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07973659-2ec7-4487-b8ff-75a49828af77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modifying Universal Intelligence Measure
In 2007, Legg and Hutter wrote a paper using the AIXI model to define a measure of intelligence. It's pretty great, but I can think of some directions of improvement.
* Reinforcement learning. I think this term and formalism are historically from much simpler agent models w... |
e116b496-9454-4c6b-9c76-03c57fbfe0bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conflating value alignment and intent alignment is causing confusion
Epistemic status: I think something like this confusion is happening often. I'm not saying these are the only differences in what people mean by "AGI alignment".
Summary:
Value alignment is better but probably harder to achieve than personal inten... |
b12bd3e2-001d-4f06-970e-b94a30931df6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unable to post article (probably because of excessive/incompatible formatting)
Hi, I've been trying to publish an article to less wrong for about a week, but I'm unable to copy the text to the post area and submit it.
It says: Submitting, then it stops and nothing happened.
When I sliced the entire text in small par... |
e93e9e9b-891c-49a4-8de1-a9af137a93c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | BARS: Joint Search of Cell Topology and Layout for Accurate and Efficient Binary ARchitectures
1 Introduction
---------------
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have demonstrated great performance in computer vision tasks. However, CNNs often require substantial computational and storage resources, making their d... |
fef6b0ac-bfad-4bc6-93e7-bc02c1c2aea7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Induction of Subgoal Automata for Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) (?) is a family of algorithms where an agent acts in an environment with the purpose of maximizing the total amount of reward it receives. These algorithms have played a key role in major breakthrough... |
a98a7fae-558c-447a-9dc1-24660ff2b40e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Methods for strong human germline engineering
PDF version. Image sizes best at berkeleygenomics.org with a wide monitor. Twitter thread
Introduction
This article summarizes the technical pathways to make healthy humans with significantly modified genomes. These are the pathways that I'm aware of and that seem plaus... |
7f11f114-0c4f-4b10-aacf-454e812078e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, January 16-31, 2013
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, even in Discussion, it goes here. |
f2530e12-cee4-4fe8-8a03-7c6ddaf29ce9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [meta] Future moderation and investigation of downvote abuse cases, or, I don't want to deal with this stuff
Since the episode with Eugine_Nier, I have received three private messages from different people asking me to investigate various cases of suspected mass downvoting. And to be quite honest, I don't want to deal... |
ff37f54e-a518-4927-8d6b-201f3dabd33c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Coalitional agency
The coalitional frame
Earlier in this sequence I laid out an argument that the goals of increasingly intelligent AIs will become increasingly systematized, until they converge to squiggle-maximization. In my last post, though, I touched on two reasons why this convergence might not happen: humans tr... |
fed3583f-6207-468a-9c24-f1cb092d49d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being Wrong Doesn't Mean You're Stupid and Bad (Probably)
Sometimes, people are reluctant to admit that they were wrong about something, because they're afraid that "You are wrong about this" carries inextricable connotations of "You are stupid and bad." But this behavior is, itself, wrong, for at least two reasons.
... |
d4b575ae-b4ab-47b6-a498-5909a9a5b6f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | More Robust Doubly Robust Off-policy Evaluation
1 Introduction
---------------
In many real-world decision-making problems, in areas such as marketing, finance, robotics, and healthcare, deploying a policy without having an accurate estimate of its performance could be costly, unethical, or even illegal. This is wh... |
8cf918fc-52d0-474d-9294-69a61bab31b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning-theoretic agenda reading list
Recently, I'm receiving more and more requests for a self-study reading list for people interested in the learning-theoretic agenda. I created a standard list for that, but before now I limited myself to sending it to individual people in private, out of some sense of perfectioni... |
d93d3ec7-ae9a-4807-9ae8-3fc510632aed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] You and Your Research
I've seen Richard Hamming's classic talk You And Your Research referenced several times on LessWrong and figured I would post the full version. The introduction is reproduced below:
> The title of my talk is, ``You and Your Research.'' It is not about managing research, it is about how yo... |
a1fcc903-4304-46f4-a7a1-a3c83ad669a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
WHEN: 22 November 2014 03:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24/2, 1220 Wien
agenda: - maybe go on with the goal setting and planning for the future - It's time for another open mic session - so please think abou... |
e7dbffdc-b666-465b-a702-45699a7f379a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Champaign, Illinois
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Champaign, Illinois
WHEN: 01 September 2013 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Illini Union South Lounge 1401 W Green St Urbana, IL 61801
Meetup topic will again be determined by popular consensus at the actual meetup. I will have Zendo, Wits and... |
17663125-2345-475d-aa8c-e63c5cf4fefd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting
Prediction markets and forecasting platforms are fascinating tools that bring together collective intelligence. In these markets, people buy and sell shares of potential outcomes, like election results or economic trends. The prices reflect what the crowd thinks is likely to happen, offering a snapshot of ... |
182b3523-d4d4-4c6b-8a94-853fe4b6d78a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Is Alu Life?
