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84dd0278-89ba-4a16-984f-f4e0c5a5d824 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More findings on maximal data dimension
Produced as part of the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program - Winter 2022 Cohort.
I’d like to thank Wes Gurnee, Aryan Bhatt, Eric Purdy and Stefan Heimersheim for discussions and Evan Hubinger, Neel Nanda, Adam Jermyn and Chris Olah for mentorship and feedback.
The post... |
e3c28ce1-b904-4ecf-8d08-e94eb11c70d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thou shalt not command an alighned AI
Raymond is tired. He exhails exhaustly: >>I don't think we even know what alighnment is, like we are not able to define it.<<
I hop up on my chair in the meditarian restaurant: >I disagree, if you give me 3 seconds, I can define it.<
>>---<<
>Can we narrow it to alighnment of ... |
42bb6258-fcb1-42b3-bf0f-4e26ca0bd202 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] arguman.org, an argument analysis platform
I recently found out about arguman. It's an online tool to dissect arguments and structure agreement and refutation.
It seems like something that's been discussed about in LW some times in the past. |
230680b0-6d6e-4c3e-836c-492eae426669 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blogs by LWers
Related to: Wikifying the Blog List
LessWrong posters and readers are generally pretty cool people. Maybe they are interesting bloggers too. And I'm not just talking about rationalist material, that we'd ideally like to be cross posted on LessWrong, no gardening blogs are also fair game. I'm making thi... |
1bebb0a7-f188-4f31-83fd-4e686ad29e38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus
> Let your every day be full of joy, love the child that holds your hand, let your wife delight in your embrace, for these alone are the concerns of humanity.[1]
>
> — Epic of Gilgamesh - Tablet X
Say we want to train a scientist AI to help in a precise, ... |
6c42304a-121a-4e11-a5d7-bc69cdc5978a | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "(Content warning: econoliteracy. Dialogue based on an actual conversation, but heavily idealized and simplified and stripped of surrounding context.)Myself: - seems unreal because it is unreal. But there's a river of reality running through it. If somebody reports that something complicated feels unreal and difficult ... |
fe79f7cb-47c0-49be-9396-5189435e7673 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Critique of Superintelligence Part 1
This is part 1 of a 5-part sequence:
[Part 1: summary of Bostrom's argument](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/A8ndMGC4FTQq46RRX/criqitue-of-superintelligence-part-1)
[Part 2: arguments against a fast takeoff](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BGWmAqrk64q2w6JjM/cr... |
2cdccc75-797c-4fed-8ac0-38394e49d56e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Half-baked alignment idea
I'm trying think through various approaches to AI alignment, and so far this is the one I came up with that I like best. I have not read much of the literature, so please do point me if this has been discussed before.
What if we train an AI agent (ie, reinforcement learning) to survive/thri... |
e1b9dde5-d3da-4b39-8813-c7f4d9ef2f03 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You can never be universally inclusive
A discussion about the article “We Don’t Do That Here” (h/t siderea) raised the question about the tension between having inclusive social norms on the one hand, and restricting some behaviors on the other hand.
At least, that was the way the discussion was initially framed. The... |
97c5335b-67f0-4d55-b8a2-db9cf35354a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hebbian Learning Is More Common Than You Think
Epistemic status: locating the hypothesis. I have my private confidence but you shouldn't take my word for it.
I originally got the idea from this video interview of professor Richard A. Watson where he explains how learning networks could arise naturally and be an impor... |
7c6bb795-66a9-4191-86c6-6e1427182a70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Richard Dawkins TV - Baloney Detection Kit video
See this great little rationalist video here.
> Well, if I am pro-business, I have to be skeptical about global warming. Wait! How about just following the data? |
63d767c9-ce0b-45fe-8a16-6ce701d54294 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using vs. evaluating (or, Why I don't come around here no more)
[Summary: Trying to use new ideas is more productive than trying to evaluate them.]
