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dcf9b7e3-5e90-44fb-86fe-e2f2e4bc1edc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't ban chimp testing
The October 2011 Scientific American has an editorial from its board of editors called "Ban chimp testing", that says: "In our view, the time has come to end biomedical experimentation on chimpanzees... Chimps should be used only in studies of major diseases and only when there is no other opt... |
d0d34fe5-6cf9-4337-891b-26dd1f147754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Much Thought
We have many built in heuristics, and most of them are trouble. The absurdity heuristic makes us reject reasonable things out of hand, so we should take the time to fully understand things that seem absurd at first. Some of our beliefs are not reasoned, but inherited; we should sniff those out and dis... |
b1a099d1-2648-445f-98b0-89f7431c4b96 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | EleutherAI's Thoughts on the EU AI Act
In June, the European Parliament adopted its negotiating position on the EU AI, a comprehensive piece of legislation aimed at regulating a wide variety of artificial intelligence (AI) research, products, and services. It's expected to be finalized and adopted by the end of the ye... |
9d78db3f-f0bf-4773-bf1a-1f1f52feb459 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne social meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne social meetup
WHEN: 16 December 2011 07:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: See mailing list; Carlton VIC 3053
All welcome! 6:30pm for 7pm.
We'll order takeaway for dinner and I'll get some snacks. BYO drinks and games.
If you have problems getting... |
f08bdac1-2cae-43f7-bb68-f54f72245a29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ACX Covid Origins Post convinced readers
ACX recently posted about the Rootclaim Covid origins debate, coming out in favor of zoonosis. Did the post change the minds of those who read it, or not? Did it change their judgment in favor of zoonosis (as was probably the goal of the post), or conversely did it make them th... |
68c5318e-50ab-450a-ae7a-72751b610c0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Omicron Variant Post #1: We’re F***ed, It’s Never Over
The last day has seen the imposition of new travel restrictions and spreading alarm about the Omicron variant. It sure looks like a repeat of what happened with Alpha and Delta, as well as the original strain back in early 2020, and that we are probably doing this... |
25e0072a-ebbf-41df-bf6a-42399b624d0b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A probability question
Suppose you have a property Q which certain objects may or may not have. You've seen many of these objects; you know the prior probability P(Q) that an object has this property.
You have 2 independent measurements of object O, which each assign a probability that Q(O) (O has property Q). Call... |
34ce6139-fac3-4020-a80c-0dc42d95680b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Research Triangle Less Wrong
Discussion article for the meetup : Research Triangle Less Wrong
WHEN: 20 September 2012 06:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Bryan Center Plaza at Duke, Durham, NC
From Gordon's announcement email:
So, Madeleine and I have been thinking over when is best for the group to meet.
Until we... |
da7bb55e-789c-46c4-aeb0-585ee5db6d9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Dallas
This summary was posted to LW Main on January 9th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Dallas, TX: 10 January 2015 01:00PM
* Paris LW Meetup - LHC Exhibit: 17 January 2015 02:00PM
* San Francisco Meetup: 12 Janu... |
7fd44ac0-a963-402d-bfb2-165bd6fa049f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Reflective stability
An [agent](https://arbital.com/p/2c) is "reflectively stable" in some regard, if having a choice of how to construct a successor agent or modify its own code, the agent will *only* construct a successor that thinks similarly in that regard.
- In [tiling agent theory](https://arbital.com/p/1mq), a... |
d55139ce-4a1e-43a0-a3dc-b9f20748fc3f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | AI Safety Memes Wiki
This is a database of memes relevant to AI existential safety, especially ones which respond to common misconceptions.
Follow [AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes](https://twitter.com/AISafetyMemes) for more!
### AGI won’t be powerful enough to destroy humanity
, the authors studied language model "sycophancy" - the tendency to agree with a user's stated view when asked a question.
The paper contained the striking plot reproduced ... |
88e9a3e4-37f9-4508-9c3b-5d337921e77f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | RationalWiki on face masks
Thinking about freedom of speech and the latest "purges" on social networks, my thoughts are like this: I prefer freedom of speech even for people like homeopaths and anti-vaxers, not because I consider their opinions to be inherently valuable, but because a decision algorithm that would ban... |
b13d57c0-0b9b-4413-ace4-b357e6c39622 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Woo!
