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7a39bd08-f076-46a5-a3b9-ee9ccde472f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | House Grocery Spending
I was curious what our food spending looked like, so I tried to get a picture of what this has looked like over the past year. We have a good idea of our total spending: we buy most groceries on a house credit card so we can split it fairly, and if someone accidentally buys groceries on a person... |
ba3c339d-7f94-4a52-bb93-934d2573c442 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the death rate for those who test negative on Covid-19?
If they only covid19 test people sick enough to be hospitalized, and if most of the deaths are over 70, shouldn't there be a comparison in the death rates to those patients testing negative? |
d30a5a9f-925f-4695-9348-309500727a09 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A civilization ran by amateurs
I
When I was a child, I remember thinking: Where do houses come from? They are huge! Building one would take forever! Yet there are so many of them!
Having become a boring adult, I no longer have the same blue-eyed wonder about houses, but humanity does have an accomplishment or two I'm... |
e29d7b7a-3617-4884-b002-b909988a15b2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Algebra trick of the day
I’ve decided to start recording algebra tricks as I end up using them. Today I actually have two tricks, but they end up being used together a lot. I don’t know if they have more formal names, but I call them the “trace trick” and the “rank 1 relaxation”.
Suppose that we want to maximize the... |
3c70a3fb-eb16-4f2b-af2b-e13bedcd5961 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Success the Enemy of Freedom? (Full)
I. Parables
A. Anna is a graduate student studying p-adic quasicoherent topology. It’s a niche subfield of mathematics where Anna feels comfortable working on neat little problems with the small handful of researchers interested in this topic. Last year, Anna stumbled upon a con... |
1f8c21b3-606e-4701-ae2e-7646ea652d01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
WHEN: 20 June 2015 03:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24/2
What google maps says here about the address is a lie! -> Location: http://web.student.tuwien.ac.at/~e0326238/rationality_meetup/directions.html
FB-E... |
99b15e02-2815-44ed-b05a-21c3744ca4ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Carl Jung is not popular in AI Alignment Research?
Carl Jung's theories of individuation and the collective unconscious focus on the individual experience in relation to a larger collective unconscious shared by humanity. Individuation is the journey of discovering a person's true identity, and in order to do s... |
7cd90765-c8fb-4219-9d85-b68a37307ed8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, Apr. 27 - May 3, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately b... |
1970d77c-023a-41ed-a4ef-efa3cd6a04a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | l
TLDR: I wrote myself a script that significantly reduced the friction associated with adding a new note to a notes file. This has made me happier.
Sometimes I need to brainstorm lists of things. Here are some examples:
* A professor at the college I attend challenged me to solve a puzzle that boils down to "produ... |
10c91899-bc91-4580-b061-abfc76d39bc7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Realigning Housing Coalitions
There are currently two main coalitions in US housing politics in high cost-of-living areas:
* Developer / Pro-business / YIMBY: make it easier to build more housing. Allow higher densities, more subdivision, and smaller units. Lower affordable housing minimums, lower parking minimums, l... |
f4259ba6-140a-4d24-8491-f8bfb9ea3267 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How likely do you think worse-than-extinction type fates to be?
The risks of unaligned-AGI are usually couched in terms of existential risk, whereby the outcome is explicitly or implicitly human extinction. However, given the nature of what an AGI would be able to do, it seems though there are plausible scenarios wors... |
6e78e621-a08b-4349-b660-37de14906bba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A survey of anti-cryonics writing
(This was originally a link to a post on my blog, A survey of anti-cryonics writing. Eliezer asked me to include the entire text of the article here.)
For its advocates, cryonics offers almost eternal life. To its critics, cryonics is pseudoscience; the idea that we could freeze so... |
86c4d014-0251-45e5-868a-0886a034dd45 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | DERAIL: Diagnostic Environments for Reward And Imitation Learning.
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) optimizes a fixed reward function specified by the designer.
