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dd058335-f878-4379-ba1b-fd2104cd86da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D.Sci II Evaluation and Ruleset
This is a followup to the D&D.Sci post I made earlier this week; if you haven’t already read it, you should do so now before spoiling yourself.
Here is the web interactive I built to let you test your solution; below is a complete explanation of the rules used to generate the dataset... |
1a7ab449-21c9-4bb0-8afb-29c8ecbe5c90 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Deadly Truth of General AI? - Computerphile
in a very basic sense if you've got a
general intelligence which therefore has
preferences over world states
and take actions in the world to change
the world
we have to make sure that its
preferences are aligned with ours
that it wants what we want.
because otherwise it's g... |
8c4df0d9-4ebf-46f3-8c27-58aa491d4d2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Diamondoid bacteria" nanobots: deadly threat or dead-end? A nanotech investigation
Confidence level: I’m a computational physicist working on nanoscale simulations, so I have some understanding of most of the things discussed here, but I am not specifically an expert on the topics covered, so I can’t promise perfect... |
4fefafd1-f14e-4e12-8f6a-e99c07da9a2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Betting on bad futures
Garett Jones, an economist at George Mason University and guest blogger for EconLog, suggests a way for people to bet on apocalyptic events:
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2012/09/how_to_bet_on_b.html
The basic idea:
Suppose Alice and Bob disagree on whether the world will end a y... |
a2728620-3500-4610-8ea9-1fad8e8c149a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: Rethinking Consciousness
(Update September 2024: My thinking has developed a bit since 2020. See [Intuitive self-models] 2. Conscious Awareness for my own Rethinking-Consciousness-adjacent theorizing.)
Princeton neuroscientist Michael Graziano wrote the book Rethinking Consciousness (2019) to explain his... |
a253a988-01a6-4de0-8498-dc3faace8290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 4 ways to think about democratizing AI [GovAI Linkpost]
Many AI labs have called for the democratization of AI. In a recent GovAI blog post, Elizabeth Seger summarizes four different ways of interpreting the phrase:
* Democratizing AI use: Making it easier for people to use AI technologies
* Democratizing AI develo... |
95b0ae6f-e296-4f03-819b-df4924575e7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Rosenhan Experiment
I haven't seen any links to this on Lesswrong yet, and I just discovered it myself. It's extremely interesting, and has a lot of implications for how the way that people perceive and think of others are largely determined by their environmental context. It's also a fairly good indict of presuma... |
4ad11fbc-1a9b-42f2-a059-bc522d85c75f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Selling Nonapples
Today's post, Selling Nonapples was originally published on 13 November 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> In most cases, if you say that something isn't working, then you have to specify a new thing that you think could work. You can't just say that you have to not do what y... |
a2b3f933-3828-4272-a0dd-e26bac17ed7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modern Transformers are AGI, and Human-Level
This is my personal opinion, and in particular, does not represent anything like a MIRI consensus; I've gotten push-back from almost everyone I've spoken with about this, although in most cases I believe I eventually convinced them of the narrow terminological point I'm mak... |
f2eb24ec-434b-4b79-aa5a-24a863512c5d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The Concept of Boundary Layer in Language Games and Its Implications for AI
Introduction
------------
AI research has made significant strides in recent years, particularly in the areas of machine learning and natural language processing. However, a fundamental challenge remains: understanding and accurately communic... |
90ccb273-3424-4027-b61c-f1103d578fcd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2016 LessWrong Diaspora Survey Analysis: Part Four (Politics, Calibration & Probability, Futurology, Charity & Effective Altruism)
Politics
The LessWrong survey has a very involved section dedicated to politics. In previous analysis the benefits of this weren't fully realized. In the 2016 analysis we can look at not j... |
4452ae36-39fd-4960-b684-c875220a090b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Stuart Russell (Full Interview)
so my name is 2a Russell I'm professor
of computer science at UC Berkeley my
general area is artificial intelligence
and right now I'm mainly focused on the
problem of control so how do we retain
control over increasingly intelligent AI
systems
yeah so this is a an idea a diagnosis
for ... |
644e3be6-4b53-4362-bb5c-9dd048f42df6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Using Claude to convert dialog transcripts into great posts?
