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08e27941-95b0-44b0-9cb2-4a5274f5ccf7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA—Keep Your Identity Small
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA—Keep Your Identity Small
WHEN: 21 January 2015 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out fron... |
319bc6d3-af7e-45b5-a50b-f5f5d547ad78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, October 13 - 19, 2013
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
757178bc-0a85-4126-8868-0adaee15acd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Entrepreneurial autopsies
Entrepreneurial ideas come and go. Some I don't give a second thought to. Others I commence market research for, examine the competitive landscape and explore the feasibility for development. This can be time consuming, and has yet to have produced any tangible, commercialized product.
I fig... |
b3818046-d298-4008-be12-0fefede20c90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Social status part 2/2: everything else
2.1 Post summary / Table of contents
This is the second of two blog posts where I try to make sense of the whole universe of social-status-related behaviors and phenomena. The previous one was: “Social status part 1/2: negotiations over object-level preferences”.
In that previo... |
d5564e65-d6de-4964-afb3-5438c07169ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My search for a reliable breakfast
Unless I'm eating with other people, food for me is fuel.
This applies to breakfast particularly. Like a scrambled fighter jet, I want the refuelling process in the morning to be as fast as possible.
Not eating is not a sustainable option for me. Higher functions slow as my brain b... |
345bc848-d20c-423b-93aa-ad39ce3c6ab2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Regression to the Mean
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Regression to the Mean
WHEN: 07 May 2017 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
This week, we will be meeting in the courtyard to discuss the statistical concept of r... |
6e9f449d-c5b8-492d-8af0-e0aefaea6f89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2016 LessWrong Diaspora Survey Analysis: Part Four (Politics, Calibration & Probability, Futurology, Charity & Effective Altruism)
Politics
The LessWrong survey has a very involved section dedicated to politics. In previous analysis the benefits of this weren't fully realized. In the 2016 analysis we can look at not j... |
de6f5de7-0b05-4252-9b8a-2329da6b736d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A model of arguments
Original post: http://bearlamp.com.au/a-model-of-arguments/
Why do we argue, when we could be discussing things in a productive manner? Arguments often occur because the parties involved simply don't have the tools to transmit their ideas clearly. In this kind of situation, the whole conversatio... |
6db9ef25-51bd-49c0-8324-8dfffb93ab5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Measuring artificial intelligence on human benchmarks is naive
Central claim: Measured objectively, GPT-4 is arguably way past human intelligence already, perhaps even after taking generality into account.
Central implication: If the reason we're worried AGI will wipe us out is tied to an objective notion of intellig... |
4b126595-57e9-4675-b494-5cb10b46eedf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this sp... |
0ed36542-2252-4350-a991-a89f65c12710 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Levelling Up in AI Safety Research Engineering
*Summary: A level-based guide for independently up-skilling in AI Safety Research Engineering that aims to give concrete objectives, goals, and resources to help anyone go from zero to hero.*
*Cross-posted to the* [*EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S7... |
848415ca-a839-4f16-a0f4-503ef82eb551 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why We Use Money? - A Walrasian View
Knut Wicksell (1851-1926)
> “Money is a machine whose function is to do quickly and conveniently what would be done, though less quickly and conveniently, without it” — J.S Mill
>
----------------------------------------
♥ An Introduction to an Ignored Problem:
It is quite co... |
27108b20-efef-4f69-b111-714f3f5a12aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zombies among us
I met a man in the Florida Keys who rents jet skis at $150/hour. Since nobody jet skis alone, he makes at least $300/hour. When there’s no customers he sits around watching sports. After work he plays with his two sons. I asked if he likes his lifestyle. He loves it.
Later when I was in Miami, I s... |
b2760850-f504-468c-b794-8f586122165f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Favourite new AI productivity tools?