I recently read (in Dawkins' The Ancestor's Tale) about the Alu sequence, and went on to read about transposons generally. Having as I do a rather broad definition of life, I concluded that Alu (and others like it) are lifeforms in their own right, although parasitic ones. I found the potential e... |
2e581f69-b68e-4753-bbaf-882340be1e53 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best career models for doing research?
Ideally, I'd like to save the world. One way to do that involves contributing academic research, which raises the question of what's the most effective way of doing that.
The traditional wisdom says if you want to do research, you should get a job in a university. But for the mo... |
e0158520-453a-4c51-bcc3-9b9c3cbefca7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing Collective Action for Existential Safety: 80+ actions individuals, organizations, and nations can take to improve our existential safety
Collective Action for Existential Safety is an initiative of the Center for Existential Safety, a new non-profit organization being formed in the United States.
Our cen... |
61e0edb2-23c0-4d42-a2ea-cf6cdfa9a1c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational discussion of politics
In a recent poll, many LW members expressed interest in a separate website for rational discussion of political topics. The website has been created, but we need a group of volunteers to help us test it and calibrate its recommendation system (see below).
If you would like to help (by ... |
702f814b-2f81-4fbb-a8bc-14a8ee3bab72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much interest would there be in a fringe theories wiki?
I've been exploring a concept for a wiki recently. The idea would be that people contribute fringe theories and present the best evidence for that theory, perhaps by contrasting it with mainstream interpretations of the data. Some examples of pages on the wik... |
9a6de0c0-455c-4180-aeb0-ebd352f29919 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI companies' eval reports mostly don't support their claims
AI companies claim that their models are safe on the basis of dangerous capability evaluations. OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic publish reports intended to show their eval results and explain why those results imply that the models' capabilities aren'... |
1caa9707-b5d5-4408-926b-100d9b6f79d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What software projects would be helpful for different groups?
There are various meetups around the world that work on altruistic software development. Random Hacks of Kindness is at the top of my mind at the moment.
The main site appears to be down at the moment, but the Australian and Canadian sites are still up, an... |
9394e707-a896-4084-b5c2-27eda50bbbeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nothing.
The Pythia inhales the vapors of the chasm and erupts into ecstatic epilepsy. The prophecy is delivered as a babbling of tongues.[1]
> In the future—not the distant future, but ten years, five—people will remember the internet as a brief dumb enthusiasm, like phrenology or the dirigible. They might still... |
ab21e83b-db64-4b5c-890d-0b40da995f2b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Information in risky technology races
*In this post, we (Nicholas Emery-Xu, Andrew Park, and Robert Trager) summarize the results of our paper modeling the role of information in risky technology races. The current version can be accessed* [*here*](https://drive.google.com/file/d/18j_wnA4HDMA3ofclLcfpgyV-0INMn1ZW/view... |
4310c3e2-1b39-4967-958c-3221a1ec707f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A closer look at chess scalings (into the past)
Introduction
============
I had explored [measuring AI or hardware overhang](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/75dnjiD8kv2khe9eQ/measuring-hardware-overhang) in August 2020 using chess. Hardware overhang is when sufficient compute is available, but the algorithms are subo... |
27c280a3-eec3-4903-83cf-b9d3a27d970b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can we create a function that provably predicts the optimization power of intelligences?
