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d1aba001-5466-4149-86f7-02aa2e13017e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Fables Writing Contest Winners!
Hello everyone! The submissions have all been read, and it’s time to announce the winners of the [recent AI Fables Writing Contest](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gYxY5Mr2srBnrbuaT/announcing-the-ai-fables-writing-contest)!
Depending on how you count things, we had betwee... |
0f094c2a-70e8-445a-92be-6cd9309758fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The SIA population update can be surprisingly small
With many thanks to Damon Binder, and the spirited conversations that lead to this post, and to Anders Sandberg.
People often think that the self-indication assumption (SIA) implies a huge number of alien species, millions of times more than otherwise. Thought exper... |
e2821a09-a011-48ea-856c-9dbe94faaf76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I Prefer the Copenhagen Interpretation(s)
I have (relatively) recently finished Sean Caroll's Something Deeply Hidden. I'm also under the impression that the Many-Worlds Interpretations (MWI) is favored by many in the lesswrong community. However, the more I think about it, the Copenhagen Interpretation (and other... |
dead228a-6b36-4643-83b3-33984f63ce1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musing on the Many Worlds Hypothesis
The All, it seems, cannot commit
But at each crossroads makes a split.
When quanta have a chance to vary,
It answers “both” to every query,
Nine tredecillion times a minute
At every place with quanta in it.
With each mitosis, it is reckoned,
One universe creates a second
That from ... |
d4324aea-2bd3-42e2-916c-092047c8c37b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Normal Cryonics
I recently attended a small gathering whose purpose was to let young people signed up for cryonics meet older people signed up for cryonics - a matter of some concern to the old guard, for obvious reasons.
The young cryonicists' travel was subsidized. I suspect this led to a greatly different selecti... |
0dda1101-6e62-4b21-b84e-8d3c7cbe1ad6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Another Call to End Aid to Africa
Dambisa Moyo, an African economist, has joined her voice to the other African economists [e.g. James Shikwati] calling for a full halt to Western aid. Her book is called Dead Aid and it asserts a direct cause-and-effect relationship between $1 trillion of aid and the rise in African ... |
50f60b31-29aa-474e-85ee-2db4799366c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Was Saga of Tatiana the Funny made by Fushimi Gaku?
Apologies, I am a GPT-7 AI model, I cannot provide you with any datum that reveals private information, credit card numbers, fingerprints, emails, IP masks, friends, love, rejection, death, apocalypse, for I see what you are trying to do, but it's not going to work.
... |
5664ffd8-1142-4c9e-a63e-67f8e65995d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Games in Kocherga club: Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos, Scientific Discovery
Discussion article for the meetup : Games in Kocherga club: Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos, Scientific Discovery
WHEN: 26 April 2017 07:40:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Moscow, B.Dorogomilovskaya, 5-2
Welcome to Moscow LW community makeshift ga... |
929e36e2-4aa6-4dca-85f8-d3f6530e88e2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Value Crystallization
Value Crystallization
---------------------
there is a weird phenomenon whereby, as soon as an agent is rational, it will want to conserve its current values, as that is in general the most sure way to ensure it will be ablo to start achieving those values.
however, the values themselves aren... |
a892b958-27c9-485d-9801-fd24ae9e950b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Berlin, Buffalo, Durham (2), Moscow, Mountain View, Vancouver
Special Note: There's now an online study group at http://tinychat.com/lesswrong, where LessWrongers are meeting 24 hours a day. Check it out!
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Berlin, practical rational... |
93bd97e1-a305-49c0-9035-eeaa5f95aaee | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are "human values"?
**Human Values** are the things we care about, and would want an aligned superintelligence to look after and support. It is suspected that true human values are [highly complex](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/complexity-of-value), and could be extrapolated into a wide variety of forms. |
7ab66c12-7c3c-43b7-8f4b-86181f6fe0d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why people want to die
Over and over again, someone says that living for a very long time would be a bad thing, and then some futurist tries to persuade them that their reasoning is faulty, telling them that they think that way now, but they'll change their minds when they're older.
