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bb904c7b-3d44-4d1d-822f-cec82093f1fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Map and Territory: a new rationalist group blog
If you want to engage with the rationalist community, LessWrong is mostly no longer the place to do it. Discussions aside, most of the activity has moved into the diaspora. There are a few big voices like Robin and Scott, but most of the online discussion happens on indi... |
78380882-1668-4d08-b0dc-301aec000f69 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Theory of Minds: Understanding Behavior in Groups Through Inverse Planning
Introduction
------------
Cooperation enables people to achieve together what no individual would be capable of on her own. From a group of hunters coordinating their movements to an ad-hoc team of programmers working on an open source proje... |
639906ae-d90a-450f-b89a-d3d9798c856e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Misrepresentation as a Barrier for Interp (Part I)
John: So there’s this thing about interp, where most of it seems to not be handling one of the standard fundamental difficulties of representation, and we want to articulate that in a way which will make sense to interp researchers (as opposed to philosophers). I gues... |
d75a7b2d-4cd0-473c-ba5b-1467a26ec675 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Isn't Tesla Level 3?
Many people who've used Tesla's "Full Self Driving" software are pretty excited about it:
> I can step into a Tesla today, press a destination, and go there without touching the wheel or pedals. Sure it won't be flawless but the fact is, I can. I can't do the same in any other consumer car,... |
dc4c3088-6304-4c8b-a23d-8aee41381cb3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distinguishing definitions of takeoff
I find discussions about AI takeoff to be very confusing. Often, people will argue for "slow takeoff" or "fast takeoff" and then when I ask them to operationalize what those terms mean, they end up saying something quite different than what I thought those terms meant.
To help al... |
f4105530-3391-47a1-9043-5c12a8b0a89c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | It's Not About Efficiency
When I explain the importance of donating only to the right charity, I've been told that it's not about efficiency. This is completely correct.
Imagine a paperclip company. They care only about making paperclips. They will do anything within their power to improve efficiency, but they don't ... |
939ae08b-2b57-43b3-b0a2-7f3694184ff8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I there a demo of "You can't fetch the coffee if you're dead"?
Hi everyone! My name is Ram Rachum, and this is my first post here :)
I'm an ex-Google software engineer turned MARL researcher. I want to do MARL research that promotes AI safety. You can read more about my research here and sign up for monthly updates.... |
eacdb195-eedc-409b-b3df-d25461948ed8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Various Alignment Strategies (and how likely they are to work)
Note: the following essay is very much my opinion. Should you trust my opinion? Probably not too much. Instead, just record it as a data point of the form "this is what one person with a background in formal mathematics and cryptography who has been doi... |
ef8246db-ea91-4016-8433-2eb8bbfa0137 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CDT=EDT=UDT
Epistemic status: I no longer endorse the particular direction this post advocates, though I'd be excited if someone figured out something that seems to work. I still endorse most of the specific observations.
So... what's the deal with counterfactuals?
Over the past couple of years, I've been writing ab... |
799d5373-ccb4-4d68-8cfb-9ffcbf2743f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Playing Without Affordances
Play structures are so easy that even children can figure out how to use them correctly. There is a wheel. Spin it! There is a slide. Go down it! There is a staircase. Climb it! There is a tunnel. Crawl through it!
And a tic-tactile-toe board.
This can be good – sliding down slides is quit... |
556bb04b-aadd-4eca-9793-21769417d32d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Austin, TX
Discussion article for the meetup : Austin, TX
WHEN: 29 October 2011 01:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 2222B Guadalupe St Austin, Texas 78705
While the Austin Bayesian Conspiracy now exists as a UT student organization, there's a $5 fee to reserve a room on the weekends. For this week, we'll still be at... |
040c9ad9-3b2c-483c-9201-ccdb7d0c083f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Do Better ImageNet Models Transfer Better?