Follow up to Efficient Cross-domain Optimization
When I am skeptical that we will ever understand intelligence, I am skeptical that we will ever be able to reliably map a systems description onto its optimization power. This has... |
852c544e-91e4-43b0-a92a-01f6fcfee6a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using machine learning to predict romantic compatibility: empirical results
Overview
For many people, having a satisfying romantic relationship is one of the most important aspects of life. Over the past 10 years, online dating websites have gained traction, and dating websites have access to large amounts of data tha... |
fcc80ece-61d8-4b61-8407-8bc8307350ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW is to rationality as AIXI is to intelligence
Apparently LW does a great job on refining rationality and dissolving confusions. But is it helpful when it comes to anything apart from designing Friendly AI, apart from a purely academic treatment of rationality? I'm currently unable to benefit from what I have so far ... |
cf5cdff8-dbd1-4eb9-889d-9007eaa20452 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sam Altman's sister claims Sam sexually abused her -- Part 2: Annie's lawsuit; the response from Sam, his brothers, and his mother; Timeline
Previous posts (which you should read first)
This post is the 2nd post in a series of 11 posts about the claims of Sam Altman's sister, Annie Altman. Annie has claimed that Sam s... |
dea52d41-9635-4d5a-abab-af618cc6bb7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Arbitrary"
Followup to: Inseparably Right; or, Joy in the Merely Good, Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps
One of the experiences of following the Way is that, from time to time, you notice a new word that you have been using without really understanding. And you say: "What does this word, 'X', really mean?"
Perh... |
b59a3242-59d6-429e-bc7a-2951f7322227 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Two articles on Bitcoin
Tangential, but a subject of some local interest:
Why Bitcoin will fail by Avery Pennarun. "The sky isn't red." Thesis:
1. The gold standard was a bad idea.
2. Even if it [Bitcoin] was a good idea, governments will squash it.
3. The whole technological basis (cryptosystem) is flawed... |
bcf22eca-b545-44e3-8f22-d1e1beaa831f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Multimodal Neurons in Pretrained Text-Only Transformers
This is a linkpost for https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.01544.
> Language models demonstrate remarkable capacity to generalize representations learned in one modality to downstream tasks in other modalities. Can we trace this ability to individual neurons?... |
571b1627-deb4-4d78-8552-8bec85425122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the limits of self-education?
I have exhausted myself thinking of this. Why should I invest time in x if I don't even know what my y is. Traditional teaching or mentoring approaches objectives by defining what a student must fulfill to truly understand and grasp a topic(s) thoroughly. This can also be transla... |
6fe3744b-c747-4c68-9876-9ae3bb514d5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone Else Using Brilliant?
I started using Brilliant, and so far I've found it to be a lot like Thinking Physics - teaching by posing real-world conundrums and then explaining the concepts and/or math behind the answers.
Anyone else getting something out of it, or have advice for how to use it? |
2def12d9-f06b-4028-8b3e-a37ac78e7be7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Compositional preference models for aligning LMs
*This post summarizes the main results from our recently released paper*[*Compositional preference models for aligning LMs*](https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.13011) *and puts them in the broader context of AI safety. For a quick summary of the paper, take a look at our*[*Twit... |
3798eb90-82c6-4df4-ac38-60241c76aeab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - November
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - November
WHEN: 01 November 2015 04:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 10 Shepherd Street, Chippendale
Come join us for November's Rationality Dojo. We've been experimenting with the format recently, to keep things moving a... |
7d030dad-723c-4724-abd7-a1abeda0ceae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Dangers of Time Travel
It has been obvious for decades to anyone who understands quantum mechanics that that the scientific consensus on theoretical physics is wrong. General relativity is background independent. Quantum field theory is background dependent. They cannot both be correct.
According to the Copenh... |
4c2aa95e-e4ea-4c9e-a5b0-71780ad25b03 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How much to optimize for the short-timelines scenario?