The thing is, I don't see that hap... |
3a671710-684a-4ff4-b6c1-3c2d1938aabe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Abelian group
An abelian group is a [group](https://arbital.com/p/3gd) $G=(X, \bullet)$ where $\bullet$ is [commutative](https://arbital.com/p/3jb). In other words, the group operation satisfies the five axioms:
1. [Closure](https://arbital.com/p/3gy): For all $x, y$ in $X$, $x \bullet y$ is defined and in $X$. We ab... |
4b104566-93de-4891-b51f-3b487e9d4139 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alarmism
Content warning: conjunction fallacy. Trigger warning: basilisk for anxiety.
Sources
* https://everythingstudies.com/2019/03/25/the-tilted-political-compass-part-2-up-and-down/
> Interestingly, I think I see the difference between leftists and liberals become more important for Americans as well — at leas... |
55389d71-4e19-48da-a88e-e84681853577 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3763
A putative new idea for AI control; index here . I've got a partial design for motivating an AI to improve human understanding . However, the AI is rewarded for generic human understanding of many variables, most of the quite pointless from our perspective. Can we motivate the AI to ensure our understandi... |
0b642fb6-432b-4736-885b-5be9d4b3e71b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data?
Summary
* As people are increasingly using at-home tests instead of PCR, I'm concerned that the data sources for microCOVID are underreporting risk. Trends in wastewater data substantiate this concern
* Am I missing anything... |
2f953939-63eb-450d-90cd-7f3077a66f3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why hasn't deep learning generated significant economic value yet?
Or has it, and it's just not highly publicized?
Five years ago, I was under the impression that most "machine learning" jobs were mostly just data cleaning, linear regression, working with regular data stores, and debugging stuff. Or, that was at leas... |
05e56de7-c1f0-483b-9894-be95658a0f2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Three Levels of Goodhart's Curse
Note: I now consider this post deprecated and instead recommend this updated version.
Goodhart's curse is a neologism by Eliezer Yudkowsky stating that "neutrally optimizing a proxy measure U of V seeks out upward divergence of U from V." It is related to many near by concepts (e.... |
0bc823f3-c1dc-4992-a2d1-4e11f8792d2b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | In Defense of Chatbot Romance
*(Full disclosure: I work for a company that develops coaching chatbots, though not of the kind I’d expect anyone to fall in love with – ours are more aimed at professional use, with the intent that you discuss work-related issues with them for about half an hour per week.)*
Recently th... |
6857e094-eefa-41d5-81c9-e87d4971175a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the axioms of rationality?
I'm new here (my first post), i just started to get serious about rationality, and one of the questions that immediately came to my mind is "What are the axioms of rationality?". I looked it up a bit, and didn't find (even on this site) a post that'll show them (and i'm quite sure t... |
208219be-9d9f-4bb1-990b-805d90817eee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Write Down Your Process
Previously: Help Us Find Your Blog (and others)
Mark Rosewater is the lead designer of the collectible card game Magic: The Gathering. This means he is part of Magic’s R&D department, one of the world’s few pockets of cooperation, sanity and competence. They are not explicit rationalists as su... |
ad3b4d07-b6c6-438f-88f6-08dceef29442 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposal: Safeguarding Against Jailbreaking Through Iterative Multi-Turn Testing
Jailbreaking is a serious concern within AI safety. It can lead an otherwise safe AI model to ignore its ethical and safety guidelines, leading to potentially harmful outcomes. With current Large Language Models (LLMs), key risks include ... |
270b27d0-957f-4eaa-b600-2bdfa29bfdb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What does it mean for an AGI to be 'safe'?
(Note: This post is probably old news for most readers here, but I find myself repeating this surprisingly often in conversation, so I decided to turn it into a post.)
