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aa86c47b-87d9-4800-a08c-82af115cfbdd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Aligned with Whom? Direct and social goals for AI systems
1
Aligned with Whom?
Direct and social goals for AI systems1
Anton Korinek (Brookings, University of Virginia, and GovAI) and Avital Balwit (Oxford)
May 2022
As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes more powerful and widespread, the AI alignment... |
68d12031-309d-4dcd-a6a5-8807176beeb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI black box for developers to code around, BONSAI
|
c43f254e-99cb-4ea4-a120-77e81082ff7a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Mediating Artificial Intelligence Developments through Negative and Positive Incentives
Abstract
--------
The field of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is going through a period of great expectations, introducing a certain level of anxiety in research, business and also policy. This anxiety is further energised by an A... |
6bea2002-ef5f-45bf-9827-2949d5a84cc0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Eliciting Latent Knowledge (ELK) - Distillation/Summary
This post was inspired by the [AI safety distillation contest](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ei4pYFJKcbGAdGnNb/calling-for-student-submissions-ai-safety-distillation). It turned out to be more of a summary than a distillation for two reasons. Firstly,... |
aed75cd3-c520-43ea-85d8-11747c7eb0e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An anti-inductive sequence
I was thinking about what would it mean for a sequence of bits to be "anti-inductive". It probably is a concept that is already known (as a rule of thumb, if I can think about it, someone probably already wrote a paper on it 50 years ago), but I haven't heard about it.
*
Some sequences are... |
33f41b1b-e7e3-4e14-8ac6-d28a6004c121 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why the technological singularity by AGI may never happen
Artificial general intelligence is often assumed to improve exponentially through recursive self-improvement, resulting in a technological singularity. There are hidden assumptions in this model which should be made explicit so that their probability can be ass... |
e8df2667-275b-4b57-9683-8533314701a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Live Well: My Philosophy of Life
|
b54bf6e6-d02c-45a9-810d-9ed989a810ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Remembering people's name with Anki
Anki changed my life in a lot of way. But the most obvious one is that, thanks to Anki, I do finally recall people's name ! You can find my example, with my name and picture, on my website.
How I know that anki really works
I'm really bad at remembering faces and names[1]. With an... |
73429ef5-e19f-400c-892f-19f8545fdccd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Versions of AIXI can be arbitrarily stupid
Many people (including me) had the impression that [AIXI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIXI) was ideally smart. Sure, it was uncomputable, and there might be "up to finite constant" issues (as with anything involving Kolmogorov complexity), but it was, informally at least, "... |
102cd176-b803-49a5-9648-187221b87d94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Visions of Summer Solstice
Previously:
* Winter Solstice
* The Summer Solstice Paradox
* The Steampunk Aesthetic
i. Off the beaten path
> See the light as it shines on the sea? It's blinding
> But no one knows how deep it goes
> – How Far I'll Go, Moana
The experience begins with a journey.
This partly by de... |
9ba6a8fb-683d-4d0c-9eb7-eba075d1f70f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Lessons for Artificial Intelligence from Other Global Risks
Lessons for Artificial Intelligence from Other Global Risks
Seth D. Baum,1 Robert de Neufville,1 Anthony M. Barrett,1 and Gary Ackerman1,2
1. Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, http://gcrinstitute.org
2. University at Albany, State University of New York , ... |
1f5c3956-8905-480b-bf84-72852368d98b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Audio version of Rationality: From AI to Zombies out of beta
All three volumes of the ebook Rationality: From AI to Zombies are complete and available for purchase on Castify. A big thanks to the narrator George Thomas. The total recording time is over 51 hours.
Five math-heavy essays in the second volume went unre... |
08ecf7e9-2d22-4a57-a1f6-d6b626de924c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Quick and Dirty Survey: Textbook Learning
Hello, folks. I'm one of those long-time lurkers.
I've decided to conduct, as the title suggests, a quick and dirty survey in hopes of better understanding a problem I have (or rather, whether or not what I have is actually a problem).
