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99f3f11f-9ccd-493f-991a-9f5174633b6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The ELYSIUM Proposal -
Extrapolated voLitions Yielding Separate Individualized Utopias for Mankind
"We ideally want to move reality closer to the efficient frontier of personal utopia production." |
b2c79138-38cf-47de-b78b-f7877854d28d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Examples of AI Increasing AI Progress
Recursive self-improvement is already here.
This point is far from original. It’s been described before, for instance [here](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aqTAd7KzsYmHWYdei/why-copilot-accelerates-timelines), in Drexler’s [Reframing Superintelligence](https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/w... |
9e31e6e7-5a8d-4bde-b82b-06f60abe82f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Dissolve the Problem of Free Will and Determinism (Video)
Here is a pretty good lecture posted on YouTube about dissolving the question of Free Will. It struck me how similar his thoughts were to some of the points that have been made on Less Wrong, like how some answers may seem like explanations without havin... |
f811e842-8f39-412e-9c9f-f7e183328b9e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Axes for Sociotechnical Inquiry in AI Research
I Introduction
---------------
Recent years have seen increasing public awareness of the profound implications of artificial intelligence (AI) applications and large scale data collection.
It is now common for both large tech companies and academic researchers to motiv... |
bdfb426d-9c37-43b4-bd9d-80b02ebbe7d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bragging Thread January 2015
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you'r... |
51344be2-4524-4cf3-9e5f-a5f9f21613c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Linkpost: A tale of 2.5 orthogonality theses
Creating a link post to an important argument about a potential motte and bailey fallacy used in the AI alignment community. |
d9a22478-da70-45eb-bfd0-45f6d2580136 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help me make SI's arguments clear
One of the biggest problems with evaluating the plausibility of SI's arguments is that the arguments involve a large number of premises (as any complex argument will) and often these arguments are either not written down or are written down in disparate locations, making it very hard ... |
7571173e-a0bf-4451-ac7c-27d9615d258f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Another medical miracle
Or, "How I became even more disappointed in the medical practice in the USA than I already was".
I'm getting older - half a century now - and have recently been having health problems. It started with soreness in my right hip about four years ago, gradually getting worse and worse over time. A... |
0a696c1d-9ad8-4877-b4c6-3c2ebe132458 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An overview of the mental model theory
There is dispute about what exactly a “mental model” is and the concepts related to it are often aren't clarified well. One feature of them that is generally accepted is that “the structure of mental models ‘mirrors’ the perceived structure of the external system being modelled.”... |
d28557c1-bbd1-49cf-86ba-1e1651c9a5c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mechanics without wrenches
Say you're taking your car to an auto mechanic for repairs. You've been told he's the best mechanic in town. The mechanic rolls up the steel garage door before driving the car into the garage, and you look inside and notice something funny. There are no tools. The garage is bare - just a... |
b570284b-5a9a-4228-a582-f0c2b38e3a3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bring up Genius
(This is a "Pareto translation" of Bring up Genius by László Polgár, the book recently mentioned at Slate Star Codex. I hope that selected 20% of the book text, translated approximately, could still convey 80% of its value, while taking an order of magnitude less time and work than a full and precise t... |
9299d4b6-2f43-4049-a558-c145e1e1bf08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feedback on LW 2.0
What are your first impressions of the public beta? |
21aeda5f-9afc-4e14-94e1-028c0d0b05e7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Modelling Morality with Prospective Logic
Modelling Morality with Prospective Logic
Lu´ıs Moniz Pereira1and Ari Saptawijaya2
1CENTRIA, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, 2829-516 Caparica, Portugal
lmp@di.fct.unl.pt
2Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Indonesia, 16424 Depok, Jawa Barat, Indonesia
saptawijaya@cs.ui.ac.id
Ab... |
ea2f3466-fc8d-41d6-a8a6-2ac8c0d8a3b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Me (Steve Byrnes) on the “Brain Inspired” podcast
Official episode page — Listen on your favorite podcasting app — Watch on YouTube
The discussion centered around my blog post series from earlier this year—“Intro to Brain-Like AGI Safety”—as well as AGI and safety and alignment more generally.