[MAJOR UPDATE: I have changed "Woo" to "Pitch" everywhere on the website and on this post due to extensive feedback from everyone. Thanks!]
I'm adding rhetorical-device/common-argument/argument-fallacy tags to the expert quotes on TakeOnIt and calling them "pitches".
The list of pitches so far is here.
Argumen... |
cae6d42a-9bea-4f9c-b934-5dafa7c0b3ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | New AI safety research agenda from Google Brain
[Google Brain](https://research.googleblog.com/2016/06/bringing-precision-to-ai-safety.html) just released an inspiring research agenda, [Concrete Problems in AI Safety](https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06565), co-authored by researchers from [OpenAI](https://openai.com/blog/c... |
75f6c917-31d0-4d34-9ca8-0b4bc9dd806c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fiction: "Chicken Little" by Cory Doctorow
What would happen if people could feel what they knew about probability? The story's in Gateways, a tribute collection for Frederik Pohl. Unfortunately, the story is more about whether a drug with that effect is a good idea rather than extended exploration of the effects, but... |
96dccac3-23ad-454d-a33b-7e89c375a6b3 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "(Written for Arbital in 2016.)What does it mean to say that a flipped coin has a 50% probability of landing heads?Historically, there are two popular types of answers to this question, the "frequentist" and "subjective" (aka "Bayesian") answers, which give rise to radically different approaches to experimental statist... |
7522f3ac-6ca7-4ab7-bd0b-1867d165619c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | An illustrative model of backfire risks from pausing AI research
**TLDR**
========
The post contains a simple modelization of the **maximum explosive takeoff speed** (simplified as "takeoff speed"), using as the main parameters:
* overhangs[[1]](#fnl4xx3gnvtnh) sizes (investment, hardware efficiency, software effic... |
aef4be49-8338-4ad5-8ae4-1dfb54fc18f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tools want to become agents
In the spirit of "satisficers want to become maximisers" here is a somewhat weaker argument (growing out of a discussion with Daniel Dewey) that "tool AIs" would want to become agent AIs.
The argument is simple. Assume the tool AI is given the task of finding the best plan for achieving so... |
d78df771-3576-422e-a30f-e1c7e6c66317 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowledge is not just map/territory resemblance
Financial status: This is independent research. I welcome financial support to make further posts like this possible.
Epistemic status: This is in-progress thinking.
----------------------------------------
This post is part of a sequence on the accumulation of knowle... |
38416f1c-832c-4e5d-ae5c-c5a281d1235b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Thinking of tool AIs
Preliminary note: the ideas in the post emerged during the Learning-by-doing AI safety workshop at EA Hotel; special thanks to Linda Linsefors, Davide Zagami and Grue\_Slinky for giving suggestions and feedback.
As the title anticipates, long-term safety is not the main topic of this post; for t... |
9dc12e24-541f-47fe-b535-1f0bd93ee707 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When we substantially modify an old post should we edit directly or post a version 2?
Does anyone have any thoughts on this? |
61edf23d-e32a-42f3-bb7f-24e172ee7b1a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Robot Planning with Mathematical Models of Human State and Action
I Introduction
---------------
Robots act to maximize their utility. They reason about how their actions affect the state of the world, and try to find the actions which, in expectation, will accumulate as much reward as possible. We want robots to d... |
e58715af-af30-4dda-9f45-a1697a6e7a89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hollow Adjectives
[This is a draft intended to be developed into a top-level post - it wouldn't feel wrong to make it such right now, but it wouldn't quite feel right. I am not entirely sure how to end it or if I could generalize better at the end. I kind of like the ending I have, but I'm not sure if the point overal... |
3d2719a8-10de-4d4a-bd18-9e367a6f11f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PZ Myers on the Infeasibility of Whole Brain Emulation
From: http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2012/07/14/and-everyone-gets-a-robot-pony/
> I’ve worked with tiny little zebrafish brains, things a few hundred microns long on one axis, and I’ve done lots of EM work on them. You can’t fix them into a state resembli... |
b05a529a-30fa-4ed7-9876-5bf62b744e6e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The theoretical computational limit of the Solar System is 1.47x10^49 bits per second.