Dialogs are crucial for identifying errors, developing syntheses, and surfacing cruxes and critical uncertainties. They're also much easier to produce than structured writing or presentations, so we would like to think that they're also a good way of getting... |
ae70886d-ae04-4061-bf9e-db4689ce61d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What does it take to transfer the knowledge to action?
This is a quite personal question. Feel free to point me elsewhere if you think this does not fit the overall discussion happening here, or if there are solution exists for the exact same problem.
Most of the time, My coding skill allows me to modify the code in ... |
a97dd78f-d003-4e25-a9f7-d2c533155133 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dyslucksia
The curious tale of how I mistook my dyslexia for stupidity - and talked, sang, and drew my way out of it.
Sometimes I tell people I’m dyslexic and they don’t believe me. I love to read, I can mostly write without error, and I’m fluent in more than one language.
Also, I don’t actually technically know if... |
2bbc498c-f150-4f90-bcc4-e8e66a381301 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reduced impact in practice: randomly sampling the future
This was an idea developed along with Eliezer when he was at the FHI in November.
In my post on "reduced impact AI" I talked about how you could estimate the impact of an AI by (hypothetically) observing a slice of the future. When Eliezer was here last Novembe... |
9d293f6c-7fde-4842-9da2-e696dd849bc8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deep atheism and AI risk
(Cross-posted from my website. Audio version here, or search "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app.
This essay is part of a series I'm calling "Otherness and control in the age of AGI." I'm hoping that the individual essays can be read fairly well on their own, but see here for a summary ... |
48d578e0-bbb2-48f2-83ba-a79102e640ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exponential growth is the baseline
When we consider the question of “stagnation,” we are assuming an implicit answer to an underlying question: relative to what? What should we expect?
I have a simple answer: Our baseline expectation should be no less than exponential growth.
I will give both historical and theoreti... |
8dba6ac0-7c7f-49f1-be6a-bcab18bdfee0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Principles of Privacy for Alignment Research
The hard/useful parts of alignment research are largely about understanding agency/intelligence/etc. That sort of understanding naturally yields capabilities-relevant insights. So, alignment researchers naturally run into decisions about how private to keep their work.
Thi... |
aec79ccd-fc1f-4045-ab40-85e092c87c0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Life's Story Continues
Today's post, Life's Story Continues was originally published on 21 November 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A discussion of some of the classical big steps in the evolution of life, and how they relate to the idea of optimization.
Discuss the post here (rather than... |
a888469b-9f42-484f-82f7-5aa774599fa3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting is a responsibility
Real world examples of the Parable of Predict-O-Matic show that trust in predictive accuracy has the power to shape world events. Accuracy brings trust, and trust brings power.
It's therefore a bit surprising that more people don't publish verifiable forecasts about major world events,... |
2bf19185-8a95-4989-86df-c81766251828 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Peer-Reviwed Piece on Meaning and Purpose in a Non-Religious Setting
My peer-reviewed article in a psychology journal on the topic of meaning and purpose in a non-religious setting is now accessible without a paywall for a limited time, so get it while it's free if you're interested. I'd be interested in hearin... |
d8f8a1f0-026d-4837-a441-11ddae57b8a3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is the EU AI Act?
The EU [AI Act](https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/) is a proposed law to [regulate AI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regulation_of_artificial_intelligence) which is part of the [European Union’s AI strategy](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/european-approach-artificial-intell... |
aab1f8e1-87ad-47aa-92d2-1b9305837ae6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Archetypal Transfer Learning: a Proposed Alignment Solution that solves the Inner & Outer Alignment Problem while adding Corrigible Traits to GPT-2-medium
NOTE: An updated discussion on what Archetypal Transfer Learning is all about can be found in this LessWrong post.