1 Introduction
---------------
The last decade of computer vision research has pursued academic benchmarks as a measure of progress. No benchmark has been as hotly pursued as ImageNet deng2009imagenet. Network architectures measured against this dataset have fueled much pr... |
55cffc53-4929-4d84-b07a-3a0327de2188 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] High school students coerced into non-optimal philanthropy via psychological warfare
From the article:
> For someone who isn’t a fan of teen idol Justin Bieber, being forced to listen to one of his songs over and over again could be considered cruel and unusual punishment.
>
> At Evanston Township High School... |
3e943635-eeb5-4092-b563-82f1d089b9f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Towards a solution to the alignment problem via objective detection and evaluation
Thanks to Arun Jose, Joseph Bloom, and Evan Hubinger for discussions/feedback.
This work was primarily carried out during [SERI MATS](https://www.serimats.org/) under Evan Hubinger’s mentorship.
Introduction
============
We explore ... |
cfbe9868-31f5-42c9-8f1f-b3f26ecc941a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When Programmers Don't Understand Code, Don't Blame The User
In Undergraduation, Paul Graham said something that has always stuck with me:
> On the whole, grad school is probably better than most alternatives. You meet a lot of smart people, and your glum procrastination will at least be a powerful common bond. And o... |
55942bb6-3282-4e25-964e-b695dade351d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Science Saturday: Singularity Edition | John Horgan & Eliezer Yudkowsky [Science Saturday]
hello Ellie you there yep I'm there this
is John Morgan on this end I'm an
occasional contributor to the science
Saturday program of vlogging heads TV
and I have a really interesting guest
with me today I hope I get this right
e... |
292fdcd3-8feb-44ad-944e-a74e992d30a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral Obligation and Moral Opportunity
This concept and terminology was spawned out of a conversation a few years ago with my friend Skyler. I finally decided to write it up. Any mistakes here are my own.
----------------------------------------
Every once in a while, I find myself at yet another rationalist/EA/what... |
f1476d0d-36a2-4845-b14e-c0ee8c575524 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Model the Future of Open-Source LLMs?
I previously expected open-source LLMs to lag far behind the frontier because they're very expensive to train and naively it doesn't make business sense to spend on the order of $10M to (soon?) $1B to train a model only to give it away for free.
But this has been repeatedl... |
670fe15d-9d37-49df-8356-c50c8053ff64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Obviousness is not what it seems
Things can be obvious if they are simple. If something complicated is obvious, such as anything that anybody seriously studies, then for it to be simple you must be abstracting it a lot. When people find such things obvious, what they often mean is that the abstraction is so clear and ... |
9d953096-a139-4142-beb5-9a5742fe7875 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Levels of Play
One method that I find very easy to use to evaluate adequacy concerns is "level of play". If you look at different games or different leagues of the same game, it's pretty apparent that the "level of play" - the amount of athleticism, effort, skill, planning, strategy, etc. that is on display - is quite... |
2dcf540c-6f26-415d-9ff4-14a913ea18f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can the world handle the HAMAS situation?
We are a few hours away from a likely ground incursion / invasion of Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) into Northern Gaza. For the past week I've been trying to figure out a more reasonable way that the world can deal with Hamas, as an alternative to what the Israeli governmen... |
45d070ce-5f28-48db-b93d-57ff69d2a31d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone with the medical knowledge to evaluate an extraordinary claim?
In a different forum I frequent ( [The Ornery American](http://www.ornery.org/cgi-bin/ubbcgi/ultimatebb.cgi) ), a regular member there (LetterRip) has recently been making an extraordinary claim - a new theory of medicine he has devised that relates... |
a67f06ab-732e-4fb0-a451-473ebf991854 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best of Rationality Quotes, 2011 Edition
I created a 2011 update to last year's Best of Rationality Quotes collection. (Here is the original.)
Best of Rationality Quotes 2011 (360kB page, 352 quotes)
and Best of Rationality Quotes 2009-2011 (700kB page, 706 quotes)
The page was built by a short script (source code... |
2c8ea523-96be-46a0-91bd-8dcd3e6e9278 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding differences between humans and intelligence-in-general to build safe AGI
Anthropomorphization strikes me as a big problem in AI safety research. People intuitively ascribe human attributes to AGI, even though humans are only one tiny subset of the space of all possible forms of intelligence.