Part 1
The limit is based on a computer operating at the [Landauer Limit](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landauer%27s_principle#), at the temperature of the [cosmic microwave background](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_microwav... |
bb799b4d-7c33-4476-9cf2-c7a11ef04019 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Giving: is money better than options?
When I started my new job at a startup about a year ago, I started getting about a third [1] of my pay in stock options. Being risk neutral in donating, I decided to spend my salary on me and donate any proceeds from my stock options. This let me increase the fraction of my pay I ... |
bafab2fb-2869-4ad6-87c2-60f17c8e59c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition
The first law of thermodynamics, better known as Conservation of Energy, says that you can't create energy from nothing: it prohibits perpetual motion machines of the first type, which run and run indefinitely without consuming fuel or any other resource. Acc... |
199e0275-4c02-44cf-a701-e34e098f4d4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SlateStarCodex Online Meetup: Connor Leahy on GPT-N
Title of talk: We Got Our AGI Firealarm, Now What?
Summary: There has been much disagreement over how big of a deal GPT3 is in the larger context of progress towards strong AGI. While most pundits will claim it's not "really" "intelligent" or "conscious" or that it ... |
4df57a94-334a-45be-b04e-309471e7abd8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bridging Inferential Gaps
This idea isn't totally developed, so I'm putting it in Discussion for now.
Introduction:
A few hands have been wrung over how to quickly explain fundamental Less Wrong ideas to people, in a way that they can be approached, appraised, an considered rather than being isolated and bereft a... |
2fea0734-ad45-47d8-8b8f-f4ab75d7cba1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Challenge for LessWrong
The user divia, in her most excellent post on spaced repetition software, quotes Paul Buchheit as saying
> "Good enough" is the enemy of "At all"!
This is an important truth which bears repetition, and to which I shall return.
"RATIONALISTS SHOULD WIN"
Many hands have been wrung hereabout... |
fef8fcf3-df9d-4deb-af77-eac4e74241ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mosquito killing begins
None |
d4348ba7-5ace-4a61-9f51-27efc86aaa04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Aligned" foundation models don't imply aligned systems
[The basic idea in this post is probably not original to me, since it's somewhat obvious when stated directly. But it seems particularly relevant and worth distilling in light of recent developments with LLM-based systems, and because I keep seeing arguments whic... |
54e90c32-678b-4a03-a048-c57d5a4d6945 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | A paradox for tiny probabilities and enormous values - Nick Beckstead (Open Philanthropy Project) and Teruji Thomas (Global Priorities Institute, Oxford University)
A paradox for tinyprobabilities andenormous valuesNick Beckstead and Teruji ThomasGlobal Priorities Institute | July 2021GPI Working Paper No . 7-2021
" ... |
881a3800-5486-4a3d-bcdf-654fdccb6509 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being Present is Not a Skill
Some meditation advice has a vibe like... “To become more present, all you need to do is practice! It's just a skill, like learning to ride a bike 😊”
This never worked for me. When I tried to force presence through practice, I made little progress.
Being present isn't a skill to build —... |
c17c6f78-87a1-41c9-95e4-989afa18fce9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Draft: Introduction to optimization
I am posting this draft as it stands today. Though I like it, it does not completely reflect my current best understanding of optimization, and is not totally polished. But I have been working on it for too long, and the world is moving too quickly. In the future, I might aggressive... |
3143b6fb-e84e-4eed-9b29-3864dd196a6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the best resources for building gears-level models of how governments actually work?
One big hole in my set of frames and models of the world is that I don't understand how government works. I don't understand how the government of my native country (France) works, I don't understand how the government of the... |
908d3a9a-b417-4a28-87ae-f39fdbbf5a4f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting Fusion Power
This is a linkpost for "The future of fusion" book review.