Transformative AI will revolutionize the ways we interact with the world. But maybe narrow tool AIs are already starting to do so: Every week, there are new startups, websites, and tools launched around using modern machine learning techniques to solve everyday problems, and we mig... |
4ab23522-bee0-4702-b193-ff70df509343 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Last week of the Discussion Phase
Previously: The 2023 LessWrong Review: The Basic Ask
There's one week left in the Discussion Phase of the 2023 Review. Here's a few things you might want to spend that time doing, in escalating order of effort:
Review three posts, without stressing much about the details. Go the... |
46c44039-7bf7-471f-9477-697337fad36e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Time hierarchy theorems for distributional estimation problems
Warning: mostly for fun / basic science
##Preliminaries
Hierarchy theorems
The time hierarchy theorem is one of the simplest results in complexity theory. It says that if f(n)≫g(n), then there are functions that we can compute in time f(n) that we can't... |
67d03b39-c8c6-4721-bc54-6db6149b9a1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The True Prisoner's Dilemma
It occurred to me one day that the standard visualization of the Prisoner's Dilemma is fake.
The core of the Prisoner's Dilemma is this symmetric payoff matrix:
1: C 1: D 2: C (3, 3) (5, 0) 2: D (0, 5) (2, 2)
Player 1, and Player 2, can each choose C or D. 1 and 2's utility for the fin... |
0e92361e-eedb-48a1-be3b-5f198f04fb88 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Israel Less Wrong Meetup - Existential Risk and AI discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : Israel Less Wrong Meetup - Existential Risk and AI discussion
WHEN: 30 April 2014 07:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Google Tel Aviv
* NOTE - Meetup date was moved to Wednesday, April 30th *
We're going to have a meet... |
a3c26de8-8ff7-43b6-a04c-127ad521df74 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Semi-open thread: blackmail
My blackmail posts have generated some interesting discussion, so I'm just creating this one so that people can post examples of behaviours that they think are either clearly blackmail, or clearly not blackmail, or something in between. |
d1ee9fd7-2b34-4016-a086-4ce323d52692 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Publish your genomic data
Publish your genomic data to the public domain as per CC0 license. All submitted data will be available to anyone for download.
Link to form upload
Why?
Some of the largest genomic datasets today are not in the public domain. If you believe genomic datasets in public domain should exist... |
25b4b778-2521-4229-a5ef-5bde8fd2002c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pi Sound Box
In an effort to reduce clutter, simplify setup, and avoid damaging my gear, I've packaged up my whistle synth and rhythm stage setup into a box:
This consolidates:
* Raspberry Pi
* Power supply
* USB hub
* Sound card x2
* DI box
* Internal cables and adapters
The box is aluminum, 10x8x4. ... |
77a3f6dd-efdb-434e-a099-a66c07bcee21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 118: Something to Protect: Professor Quirrell
The Sun shone down on the Scottish green, striking sparks of reflected white from every passing dewdrop or reflective leaf that happened to position itself correctly, a clear blue sky for a funeral.
Harry had declined to give the eulogy. He'd declined for the seco... |
c1bb4fb4-b855-4c24-8e89-85399ccea3ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Are Children Natural Bayesians?
This recent article at Slate thinks so:
Why Your 4-Year-Old Is As Smart as Nate Silver
> It turns out that even very young children reason [using Bayes Theorem]. For example, my student Tamar Kushnir, now at Cornell, and I showed 4-year-olds a toy and told them that blocks made... |
f18513ce-1ffd-4a4d-a1e8-ce18a52b5048 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Auditing language models for hidden objectives
We study alignment audits—systematic investigations into whether an AI is pursuing hidden objectives—by training a model with a hidden misaligned objective and asking teams of blinded researchers to investigate it.
This paper was a collaboration between the Anthropic Ali... |
6203ef3f-55ef-45e3-ab85-6d4cfd58aee9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Merits of Contrarianism & Why I hate Chatbots. [My Experience with the Ideological Turing Test @ a Less Wrong meetup]
When was the last time you practiced critical thinking? I generally have an aversion to chatbots. If you articulate your viewpoint on a particular subject and I can predict, line-for-line, the reas... |
e695e984-9bef-481c-9967-f5691153c462 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can someone, anyone, make superintelligence a more concrete concept?