I would lik... |
dbaa05e5-b131-458f-8974-13e6f3e1d985 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Teaching AI to Explain its Decisions Using Embeddings and Multi-Task Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
New regulations call for automated decision making systems to provide
“meaningful information” on the logic used to reach conclusions
(Goodman & Flaxman, [2016](#bib.bib15); Wachter et al., [2017](#bib.bib34... |
2be44bf4-0fdf-4e7e-a4c7-afbb1a72ec9a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Linear algebra
The study of [linear transformations](https://arbital.com/p/linear_transformation) and [vector spaces](https://arbital.com/p/vector_space). |
a56062aa-f288-42e2-ac31-4a218dc401b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: American History
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: American History
WHEN: 04 July 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
We'll be congregating at the courtyard of the National Portrait Gallery from 3:00 - 3:30 until closing.
The topic is American His... |
d97df663-0386-4853-9abc-6eed54930878 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there a way to stop liking sugar?
Kurzweil calls sugar the great white Devil.
Seinfeld contends that cookies should be called chocolate-sons-of-bitches.
Once upon a time I was paleo, and didn't feel carb cravings. But being paleo all the time is nearly as hard as being polyphasic.
There must be a final sol... |
4ef66c79-07db-4449-a4f7-c7e9dcb48792 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You can send people KN95s
At the beginning of the pandemic there was a massive mask shortage. We still don't have enough US-spec masks, but production of Chinese-spec (KN95) masks has ramped up enormously. These are much better than cloth masks, and any time someone in our household goes inside (work, medical appointm... |
67d2f12d-142d-4ec4-b650-005b80213ef2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 22 - Shard Theory with Quintin Pope
YouTube link
What can we learn about advanced deep learning systems by understanding how humans learn and form values over their lifetimes? Will superhuman AI look like ruthless coherent utility optimization, or more like a mishmash of contextually activated desires? T... |
49aade18-1c49-4f85-a6a6-bd2f8fc30ee5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning values, or defining them?
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
Is there a teapot currently somewhere between the orbit of Earth and Mars? And who won the 1986 World Cup football match between England and Argentina? And what do these questions have to do with learning human values?
Underlying tru... |
c4c9e3e1-a441-4ac2-8f76-13caa7687a82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #125]: Neural network scaling laws across multiple modalities
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the ne... |
252346e2-f9fb-48df-941e-a1ce00be388c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Defining capability and alignment in gradient descent
This is the first post in a series where I'll explore AI alignment in a simplified setting: a neural network that's being trained by gradient descent. I'm choosing this setting because it involves a well-defined optimization process that has enough complexity to be... |
114dc389-c8a1-427b-b3df-62e2f5ea014d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 0 Motivation Mapping through Information Theory
How channel motivation?
In this text, I propose a theoretical model for personal mapping based on information theory, Following These Steps
A) A Personal Contextualization of the Problem
B) Introducing the Problem Using Analogies
C) The Problem
D) Technical Intr... |
5be6e0d8-bf05-45a6-ae94-4e5e1591a2d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Would A Fight Between Humanity And AGI Look Like?
When I imagine what a fight between humanity and a moderately-superhuman AGI looks like… well, mostly I imagine there is no fight, humanity just gets wiped out overnight. But if humanity turns out to be more resilient than expected, and the AGI doesn’t immediately... |
f78e8643-7a0b-485d-8b04-5d4469a447ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why We Should Abandon Weak Arguments (Religious)
|
8ca8885c-cb19-46b1-bb9d-9e05a1e98806 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help Us Find Your Blog (and others)
Previously: Against Facebook – Call to Action, Against Facebook – Details
Note (5/2): Due to my need to prepare for Magic: The Gathering’s Pro Tour: Amonkhet, updates to this blog and progress exploring new blogs will be slow for the next two weeks. I will still get to the full lis... |
b1e1f026-6bfc-480b-8b4e-1c52a8e13536 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Communicating effectively under Knightian norms
tl;dr: rationalists concerned about AI risk often make claims that others consider not just unjustified, but unjustifiable using their current methodology, because of high-level disagreements about epistemology. If you actually want to productively discuss AI risk, make ... |
efc9856f-f2b5-40a5-b288-89a386b4f1b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Spreadsheet-based tool for tracking time
I'm not sure what interest others will have in this, but I developed a spreadsheet-based time-tracking tool a bit back for a friend. He wanted to see where he was spending his time -- work, sleep, time with his wife, recreation, kids, etc. I used it myself for a while, too, and... |
1c395c46-cc05-49b1-b6b7-7ca5b507dd66 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | QACI blob location: no causality & answer signature
QACI blob location: no causality & answer signature
---------------------------------------------------
here some things i've realized with regards to [blob location](blob-causality.html), for [QACI](qaci.html).