As context, the Brain ... |
c4de5915-5402-4b6c-9d02-4902d34b8b01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
WHEN: 21 December 2014 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
We will be meeting in the Kogod Courtyard of the National Portrait Gallery (8th and F Sts or 8th and G Sts NW, go straight past the info... |
fcd19fc4-e8d3-4b00-bb08-ca28912f4322 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Procedural Executive Function, Part 1
To most people, Executive Function is a confusing, mysterious thing that only really comes to attention through dysfunction, particularly mental health disorders like ADHD or depression. Questions of how it works, or how to get more of it, are treated as similar to questions of ho... |
aa592262-1de0-4b86-a4a1-1ccf7c0c1205 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | ML Alignment Theory Program under Evan Hubinger
In the past six weeks, the Stanford Existential Risks Initiative (SERI) has been running a trial for the “ML Alignment Theory Scholars” (MATS) program. Our goal is to increase the number of people working on alignment theory, and to do this, we’re running a scholars prog... |
c210a0e1-8400-4525-8f93-dc9321df1a3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sentience Institute 2023 End of Year Summary
Summary
Last year’s 2022 End of Year Summary was published just five days before the launch of ChatGPT. This event surprised many in the field, and the global spotlight has illustrated how important it is to understand human-AI interaction. Our priority continues to be rese... |
81af9e88-4177-479a-a3d1-7fbf51344900 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Response to Blake Richards: AGI, generality, alignment, & loss functions
Blake Richards is a neuroscientist / AI researcher with appointments at McGill & MiLA. Much of his recent work has involved making connections between machine learning algorithms and the operating principles of the cortex and hippocampus, includi... |
52b4bf6b-3a78-4261-a322-b9178068ce30 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Some Thoughts on Singularity Strategies
Followup to: [Outline of possible Singularity scenarios (that are not completely disastrous)](/lw/6j9/outline_of_possible_singularity_scenarios_that/)
Given that the [Singularity](http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Technological_singularity) and [being strategic](/lw/2p5/humans_ar... |
9f1e441f-1a0d-443c-a6f1-74217475b4a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Improving Dictionary Learning with Gated Sparse Autoencoders
Authors: Senthooran Rajamanoharan*, Arthur Conmy*, Lewis Smith, Tom Lieberum, Vikrant Varma, János Kramár, Rohin Shah, Neel Nanda
A new paper from the Google DeepMind mech interp team: Improving Dictionary Learning with Gated Sparse Autoencoders!
Gated SA... |
e30c9160-bc79-4949-86aa-a756b0b87e64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | List #1:
Why stopping the development of AGI is hard but doable
A friend in technical AI Safety shared a list of cruxes for their next career step.
The first crux was that they did not believe that progress on AI can be expected to stop.
Copy-pasting a list that I compiled in response (with light edits):
>... |
4f4ce03a-6983-4e9c-94be-ef5455c04595 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Empirical probabilities are not exactly 0 or 1
[Cromwell's Rule](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwell%27s_rule) in statistics argues that no empirical proposition should be assigned a subjective probability of *exactly* $0$ or $1$ - it is always *possible* to be mistaken. (Some argue that this rule should be genera... |
aa924f10-d909-4fcf-be8f-3fccadbf96fe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | AI Vignettes Project
*Posted Oct 12 2021*
The **AI Vignettes Project** is an ongoing effort to write concrete plausible future histories of AI development and its social impacts.
