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6758ba35-2763-4b0c-a41a-3fda2cdaeb40 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | PreDCA: vanessa kosoy's alignment protocol
*(this post has been written for the second [Refine](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/5uiQkyKdejX3aEHLM/how-to-diversify-conceptual-alignment-the-model-behind) blog post day. thanks to [vanessa kosoy](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/vanessa-kosoy), [adam shimi](https://ww... |
93a4e001-cae4-4e61-9c3f-dab7f3a6ab34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The YouTube Revolution in Knowledge Transfer
This article was originally published on SamoBurja.com. You can access the original here.
Growing up as an aspiring javelin thrower in Kenya, the young Julius Yego was unable to find a coach: in a country where runners command the most prestige, mentorship was practically ... |
0612555d-c440-4f7c-8478-3fda136cd5ef | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Alignment of AutoGPT agents
In the [previous](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cLKR7utoKxSJns6T8/ica-simulacra) post, I outlined a type of LLM-based architecture that has a potential to become the first AGI. I proposed a name *ICA Simulacra* to label such systems, but now it’s obvious that *AutoGPT*/*AutoGPT agents* is... |
d86da139-563b-4d88-bd7b-ab62efc1ba2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Word-Idols (or an examination of ties between philosophy and horror literature)
An examination of any ties between Philosophy and horror literature is, indeed, quite rare an undertaking... There are many reasons for the scarcity of articles on this topic, ranging from a reluctance to acknowledge horror literature as s... |
32d457ff-60a6-47d5-af99-b50eeab0c71c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Measurement, Optimization, and Take-off Speed
*Crossposted from my blog,* [*Bounded Regret*](https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/measurement-and-optimization/)*.*
In machine learning, we are obsessed with datasets and metrics: progress in areas as diverse as natural language understanding, object recognition, and reinfor... |
424a3603-3da5-43e0-a35e-fbd4680d17e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infant AI Scenario
Hello,
In reading about the difficulty in training an AGI to appreciate and agree with human morals, I start to think about the obvious question, "how do humans develop our sense of morals?" Aside from a genetically-inherited conscience, the obvious answer is that humans develop morality by interac... |
6d6cf920-d1d0-4f4a-87ce-d947446fc532 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Sugar Alignment Problem
In a parallel world that has just recently discovered sugar.
Alice: Hey, so have you guys heard about that new thing they discovered to make food taste better?
Bob: Yeah I think so. It's powdered and white, right?
Alice: Yeah.
Carol: It's actually granulated, like tiny little pebbles. A... |
7f4a7933-3e0f-4326-91d8-95dad316930b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Empathy as a natural consequence of learnt reward models
**Epistemic Status:** *Pretty speculative but built on scientific literature. This post builds off my previous post on* [*learnt reward models*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RorXWkriXwErvJtvn/agi-will-have-learnt-utility-functions)*. Crossposted from my* [*pe... |
a645c14f-3637-492c-ab8c-bacca267aed3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Chu are you?
[Maybe you've heard about something called a Chu space around here](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/2A7rrZ4ySx6R8mfoT/p/BSpdshJWGAW6TuNzZ). But what the heck is a Chu space? And whatever it is, does it *really* belong with all the rich mathematical structures we know and love?
 is a computing hardware research... |
46f7ba51-2abd-45fc-a785-d520177f1d95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The law of effect, randomization and Newcomb’s problem
[ETA (January 2022): My co-authors James Bell, Linda Linsefors and Joar Skalse and I give a much more detailed analysis of the dynamics discussed in this post in our paper titled [“Reinforcement Learning in Newcomblike Environments”](https://openreview.net/pdf?id=... |
b5c1d52b-35ea-4770-99cf-ab2d21aeda6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Surviving the World on Vasili Arkhipov Day
Comic can be found here. Related: Vasili Arkhipov Day, Petrov Day. |
ce4ff8e4-15f0-4de3-8390-70bdeb2331cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Invisible Networks] Goblin Marketplace
Written for crtlcreep’s Invisible Networks 2022 challenge: “invent a social network each day”, today’s prompt: “Goblin Marketplace”.