Some have argued that one should tend to act as if timelines are short since in that scenario it's possible to have more expected impact. But I haven't seen a thorough analysis of this argument.
**Question:** Is this argument valid and if yes how strong is it?
T... |
872e17c9-a4e6-4778-81d7-d4b2411f5083 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Overview of introductory resources in AI Governance
Overview of introductory resources in AI Governance
This post was created as part of the Supervised Program for Alignment Research, Spring 2024. This work would not have happened without the encouragement and accountability of my supervisor, Peter Gebauer.
Introdu... |
ca851cf8-37d2-4335-84ac-c8c0bed1282f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value of Querying 100+ People About Humanity's Future
I am looking for advice on whether I should do what I've outlined below (is it valuable or generally a waste of time) and, if so, how I should go about doing it. If there is support for something like this, I may apply for funding and do this sometime during Q4 202... |
b2e62a4d-8891-4be0-84d6-97f631473a93 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Enumerating objects a model "knows" using entity-detection features.
Introduction
Research on Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) has identified "known entity" features in language models - features that activate when the model processes entities it "knows." If we can find the circuit models use to recognise that they know an ... |
faf7a0bc-a28c-47cf-bdc3-8f42c2241050 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | ACI#6: A Non-Dualistic ACI Model
Most traditional AI models are dualistic. As [Demski & Garrabrant have pointed out](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/Rm6oQRJJmhGCcLvxh/p/i3BTagvt3HbPMx6PN), these models assume that an agent is an object that persists over time, and has well-defined input/output channels, like it's playing ... |
3dc7a262-494d-45cc-aae4-d975fd5f2b8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Motivation research presentation
I did a presentation on motivation and procrastination research to the Seattle meetup group and an exercise trying to apply the material to a real life example. Eight people came. They were a skeptical bunch and questioned me on exactly the parts I am most interested in an know the lea... |
46218f5e-9638-431b-a5c4-578d35c90486 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | There is no No Evidence
Zvi recently coined, and has now written up this Law of No Evidence:
> Law of No Evidence: Any claim that there is “no evidence” of something is evidence of bullshit.
Considered next to Eliezer's Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence, it might seem like a contradiction, but as far as I c... |
a3d04f48-1c57-49d0-b69f-846e10e92cfe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value ethics vs. agency ethics
Preface
I have trouble expressing myself in such a way that my ideas come out even remotely like they sound in my head. So please apply the principle of charity and try to read how you think I thought of it.
Tit for Tat
Tit for Tat is usually presented in a game between two players wh... |
458e06e5-7a5b-4660-888b-99cf554e99de | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Engaging First Introductions to AI Risk
I'm putting together a list of short and sweet **introductions to the dangers of artificial superintelligence**.
My target audience is intelligent, broadly philosophical [narrative](/lw/hzt/writing_style_and_the_typical_mind_fallacy/) thinkers, who can evaluate arguments well ... |
809e1623-73c1-49cb-8d7e-73edecbf42b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Superrational Agents Kelly Bet Influence!
As a follow-up to the [Walled Garden discussion](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gAM5AgcChwJLhuJkB/kelly-betting-discussion) about Kelly betting, Scott Garrabrant made some super-informal conjectures to me privately, involving the idea that some class of "nice" agents would "K... |
be7aeba0-1d60-4211-bb19-eecd93371161 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Message Length
Someone is broadcasting a stream of bits. You don't know why. A 500-bit-long sample looks like this:
01100110110101011011111100001001110000100011010001101011011010000001010000001010
10100111101000101111010100100101010010101010101000010100110101010011111111010101
0101010101111111010101101010110111110101... |
3a48055e-762b-4b76-ad05-676398e78c14 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Robin Hanson: Why is Abstraction both Statusful and Silly?
Discussion article for the meetup : Robin Hanson: Why is Abstraction both Statusful and Silly?
WHEN: 14 July 2014 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Citadel House, 98 Elm St Apt 1, Somerville, MA
Robin Hanson will give a short informal talk followed by a di... |
5ddf384a-8198-42c3-be8c-460cbd57893b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Putanumonit - Convincing people to read the Sequences and wondering about "postrationalists"
|
4cc24638-9a49-4ef8-b74b-e9b45d823a55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do natural sciences prove causation?