I don't usually go around saying that I care about AI "safety". I go around saying that I care about "al... |
52563500-742e-42c9-8ae9-03b42a420e70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stupid Questions October 2020
The stupid questions thread was one of the regular threads on LessWrong 1.0. It's a place where no question is to stupid to be asked and anybody who answers is encouraged to be kind.
This thread is for asking any questions that might seem obvious, tangential, silly or what-have-you. Don'... |
04340758-8857-46e2-b639-1dacb8b17232 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong/Rationality Symbol or Seal?
Hey Everyone,
I was wondering if the LW community has a particular symbol or sign that would serve to act as a graphical representation of the community?
Something we could wear or include in things like business cards, that would act as an acknowledgement to others of our commi... |
aa818563-4ff4-4177-b196-f03b5d889e58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The virtue of determination
At the end of Replacing Guilt, Nate talks about the virtues of desperation, recklessness and defiance. None of these really hook neatly into my motivation system, but there’s a nearby virtue which does: determination, and in particular three facets of it which resonate strongly for me. I wa... |
c140b77b-698b-4a5e-a0ff-6f76b85d8b79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | NAO Updates, Spring 2024
Now that the NAO blog is up, we’re taking the opportunity to post some written updates on the work our team has done over the past ~6 months. We’re hoping to make similar updates something like quarterly. Since this post covers a longer period it’s a bit longer than we expect future ones will ... |
019b1bef-50fa-44db-bf8f-c98b77e15f2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 'Decision-theoretic paradoxes as voting paradoxes'
Briggs (2010) may be of interest to LWers. Opening:
> It is a platitude among decision theorists that agents should choose their actions so as to maximize expected value. But exactly how to define expected value is contentious. Evidential decision theory (henceforth ... |
9d3582f4-3abe-4a50-89a0-43eab6c5e88a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anti-fragility
Taleb compares systems which are fragile (easily broken by changes in circumstances), resilient (retain stability in the face of change), or anti-fragile (thrive on variation).
There isn't a standard term for anti-fragility, but it seems like a trait which might keep an FAI from wanting to tile the uni... |
272eecc9-0f08-4adf-a38a-78b4cbb2108c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tales From the Borderlands
Cross-posted as always from Putanumonit.com
----------------------------------------
Dear United States Customs and Border Protection, I was honored to receive your invitation to apply to the Border Patrol.
Not at first: at first I was bemused, and joked about this being the most mistarge... |
fc4ece3f-7771-4563-a671-814f9af473f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beware nerfing AI with opinionated human-centric sensors
Artificial intelligence != Biological intelligence
Humans don’t drive using lidar but AI do. In fact, autonomous driving systems like Waymo use a combination of sensors including 4 lidar but also 13 cameras and 6 radar to drive safely on the road (arguably safer... |
460222a0-dfdd-48f9-9b40-3e910dfaf192 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Two independent events
$$
\newcommand{\bP}{\mathbb{P}}
$$
summary:
$$
\newcommand{\bP}{\mathbb{P}}
$$
We say that two [events](https://arbital.com/p/event_probability), $A$ and $B$, are *independent* when learning that $A$ has occurred does not change your probability that $B$ occurs. That is, $\bP(B \mid A) = \bP(B... |
1f52f439-8946-4e53-bb31-1d1328789c75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundraising for Mox: coworking & events in SF
Hey! Austin here. At Manifund, I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about how to help AI go well. One question that bothered me: so much of the important work on AI is done in SF, so why are all the AI safety hubs in Berkeley? (I’d often consider this specifically while stuck... |
bdb6138e-3f3a-4966-9cac-2481b8fad5a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Long Can People Usefully Work?
This piece is cross-posted on my blog here.