if i quantum-generate the question blob then it's n... |
53527fb2-6049-4923-9203-527b3b72900a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 10/28: An Unexpected Victory
The story of this week is what went down at the port of Los Angeles. The port had been brought to a standstill, because there was nowhere to put empty containers and trucks were sitting around with empty containers on them instead of moving freight, and the problem kept getting worse... |
cba35d24-1850-4dd0-a729-5fb2cdc54f0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Becoming a Staff Engineer
I'm trying to think of things to write that would be both easy to hammer out and valuable enough to garner upvotes during these few days when upvotes are extra valuable. So how about a topic I know a lot about: my job!
I'm a senior staff software engineer. What does that mean?
There's a cou... |
c5c9e493-0a23-4bd5-b8c2-c81b4d04e5d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Solow-Swan model of economic growth
Note: This is the first post in a sequence I announced over a year ago. The sequence is intended to serve as a primer to the field of economic growth for those interested in the intersection between growth theory and artificial intelligence. See the announcement for more details... |
9acb831c-6ee9-4c6e-be77-d4819c7dbd26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Real Rules Have No Exceptions
(This is a comment that has been turned into a post.)
From Chris_Leong’s post, “Making Exceptions to General Rules”:
> Suppose you make a general rule, ie. “I won’t eat any cookies”. Then you encounter a situation that legitimately feels exceptional , “These are generally considered... |
0d647dc7-9285-4795-87ab-c4a8e9dc5f15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Dallas - Fort Worth Less Wrong Meetup 5/6/12
Discussion article for the meetup : Dallas - Fort Worth Less Wrong Meetup 5/6/12
WHEN: 06 May 2012 01:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: America's Best Coffee, Arlington
We had a handful of people show up last week, and it was quite enjoyable. Not bad for our first meetup! ... |
f384b82a-b67a-43c9-a529-83f2ed253e85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should you have children? A decision framework for a crucial life choice that affects yourself, your child and the world
The need for a structured framework for deciding whether you should have children
In the rationality community and in the EA community, it is normal to analyze all kinds of decisions in detail, and ... |
9da85344-0f8e-4333-8194-c3ecf6ea72ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 6. Increase Intelligence: Welcome AI Players
Voluntary cooperation is a main feature of the civilizational game. It got us to where we are today. We explored how to improve and defend this dynamic from within the game. Gradually, non-human intelligent players are entering the playing field. In a few more iterations, t... |
67580381-1813-40fd-ba1a-d225c7948c60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Question 4: Implementing the control proposals
Whose problem is it, really?
Let’s imagine that AGI safety research has been remarkably successful: researchers have (1) correctly identified the most plausible learning architectures that AGI will exhibit, (2) accurately anticipated the existential risks associated with ... |
8b4af4d6-de18-4956-8962-991494b76afc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Four Month Report June - September 2020
We send short monthly updates in our newsletter – subscribe [**here**](https://cser.us7.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=4ea4100d3725552d8efc5a0ef&id=b96dceb22c&MERGE0=).