IMO it's not really a book review, it's a well-written and data-driven argument that commercial fusion power is about 10-15 years away, no really for real this time. (!!!) Good discussion in the comments too. I'm interested to see wha... |
ca78ef86-4f1c-44ee-b441-05351b1abc8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday July 20
Discussion article for the meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday July 20
WHEN: 20 July 2011 06:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 4187 Campus Dr, University Center, Irvine, CA 92612
This continues the weekly meetups in Irvine. As always the meetup at the outdoor food court in the University ... |
b07313c0-351d-468c-a8d8-30ce68020315 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sunday June 28 – talks by johnswentworth, Daniel kokotajlo, Charlie Steiner, TurnTrout
This Sunday at noon (PDT), we're running another session of "lightning talks" by curated LessWrong authors (see here for last weeks announcement and some transcripts).
* Each talk will be 3-5 minutes followed by discussion. Afterw... |
5fd008f0-ed30-479d-8235-567afbc26c90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four Scopes Of Advice
There's a very common failure mode people fall into where they'll ask for 'advice on doing something', receive excellent advice, and fail to follow it. For a long time this was mysterious to me. Then a friend provided a possible explanation that completely changed how I look at it. As I explained... |
a977339a-e936-4be0-9515-f8466a638ed8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Ghibli Event: Our First Glimpse of Reality Transfer
Something entirely new occurred around March 26th, 2025. Following the release of OpenAI’s 4o image generation, a specific aesthetic didn’t just trend—it swept across the virtual landscape like a tidal wave. Scroll through timelines, and nearly every image, every... |
58b48101-f860-4169-b117-7c8bf70fd197 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wider Default Audio Player in Chrome?
My kids like to listen to story tapes. Most of them their great grandmother recorded onto cassettes in the 1980s, their grandmother digitized in the 2000s, and I reworked for the web in the 2020s. We usually use either a tablet or old phone to play them back, and while the browser... |
cb79ffba-92d6-42e3-b6a2-92677f3d0a01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 3-P Group optimal for discussion?
Assertion 1: Optimal size for a weekly discussion group is 3 and the optimal setting is in person
After 8 years hiatus on Lesswrong, i'd like to revisit lesswrong. In my time away, I have learned that categorically the best medium to learn something is through real human to human int... |
b76111e4-4e73-4631-a2b5-cbd0988e0033 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paul Christiano named as US AI Safety Institute Head of AI Safety
> U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo announced today additional members of the executive leadership team of the U.S. AI Safety Institute (AISI), which is housed at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). Raimondo named Paul Chri... |
41706a3d-757d-4a90-a44f-b45855229711 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Reward Hacking Reloaded: Concrete Problems in AI Safety Part 3.5
hi in the previous video we introduced
the idea of reward hacking an AI system
that works by maximizing its reward like
a reinforcement learning agent will go
for whatever strategy it expects will
result in the highest reward and there's
a tendency for t... |
a9fc0ddb-6546-4ddd-8147-68899a5a3422 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please Don't Fight the Hypothetical
It is a common part of moral reasoning to propose hypothetical scenarios. Whether it is our own Torture v. Specks or the more famous Trolley problem, asking these types of questions helps the participants formalize and understand their moral positions. Yet one common response to h... |
40231217-8925-432d-aeae-c3d984fdd9ea | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Explore and Control with Adversarial Surprise.