This works well in artificial domains with well-specified reward functions such as games (Silver et al., [2016](#bib.bib26); Viny... |
44fd51b0-5168-45c7-b89d-14bf47951535 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Take 4: One problem with natural abstractions is there's too many of them.
*As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes.*
Everyone knows what the deal with [natural abstractions](https://www.lesswrong.co... |
b5b1ec44-91f7-4f56-aede-ebd3c4fa4323 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | gamers beware: modded Minecraft has new malware
Send this to anyone who was playing modded Minecraft on work machines. Or anyone playing modded Minecraft at all, really! |
5462c33b-3afd-40d7-9bb3-eab9829573fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linear encoding of character-level information in GPT-J token embeddings
This post was primarily authored by MW, reporting recent research which was largely directed by suggestions from and discussions with JB. As secondary author, JB was responsible for the general shape of the post and the Future Directions section.... |
d2746f65-cb3b-451a-ae14-583cf1e6e196 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If my previous research is wrong, what are my options ?
In 2007 I coauthored a scientific paper, which is essentially a method for food analysis. To be honest, we have noticed one sample behaving weirdly already at that time, but we rationalised it away and omitted the weird sample from the results. Still, just in cas... |
6879c093-afc6-4c68-8fde-c4c16c2e9f23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #17
Highlights
Differentiable Image Parameterizations (Alexander Mordvintsev et al): There are lots of techniques for generating images using neural nets. A common approach is to take a neural net trained to classify images, and then use gradient descent to optimize the input image instead of the... |
358b0883-9b14-4607-8469-a0833791a31a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effective Aspersions: How the Nonlinear Investigation Went Wrong
The New York Times
Picture a scene: the New York Times is releasing an article on Effective Altruism (EA) with an express goal to dig up every piece of negative information they can find. They contact Émile Torres, David Gerard, and Timnit Gebru, collect... |
754a04a8-15a8-4d9c-879c-4f5639252ffc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A response to OpenAI’s “How we think about safety and alignment”
This is part of the MIRI Single Author Series. Pieces in this series represent the beliefs and opinions of their named authors, and do not claim to speak for all of MIRI.
OpenAI recently added a new webpage to share the company’s views on AI safety and ... |
073748fb-96cc-4fb2-9f3e-20d151d392fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Classical Configuration Spaces
Previously in series: Distinct Configurations
> Once upon a time, there was a student who went to a math lecture. When the lecture was over, he approached one of the other students, and said, "I couldn't follow that at all. The professor was talking about rotating 8-dimensional obj... |
9c1dfe02-83fd-4d1d-95ac-5bf522942ec9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I spend money to improve my life?
On ChrisHallquist's post extolling the virtues of money, the top comment is Eliezer pointing out the lack of concrete examples. Can anyone think of any? This is not just hypothetical: if I think your suggestion is good, I will try it (and report back on how it went)
I care ab... |
5f05fb7b-d0c9-4c00-b216-1cfcf588ba27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is the world becoming better?
This is a linkpost from https://invertedpassion.com/is-the-world-becoming-better/
This essay is inspired by the book Factfulness where the key idea explored is that the world has witnessed significant progress over the last few decades, but most people are unaware of that fact because th... |
c62313b4-df49-427c-ac18-0437c4a19806 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Cognitive Model Priors for Predicting Human Decisions
1 Introduction
---------------
Which gamble would you rather take: a 50/50 chance of winning/losing $100, or a 100% chance of $0? Although both gambles have equal expected value (payoff), the majority of people systematically prefer the second (Kahneman & Tversk... |
56ed296c-736f-4513-8ce7-7046b376f7db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Integration Bandwidth: The Mechanism Behind Intelligence and Puberty
I put together a model explaining the link between IQ and the onset of puberty. Ideas only thrive when they're attacked, and I was told this was the kind of place that could manage it.
The core idea is that slowing myelination in the brain extends ... |
faa0b843-5bfc-4a74-bde3-0cb19b097ca5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What is wrong with this "utility switch button problem" approach?