Let's say we have 2 phenomena, A and B, each can be a value of 0 or 1, and we observe, that for them implication table A=>B is always true. (Third column represents whether the combinations of events can happen or cannot.) A B A=>B
0 0 1
0 1 1
1 0 0
1 1 1
Thing we see is t... |
b63bf10a-b926-4ad5-ac0b-a5fe020760ab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Dynamically Switching Human Prediction Models for Efficient Planning.
I Introduction
---------------
When robots operate in close proximity to humans, it is crucial that they anticipate what people will do to respond appropriately.
Such prediction often involves equipping the robot with a model of human behavior [[... |
9d8941ce-edbb-484b-b786-608d54659016 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Analogy Bank for AI Safety
> “A great deal of thinking well is about knowing when to think at what levels of abstraction. On the one hand, abstractions drop detail, and the reliability of inferences using them varies in complex ways with context. On the other hand, reasoning abstractly can be much faster and quicker, ... |
8df1f5a3-7f0b-408f-a712-8a12a854f814 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Apply to fall policy internships (we can help)
### **Many U.S. congressional internship applications are closing in the next few weeks for Fall (Sep- Dec) internships.** This is a relatively low-effort, high reward thing to do if you you’re interested in testing your fit for policy.
I (Elika) interned in my congressi... |
d7aad85e-bdfa-45c1-b7b4-ad24389e8e9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Philadelphia - The Sword of Good
Discussion article for the meetup : Philadelphia - The Sword of Good
WHEN: 22 September 2013 12:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1515 Chestnut St, Philadelphia, PA
Location: Givovani's Pizza
Discussion topic: The Sword of Good (A short story - I highly recommend reading it before th... |
1b330bd2-a0f1-490c-a157-31e1f57df5df | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Epistemic exclusion
An "epistemic exclusion" would be a hypothetical form of AI limitation that made the AI not model (and if reflectively stable, not want to model) some particular part of physical or mathematical reality, or model it only using some restricted model class that didn't allow for the maximum possible p... |
308262a9-f3d4-4c6d-99df-0c6d0f3dcdec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Short Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Short Talks
WHEN: 19 October 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1597 Howard St. San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to give/listen to short talks. Planning isn't necessary: these are not expected to be polished.
I can b... |
5c8ff960-9fee-4bc9-bc62-f3b57b6afa60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What I Tell You Three Times Is True
"The human brain evidently operates on some variation of the famous principle enunciated in 'The Hunting of the Snark': 'What I tell you three times is true.'"
-- Norbert Weiner, from Cybernetics
Ask for a high-profile rationalist, and you'll hear about Richard Dawkins or James... |
68c90e34-eee2-4a7c-9932-56b28128e791 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | European Community Weekend 2018 Announcement
We are excited to announce this year's European LessWrong Community Weekend. For the fifth time, rationalists from all over Europe (and some from outside Europe) are gathering in Berlin to socialize, have fun, exchange knowledge and skills, and have interesting discussions.... |
fbe705ac-9b38-4cf3-a356-22e32fb4a409 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Image GPT
My hot take:
Not too surprising to me, considering what GPT-3 could do. However there were some people (and some small probability mass remaining in myself) saying that even GPT-3 wasn't doing any sort of reasoning, didn't have any sort of substantial understanding of the world, etc. Well, this is another n... |
9bdf8487-fba6-4ddf-9625-3dce1d13f705 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham: Luminosity followup
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham: Luminosity followup
WHEN: 20 June 2013 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Cocoa Cinnamon, 420 W Geer St., Durham NC
A month ago or so we finished going through Alicorn's Luminosity sequence on Less Wrong. So, having done that and worked on Bein... |
25609c27-8580-4bf5-a370-b760beb1e99b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Bad-for-the-world-ipedia?"