> What especially worries me about artificial intelligence is that I'm freaked out by my inability to marshal the appropriate emotional response. - Sam Harris (NPR, 2017)
I've been thinking alot about why so many in the public don't care much abo... |
9585aa3c-8735-4c2a-94e6-978b65f77ed4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Online Learning 3: Adversarial bandit learning with catastrophes
Note: This describes an idea of Jessica Taylor’s.
In order to better understand how machine learning systems might avoid catastrophic behavior, we are interested in modeling this as an adversarial learning problem.
-------------------------------------... |
e5eaf634-c50b-4cf0-999e-01f87d0a45e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes 4
"Altruistic behavior: An act done without any intent for personal gain in any form. Altruism requires that there is no want for material, physical, spiritual, or egoistic gain."
-- Glossary of Zen
"The primary thing when you take a sword in your hands is your intention to cut the enemy, w... |
f74a5803-e63f-4e9c-a2e2-66319aec582e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sharing Powerful AI Models
This is a linkpost for: https://www.governance.ai/post/sharing-powerful-ai-models
On the GovAI blog, Toby Shevlane (FHI) argues in favour of labs granting "structured access" to AI models. |
26b468e5-3986-4726-896d-3f9069967b4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | M&A in AI
> 'It is hard to favor unspecified changes in the rules. I don't think Google should be able to buy Waze, nor should Facebook buy Instagram.' Richard Thaler, Chicago Booth, Nobel laureate
>
> 'We need to increase scrutiny of acquisitions of related businesses, e.g. WhatsApp by Facebook' José Scheinkman, Col... |
33e3a319-f1f4-4e74-838b-036d36b99bab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ialdabaoth is banned
ialdabaoth is banned from LessWrong, because I think he is manipulative in ways that will predictably make the epistemic environment worse. This ban is unusual in several respects: it relies somewhat heavily on evidence from in-person interactions and material posted to other sites as well as post... |
f6b0a52f-e965-40d0-a470-c1cbceed6cc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm
WHEN: 23 August 2012 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 1129 W. Elizabeth St. Fort Collins 80521
Back to Fort Collins.
What are the experiments you are running now? How do you track them?
Dis... |
a8ec7667-bfd5-4b5c-ac6f-c133812b32a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: A Pattern Language by Christopher Alexander
This is an ambitious, opinionated book about how to live.
Ambitious, because its scope is enormous -- how far apart cities should be placed ("2. the distribution of towns"), zoning ("3. city country fingers"), street maps ("23. parallel roads"), recreation ("31... |
3c786e11-a5ef-4443-b390-74b662d22c64 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What's the dream for giving natural language commands to AI?
**0**
I promised in a [previous post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NvqGmLBCtvQxfMs9m/the-artificial-intentional-stance) that I would give a post-mortem for a scheme for learning the intentional stance from natural language. This is that post. But first, ... |
4ad61d7e-3955-43db-8a6d-354c3d26b1d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Ottawa, West LA, Orange County, Washington DC, Melbourne, Shanghai
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Ottawa Weekly LW, September 5th, 7:30 PM
* West LA Meetup 09-06-2011: 06 September 2011 07:00PM
* Orange County Atheist Meetup Wednesday September 6: 06 September ... |
3dadc584-2123-41c9-999a-2fddb31ce14e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Astronomical Sacrifice Dilemma
Epistemic Status: I think the dilemma as outlined in Section 1 follows from well-established ideas about Astronomical Waste. However, given that I have not seen it anywhere before I might have made some oversight I am unaware of. You don't know what you don't know but maybe someone o... |
c7a13631-5f41-4264-a90d-a06b982bca51 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Slowing down AI progress?
Whenever I get to feel too anxious about the risks from misaligned AI, I really wish the community could invest in slowing down AI progress to buy out some time for alignment researchers and that this plan would actually work without causing other serious problems. What is the EA consensus? ... |
698499a2-2523-4bff-9e94-8cca41320ba4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lights, Camera, Action!
Sequence index: Living Luminously
Previously in sequence: The ABC's of Luminosity
Next in sequence: The Spotlight
You should pay attention to key mental events, on a regular and frequent basis, because important thoughts can happen very briefly or very occasionally and you need to catch them.