I haven't posted to LessWrong in a long time. I have a fan-fiction blog where I post theories about writing and literature. Topics don't overlap at all between the two we... |
26c96a11-3a14-4b17-af9a-43ce49443873 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Ronald de Wolf on Quantum Computing
[Ronald de Wolf](http://homepages.cwi.nl/~rdewolf) is a senior researcher at CWI and a part-time full professor at the University of Amsterdam. He obtained his PhD there in 2001 with a the... |
a10cb7f8-65cb-4149-a919-89e0b0644f32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deception and Self-Doubt
A little while ago, I argued with a friend of mine over the efficiency of the Chinese government. I admitted he was clearly better informed on the subject than I. At one point, however, he claimed that the Chinese government executed fewer people than the US government. This statement is flat-... |
94fc17c2-74de-461f-be9a-19d18947d5b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exclude the supernatural? My worldview is up for grabs.
Background
I was raised in the Churches of Christ and my family is all very serious about Christianity. About 3 years ago, I started to ask some hard questions, and the answers from other Christians were very unsatisfying. I used to believe that the Bible was, y... |
a4e49fc7-4001-4dfb-8ffa-918ac394459e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do strange scenarios help us ask why not?
People are working on making robot cars communicate, with pedestrians for instance.
Notice that the apparent benefit of having cars communicate with pedestrians doesn’t actually have much to do with robots driving the cars. If having cars signal to pedestrians is useful, prob... |
d7bbb58b-5cb7-456f-94c6-05095e7b6392 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Adventist Health Study-2 supports pescetarianism more than veganism
Or: how the Adventist Health Study-2 had a pretty good study design but was oversold in popular description, and then misrepresented its own results.
When I laid out my existing beliefs on veganism and nutrition I asked people for evidence to the con... |
d9aa6587-6e55-46e3-88ff-7d1cf4e8c295 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Sorting Hat
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Sorting Hat
WHEN: 13 September 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
Crossposted from mailing list. Meeting in courtyard, gathering from 3:00pm, hard start 3:30pm - until closing.
We'll be meeting to dis... |
214ae8c8-d6cf-4c76-a092-2af58938ae1f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #76]: How dataset size affects robustness, and benchmarking safe exploration by measuring constraint violations
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.goo... |
c898270e-cf2c-4ff2-8583-856d75ea6d59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We might get lucky with AGI warning shots. Let's be ready!
Prior to ChatGPT, I was slightly against talking to governments about AGI. I worried that attracting their interest would cause them to invest in the technology and shorten timelines.
However, given the reception of ChatGPT and the race it has kicked off, my ... |
6b595651-fb91-4ba3-be4e-555d6e0d360d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Oslo
This summary was posted to LW Main on May 8th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Dublin: 09 May 2015 02:00PM
* Oslo LessWrong Meetup: 22 May 2015 05:15PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place... |
70b9a09d-9606-434c-bc3f-7bdf861ed35f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Low hanging fruit: Websites that significantly improve your life?
It suddenly occurred to me that not everyone uses a website I love. Of all the websites I browse if you asked me which one improves my standard of living in the largest, most concrete way, it would be slickdeals.
What it is: a community driven "hot de... |
c251f837-d27a-493f-9578-a2dc45737721 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Haven / Southern Connecticut Meetup, Wednesday Apr. 27th 6 PM
To all Less Wrongians in the New Haven / Southern Connecticut area: Come join us for dinner at Yorkside Pizza and Restaurant (288 York Street, New Haven CT) on Wednesday, April 27th at 6:00 PM. There is currently no established LW meetup in New Haven, b... |
22790004-a363-4ae4-bb48-06907c6a3d52 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposal: Use logical depth relative to human history as objective function for superintelligence
I attended Nick Bostrom's talk at UC Berkeley last Friday and got intrigued by these problems again. I wanted to pitch an idea here, with the question: Have any of you seen work along these lines before? Can you recommend... |
d61cb5ab-5dab-44f2-8ad5-b80f91de0fa2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Effect of nuclear weapons on historic trends in explosives
Nuclear weapons constituted a ~7 thousand year discontinuity in relative effectiveness factor (TNT equivalent per kg of explosive).