Here's some context: I'm a Physics & ... |
76f76164-aeb7-4e54-9965-7b1a37d3ad02 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Existing Absurd Technologies
When attempting to introduce non-rationalists to the ideas of cryonics or Strong AI, it appears that their primary objections tend to be rooted in the absurdity heuristic. They don't believe they inhabit a universe where such weird technologies could actually work. To deal with this, I tho... |
ae92104f-cf47-49b6-a735-efa6c0743723 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Radical Honesty
Today's post, Radical Honesty was originally published on 10 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The Radical Honesty movement requires participants to speak the truth, always, whatever they think. The more competent you grow at avoiding self-deceit, the more of a chall... |
921a5df3-c1e5-4ca3-bf19-d8a2bdfa91ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Short Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Short Talks
WHEN: 25 April 2016 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1597 Howard St. San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to give/listen to short talks! You're welcome/encouraged to give a talk that you haven't prepared for, sin... |
90827bbb-9295-4c28-ad66-f406562a2b27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If I were a well-intentioned AI...
I: Image classifier
Introduction: If I were a well-intentioned AI...
I've often warned people about the dangers of anthropomorphising AIs - how it can mislead us about what's really going on in an AI (and hence how the AI might act in the future), cause us to not even consider certai... |
f1fb0848-7240-4095-8f41-18a55ab75eec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Biointelligence Explosion
http://biointelligence-explosion.com/
- Site put together by David Pearce
The content and choice of domain name should be of interest. |
bd4660cc-b9ee-413a-98e9-52b0babde3e1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Needs links
Some pages don't have many [greenlinks](https://arbital.com/p/17f), making them less useful than they could be. |
3528fcce-acd2-4edd-84fd-4ebdbc194998 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts on Animals
I came across this post today where the author talks about happiness and evolution. The author seems to have ambivalent feelings towards happiness. On the one hand, it helps them keep on living. On the other, not having happiness seems to be an evolutionarily good thing to the author.
The aut... |
f3557dc3-51a6-4da7-844e-93a6c5f46ded | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Surjective function
A function $f:A \to B$ is *surjective* if every $b \in B$ has some $a \in A$ such that $f(a) = b$.
That is, its [codomain](https://arbital.com/p/3lg) is equal to its [image](https://arbital.com/p/3lh).
This concept is commonly referred to as being "onto", as in "The function $f$ is onto."
# Examp... |
e2e78a36-8ebb-4bf9-9951-6f60c1d0f3b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Best and Worst Mistake
Yesterday I covered the young Eliezer's affective death spiral around something that he called "intelligence". Eliezer1996, or even Eliezer1999 for that matter, would have refused to try and put a mathematical definition—consciously, deliberately refused. Indeed, he would have been loath to... |
91cfb2da-f25a-417b-9741-54661ce32a75 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Inferring and Conveying Intentionality: Beyond Numerical Rewards to Logical Intentions
1 Introduction
---------------
There are many theories of consciousness; most
propose some biological or other mechanism as a cause or correlate of
consciousness, but do not explain what consciousness is for, nor what
it does [[2... |
fe4e55b9-47f6-45fb-8594-1e6d0951942f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Growth of prediction markets over time?
I would love to see a graph of the total amount of money sloshing around in prediction markets in 2021, 2020, 2019, etc. stretching back as far as we have data. I'm wondering whether there is a trend and if so what the growth rate is. My Google-fu is failing me so I'm asking her... |
781348f3-7b4c-4abf-ada4-861f747374ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quick puzzle about utility functions under affine transformations
Here's a puzzle based on something I used to be confused about:
It is known that utility functions are equivalent (i.e. produce the same preferences over actions) up to a positive affine transformation: u'(x) = au(x) + b where a is positive.
Suppose I... |
bcb79c30-2958-400d-b979-5177b8803316 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What are brains?
I see a self-reference problem with reductionism. I wonder if this has already been solved. So I'm asking.