[**READ AS PDF**](https://www.cser.ac.uk/media/uploads/files/CSER_Repor... |
9af3ff06-bdc0-4362-9c18-3f75217f9a65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Hand vs. Fingers
Today's post, Hand vs. Fingers was originally published on 30 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> When you pick up a cup of water, is it your hand that picks it up, or is it your fingers, thumb, and palm working together? Just because something can be reduced to smaller p... |
1a4570dc-c530-459f-a57f-ab6993c62346 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Why does AI takeoff speed matter?
A slow takeoff over decades or centuries might give us enough time to put off worrying about superintelligence until some indefinite “later”, making current planning more like worrying about “[overpopulation on Mars](https://www.theregister.com/2015/03/19/andrew_ng_baidu_ai/)”. But a ... |
7ced453c-41cf-4762-9cae-52c8f931b615 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fractional Resignation
When you're playing games you generally want to spend your time exploring interesting situations, which are typically ones where there are a range of outcomes. If someone is definitely going to win it's not usually much fun to keep going, and in many gaming cultures when you get to this point it... |
b1ba31b4-6284-4c7b-8be8-4ca9bf80bf76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Steganography and the CycleGAN - alignment failure case study
1. This is a (lightly edited) transcript of a lightning talk I gave during the Virtual AI Safety Camp 2022. The original talk in video format can be found here (can also by listened to)
2. Many thanks to Remmelt Ellen for preparing the initial version of t... |
28e14979-556e-4541-8d95-ffd13bdc3db9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
TL;DR: We present a retrieval-augmented LM system that nears the human crowd performance on judgemental forecasting.
Paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563 (Danny Halawi*, Fred Zhang*, Chen Yueh-Han*, and Jacob Steinhardt)
Twitter thread: https://twitter.com/... |
8aceb75e-d05f-4052-ac2e-74bfa200132c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup
WHEN: 17 January 2014 05:42:30PM (+1100)
WHERE: 5 / 52 Leicester St, Carlton, VIC
The January social meetup will be on Friday 17th at our usual location in Carlton. All welcome from 6:30pm.
Our social meetups are informal ... |
ba905a56-1dc4-4b72-8e8d-706f576c1b34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Retrospective on a quantitative productivity logging attempt
I have a productivity scale I've used to log productivity data for several years. It's a subjective rating system from 1 to 10, and looks something like
> 1. can’t do anything, even reading. Worktime 0%.
> 2. can force myself to read or work, but I can bar... |
9abae108-8653-482c-8c24-8056adc524d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if a tech company forced you to move to NYC?
It’s interesting to me how chill people sometimes are about the non-extinction future AI scenarios. Like, there seem to be opinions around along the lines of “pshaw, it might ruin your little sources of ‘meaning’, Luddite, but we have always had change and as long as t... |
ddda8775-f174-4012-b7f7-f69591f035d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | May gwern.net newsletter
None |
2122a0ca-089b-45f4-9152-e06ab5fff373 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | $20 Million in NSF Grants for Safety Research
After a year of negotiation, the NSF has announced a $20 million request for proposals for empirical AI safety research.
Here is the detailed program description.
The request for proposals is broad, as is common for NSF RfPs. Many safety avenues, such as transparency ... |
a0f84188-e453-4008-a347-4820d7e2f0f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The literature on aluminum adjuvants is very suspicious. Small IQ tax is plausible - can any experts help me estimate it?
I am a PhD biostatistician who has worked on a project in this area. I am hoping to crowdsource opinions on this issue, especially from readers with knowledge of neurology, nephrology and/or toxico... |
25a2f9cf-7222-49e9-87d4-a82ad6fe1a56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is it like to be psychologically healthy? Podcast ft. DaystarEld
Damon Sasi (@DaystarEld) is a mentor of mine, and he is also a therapist who claims to be very psychologically healthy. What’s his inner experience like?
* “Probably for an average week, maybe I'll suffer for like five minutes”
* “I don't think I... |
d7482bf9-1bd0-4adf-a22b-39028a1b7b9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Self-confirming predictions can be arbitrarily bad
Predicting perverse donors
==========================
There is a rich donor who is willing to donate up to £2,000,000 to your cause. They’ve already written a cheque for £1,000,000, but, before they present it to you, they ask you to predict how much they'll be dona... |
9e22e889-b93c-4626-a223-9af97d41eca4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FAI FAQ draft: What is the history of the Friendly AI concept?