Suppose you have some positive utility functions A,B.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spaci... |
bf8e007d-d950-4091-b114-0cf0c802e037 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Critique on my attempt to teach rationality
Inspired by the call to go forth and make rationality reign...
I've started a blog at http://www.bettertoknow.wordpress.com
It teaches discussion/debate techniques by showing them at work in a dialogue about the existence of God.
I don't expect theists to read it... |
b0373627-6b78-451b-977c-4e09eef2e080 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Making it harder for an AGI to "trick" us, with STVs
| |
| --- |
| Summary / PreambleAI Alignment has various sub-areas. The area I focus on here is ways we might use a superintelligent AGI-system to help with creating an aligned AGI-system, even if the AGI we start out with isn’t fully aligned.Imagine a superintelli... |
c99c8693-0f40-4cfb-96ea-432e653460ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on January 29th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Australia Online Hangout: 06 February 2016 07:30PM
* Baltimore Area: Epistemology of Disagreement: 31 January 2016 03:00PM
* European Communit... |
b4e134ee-cb8c-47b9-a7f6-acb511026f46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Rationality Diary, December 1-15
This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for December 1-15.
> It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
>
> * Established a useful new habit
> * Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about som... |
49126502-bdcf-4277-953a-1020b6f576a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yes, It's Subjective, But Why All The Crabs?
Crabs
Nature really loves to evolve crabs.
(source)
Some early biologist, equipped with knowledge of evolution but not much else, might see all these crabs and expect a common ancestral lineage. That’s the obvious explanation of the similarity, after all: if the crabs desc... |
678963aa-04f5-4acc-85cf-839c6e068a43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New book from leading neuroscientist in support of cryonics and mind uploading
Sebastian Seung's new book Connectome: How the Brain's Wiring Makes Us Who We Are is very well-written, and aimed at a broad audience.
The penultimate chapter explains why cryonics might make sense given our current understanding of the br... |
f754bacf-c2e8-4ab6-93f5-546f49b573c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is a good comprehensive examination of risks near the Ohio train derailment?
I have family, including small children, that live in Pittsburgh, ~40 miles from the Ohio train derailment.
Their water supply should not be at risk from the spill itself, being out of the downstream watershed of the spill. But the subs... |
c8ef7260-deb8-48f0-95fc-7585ebd3d47a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Humans in Funny Suits
Today's post, Humans in Funny Suits was originally published on 30 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It's really hard to imagine aliens that are fundamentally different from human beings.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
T... |
ab0a7f7e-ae6a-436e-8b6c-ab5093ba3c9e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI, cure this fake person's fake cancer!
*A putative new idea for AI control; index [here](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=601).*
An idea for how an we might successfully get useful work out of a powerful AI.
The ultimate box
----------------
Assume that we have an extremely detailed model of a sealed r... |
10962c7c-8e26-4cc8-af0c-d8d3585de3d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | June 2017 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the ol... |
6d610457-2df9-4541-8e34-fcf45472cd84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meet up in St. Petersburg, Russia
Andrey who participate in Moscow meet-up organization will visit St. Petersburg on 8th-12th of May. He can tell you about Moscow gatherings and applied rationality, show some exercises and useful methods.
We only need someone from St. Petersburg, who can find suitable venue and meet ... |
e2d757db-5074-4d75-9c44-c26731656b98 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Toledo
Published September 12, 2023.
> One recounts that Washington Irving, who was traveling in Spain at the time, suggested the name to his brother, a local resident; this explanation ignores the fact that Irving returned to the United States in 1832. Others award the honor to Two Stickney, son of the major who qua... |
12ba2caf-935d-4a78-9666-dcb51bb59777 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Meaning of Right
Today's post, The Meaning of Right was originally published on 29 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Eliezer's long-awaited theory of meta-ethics.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
This post is part of the Rerunning the Seque... |
ab30262b-a2c1-48c7-a52b-8753a378d81b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boston Solstice 2018 Retrospective
Last night we hosted the Boston Secular Solstice, which I wrote about planning a couple months ago. It felt like it went really well! Several people told me it was their favorite one we've had in Boston.