Best as I can tell, there aren't actually *things* in reality. That's a human interpretation. It collapses upon almost any inspection, like [the Ship of Theseus](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sh... |
cd42af20-a703-4d34-ad83-fe816782edd3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Mediocre AI safety as existential risk
*Epistemic status: Written in one 2 hour session for a deadline. Probably ill-conceptualised in some way I can't quite make out.*
*Broader impacts: Could underwrite unfair cynicism. Has been read by a couple careful alignment people who didn't hate it.*
I propose a premortem... |
e1f30e68-fa90-4cd9-94c9-a49cadb2a8bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency
This is a linkpost for our paper [*Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency*](https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.02390), which provides a general theory explaining when and why grokking (aka delayed generalisation) occurs, and makes several interesting and novel predictions... |
8e8e9777-17b4-4def-899a-2f993349f2f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ginialogy
As part of my efforts to combat the cowpox of doubt, I try to point poor articles only in outlets where poor articles are rare. Last week I gave props to a Bloomberg View column, so I guess they were due.
The piece in question is Noah Smith’s Capitalism Will Shrink Inequality. In fact, it’s happening. I’m a... |
bd38af58-4c25-457b-86dd-97021b5b9a15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial Mysterious Intelligence
Previously in series: Failure By Affective Analogy
I once had a conversation that I still remember for its sheer, purified archetypicality. This was a nontechnical guy, but pieces of this dialog have also appeared in conversations I've had with professional AIfolk...
> Him: Oh, ... |
37558353-a69a-4ccf-ab24-ae2e8e85a02b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Draft of Muehlhauser & Helm, 'The Singularity and Machine Ethics'
Louie and I are sharing a draft of our chapter submission to The Singularity Hypothesis for feedback:
The Singularity and Machine Ethics
Thanks in advance.
Also, thanks to Kevin for suggesting in February that I submit an abstract to the editors. See... |
bfb8679a-a071-4f23-ac7d-c8666dcf33ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding is translation
Does this feel familiar: "I thought I understood thing X, but then I learned something new and realized that I'd never really understood X?"
For example, consider a loop in some programming language:
var i = 0;
while (i < n) {
i = i + 1;
}
If you're a programmer, you probably understa... |
b5b0362f-ec92-4b7e-b377-3d59a16d2ffc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anki on Android in 60 seconds
Spaced repetition is one of the most efficient ways to learn new things. (For research citations, see 'Study methods', here.)
The best way to practice spaced repetition is to install Anki to your phone, since you have your phone with you all day long.
I have an Android phone, so here's ... |
c37e3de8-8024-4694-aafa-e4e45fec3f97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Hard Takeoff
Today's post, Hard Takeoff was originally published on 02 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It seems likely that there will be a discontinuity in the process of AI self-improvement around the time when AIs become capable of doing AI theory. A lot of things have to go exa... |
0a580b23-307c-47b8-b1ed-b0f59ad5cdb5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bias Mitigation in Language Models by Steering Features
INTRODUCTION
What exactly is this bias? How does it manifest in artificial intelligence (AI) models? What steps can we take to eliminate it?
Nearly 90% of all data was generated in the last decade, and internet usage, as well as the growth of social media, has in... |
6c6b0d64-4dd8-4261-b497-ea1b5f0b48ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Select Agent Specifications as Natural Abstractions
Introduction
The Preference Fulfillment Hypothesis (PFH) asserts that “Humans have an innate motivation ('preference fulfillment', PF) to fulfill the preferences of those they care about". For the rest of this post, I model PF as a relationship between:
* Some mode... |
4cfaedb6-f038-4702-8167-71808486bdae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | P-zombies, Compression and the Simulation Hypothesis
Can we have approximate p-zombies?