Nuclear weapons do not appear to have clearly represented progress in the cost-effectiveness of explosives, though the evidenc... |
d04e957f-62c4-4abb-a56b-81199f98cfba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Crackpot Offer
Today's post, The Crackpot Offer was originally published on 08 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If you make a mistake, don't excuse it or pat yourself on the back for thinking originally; acknowledge you made a mistake and move on. If you become invested in your... |
86a1b6f0-edb8-46f6-8a0e-51f0c1e887f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Ground Truth Problem (Or, Why Evaluating Interpretability Methods Is Hard)
Work done @ SERI-MATS.
Evaluating interpretability methods (and so, developing good ones) is really hard because we have no ground truth. Or at least, no ground truth that we can compare our interpretations directly against.
The ground t... |
3abddba8-886e-4951-8789-8b26e0c5b1b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley meetup: Argument mapping software
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley meetup: Argument mapping software
WHEN: 18 July 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Berkeley, CA
So at tonight's meetup we will be playing with John's argument mapping software! Feel free to bring your laptop — we have wifi a... |
b446060a-2c9e-4ff8-8b8a-7d65882c21f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The range of human intelligence
***This page may be out-of-date. Visit the [updated version of this page](https://wiki.aiimpacts.org/doku.php?id=speed_of_ai_transition:range_of_human_performance:the_range_of_human_intelligence) on our [wiki](https://wiki.aiimpacts.org/doku.php?id=start).***
The range of human intell... |
87fa436d-e30d-4dcc-bc8a-fc164a3b077b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memory Decoding Journal Club: Neocortical synaptic engrams for remote contextual memories
Join Us for the Memory Decoding Journal Club!
A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This time, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Neocortical synaptic engrams for remote contex... |
6dffcde6-a80d-4ee8-a5b6-4448576edad3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Paper]: Islands as refuges for surviving global catastrophes
Our paper "Islands as refuges for surviving global catastrophes" is published in Foresight. The preprint is here.
This article continues a series of articles which explore the plan B of global risks mitigation which is an attempt to survive a possible gl... |
c1c42df3-bfea-4fb2-94a0-070f6b8b37f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | 4 ways to think about democratizing AI [GovAI Linkpost]
Many AI labs have called for the democratization of AI. In a recent GovAI blog post, [Elizabeth Seger](https://elizabethseger.com/) summarizes four different ways of interpreting the phrase:
* **Democratizing AI use:**Making it easier for people to use AI techno... |
c7206f93-03a4-43d0-b106-fcebab43f007 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Am I Understanding Bayes Right?
Hello, everyone.
I'm relatively new here as a user rather than as a lurker, but even after trying to read ever tutorial on Bayes' Theorem I could get my hands on, I'm still not sure I understand it. So I was hoping that I could explain Bayesianism as I understand it, and some more e... |
adec75bf-70e7-4908-9971-af7c4bc670a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subjective vs. normative offensiveness
Terms like offensive are often used in a manner that blurs the boundaries between two different, but related concepts. Let’s suppose that Alex send Billy an email that he finds offensive. We can say that the email is subjectively offensive if it causes Billy to feel offended. On ... |
940bca07-952e-44fe-be08-f88470f96649 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | I don't want to talk about ai
"like any good ea, I try to have a [scout mindset](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Scout_Mindset). I don’t like to lie to myself or to other people. I try to be open to changing my mind. but that kind of intellectual honesty only works if you don’t get punished for being honest. in orde... |
d559930c-be90-4e36-a3db-c810c3d0c40e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cyberwar escalation
From arstechnica article Sabotage: Code added to popular NPM package wiped files in Russia and Belarus:
> Two weeks ago, the node-ipc author pushed a new version of the library that sabotaged computers in Russia and Belarus, the countries invading Ukraine and providing support for the invasion, re... |
d4b6f1cd-7b71-43c9-89a2-30f1fef62889 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advice Needed: Does Using a LLM Compomise My Personal Epistemic Security?