The past few years we've been at the MIT Chapel. It's a really nice space for t... |
a1a1e7f8-7234-4c1b-9c04-28733862811c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Things I Wish They'd Taught Me When I Was Younger: Why Money Is Awesome
There are some things money can't buy. They are the exceptions that prove the rule.
For the pedants, to say something is an exception that proves the rule is to say that when you look at the exceptions, they're so unusual that it reinforces the p... |
58ccc9c7-dd35-4099-a519-5a44ad137966 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Statement from Scarlett Johansson on OpenAI's use of the "Sky" voice, that was shockingly similar to her own voice.
Scarlett Johansson makes a statement about the "Sky" voice, a voice for GPT-4o that OpenAI recently pulled after less than a week of prime time.
tl;dr: OpenAI made an offer last September to ... |
15be248e-ad14-4afd-bff7-5228640aa8af | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Training for Good is hiring (and why you should join us): AI Programme Lead and Operations Associate
**Update:** The application deadline for the [AI Programme Lead](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1V9e5eQzTWvCypDQHYcUrChXkd9Yy69k1C-fP7XrbBSQ/preview) has been extended to 21 August.
Summary
=======
* Training for... |
f74a4441-5fdd-4aab-8972-f97b748063d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Launching the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series Q3 | $30k in Prizes
July 17th update: OpenAI and Anthropic have donated credits for bot builders participating in this tournament.
Whether you've started competing or still plan to, are an experienced bot builder or complete novice, we encourage you to contact support[at]m... |
2cd3b687-d959-4ac7-9075-31d574acf061 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experiments 1: Learning trivia
There has been some talk of a lack of content being posted to Less Wrong, so I decided to start a series on various experiments that I've tried and what I've learned from them as I believe that experimentation is key to being a rationalist. My first few posts will be adapted from content... |
4290c247-de82-47da-a0c6-0b004aa5bd17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A better “Statement on AI Risk?”
Remember the “Statement on AI Risk,” which was signed by many experts and influenced governments? Let's write a new stronger statement for experts to sign:
> Statement on AI Inconsistency (v1.0us):
>
> 1: ASI threatens the US (and NATO) as much as all military threats combined. Why d... |
a101973e-ee46-497b-b542-420eb25b1140 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LINK: Cosmologist and an Evangelical Christian Don Page on God and Cosmology
Last week's guest post on cosmologist's and General Relativity Expert's Sean Carroll's blog is by another prominent cosmologist, Don Page. Don argues for God and Christianity on Bayesian reasons:
I tend to favor a Bayesian approach in which ... |
6a97ebe2-c64b-437b-bf08-b066fe6e6b09 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Paper Expanding on the Goodhart Taxonomy
None |
060c28d3-c0ae-4edb-9178-7e0f1221df2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recommending Understand, a Game about Discerning the Rules
I play a lot of video games. Enough to occasionally find a rare gem like the puzzle game Understand. Its inspirations include the games The Witness, Baba is You, and Zendo, as well as the 2-4-6 task in psychology. Understand costs 4$ (3.3€) and is available fo... |
e639abe5-c859-4074-9af2-ece3237c47c5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Targets 1 and 2: Growing MIRI
[Momentum is picking up](https://intelligence.org/2015/07/16/an-astounding-year/) in the domain of AI safety engineering. MIRI needs to grow fast if it’s going to remain at the forefront of this new paradigm in AI research. To that end, we’re kicking off our [2015 Summer Fundraiser](https... |
2db0af96-a0ca-4fbc-8fa7-e4ec74bf9c01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grouped Loss may disfavor discontinuous capabilities
Thanks to Evan Hubinger and Beth Barnes for comments on these ideas.