... |
db474a60-e93e-4516-baa9-2e7ba87bcff9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Low Temperature Solomonoff Induction
Supposing that agentic hypotheses are more complex than non-agentic ones, is it possible to reduce the impact of the agentic ones by penalizing complexity more?
Consider a hypothetical hypercomputer capable of running Solomonoff induction. Rather than using it to generate plans... |
9cf58b04-ce69-4457-9323-83a5fc7f232c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW main on January 10th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* [Portland] I moved to Portland! I want to meet you!: 11 January 2014 11:50AM
* Sydney Meetup: January: 22 January 2014 06:30PM
... |
afd27f49-ee86-4fe1-9755-56bd8b8c4991 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowledge is Worth Paying For
Have you ever asked a store manager if you can use their bathroom and been told that you must order something first? Even if it's obviously worth $1 to not wet your pants, you feel a bit resentful about having to buy the Arizona iced tea. You're so used to using other stores' bathrooms fo... |
acc96573-cae9-4791-8e0e-26f863d38a9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Might an "intelligence explosion" never occur?
[Dreyfus](http://www.amazon.com/dp/0060110821/) and [Penrose](http://www.amazon.com/dp/0195106466/) argued that human cognitive abilities can’t be emulated by a computational machine. [Searle](http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.120.749&rep=rep1&type=... |
266dd69b-b9f5-4fd1-bbe5-0e81f912a65f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How would Logical Decision Theories address the Psychopath Button?
In order to better understand the differences between different decision theories, I have been browsing each and every Newcomblike Problem and keeping track of how each decision theory answers it differently. However, I seem to be coming up short when ... |
a19b1aa0-9c4b-45c5-a682-a4554b802be4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Medieval Ballistics and Experiment
I'm reading a popular science encyclopedia now, particularly chapters about the history of physics. The chapter goes on to evaluate the development of the concept of kinetic energy, starting with Aristotle's (grossly incorrect) explanation of a flying arrow saying that it's kept in m... |
7ba4846b-3aa5-405f-81d2-d2c2dde6ec18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simpson's paradox and the tyranny of strata
Simpson's paradox is an example of how the same data can tell different stories. Most people think of this as an odd little curiosity, or perhaps a cautionary tale about the correct way to use data.
You shouldn't see Simpson's paradox like that. Rather than some little quir... |
0fe0cc5f-541d-4900-8d69-9a70977eb3ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Nature of Agency
Epistemic status: Fairly high confidence. Probably not complete, but I do think pieces presented are all part of the true picture.
Agency and being an agent are common terms within the Effective Altruist and Rationalist communities. I have only used heard them used positively, typically to pr... |
2a32fcfd-d546-4691-8eb0-ef09d3ff630b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What LW/Sequences ideas to cover in next Rationality Matters comic?
I'm becoming more committed to producing a third Rationality Matters comic, and to make it the best as I can at what I want it to do: to persuade furries and libertarians to adopt LessWrong/Sequences ideas and become more rational.
I'm trying to use ... |
abb5f7d9-1f88-4f9a-8b07-f7196775a423 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Optimization and Abstraction: A Synergistic Approach for Analyzing Neural Network Robustness
1. Introduction
----------------
In recent years, deep neural networks (DNNs) have gained enormous popularity for a wide spectrum of
applications, ranging from image recognition(He
et al., [2016](#bib.bib22); Krizhevsky
et ... |
ea71f830-8d2d-4fb5-aac7-881cd7b20696 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Background Reading: The Real Hufflepuff Sequence Was The Posts We Made Along The Way
This is the fourth post of the Project Hufflepuff sequence. Previous posts:
* Introduction
* Who exactly is the Rationality Community? (i.e. who is Project Hufflepuff trying to help)
* Straw Hufflepuffs and Lone Heroes
----------... |
5350b313-6a5b-44c5-92ef-d0cd1238d7a5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Goal alignment without alignment on epistemology, ethics, and science is futile
Originally posted as a comment to the post "[Misgeneralization as a misnomer](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/dkjwSLfvKwpaQSuWo/misgeneralization-as-a-misnomer)" by Nate Soares.