Lately I've been thinking about all of the various services and products I consume and how pretty much all of them are bad for the world in one way or another, large or small. Some of the problems associated with them I am less concerned about. Some of them could be construed as good things... |
d66f50a0-f63c-4132-b6ba-a1ee688d396c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | predictablizing ethic deduplication
predictablizing ethic deduplication
-----------------------------------
does the machinery of the cosmos [deduplicate identical moral patients and/or their experiences](deduplication-ethics.html) ?
this seems like a very difficult question to even address; but the good news is t... |
b843ad62-21b9-4dd5-b490-262acc7c34d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How well do truth probes generalise?
Representation engineering (RepEng) has emerged as a promising research avenue for model interpretability and control. Recent papers have proposed methods for discovering truth in models with unlabeled data, guiding generation by modifying representations, and building LLM lie dete... |
43e92390-5e59-45e2-bebc-beb1dde308a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Stockholm: Bottlenecks to trading personal resources
Discussion article for the meetup : Stockholm: Bottlenecks to trading personal resources
WHEN: 11 November 2016 04:15:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Lindstedtsvägen 3 room 1537, SE-114 28 Stockholm, Sverige
"Value of time" is often employed by utilitarians. It can ... |
ec8bceb2-8839-4339-a309-9a1f89253725 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neil deGrasse Tyson on Cryonics
Question:
> What are your thoughts on cryogenic preservation and the idea of medically treating aging?
His response:
> A marvelous way to just convince people to give you money. Offer to freeze them for later. I'd have more confidence if we had previously managed to pull this off wit... |
0757855c-7d4b-4edc-bd8a-5e9a29df11fe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | TASRA: A Taxonomy and Analysis of Societal-Scale Risks from AI
Partly in response to calls for more detailed accounts of how AI could go wrong, e.g., from [Ng and Bengio](https://twitter.com/AndrewYNg/status/1666582174257254402)'s recent exchange on Twitter, here's a new paper with Stuart Russell:
* Discussion on Twi... |
28904644-a7a8-496c-8024-5aeadc1e5d6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] "Academic publishers make Murdoch look like a socialist" says George Monbiot
link
> Who are the most ruthless capitalists in the western world? Whose monopolistic practices make Walmart look like a corner shop and Rupert Murdoch a socialist? You won't guess the answer in a month of Sundays. While there are pl... |
dc386e3f-d750-452a-816c-2033939514bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Are (at least some) Large Language Models Holographic Memory Stores?
*Cross-posted* [*from New Savanna*](https://new-savanna.blogspot.com/2023/10/are-at-least-some-large-language-models.html).
That’s been on my mind for the last week or two, ever since my recent work on ChatGPT’s memory for texts [1]. On the other th... |
34991c38-6ec9-49c6-905e-a757b8517a84 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Approfondimenti sui rischi dell’IA (materiali in inglese)
*This is an Italian translation of* [***More to explore on 'Risks from Artificial Intelligence'***](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Cf6tNAhDbQFvAwbAg/more-to-explore-on-risks-from-artificial-intelligence)
### **Lo sviluppo dell’intelligenza artificia... |
db02c700-8eec-40b2-95f5-44c4b35dfc0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A few questions about Discussion
Since there aren't any subforums and I couldn't find a thread with information of what is relevant for Discussion, and I saw the threads here are relatively free, I've decided to ask my questions in a thread.
- Can I post questions about this section? (sorry if no)
- Can I post about... |
99a6630d-c28c-42ac-bdff-9b2e2393a21e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Multimodal Neurons in Artificial Neural Networks
A paper investigating how individual neurons in a CLIP model (an image/text neural net combining a ResNet vision model with a Transformer language model) respond to various abstract concepts. This shouldn't be very surprising after GPT-3 and DALL-E but still, identifyin... |
23b14af5-61e5-415a-82e4-87d214c2beb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My advice on finding your own path
tl;dr - 4 steps
1. Give yourself permission to take the future seriously
2. Be willing to imagine successful or ambitious outcomes
3. Give yourself the gift of focused time and space
4. Write draw sketch diagram or whatever you need to empty your mind
Intro
(Feel free to skip t... |
165aeaba-64f5-4ef4-a031-ac864f672fd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is this a Pivotal Weak Act?