Language models exhibit scaling laws, where the loss is a power-law in model size. This offers a lot of predictive power, and seems like a useful thing to know. By contrast, individual capabilitie... |
929ef443-d9e1-466a-80df-00200e1aebd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bay Area OBLW Meetup Sep 12
Bay Area OB/LW meetup, 6pm September 12th 2009 at the SIAI House in Santa Clara.
This will also serve as my 2nd annual 29th birthday party. |
4eceaeb4-24a5-497d-9579-aec9eca4dea9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 10/20/22: Wait, We Did WHAT?
The what, in this case, was the type of thing that could cause another pandemic:
This has not made enough people very angry, and is insufficiently widely regarded as a bad move. It happened, and we are paying for similar things to happen again.
There’s a section on that below (you ... |
c930d752-3056-4d09-866f-7cf8f9bd6f80 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How sure are you that brain emulations would be conscious?
> Or the converse problem - an agent that contains all the aspects of human value, except the valuation of subjective experience. So that the result is a nonsentient optimizer that goes around making genuine discoveries, but the discoveries are not savored an... |
847ec74f-aa73-4c65-b0fb-9e4d607fd286 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stupid Questions Open Thread Round 4
Previously: round 1, round 2, round 3
From the original thread:
> This is for anyone in the LessWrong community who has made at least some effort to read the sequences and follow along, but is still confused on some point, and is perhaps feeling a bit embarrassed. Here, newbies a... |
c46086bf-fb99-4145-89f3-edc96389e3e7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AMA: Paul Christiano, alignment researcher
I'll be running an Ask Me Anything on this post from Friday (April 30) to Saturday (May 1).
If you want to ask something just post a top-level comment; I'll spend at least a day answering questions.
You can find some background about me [here](http://paulfchristiano.com). |
7b2218ab-58f7-45b1-852d-d3c686f09246 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If there IS alien super-inteligence in our own galaxy, then what it could be like?
For a moment lets assume there is some alien intelligent life on our galaxy which is older than us and that it have succeeded in creating super-intelligent self-modifying AI.
Then what set of values and/or goals it is plausible for it ... |
d32d76af-dbd3-47a6-ba43-e6d72dc1f5be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcement: AI alignment prize round 3 winners and next round
We (Zvi Mowshowitz and Vladimir Slepnev) are happy to announce the results of the third round of the AI Alignment Prize, funded by Paul Christiano. From April 15 to June 30 we received entries from 12 participants, and are awarding $10,000 to two winners.... |
01c935e4-9d4a-4687-b672-29078e97bb65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What’s Up With the CDC Nowcast?
How’s it going?
The CDC nowcast last week was 2.7% Omicron. That seemed like a reasonable guess.
The CDC nowcast this week is 73% Omicron, and last week’s nowcast got revised from 2.7% to 12.6%.
That’s two retroactive extra doublings last week, and then four more in the following sev... |
573ae629-4e9e-484a-b215-07f81bb6ef01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doing a self-randomized study of the impacts of glycine on sleep (Science is hard)
This is a linkpost from my blog and also my first submission on LessWrong. Please be generous with your feedback! I will post the results of our study once the analysis is done and written up. To avoid cliff-hangers: From what I've seen... |
27f8cac1-d363-4ba2-99e0-5ead8d6196b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ideas wanted: democracy in an Em world
One person, one vote - a fundamental principle of our democratic government. But what happens in a world where one person can be copied, again and again?
That is the world described by Robin Hanson's "Em economics". Ems, or uploads, are human minds instantiated inside software, ... |
ab0e303c-fa96-412a-94ac-e8986e78f0a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Phage therapy in a post-antibiotics world
When Fleming discovered the first natural product antibiotic Penicillin in 1928, the discovery was groundbreaking for medicine. Antibiotics were a tool with brute force. Without knowing details about the illness from which a patient was suffering antibiotics allowed a doctor t... |
d6d7d7cc-f893-47ae-82c2-fc0383c7e2be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New x-risk organizations
Of course: FHI, FutureTech, the Singularity Institute, and Leverage Research.
New: the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (Seth Baum & Tony Barrett).