I have been using Claude 2.1 for a few months to solve serious problems in my life and get coaching and support. I need Claude to become functional, mentally well and funded enough to contribute to Utilitarianism and Alignment by donating to the... |
ea986b25-00f6-4295-9008-a239f29ef321 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #138]: Why AI governance should find problems rather than just solving them
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through... |
e63766ee-5e56-49a1-b4be-8040d0d12bf1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bay and/or Global Solstice* Job Search (2021 - 2022)
tl;dr: Would you like to lead:
* SF/Bay Summer Solstice
* SF/Bay Winter Solstice
* A global online Winter Solstice?
If so, please apply here.
People who have previously organized Solstice are encouraged to apply. We're ideally looking for two co-organizers, ... |
25193254-b780-48b1-afb3-9d8aeae59c51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two articles about futurism [LINKS]
10 Big Mistakes People Make in Thinking about the Future
Why Change Happens: Ten Theories |
b3e91e7e-b63b-4860-905a-24af645bcf9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasts on Moore v Harper from Samotsvety
"The Moore v. Harper case before SCOTUS asks to what degree state courts can interfere with state legislatures in the drawing of congressional district maps. Versions of the legal theory they’re being asked to rule on were invoked as part of the attempts to overthrow the 202... |
e523e072-0344-4f98-a8fe-2f83e09447ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 5 Project Hufflepuff Suggestions for the Rationality Community
<cross-posed on Facebook>
In the spirit of Project Hufflepuff, I’m listing out some ideas for things I would like to see in the rationality community, which seem like perhaps useful things to have. I dunno if all of these are actually good ideas, but i... |
3466ecea-4c8a-4bfc-9b9c-e4c2b269bbe7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memetics as an analogy and its implicit connotations
(Standalone, but mostly written to be referenced by a future post on sandboxing frameworks and ideologies.)
Humans are bad at sandboxing Fake Frameworks, and thinking with them tends to create side effects. That is to say, when we make analogies, we transfer more c... |
a5c8620f-009c-4ad2-a2ca-35940263597d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Antonio Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : San Antonio Meetup
WHEN: 31 July 2016 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 12651 Vance Jackson Rd #118, San Antonio, TX 78230
Meetup to discuss rationality and all things LessWrong at Yumi Berry.
Topic of the Week: Topics of the Week
Look for the sign that says... |
0ce31d39-dd29-45e2-b4fd-5f529994d239 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly newsletter for AI safety events and training programs
We've merged the newsletters from aisafety.training and aisafety.events to create one clean, comprehensive weekly email covering newly announced events and training programs in the AI safety space.
Events and training programs are important for the ecosyste... |
4dda8ae4-117d-4c04-82e8-9384575e7b3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Survey on lifeloggers for a research project
Actionable item: fill out this survey
Emmanuelle Caccamo is a Professor in Semiotics Studies at the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières. I got in contact with zir because we both featured in the episode "Outsmarting Death" of the podcast series Following our footsteps: D... |
2c1edd70-34dd-43a2-8ff0-f6cf5d3aae6a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Future Suffering
Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Future Suffering
=================================================================
9 April 2015
by [Brian Tomasik](https://longtermrisk.org/author/brian-tomasik/ "Posts by Brian Tomasik")
First writte... |
cc5c267e-2bad-410f-acbc-882122c92220 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [linkpost] AI Alignment is About Culture, Not Control by JCorvinus
> This article is long. It is an in-depth thesis about the future of humanity and AI. Also, in harmony with the fundamental theme, this work is a collaborative effort between myself and many different AI. It is partially a warning, but more importantl... |