Details
-------
### Purposes
We hope to:
* Check that abstract views about the future of AI have plausible concrete instantiations... |
5f439eed-8392-4ec7-bf1b-570b57f0782a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neural networks for games
Recently, I've read tutorial about neural network in a snake game. (you can see it here - https://towardsdatascience.com/today-im-going-to-talk-about-a-small-practical-example-of-using-neural-networks-training-one-to-6b2cbd6efdb3) But, the way it train the neural network it bit funny - in pra... |
3a7f182c-e1e9-4cc5-93ae-d475d21f9ab0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Training Language Models with Language Feedback at Scale
1 Introduction
---------------
Language Models (LMs) achieve strong performance across diverse NLP tasks, from summarization to question answering and dialog (Radford2018ImprovingLU; Radford2019LanguageMA; brown2020language; rae2021scaling, inter alia). One o... |
7e2ba7c4-0f02-47ec-a5ac-c4c1428e838a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post43
One key hope for mitigating risk from misalignment is inspecting the AI's behavior, noticing that it did something egregiously bad , converting this into legible evidence the AI is seriously misaligned, and then this triggering some strong and useful response (like spending relatively more resources on safe... |
1563d5c3-8cee-4e4b-ae42-e531cd4870f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Bi-weekly Frankfurt Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Bi-weekly Frankfurt Meetup
WHEN: 01 January 2019 07:30:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Frankfurt/Main
This is a long term meetup announcement for Frankfurt. We're not sure we'll actually meet on the date given here, but there'll definitely be meetups (usua... |
9bff3a87-f371-492e-ab37-38b5ff0ae73f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Critical Review of 'The Precipice': A Reassessment of the Risks of AI and Pandemics
Introduction
============
In this essay I will present a critical response to Toby Ord’s recent book The Precipice (page numbers refer to the soft cover version of this book). Rather than attempting to address all of the many issues d... |
798d80fd-e460-45ab-b33b-343e7e14fb26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta: social influence bias and the karma system
Given LW’s keen interest in bias, it would seem pertinent to be aware of the biases engendered by the karma system. Note: I used to be strictly opposed to comment scoring mechanisms, but witnessing the general effectiveness in which LWers use karma has largely redeemed ... |
a424a9a3-487a-4744-9df2-0fb64058269b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Call for Pythia-style foundation model suite for alignment research
Hi! My research collaborators and I happened to be in possession of a significant amount of compute. We're inspired by the Eleuther's team [Pythia repo](https://github.com/EleutherAI/pythia) and would like to make a similar model suite for interpretab... |
4d3bdfec-cb02-4c55-b2c5-3f79c81d0827 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment Open Thread October 2019
Continuing the experiment from August, let's try another open thread for AI Alignment discussion. The goal is to be a place where researchers and upcoming research can ask small questions they are confused about, share early stage ideas and have lower-key discussions. |
1d94a9ba-398e-44b8-99a7-426d6072d447 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Boston?
In college we had a set of signs we posted for common concepts. You might point at the sign that said "lexical semantics" as convenient way to indicate that a discussion had fallen into that particular trap, and we had signs for many circumstances. The sign with the largest impact, however, was "move to Bo... |
5a927465-bf69-46b0-af0b-16f9299fc835 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Mastering Atari Games with Limited Data.
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning has achieved great success on many challenging problems. Notable work includes DQN [[27](#bib.bib1 "Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning")], AlphaGo [[37](#bib.bib2 "Mastering the game of go with deep n... |
72ca31b9-75e1-4340-9952-9b0b06ce6032 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictions for shard theory mechanistic interpretability results
How do agents work, internally? My (TurnTrout's) shard theory MATS team set out to do mechanistic interpretability on one of the goal misgeneralization agents: the cheese-maze network.
The network in action on its training distribution, where cheese i... |
a1ba381d-6226-43b0-96e7-327434bb6323 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A potentially high impact differential technological development area
Specifically, this is boosting LLMs and Non-RL AI relative to RL AI.
I am making this post because I want to signal boost an observation by porby, which could be lossily compressed as, "Instrumental goals/Instrumental convergence is at best a deba... |
8d2ac7d2-2cec-404e-a731-fe29d70d88c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Context-dependent consequentialism
This dialogue is still in progress, but due to other commitments we don't have much time to continue it. We think the content is interesting, so we decided to publish it unfinished. We will maybe very slowly continue adding to it in the future, but can't commit to doing so.
Jeremy G... |
212b9c45-c35e-4000-aef2-15a307993e93 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: The Art of Happiness
The Art of Happiness is a book co-written by American psychiatrist Dr. Cutler and the 14th Dalai Lama, Tenzin Gyatso. Published in 1998, the book is an attempt to blend western scientific understanding of the mind with the spiritual wisdom and ancient training of Buddhist practices. S... |
134df5b3-ae75-46f1-9500-3c15bac1f98c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is a circuit? [in interpretability]
I'm aware of the understanding that "a circuit is a subgraph of a neural network that implements a specific computation."