----------------------------------------
“The Goblin Marketplace is that way. Assuming that you have ears on your head, you can’t miss it.”
The... |
109857c4-2319-40d4-866d-3dc375981206 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundamental Uncertainty: Chapter 5 - How do we know what we know?
N.B. This is a chapter in a book about truth and knowledge. It is the first draft. I have since revised it. You can find the most up-to-date info/version on the book's website.
Alice is walking with her precocious young son, Dave. Dave's looking around... |
6b9b97a7-7aac-4b95-a8ed-67bfe3bfa290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Timeline of major Eliezer Yudkowsky publications
Below is a timeline of major Eliezer Yudkowsky publications. Note that, to my knowledge, everything on AI before 2006 is now obsolete. That's the nature of a quickly-moving field!
* Staring into the Singularity (1996) [Eliezer age 17]
* Coding a Transhuman AI 1.0 (19... |
4daf4ab5-89e2-4144-9f02-e546136eda19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on January 6th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* [Amsterdam] Meetup #9 - 2017 is prime: 08 January 2017 03:11PM
The following meetups take place in cities with regular scheduling... |
0a71d69b-3511-4155-afb4-39cf85737fc7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cheat sheet of AI X-risk
This document was made as part of my internship at EffiSciences. Thanks to everyone who helped review it, in particular Charbel-Raphaël Segerie, Léo Dana, Jonathan Claybrough and Florent Berthet!
Introduction
Clarifying AI X-risk is a summary of a literature review of AI risk models by DeepM... |
ca181171-53bb-4f98-9365-aed59caffa8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Transcoders enable fine-grained interpretable circuit analysis for language models
Summary
* We present a method for performing circuit analysis on language models using "transcoders," an occasionally-discussed variant of SAEs that provide an interpretable approximation to MLP sublayers' computations. Transcoders ar... |
2dd309b6-9d62-45cb-8f83-3c29c33491bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LLMs could be as conscious as human emulations, potentially
Firstly, I'm assuming that high resolution human brain emulation that you can run on a computer is conscious in normal sense that we use in conversations. Like, it talks, has memories, makes new memories, have friends and hobbies and likes and dislikes and st... |
93f20cf1-841d-42d9-be92-991db4a147a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should a college student do to maximize future earnings for effective altruism?
I'd like to solicit advice since I'm starting at Stanford this Fall and I'm interested in optimal philanthropy.
First off, what should I major in? I have experience in programming and math, so I'm thinking of majoring in CS, possi... |
91e7e518-5032-470d-b69d-16c6ad3fd67c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 4/29: Vaccination Slowdown
Compared to expectations, excluding inevitable self-inflicted cratering of our vaccination rate, this was mostly a best realistic case scenario week. Johnson & Johnson was unpaused. India’s rate of case increases probably slowed down (they’re maxed out on testing capacity so it’s hard ... |
249fb494-c175-4c4e-bcbb-2eeec6143400 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | 6-paragraph AI risk intro for MAISI
*The Michigan AI Safety Initiative (MAISI) is a new AI safety student group at the University of Michigan.* [*The website's "About" page*](https://www.maisi.club/about) *includes a short intro to AI risk. I'm sharing it here for people who are interested in short pitches for AI x-ri... |
813d84a4-eea3-4738-bdde-f3c31264f910 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Status conscious
*There is something off about the sky. Strange colours streak the horizon at sunset – just subtly enough that you wouldn’t notice unless you looked — and the stars that roam the night sky are doing so off cadence. A certain rhythm seems to have jolted. But it’s possible I am hallucinating; that the ap... |
e7cce8ce-4b0c-4fd2-a9c4-f626e4352ef8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inverse relationship between belief in foom and years worked in commercial software
http://reducing-suffering.org/predictions-agi-takeoff-speed-vs-years-worked-commercial-software/ |
cb12216c-5ab8-4ca6-93f0-49910fed5b8f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slow motion videos as AI risk intuition pumps
tl;dr: When making the case for AI as a risk to humanity, trying showing people an evocative illustration of what differences in processing speeds can look like, such as this video.