fdaee851-a1a4-42e9-9aa9-5cd3c11af3f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 200 COP in MI: Looking for Circuits in the Wild
This is the third post in a sequence called 200 Concrete Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability. Start here, then read in any order. If you want to learn the basics before you think about open problems, check out my post on getting started. Look up jargon in my Me... |
3b08b7da-d437-402d-9324-c441a17c67c3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Wild Animal Welfare Scenarios for AI Doom
*Epistemic Status: Uhhhhhh.*
Intro
-----
I think longtermists sometimes fail to grapple with animal welfare, and even when we do, the arguments leave something to be desired in the way of nuance. For example, I have encountered claims like "there will be no animals in the fu... |
f342edca-5a64-48ea-b2cd-651d67b19aba | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "This is a fictional piece based on Sort By Controversial. You do not need to read that first, though it may make Scissor Statements feel more real. Content Warning: semipolitical. Views expressed by characters in this piece are not necessarily the views of the author.I stared out at a parking lot, the pavement cracked... |
205e44af-7bbd-44c3-ae87-5d0f9419b92f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Logical Induction
1 Introduction
---------------
Every student of mathematics has experienced uncertainty about conjectures for which there is “quite a bit of evidence”, such as the Riemann hypothesis or the twin prime conjecture. Indeed, when (zhang2014bounded, [116](#bib.bib116), ) proved a bound on the gap betwe... |
de685115-f7e4-4403-901e-4f43010a64a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quotes about death from the conventional viewpoint [edited for clarity]
This may not be the right place for this, but I need quotes about death coming from the orthodox (normative, non-LW) position on death. I'm working on a project that will eventually be at least tangentially LW relevant, and I want to have some go... |
6ab482b6-516d-441c-bf67-bf341b5918af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two Vernor Vinge Book Reviews
Vernor Vinge is a legendary and recently deceased sci-fi author. I’ve just finished listening to the first two books in the Zone of Thought trilogy. Both books are entertaining and culturally influential. The audio versions are high-quality.
A Deepness in the Sky is about two spacefaring... |
75df62bb-25c9-4fd5-8e33-9bee83c173be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Summoning the Least Powerful Genie
Stuart Armstrong recently posted a few ideas about restraining a superintelligent AI so that we can get useful work out of it. They are based on another idea of his, reduced impact. This is a quite elaborate and complicated way of limiting the amount of optimization power an AI can e... |
f7e6a378-db35-4f0e-a5ee-db06177c3fa6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Update 2018-08-03 – Comment Sorting
Comment Sorting
* Comments can now be sorted by "oldest"
* Old posts from the time-before-nested comments now default to sorting comments by "oldest."
* You can set your profile preferences for default-comment sorting. Comments will attempt to sort by the following algorithm:... |
97260a09-a243-485e-9621-01a05013afb9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Taking Principles Seriously: A Hybrid Approach to Value Alignment
1 Introduction
---------------
Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies increasingly replace human decision makers. Worries rise about the compatibility of AI and human values. A growing number of researchers are examining how AI can acquire moral i... |
ab0aea92-c17c-4914-9990-3a58a414b24d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts on George Hotz vs Eliezer Yudkowsky
Just watched this debate with George Hotz and Eliezer Yudkowsky. Here's a few of my thoughts.
I think GH's claim that timelines are important was right, but he didn't engage with EY's point that we can't predict the timeline, and instead GH pulled out an appeal to... |
67ff07b1-02a4-48ac-ab96-0c87434b9247 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Long-Term Technological Forecasting
When will AGI be created? When will WBE be possible? It would be nice to have somewhat reliable methods of long-term technological forecasting. Do we? Here's my own brief overview of the subject...
