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c237d060-3d27-4db6-be74-0f8c50759c23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Few Terrifying Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War
Epistemic status: trying to summarize the news and predict, post is under revision, too lazy to citation everything
I wanted to collect a few observations I've made, as best I understand them. This PBS article does a good job of explaining much of it.
1. Vladimi... |
d48bad82-d005-455c-9599-6a01db772a7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choices Are Really Bad
Previously: Choices are Bad
Last time, I gave two (related) reasons Choices are Bad: Choices Reduce Perceived Value and Choices Force You Into Choosing Mode. Despite not looking like much, these reasons are Serious Business. They can render us unable to enjoy, think or relax even when it might ... |
39ef3cb4-9bb9-4184-b720-3a0160987156 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Progress Studies for Young Scholars, an online summer program in the history of technology
I’m thrilled to announce a new online learning program in progress studies for high school students: Progress Studies for Young Scholars.
Progress Studies for Young Scholars launches in June as a summer program, with... |
0d45f801-89fb-450f-902c-a13ea6efb828 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Thinking about Broad Classes of Utility-like Functions
*Here's some thoughts I've had about utility maximizers, heavily influenced by ideas like* [*FDT*](https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.05060) *and* [*Morality as Fixed Computation*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FnJPa8E9ZG5xiLLp5/morality-as-fixed-computation)*.*
The De... |
c4df5c2e-6f7a-4101-b3c4-ce637c5bf7ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blatant lies are the best kind!
Mala: But then why do people get so indignant about blatant lies?
Noa: You mean, indignant when others call out blatant lies? I see more of that, though they often accuse the person calling out the lie of being unduly harsh.
Mala: Sure, but you can't deny - you've seen yourself - that... |
8300d29d-def9-4d78-a82b-5c9d5ae6968e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Almost everyone should be less afraid of lawsuits
One sad feature of modern American society is that many people, especially those tied to big institutions, don't help each other out because a fear of lawsuits. Employers don't give meaningful references, or ever tell their rejected interviewees how they could improve ... |
76d3ecae-6b02-4fba-8403-c4b119054f58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on February 19th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Ann Arbor Meetup, 2/19/16: 19 February 2016 07:00PM
* Baltimore Area Meetup: Futurology / Open Discussion: 28 February 2016 03:00PM
* Cologne... |
534d26ec-3da2-44af-b4c0-f57a6b35a83f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rob Bensinger's COVID-19 overview
Robby posted this to Facebook on March 15th, and just updated section 2 and 3 with new information, making this I think currently one of the best guides to how to respond to this whole situation.
----------------------------------------
(Added Jun. 4: List of changes to this docume... |
6b1670c5-1566-432a-8eca-2ae423d31b8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Positive utility in an infinite universe
Content Note: Highly abstract situation with existing infinities
This post will attempt to resolve the problem of infinities in utilitarianism. The arguments are very similar to an argument for total utilitarianism over other forms which I'll most likely write up at some point... |
29839db8-0a78-4074-b5dd-64309f504735 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Turbocharging
Epistemic status: Mixed
The concepts underlying the Turbocharging model (such as classical and operant conditioning, neural nets, and distinctions between procedural and declarative knowl- edge) are all well-established and well-understood, and the "further resources" section for this class is one of th... |
90ee39fb-e8cf-4f46-84df-150768544a42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Downstream applications as validation of interpretability progress
Epistemic status: The important content here is the claims. To illustrate the claims, I sometimes use examples that I didn't research very deeply, where I might get some facts wrong; feel free to treat these examples as fictional allegories.
In a rece... |
0e93520c-e4b2-426e-9f31-8fc638031498 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Rationality Diary, June 1-15
This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for June 1-15.
> It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
>
> * Established a useful new habit
> * Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some belief... |
0120159e-fcf6-4cb7-95c2-89193d1a1e98 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feedback-loops, Deliberate Practice, and Transfer Learning
[...insert introduction here later...]