Lets say we accept that p-zombies don't make sense because of the core arguments. However what about a creature who's behavior is very similar to the target but with a different neural software? That is a simulated person who's be... |
097ab861-c2de-422f-aeb9-859328fad3aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Another community about existential risk - Arctic news
LW is a community of people who mostly share the idea that AI is the main existential risk. But it is not the only one community in the web which has large ammount of evidence about particular existential risk. And the main problem for my point of view is that bot... |
6ecde98a-c574-4523-845a-cdeb9fd9144e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethical Choice under Uncertainty
Ethical Choice under Uncertainty:
Most discussions about utilitarian ethics are attempt to determine the goodness of an outcome. For instance, discussions may focus on whether it would be ethical to increase total utility by increasing the total number of individuals but reducing the... |
c81968d0-a803-4d72-9139-b5c49c9819ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An illicit theory of costly signaling
I’m sympathetic to the view that many human behaviors are for signaling. However so far it doesn’t seem like a very tight theory. We have a motley pile of actions labeled as ‘maybe signaling’, connected to a diverse range of characteristics one might want to signal. We have a stor... |
91e1cd8d-2e36-4cff-a561-107f56fcbeb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New "Best" comment sorting system
Way back in October 2009 Reddit introduced their "Best" comment sorting system. We've just pulled those changes into Less Wrong. The changes affect only comments, not stories.
It's good. It should significantly improve the visibility of good comments posted later in the life of an ar... |
2c2ae08c-27a0-48e5-bd8c-bd95e1f8a09a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Increased Availability and Willingness for Deployment of Resources for Effective Altruism and Long-Termism
In the last few months, there have been several indicators of a dramatic increase of resources available from a number of organizations in effective altruism, in particular for the focus area of EA community/infr... |
d482a3b5-fd9d-4af3-ae37-d86a9506be7b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Transcription of Eliezer's January 2010 video Q&A
Spurred by discussion of whether Luke's Q&A session should be on video or text-only, I volunteered to transcribe [Eliezer's Q&A videos](/lw/1lq/less_wrong_qa_with_eliezer_yudkowsky_video_answers/) from January 2010. I finished last night, much earlier than my estimate... |
0de78fc0-631d-4a7c-873c-1d5e260b3c71 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | vgillioz's Shortform
|
30a445ec-d00c-4aa8-abcc-cdada7dc6936 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Truthful AI: Developing and governing AI that does not lie
This post contains the abstract and executive summary of a new 96-page paper from authors at the Future of Humanity Institute and OpenAI.
Update: The authors are doing an AMA about truthful AI during October 26-27.
Abstract
In many contexts, lying – the ... |
d432cc03-80b1-4517-9f7e-644acc0f8483 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | UN Secretary-General recognises existential threat from AI
At the [Digital Platforms policy brief press conference on Monday](https://press.un.org/en/2023/sgsm21832.doc.htm), UN Secretary-Genera... |
0dacd89f-8778-410e-8d27-dfdb1a13e239 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Philip Pettit on Consequentialism
The Philosophy Bites for 09/11/2011 features Philip Pettit on the consequentialism. Here is a direct link to the MP3 file. |
c5bb203f-de6a-4015-b963-c3ee27cd3dae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Institutional Senescence
Consider this toy model:
An institution, such as a firm, an association or a state, is formed.
It works well in the beginning. It encounters different problems and solves them the best it can.
At some point though a small problem arises that happens to be a suboptimal Nash equilibrium: None... |
76677eec-e986-4c27-a95c-71854557581f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ray Kurzweil on Bill Maher
Finally, a T.V. source talking about the singularity in terms my parents will understand. Next step---> Convince them to sign up for cryonics.
http://www.hbo.com/real-time-with-bill-maher/index.html |
dd51c04f-0d91-4ccb-87c7-3782a8c64171 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recognizing Numbers
Warning: this post is moderately technical and very theoretical.
Problem 1: there are five apples on a plate. If you and your friend each eat an apple from the plate, how many apples are left?
Problem 2: what is 5 - 1 - 1?
Word problems are harder than number problems. (Source: every elementary ... |
34a0ddb5-f98e-4318-8a2d-1c8a3b82dcad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claude's Constitutional Consequentialism?
TLDR: Recent papers have shown that Claude will sometimes act to achieve long-term goods rather than be locally honest. I think this preference may follow naturally from the Constitutional principles by which Claude was trained, which often emphasize producing a particular out... |
4943e910-c242-440d-9d14-fd0e22b71e28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is an Evidential Decision Theory agent?
One thing that I've noticed when talking to people about decision theory is that there is a lot of confusion about what an evidential decision theory agent actually is. People have heard that it doesn't smoke in Smoking Lesion and that it pays in X-Or Blackmail, but that is... |
ba9a0b8d-49f7-4dbd-84e2-d26bb84f22dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcement: Real-time discussions in a new Clubhouse community.