---
I start to suspect that the concepts of "goals" ... |
9f8da552-ca9f-4fa0-a753-dbd39f93e4ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why is increasing public awareness of AI safety not a priority?
Has anyone done anything in this domain? Is there a public face for AI safety that we can promote? I wanted to pester my favorite streamer about looking into AI safety, but I don't know who I would refer him to.
It seems so obvious to me that this should... |
3c54463d-89aa-4c81-a996-73d750d8f887 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | why assume AGIs will optimize for fixed goals?
When I read posts about AI alignment on LW / AF/ Arbital, I almost always find a particular bundle of assumptions taken for granted:
* An AGI has a single terminal goal[1].
* The goal is a fixed part of the AI's structure. The internal dynamics of the AI, if left to ... |
17890e89-1c43-4189-a17f-774144ad9332 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Houston, TX
Discussion article for the meetup : Houston, TX
WHEN: 26 June 2011 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: TBA (See below)
The Houston meetup group will be meeting at 3:00PM on Sunday, June 26th. Usually we try to meetup at the local hackerspace, but that may not be an option this weekend. Rather than let an... |
4663c0aa-3b47-4c81-8c44-e34d549cce56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Addendum: More Efficient FFNs via Attention
[Epistemic status: I have running code that implements it.]
Overview: I previously showed how an FFN layer in a transformer can be implemented via 3 attention layers. In this post I show how to do it in a single attention layer. This reduces the needed dimensionality of you... |
ccbaafac-6e5d-4569-8a16-5fd56bd3dfe7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Values Form a Shifting Landscape (and why you might care)
*Huge thanks to Veronika Žolnerčíková for drawing the pictures for this post. I am also grateful to the people who provided feedback on various versions of the text.*
Comment on the epistemic status of this text: *The model described here is oversimplified, bu... |
cb01c424-74f5-48c2-b18a-c691fd794796 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How LLM Beliefs Change During Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
Summary
We tried to figure out how a model's beliefs change during a chain-of-thought (CoT) when solving a logical problem. Measuring this could reveal which parts of the CoT actually causally influence the final answer and which are just fake reasoning manufact... |
8e5874ac-ea5e-478a-bef2-1a07f5eacc31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Chicago Rationality Reading Group - Luminosity Part 1
Discussion article for the meetup : Chicago Rationality Reading Group - Luminosity Part 1
WHEN: 19 February 2017 01:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Harper Memorial Library Room 148, 1116 E 59th St, Chicago, IL 60637
The Chicago Rationality Reading Group meets ev... |
3c905305-9069-4804-8a87-76e8bf333246 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Looking for Canadian summer co-op position in AI Governance
I've been working as a programmer for five years, and I recently made a late application to study International Affairs as a graduate student at Carleton. I have just been accepted and awarded the Joubin-Selig Scholarship. Provided I can complete two online e... |
e6193e99-8490-4cf1-9bcf-ff18740d9147 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding why illusionism does not deny the existence of qualia
It is obviously true that "🟩", "greenness", and "activity in the visual cortex" are not identical things. For example, "greenness" is one word containing the letter "g", but not the letter "a", whereas "activity in the visual cortex" is five words co... |
4be0c1f8-782a-4366-8ce7-c90e19029f7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On "aiming for convergence on truth"
Background
Duncan Sabien wrote a list of proposed "basics of rational discourse" guidelines. Zack M Davis disagrees with (his interpretation of) one of the guidelines. I think the question is interesting and don't feel that those two posts and their comments resolve it. (Spoiler: ... |
fd5a2190-ab97-49ee-8add-45efc74c3445 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Petrov corrigibility
After my [example](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/T5ZyNq3fzN59aQG5y/the-limits-of-corrigibility) of problems with corrigibility, and Eliezer pointing out that sometimes corrigibility [may involve saying "there is no corrigible action"](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nbhTzEosM9sqEvr6P/corrigibili... |
7a2aab96-7b03-42bb-b1de-7fa20e717fd4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Survey of Reinforcement Learning Informed by Natural Language
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Illustration of different roles and types of natural language information in reinforcement learning. We differentiate between *language-conditional... |
e4713e23-0199-42f8-b588-bf0570c905eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Graphical tensor notation for interpretability
[ This post is now on arXiv too: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.01790 ]
Some examples of graphical tensor notation from the QUIMB python package
Deep learning consists almost entirely of operations on or between tensors, so easily understanding tensor operations is pretty im... |
21c48d8e-94af-4cdb-8b80-9501a0c8b207 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Test meetup please ignore
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore
WHEN: 27 March 2017 11:18:40AM (-0700)
WHERE: antartica
sorry
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore |
ef63925a-decb-4dfc-b97b-8e6508011703 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does anti-discrimination look like discrimination?