In practice (to my understanding) the way you identify "circuits" is by identifying components of the neural network that have high correlation with certai... |
6d43868f-23ed-4f0e-9970-d434dc238139 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Do We Protect AI From Humans?
Stable Diffusion
In a recent interview, Sam Altman, the CEO of Open AI, said the following:
I’ve been reading more and more of his takes lately as various media outlets report on the economic ripple effects from GPT-3, such as the imminent automation of call centers, written journa... |
61d741f8-6faf-40f5-8ef7-c8e5ba4e45ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Greg Egan disses stand-ins for Overcoming Bias, SIAI in new book
From a review of Greg Egan's new book, Zendegi:
> Egan has always had difficulty in portraying characters whose views he disagrees with. They always end up seeming like puppets or strawmen, pure mouthpieces for a viewpoint. And this causes trouble in an... |
621a8cee-9e1f-43f9-8b46-695bb7e079ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Priori
Traditional Rationality is phrased as social rules, with violations interpretable as cheating: if you break the rules and no one else is doing so, you're the first to defect - making you a bad, bad person. To Bayesians, the brain is an engine of accuracy: if you violate the laws of rationality, the engine do... |
982a32e2-3244-4de6-9f66-d26d8fd17ac2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | More variations on pseudo-alignment
In "[Risks from Learned Optimization](https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.01820)," we talked about a variety of different forms of pseudo-alignment—that is, ways in which a trained model's objective (its *mesa-objective*) can be misaligned off-distribution with the loss function it was train... |
ba92a9de-d8f1-4000-bc88-25b19d3917c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Prize for probable problems
Summary: I’m going to give a $10k prize to the best evidence that my preferred approach to AI safety is doomed. Submit by commenting on this post with a link by April 20.
I have a particular vision for how AI might be aligned with human interests, reflected in posts at [ai-alignment.com](h... |
c452e006-f2e2-45c0-855b-933ad10e04dc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | We Haven't Uploaded Worms
>
> In theory you can upload someone's mind onto a computer, allowing them to live forever as a digital form of consciousness, just like in the Johnny Depp film Transcendence.
>
>
> But it's not just science fiction. Sure, scientists aren't anywhere near close to achieving such feat with h... |
1cb6b906-9667-4bd8-93aa-a4ddf7a16354 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | On complementing end-to-end human behavior predictors with planning.
I Introduction
---------------
Robots that need to share their environments with humans learn predictive models of human behavior, which they use to generate their own behavior in response. Autonomous cars try to predict where other cars will go [... |
dfaaaefe-0a62-45f0-b876-6f045b9e4dc0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One Year in DC
(h/t Otis Reid)
I think this post captures a lot of important features of the US policymaking system. Pulling out a few especially relevant/broadly applicable sections:
> 1. There's No Efficient Market For Policy
>
> There can be a huge problem that nobody is working on; that is not evidence that it'... |
185a5f60-0f56-486d-9c82-29e34c04dd13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More Christiano, Cotra, and Yudkowsky on AI progress
This post is a transcript of a discussion between Paul Christiano, Ajeya Cotra, and Eliezer Yudkowsky (with some comments from Rob Bensinger, Richard Ngo, and Carl Shulman), continuing from 1, 2, and 3.
Color key:
Chat by Paul and Eliezer Other chat
10.... |
f5e10a8f-fd41-45ca-a7e7-5e1738864409 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Troubles With CEV Part2 - CEV Sequence
The CEV Sequence Summary: The CEV sequence consists of three posts tackling important aspects of CEV. It covers conceptual, practical and computational problems of CEV's current form. On What Selves Are draws on analytic philosophy methods in order to clarify the concept of Self,... |
4284644f-b968-4127-aa36-0079bde61d81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Honoring Petrov Day on LessWrong, in 2019
Just after midnight last night, 125 LessWrong users received the following email.
> Subject Line: Honoring Petrov Day: I am trusting you with the launch codes
> Dear {{username}},
> Every Petrov Day, we practice not destroying the world. One particular way to do this is to ... |
5a989743-46fa-41e2-8970-b4b20ed2eb5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bucket Errors
Author's note: There is a preexisting standalone essay on bucket errors by CFAR cofounder Anna Salamon available here. The version in the handbook is similar, but has enough disoverlap that it seemed worth including it rather than just adding the standalone post to the sequence.