Update: Clubhouse added a feature. You can now join the club directly from this link.
Update 2: Clubhouse is now available on Android too.
The latest conversational Schelling point is Clubhouse. I'll admit, I also didn't get it at first — what feature... |
cd5ae218-f938-477d-a7cd-0fc519785ef8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental vs. Epistemic -- A Bardic Perspective
(This article expands upon my response to a question posed by pjeby here)
I've seen a few back-and-forths lately debating the instrumental use of epistemic irrationality -- to put the matter in very broad strokes, you'll have one commenter claiming that a particular ... |
ac724814-f458-478b-8ced-dab51c615a9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bridging the Intention-Behavior Gap (aka Akrasia)
|
e891d686-a88a-4eb1-bade-de65199c7cb9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Some criteria for sandwiching projects
I liked [Ajeya's
post](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/PZtsoaoSLpKjjbMqM/the-case-for-aligning-narrowly-superhuman-models)
a lot, and I think the alignment community should try to do sandwiching projects along
the lines she describes. Here I wanted to flesh out some potentia... |
f859196e-164b-4442-be36-388160c70f63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evidence against Learned Search in a Chess-Playing Neural Network
Introduction
There is a new paper and lesswrong post about "learned look-ahead in a chess-playing neural network". This has long been a research interest of mine for reasons that are well-stated in the paper:
> Can neural networks learn to use algorit... |
a13ddd75-fa8b-41f6-b195-93e699dd37f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI race considerations in a report by the U.S. House Committee on Armed Services
Epistemic status: Quick and dirty. A surface level dive into a particular aspect of AI governance carried out over the course of one morning.
Context
> The U.S. House Committee on Armed Services is a standing committee of the United Sta... |
8f182f7e-1f50-46d9-b67c-d48fd0095059 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability that the President would win election against a random adult citizen?
Suppose we magically intervene on the USA to make there be a snap election for the office of President. The incumbent (the existing president) goes up against X, where X is a randomly selected eligible person (e.g. adult, citizen, etc.) ... |
3f409000-858f-4a01-956c-36f981a02498 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Where Physics Meets Experience
Today's post, Where Physics Meets Experience was originally published on 25 April 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Meet the Ebborians, who reproduce by fission. The Ebborian brain is like a thick sheet of paper that splits down its thickness. They frequently ex... |
cb7c8da7-eb1b-4f41-bb7a-8a84d0b05ef3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bad Religion
> Accusing something of being like a religion is like a religion.
>
> It’s a shared cultural practice, that reinforces a group’s confidence in the parts of their worldview that provide an order to existence, while facilitating dismissal of contradictory evidence.
>
> – Rob Wiblin
A couple of weeks ago ... |
4c59ddc7-6bef-4db5-b4d1-6a03523969c7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Pascal’s Mugging
Pascal’s mugging
NICKBOSTROM
In some dark alley ...
Mugger : Hey, give me your wallet.
Pascal : Why on Earth would I want to do that?
Mugger : Otherwise I’ll shoot you.
Pascal : But you don’t have a gun.
Mugger : Oops! I knew I had forgotten something .
Pascal : No wallet for you then. Have a nice eve... |
56c6fcda-a85b-4290-9730-85299f361081 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 1 - Adversarial Policies with Adam Gleave
YouTube link
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Podcast. Here, I (Daniel Filan) have conversations with researchers about their papers. We discuss the paper and hopefully get a sense of why it's been written and h... |
6b8d844e-756a-4b06-8c43-9ddd6203a010 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Scenario 1: Barry is a famous geologist. Charles is a fourteen-year-old juvenile delinquent with a long arrest record and occasional psychotic episodes. Barry flatly asserts to Arthur some counterintuitive statement about rocks, and Arthur judges it 90% probable. Then Charles makes an equally counterintuitive flat ass... |
73379529-954c-496d-a6da-c052171e7663 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Requesting Advice] Applying Instrumental Rationality to College Course Selection Dilemma
I'm faced with a dilemma and need a big dose of instrumental rationality. I'll describe the situation:
This fall, I'm entering my first semester of college. I'm aiming to graduate in 3-4 years with a Mathematics B.S. In order fo... |
cf13e81a-de61-40c3-8334-28caff9fd10f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Destroying Insecurity and Boosting Confidence Through Your Interests and Values
I have hypothesis that diversifying your interests, values and desires makes you much less insecure and anxious while boosting your confidence.