(Previously titled as GPT-2 Shuts Down 386... |
b8740bf4-fca9-4f2f-a1a1-ed273ac58616 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Participating in a Covid-19 Vaccine Trial
I live near Stony Brook University, which has a well-known hospital and medical school. About a month ago I signed up to participate in research related to Covid-19. As a work-from-homer, this was a way I could reasonably get a vaccine without resorting to “skipping the line” ... |
f5e590dc-0f4a-486d-a222-9ac0eb6b8fa2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simple 5x5 Go
I've been playing 5x5 Go with a lot of people new to the game, and have been using some simplified rules for faster teaching:
1. You can play on any empty intersection, unless it would make the board look like it did previously.
2. If you take away the last liberty ("line leading away") from a grou... |
930fd345-fcbd-4c6f-88fe-e32b07fc0845 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Separating university education from grading
One of many problems with the contemporary university system is that the same institutions that educate students also give them their degrees and grades. This obviously creates massive incentives for grade inflation and lowering of standards. Giving a thorough education re... |
be4bb363-7cfb-4919-bf3d-8b2fe7c8ab9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 'Self-improving AI, an analysis' [link]
For those who haven't read it yet, here is Josh Hall's 'Self-Improving AI: An Analysis' (2007). |
ced049ae-bacf-48a1-8e9c-560a78bd8845 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dequantifying first-order theories
The Löwenheim–Skolem theorem implies, among other things, that any first-order theory whose symbols are countable, and which has an infinite model, has a countably infinite model. This means that, in attempting to refer to uncountably infinite structures (such as in set theory), one ... |
67391fe4-d294-45bd-8e4c-dc0717ee07a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Bio Anchors Forecast
Ajeya Cotra’s Forecasting Transformative AI with Biological Anchors, to my knowledge, represents the most serious effort to predict the arrival of transformative AI - even if it’s not attempting to pinpoint the exact instant that we’ll get transformative AI, it posits an upper bound on the amo... |
7550fa0a-d341-4ceb-a00e-62061f0eb16d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Words, Locally Defined
Related to Distinctions of the Moment, The Problematic Third-Person Perspective, and a disagreement with Said.
In programming, some variables have local scope: they have meaning in the context of a particular function you're writing, or a loop, etc; outside of that context, they may have no mea... |
2b66f31a-5197-4fcb-a5b0-1befff114210 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | a unit for utils
a unit for utils
----------------
as utilitarians, it would be convenient for us to have an actual unit to measure utility, a number to be computed and compared.
the usual pick is money, but some people could have different judgments of the world that lead them to have different instrumental valui... |
ad242e34-68d0-4df1-ac7e-e8c31700c8b1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s 2015 Winter Fundraiser!
The Machine Intelligence Research Institute’s **2015 winter fundraising drive** begins today, December 1! Our current progress:
---
[](https://intelligence.org/wp-cont... |
87f652ba-e957-4438-a05e-7229992d5cf0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Real analysis
Real analysis is a branch of mathematics that deals with real numbers, real-valued functions, sequences, series, differentiation, integration, and related subjects. |
fe9e18c3-0405-4e79-93b9-306ad8435101 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 6/3: No News is Good News
Infections and deaths continue to decline. There is no sign that the change in mask policy or anything else is going to blunt that, or that the control system is attempting to reassert itself. We’re winning.
If you’re reading for ‘news you can use’ there isn’t any beyond ‘news is good... |
aa4b171d-50a6-4478-afa9-e1196c5e5d2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Last Line of Defense: Minimum Viable Shelters for Mirror Bacteria
Epistemic status: We are moderately confident in the feasibility of serially filtered shelters for 14-log protection as well as cost estimates, but more uncertain about how mirror biology might develop in the real world.
Originally published on the EA ... |
fb439258-e592-48a5-8e5d-511f57772d5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deep Learning Systems Are Not Less Interpretable Than Logic/Probability/Etc
There’s a common perception that various non-deep-learning ML paradigms - like logic, probability, causality, etc - are very interpretable, whereas neural nets aren’t. I claim this is wrong.
It’s easy to see where the idea comes from. Look at... |
f56e40d0-3b62-41c1-8c61-c926dd48a449 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The world where LLMs are possible
In Artificial Addition, Eliezer used the ability to do arithmetic as a metaphor for intelligence. I really like this essay. It's witty and enlightening. And yet I have to admit it aged not so well. Among several confused ways to think about artificial addition and by metaphor about ar... |
2cb5db8f-5508-425a-a4bb-a3e16f669fab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Does "Signalling" Mean?