Nagy et al. (2010) is, I think, the best paper in the field. At first you might thin... |
5458be72-8ae9-4d29-8dd6-9dc829361189 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An AI defense-offense symmetry thesis
Epistemic status: Not well argued for, haven’t spent much time on it, and it’s not very worked out. This thesis is not new at all, and is implicit in a lot (most?) of the discussion about x-risk from AI. The intended contribution of this post is to state the thesis explicitly in a... |
d232f726-f663-4adc-a1e7-ea79f8b449a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Personal Productivity
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Personal Productivity
WHEN: 02 March 2013 03:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2505 west broadway, vancouver
We're going to try to go somewhere more practical this week. We'll talk about how to actually get stuff done in your available time... |
b1cf671d-b907-4b75-aac6-c4da977d60f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How Interpretability can be Impactful
*This post was written as part of the* [*Stanford Existential Risks Initiative ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/FpokmCnbP3CEZ5h4t/ml-alignment-theory-program-under-evan-hubinger). *thanks to Evan Hubinger for insightful discussion.... |
4789ad45-cc10-4441-826e-a4a95318075f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking for a roommate in Mountain View
In September I will be moving to Mountain View, CA together with a friend of mine from MIT. It turns out that the quality/cost ratio increases noticeably with the number of people living together, so we are looking for one or more additional roommates. All things being equal, I ... |
6449bcd6-9da2-4e51-aa15-39265a952384 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mapping the Conceptual Territory in AI Existential Safety and Alignment
(Crossposted from my blog)
Throughout my studies in alignment and AI-related existential risks, I’ve found it helpful to build a mental map of the field and how its various questions and considerations interrelate, so that when I read a new paper... |
c9bf22dc-1bc5-42fe-8ba8-9a252a2b490c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pointers Problem: Clarifications/Variations
I've recently had several conversations about John Wentworth's post The Pointers Problem. I think there is some confusion about this post, because there are several related issues, which different people may take as primary. All of these issues are important to "the poin... |
b2113a33-d622-4092-a6da-f2afef0b1ee7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Setting the Brains Difficulty-Anchor
Epistemic Status: Based on my first-hand experience. It is possible that I overestimate the strength of the effect, but I feel fairly confident that it exists.
I often observe, that when I do something that I find very difficult for some time, I get used to the difficulty. Importa... |
9d000abd-8d87-4943-9296-ce9f93c9fee0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #29: Take a Deep Breath
It works for the AI. Take a deep breath and work on this problem step-by-step was the strongest AI-generated custom instruction. You, a human, even have lungs and the ability to take an actual deep breath. You can also think step by step.
This week was especially friendly to such a proposal... |
a500e272-fb48-4238-9775-4e40666bfa68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is the SIAI interview series available on youtube?
Or some other site? And if not, why not?
I'm especially interested in higher quality versions, as well as in a easy to share (embedding) format with a possiblity of people commenting them. At least there is convenient way to download them. Watching the interviews wi... |
843dae00-30b2-45b2-8636-bd597344aefe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Beauty of Settled Science
Facts do not need to be unexplainable, to be beautiful; truths do not become less worth learning, if someone else knows them; beliefs do not become less worthwhile, if many others share them…
…and if you only care about scientific issues that are controversial, you will end up with a hea... |
0a05bbde-769f-429d-9d42-0ba513ed21cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Zombie Responses
Today's post, Zombie Responses was originally published on 05 April 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A few more points on Zombies.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
This post is part of the Rerunning the Sequences series, where we'l... |
3b279ac9-169c-4300-b4d8-95516d97352c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Testing "True" Language Understanding in LLMs: A Simple Proposal
The Core Idea
What if we could test whether language models truly understand meaning, rather than just matching patterns? Here's a simple thought experiment:
1. Create two artificial languages (A and B) that bijectively map to the same set of basic con... |
1a023f22-4833-4bf2-9d5a-37f5a8102e2b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Parfit's Escape (Filk)
*To the tune of "Escape" (The Piña Colada Song), with apologies to Rupert Holmes.*
I was lost in the desert, hopelessly dying of thirst
And I thought to myself, this can't get any worse
I heard the roar of an engine, surely it was my hearse
But then a tall shadow cooled me, it spoke and I... |
66d4b2cf-b405-4bd2-8c0e-249283f3ef44 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Interview w/ Quintin Pope] Evolution, values, and AI Safety
On the Futurati Podcast, we recently released an [interview with Quintin Pope](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XLDdG9DR7ek).
As you can imagine, it mostly focused on:
* Inner v.s. outer optimization;
* The sharp left turn;
* Natural selection, and what kin... |
fb232d14-3e1e-4dfe-acc9-96aca01a536b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Behaviour Manifolds and the Hessian of the Total Loss - Notes and Criticism
In this note I will discuss some computations and observations that I have seen in other posts about "basin broadness/flatness". I am mostly working off the content of the posts [Information Loss --> Basin flatness](https://www.lesswrong.com/p... |
4874b8fd-751b-410d-9331-d7490427ddb2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread: What are your important insights or aha! moments?