Over the past ~12 years of making the case for AI x-risk to various people inside and outs... |
7e6a910e-9107-4686-a847-e63758265448 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How are rationalists or orgs blocked, that you can see?
IE, where can you see lots of energy being wasted or something being a lot slower than it ought to be? Imagine you were world monarch, which group of people would you bring to your office to try and get something moving again? |
47b5bc32-13bf-4ba4-8c12-4eb6e99ca5ff | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation:
Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Deep learning has attracted tremendous attention from researchers in fields such as physics, biology, and manufacturing, to name a few (Baldi et al., [2014](#bib.bib2); Anjos et al., [2015](#bib.bib1... |
53f6509a-3533-4fc2-819c-fd27862dbb85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Appendix: More Is Different In Other Domains
In Future ML Systems Will Be Qualitatively Different, I argued that we should expect ML systems to exhibit emergent capabilities. My main support for this was four historical examples of emergence in ML.
In some sense, extrapolating from only four data points is pretty ske... |
480b6cce-3c12-45a9-8032-0657831d8e26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secrets of the eliminati
Anyone who does not believe mental states are ontologically fundamental - ie anyone who denies the reality of something like a soul - has two choices about where to go next. They can try reducing mental states to smaller components, or they can stop talking about them entirely.
In a utility-m... |
981eb189-cb09-4d29-9a30-99b3b5d695dc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Updates from Campaign for AI Safety
Hi!
📜 With the moratorium treaty competition now closed, we extend our best wishes to all participants. Judges are finalising scores for the entries. Winners will be announced this week. You can see all the submissions [here](https://www.campaignforaisafety.org/law-competition-sub... |
781bb615-3b17-4bef-8ea6-782379f14d6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't be afraid of the thousand-year-old vampire
Background
I first started reading Jaynes Probability Theory around 2 years ago, I did not last long, I wasn't able to follow the derivations in Chapter 2, so I gave up, assuming it would only get harder from there what was the point in continuing?
This was a big mista... |
97699923-e701-4855-b51d-b7091b8fc3f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The ultimate limits of alignment will determine the shape of the long term future
Epistemic status: shower thoughts
This is crossposted from my personal blog
The alignment problem is not new. Humanity and evolution have been grappling with the fundamental core of alignment -- making an agent optimize for the belie... |
a0be5e40-b56e-49b2-a250-d2327044ce29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fictional Thinking and Real Thinking
Background Concept: What World Does The Referent Live In?
When we see some symbols representing something, it’s useful to ask “what world does the referent[1] live in?”. Some examples:
* When I’m reading a Harry Potter book, the referents of the words/sentences mostly live in the... |
446fa0c1-9bc4-42bd-9d3c-4c7d8cc93e1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cognitive Enhancers: Mechanisms And Tradeoffs
[Epistemic status: so, so, so speculative. I do not necessarily endorse taking any of the substances mentioned in this post.]
There’s been recent interest in “smart drugs” said to enhance learning and memory. For example, from the Washington Post:
> When aficionados talk... |
f28886cc-1dfd-4d20-a100-262d0a02c880 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI #11: America Action Plan
OPENAI TELLS US WHO THEY ARE
Last week I covered Anthropic’s submission to the request for suggestions for America’s action plan. I did not love what they submitted, and especially disliked how aggressively they sidelines existential risk and related issues, but given a decision to mas... |
f78e3928-66de-44e5-b736-4ea72b2edba8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can we measure creativity?
Status: have spent about two hours on this.
As part of measuring how marginal productivity changes over time, I need to know how to assess creativity. One promising test for that is the Torrance Tests of Creative Thinking, in which subjects are given an open ended prompt, and graded o... |
3f1a0557-a597-4f28-bf65-3a699c312943 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundamental Uncertainty: Chapter 2 - Why do words have meaning?