I've also heard that the following people are working to set up x-risk departments/organizations:
Huw Price at Cambridge
Newton Howard at... |
81db40c9-1ed4-4240-a116-ae9514c688d3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Value alignment: a formal approach
1 Introduction
---------------
The aim of this paper is to explore the alignment of a given system with a given value. To achieve this, we explore the
relationships between values, actions and norms in order to propose a precise way of expressing when a norm fosters behaviour in a... |
0b812be1-75ec-42d6-b158-085c6d4ec758 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Left cosets are all in bijection
Let $H$ be a subgroup of $G$.
Then for any two [left cosets](https://arbital.com/p/4j4) of $H$ in $G$, there is a [https://arbital.com/p/-499](https://arbital.com/p/-499) between the two cosets.
# Proof
Let $aH, bH$ be two cosets.
Define the function $f: aH \to bH$ by $x \mapsto b a... |
874e02e1-acef-407d-8498-25f798c2430d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A brief summary of effective study methods
EDIT: Reworked and moved to Main following Gunnar_Zarncke's advice.
Related to: Book Review: How Learning Works, Build Small Skills in the Right Order, What are useful skills to learn at university?
This article is organized into three sections focusing on attention, proces... |
0f469836-3cab-499e-9a52-73962d6dca9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brief notes on the Senate hearing on AI oversight
On May 16th, 2023 Sam Altman of OpenAI; Gary Marcus, professor at New York University, and Christina Montgomery, chief privacy and trust officer at IBM spoke to congress on topics related to AI regulation. A link to the hearing can be found here: Youtube: CNBC Senate h... |
88b24394-f39c-4b90-8c20-2377efb2acae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Military Rationalities and Irrationalities
In response to the question
> "Does anyone happen to know of reliable ways for increasing one's supply of executive function, by the way? I seem to run out of it very quickly in general."
>
> (Kaj_Solata)
I posted that my military experience seems effectively designed to i... |
c1df23bd-eac9-4f55-a38e-39ea26b7f979 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proxi-Antipodes: A Geometrical Intuition For The Difficulty Of Aligning AI With Multitudinous Human Values
Just as intelligence is not reversed-stupidity, human values are not reversed-monstrosities. As far as visions of the future go, a reversed-monstrosity is likely to be merely (to us) a different flavor of monstr... |
f519a83d-55bc-4641-a9ec-0a4d74362170 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Naturalistic trust among AIs: The parable of the thesis advisor's theorem
Eliezer and Marcello's article on tiling agents and the Löbian obstacle discusses several things that you intuitively would expect a rational agent to be able to do that, because of Löb's theorem, are problematic for an agent using logical reaso... |
9d285f24-4346-421a-a1ac-341c7d477e29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Too Many Definitions of Consciousness
I often hear people say consciousness is a phenomenon that urgently needs deeper understanding. Yet the word consciousness is a major source of the confusion. I'm trying to replace it with clearer words in my conversations.
Often, in both mainstream & rationalist contexts, i enco... |
d4f250b2-f2bc-4ea8-b6f5-78ac5418403b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A Game About AI Alignment (& Meta-Ethics): What Are the Must Haves?
I'm working on a pc & mobile game about metaethics, ethics & AI alignment. (Our steam page + announcement teaser will be up in 1-2 weeks.) It's important to me that we nail the AI alignment part and give people a good idea about why AI alignment is ha... |
e6e5d160-9584-4903-9181-f072606daa1c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chicago Meetup
Hey Chicagoans and any Midwesterners from further afield who would like to join us, let’s start building a vibrant Less Wrong community here in the Windy City!