Was there a particular moment, incident, or insight, that caused you to start your current venture into "feedbackloop rationality" [to be substituted with better name later]? |
2c96f551-f739-450b-9470-94a8e7a12e0b | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post455
Summary: A Corrigibility method that works for a Pivotal Act AI (PAAI) but fails for a CEV style AI could make things worse. Any implemented Corrigibility method will necessarily be built on top of a set of unexamined implicit assumptions. One of those assumptions could be true for a PAAI, but false for a ... |
6433a74c-55f5-4d44-add1-ff46d7f8edd7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Robin Hanson on Serious Futurism
 [Robin Hanson](http://hanson.gmu.edu/) is an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University. He is known as a founder ... |
5cc53e63-97b7-4eda-a22f-de584ce68a94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Overcoming the MWC
I hope with this post to share some strategies that has worked for me on how to deal with the Madonna Whore Complex.
A lot of this post might seem like obvious things that everyone knows, but it is still worth stating out clearly.
I plan to write more posts detailing my understanding of the dating... |
c4e16ebb-e615-4fc1-bd62-3f9ea903c533 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Outside View isn't magic
The planning fallacy is an almost perfect example of the strength of using the outside view. When asked to predict the time taken for a project that they are involved in, people tend to underestimate the time needed (in fact, they tend to predict as if question was how long things would ta... |
d8bfe3d7-adfe-408e-8c4b-4b6eb02d4bf2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Global challenges: 12 risks that threaten human civilization
Glob Policy. 2020 May; 11(3): 271–282. Published online 2020 Jan 24. doi: [10.1111/1758-5899.12786](//doi.org/10.1111%2F1758-5899.12786)PMCID: PMC7228299PMID: [32427180](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32427180)Defence in Depth Against Human Extinction: Prev... |
3f44839d-82d3-459d-a658-22a7695ca91b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dead Aid
Followup to So You Say You're an Altruist:
Today Dambisa Moyo's book "Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa" was released.
From the book's website:
> In the past fifty years, more than $1 trillion in development-related aid has been transferred from rich countries to Afr... |
d318e61b-4960-4b25-9eed-62d9c12b56f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Import AI 333: Synthetic data makes models stupid; chatGPT eats MTurk. Inflection shows off a large language model
**Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on lattes, ramen, and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this (and comment on posts!) please subscribe.**
[Subscribe no... |
eb64568e-1b72-4744-bf3b-49fa40356fc0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Brain Emulation and Hard Takeoff
Today's post, [Brain Emulation and Hard Takeoff](http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/11/brain-emulation.html) was originally published on November 22, 2008. A summary:
> A project of bots could start an intelligence explosion once it got fast enough to start making bo... |
b8774ec6-90f6-454d-a7aa-12ff28833074 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attachment THEORY AND THE EFFECTS OF SECURE ATTACHMENT ON CHILD DEVELOPMENT
Attachment theory is a psychological theory that has gained an important place in child development literature, especially since the mid-20th century. First developed by British psychiatrist John Bowlby, the theory suggests that the emotional ... |
a9e45898-89b4-4d12-9e0a-f5d7e6460a68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Short version] Information Loss --> Basin flatness
This is an overview for advanced readers. Main post: Information Loss --> Basin flatness
Summary:
Inductive bias is related to, among other things:
* Basin flatness
* Which solution manifolds (manifolds of zero loss) are higher dimensional than others. This is... |
4adb79d6-7fcb-430b-ba59-5e00173f4ddb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automated monitoring systems
Initial draft on 28th Nov, 2024
After participating in the last (18th Nov, 2024) and this week (25th Nov, 2024)'s group discussion about topics of the “𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁” and AI model's “𝗿𝗼𝗯𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀” at the AI Safety Fundamentals program, I have been stuck wi... |
567b30ce-167f-455b-9234-4dd7a62a056d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choosing the Zero Point
Summary: You can decide what state of affairs counts as neutral, and what counts as positive or negative. Bad things happen if humans do that in our natural way. It's more motivating and less stressful if, when we learn something new, we update the neutral point to [what we think the world real... |
59b2ca35-9305-40d6-aa1c-d73843612903 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #117]: How neural nets would fare under the TEVV framework
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this spreadsh... |
d3ebcc01-9c70-4deb-ba97-f73c93b9bace | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How does acausal trade work in a deterministic multiverse?