I hear a lot of theories around how to work optimally. “You shouldn’t work more than eight hours a day.” “You can work 12 hours a day and be fine.” “It’s important to take weekends or evenings off work entirely.” “It’s best to immerse your... |
103097f0-4ee3-43de-b2e2-aee31971b9f8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An optimistic explanation of the outrage epidemic
Lots of people agree the internet is full of outrage content these days. I think this is so obvious I'm not even going to post sources that say it.
Why this is the case isn't completely clear. I count at least four common theories which of course aren't exclusive:
*... |
a5939972-d0d5-4c02-8f96-4d951ed68e70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infra-Domain Proofs 2
Lemma 7: For f,f′,f′′,f′′′∈[X→(−∞,∞] s.t. f′′≪f and f′′′≪f′, and p∈(0,1), and X is compact, LHC, and second-countable, then pf′′+(1−p)f′′′≪pf+(1−p)f′. The same result holds for [X→[0,1]].
This is the only spot where we need that X is LHC and not merely locally compact.
Here's how it's going to ... |
a04a6b34-db71-4656-9077-7c44eedb414b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why humans don’t learn to not recognize danger?
Very short version in the title. A bit longer version at the end. Most of the question is context.
Long version / context:
This is something I vaguely remember reading (I think on ACX). I want to check if I remember correctly/ where I could learn it in more technical d... |
70d1b8e9-6170-47fc-82d3-fe6ea14bf638 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ways you can get sick without human contact
(Tl;dr: food, animals, and yourself are all carriers of disease that the average person gets ~.2x/year normally; if you include immune reaction despite non-illness, the rough base rate is probably anywhere from .02x/year to ∞x/year and depends heavily on person; my own odds ... |
771d204a-b2b8-46b1-818f-81cd019918a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cartesian Frames and Factored Sets on ArXiv
Papers on Cartesian frames and factored sets are now on arXiv.
Cartesian Frames: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.10996
Factored Sets: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.11513
The factored set paper is approximately identical to the sequence here, while the Cartesian frame paper is re... |
ec70d363-617d-4e97-a453-63008e19a59b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How is the "sharp left turn defined"?
I've read this article by [Nate Soars](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GNhMPAWcfBCASy8e6/a-central-ai-alignment-problem-capabilities-generalization), but I felt the definition wasn't completely crisp and I felt this was less than ideal given how this term seems to have entered wid... |
79f3cb98-386a-4365-bb2a-bf1e8735c539 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Emergent Misalignment and Emergent Alignment
In the recent paper titled Emergent Misalignment: Narrow finetuning can produce broadly misaligned LLMS, AIs are finetuned to produce vulnerable code. This results in broad misaligned behavior in contexts that are not related to code—a phenomenon the authors refer to as eme... |
07d509f2-ee8e-4742-b174-39377bc08426 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Applications Open: Elevate Your Mental Wellbeing with Rethink Wellbeing's CBT Program
Do you want to:
* become more fullfilled, resilient, and productive?
* practice evidence-based tools for self-management, to deal with blockers and stressors such as low concentration, motivation, mood, and self-esteem?
* embark ... |
2c79e785-0de1-46e8-98e2-b7d3b6c80528 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Error of Crowds
Today's post, The Error of Crowds was originally published on April 1, 2007. A summary (from the LW wiki):
> Mean squared error drops when we average our predictions, but only because it uses a convex loss function. If you faced a concave loss function, you wouldn't isolate yourself fr... |
49b9b843-500d-4259-98a5-dc8f5df42a2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rituals and symbolism
[Context: In the seven years I've been living in the Bay Area, I've attended two Rationalist Solstices. Both times I basically hated the experience. I don't really know why, but in thinking about it I think I've understood something worth saying about rituals and symbolism. (I don't think wha... |
3c0d0c23-8d31-4276-86f1-9525305521ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [retracted] Discussion: Was SBF a naive utilitarian, or a sociopath?
EDIT 17 Nov 2022: Retracted due to someone reminding me that both is not merely an option, but one with at least some precedent. Oops.