[Epistemic status: shortly after writing this post, I thought I'd regret it. It was not rated very highly by LW karma, and on outside view, it's the sort of rant I often don't endorse later on. But re-reading it after a few weeks, I think it holds up. I still endorse everything I've writte... |
f5b8d45a-3bd7-4716-a218-056703c63011 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread October 2021
(
I saw October didn't have one. First post - please let me know if I do something wrong.
To whoever comes after me: Yoav Ravid comments that the wording could use an update.
)
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, ... |
d0904a92-5d43-415e-969e-5280dc9340f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Opportunistic Time-Management
Be willing to break from your routine if you're in the mood to do the normally-less-savory items now. For example, I normally eat breakfast, work for half an hour, and then go on a run (I look forward to going on a run, not to working, but for me working is more important), and I later wo... |
cc0beafc-192e-4828-b60e-2814202348bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
I first learned about cryonics when I read Eliezer and Robin's posts about it on Overcoming Bias years ago. I got cryopilled. Somewhat amazingly to me, I'm now a researcher in this field. So I thought this community might be interested to know that I was one of sev... |
a68738d1-4c79-45cb-842c-62ac77926751 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Dark Constitution" for constraining some superintelligences
I thought the linked article ("…Teach a Man to Revolt: Dreams of a Dark Bill of Rights" by Kulak) was a fun and clarifying read. It explained some things about both Islamic political dynamics and the American Constitution that I hadn't fully appreciated befo... |
33dacdeb-1594-47f1-98c1-b5af8d09876b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Webcomics
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Webcomics
WHEN: 10 July 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
We will be meeting in the courtyard to talk about webcomics - be that specific webcomics, webcomics as a medium... |
d66a9336-69e6-47e9-b8c8-5a136b57799d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Qualitatively Confused
Today's post, Qualitatively Confused was originally published on 14 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Using qualitative, binary reasoning may make it easier to confuse belief and reality; if we use probability distributions, the distinction is much clearer.
Disc... |
811784d9-259c-44ed-b792-915200d4278e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why do people ____?
The other day, someone did something I didn't expect. It was something many people have done before; something that I thought of as very normal, but that I in no way understood and had not predicted.
As I said, this had happened many time before, so I wrote it off as "me not understanding people"... |
0418b35c-3765-4522-b036-12dcbb8b5018 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can an economy keep on growing?
This is a linkpost from https://invertedpassion.com/can-an-economy-keep-on-growing/
1/ Imagine an economy that keeps on growing indefinitely. It’s essentially a non-zero-sum economy – as the pie becomes bigger, everyone becomes better as even a small percentage of a really large number... |
f41b6539-3753-4e51-a8f0-1db9e421268c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | From-above vs Fine-grain diversity
From-above vs Fine-grain diversity
----------------------------------
consider the following two populations:

which one has the most diversity?
one might be tempted to think that A (a scenario that might occur if two populations are fo... |
d36c8f2e-386b-477c-ba19-717f1f69f547 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Choose a Goddess (Using a Spreadsheet)
After years spent perfecting my OkCupid game, my efforts hit home in April 2015. Two wonderful girls replied to me on the same day, and two first dates were set up for the following week. Sarah, a redhead Jewish community organizer. Terese, a blonde biologist. My Biblical ... |
46132799-3c15-4147-b58a-73829066564a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Procedurally evaluating factual accuracy: a request for research
*I am grateful to Daniel Kokotajlo, Beth Barnes and John Schulman for feedback on this post.*
The purpose of this post is to request research on the design of precise procedures for evaluating how factually accurate pieces of text are. This stands out t... |
0313ad47-617f-4f61-9d0f-b0ba1ae1258f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] The Bayesian argument against induction.
In 1983 Karl Popper and David Miller published an argument to the effect that probability theory could be used to disprove induction. Popper had long been an opponent of induction. Since probability theory in general, and Bayes in particular is often seen as rescuing ind... |
2ee8fdee-f587-4b47-9b1a-54a71c3ee716 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The True Prisoner's Dilemma
Today's post, The True Prisoner's Dilemma was originally published on 03 September 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The standard visualization for the Prisoner's Dilemma doesn't really work on humans. We can't pretend we're completely selfish.