Acausal trade is speculated to be possible across a multiverse, but why would any rational individuals want to do this if the multiverse is deterministic? The reality measure occupied by all of the branches of the multiverse are pre-determined and causally ind... |
5f1de7a0-6da5-42b2-a56f-363e7ab1aec0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Believe You'll Self-Deceive
I don't mean to seem like I'm picking on Kurige, but I think you have to expect a certain amount of questioning if you show up on Less Wrong and say:
> One thing I've come to realize that helps to explain the disparity I feel when I talk with most other Christians is the fact that so... |
e2a135a1-5737-4786-b049-1698ce0f8c72 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Least Squares and Fourier Analysis
I ended my last post on a somewhat dire note, claiming that least squares can do pretty terribly when fitting data. It turns out that things aren’t quite as bad as I thought, but most likely worse than you would expect.
The theme of this post is going to be things you use all the t... |
6a5169e2-2f4f-411b-af3f-0169088e6cf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wolf's Dice
Around the mid-19th century, Swiss astronomer Rudolf Wolf rolled a pair of dice 20000 times, recording each outcome. Here is his data:
I’ve taken the data from Jaynes, who uses it as an example for maximum-entropy methods. We’ll use it for several examples, including some of Jaynes’ models.
The most ... |
31a43166-59ae-47a1-8a38-8306d9284657 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Melbourne: Report on Public Rationality Lecture
Introduction
In the past couple of months, Melbourne LW has been working to expand our activities and community, as well generally promoting rationality. A huge shout out goes to BraydenM who is responsible for spearheading these efforts. So far we have opened up som... |
50eb4a75-551e-4160-a201-73918447b1f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #23: Fundamental Problems with RLHF
After several jam-packed weeks, things slowed down to allow everyone to focus on the potential room temperature superconductor, check Polymarket to see how likely it is we are so back and bet real money, or Manifold for chats and better graphs and easier but much smaller trading.... |
9895e596-4115-4dbe-9c7e-58534db96f6b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Embedded Agents
Suppose you want to build a robot to achieve some real-world goal for you—a goal that requires the robot to learn for itself and figure out a lot of things that you don’t already know.[1](https://intelligence.org/2018/10/29/embedded-agents/#footnote_0_17907 "This is part 1 of the Embedded Agency series... |
88edac59-5e49-4cd8-8540-84fdfb4ea44a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Beliefs and Disagreements about Automating Alignment Research
*Epistemic status: Mostly organizing and summarizing the views of others.*
*Thanks to those whose views I summarized in this post, and to Tamera Lanham, Nicholas Kees Dupuis, Daniel Kokotajlo, Peter Barnett, Eli Lifland, and Logan Smith for reviewing a dra... |
cd980740-62ed-405c-a1d4-02fa7e1967b4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | "Cars and Elephants": a handwavy argument/analogy against mechanistic interpretability
**TL;DR:** If we can build competitive AI systems that are interpretable, then I argue via analogy that trying to extract them from messy deep learning systems seems less promising than directly engineering them.
**EtA - here... |
e78fc613-384e-4545-af72-6518e76854e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Time Travel, AI and Transparent Newcomb
Epistemic status: has "time travel" in the title.
Let's suppose, for the duration of this post, that the local physics of our universe allows for time travel. The obvious question is: how are paradoxes prevented?
We may not have any idea how paradoxes are prevented, but presum... |
267c6669-1617-4ede-aa77-fe5a64df20aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Event] Weekly Alignment Research Coffee Time (05/17)
Just like every Monday now, researchers in AI Alignment are invited for a coffee time, to talk about their research and what they're into.
Here is the link.
And here is the everytimezone time.
Note that the link to the walled garden now only works for AF membe... |
1574ce81-0cfc-4b42-8047-9ed4396e23c8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Nuclear Espionage and AI Governance
ABSTRACT:
=========
*Using both primary and secondary sources, I discuss the role of espionage in early nuclear history. Nuclear weapons are analogous to AI in many ways, so this period may hold lessons for AI governance. Nuclear spies successfully transferred information about t... |
00fb50ad-9da5-4fe3-b48e-73d92665b161 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Energy efficiency of Wright model B
*Updated Nov 5, 2020*
The Wright model B:
* flew around 0.10—0.21m/kJ
* and moved mass at around 0.036 – 0.12 kg.m/J
Details
-------
The *Wright Model B* was a 1910 plane developed by the Wright Brothers.[1](https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-wright-model-b/#easy-foo... |
68c8027f-3ff2-4a09-b1e6-d16ca0002aa2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | How does Redwood Research do adversarial training?