------------------------... |
9062844f-abf7-4ac8-947f-9d9fda4183b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning
Produced As Part Of The OxAI Safety Labs program, mentored by Joar Skalse.
TL;DR
This is a blog post introducing our new paper, "Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning" (to appear at ICLR 2024). We study Goodhart's law in RL empirically, provide a geometric explanation for ... |
47a79049-32b3-4b7c-8325-e40b4dced9d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the best ways to improve resiliency?
What are things you can do to make you more robust to "life shit" that happens? What have you tried and found to be pretty helpful?
To kick things off, here are a few things I've tried, which have helped to varying degrees:
* working fewer hours
* exercising
* focusin... |
9665d355-fbeb-4604-9fac-f567c3ee406e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Criticism Scheduling and Privacy
Scheduling criticism
> "Two times two is four ‘tis true But too empty and too trite I would rather seek a clue To some matters not so light."
— W. Busch, Schein und Sein (Karl Popper's translation)
Being in control of when, how, and what you get criticism on is a vital part of the gr... |
73254811-2dbc-4495-8441-33353cfa189b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, August 7 - August 13, 2017
IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh t... |
4d89174c-3a1d-4cc1-8339-88059b89636e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Unintuitive Power Laws of Giving
Why give globally? Why give money? Why health charities? Why single-issue organizations? At first glance these all seem like arbitrary choices: what if I would rather volunteer, or donate to local charities? Why does it matter? It comes down to two distributions: cost-effectiveness... |
57b160d9-5a5d-4be9-ba43-3a3207eaff62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I doubt model collapse will happen
A common idea held by people debating AI art is that the growing amount of AI-generated images present in training data will cause AI diffusion models, like midjourney or stable diffusion, to produce bad results as existing flaws get amplified.
However, I believe the opposite will ... |
f294307a-b974-4f39-a101-2f2a1857c4b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bioelectronic medicine: a very brief overview
Drugs that affect the nervous system get administered systemically. It's easy to imagine that we could do much more if we could stimulate one nerve at a time, and in patterns designed to have particular effects on the body.
"Neural coding" can detect the nerve impulses t... |
d5806883-5517-435d-911e-85924a92a43a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Out of the Box
This short story was originally posted at https://jesseduffield.com/Out-Of-The-Box/
I turn back to check if anyone’s on my tail, but the scene is still: through the hole in the chicken wire fence I just pathetically clambered through I see the dull grey building which I can only assume was my birthpla... |
608c3dd6-bc6f-48d1-aedd-d65a8772d866 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The 3% Incline (theferrett.com)
I liked this recent post by The Ferrett (a blogger who discusses a number of issues including gaming, polyamory, handling mental illness, politics and various kinds of relationships).
In particular, this seemed like a clear encapsulation of one of the concepts I touch on at Sunset at N... |
36cbd971-e833-45be-8023-a4bc1935905c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introduction to Towards Causal Foundations of Safe AGI
By Tom Everitt, Lewis Hammond, Rhys Ward, Ryan Carey, James Fox, Sebastian Benthall, Matt MacDermott and Shreshth Malik representing the Causal Incentives Working Group. Thanks also to Toby Shevlane, MH Tessler, Aliya Ahmad, Zac Kenton, Maria Loks-Thompson, and Al... |
1457fc7f-8764-4cb5-b563-8fff270cf546 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Parapsychology: the control group for science
Parapsychologists are constantly protesting that they are playing by all the standard scientific rules, and yet their results are being ignored - that they are unfairly being held to higher standards than everyone else. I'm willing to believe that. It just means that the s... |
d8217ce3-6a2b-4fb0-90a9-2d25b584fb7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguments about fast takeoff
I expect "slow takeoff," which we could operationalize as the economy doubling over some 4 year interval before it doubles over any 1 year interval. Lots of people in the AI safety community have strongly opposing views, and it seems like a really important and intriguing disagreement. I f... |
ae5ad358-8ddf-46e9-b605-9bb86accbf3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : [deleted]
Discussion article for the meetup : [deleted]
WHEN: 28 March 2012 06:26:00AM (-0700)
WHERE: 2071 university avenue, Berkeley, CA
.