By my reckoning, affirmative action should often make organizations look more biased in the direction they seek to correct, rather than less.
Imagine two groups of people in roughly equal numbers, type A and type B. It is thought by many that B people are unfairly di... |
f78011c7-d81e-4e36-a8b6-825c87289516 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Curve of Capability
or: Why our universe has already had its one and only foom
In the late 1980s, I added half a megabyte of RAM to my Amiga 500. A few months ago, I added 2048 megabytes of RAM to my Dell PC. The later upgrade was four thousand times larger, yet subjectively they felt about the same, and in pract... |
a977ac9b-0dbf-4c42-aa99-017629e6301d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AiTech Agora: Pradeep Murukannaiah - Personal Values and Social Norms as Foundations of AI Ethics
all right
uh do you see my screen now yes all
right
cool uh i think we can get started
uh hi all uh first of all uh uh thanks
for uh inviting me to uh present in this
forum
that's uh i think uh ai tech is a great
uh
matc... |
0b6d5dcc-e92e-4d01-a909-068ffaf7a0e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No, Futarchy Doesn’t Have an EDT Flaw
(A response to this post.)
If you use prediction markets to make decisions, you might think they’ll generate EDT decisions: you’re asking for P(A|B), where you care about A, and B is something like “a decision … is taken”.
Okay, so say you want to use prediction markets to gener... |
9cd6b75d-d6f1-472f-b584-09572b6cda6e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | 2020 Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy | Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
[View the paper “2020 Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy”](https://gcr... |
398b3ef3-96f2-41cf-bb34-2f4e2487debc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Better late than never: Toronto meetup March 10
Sorry for not posting this sooner - I thought I already had. Well, hopefully we'll get at least a few new faces nonetheless.
When: Thursday, March 10th at 8:00PM
Where: The Duke of York Pub at 39 Prince Arthur Ave
The last meetup was a smashing success - everyone seem... |
eef85c05-ae85-4a3a-9d80-4a8798970f3c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Silicon Valley’s Rabbit Hole Problem
*Crossposted on* [*Medium*](https://medium.com/@mandelbrot020/silicon-valleys-rabbit-hole-problem-a9e5471b3d91)*.*
*Content warning: This article discusses sexual assault and suicide.*
*Edited to add: This post is not an attack of EA, on the contrary. It is a plea for help. We sh... |
bd1f5c86-fe82-4d0f-99fe-dfa22f9df24d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paradigms and Theory Choice in AI: Adaptivity, Economy and Control
Epistemic status: Some general thoughts on philosophy of design, that have turned out to be useful for reasoning about AI paradigms for a few years for me.
Summary:
1. I briefly discuss the role of paradigms in Kuhnian philosophy of science, and the... |
ab34213b-569a-4f75-9a3b-bf167332fdea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 11/5: Don’t Mention the War
Mutation has always been an elephant in the Covid-19 room, and I haven’t paid as much attention to it as I should have. It is increasingly clear the Covid-19 has mutated, and the new strain is substantially more infectious than the old one and now virtually the only strain. One write-... |
24bd70c3-e949-4bc2-a09b-c5295badca34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Russian x-risks newsletter May 2022 + short history of "methodologists"
My impression is that the risk of nuclear escalation in Ukraine war has declined. Putin didn’t choose any escalatory paths in the last two months: no nuclear tests, no declaration of war and mobilization, no closed borders. The most intense fighti... |
757a723f-97ea-487b-a1de-d7e29c9bcb83 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Heading Toward Morality
Followup to: Ghosts in the Machine, Fake Fake Utility Functions, Fake Utility Functions
As people were complaining before about not seeing where the quantum physics sequence was going, I shall go ahead and tell you where I'm heading now.