N.B. This is a chapter in a book about truth and knowledge. It is the first draft. I have since revised it and replaced this old version with a new major revision. You should read that one instead! You can also find the most up-to-date info/version on the... |
1e5f7ecc-0965-4f1e-a538-ef9da080d727 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FAI FAQ draft: What is the Singularity?
I invite your feedback on this snippet from the forthcoming Friendly AI FAQ. This one is an answer to the question "What is the Singularity?"
_____
There are many types of mathematical and physical singularities, but in this FAQ we use the term 'Singularity' to refer to the... |
42e8dc9d-bc1b-40d5-a7a6-b7ad62f4ba6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A list of good heuristics that the case for AI x-risk fails
I think one reason machine learning researchers don't think AI x-risk is a problem is because they haven't given it the time of day. And on some level, they may be right in not doing so!
We all need to do meta-level reasoning about what to spend our time and... |
fd5637a8-911f-4256-932f-64f0057e6f4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conceptual coherence for concrete categories in humans and LLMs
Cross-posted from New Savanna.
Siddharth Suresh, Kushin Mukherjee, Xizheng Yu, Wei-Chun Huang, Lisa Padua, and Timothy T. Rogers, Conceptual structure coheres in human cognition but not in large language models, arXiv:2304.02754v2 [cs.AI] 10 Nov 2023.
>... |
8fca398e-5778-45cd-9b66-0862f1077588 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictions for 2022
None |
44a1a838-0920-4511-ad23-d58127cb50f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where Free Will and Determinism Meet
Imagine an ordinary-looking text editor. It has the standard bold, italics, and underline styles, and the option to undo your latest editing command. The right arrow next to the undo icon, however, far from represents the typical redo feature. Whether you last undid a command or n... |
88dd81d5-2d9e-4815-a0ba-f8250901839b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there a list of cognitive illusions?
After I posted my great idea that "Determinism Is Just A Special Case Of Randomness" because "if not I don't see how there could be free will in a deterministic universe" I was positively guided by the LW community to read the Free Will Sequence so I am learning more about our b... |
24c60cd5-d925-49cc-9720-f08b509b784b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A simple environment for showing mesa misalignment
A few days ago, Evan Hubinger [suggested](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/2GycxikGnepJbxfHT/towards-an-empirical-investigation-of-inner-alignment) creating a [mesa optimizer](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/q2rCMHNXazALgQpGH/conditions-for-mesa-optimization)... |
8ad3ed27-fdd4-4e80-af47-5410866d6200 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Ignore Your Emotions (while also thinking you're awesome at emotions)
(cross posted from my personal blog)
Since middle school I've generally thought that I'm pretty good at dealing with my emotions, and a handful of close friends and family have made similar comments. Now I can see that though I was particula... |
5798dfee-c959-4e48-9c56-bbc5a1dd30df | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | All AGI Safety questions welcome (especially basic ones) [~monthly thread]
**tl;dr: Ask questions about AGI Safety as comments on this post, including ones you might otherwise worry seem dumb!**
Asking beginner-level questions can be intimidating, but everyone starts out not knowing anything. If we want more people i... |
f0190a29-3bdc-4889-a6e0-346d3910f214 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nick Beckstead: On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future
Nick Beckstead: On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future
ABSTRACT: In slogan form, the thesis of this dissertation is that shaping the far future is overwhelmingly important. More precisely, I argue that:
Main Thesis: From a ... |
92f6e80a-4d66-4c8c-bbf0-a2055e911b88 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow: Applied Rationality and Cognitive Biases
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow: Applied Rationality and Cognitive Biases
WHEN: 08 December 2012 04:00:00PM (+0400)
WHERE: Rossiya, Moscow, ulitsa Ostozhenka 14/2
We will meet at “Subway” restaurant, entrance from Lopukhinskiy pereulok. Look for ... |
b48d6a09-7ac2-4c82-8152-b9994c00c79f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetups: Hamburg, Ljubljana
This summary was posted to LW Main on January 24th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Meetup: First Meetup in Hamburg, Germany: 07 February 2014 07:00PM
* Ljubljana: 25 January 2014 05:00PM
Other ... |
560d5a6f-984b-44cc-ad2e-916905f2814c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you study a math textbook?