Discussion article for the meetup : [deleted] |
1e4c5664-544d-4462-8b08-269f820c6c7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Philosophical Investigations by Wittgenstein
Ludwig Wittgenstein is often considered one of the greatest philosophers of the 20th century and is certainly one of its most fascinating figures. Here are some facts to illustrate:
* Wittgenstein was the son of the second-wealthiest family in Austria-Hungry.... |
fdd8402e-0694-4b23-905d-4be51711ddf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Compliment Sandwich 🥪 aka: How to criticize a normie without making them upset.
Note. The comments on this post contain excellent discussion that you’ll want to read if you plan to use this technique. I hadn’t realised how widespread the idea was.
This valuable nugget was given to me by an individual working in ... |
4f9b575d-d4a1-4b02-a8a5-5dcf63b958c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does novel understanding imply novel agency / values?
[Metadata: crossposted from https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2022/10/does-novel-understanding-imply-novel.html. First completed 17 October 2022.]
To have large relevant effects on the world, a mind has to understand a lot about the world. The mind has to have a lot of ... |
127e1f19-b8b4-4e9f-b6e6-5bff2481878e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Emotional Awareness
Discussion article for the meetup : Emotional Awareness
WHEN: 27 April 2013 03:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 2505 w broadway, vancouver, bc
The Vancouver meetup is going to spend the next many weeks working through the CFAR core materials that are taught at the CFAR camps. Each week is anothe... |
23d193ac-5ffb-4202-a755-7acf41ecd70a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | David Roodman - Economic history and the road to the singularity
hey everyone jeremy here welcome back to
the tour of data science podcast and
today we're talking about two
fascinating questions that don't seem
related at all
but actually are the first one is very
simple
if you had a hundred dollars and you
wanted to ... |
712aeb14-09dc-468f-8f89-57c786a1b4d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What authors consistently give accurate pictures of complex topics they discuss?
When I read nonfiction, I often feel like it's a waste of time because I'm not very confident the author is portraying things accurately/non-misleadingly, and don't often have time or expertise to check (though I'd potentially be in doing... |
34aab25b-7ca7-44eb-a6d2-e0e56c6d081d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to end stagnation?
When I wrote my post on technological stagnation, the top question I got asked was: So, how do we fix it?
I don’t have the definitive answer, but here’s a starting point. I generally think about the causes of progress on three levels:
* Funding. How do research, development, and distribution ... |
fd5d1e5b-67f0-4dea-81ec-08558f763d69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Hebbian Natural Abstractions] Introduction
With this sequence, we (Sam + Jan) want to provide a principled derivation of the natural abstractions hypothesis (which we will introduce in-depth in later posts) by motivating it with insights from computational neuroscience.
Goals for this sequence are:
* show why we e... |
fb739ffd-955a-4193-9a84-ab4949e54212 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Google Paperclipping the Web? The Perils of Optimization by Proxy in Social Systems
Related to: The Importance of Goodhart's Law, Lucas Critique, Campbell's Law
tl;dr version: The article introduces the pattern of Optimization by Proxy (OBP), which can be found in many large scale distributed systems, includin... |
d4e69415-3dfe-4abe-af5a-8f49130ef80d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Clustering with a Reject Option: Interactive Clustering as Bayesian Prior Elicitation
1 Introduction
---------------
Clustering is a popular tool for exploratory data analysis. Good clusterings can help to guide the analyst to better understandings of the dataset at hand. What constitutes a good, informative cluste... |
ca4cb977-09b8-4757-8f72-29814659b068 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rock, Paper and Scissors: A Game Theory View
When teaching game theory to their novices, microeconomic teachers generally tend to teach simple games. It is common for the student to finish his course learning (or at least supposedly) to deal with matrices of games of the following type:
It is expected that every stu... |
3f1f597b-f501-4373-8b49-bc7bc2e8a3d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prospera-dump
Making this post as a place to dump various things I learn while researching Prospera. Feel free to discuss or dump other things that you find interesting.