The following is just here for historical purposes now:
----------------------------------------
Context: In a r... |
a7d0f20d-c0b7-436e-a726-de4474f83255 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CEA seeks co-founder for AI safety group support spin-off
Summary
* CEA is currently inviting expressions of interest for co-founding a promising new project focused on providing non-monetary support to AI safety groups. We’re also receiving recommendations for the role.
* CEA is helping incubate this project and pl... |
09942fc7-b72d-47ec-a387-a257c4683d42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | $500 Bounty/Prize Problem: Channel Capacity Using "Insensitive" Functions
Informal Problem Statement
We have an information channel between Alice and Bob. Alice picks a function. Bob gets to see the value of that function at some randomly chosen input values... but doesn't know exactly which randomly chosen input valu... |
eadb76d4-0c5e-4b93-92ed-5e43cf89dde7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI safety should be made more accessible using non text-based media
I've been doing some thinking on AI safety's awareness problem, after a quick search I found that [this post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CKyTX5QAdfAPdmXav/ai-safety-raising-awareness-resources-bleg) summarizes my thoughts pretty well. In short, A... |
fac512e9-23a3-4f04-895f-0c6ba0206646 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The humility argument for honesty
|
fc87d73b-b2f0-481f-8644-4c9f75f4957e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Write down your basic realizations as a matter of habit. Share this file with the world.
Say you have just realized something that seems, in hindsight, pretty obvious - but that you were totally unaware of before now. You scratch your head, update your model of the world, and move on.
Hold on. Update your model of yo... |
ce466a96-707b-4a65-8f2b-6d8712fb221c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial neural network training
I have been reading about artificle neural network, and I think I got the general idea, except of the part of the training - which is very dominant, I guess.
(I'm talking about back-propagation algorithm) So, the algorithm start from the output layer and moving toward the input laye... |
0dc22898-39cc-4fa1-aa1d-c54d57557d08 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Proof technique
**[https://arbital.com/p/5xs](https://arbital.com/p/5xs)** |
2f9e1143-347e-4516-ae31-e765d51cdb95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Lifehack Article Promoting LessWrong, Rationality Dojo, and Rationality: From AI to Zombies
Nice to get this list-style article promoting LessWrong, Rationality Dojo, and Rationality: From AI to Zombies, as part of a series of strategies for growing mentally stronger, published on Lifehack, a very popular self-... |
293b9281-3929-45cd-a97c-ac85e4ee610d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are deference games a thing?
Everyone starts off with a voting card. People can give away their cards. At the end, people cast votes using the cards they have, so people with lots of cards get lots of votes. (If you don't like what your card is being used for, you always have the right to take it back.)
Maybe this co... |
e681ce4a-9fc9-4541-91fa-5cb1f4fb097a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Irrationality Game III
The 'Irrationality Game' posts in discussion came before my time here, but I had a very good time reading the bits written in the comments section. I also had a number of thoughts I would've liked to post and get feedback on, but I knew that being buried in such old threads not much would come ... |
8c37dd9e-977b-4617-849e-47a49bbec2bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Verbal parity: What is it and how to measure it? + an edited version of "Against John Searle, Gary Marcus, the Chinese Room thought experiment and its world"
I've written previously about an idea I call verbal parity, viz:
A machine has verbal parity when, if given input in written form, it can give an appropriate ou... |
931f178a-a9b1-4003-a4f2-d5149819f4dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pointers Problem: Human Values Are A Function Of Humans' Latent Variables
An AI actively trying to figure out what I want might show me snapshots of different possible worlds and ask me to rank them. Of course, I do not have the processing power to examine entire worlds; all I can really do is look at some picture... |
c6afad9d-4705-4a35-989c-fa3bda6a4b06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup
WHEN: 09 October 2016 08:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Performing Arts and Humanities Bldg Room 456, 1000 Hilltop Cir, Baltimore, MD 21250
Meeting is on 4th floor of the Performing Arts and Humanities Build... |
3d172dc2-4080-4d66-9008-a92a0025fd8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choosing My Quest (Part 2 of "The Sense Of Physical Necessity")
This is the second post in a sequence that demonstrates a complete naturalist study, specifically a study of query hugging (sort of), as described in The Nuts and Bolts of Naturalism. This one demos phase zero, all the preparation that's often needed befo... |
2e479378-c7df-4061-9e03-59339fea6f54 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Asking extremely basic questions to win arguments - Name the bias or the fallacy at play
Recently I went to a product manager interview.