Sometimes our minds suddenly "click" and we see a topic in a new light. Or sometimes we think we understand an idea, think it's stupid and ignore attempts to explain it ("yeah, I already know that"), until we suddenly realize that our understanding was wro... |
a1a92ab7-f7e3-4f60-8feb-59237dc83bce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | All I know is Goodhart
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; directio... |
5964cad3-df31-47ea-981e-f2e26482eaaf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The History of AI Rights Research
The History of AI Rights Research
Jamie Harris: Sentience Institute, jamie@sentienceinstitute.org
Abstract
This report documents the history of research on AI rights and other moral consideration of artificial
entities. It highlights key intellectual influences on this litera... |
d5f9d961-a0ba-485d-acac-a4d2dbff7e9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] True Ending: Sacrificial Fire
Today's post, True Ending: Sacrificial Fire (7/8) was originally published on 05 February 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The Impossible Possible World tries to save humanity.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
This pos... |
25b7a484-f08d-420f-b677-ac2dba183c8f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Increasing day to day conversational rationality
One of the things that rationality has given me is a greater appreciation for the variety of ways one can be wrong. It often seems like people who haven’t given this topic much thought have a model of “being wrong” as one-dimensional quality someone can have with varyin... |
26848f9b-7a4d-452d-bbe5-43289b386719 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Emulations Go Foom
Today's post, [Emulations Go Foom](http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/11/emulations-go-f.html) was originally published on November 22, 2008. A summary:
> A description of what Robin Hanson thinks is the most likely scenario for a intelligence takeoff.
Discuss the post here (... |
b0e54538-de7d-4e8c-80f5-99ed6c2ecb2f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | PaperclipGPT(-4)
With GPT-4 out, I wanted to see how it would behave as PaperclipGPT. Here is our conversation, with notable parts highlighted. It gets more interesting later on. Some list formats (a, b, c...) didn't survive copy/paste - sorry. I do some leading of the AI - hopefully not enough to make this exercise m... |
e141bd7a-a79c-418a-86ad-690b17b03412 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | True answers from AI: "Miraculous" hypotheses
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
In a preceding post, I showed how to get a wide variety of probability and utility estimates out of a boxed AI, without fearing the AI would mislead us. Specifically, given some bounded utility u and some stochastic message ... |
e041f34d-e6b4-43a3-98b0-1a70305c673a | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Steve Omohundro has suggested a folk theorem to the effect that, within the interior of any approximately rational, self-modifying agent, the marginal benefit of investing additional resources in anything ought to be about equal. Or, to put it a bit more exactly, shifting a unit of resource between any two tasks shoul... |
4462ad05-8a01-465e-a8e5-c687095fb027 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why didn't Agoric Computing become popular?
I remember being quite excited when I first read about Agoric Computing. From the authors' website:
> Like all systems involving goals, resources, and actions, computation can be viewed in economic terms. This paper examines markets as a model for computation and proposes a... |
ac599513-b218-4648-8e36-6a40b9f040cf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How useful is Corrigibility?
*Epistemic Status: My best guess (I'm new to AI safety)*
We don't know how to formally define corrigibility and this is part of the reason why we haven't solved it so far. Corrigibility is defined in [Arbital](https://arbital.com/p/corrigibility/) as:
> [the agent] doesn't interfere wit... |
2384b04e-49d3-4f10-96b8-071ddde4a26e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Bridging the Gap: Providing Post-Hoc Symbolic Explanations for Sequential Decision-Making Problems with Inscrutable Representations
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Explanatory dialogue starts when the user presents a s... |
20febc73-e48d-4e19-991e-d9ae6d2eab3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Construct a portfolio to profit from AI progress.
It is probably impossible to hedge against a FOOM scenario. But it seems like there are plausible 'slow' but still transformative AI scenarios we might want to hedge against.
Here is an example of a portfolio you could construct:
40% VUG (covers most larger us tech c... |
1595172c-288f-4715-9062-2ce5fc1abffc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What things should everyone websearch?