My own personal routine:
I start reading, whenever I feel there is a problem presented in the text (mostly theorems and examples but sometimes questions arise in the text itself), I’ll try solving it. I invest time in this endeavor proportionally to my belief that it can be solved in... |
1f06c139-819a-4435-81b9-bd3d45c25130 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Results: Circular Dependency of Counterfactuals Prize
Now that the deadline has passed, I thought I should announce the winner of my competition on the Circular Dependency of Counterfactuals.
The winner is tailcalled with their post Some thoughts on "The Nature of Counterfactuals".
There were a few things I liked ab... |
ad2ec54b-2146-4f2b-b4f7-4ab429758946 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/agentmodels | Tutorial: Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs | Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs
---
layout: chapter
title: "Sequential decision problems: MDPs"
description: Markov Decision Processes, efficient planning with dynamic programming.
---
## Introduction
The [previous chapter](/chapters/3-agents-as-programs.html) introduced agent models for solving simple, ... |
d9badebe-e77d-461d-80e9-9c425c9217e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | This AI Boom Will Also Bust
|
d155e5c8-c1f8-441e-b1ca-3a641459d766 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Energy efficiency of wandering albatross flight
*Updated Nov 25, 2020*
The wandering albatross:
* can fly around 240m/kJ
* and move mass at around 1.4—3.0kg.m/J
Details
-------
The wandering albatross is a very large seabird that flies long distances on wings with the largest span of any bird.[1](https://aiimp... |
0045beb2-fcdd-4c6f-81c9-35f7d6b36d0b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distance Functions are Hard
[Epistemic status: Describes a failed research approach I had a while ago, and my only purpose here is to warn people off from that way of thinking. Every now and then I see someone working on an AIS subproblem say "if only we had a distance function for things in domain X", and my intuitio... |
9eae9dd4-cfe4-44b2-95c0-2e012e255cb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A solvable Newcomb-like problem - part 1 of 3
This is the first part of a three post sequence on a problem that is similar to Newcomb's problem but is posed in terms of probabilities and limited knowledge.
Part 1 - stating the problem
Part 2 - some mathematics
Part 3 - towards a solution
----------------... |
acbfc991-69f6-4aa8-a680-f6563a119021 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should LW have a separate AI section?
LessWrong seems to have two main topics for discussion; rationality and AI. This, of course, is caused by Eliezer Yudkowsky's sequences (and interests), which are mostly about rationality, but also include a lot of writing about AI. LessWrong currently has two sections, Main and D... |
a23d3c4c-5d84-4315-a820-6df856e67485 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Active tactile exploration using a brain–machine–brain interface
ICMS (intracortical microstimulation) was successfully demonstrated for inducing artificial sensory stimulation in rhesus monkeys. (This is a significant -- albeit miniscule -- step forward for data-in brain-computer interfaces.)
-- http:... |
b1f3cd8e-fca2-4e9f-bb7f-514af9f0e2bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is least-to-most prompting?