I invite your feedback on this snippet from the forthcoming Friendly AI FAQ. This one is an answer to the question "What is the history of the Friendly AI concept?"
_____
Late in the Industrial Revolution, Samuel Butler (1863) worried about what might... |
780089fd-35f6-4597-a359-7753f54489c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HPMOR and the Power of Consciousness
Throughout HPMOR, the author has included many fascinating details about how the real world works, and how to gain power. The Mirror of CEV seems like a lesson in what a true Friendly AI could look like and do.
I've got a weirder theory. (Roll for sanity...)
The entire story is p... |
3cc78aa1-5c58-4b40-a62e-3750cb0aff04 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | My Overview of the AI Alignment Landscape: A Bird’s Eye View
***Disclaimer:** I recently started as an interpretability researcher at Anthropic, but I wrote this doc before starting, and it entirely represents my personal views not those of my employer*
*Intended audience: People who understand* why *you might think ... |
1f53121c-bcee-446c-8542-26b8391e7d3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Identity and Death
This recent SMBC comic illustrates the old question of what exactly is you by referencing the Star Trek Teleporter Problem. Do you actually get teleported or does the teleporter just kill you before making a copy of you somewhere else?
Well, the answer that a lot of rationalist seem to accept is Pa... |
e3ef5112-3caa-4156-ab27-0ae4875b2df1 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post105
Note: this is a research note based on observations from evaluating Claude Sonnet 3.7. We’re sharing the results of these ‘work-in-progress’ investigations as we think they are timely and will be informative for other evaluators and decision-makers. The analysis is less rigorous than our standard for a pub... |
23df657a-e644-4534-a222-ab62446ae9c1 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: 912e307077b74f9c
Access to powerful AI might make computer security radically easier Redwood Research blog Subscribe Sign in Share this post Redwood Research blog Access to powerful AI might make computer security radically easier Copy link Facebook Email Notes More Access to powerful AI might make computer securi... |
9d9c003f-36d5-4939-8c0d-bc0a1d462c90 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Automated curricula through setter-solver interactions
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms use correlations between policies and environmental rewards to reinforce and improve agent performance.
But such correlation-based learning may struggle in dynamic environments with constantl... |
2ffd096d-3193-4406-9145-6e11bd6346e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choosing a meetup venue
This is the first post in a sequence I'm writing on how to run a meetup. The advice in this sequence comes from hundreds of survey responses and dozens of conversations I've had with meetup organizers and attendees over the past four and a half years. I'm just the messenger.
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d57cc4ed-ea9d-42d7-baf8-ae2ebb3727cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probably tell your friends when they make big mistakes
Big mistakes = Doing something that is actively harmful or useless by their own lights and values, i.e. doesn't help them achieve their life goals. (Not: Doing something that isn't in line with your values and goals.)
A lot of people think that others in the EA-i... |
a076755e-8376-4ac3-890d-edf8e5dea51d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Misalignment and Strategic Underperformance: An Analysis of Sandbagging and Exploration Hacking
In the future, we will want to use powerful AIs on critical tasks such as doing AI safety and security R&D, dangerous capability evaluations, red-teaming safety protocols, or monitoring other powerful models. Since we care ... |
8e307b4a-f8d4-4995-b9ce-4d9195d7b95d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | disclosing subjectivity
disclosing subjectivity
-----------------------
we all know that [when expressing opinions, subjectivity is implied](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gu8u2SxarEE); however, i still feel like there are reasonable steps one can make to disclose the *degree* of subjectivity of claims; both for op... |
ef19b8c4-43a4-4887-8d24-25fbd7243436 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Pascal's Wager Saved My Soul
[I know Pascal's Wager isn't a hard logical problem for a Bayesian to tackle. However, please read the following account of how it helped me become more rational.]