Discuss the post h... |
1acb51c8-be71-4850-a7b1-08f2640769e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the interpretation of the do() operator?
To reductively explain causality, it has to be explained in non-causal terms, most likely in terms of total propability distributions. Pearl explains causality in terms of causal graphs which are created by conditionalizing the propability distribution on not event, but... |
97cd1387-fd59-4cd4-ba22-649d1c8390fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tallinn-Evans $125,000 Singularity Challenge
Michael Anissimov posted the following on the SIAI blog:
Thanks to the generosity of two major donors; Jaan Tallinn, a founder of Skype and Ambient Sound Investments, and Edwin Evans, CEO of the mobile applications startup Quinly, every contribution to the Singularity Inst... |
40d7714f-b042-4771-b510-f412ecdb8baa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Less Wrong Q&A with Eliezer (Step 1: The Proposition)
I don't know if I'm the only one, but I've always been a bit frustrated by Eliezer's BloggingHeadsTV episodes. I find myself wishing that Eliezer would get more speaking time and could address more directly some of the things we discuss at LW/OB.
Some of you wil... |
bda74372-bc87-4d12-8cb5-ee13b3979b98 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dark Arts of Rationality
Note: the author now disclaims this post, and asserts that his past self was insufficiently skilled in the art of rationality to "take the good and discard the bad" even when you don't yet know how to justify it. You can, of course, get all the benefits described below, without once compromisi... |
c24ae5fe-8096-480e-9fab-efbbac5a5907 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [prize] Spaced Repetition literature review
EDIT: I am canceling this contest because I feel that the structure of the incentives were poorly thought out (see gwern's comments). I will be posting a new better structured contest in the near future (now posted). If you feel this is unfair or otherwise feel slighted, ple... |
3749195b-7e74-4987-9075-98f4a877332b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Obfuscated Gradients Give a False Sense of Security:
Circumventing Defenses to Adversarial Examples
1 Introduction
---------------
In response to the susceptibility of neural networks to adversarial examples
(Szegedy et al., [2013](#bib.bib27); Biggio et al., [2013](#bib.bib6)),
there has been significant interest ... |
8e589572-2b47-403b-ab96-9c365c8c288d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguments for optimism on AI Alignment (I don't endorse this version, will reupload a new version soon.)
Or, why we probably don't need to worry about AI.
So this post is partially a response to Amalthea's comment on how I simply claimed that my side is right, and I responded by stating that I was going for a short ... |
11c8aa7a-6d40-4521-bcb5-c64c8cc85af9 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Related to: Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate
Eliezer described a scene that's familiar to all of us: Imagine that you're at a conference, and the speaker gives a 30-minute talk. Afterward, people line up at the microphones for questions. The first questioner objects to the graph used in slide 14 using a logarithmic scale;... |
617339eb-c4ec-498c-81b3-e17b5338a4be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On-line conference for LW readers and meet up members
I would like to consolidate LW members in a new way. I believe we can organize an on-line gathering in some form, for example as a set of chat rooms to discuss different topics in the real time. This event can be announced in advance to help everyone to arrange pla... |
15ad2737-b8fb-4d71-9b94-39a842a8ee76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights?
In a recent post, Cole Wyeth makes a bold claim:
> . . . there is one crucial test (yes this is a crux) that LLMs have not passed. They have never done anything important.
>
> They haven't proven any theorems that anyone cares about. They haven't written anything that anyone will... |
98509e2f-77e1-441b-ba1c-ec3c04bac37a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Large language models converge toward human-like concept organization
This is a linkpost for https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.15047.
> Large language models show human-like performance in knowledge extraction, reasoning and dialogue, but it remains controversial whether this performance is best explained by mem... |
e4b5c26d-27fd-4d6f-928b-731a07214c37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comparative Advantage Intuition
On an intuitive level, how much should comparative advantage be taken into account when deciding on a life path?