Creating bacteria that decompose metal
This has been haunting my mind for a while and I would appreciate feedback on it!
In his infamous article "AGI Ruin: A list of lethalities" Eliezer defines a "pivotal weak act" and gives a heuristic proof that no such thing can exist.
TLDR: I think h... |
3552561b-b229-40c4-bc28-198c52586699 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three Kinds of Research Documents: Exploration, Explanation, Academic
Aug 2020 Edit: Changed "Clarification" to "Exploration", thanks to a comment by Richard_Ngo
Epistemic Status: Low. This was a quick idea, but the grouping honesty doesn't work as well as I'd like. I still think it could be useful to some people tho... |
a081f41d-0783-47f0-94f4-c5a91c88c7a8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Nonparametric General Reinforcement Learning
Nonparametric General
Reinforcement Learning
Jan Leike
A thesis submitted for the degree of
Doctor of Philosophy
at the
Australian National University
November 2016
©Jan Leike
This work is licensed under the
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
No reinfo... |
242d6731-4b53-42c1-8f3d-f2e45f64a870 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advice for a smart 8-year-old bored with school
Although my 8-year-old son likes his teacher, he is frequently bored at school. He attends a high quality suburban public school in the United States. He has a lot of traits in common with LessWrong readers, and we would like advice for what he can do to counter his b... |
7ddf7022-02d6-479e-86f6-8ecbc8cee8d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using Brain-Computer Interfaces to get more data for AI alignment
The purpose of this post is to sketch some ways that Brain Computer Interface (BCI) technology might help with various AI alignment techniques. Roughly, we can divide the strategic relevance of BCI technology into three broad categories.[1]
1. Enhance... |
aa9097d7-8686-42b4-a0e9-3b02d52ace94 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Boxing an AI?
Boxing an AI is the idea that you can avoid the problems where an AI destroys the world by not giving it access to the world. For instance, you might give the AI access to the real world only through a chat terminal with a person, called the gatekeeper. This is should, theoretically prevent the AI from d... |
86a4f182-efbf-4a0f-905d-06f33c318388 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why not offer a multi-million / billion dollar prize for solving the Alignment Problem?
My impression (not well researched though) is that such prizes have served in the past to inspire many people to try to solve the problem, and they bring a ton of publicity to both the problem itself and to why the problem is diff... |
f0288159-6f58-4e47-bcf2-b33d91f89950 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Failures in Kindness
There's a particular kind of widespread human behavior that is kind on the surface, but upon closer inspection reveals quite the opposite. This post is about four such patterns.
Computational Kindness
One of the most useful ideas I got out of Algorithms to Live By is that of computational kin... |
efcf22fb-aad4-4ae5-966f-13cfe54d2c62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Year 1 Redux – Serena and Ivan
I blog whenever I’m excited by an idea, when I just read or though of something cool and I simply can’t keep it to myself. The ideas I’m excited by are new and a little precarious. Often, they’re gratuitously contrarian (*cough* burn the FDA *cough*).
These ideas are bit raw. Not fully ... |
1a186c1e-6f87-45b0-b33e-28ca8acf846b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid Prediction Markets at Polymarket
We now have some useful prediction markets up on Covid issues, so it’s worth looking at what they say and thinking about what other markets we could generate. I encourage you to suggest additional markets in the comments, with as much detail as possible.
As I wrote a while ago, ... |
5decd80f-c611-48e0-a6da-cba4246be08f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on the Long Tasks METR paper, from a HCAST task contributor
I contributed one (1) task to HCAST, which was used in METR’s Long Tasks paper. This gave me some thoughts I feel moved to share.
ETA: I've made some substantial changes thanks to responses by the original authors.
