolysis in ischemic stroke, etc.) with some awe at the authors' ability to evaluate evidence.
I'm sur... |
880d510e-dd10-4fcd-8913-d8f005e6f2d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subjective expected utility without preferences
In the latest issue of Journal of Mathematical Psychology, Denis Bouyssou and Thieery Marchant provide a model for subjective expected utility without preferences. Abstract:
> This paper proposes a theory of subjective expected utility based on primitives only involving... |
684d4f3f-7717-43d3-9c3e-c5db7028d864 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Summary: Rigorous scientific experiments are hard to apply in daily life but we still want to try out and evaluate things like self-improvement methods. In doing so we can look for things such as a) effect sizes that are so large that they don't seem likely to be attributable to bias, b) a deep understanding of the me... |
dd0318d0-98b8-4d41-8a1c-c16be26f202c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Get Offended
Related to: Politics is the Mind-Killer, Keep Your Identity Small
Followed By: How to Not Get Offended
One oft-underestimated threat to epistemic rationality is getting offended. While getting offended by something sometimes feels good and can help you assert moral superiority, in most cases it do... |
7e5b8e11-324c-46ef-bc16-47d9147d5724 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What exactly does 'Slow Down' look like?
I see a lot of posts regarding regulation, usually these involve some sort of phrase like 'Slow Down' or 'Shut Down'. Pragmatically, what does that look like? Is there an actual draft of a proposed bill somewhere that anyone who had the ear of a Senator could point to and say "... |
b397154f-a2cc-4956-bbe7-26728d40a9b7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Intelligence explosion
An "intelligence explosion" is what happens if a machine intelligence has [fast, consistent returns on investing work into improving its own cognitive powers, over an extended period](https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf). This would most stereotypically happen because it became able to optim... |
8ff5d87e-6719-4962-b573-2b4b3ebfd88f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Agency and Coherence
Epistemic status: spitballing.
"Like Photons in a Laser Lasing"
> When you do lots of reasoning about arithmetic correctly, without making a misstep, that long chain of thoughts with many different pieces diverging and ultimately converging, ends up making some statement that is... still true an... |
8cf0623f-b0c2-4782-90b4-3ca1032f6f48 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More power to you
When people say things like “we were promised flying cars,” I sometimes wonder, “who promised this?”
I guess this is what they mean. From a 1959 ad that ran in the LA Times:
As a friend pointed out, “they're not even wearing seat belts!” The Los Angeles Times, June 21, 1959
“They’re working on it!”... |
e79af4f2-4bf2-4d0e-b2cd-16334367c655 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My case for starting blogging
(This is a retrospective post on a month of daily blogging on my personal blog, what I got out of it, my case for the benefits of regular writing and why this is a good use of your time, and advice for starting a daily writing project yourself)
Retrospective
Overall, I am incredibly hap... |
1f291dff-9941-432b-b213-2903296de3ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Asymptotic Convergence in Online Learning with Unbounded Delays
1 Introduction
---------------
We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too large to evaluate, given observation of the results of running many smaller computations. For example, we might have a physics simulator and want... |
80d69e3b-0aeb-4e63-9b3a-81507fd3c1b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to SSC Meetup Philadelphia [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
How fr... |
c01043be-607c-40c7-be57-02e5cdc6ace6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two Small Experiments on GPT-2
I did two small experiments on the GPT-2 small model. First experiment: can GPT-2-small answer sentiment analysis questions? (It can't.) Second experiment: When GPT-2 writes continuations of Howl, is it picking up the "Moloch in X!" template from its priming, or from a copy of Howl in it... |
1387aac3-eb4b-4a9b-ab2d-d222e04a8aaf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Relentlessness
> There’s not a great way to convey the merciless relentlessness of having a child who insists on continuing to exist and want and need regardless of how much sleep you got, how sick you are, how many times you have already read that book, how tired your arms or how aching your feet, how hungry or sweat... |
71c4e507-2c2c-4ce4-8400-d942b684aeef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grand Theft Education
A story, in three parts.
First, what they’ve done going backwards, and what it lays the rhetorical groundwork to do in the future to help make things worse.
Second, what they’re doing going forwards to actively make things worse.
Third, a bird’s eye view of how much worse things were made.
P... |
e72b8e8b-7c14-42d1-9ac7-ae08dacfd790 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ToL: This ONE WEIRD Trick to make you a GENIUS at Topology!