It seems unrealistic to analyze every factor involved to maximize utility, but without doing that, there is a wide range of extents to which comparative advantage can be fav... |
cbaa8634-1592-4f3c-acfb-fb6a55b0c3d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 10/19/2017: Development Update (new vote backend, revamped user pages and advanced editor)
Here are the latest changes I just pushed:
Navbar now changes depending on context:
If you visit a post on a user page, the header now changes to reflect that you are no longer on the frontpage. This will hopefully make the vi... |
98adf55c-2514-4f3c-99f9-ac2283b6e9eb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Learning Robot Objectives from Physical Human Interaction
Learning Robot Objectives
from Physical Human Interaction
Andrea Bajcsy
University of California, Berkeley
abajcsy@berkeley.eduDylan P. Losey
Rice University
dlosey@rice.edu
Marcia K. O’Malley
Rice University
omalleym@rice.eduAnca D. Dragan
University of Cali... |
fb0f0015-9a82-480b-812c-1160cee8890e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Two major announcements in AI governance today
Two important announcements in AI policy were made today.
First one: FACT SHEET: President Biden Issues Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence
Some quotes:
> With this Executive Order, the President directs the most sweeping... |
cec6fefe-b742-4999-b07d-27964a6e9552 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Enhancing biosecurity with language models: defining research directions
This report explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to enhance biosecurity. We conducted interviews with nine biosecurity experts to understand their daily tasks, and how LLMs could be more useful for their work. Our findings indic... |
8a2ecc09-fba9-41b7-b485-44c95244ab78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Ten Commandments of Rationality
(Disclaimer/TL;DR: This article, much like Camelot, is a silly place/post. Nonetheless I think it presents a pretty solid list of 10 rationality lessons to take away from Less Wrong which must not be forgotten upon pain of eternal damnation/irrationality.)
In a realm not far fro... |
03c5ee95-9427-4c3c-b912-1b4fce2bbe0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment can be the ‘clean energy’ of AI
Not all that long ago, the idea of advanced AI in Washington, DC seemed like a nonstarter. Policymakers treated it as weird sci‐fi-esque overreach/just another Big Tech Thing. Yet, in our experience over the last month, recent high-profile developments—most notably, DeepSeek's... |
8ccba598-d1f5-4e8b-bc5c-b438616b9538 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Superintelligence: Science or Fiction? | Elon Musk & Other Great Minds
I'm going to ask a question, but you can only
answer by saying either 'yes,' 'no,' or 'it's
complicated.'
Alright?
So, let's start over here.
Is some form of superintelligence possible,
Jaan?
'Yes,' 'no,' or 'it's complicated.'
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
... |
3cc4f112-16a0-4fcf-8b11-ba244d97bfcf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blackmail, continued: communal blackmail, uncoordinated responses
The heuristic that one should always resist blackmail seems a good one (no matter how tricky blackmail is to define). And one should be public about this, too; then, one is very unlikely to be blackmailed. Even if one speaks like an emperor.
But there'... |
b32a619a-e03f-42ac-b6d2-8a50ec956c2b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Safe plan identification and verification
Safe plan identification is the problem of how to give a Task AGI training cases, answered queries, abstract instructions, etcetera such that (a) the AGI can thereby [identify outcomes in which the task was fulfilled](https://arbital.com/p/2rz), (b) the AGI can generate an oka... |
2bf0c172-23b7-449b-b8b1-8a8f4481ed13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Epistemic range of motion" and LessWrong moderation
(Context for the reader: Gabriel reached out to me a bit more than a year ago to ask me to delete a few comments on this post by Jacob Hilton, who was working at OpenAI at the time. I referenced this in my recent dialogue with Olivia, where I quoted an email I sent ... |
ec395525-dbf5-4f19-9399-c1e8c5fa77af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The time has come to talk of whether pigs have wings
Let's refine each other's understanding of biological evolution, as encapsulated as best we can manage in a short comment.
It's time to be lesswrong. Starting with me. |
e1554b0e-f744-49f5-b62e-7f6116b639f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on OpenAI’s alignment plan
This work was supported by the Monastic Academy for the Preservation of Life on Earth.