1 Introduction
---------------
Despite promising results across a number of domains (e.g., (Berner et al., [2019](#bib.bib56 "Dota 2 with large scale deep reinforcement learning"); Kober et al., [2013](#bib.bib57 "Reinforcement learning in robotics: a survey"); Levine ... |
31c7f93d-c66f-45c4-b26b-78985ae151c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Problems in Archipelago
Over a year ago, I wrote about Public Archipelago and why it seemed important for LessWrong. Since then, nothing much has come of that. It seemed important to acknowledge that. There are more things I think are worth trying, but I've updated a bit that maybe the problem is intractable or m... |
3da1e55b-368a-4fc5-8a2d-ffba375ff615 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Teaching Street Crossing
When Lily was about four we started practicing crossing streets. There were two small streets on the way to the farther park, and Lily was very excited about the idea of crossing them by herself. After talking through the process (look both ways, then if you don't see any cars coming across sl... |
51146837-886d-435e-a4e6-ad3b400d5b0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LDT (and everything else) can be irrational
> you should not reject the 'offer' of a field that yields an 'unfair' amount of grain! - Ultimatum Game (Arbital)
In this post, I demonstrate a problem in which there is an agent that outperforms Logical Decision Theory, and show how for any agent you can construct a pr... |
f5c9bac0-e425-42d7-9aaa-578f618dac69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boston Social Dance Covid Requirements
Because social dancing involves being pretty close to other people, many events have covid requirements after most other things have stopped. I was curious what dances have what requirements: I found 35 different series and put the results in a sheet. Here's a chart:
Notes:... |
15152188-51ed-4907-b517-98eba278b2fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How might cryptocurrencies affect AGI timelines?
Summary: Deflation (or so I heard) is considered harmful because it stifles growth. Central banks have been fighting it to keep economies healthy. Cryptocurrencies can be designed to be deflationary. If the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies becomes big, central ... |
1fe477eb-a04a-4fd2-b2fb-90d9c0486d5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeing how well an agentic AI coding tool can do compared to me using an actual real-world example
When it comes to disputes about AI coding capabilities, I think a lot of people who either don't follow AI capabilities developments or who aren't particularly capable coders might be missing some context, so I wrote a p... |
11ab5134-c453-49f0-a9ac-a25cda11e1ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Temporal Binding
I just read an article on Steven Novella's NeurologicaBlog on temporal binding, a cognitive bias I hadn't seen before:
> Temporal binding is a phenomenon that reinforces that assumption of cause and effect once we have linked two events causally in our minds. The effect biases our memory so th... |
5a4c6501-036b-4379-ab41-2457c3d74c2f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Give the model a model-builder
*(Thanks to Evan Hubinger for suggesting this problem and for comments on these ideas. Feedback is very welcome.)*
The Setup
=========
Suppose we have a prior pgood(model).mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-sty... |
49a72f58-c1b1-4bcd-9ca2-f56522941524 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Estimating Brain-Equivalent Compute from Image Recognition Algorithms
[Epistemic Status: Playing around with the idea of a benchmark with some rough numbers.]
When I read Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work, my thinking was: Biological anchors will work if your algorithms are close enough to wha... |
897f7ebf-b7c8-4528-9f1e-5855b7652868 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Thing That I Protect
Followup to: Something to Protect, Value is Fragile
"Something to Protect" discursed on the idea of wielding rationality in the service of something other than "rationality". Not just that rationalists ought to pick out a Noble Cause as a hobby to keep them busy; but rather, that rationalit... |
b6f367e2-e616-4679-be83-aed19d6b83ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I just donated to the SIAI.
My purpose in writing this is twofold.
First (chronologically: I thought of this earlier than the other), I want to discuss some of the pragmatic points in how I got myself to do it.
The most important thing is that I didn't try to force the decision through with willpower. Instead, I ... |
dcbf0c43-cca4-4c6e-affb-0844825a1873 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Erving Goffman’s ‘paper’
I’ve never posted a question here, as to be honest, I’m a little intimidated. On page 128 of Schelling’s ‘Strategy of Conflict’, he refers to Erving Goffman. In the footnote, he refers to ‘Goffman’s paper’, but nothing more. Does anyone know the full reference, because it’s killing me that I c... |
9514df13-ba83-4ac1-ac14-7eaaaf8d1123 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting health gaps
You're an average person.
You don't know what diseases you'll get in the future.
You know people get diseases and certain populations get diseases more than others, enough to say certain things cause diseases.
You're not quite the average person.