Personal Example and How Idea Came to Being
In recent months I had huge increase in my con... |
13049420-d00f-4129-a0f2-86290fb7de92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | o1: A Technical Primer
> TL;DR: In September 2024, OpenAI released o1, its first "reasoning model". This model exhibits remarkable test-time scaling laws, which complete a missing piece of the Bitter Lesson and open up a new axis for scaling compute. Following Rush and Ritter (2024) and Brown (2024a, 2024b), I explore... |
769ed8e7-211e-431c-878b-45ecdcd8fc4b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW's image problem: "Rationality" is suspicious
Concerning Less Wrong's tagline, consider this plausible reaction of someone looking at LW for the first time:
> Cut the crap, nobody cares about rationality in the abstract. Just tell me what view you're trying to push under the guise of presenting it as the only "rati... |
90c41a55-f203-4d87-964c-b928ceb68e84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are Many Worlds and the Multiverse the Same Idea [LINK]
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2011/05/26/are-many-worlds-and-the-multiverse-the-same-idea/
I am woefully unable to judge the quality of this claim, but if true, it seems that many "fine-tuning" questions would be officially answered. It also s... |
811b4ee2-9468-4463-a296-6d9d2bcd1778 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Path dependence in ML inductive biases
In this post, we define path dependence as the sensitivity of a model's behavior to the details of the training process and training dynamics.[[1]](#fnj9an6vasz5d) High path-dependence indicates that small changes to the training process can cause significant changes to how the ... |
016c24bf-52d8-4848-9546-82f42605a557 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it immoral to have children?
In "The Immorality of Having Children" (2013, pdf) Rachels presents the "Famine Relief Argument against Having Children":
> Conceiving and raising a child costs hundreds of thousands of dollars; that money would be far better spent on famine relief; therefore, conceiving and raising ch... |
cb6c59a9-12c5-4a19-a8b7-20aaf722075b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Link] OpenAI on why we need social scientists
<https://distill.pub/2019/safety-needs-social-scientists/>
> We believe the AI safety community needs to invest research effort in the human side of AI alignment. Many of the uncertainties involved are empirical, and can only be answered by experiment. They relate to th... |
6f8529bc-2236-47f6-9566-f2b850576c43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The kinesthesia switch
I've been working on improving my kinesthesia for about thirty years (for reasons which are not obvious to me, I've felt a strong motivation to get moved into my body), and I've found something interesting.