Epistemic status: extremely low confidence. I'm mostly just taking info from Wikipedia, which might be a biased source. |
71c9fcfa-b022-4973-8962-7073dab35539 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neurological reality of human thought and decision making; implications for rationalism.
The human brain is a massively parallel system. The best such system can do for doing anything efficiently and quickly is to have different small portions of brain compute and submit their partial answers and progressively reduce,... |
774fad5f-908d-4379-8e26-13a2ef169d81 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Semantics: Primes and Universals, a book review • carado.moe
*Semantics: Primes and Universals*, a book review
-------------------------------------------------
### 1. State of the industry
```
Amazement:
X feels something
sometimes a person thinks something like this:
something is happening now
... |
92c975aa-9f17-4f26-a75e-2cf572d2c8a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How would I know if a PhD is the right career path?
I'm working on my master's degree, and during a talk with one of my professors, the subject "Would you be interested in pursuing a PhD?" came up. I've given this a lot of thought over the last few months, but I'm at a loss for a response. I believe the issue is that ... |
beb49a14-bba7-4504-a738-1c39221fceb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | College technical AI safety hackathon retrospective - Georgia Tech
TLDR: the AI safety initiative at Georgia Tech recently hosted an AI safety focused track at the college's flagship AI hackathon. In this post I share how it went and some of our thoughts.
Overview
Hey! I’m Yixiong, co-director of Georgia Tech’s AI ... |
6ec42a01-eded-48f5-aaab-f281f2e8920d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Restricting brain organoid research to slow down AGI
Organoids are collections of human cells used to model human organs.
I think the fastest route to AGI will involve integrating improvements in digital intelligence with advancements in synthetic biology via organoid-computer interfaces.
Brain organoids are curre... |
5fde9b5e-0822-4a77-8954-ca361e1a51e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Children of War: Hidden dangers of an AI arms race
This is a cross posted from my substack. I thought it should be interesting to Less Wrong readers and might get a good conversation going.
> How you play is what you win.- Ursula K. Le Guine
Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt recently co-authored the paper and policy... |
7d5e3a0f-035f-4ae7-bc52-9afac1b48437 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: 23 things they don't tell you about capitalism
Right from the title of his book 23 things they don't tell you about capitalism, it's clear that Ha-Joon Chang is pitting himself against the establishment. In doing so, he lays the ground for both the book's significant insights and its serious flaws. Chang'... |
6ad8822e-9957-41de-80eb-c4d33980bc16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Haven Meetup, Saturday, Dec. 11
On Saturday, New Haven residents, people who live in other nearby assorted Havens, and anybody else who would like to trek out here are welcomed to a Less Wrong meetup in thomblake's and my home at noon(ish). The address is thus:
173 Russo Ave Unit 406
East Haven, CT 06513
I will... |
fc39e319-58ba-4c1b-b65d-0ce9b34a6d30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mini-camp on Rationality, Awesomeness, and Existential Risk (May 28 through June 4, 2011)
Meet fellow LW-ers, hone your rationality, and get on a path toward reducing existential risk and becoming more awesome.
Who: You and a class full of other aspiring rationalists and world-changers, from around the world.
What: ... |
ded4a03f-5332-447c-9d7c-b926191ca16c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Investigating musical genius by listening to the Beach Boys a lot
*I posted some later content on this piece - responding to reader takes - [here](https://www.cold-takes.com/misc-thematic-links/#innovation-stagnation).*
My [Where’s Today’s Beethoven](https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/) analysis inv... |
23386c8b-9767-4e10-b983-de845ad2a9ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SAE vs. RepE
I recently read a post by Dan Hendrycks from xAI criticizing Anthropic's focus on Sparse Auto-Encoders as a tool for mechanistic interpretability.
You can find that post HERE. Some salient quotes below.
On SAEs:
> Another technique initially hailed as a breakthrough is sparse autoencoders (SAEs) [...] ... |
8e22b360-a4d7-43e0-8cfb-df19ce7d53cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Study Unsafe AGI's safely (and why we might have no choice)
TL;DR
A serious possibility is that the first AGI(s) will be developed in a Manhattan Project style setting before any sort of friendliness/safety constraints can be integrated reliably. They will also be substantially short of the intelligence requir... |
77df02da-2fd9-4642-a5ca-5ffa7c27a72c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is AI Safety dropping the ball on privacy?