Least-to-most prompting is a technique to elicit complex reasoning from large language models. This is done in two stages. First, the model is prompted to break down a complex problem into simpler subproblems. Then, the subproblems are solved sequentially, from the least complex to the... |
d8648735-16c2-41e0-a0cc-fc731f7e8f4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thought Experiments Website
Hullo,
I'm hoping for your feedback. I recently finished a sort of beta of a website that allows users to explore and vote on thought experiments:
https://thought-experiment-explorer.vercel.app/
The spirit behind it is somewhat similar to LessWrong's: I think people should examine their... |
a29ecfeb-9374-4826-bde6-e25074432e9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The alignment problem in different capability regimes
I think the alignment problem looks different depending on the capability level of systems you’re trying to align. And I think that different researchers often have different capability levels in mind when they talk about the alignment problem. I think this leads t... |
a6a62b8d-d248-40ce-be01-485d71c6558b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grokking revisited: reverse engineering grokking modulo addition in LSTM
By Daniil Yurshevich, Nikita Khomich
TLDR: we train LSTM model on algorithmic task of modulo addition and observe grokking. We fully reverse engeneer the algorithm learned and propose a way simpler equivalent version of the model that groks... |
bf2a8a2f-aee2-4857-834f-8291c91d380a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Macro, not Micro
Overview
The basic observation is that, if we think of life as an optimization problem, then redefining the search space is much more important than making local optimizations; as a fact of human psychology it's hard to consciously focus on both; but we can implicitly get away with doing both by crea... |
cba05600-ddfa-4ebb-b2a5-945847f9f362 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Giving What We Can needs your help!
As you probably know, Giving What We Can exists to move donations to the charities that can most effectively help others. Our members take a pledge to give 10% of their incomes for the rest of their life to the most impactful charities. Along with other extensive resources for donor... |
bcb9608a-80d4-4f15-a4c1-bbfc3ea40887 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SmartyHeaderCode: anomalous tokens for GPT3.5 and GPT-4
TL;DR: There are anomalous tokens for GPT3.5 and GPT4 which are difficult or impossible for the model to repeat; try playing around with SmartyHeaderCode, APolynomial, or davidjl. There are also plenty which can be repeated but are difficult for the model to spe... |
a9c7c88d-9b1f-4b47-81a9-c9a704604419 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Enabling Automated Machine Learning for Model-Driven AI Engineering
AutoML
------
AutoML aims to automate the practice of ML for real-world applications. It offers end-to-end solutions to non-experts (and experts) in the field of ML in a more efficient manner, compared to the manual approach. The automation might b... |
cd81c1fe-f11b-4fc8-ae0e-52fc8eb023cf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Reinforcement Learning 10: Classic Games Case Study
okay good morning everyone so uh well
done for making it to the end of this
course so I've got a different face
today I'm David Silva and I'm going to
tell you a little bit about games in
particular classic games like the kind
of board games which you might play or
w... |
ba5c8d02-fa2e-45f8-9f09-ca6c0baf5e67 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why I'm Worried About AI
Preamble
========
In this sequence of posts, I want to lay out why I am worried about risks from powerful AI and where I think the specific dangers come from. In general, I think it's good for people to be able to form their own inside views of what’s going on, and not just defer to people. T... |
891701a1-0639-41fd-b36d-1de7e5490231 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Research Triangle Less Wrong Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Research Triangle Less Wrong Meetup
WHEN: 06 August 2011 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1406 East Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27514-2883
In the meeting room of Caribou Coffee. Note this is not the one near UNC campus, but near the inte... |
7142c095-786b-4897-94df-720281bc631b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explanation found for the Pioneer anomaly
Paper here. Lay summary here. Some bits from the latter:
> The problem is this. The Pioneer 10 and 11 spacecraft were launched towards Jupiter and Saturn in the early 1970s. After their respective flybys, they continued on escape trajectories out of the Solar System, both de... |
1117a9c4-defc-4792-ac49-8a1ccddb53c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moses and the Class Struggle
"𝕿𝖆𝖐𝖊 𝖔𝖋𝖋 𝖞𝖔𝖚𝖗 𝖘𝖆𝖓𝖉𝖆𝖑𝖘. 𝕱𝖔𝖗 𝖞𝖔𝖚 𝖘𝖙𝖆𝖓𝖉 𝖔𝖓 𝖍𝖔𝖑𝖞 𝖌𝖗𝖔𝖚𝖓𝖉," said the bush.
"No," said Moses.
"Why not?" said the bush.