----------------------------------------
OpenAI has published a plan for producing aligned AI systems. Very roughly, their plan is to build language models capable of producing human-level alignmen... |
42402b83-003c-434a-be38-7899d9486173 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experimentation with AI-generated images (VQGAN+CLIP) | Solarpunk airships fleeing a dragon
A few days ago I found the Twitter account @images_ai, which posts AI-generated images and links to these instructions for generating your own. I started playing around with it; some of my choice picks:
The first image I gener... |
8ac368cb-b5eb-4d28-8536-ca6da2713a87 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Resolutions to the Challenge of Resolving Forecasts
One of the biggest challenges in forecasting is formulating clear and resolvable questions, where the resolution reflects the intent of the question. When this doesn't happen, there is often uncertainty about the way the question will be resolved, leading to uncertai... |
c7bba6ee-44ec-44f2-b3bf-1617a35dd478 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Survey: What (de)motivates you about AI risk?
[Share your hot takes](https://forms.gle/LdA5gwLgwHFqpZgw7) on what leads people to see AI risk as important! I will test the most promising hypotheses in a future poll.
The time you take to think about them is up to you but careful introspection may take at least 8 minut... |
51760f17-cf5d-434a-af10-953a75d85409 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Concrete Advice for Forming Inside Views on AI Safety
A lot of people want to form inside views on AI Safety, and this is a post about concrete advice on how to get started. I have a lot of hot takes on inside views and ways I think people misframe them, so I'll begin with some thoughts on this - if you just want to c... |
6b3c9c3c-1043-4bf4-ba85-ee8a8f325adf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Programmer
The 'programmers' are the human beings creating whatever [advanced agent](https://arbital.com/p/2c) is being talked about.
The word 'programmer' isn't meant to imply that the AI is hardcoded as a fixed algorithm and then run; it's just the compact word we use to refer to the AI's creators. (E.g., the crea... |
4e6010e1-c86a-402e-a9b3-4bf0f2662532 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | More Academic Diversity in Alignment?
Within the field of technical alignment research, some researchers are asking for a more diverse range of perspectives to apply to the problem. The idea is that greater diversity of academic backgrounds could generate novel insights into the problem, generating new research agenda... |
197eb3d7-4d0a-44e0-9809-130fb73cd4f8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Sufficiently advanced Artificial Intelligence
A 'sufficiently advanced Artificial Intelligence' is a cognitive [agent](https://arbital.com/p/6t) or cognitive algorithm with capabilities great enough that we need to think about it in a qualitatively different way from robotic cars; a machine intelligence smart enough t... |
a8cace7e-f442-4da2-a33d-d56af75ff574 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How Do We Align an AGI Without Getting Socially Engineered? (Hint: Box It)
### *Produced during the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative (SERI) ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) Program of 2022, under John Wentworth*
*“Overconfidence in yourself is a swift way to defeat.”*
*- Sun Tzu*
**TL;DR:** Escape int... |
afd10b62-f0b7-47cd-8d40-9f8fd58d0fb7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Intermittent Distillations #2
Servant of Many Masters: Shifting priorities in Pareto-optimal sequential decision-making (Andrew Critch and Stuart Russell)
============================================================================================================================
[Servant of Many Masters: Shifting pr... |
66bb5e5a-94e3-4ce4-a826-04e06d8f7ced | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Raising the waterline
Among the goals of Less Wrong is to "raise the sanity waterline" of humanity. We've also talked about "raising the rationality waterline": the phrase is somewhat popular around these parts, which suggests that the metaphor is catchy. But is that all there is to it, a catchy metaphor? Or can the p... |
574b6522-4bf6-4aa5-b221-0137e8cde27c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI companies aren't planning to secure critical model weights
AI companies' security plans, per their published safety policies, involve just SL3-4 security for powerful AI (see Appendix below).[1] (Moreover, companies are likely to not follow their current policies.)
Source.
Just SL3-4 is very inadequate; it would ... |
54100d73-8e54-4068-b883-2a691fff20d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Reciprocity Circle
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Reciprocity Circle
WHEN: 15 May 2017 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1769 15th St, San Francisco, CA 94103-3333, United States
We’re trying a new-ish format this week - a variant on our usual topic of Group Debuggi... |
239e7b64-dde5-4da0-97a8-b97fa59ca50b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A logic for reasoning about upper probabilities
1 Introduction
---------------
Various measures exist that attempt to quantify uncertainty. For
many trained in the use of
probability theory, probability measures are an obvious
choice. However, probability cannot easiliy capture
certain situations of interest.