I was doing a chi gung exercise [1] which involves going up on the balls of my feet whil... |
9a872e31-0503-445a-98d7-4646775c7950 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Project Lawful Audiobook: An Unofficial Fan Production with ElevenLabs AI
Eliezer Yudkowsky's latest fiction work, (described here) co-authored with Lintamande, is now complete save for the epilogue. For those following along, I've been producing an unaffiliated audiobook of "Project Lawful" (also known as "planecrash... |
8c9908e1-caee-4239-b554-eff1e5fba67b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Bangalore Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore Meetup
WHEN: 26 June 2011 04:00:00PM (+0530)
WHERE: Barton Centre, Mg Road, Bangalore Karnataka Bengaluru India
Less Wrong Bangalore meetup, the turnout for the last meetup was good. Any new members please join the facebook group 'Less Wrong B... |
c3efe2d4-04ee-41d0-af2d-aa84defefcb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | STARC: A General Framework For Quantifying Differences Between Reward Functions
In this post, I will provide a summary of the paper STARC: A General Framework For Quantifying Differences Between Reward Functions, and explain some of its results. I will assume basic familiarity with reinforcement learning. This is the ... |
07cc8fd8-63b1-44f7-ac53-340c184f6ab9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What we can learn from stress testing for AI regulation
*This work was done as part of the call for case studies to inform AI regulation. Thanks to Patrick Levermore for conversation and feedback on this project.*
**Bullet Point Summary**
* Stress tests assess if banks can withstand economic shocks without public ba... |
716600a9-0798-4b39-89c1-70fd35176901 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Review of Weak to Strong Generalization [AI Safety Camp]
Thank you to everyone in AI Safety Camp group 22 for the discussions and suggestions. In particular, thank you to: Bogdan Ionut Cirstea, Vassil Tashev and Jaeson Booker
Introduction
The goal of AI Safety Camp Team #22 is to assess how promising automating al... |
bf256cc1-0990-4967-bd02-e83c56efac9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tempe, AZ (ASU)
Discussion article for the meetup : Tempe, AZ (ASU)
WHEN: 04 April 2014 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 300 E Orange Mall, Tempe, AZ
We'll meet at the usual location, the entrance to the Hayden Library at ASU at 6:30 PM. Last time, we stayed until around 9:30 PM IIRC, and this meeting will probab... |
2ffeb3c5-8fc7-43d6-aae4-5c9583c7475a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Realistic (Math 1)
### What's the chance that a potentially good partner would flake on the first date?
From a test subject for an early version of the Bayes intro:
A 96% OKCupid match canceled their first date for coffee without providing an explanation.
She estimated that a man like this one had [prior](https://a... |
b97f7137-388c-4493-a7e9-512779f6f55a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reinforcement learning with imperceptible rewards
TLDR: We define a variant of reinforcement learning in which the reward is not perceived directly, but can be estimated at any given moment by some (possibly costly) experiment. The reward function is no longer a function of the observation history, but a different obj... |
dc176e45-a814-4f5d-9929-5f523b730dfb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Deploying Lifelong Open-Domain Dialogue Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Humans learn to use language
over the course of their lives from the interactions they have with the world and other people.
Yet, the prevailing dominant paradigm in natural language processing (NLP) research is to build a fixed dataset... |
5074ed44-d0b9-46f3-abff-5bc40cb85200 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Stuart Armstrong Manchester AI debate
hello and welcome to this talk entitled
should we or not create strong AI an
important question connected with that
is could we create strong AI and if it
is possible could we actually decide not
to on the subtitle of the talk is yai
compares with plagues in nuclear war
which migh... |
8560121c-7044-4880-891f-992e948cbe85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Promises and Pitfalls of Long-Term Forecasting
Disclaimer: We will be speaking at the Manifest Conference in Berkeley, CA (Sept. 22-24) about long-term forecasting, its promises, and its pitfalls. Below is an excerpt from last week's edition of our newsletter, Predictions, detailing some of what we plan to speak a... |
9c7dec31-9a51-4072-925c-c0b084210722 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Interview With Cade Metz on His Reporting About Slate Star Codex
On 16 March 2024, I sat down to chat with New York Times technology reporter Cade Metz! In part of our conversation, transcribed below, we discussed his February 2021 article "Silicon Valley's Safe Space", covering Scott Alexander's Slate Star Codex b... |
b6262516-cc2f-43b6-8ea0-bd9b7cf1fee3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Reinterpreting "AI and Compute"
Some arguments saying that the recent evidence about the speed at which compute has been increasing and has been responsible for rapid progress in machine learning, might mean that we should be less worried about short timelines, not more.