Having dissolved the confusion surrounding the word "c... |
056fef38-2e79-43fc-b936-dd0774896ef3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I think there's a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war
Many people have asked me what I think the odds are of an imminent major US-Russia nuclear war. My current estimate is about the same as losing in Russian roulette: one in six. The goal of this post is to explain how I arrived at this estimate. ... |
dde608d2-9642-4cb7-ad7e-1f7d52348cd5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Antonio Meetup - Discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : San Antonio Meetup - Discussion
WHEN: 11 October 2015 12:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 12651 Vance Jackson Rd #118, San Antonio, TX 78230
Bubble tea, frozen yogurt, and discussion at Yumi Berry! All are welcome!
New Meetup to discuss rationality... |
84945641-0685-45cf-a9b6-96831020db5b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Robot Sex: Social and Ethical Implications
[]
Robot Sex
Social and Ethical Implications
John Danaher and Neil McArthur
The MIT Press
Cambridge, Massachusetts
London, England
© 2017 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form... |
96a18583-9675-4399-8944-c179b3f7ee67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Update 2018-11-22 – Abridged Comments
Haven't posted an update in a while. We've been working on a mixture of bug fixes, small features to support the new AI Alignment Forum, as well as some longer-term, larger features that aren't quite ready yet.
Abridged Comments
The biggest change that should be visible to mo... |
1facc5c8-0867-4b25-8a0c-fba9d5672a86 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yale Creates First Self-Aware Robot?
Apparently a PhD candidate at the Social Robotics Lab at Yale created a self-aware robot:
> In the mirror test, developed by Gordon Gallup in 1970, a mirror is placed in an animal’s enclosure, allowing the animal to acclimatize to it. At first, the animal will behave socially wit... |
48ed4a2a-2473-4f87-8f94-c06c0e5c19f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mainstream Epistemology for LessWrong, Part 1: Feldman on Evidentialism
Richard Feldman's Epistemology is a widely-used philosophy textbook published in 2003. I've decided to write a series of posts summarizing its contents, because it contains some surprisingly reasonable views (given what you may have heard about ma... |
8507ea7c-d94b-4db4-b9dc-b17c999140b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The need for multi-agent experiments
TL;DR: Let’s start iterating on experiments that approximate real, society-scale multi-AI deployment
Epistemic status: These ideas seem like my most prominent delta with the average AI Safety researcher, have stood the test of time, and are shared by others I intellectually respec... |
4a57becd-d01c-422f-92f4-1f149afee41c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do I get better at D&D Sci?
I have no experience with data science, but D&D Sci seems fun and I would like to improve and get better at it. Where can/should I start? |
9525fde0-0e17-40fd-bf46-df91838dfdfc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes Thread April 2015
Another month, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are:
* Please post all quotes separately, so that they can be upvoted or downvoted separately. (If they are strongly related, reply to your own comments. If strongly ordered, then go ahead and post them together.)
* Do ... |
9c438a46-0f32-422e-8a43-0e75f48202dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arrow's Theorem is a Lie
Suppose that we, a group of rationalists, are trying to come to an agreement on which course of action to take. All of us have the same beliefs about the world, as Aumann's Agreement Theorem requires, but everyone has different preferences. What decision-making procedure should we use? We want... |
85060c73-0049-4d70-8c00-1a1f6ad9609e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Problem with AIXI
Followup to: Solomonoff Cartesianism; My Kind of Reflection
Alternate versions: Shorter, without illustrations
----------------------------------------
AIXI is Marcus Hutter's definition of an agent that follows Solomonoff's method for constructing and assigning priors to hypotheses; update... |
0e62659c-b418-4946-92b1-044e1080a0d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will Russia default, and if so, will it lead to financial crisis?
I live in South Korea. Apart from threat of nuclear war, which seems low so far, the primary impact of Ukraine war seems to be potential default of Russia and its possibility to lead to financial crisis.