Steven0461 and I are proposing the first ever Less Wrong meetup in Chicago. The meet-up will be held at 2 pm on June 6 at the C-Shop in Hyde Pa... |
77da23ec-66b3-463e-9058-13fee781f035 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Optimizers
EDIT: This idea is unsafe unless you have X and only X optimization. If an early logical optimiser produces a paperclip maximiser, then the paperclip maximiser will play along giving good solutions to most logical optimisation problems, but hiding nasty surprises where we are likely to find them. ... |
bdc859f2-8d8a-4f1d-8d84-55435a300cd5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Geometry of Features in Mechanistic Interpretability
This post is motivated by the observation in Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability by Sharkey, Chugtai, et al that `` SDL (sparse dictionary learning) leaves feature geometry unexplained", and that it is desirable to utilize geometric structures to gain i... |
6ae86877-46f2-4d4e-93eb-73d30fac8e94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Writeup Part 1
Aims
In this post I summarize my discoveries from a semester of AI readings and discussions drawn primarily from the 2022 AGI Safety Fundamentals Alignment Curriculum. I am grateful to Professor Anton Korinek for his generous advising in my independent study which lead to this writeup. I am also grat... |
236057be-6729-420f-be36-f6c0ffc4cd27 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Thoughts on sharing information about language model capabilities
Core claim
----------
I believe that sharing information about the capabilities and limits of existing ML systems, and especially language model agents, significantly reduces risks from powerful AI—despite the fact that such information may increase th... |
830a1289-f379-4501-861c-88807edea1f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Expired] 20,000 Free $50 Charity Gift Cards
Update: The "20,000 free $50 Charity Gift Cards" opportunity expired on 12/11 around 10 PM EST, about 9 hours after it opened, according to an update on the website that reads "We’re happy to share that together, we’ve given away 30,000 Charity Gift Cards to support the cau... |
e48cb494-6d5f-4d69-8c1d-32ad942f8f2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Update Then Forget
Followup to: How to Be Oversurprised
A Bayesian update needs never lose information. In a dynamic world, though, the update is only half the story. The other half, where the agent takes an action and predicts its result, may indeed "lose" information in some sense.
We have a dynamical system which... |
16ff1142-0fd9-4375-a220-4991d13d21dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What we know about machine learning's replication crisis
The replication crisis is a a phenomenon that plagues modern day scientific research. And contrary to popular belief, it has being going on for a long time. The incentive structure within academia seems to reward quantity of publications over quality. This leads... |
40083663-b70d-4544-83ad-db8f5051c0c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the main arguments against AGI?
Recently, I have been trying to reason why I belive what I belive (regarding AGI). However, it appears to me that there is not enough discussion around the arguments against AGI (more specifically AGI skeptisim). This might be of benefit, especially given that
Would this be b... |
5f83cdbc-8630-41fa-8ecb-f5c457aaa818 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #39
Happy New Year!
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter.
Highlights
Constructing Unrestricted Adversarial Examples with Generative Models (Yang Song et al): This pap... |
07cdea08-7448-45e5-b4da-69b5c1d1ee01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | |
65cb32ee-ad6f-4fd6-bd14-062c2e0be9a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Sheer Folly of Callow Youth
Today's post, The Sheer Folly of Callow Youth was originally published on 19 September 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Eliezer's big mistake was when he took a mysterious view of morality.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original p... |
0ad72ec0-628d-4701-b008-0870ce7b76b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] How to see into the future (Financial Times)
How to see into the future, by Tim Harford
The article may be gated. (I have a subscription through my school.)
It is mainly about two things: the differing approaches to forecasting taken by Irving Fisher, John Maynard Keynes, and Roger Babson; and Philip Tetlock'... |
ce2e1a71-929d-4231-868e-b21e16415f9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fractal Conversations vs Holistic Response
A kind of conversation which I very much enjoy is one where everyone has time to formulate long thoughtful responses, and most of the conversational points are remembered and addressed later.
For example, a long email thread between Alice and Bob, where Alice and Bob write t... |
461c1a37-f4d2-4d3b-be32-dd2e0fb63348 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Good psychology books/books that contain good psychological models?
In Poor Charlie's Almanack, Charlie Munger (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Munger), states that it useful to have 20 or so psychological models that one can run through--like
a flight attendant's checklist, in order to avoid misjudgement.