You have a strong preference against sicknes... |
3d7ff4b2-a003-4474-a0bf-efff152b0b24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SSC Meetup 08/11/18
Come join us for the Saturday, August 11th meetup! We're meeting at 12:30 -- email me for location details. (Email in rot19: ajnygba125@tznvy.pbz) |
513ed2f8-013f-4084-a8b6-3315c3f50173 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musings on LessWrong Peer Review
In the context of:
* On The Importance of LessWrong, or Another Conversational Locus (Anna Salamon)
* Meta-tations on Moderation (me), along with some particular comments by Paul Christiano and Zvi
In the spirit of writing down conversations, this is a rough summary of some recent ... |
9f304915-067d-4902-9f96-48482237fd8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How ARENA course material gets made
TL;DR
In this post, I describe my methodology for building new material for ARENA. I'll mostly be referring to the exercises on IOI, Superposition and Function Vectors as case studies. I expect this to be useful for people who are interested in designing material for ARENA or ARENA-... |
b68b9b72-e812-4370-b96e-3ac946abb4b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | IRL 8/8: Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning
Every Monday for 8 weeks, we will be posting lessons about Inverse Reinforcement Learning. This is lesson 8, the last. To find out about our next plans, stay tuned for new LW posts or follow our Facebook group.
Note that access to the lessons requires creating an acc... |
b93ddbc3-7422-48fd-aa0a-985f99eceda1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Think Too Hard.
I find it interesting that when we're asleep - supposedly unconscious - we're frequently fully conscious, mired in a nonsensical dreamworld of our own creation. There's currently no universally accepted theory for the purpose of dreams - they range from cleaning up mental detritus to subconscious... |
f40c0daf-3bfe-4450-8b3a-3d710c87545d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neglected cause: automated fraud detection in academia through image analysis
The amyloid scandal has highlighted both the low effort placed into the detection of academic fraud and the low effort of fraudsters to avoid detection. My recent research into automated fraud detection has found a few papers that attempted ... |
2001abc1-fbf5-474c-a006-e26c3bad2fab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Noticing Panic
In Competent Elites @Eliezer Yudkowsky discusses "executive nature," which he describes as the ability to "function without recourse," to make decisions without some higher decision maker to fall back on.
I do not have executive nature.
I like to be well prepared. I like to read every word of every c... |
8e50d00f-8552-4a44-8568-b8ceca6ad976 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread September, Part 3
The September Open Thread, Part 2 has got nearly 800 posts, so let's have a little breathing room.
This thread is for the discussion of Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts. If a discussion gets unwieldy, celebrate by turning it into a top-level post. |
50e52a07-4db3-4690-8376-322abae9c873 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Failures of throttling logical information
Controlling the amount of logical information available to an agent could hypothetically give upper bounds on how well it can perform various computational tasks like predicting humans, while allowing the agent to make progress on some unrelated task. This could hypotheticall... |
8a1cf316-e60c-43e0-a864-2c85c01b05cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Measuring Intelligence and Growth Rate: Variations on Hibbard's Intelligence Measure
1 Introduction
---------------
In his insightful paper, Hibbard ([2011](#bib.bib1 "Measuring agent intelligence via hierarchies of environments")) introduces a novel
intelligence measure (which we will here refer to as the *origina... |
9e17adb5-4f74-437e-bd59-668ff6cb5f43 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 260. How Might We Align Transformative AI If Its Developed Very Soon 3
hello and welcome to session 260 in the
aisafety.com reading group tonight we'll
be discussing the last part of how might
we align transformative AI if it's
developed very soon by Holden kanovsky
uh Holden kanovsky is still the co of
open field and... |
a4113e1e-5bb2-4951-a84e-7b29f8e101c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 9/26 is Petrov Day
Today is September 26th, Petrov Day, celebrated to honor the deed of Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrov on September 26th, 1983. Wherever you are, whatever you're doing, take a minute to not destroy the world.
The story begins on September 1st, 1983, when Soviet jet interceptors shot down a Korean Air ... |
6d3ba450-17ce-46b3-bef8-bbad31e2d082 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Insulin Signaling and Autism
I ran across this article that I think is interesting. It suggests that type 2 diabetes and the increase in autism may have a common link
http://www.frontiersin.org/Cellular_Endocrinology/10.3389/fendo.2011.00054/full |
1dab609d-37dd-4713-9267-c8ef49a0fa05 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Might humans not be the most intelligent animals?