[Redwood Research](https://www.redwoodresearch.org/) explains their approach to [adversarial training](/?state=935A&question=What%20is%20adversarial%20training%3F) in the paper [“Adversarial Training for High-Stakes Reliability”](https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.01663). The... |
4e9a44b6-15ce-4db7-b6e9-c74b2b778e17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Born Probabilities
Previously in series: Decoherence is Pointless
Followup to: Where Experience Confuses Physicists
One serious mystery of decoherence is where the Born probabilities come from, or even what they are probabilities of. What does the integral over the squared modulus of the amplitude density have... |
477e434c-0f84-4306-8620-6035e6be6591 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is microCOVID "badness" superlinear?
That is: if I have a choice between 200 microCOVIDs now, or 100 now and 100 next month, does it matter which one I pick? (For bonus points: how big is the difference? And does the answer change if it's 20000 vs 10000/10000?)
(Alternatively: what keywords would I search to find stu... |
3a5feaf3-fe26-416a-99b9-98aba4135fb3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Explicitness
*[Metadata: crossposted from <https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/03/explicitness.html>. First completed March 3, 2023.]*
Explicitness is out-foldedness. An element of a mind is explicit when it is available to relate to other elements when suitable.
*Thanks to Sam Eisenstat for related conversations.*
... |
87323373-d7c2-4172-a1a8-d2f700153d59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Risk & Policy Forecasts from Metaculus & FLI's AI Pathways Workshop
Crossposted from the Metaculus Journal.
Summary
Over a two-day workshop, Metaculus Pro Forecasters and subject-matter experts (SMEs) from several organizations evaluated policy directions for reducing AI risk using scenario planning and forecasti... |
4fef32fc-ffb5-414c-89ca-81a750ac3f30 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Composing Complex and Hybrid AI Solutions
1 Introduction
---------------
By the end of the 20thsuperscript20th20^{\rm th}20 start\_POSTSUPERSCRIPT roman\_th end\_POSTSUPERSCRIPT century the field of computer vision featured a vast repertoire of methods and algorithms, but suffered
from the lack of a common framewor... |
616e3033-03cb-41eb-b55c-d4645f0c60f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Curse Of The Counterfactual
The Introduction
The Curse of the Counterfactual is a side-effect of the way our brains process is-ought distinctions. It causes our brains to compare our past, present, and future to various counterfactual imaginings, and then blame and punish ourselves for the difference between reali... |
f6679515-8057-4692-b53d-8c2615953871 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 'Pause Giant AI Experiments' - Letter Breakdown w/ Research Papers, Altman, Sutskever and more
less than 18 hours ago this letter was
published calling for an immediate pause
in training AI systems more powerful
than gpt4 by now you will have seen the
headlines about it waving around
eye-catching names such as... |
48603a96-21de-4b4a-9d91-218543a69956 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bridging syntax and semantics, empirically
EDIT: I've found that using humans to detect intruders, is a more illustrative example than the temperature example one of this post. The intruder example can be found in this post.
This is a series of posts with the modest goal of showing on how you can get syntax from sema... |
2b47499a-a894-449e-a6b9-dc9ebceec3ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Refuting Searle’s wall, Putnam’s rock, and Johnson’s popcorn
In a recent essay, Euan McLean suggested that a cluster of thought experiments “viscerally capture” part of the argument against computational functionalism. Without presenting an opinion about the underlying claim about consciousness, I will explain why the... |
b219b785-6695-4a3e-9919-bfc7905ac2eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The (Boltzmann) Brain-In-A-Jar
Response to: Forcing Anthropics: Boltzmann Brains by Eliezer Yudkowsky
There is an argument that goes like this:
> "What if you're just a brain in a jar, being fed an elaborate simulation of reality? Then nothing you do would have any meaning!"
This argument has been reformulated ma... |
e79771bf-741f-4ecd-a6c0-a975c1767b0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Identifying semantic neurons, mechanistic circuits & interpretability web apps
15 research projects on interpretability were submitted to the mechanistic interpretability Alignment Jam in January hosted with Neel Nanda. Here, we share the top projects and results. In summary:
* Activation patching works on singular ... |
7db8b90f-2a49-42b5-8ff8-8cad20bd398e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the functional role of SAE errors?