"I am a Jew. If there's one thing I know about this universe it's that there's no such thing as God," said Moses.
"You don't need t... |
c9f32284-0235-4937-a9ca-13b399d2957c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Value of Theoretical Research
For many of us, choosing a career path has a dominant effect on our contribution to the society. For those of us who care what happens to society, this makes it one of the most important decisions we make. Like most decisions, this one is very often made by impulses significantly belo... |
de993f23-2b7f-4b71-b6a8-ab7a92aa6011 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Botswana Can Teach Us About Political Stability
US Army Africa/Botswana
From my article first published on Palladium Magazine.
It is hard to find a clearer outlier among developing countries than Botswana, a landlocked African country where 40% of government revenue comes from diamond mining and a quarter of ad... |
d1e0a96a-1b5a-4782-82d6-14994e738db8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision
> Existing techniques for training language models can be misaligned with the truth: if we train models with imitation learning, they may reproduce errors that humans make; if we train them to generate text that humans rate highly, they may output err... |
10c051e5-11e7-4f6f-9220-61a4a5af94cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why AI is Harder Than We Think - Melanie Mitchell
I'm posting this here because I think it's an interesting perspective on the nature of artificial intelligence that isn't very common in the EA and AI alignment communities. I care about x-risks, including possible x-risks and s-risks from "advanced AI," but I think th... |
09d1b54b-1fac-457e-b255-54cf9824d923 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 13. Symbol grounding & human social instincts
(Last revised: July 2024. See changelog at the bottom.)
13.1 Post summary / Table of contents
Part of the “Intro to brain-like-AGI safety” post series.
In the previous post, I proposed that one path forward for AGI safety involves revers... |
b9e1f3ba-fd0c-4292-a29e-cadb2f962751 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Has anyone here written about religious fictionalism?
Religious fictionalism, as I understand it, is the position that religion can be valuable and worth practicing and spreading even though it makes false claims. I was inspired to ask this question by the below YouTube video essay by Kane Baker.
Has anyone on Less W... |
32024863-1031-42e7-95bf-a5683c4b3f97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 4/6
Three weeks ago I announced the LessWrong Coronavirus Agenda, an attempt to increase knowledge by coordinating research between LW participants. This post is an update on that. If you want to skip to action items, check out the last section.
Last Week’s Spotlight Questions
What are... |
4df2cfd7-bcbd-46bd-b535-f2b92a6e22a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Diet Experiment Preregistration: Long-term water fasting + seed oil removal
I am intrigued by exfatloss's recent theory that the primary cause of the obesity epidemic is slow, subtle damage from linoleic acid over many years. Specifically, I want to test the broader possibility that the composition of adipose tissues... |
9daa5691-bc00-4513-bfd3-4505c53215b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Beautiful Probability
Today's post, Beautiful Probability was originally published on 14 January 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Bayesians expect probability theory, and rationality itself, to be math. Self consistent, neat, even beautiful. This is why Bayesians think that Cox's theorems ar... |
74a6dbe6-db71-4a4a-b00a-0e6ce00624c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Did the Industrial Revolution decrease costs or increase quality?
An oversimplified story of manufacturing progress during the Industrial Revolution is: “we automated manufacturing processes, and that decreased the cost of goods.” This is not wrong, but is not the full picture.
Mechanization—and other progress in man... |
c2581463-14e0-4bb4-a4b3-c4b592e063ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please Help: How to make a big improvement in the alignment of political parties’ incentives with the public interest?
|
81e60576-65df-4a72-b10b-425ab373ce94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety at the Frontier: Paper Highlights, January '25
This is the selection of AI safety papers from my blog "AI Safety at the Frontier". The selection primarily covers ML-oriented research and frontier models. It's primarily concerned with papers (arXiv, conferences etc.).
tl;dr
Paper of the month:
Constitution... |
e7a482c9-3f92-4f64-a0f3-de6e71280cf9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How uniform is the neocortex?
How uniform is the neocortex?