Regarding Baselines and Estimates
M... |
cb52e07b-f1d4-46b7-95f2-843bafdfca2a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Formulating Reductive Agency in Causal Models
The [previous post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/G25RBnBk5BNpv3KyF/a-greater-than-b-greater-than-a-in-causal-dags) talked about what agenty systems look like, in the context of causal models. The reductive agency problem asks: how are agenty systems built out of non-age... |
ceaa333c-059b-4566-a2fc-cc6d15adbf4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The rationality of splitting donations
Here are some tentative thoughts that I haven't run by anyone to check for soundness. They're not genuinely original to me – they've been floating around the effective altruism community in some form or other for a while – I just hadn't thought them through in sufficient detail t... |
9d63e591-a19d-4bbd-8034-deced20be12d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to EA Milano [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
How frequently does ... |
590e44dd-2724-4ce8-a32f-aa7fd73721d6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Is this a good way to bet on short timelines?
I was mildly disappointed in the responses to [my last question,](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DDTYxpK42B495MPqM/how-can-i-bet-on-short-timelines) so I did a bit of thinking and came up with some answers myself. I'm not super happy with them either, and would ... |
f519f418-696f-4980-8a9f-c0fb66904775 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Parameter Scaling Comes for RL, Maybe
TLDR
----
Unlike language models or image classifiers, past reinforcement learning models did not reliably get better as they got bigger. Two DeepMind RL papers published in January 2023 nevertheless show that with the right techniques, scaling up RL model parameters can increas... |
394d95d1-40f8-4be9-bc76-643021dabd82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, October 16-31, 2012
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, even in Discussion, it goes here. |
cdde2a81-adff-4ef3-b4ce-e8bdc5d39120 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 7 on AI Governance)
I am Jason Green-Lowe, the executive director of the Center for AI Policy (CAIP). Our mission is to directly convince Congress to pass strong AI safety legislation. As I explain in some detail in this post, I think our organization has been doing extremely important... |
f5fcebc5-11bd-4db4-8c2d-667b7f9191c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Melbourne, Washington DC, Munich, Vancouver, Houston, Shanghai, Ottawa, Fort Collins CO, Seattle
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Melbourne, Ben's house: 09 September 2011 06:00PM
* Washington, DC: 09 September 2011 06:00PM. NOTE: New Location
* Munich Meetup, Sa... |
21ebb63f-859c-40a5-b2d7-511d9987c96a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preserving and continuing alignment research through a severe global catastrophe
[Epistemic status: Shallow dive into research questions, backed by some years of on-and-off thinking about this kind of plan.]
Introduction
There is some chance that civilization will cease to function before we hit an intelligence expl... |
521d1e9f-47d8-44bc-9a15-0602826b380f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why CFAR? The view from 2015
Follow-up to: 2013 and 2014.
In this post, we:
* Revisit CFAR’s mission, and why that mission matters today;
* Review our progress to date;
* Offer a look at our financial overview;
* Share our ambitions for 2016; and
* Ask your help, via donations and other means.
We are in the mi... |
84f2e4c2-1761-4461-b1c9-761e74746565 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No-self as an alignment target
Being a coherent and persistent agent with persistent goals is a prerequisite for long-horizon power-seeking behavior. Therefore, we should prevent models from representing themselves as coherent and persistent agents with persistent goals.
If an LLM-based agent sees itself as ceasing t... |
3356868b-bbfc-4a56-aaa2-56567367802e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Writing children's picture books
[the text of the post is pasted here, for redundancy]
Here’s an exercise for explaining and refining your opinions about some domain, X:
> Imagine writing a 10-20 page children’s picture book about topic X. Be fully honest and don’t hide things (assume the child can handle being told... |
a58c3e0e-1321-4628-8cba-ebc3459c12b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A few minor comparisons of the results of Genetic egineering and Natural selection
[feel free to tldr the intro]
Intro
The title should have been longer to be more accurate and perhaps less misleading but I hope the community will forgive that for sake of brevity as:
A few minor comparisons of the [probable] resul... |
9eac4cbb-2a16-4eaa-9195-699fda7fa5ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What we learned about Less Wrong from Cognito Mentoring advising
In late December 2013, Jonah, my collaborator at Cognito Mentoring, announced the service on LessWrong. Information about the service was also circulated in other venues with high concentrations of gifted and intellectually curious people. Since then, we... |
b42acfd4-4b39-4ed7-8040-8b6069ecb417 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Bayes' Rule and its different forms
Click below to start reading! |
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