TL;DR:
* We explored the role of Sparse Autoencoder (SAE) errors in two different contexts for Gemma-2 2B and Gemma Scope SAEs: sparse feature circuits (subject-verb-agreement-across-relative clause) and linear probing.
* Circuit investigation: While ablating residual error... |
66ec10ee-d3a5-43c5-aece-cfbb5491f3ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI: Exodus
Previously: OpenAI: Facts From a Weekend, OpenAI: The Battle of the Board, OpenAI: Leaks Confirm the Story, OpenAI: Altman Returns, OpenAI: The Board Expands.
Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike have left OpenAI. This is almost exactly six months after Altman’s temporary firing and The Battle of the Board, th... |
2b6fab75-43b7-4b3d-8516-3d1bf9142edd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Episode 4 of Tsuyoku Naritai! (the 'becoming stronger' podcast): TAPs
Latest episode is up! In this episode, we experiment with forming habits, to hopefully be more effective people. Transcript in description/show notes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L1_erZGknEA&feature=youtu.be
https://anchor.fm/tsuyokunaritai/ep... |
38006c36-f554-486b-b12b-48e1b33e7f0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automatic for the people
Summary: Things we could do about technological unemployment, if there was technological unemployment. (Novel bit is a top-down macroeconomic calculation.)
Confidence: 90% that the solutions I call 'vicious' would be. 60% that the ones I call 'nonvicious' would be. Worth emphasising up here t... |
f990e4ff-361f-44d3-b2e2-d3c798e130a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tackling Moloch: How YouCongress Offers a Novel Coordination Mechanism
Moloch, as articulated by Scott Alexander, represents the coordination problems that lead to outcomes that leave everyone worse off. While prediction markets explore what people think will happen, YouCongress aims to aggregate beliefs and desires r... |
0e1d9d0f-4d5f-4ad5-bcbf-6bc767e0172f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Fable of the AI Coomer: Why the Social Prowess of Machines is AI's Most Proximal Threat
My head snaps upwards. I lock my eyes with the screen, staring with quaking intensity. My gaze will now be rooted until I am done. I begin to beat more quickly, as GPT-3 softly whispers the final phrase of her response to me. W... |
27067d8d-e1e0-4ee7-aff8-68663118588a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality, Transhumanism, and Mental Health
My name is Brent, and I'm probably insane.
I can perform various experimental tests to verify that I do not perform primate pack-bonding rituals correctly, which is about half of what we mean by "insane". This concerns me simply from a utilitarian perspective (separation ... |
16b490f8-23e8-45c6-8caa-5bc8c31cb8c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two kinds of cryonics?
I've been considering lately whether it would perhaps be best to develop and promote terminology that splits cryonics into two distinct concepts for easier consumption:
1) old-style cryonics, cryopreserving people at the cost of nontrivial damage that can't yet be reversed, and
2) the tech goa... |
885e9ad2-81a9-488d-9787-ffd9bf27bb40 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A funny argument for traditional morality
I just had a long conversation with my brother, a devout Christian. With my help he has outlined the following argument why it might be good for me to follow Christian deontology:
1. Many of my moral values arose from my upbringing, as opposed to biology. This is evidenced b... |
e1ceb824-21dd-47e2-8db5-a2eca0df9309 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Join and meet
Let $\langle P, \leq \rangle$ be a [https://arbital.com/p/-3rb](https://arbital.com/p/-3rb), and let $S \subseteq P$. The **join** of $S$ in $P$, denoted by $\bigvee_P S$, is an element $p \in P$ satisfying the following two properties:
* p is an *upper bound* of $S$; that is, for all $s \in S$, $s \leq... |
5e39118b-fb63-42c6-bdf2-8e437c0cec06 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Towards State Summarization for Autonomous Robots
Towards State Summarization for Autonomous Robots
Daniel Brooks, Abraham Shultz, Munjal Desai, Philip Kovac, and Holly A. Yanco
Computer Science Department
University of Massachusetts Lowell
One University Avenue
Lowell, Massachusetts 01854
fdbrooks, ashultz, mdesai, p... |
b097b4dc-d78d-4b61-bdc5-8ba41e7b2511 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Willing to be your music mentor in exchange for video editing mentorship
Hey, I’m looking to trade expertise! I’m knowledgable in music theory, composition, improvisation, and music practice. I’m most proficient in guitar but I could teach piano as well.