(These are the touched up notes from a class I took with CMU's Kevin Kelly this past semester on the Topology of Learning. Only partially optimized for legibility)
Time to introduce some new Topological terms. We're going to create some good intuitions aroun... |
93e43171-a5e6-4024-b064-fac83edaeabe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not Getting Hacked
A lot of people get hacked or phished, and being completely secure is somewhere between difficult and impossible, especially if someone trying hard to hack you in particular. But there are several simple things you can do that decrease your risk a lot:
* Use a password manager that fills in fiel... |
41fabd6e-6ec2-46e0-ade5-958e434f28ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Tower of Chaos, Training game
Discussion article for the meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Tower of Chaos, Training game
WHEN: 27 April 2016 07:40:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Moscow, B.Dorogomilovskaya, 5-2
Welcome to Moscow LW community makeshift games! In that g... |
1b34a251-3256-4bde-9947-fbf44115e8e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Perceptual Blindspots: How to Increase Self-Awareness
“Your nose is located right above your mouth. Suppose you don’t brush your teeth for three days. Though this nose is right here, it won’t tell you [that] you have not brushed your teeth. The whole room will know you have not brushed your teeth, but you will not kno... |
d99ec0a4-9d8c-4ea4-bd8f-640bf38a9283 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brussels - The Art of Not Being Right
Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels - The Art of Not Being Right
WHEN: 09 May 2015 01:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles
See detailed description on http://www.meetup.com/LWBrussels/events/221990500/
Discussion article for the meetup :... |
f9ea2285-6d6a-4741-a54a-4a7605d70bf9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LLMs seem (relatively) safe
Post for a somewhat more general audience than the modal LessWrong reader, but gets at my actual thoughts on the topic.
In 2018 OpenAI defeated the world champions of Dota 2, a major esports game. This was hot on the heels of DeepMind’s AlphaGo performance against Lee Sedol in 2016, achiev... |
f62d1e44-ac7f-4a62-8509-25a97f43d590 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread June 2018
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one (use search for Open Thread ).
2. Monthly open threads seem to get lost and maybe we should switch to fortnightly.
3. What a... |
d59de0ca-6b44-44f5-b231-7f972d9441a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The other "Killer Robot Arms Race" Elon Musk should worry about
hi this is a new thing I'm trying where
I made quick topical videos about AI
safety in the news
so somebody linked me a news article
today and the headline is Tesla's Elon
Musk leads Oh terminator picture
everyone playing the AI news coverage a
... |
d6b403e5-56bd-45eb-9f99-2023a9bbb6ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who's Working On It? AI-Controlled Experiments
Dr. Lee Cronin’s “Chemputer” robot
A lot of applications of AI in the experimental sciences boil down to data analysis.
You take existing datasets — be they genomic sequences, images, chemical measurements, molecular structures, or even published papers — and use a mode... |
940d5cf7-4e1b-4843-b19e-d04d24e103a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Case for Taking Over the World--Or Not.
As my education progresses, I'm seeing more and more paralells, through some fictional but generally nonfictional accounts, that sugget that the world is broken in a way that causes suffering to be an emergent property, if not intrinsic. Not just HPMoR (and Significant Digits ... |
ad6faf21-c632-4cd6-a5f6-84dcf22718cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pascal's Wager Fallacy Fallacy
Today at lunch I was discussing interesting facets of second-order logic, such as the (known) fact that first-order logic cannot, in general, distinguish finite models from infinite models. The conversation branched out, as such things do, to why you would want a cognitive agent to t... |
3dc6e0c7-f21a-49cc-af6e-0679354db4eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's going on with Per-Component Weight Updates?
Hi all, this is my first post on LW. It's a small one, but I want improve my writing, get into the habit of sharing my work, and maybe exchange some ideas in case anyone has already gotten further along some projection of my trajectory.
TLDR: I looked at the L2 norm ... |
e4545b2a-e04d-47e6-82f5-9f2e6fb8ba18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research snap-shot: question about Global Workspace Theory
Cross-posted on my roam blog. Part of ongoing research on consciousness.
I wrote an intro to some of my thoughts on consciousness here, which was more conceptual and less neurosciency. This post is a snap-shot of some of the current technical questions that a... |
15c6879b-e019-4804-a5b3-c840f2ce6c51 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Introducing research bounties
*By Katja Grace, 7 August 2015*
Sometimes we like to experiment with novel research methods and formats. Today we are introducing ‘[AI Impacts Research Bounties](http://aiimpacts.org/ai-impacts-research-bounties/)‘, in which you get money if you send us inputs to some of our research.
... |
708c931a-2f79-4fbe-84f7-92f7b531d4af | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Shapley Value Attribution in Chain of Thought
**TL;DR**: Language models sometimes seem to ignore parts of the chain of thought, and larger models appear to do this more often. Shapley value attribution is a possible approach to get a more detailed picture of the information flow within the chain of thought, though it... |
0cfd967e-b88e-449d-aec8-d490bb67ca04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Many Turing Machines
Consider an idealized Turing machine. It has two parts, a "tape" which contains an infinite series of finite states: S0,S1,S2,... and a "head" which sits at a particular index i and stores a single value H.
At each step, the Turing machine reads the state at it's current index. The Turing machine... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.