TL;DR
The lack of privacy-preserving technologies facilitates better predictive models of human behavior. This accelerates several existential epistemic failure modes by enabling higher levels of deceptive and power-seeking capabilities in AI models.
What is this post about... |
9ae9d48a-7ab4-48b6-afe4-3105c18176cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Failures of an embodied AIXI
Building a safe and powerful artificial general intelligence seems a difficult task. Working on that task today is particularly difficult, as there is no clear path to AGI yet. Is there work that can be done now that makes it more likely that humanity will be able to build a safe, powerful... |
68a2439a-63ad-4404-9800-8389ae30cec0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Emergence Is a Universal Non-Zero-Sum Phenomenon.
Against a torrent of entropy, eddies of complexity arise. We have the non-zero-sum phenomenon of emergence to thank for our very existence. While I concede the problematic nature of the term "Emergence" as detailed by Eliezer Yudkowsky in The Futility of Emergence, thi... |
2591eec0-b827-416f-88c4-e7d3f310b56a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists
I'm pleased to announce the first annual survey of effective altruists. This is a short survey of around 40 questions (generally multiple choice), which several collaborators and I have put a great deal of work into and would be very grateful if you took. I'll offer $250 of my own mo... |
a1ec59c1-c033-4960-b99c-2f3e247768fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Westerners may be terrible experimental psychology subjects
WEIRD may be weirder than you think. We Aren't The World writes of psychological experiments on non-Westerners that give vastly disparate results from results that have been assumed to be hardwired, and the implications of this:
Henrich used a “game”—... |
64ae2fb2-6d45-40bc-ac2a-9e27bf4d055a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Draft: Models of Risks of Delivery Under Coronavirus
I’ve never considered prophylactically quarantining myself before, but now that I’m considering it I find it contains many more choices than I would have imagined. Let’s take my need to eat- I could go to a supermarket, but that’s full of people. I could get deliver... |
5761468d-8177-4d17-95ae-f01f9f168b5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On (Not) Feeling the AGI
Ben Thompson interviewed Sam Altman recently about building a consumer tech company, and about the history of OpenAI. Mostly it is a retelling of the story we’ve heard before, and if anything Altman is very good about pushing back on Thompson when Thompson tries to turn OpenAI’s future into th... |
acf328be-45a7-451e-8332-e7914d8ca69f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Justified Expectation of Pleasant Surprises
Today's post, Justified Expectation of Pleasant Surprises was originally published on 15 January 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A pleasant surprise probably has a greater hedonic impact than being told about the same positive event long in advanc... |
4706c275-305a-4342-a8a6-c2ebc681968d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Boundaries vs Frames
This post is partially in response to [Critch's boundaries sequence](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/LWJsgNYE8wzv49yEc). My best guess is that he would agree with most of it in theory, but disagree with some of it in practice due to tradeoffs with other considerations in defining the concepts.
Bounda... |
87631078-6ddd-44b1-a482-4c8ea27fdf93 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Solomonoff prior is malign. It's not a big deal.
*Epistemic status: Endorsed at ~85% probability. In particular, there might be clever but hard-to-think-of encodings of observer-centered laws of physics that tilt the balance in favor of physics. Also, this isn't that different from Mark Xu's post.*
[Previously](h... |
3c41ac7f-0444-4e3b-b7fe-3fb0d4726d74 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Google Bard - The Full Review. Bard vs Bing [LaMDA vs GPT 4]
I signed up to The Bard wait list within
a minute of it opening and yes I know
that makes me kind of sad but I wanted
to do these experiments and I got in and
have done over a hundred experiments
comparing Bard with Bing and Bing don't
forget is powered by g... |
9fb74a07-2d88-47fd-9207-d890be4c8252 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Knowledge, not opinion, information extraction, not persuasion
A post from Gene Expression by Razib Khan who some of you may also know from the old gnxp site or perhaps from his BHTV debate with Eliezer. Some thoughts on the problem of trying to optimize your interactions to help you be less wrong. Your time is... |
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