I want to learn everything I can about video editing and would ... |
c8d0f4c1-4903-4abc-9a66-3b5c6f792a3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Drive-By Low-Effort Criticism
I'd like to point out a phenomenon that has predictable consequences, that people are seemingly unaware of:
The Drive-By Low-Effort Criticism.
To illustrate, we'll use:
The Relationship Between the Village and the Mission
That was a recent post by Raemon on here that, as far as I can ... |
929ffe55-1296-4b45-b567-fd08f76ccbf7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligence 8: Cognitive superpowers
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
--------------------------------------... |
20457f5d-81e1-4d3a-a014-32f8bb1ac146 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Singularity or Bust" full documentary
http://www.3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2013/11/singularity-or-bust-.html
I've never heard of this before, and have only watched 7 minutes so far, but I'd imagine many people here would be interested in this video. |
485eeeeb-d8e0-4031-9545-33166023c57f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cultivate the desire to X
Recently I have found myself encouraging people to cultivate the desire to X.
Examples that you might want to cultivate interest in include:
* Diet
* Organise ones self
* Plan for the future
* be a goal-oriented thinker
* build the tools
* Anything else in the list of common human goa... |
b674070a-44d9-45b1-bd04-3cd5f5ad693b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much I'm paying for AI productivity software (and the future of AI use)
This post is broken down into two parts:
1. Which AI productivity tools am I currently using (as an alignment researcher)?
2. Why does it currently feel hard to spend +$1000/month on AI to increase one's productivity drastically?
Which AI... |
2fa75f8d-563d-4f0d-81b2-7ef3d6b0a597 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Signal seeding
What does it say about a person if they never get up before noon?
If they are the first person to exist, it probably says that morning was for some reason a convenient time to sleep.
If they live in modern society, it might say that they are lazy and weak willed.
How did getting up at one time or ano... |
53e11ac6-ea2a-4163-8478-7bd59e1545f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A discussion of normative ethics
Adam Zerner
Hey Gordon. Thanks for being willing to chat with me about this idea I have of Reflective Consequentialism. I've been wanting to do so for a while now.
To start, let me provide some context regarding what lead me to think about it.
Consequentialism makes a lot of sense to... |
21ea72ff-f971-4f7f-9234-9044678edb9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
In previous pieces, I argued that there's a real and large risk of AI systems' developing dangerous goals of their own and defeating all of humanity - at least in the absence of specific efforts to prevent this from happening.
A young, growing field of AI safety research tries to reduc... |
e1d9f4e7-f7fd-49bf-8bad-64e46bdcf2d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I stopped working on AI safety
Here’s a description of a future which I understand Rationalists and Effective Altruists in general would endorse as an (if not the) ideal outcome of the labors of humanity: no suffering, minimal pain/displeasure, maximal ‘happiness’ (preferably for an astronomical number of intellig... |
d43785d9-858e-41dc-959f-7a1b5fb991b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA Meetup - Utilitarianism
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Utilitarianism
WHEN: 26 September 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064
When: 7:00pm Wednesday, September 26th.
Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), ... |
eaed6460-de16-4b2c-a65b-8eb29f49751e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Negative polyamory outcomes?
Related article: Polyhacking
Note: This article was posted earlier for less than a day but accidentally deleted.
Although polyamory isn't one of the "official" topics of LW interest (human cognition, AI, probability, etc...), this is the only community I'm part of where I expect a suf... |
c6bff9c1-a7a9-481c-aad1-b21f20229aaf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Different way classifiers can be diverse
With thanks to Lee Sharkey and Michael Cohen for the conversations that lead to these ideas.
In a previous post, I talked about how we could train classifiers on the same classification problem - a set of lions vs a set of huskies - but using different approaches to classify.