Char... |
ffc3c384-598c-4420-91e5-174eea688ebe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Min/max goal factoring and belief mapping exercise
Edit 3: Removed description of previous edits and added the following:
This thread used to contain the description of a rationality exercise.
I have removed it and plan to rewrite it better.
I will repost it here, or delete this thread and repost in the discussion.... |
8f8818cd-ee80-45b5-839b-cb00cab75f26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 96: Roles, Pt 7
A/N: For those who have not read canon: The wooden sign has somewhat changed, but the inscription here is the same as in J.K. Rowling's original.
----------------------------------------
The fourth meeting:
(4:38pm, April 17th, 1992)
The man wearing the worn, warm coat, with three faint scar... |
60e0a899-3ad7-47f9-84e4-0e86812f2e4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predicting the future with the power of the Internet (and pissing off Rob Miles)
This is Rational Animations' second video about prediction markets. We answer a number of questions such as: what are prediction markets? What is Manifold Markets? Are the probabilities displayed calibrated, and how? But most importantly:... |
8f618428-a605-4408-a6f6-d7bdfac43129 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposal: Rationality Quotes Thread With Attributions in rot13
To judge quotes on their own merits, if without some context, I propose an experimental thread in which the original authors of quotes are somehow hidden. |
9b66f4d0-03ae-4c3f-b230-b622fabce85f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Corrigibility thoughts II: the robot operator
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This is the first of three articles about limitations and challenges in the concept of corrigibility (see articles 1 and 3).
The desiderata for corrigibility are:
1. A corrigible agent tolerates, and preferably assists, i... |
0a94e69a-3872-4753-903b-322aa74f0aab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | (My suggestions) On Beginner Steps in AI Alignment
*Summary: This post aims to summarise my beginner advice for others taking their **first steps** in AI Alignment. I link useful resources and make concrete suggestions related to upgrading your thinking, working with others and utilising the community to make decision... |
2c0ee0ef-7b31-4e59-874d-dd8ad48dc311 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Link post] Coordination challenges for preventing AI conflict
If you're interested in working on similar questions, consider applying to work with us. We're currently looking for full-time researchers as well as summer research fellows. The application deadline is on March 15. You can find all the details [here](http... |
9f187469-eca1-45c6-9193-ceaf18ca5543 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Strictly factual question
A *strict question of fact* has an answer determined solely by the state of the material universe, and sufficiently straightforward math, in a clearly understandable way - none of our uncertainty about this question is about definitions, values, or viewpoints; we are just wondering which quar... |
f7924fb9-fd0a-459a-8ccc-066c977d4edd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Austin, Durham, London, Melbourne, Purdue, Vancouver, Washington DC
This summary was posted to LW main on January 11th. The following week's summary is here.
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* First Purdue Meetup: 11 January 2013 06:50PM
* Durham HPMoR Discussion, ... |
8eaf0cb6-852b-42c9-b3e9-a9cae091debd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2024 Election Forecasting Contest
This is a forecasting contest with cash prizes that I'm running based on 50 questions about the the 2024 election. Posting it here because I think a lot of people in this community like forecasting, prediction markets, etc. (Actually this is my first LW post after years of lurking. Am... |
36030ebe-211e-4cac-8f7f-987786769438 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EAG Bay Area Satellite event: AI Institution Design Hackathon 2024
Applications are open!
* Apply to attend here
* Deadline: Jan 18, 2024
This event will:
* Explore near-term Transformative AI scenarios to identify and evaluate existing and possible future institutions or coordination architectures for the sa... |
7de3c934-d627-43e9-9da6-61d53ce1a243 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking Outside The Sphere
I think this has the makings of a potential top level post, but at the moment it seems to lack any kind of real conclusion.
----------------------------------------
A lot of satire has been raised on the subject of "thinking outside the box", but if I were to describe a habit-of-mind ... |
3fbb6f23-8e8b-41af-9449-03eb244f70c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does the patent system prevent industry from keeping secrets?
None |
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