"Will Russia default?" is a rare question with a... |
6b5edec1-7909-4425-b8c1-fff2ce20f18d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London social meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : London social meetup
WHEN: 28 September 2014 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, Holborn, WC2B 6BG
The next LW London meetup will be on September 28th. Join us from 2pm to talk about the sorts of things that your other friends will look fun... |
642d04dc-185e-4cdc-98ae-2974ec20648d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three Dialogues on Identity
Followup to: Identity Isn't In Specific Atoms
It is widely said that some primitive tribe or other once feared that photographs could steal their souls.
Ha ha! How embarrassing. Silly tribespeople.
I shall now present three imaginary conversations along such lines—the common theme bei... |
900168f0-47bd-43a6-847e-caa10789691a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No standard metric for CFAR workshops?
Update: CFAR used standard metrics in its 2015 study, which I didn't know about when drafting this post. It doesn't appear that they tracked these metrics in their most recent impact report.
My outstanding questions are in this comment.
Update #2: CFAR replies to outstanding qu... |
72969904-994d-49ca-af72-9c168704451d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How Roodman's GWP model translates to TAI timelines
How does [David Roodman’s world GDP model](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/modeling-human-trajectory) translate to TAI timelines?
Now, before I go any further, let me be the first to say that I don’t think we should use this model to predict TAI. This model ta... |
2298d4fc-ac49-4453-9fa7-4b353a2f6a37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Math] Vision problems
TL;DR
You can usually tell the difference between being stuck on something because you fundamentally don't get it, and being stuck on something because while you do get it, you don't see the next step forward. This is called a vision problem.
After you notice you have a vision problem, you shou... |
702585e6-aa94-4a1d-88d8-4568e29401a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Encultured AI Pre-planning, Part 2:
Providing a Service
Also available on the EA Forum.
Preceded by: Encultured AI Pre-planning, Part 1: Enabling New Benchmarks
Followed by: Announcing Encultured AI
In the preceding post, we talked about how our plan with Encultured is to enable new existential safety benchmarks for... |
7df4507f-1bd9-4b37-918c-2ffe588f6d5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Robinson on Schooling
|
cf6a63d0-1e56-4b1f-996b-a99a7540e5a7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | "Don't even think about hell"
I found an interesting article by Eliezer on arbital: <https://arbital.com/p/hyperexistential_separation/>
> One seemingly obvious patch to avoid disutility maximization might be to give the AGI a utility function U=V+W where W says that the absolute worst possible thing that can happen... |
ca722893-7f3c-4024-82b9-3eb6b703b5d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Corrigibility through stratified indifference and learning
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
Note: This is a simpler version of a previous idea.
Corrigibility through indifference has a few problems. One of them is that the AI is indifferent between the world in which humans change its utility to v, an... |
396e5f84-04b0-4b47-b855-8dab2799bcf7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | ViM: Out-Of-Distribution with Virtual-logit Matching
1 Introduction
---------------
Considering most deep image classification models are trained in the closed-world setting, the *out-of-distribution* (OOD) issue arises and deteriorates customer experience when the models are deployed in production, facing inputs c... |
80a27596-84c9-4c75-a7b2-a830b73c0ce9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goodhart's Law inside the human mind
Some time back, I saw a tweet from somebody that read:
> Much of social psychology seems to be premised on the bizarre assumption that what people really care about is not real-world outcomes but the state of their own mind: self-esteem, a positive self-image, dissonance reduction... |
1504b148-3894-4604-b854-f56c16c2d0d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Probability is Subjectively Objective
Today's post, Probability is Subjectively Objective was originally published on 14 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Is probability subjective or objective? Better question: what does "subjective" and "objective" mean?
Discuss the post here (rather th... |
b597032b-e130-44b0-b167-a4ee3b3897f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Interview with "Ex Machina" director Alex Garland
http://www.engadget.com/2015/04/01/ex-machina-alex-garland-interview/
The title says he "embraces the rise of superintelligent AI", but that isn't really supported by the text.
What struck me about this was that he seems to just take good habits of thought for... |
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