... |
34cdf82e-2109-49b4-8bc4-fd7dcb55f2b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Bet Log
I occasionally make bets about future events. I think I probably should do that more often than I currently do. Given that, I think it's good practice to have a public record of the bets I've made and their outcomes, when available.
I'll try to keep this updated going forward, if I continue to make bets. (... |
ddbd6508-8aea-4ae0-9f21-c750fff1b7c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone)
Today's post, Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) was originally published on 22 November 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Tackles the Hollywood Rationality trope that "rational" preferences must reduce to selfish hedonism - caring strictly about perso... |
f19f98c2-7c3f-4aaf-8d38-c73888a5057f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning takes a long time
I recently realized that I had greatly underestimated the inferential distance between most of my readers and myself. Thinking it over, I realize that the bulk of the difference comes from a difference in perspectives on how long it takes to learn substantive things.
People often tell me th... |
d3aacef3-6e3c-44d0-95af-2fa99cf6a4f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why does Applied Divinity Studies think EA hasn’t grown since 2015?
Applied Divinity Studies seeks to explain why the EA community hasn’t grown since 2015. The observations they initially call the EA community not having grown are:
1. GiveWell money moved increased a lot in 2015, then grew only slightly since then.
... |
b627efcc-9033-4d7a-aad6-0f98042af7c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are Human Brains Universal?
[Previously]
Introduction
After reading and updating on the answers to my previous question, I am still left unconvinced that the human brain is qualitatively closer to chimpanzee (let alone an ant/earthworm) than it is to hypothetical superintelligences.
I suspect a reason behind my ... |
f335c940-2a1a-47f1-b382-48c43158639a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cryonics in Australia: How do you actually do it?
Today it struck me just how dumb it was to agree fully with the desirability of being signed up for cryonics and yet not be so. I may, in perfect honesty, also be procrastinating from a piece of uni work that I need to do by Tuesday, but I intend to get right back to i... |
7407d242-ea1f-4f68-ab79-d5414be53e4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 105: The Truth, Pt 2
Tom Riddle.
The words seemed to echo inside Harry's head, sparking resonances that as quickly died away, broken patterns trying to complete themselves and failing.
Tom Riddle is a
Tom Riddle was the
Riddle
There were other priorities occupying Harry's attention.
Professor Quirrell wa... |
902a85f8-a03e-4137-a5de-4e9acb867537 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Variational Inverse Control with Events: A General Framework for Data-Driven Reward Definition
###
1 Introduction
Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown remarkable promise in recent years, with results on a range of complex tasks such as robotic control (Levine et al., [2016](#bib.bib10)) and playing video games (M... |
6f209068-8c0e-4d42-a1df-80e3274219e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beware over-use of the agent model
This is independent research. To make it possible for me to continue writing posts like this, please consider supporting me.
Thank you to Shekinah Alegra for reviewing a draft of this essay.
----------------------------------------
Outline
* A short essay intended to elucidate t... |
91e66b29-6656-435b-a422-63cf6ae0dab0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | LLMs and computation complexity
*Epistemic status: Speculative. I've built many large AI systems in my previous HFT career but have never worked with generative AIs. I am leveling up in LLMs by working things out from base principles and observations. All feedback is very welcome.*
Tl;dr: An LLM cannot solve computat... |
767e0b1d-2d59-4785-8073-b03ef8350299 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Only You Can Prevent Your Mind From Getting Killed By Politics
Follow-up to: "Politics is the mind-killer" is the mind-killer, Trusting Expert Consensus
Gratuitous political digs are to be avoided. Indeed, I edited my post on voting to keep it from sounding any more partisan than necessary. But the fact that writers ... |
8fe5bccf-1712-4448-970d-a4c5085e8dc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Question about application of Bayes
I have successfully confused myself about probability again.
I am debugging an intermittent crash; it doesn't happen every time I run the program. After much confusion I believe I have traced the problem to a specific line (activating my debug logger, as it happens; irony...) I ha... |
68542eb1-346e-4da7-94bd-6d5d0b58e5bb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Would AIXI protect itself?