The idea that humans are the most intelligent animals on Earth appears patently obvious to a lot of people. And to a large extent, I agree with this intuition. Humans clearly dominate the world in technological innovation, control, communication, and coordination.
How... |
37ae03c3-5731-4973-b44f-7ae96b28088b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Gratitude
This post examines the virtues of appreciation, gratitude, and reciprocity. It is meant mostly as an exploration of what other people have learned about these virtues, rather than as me expressing my own opinions about them, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, acco... |
0f10c486-934c-4530-8951-940df4e5117d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Crosspost] A recent write-up of the case for AI (existential) risk
[Crossposted from the EA Forum.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/khHGQBH7yk2rGWqLX/a-recent-write-up-of-the-case-for-ai-existential-risk)
As a [PhD student](https://amlab.science.uva.nl/people/TimBakker/) in machine learning and one of the... |
39cbfa08-59bf-42f3-bf96-7a1f6f54361a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | School & Jobs are good SOLELY because people are lazy
In majority of cases, obviously ignoring exceptions as "exceptions don't make the rule" + I'm financially speaking
If someone were to tell you that he spends 8 hours a day working on his business a day, you would consider him to be highly agentic
But if someone t... |
34ab15a8-3777-43e2-88c3-415a6a08aed4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The real reason AI benchmarks haven’t reflected economic impacts
Basically, the linkpost argues that the broad reason why benchmark progress is disconnected from broader progress is because AI progressed so fast that they didn't realize their benchmarks would be obsolete soon.
More is in the link above.
Discuss!
> ... |
d4b681ce-341f-40b8-98a0-ffcebf606083 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Yudkowsky is wrong about "covalently bonded equivalents of biology"
confidence level: I am a physicist, not a biologist, so don’t take this the account of a domain level expert. But this is really basic stuff, and is very easy to verify.
Edit: I have added a few revisions and included a fact check of this post by... |
eb504632-880d-4af8-8822-6cee8ebcadc4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | New GPT3 Impressive Capabilities - InstructGPT3 [1/2]
**Summary**
===========
* InstructGPT3 (hereafter IGPT3*)*, a better version of [GPT3](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GPT-3) has recently been released by OpenAI. This post explores its new capabilities.
* IGPT3 has new impressive capabilities and many potential u... |
9f98e000-9773-4ceb-b4ea-4f4bb7a1cd81 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Existential AI Safety is NOT separate from near-term applications
Stephen Casper, [scasper@mit.edu](mailto:scasper@mit.edu). Thanks to Alex Lintz and Daniel Dewey for feedback.
This is a reply but not an objection to a recent post from Paul Christiano titled [AI alignment is distinct from its near term applications]... |
c33b2ce8-bd11-49b2-850a-1ae7e5394cbf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What is the advantage of the Kolmogorov complexity prior?
As I understand it, Solomonoff induction works by the a procedure loosely stated as saying we start with a Kolmogorov complexity universal prior (formalized Occam's razor), then update using Bayesian inference any time we see new data.
More precisely, sup... |
9664f64d-7885-44a1-9213-f6332ea1bd29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 116: Aftermath, Something to Protect, Pt 0
At first Anna had been gratified to see the final Quidditch Cup go on so long - as a Gryffindor she was a bystander at the House Cup thing, it wasn't like Gryffindor ever won. In contrast, last year's World Cup of Quidditch, to which her family had bought some very ex... |
5c654ff1-5793-4414-8bfd-2e096fbf5d23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Proposal: Adversarially Robust Augmentation and Distillation
Epistemic Status: Over years of reading alignment plans and studying agent foundations, this is my first serious attempt to formulate an alignment research program that I (Cole Wyeth) have not been able to find any critical flaws in. It is far from... |
93a0c042-5ca5-408b-8629-55cb238d4e57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Unselfish Trolley Problem
By now the Trolley Problem is well known amongst moral philosophers and LessWrong readers. In brief, there's a trolley hurtling down the tracks. The dastardly villain Snidely Whiplash has tied five people to the tracks. You have only seconds to act. You can save the five people by throwin... |
347a9e6e-8b08-48e6-ab5b-1a324417d8b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Defeating Ugh Ideas
Related to: Ugh Fields
Ugh Fields are internal negative reactions that occur before the conscious mind has an opportunity to process the information, often resulting in less than optimal decision making.