> [...] Overall, it seems pretty common to i... |
7e72a6af-70e5-4213-81af-ccd1abc3f45b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Biases and making better decisions
Discussion article for the meetup : Biases and making better decisions
WHEN: 01 September 2015 07:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: 98 Yigal Alon Street, Tel Aviv
We're going to have a meetup on Tuesday, Sep. 1, at Google Tel Aviv offices, Electra Tower, 98 Yigal Alon St., Tel Aviv.... |
37d980bc-43d1-4901-b55c-728c652ae445 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI
Since at least 2017, OpenAI has asked departing employees to sign offboarding agreements which legally bind them to permanently—that is, for the rest of their lives—refrain from criticizing OpenAI, or from otherwise taking any actions which might damage its finances or reputation.... |
82c43083-406a-4cfc-acef-b1949fcc6c38 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "From Robyn Dawes’s Rational Choice in an Uncertain World:In fact, this post-hoc fitting of evidence to hypothesis was involved in a most grievous chapter in United States history: the internment of Japanese-Americans at the beginning of the Second World War. When California governor Earl Warren testified before a cong... |
a6b38be5-3f83-487a-bc4d-8095d4852ed7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Non-Obstruction: A Simple Concept Motivating Corrigibility
*Thanks to Mathias Bonde, Tiffany Cai, Ryan Carey, Michael Cohen, Joe Collman, Andrew Critch, Abram Demski, Michael Dennis, Thomas Gilbert, Matthew Graves, Koen Holtman, Evan Hubinger, Victoria Krakovna, Amanda Ngo, Rohin Shah, Adam Shimi, Logan Smith, and Mar... |
1d225d8d-4b23-4376-bd0f-f594ffb54519 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Potential vs already existent people and aggregation
EDIT: the purpose of this post is simply to show that there is a difference between certain reasoning for already existing and potential people. I don't argue that aggregation is the only difference, nor (in this post) that total utilitarianism for potential people ... |
fa2fe502-cfc6-4f5b-a290-50434ee81344 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Super-Luigi = Luigi + (Luigi - Waluigi)
Edit: I think this actually implements what I was trying to say: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5spBue2z2tw4JuDCx/steering-gpt-2-xl-by-adding-an-activation-vector
Referencing: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-post
First insight:
Wa... |
09f420a7-98e3-4db4-9542-99b01251648f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISC project: TinyEvals
Apply to work on this project with me at AI Safety Camp 2024 before 1st December 2023.
The project is not set in stone, I am looking for feedback!
Summary
TinyStories is a suite of Small Language Models (SLMs) trained exclusively on children's stories generated by ChatGPT. The models use si... |
9a6f500b-5be9-4537-b990-07723e355034 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When to explain
It is commonly claimed that humans’ explicit conscious faculties arose for explaining to others about themselves and their intentions. Similarly when people talk about designing robots that interact with people, they often mention the usefulness of designing such robots to be able to explain to you why... |
eea77387-bac9-422c-a212-5121b26dd17d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Fun and Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Fun and Games
WHEN: 02 November 2014 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 206 S. Cedar St, Urbana IL
Come for the fun and games, stay for practicing meditation. Also: halloween-candy-based elocution exercises.
Discussion article f... |
58aaafb3-2df6-4be7-8ddd-d748d2f67557 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Traveling to Europe
Over this summer, I will be going to Europe to attend a pair of mathematics conferences. Because they are close together, I'm planning to spend the intervening time (most of the month of July) in Europe.
It is my first time going to Europe. I am very excited. I am certain that I will have fun.... |
6533c0f9-93e4-4b08-a0ff-47dbd83e5e3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] The Lion and the Worm
What's the difference between parasites and predators?
https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2022/05/the-lion-and-worm.html
(Link post due to formatting.) |
1de3ce75-511f-4684-87c5-35a82419ff7b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Fun fact: the lens of a human eye consists mostly of fiber deposits which are never broken down - they do not turn over. Furthermore, new fiber layers are constantly added throughout life, so the lens thickens linearly by about 25 microns per year. Starting at around 3.5mm in infancy, it reaches 5.5mm in old age.The m... |
27e11edb-4bb5-44b8-ae4d-8a3e59422a5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some related communities online?
I think that it might be useful to create a list of related communities online that people might want to check out. Suggestions much appreciated.
Directly Related to rationalism
Skeptics Stack Exchange - useful for confirming factual claims you are skeptical of. Requires spe... |
ba45e9a3-5597-472d-838d-bb735ad6d561 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Evaluating Multimodal Interactive Agents
To train agents to interact well with humans, we need to be able to measure progress. But human interaction is complex and measuring progress is difficult. In this work we developed a method, called the Standardised Test Suite (STS), for evaluating agents in temporally extended... |
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