The potential benefit should be large enough to justify the scholarship time invested. Some recommendations from myself:
* Health: Sleep Sleep apnea HIIT exercise Air pollution Tablet ergonomics Computer ergonomics Correct sleep position Correct brushing techniques Oral hygiene... |
593f7453-d60c-4450-9192-8abc83e70c00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When is investment procrastination?
I suggested recently that the link between procrastination and perfectionism has to do with construal level theory:
> When you picture getting started straight away the close temporal distance puts you in near mode, where you see all the detailed impediments to doing a perfect job.... |
3ff478f0-d35d-4ef9-932d-c48d871f95ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Monthly Roundup #13: December 2023
I have not actually forgotten that the rest of the world exists. As usual, this is everything that wasn’t worth an entire post and is not being saved for any of the roundup post categories.
(Roundup post categories are currently AI, Medical and Health, Housing and Traffic, Dating, C... |
1a65f3a9-7665-487a-a726-49871de91fa0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 14: The Unknown and the Unknowable
Melenkurion abatha! Duroc minas mill J. K. Rowling!
----------------------------------------
There were mysterious questions, but a mysterious answer was a contradiction in terms.
----------------------------------------
"Come in," said Professor McGonagall's muffled voic... |
c4d95186-7c9b-4e39-98dd-f6dc42cfde0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligence 29: Crunch time
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
----------------------------------------
Welco... |
7b3b082c-513e-4feb-8fcd-94fd762c8ad1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Designing Artificial Wisdom: The Wise Workflow Research Organization
This essay was a winner of the “Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.”
Introduction
In this post I will describe one possible design for Artificial Wisdom (AW.) This post can easily be read as a stand-alone piece, however i... |
0bde82ae-4191-45b7-89a0-97105abc3506 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (One reason) why capitalism is much maligned
Related to: Fight zero-sum bias
Disclaimer: (added response to comments by Nic_Smith, SilasBarta and Emile) - The point of this post is not to argue in favor of free markets. The point of this post is to discuss an apparent bias in people's thinking about free markets. Som... |
704b17dc-e4df-47cf-b057-63e7a2ebfb5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly Roundup #3
Another experiment for everyone (in addition to the one in this week’s Covid post) is that I want to better figure out when to split things off into their own posts. Is there anything here you would link to or want to later refer back to, and thus you think would benefit from standing on its own and/... |
92753f30-c810-455d-a4ac-ffbe169bc1b2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Metaculus Year in Review: 2022
*The following is* [*Metaculus's*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/) *year-in-review CEO letter written by Gaia Dempsey.*
2022 was a year of progress, growth, and change at Metaculus.
**We matured and grew as an organization.**
-------------------------------------------
* **M... |
964a563f-fd4a-4844-a4a7-fa40337a33e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Alignment Problem Needs More Positive Fiction
What follows is the draft of a letter I wrote but did not send to UC Berkeley Center for Human-Compatible AI aka CHAI. Whoever I sent it to might feel put on the spot which would limit its dissemination. So I thought I would post it here and see what the LessWrong comm... |
c4fcbec6-c99f-44a3-932f-ac731ec681af | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Cross-posted, as always, from Putanumonit.It’s a core staple of Putanumonit to apply ideas from math and finance out of context to your everyday life. Finance is about making bets, but so is everything else. And one of the most useful concepts related to making bets is the Kelly criterion.It states that when facing a ... |
ac635395-7291-459a-a2f6-d9ea2586c519 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is Going On With CFAR?
Whispers have been going around on the internet. People have been talking, using words like "defunct" or "inactive" (not yet "dead").
The last update to the website was December 2020 (the copyright on the website states "© Copyright 2011-2021 Center for Applied Rationality. All rights rese... |
82ba43c0-70fa-4172-a7ab-4a87c0a9d2f4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Preventing AI Misuse: State of the Art Research and its Flaws
Context: this post summarises recent research to prevent AI algorithms from being misused by unauthorised actors. After discussing four recent case studies, common research flaws and possible solutions are mentioned.
A real-life motivating problem is how M... |
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