I was a Christian when I was a boy. I believed in the miraculous birth and resurrection of Christ, heaven and hell, God o... |
289085c1-57d7-4652-a5c8-a1f32ea3373a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ask AI companies about what they are doing for AI safety?
Cross-posted from the EA Forum.
Today, I had the pleasure of attending a talk by Jeff Dean at my university (Georgia Tech). Titled “Five Exciting Trends in Machine Learning,” it was a fascinating, engaging presentation. Midway through the talk, I started to id... |
eda38f78-4660-4862-b7da-da94a058a3c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to Efektywny Altruizm Warszawa [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
Ho... |
c7ecc1e2-0b1b-42ab-bee4-744c6261b950 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is AI safety doomed in the long term?
Are there any measures that humanity can put in place to control a vastly (and increasingly) more intelligent race?
On the basis that humans determine the fate of other species on the planet, I cannot find any reasons for believing that a lesser intelligence can control a greate... |
1721f21b-653d-4c6d-9731-936664dfab8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stepwise inaction and non-indexical impact measures
Overall summary post here.
In a previous post, I asked which impact measures were vulnerable to subagents. Vika pointed out that it was not merely an issue of of the impact measure, but also of the baseline.
This is indeed the case, but the nature of the impact mea... |
6d9941e3-7db6-4266-8314-9d21091bdfb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brussels - August (topic TBD)
Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels - August (topic TBD)
WHEN: 09 August 2014 01:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles
[This post will be updated when we have decided what the meetup topic will be, if any.]
We will meet at 1 pm at "La Fleur en pap... |
31fd110b-715e-4b73-aba1-60ff97e8f98a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | If we had known the atmosphere would ignite
What if the Alignment Problem is impossible?
--------------------------------------------
It would be sad for humanity if we live in a world where *building* AGI is very possible but *aligning* AGI is impossible. Our curiosity, competitive dynamics, and understandable desi... |
9a324a38-004c-4c1d-8b55-103ec969aaae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta: How do I navigate to see my oldest comments?
Title says it all, really. I was thinking about writing a post encouraging looking back on ones LW comments over the past year or so to see how much ones views have changed, how much more or less they've changed than expected, what weaknesses have been patched, what t... |
c585c660-eace-4535-9fb9-6c73748df92a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Needs image
Meta tag for pages which would benefit from having images.
If a specific image has been described, use the [https://arbital.com/p/5v6](https://arbital.com/p/5v6) tag. |
675a82d4-a4e4-4d38-bd8c-a9446b4e0dbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Model Organisms for Emergent Misalignment
Ed and Anna are co-first authors on this work.
TL;DR
* Emergent Misalignment (EM) showed that fine-tuning LLMs on insecure code caused them to become broadly misaligned. We show this is a robust and safety-relevant result, and open-source improved model organisms to acceler... |
d3abac67-07de-4c92-9825-93c4a945aed5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup organizing query & a rally for Minnesotans
General Comments about Organizing Meetups
I looked through the meetup thread prior to making this, but found it horrendously confusing. I don't think LessWrong is the best way to organize, especially via a string of 250 comments. I also checked out the Facebook group ... |
2c6534e6-36b8-43cc-882c-1e8e0cd45751 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sports
This is intended to be a pretty broad discussion of sports. I have some thoughts, but feel free to start your own threads.
----------------------------------------
tl;dr - My impression is that people here aren't very interested in sports. My impression1 is that most people have something to gain by both comp... |
e7e4a62c-f1d2-44e4-a8bb-0faf5c07c792 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Public Weights?
While this is close to areas I work in, it's a personal post. No one reviewed this before I published it, or asked me to (or not to) write something. All mistakes are my own.