We have previously discussed Ugh Fields that involve performing tasks, but as far as I can te... |
8c11e8f5-72d6-4d3f-9da2-bf6eebea27a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anthropics and a cosmic immune system
Some people like to assume that the cosmos is ours for the taking, even though this could make us special to the order of 1 in 1080. The argument is that the cosmos could be transformed by technology - engineered on astronomical scales - but hasn't been thus transformed.
The most... |
bca1a95d-d2a3-453d-a7e4-dbb9a5d9f0b7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Thoughts on 'List of Lethalities'
I read through Eliezer’s “AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities” [post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uMQ3cqWDPHhjtiesc/agi-ruin-a-list-of-lethalities), and wrote down my reactions\* as I went.
I tried to track my internal responses, \*before\* adjusting for my perception of the overall ... |
7a72d697-b5fa-466a-bb34-cf93bd62f6b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My hour-long interview with Yudkowsky on "Becoming a Rationalist"
It makes for good Less Wrong introductory material to point people to, since there are lots of people who won't read long article online but will listen to a podcast on the way to work: LINK.
Apologies for the self-promotion, but it could hardly be mor... |
802da350-1f4f-4096-8e9c-488b2d92ff2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding Gödel’s completeness theorem
In this post I prove a variant of Gödel's completeness theorem. My intention has been to really understand the theorem, so that I am not simply shuffling symbols around, but am actually understanding why it is true. I hope it is helpful for at least some other people.
For so... |
8099c0f7-e265-4c4d-8b27-6eabaac3100b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Helsinki Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Helsinki Meetup
WHEN: 06 October 2013 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Vilhonkatu 4, 00100 Helsinki, Finland
The theme of this meetup will be cognitive bias, and we’ll learn about them through serious games. We’ll meet in Oluthuone Kaisla. To find us, look for s... |
4c40d004-f549-4f0c-8e33-272ba7485c47 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who Has the Best Food?
It is a fun question going around the internet this past week, so here we go.
In particular, people focused on the question of France vs. America. As one would expect, those on the French side think those on the American side are crazy, it is insulting to even consider this a question. Those on... |
df407c81-9fce-4760-b73a-98c5b08d0fce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cryosleep
(Cross posted from my blog)
Epistemic Status: Unfounded speculation about a far future technology
Would time travel by any other name smell just as sweet? Apparently not, since few people are interested in developing cryonics technology (funny enough, antifreeze does smell sweet). Fundamentally, successful... |
523732dc-4573-4b98-8665-e38eab75b4d6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Road Map to Strong Intelligence
1 Intelligence is Social
-------------------------
>
> Intelligence is inherently social. Social interactions are not the results of intelligent behaviour, but the essence from which intelligence emerges.
> (P. Paquette)
>
>
>
For clarity, I am broadly defining int... |
3dd41d08-00b0-40df-a32d-7ce6ef393cd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reward learning summary
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
I've been posting a lot on value/reward learning recently, and, as usual, the process of posting (and some feedback) means that those posts are partially superseded already - and some of them are overly complex.
So here I'll try and briefly summ... |
302a086d-de79-4dda-a45a-b466eab21462 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ToL: Methods and Success
(These are the touched up notes from a class I took with CMU's Kevin Kelly this past semester on the Topology of Learning. Only partially optimized for legibility)
One of the whole points of this project is to create a clear description of various forms of "success", and to be able to make cl... |
10f3afe0-07db-485d-8d5f-6784e5bc1aec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Go Do Something
There's this notion going around in the community sometimes that holds that the best way to progress on one's rationality skills is to make lots and lots of theoretical study by yourself or to go off and "level up" a bunch on your own prior to getting involved in object-level projects or efforts.
I th... |
ba0175f8-4358-4050-a421-3e82ffe875f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014
Previous Open Thread
You know the drill - If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one.
3. Open Thre... |
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