*Research done with Daniel Dewey and Owain Evans.*
AIXI can't find itself in the universe - it can only view the universe as computable, and it itself is uncomputable. Computable versions of AIXI (such as AIXItl) also fail to find themselves in most situations, as they generally can't simu... |
3293d6e7-1742-47cf-ae5e-f0da2badb2be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | High school students and effective altruism
The cluster of ideas underlying effective altruism is an important part of my worldview, and I believe it would be valuable for many people to be broadly familiar with these ideas. As I mentioned in an earlier LessWrong post, I was pleasantly surprised that many advisees for... |
8b695eda-fbf7-40d1-bdf2-a84aa27171db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | February 2017 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out th... |
b396c228-f6ea-4a85-ac33-566a1b1887a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A rational unfalsifyable believe
A rational unfalsifyable believe
I'm trying to argue that it is possible for someone rational to hold on to a believe that is unfalsifyable and remain rational.
There are three people in a room. Adam, Cain, and Able. Able was murdered. Adam and Cain was taken into police custody. ... |
714ada34-16fa-44fb-a9e1-28e2031d1906 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What was so great about Move 37?
I frequently use "Move 37" as a shorthand for "AI that comes up with creative, highly effective ideas that no human would ever consider." Often the implication is that reinforcement learning (as used in AlphaGo) has some "secret sauce" that could never be replicated by imitation learni... |
5f262f54-1f79-4379-b349-3bce71f40357 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Suzana Herculano-Houzel on cognitive ability and brain size
[Suzana Herculano-Houzel](http://www.suzanaherculanohouzel.com/lab) is an associate professor at the [Federal University of Rio de Janeiro](http:/... |
0ee8857e-e309-4b68-b2fe-836fd15abcb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pluck Sensor Circuit
A while ago I finished the "user interface" portion of my electronic harp mandolin. I'm happy with the signals the piezos put out, but now I need some electrical engineering to get the signals into a computer where I'll be more at home.
Since I made a design with 13 piezos, I wanted something wit... |
91da770e-5af2-4185-be18-3d2373af1788 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Upcoming meet-ups:
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled meet-ups in:
* DC: Sunday June 5 at 1pm
* Edinburgh: Saturday June 4 at 2pm
* Fort Collins, Colorado: Wednesday June 8 at 7pm
* Houston: Saturday June 4 at 2pm
* London: Sunday June 5 at 2pm
* Ottawa: Thurs June 9 at 7pm (+ an Ottawa Bayesian statist... |
4ee262d4-311c-4093-8574-a18c5ab44f24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apply for ARBOx2: an ML safety intensive [deadline: 25th of May 2025]
[Crosspost from EA forum]
Apply to ARBOx2: a programme to rapidly upskill in ML safety.
Join us (OAISI) in Oxford this July for our second iteration of ARBOx (Alignment Research Bootcamp Oxford), a 2-week intensive designed to rapidly build skills... |
b69b8e89-99d0-4f11-9e1e-1ad68d9b576f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Apply to a small iteration of MLAB to be run in Oxford
TLDR: We’re running a small iteration of MLAB (~10 participants) in Oxford towards the end of September. If you’re interested in participating, apply [here](https://forms.gle/QV9z6cxNGnS1UJzq6) by 7 September. If you’re interested in being a TA, please email us di... |
329b2006-b4ed-4a67-a4ef-a4b2af0970fc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Growing Recursive Self-Improvers
Growing Recursive Self-Improvers
Bas R. Steunebrink1(B),K r i s t i n nR .T h ´ orisson2,3,a n dJ ¨ urgen Schmidhuber1
1The Swiss AI Lab IDSIA, USI and SUPSI, Manno, Switzerland
bas@idsia.ch
2Center for Analysis and Design of Intelligent Agents,
Reykjavik University, Reykjavik, Iceland... |
4f1befa9-692e-4baa-9fec-ff9240f5f735 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D Sci Coliseum: Arena of Data
This is an entry in the 'Dungeons & Data Science' series, a set of puzzles where players are given a dataset to analyze and an objective to pursue using information from that dataset.
Complexity Rating: 4/5
STORY
The Demon King rises in his distant Demon Castle. Across the free land... |
17499cb9-1621-4f82-9ab2-0f16e468787c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Condition-directedness
In chess, you can’t play by picking a desired end of the game and backward chaining to the first move, because there are vastly more possible chains of moves than your brain can deal with, and the good ones are few. Instead, chess players steer by heuristic senses of the worth of situations. I a... |
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