Consi... |
cc87b8a1-e3cb-4deb-b381-f1849587188a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wrist Update
It's been about a year now since my wrists got really bad. Unfortunately, it's no longer limited to just my wrists: I'm having similar issues with my hands. Last time I wrote about how my doctor thought that this was likely due to ganglion cysts, but since then we've done more imaging and that looks like ... |
4a111d79-f326-4fe3-a8d5-5a8bde31dd83 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Suzhou Meet-up
Discussion article for the meetup : Suzhou Meet-up
WHEN: 28 October 2015 07:35:00PM (+0800)
WHERE: Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
This is just to get started if there's anyone around. If you're interested, let me know and we'll figure out when to time it.
Discussion article for the meetup : Suzhou... |
d5c517ec-c516-419d-b1a3-cd9fa97ec0a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] How A Lamp Took Away My Reading And A Box Brought It Back
By Ferrett Steinmetz
Ferrett isn't officially a Rationality Blogger, but he posts things that seem relevant fairly often. This one is in the spirit of "Beware Trivial Inconveniences". It's the story of how he realized that a small change in his environm... |
293e997c-8b76-4fbf-b6cb-18e6117ffbe4 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post475
Paper authors: Erik Jenner, Shreyas Kapur, Vasil Georgiev, Cameron Allen, Scott Emmons, Stuart Russell TL;DR: We released a paper with IMO clear evidence of learned look-ahead in a chess-playing network (i.e., the network considers future moves to decide on its current one). This post shows some of our res... |
bb88969a-2009-43f8-b526-d81479f27e48 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hammers and Nails
,,,,,,,,,
If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
The most important idea I've blogged about so far is Taking Ideas Seriously, which is itself a generalization of Zvi's More Dakka. This post is an elaboration of how to fully integrate a new idea.
I draw a dichotomy between Hammer... |
5c7b2329-b6db-499f-a368-9df856512b5c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Clarifying and predicting AGI
*This post is a slightly-adapted summary of two twitter threads,* [*here*](https://twitter.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1643310525697105935) *and* [*here*](https://twitter.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1640568775018975232?lang=en)*.*
The t-AGI framework
-------------------
As we get closer to AGI,... |
31aa67f8-51d3-48bd-a6fe-bd5d5660832c | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I'm cynical about cynicism. I don't believe that most cynicism is really about knowing better. When I see someone being cynical, my first thought is that they're trying to show off their sophistication and assert superiority over the naive. As opposed to, say, sharing their uncommon insight about not-widely-understood... |
16ceb5fc-3c5a-43c2-95c9-2ed776da9ea6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prediction-based-Medicine instead of E̵v̵i̵d̵e̵n̵c̵e̵ ̵b̵a̵s̵e̵d̵ ̵M̵e̵d̵i̵c̵i̵n̵e̵ Authority-based-Medicine
This article explores how evidence-based Medicine currently works in 2021 with ivermectin as a case study. I don't make any argument for or against ivermectin but look at the deeper issues about how we decide w... |
e6c90ac2-c43c-46f6-8c7f-7f87bd6169ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The authorial construct
Elizabeth Bear writes about the extent to which people invent versions of celebrities to react to:
> I'm just in these last couple of years coming to realize that, to a lot of people (like, more people than I know in real life), I'm no longer a real person they don't know, or maybe know by re... |
d070f16c-3673-4733-9f8c-c1e71131714c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | News: Improbable Coincidence Slows LHC Repairs
Related to: How Many LHC Failures is Too Many?
My first reaction to this was that it had to be a joke, but I thought Less Wrong readers would like to know that The Times of London is reporting that repairs on the Large Hadron Collider have been delayed by overheating cau... |
5d017065-cbe5-4b81-84d8-1d28deb8ebc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning flirting with an acting coach - thoughts?
Beloved LessWrongers,
Recently I experimented with radically changing my texting strategy to increase women's interest. It was stunningly successful because I fixed awkward conversation killers and learn to perform high-status behaviors. Reductionism OP, please nerf.... |
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