The neocortex is the part of the human brain responsible for higher-order functions like sensory perception, cognition, and language, and has been hypothesized to be uniformly composed of general-purpose data-processing modules. What does the currently availa... |
cede1a4d-24c8-4bcb-8d8e-adb1d0cdab6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Brain is Not Close to Thermodynamic Limits on Computation
Introduction
This post is written as a response to jacob_cannel's recent post Contra Yudkowsky on AI Doom. He writes:
> EY correctly recognizes that thermodynamic efficiency is a key metric for computation/intelligence, and he confidently, brazenly claims ... |
e5859ab2-b861-4487-9750-15a089fd3873 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Minds: An Introduction
You’re a mind, and that puts you in a pretty strange predicament.
Very few things get to be minds. You’re that odd bit of stuff in the universe that can form
predictions and make plans, weigh and revise beliefs, suffer, dream, notice ladybugs, or
feel a sudden craving for mango. You can ev... |
1aab33d8-37ee-49a8-ab84-a0d6f1907d5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The ecological rationality of the bad old fallacies
I think that the community here may have some of the most qualified people to judge a new frame of studying the fallacies of argumentation with some instruments that psychologists use. I and my friend Dan Ungureanu, a linguist at Charles University in Prague could us... |
8bfc0072-81a1-44f0-a43b-5b74a1a55253 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Politics Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Politics Meetup
WHEN: 12 May 2012 01:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Benny's Bagels 2505 W Broadway Vancouver, BC
We are going to be at Benny's again. Saturday this time, because we know some of you can't do Sundays. 13:00.
The sequence we are... |
f0c8cac3-cb8b-4024-9ad1-ea05a40e2b02 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 345M version GPT-2 released
OpenAI has released a larger GPT-2 model for public testing. They've also released the two larger models to select groups for experimenting. |
3b8ed797-2387-4026-bdca-899f794173fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Square root
##Introduction
When you try to get the area of a square %%note: A shape where all sides are equal%% and know the length of a **side** %%note: Otherwise known as its **root**%% you multiply the length of one side by itself or [square](https://arbital.com/p/4ts) it.
First written: 23 Oct. 20... |
47faf94c-4565-4c6b-b3c6-a76f0d33be37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Managing risks of our own work
Note: This is not a personal post. I am sharing on behalf of the ARC Evals team.
Potential risks of publication and our response
This document expands on an appendix to ARC Evals’ paper, “Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks.”
We published this report in orde... |
130b1a90-bd6f-4275-8dd3-0a880d22a81e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Pre-Training + Fine-Tuning Favors Deception
Thanks to Evan Hubinger for helpful comments and discussion.
Currently, to obtain models useful for some task X, models are pre-trained on some task Y, then fine-tuned on task X. For example, to obtain a model that can summarize articles, a large language model is first pr... |
bfb6e3d8-2059-483e-a2c2-c1b499722170 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the risks of permanent injury from COVID?
I'm in my late twenties. I can easily find estimates of the risk of death, but I'm having trouble figuring out what the risk of permanent injury (e.g. fatigue) is. I figure someone on LW has probably already looked into this, so I thought I'd ask. |
9ef55d67-c33b-4373-879f-d02ac26567ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why almost every RL agent does learned optimization
Or "Why RL≈RL2 (And why that matters)"
TL;DR: This post discusses the blurred conceptual boundary between RL and RL2 (also known as meta-RL). RL2 is an instance of learned optimization. Far from being a special case, I point out that the conditions under which RL2... |
c779360b-4a03-4ace-b07f-94153bfd7b2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Putanumonit - Bayesian inference vs. null hypothesis testing
|
3d42024a-51ad-40f0-89d9-2a82d8fe48c0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Math 3
A reader at the **Math 3** level can read the sorts of things that a research-level mathematician could — if you're Math 3, it's okay to throw LaTeX formulas straight at you, using standard notation, with a minimum of handholding.
At the Math 3 level, different schools of mathematics may have their own standar... |
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