A few days ago, some of my coworkers at SecureBio put out a preprint, "Will releasing the weights of future large language mode... |
d57c24a2-45e5-46de-b35d-85af0bd84109 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Takes on Takeoff
Epistemic Status: Exploratory
I wrote this as part of an application for the Chicago Symposium on Transformative AI, where I try & sketch out what takeoff might look like. I’m making a lot of claims, across a range of domains, so I’d expect there to be many places I’m wrong. But on the whole, I hope ... |
e911866b-3f7b-45c5-be76-c5426341863b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deliberate Dysentery: Q&A about Human Challenge Trials
Introduction
The intentional infection of human beings with pathogens under study has been going on for centuries. In 1796, an English physician named Edward Jenner inoculated an 8-year-old boy against smallpox with cowpox lesions he retrieved from the hands of a ... |
98f8c3ed-26b3-4ac9-86c5-da42467a3d60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing Avatarism: A Rational Framework for Building actual Heaven
People of LessWrong share a common thread: a drive to understand reality as it is, coupled with a willingness to tackle ambitious projects that push beyond current human limitations. Today, I’d like to introduce a nascent idea—“Avatarism”—that atte... |
0ae6ec03-7840-4798-b37e-a08444d95a34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Maze of Moral Relativism
|
b573f418-3d35-4a2a-b99c-faab02f840c7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is Goodhart's law?
[Goodhart’s law](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/goodhart-s-law) states that when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
For example, usually the number of people who click on a link to an article is a good measure of its quality. However, if you start ranking websites or pa... |
9388986d-7d7b-44b5-9d0e-710c1d4778f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Request: Put Carl Shulman's recent podcast into an organized written format
Carl Shulman recently did a very long interview with Dwarkesh Patel on the Lunar Society Podcast, which Dwarkesh released in two separate episodes because of its length. I have seen many people point to this interview as adding a lot of import... |
a8d04062-6c0c-47db-8e1f-472098370af6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are your rules of thumb?
I'm not as smart as I like to think I am. Knowing that, I've gotten into a habit of trying to work out as many general principles as I can ahead of time, so that when I actually need to think of something, I've already done as much of the work as I can.
What are your most useful cached t... |
b2977420-8f97-47d1-916b-4c9d9d9791f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with
Language Models
A new paper from Google, in which they get a language model to solve some (of what to me reads as terrifyingly impressive) tasks which require quantitative reasoning skills. The abstract reads as follows:
> Language models have achieved remarkabl... |
718f31d9-3513-45f1-9bf8-4aac105befbc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Shanghai Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Shanghai Meetup
WHEN: 28 January 2013 07:00:00PM (+0800)
WHERE: 45 Yue Yang Road, near Dong Ping Road, Shanghai
There's going to be a meetup 7p.m. Monday evening at Abbey Road. Two other people have said they'll be attending as well. I'll be giving a short... |
dbbbf75c-2197-43c8-b937-ef392a702211 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Survey on AI existential risk scenarios
Cross-posted to the EA forum.
Summary
* In August 2020, we conducted an online survey of prominent AI safety and governance researchers. You can see a copy of the survey at this link.[1]
* We sent the survey to 135 researchers at leading AI safety/governance research organis... |
4275b323-ed51-4338-994a-ee33b6975d06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Criticism of EA Criticism Contest
Back when it was announced, I toyed with the idea of criticizing the EA criticism and red teaming contest as an entry to that contest, leading to some very good Twitter discussion that I compiled into a post.
I finally found myself motivated to write up my thinking in detail.
Before... |
d2140a42-7a3d-4727-9b95-d43c29865645 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2080
This is a response to ARC's first technical report: Eliciting Latent Knowledge . But it should be fairly understandable even if you didn't read ARC's report, since I summarize relevant parts of their report as necessary. Here I propose some approaches to the problem ARC outlines which are very different... |
613c6067-074a-4f69-b987-cbd8679f0167 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Matthew Walker's "Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
This was one of the most thought-provoking posts I read this month. Mostly because I spent a really large number of hours of my life sleeping, and also significantly increased the amount that I've been sleeping over the past three years, and... |
8d1b617e-1e96-47d3-b7aa-fe7270593629 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Life at Three Tails of the Bell Curve
If you assume other people are the same as you along every dimension then you will over-estimate other people exactly as much as you underestimate them. It is a good first-order approximation to assume other people are like yourself.
Most people are in the middle of any given bel... |
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