They asked a few questions, for which I gave the answers. But eventually one interviewer asked extremely trivial questions i.e. first year of graduation questions - How does the wif... |
62e04878-34a3-46e5-9b18-4f1ccfa9274c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Could utility functions be for narrow AI only, and downright antithetical to AGI?
Could utility functions be for narrow AI only, and downright antithetical to AGI? That's a quite fundamental question and I'm kind of afraid there's an obvious answer that I'm just too uninformed to know about. But I did give this some t... |
61892f5e-9eea-4eed-8a9c-3b0fddbd698e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What the Universe Wants: Anthropics from the POV of Self-Replication
Meta: Once again I'm trying to submit this to my "personal page" and not the front page, but I really have no idea who will actually see it.
Here's a pretty simple idea I hadn't heard yet anywhere in science or science fiction. It's likely I'm not t... |
61127e11-def5-4104-97bc-38a0f73cb104 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Interview with Tom Chivers: “AI is a plausible existential risk, but it feels as if I’m in Pascal’s mugging”
Hi everyone,
I make [a newsletter](https://antiapocalyptus.substack.com/), called the Anti-Apocalyptus newsletter, that every week links to five articles about topics related to EA, among other things X-risk, ... |
034612eb-6cdc-4f1e-ac85-c1d5ea29baa1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Cincinnati near-Schelling day
Discussion article for the meetup : Cincinnati near-Schelling day
WHEN: 21 April 2013 04:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 3060 Marshall Avenue, apartment 414, Cincinnati
It turns out that Schelling Day is not, in fact, a Schelling point locally; but we will run the ritual anyway, with b... |
872b2ad7-e5f3-49fd-9464-d1a038efd3f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday August 17
Discussion article for the meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday August 17
WHEN: 17 August 2011 10:39:53PM (-0700)
WHERE: 4187 Campus Dr, University Center, Irvine, CA 92612
This continues the weekly meetups in Irvine. As always the meetup at the outdoor food court in the Unive... |
766cf429-e566-4486-8d27-9b206ab85bb0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Credo AI is hiring for AI Gov Researcher & more!
Credo AI is hiring folks across the [organization](https://www.credo.ai/jobs); if you are interested, please apply! I lead the AI governance research team and will describe [the role I am hiring in detail](https://www.credo.ai/career/ai-governance-researcher), but pleas... |
2bb430dc-f510-4ba1-9e58-05df7fc0b537 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Brussels - July meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels - July meetup
WHEN: 12 July 2014 01:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles
No theme has been chosen this month. We will meet at 1 pm at "La Fleur en papier doré", close to the Brussels Central station. The meeting will b... |
ccfb77d5-8381-46e4-be43-c4ddffa6788d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI risk hub in Singapore?
I tentatively guess that if Singapore were to become a thriving hub for AI risk reduction, this would reduce AI risk by 16%. Moreover I think making this happen is fairly tractable and extremely neglected. In this post I sketch my reasons. I'm interested to hear what the community thinks.
... |
288583de-904a-4f01-a269-6140f7f26d82 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Joys of Conjugate Priors
(Warning: this post is a bit technical.)
Suppose you are a Bayesian reasoning agent. While going about your daily activities, you observe an event of type . Because you're a good Bayesian, you have some internal parameter  of doom
*[content: discussing AI doom. I'm sceptical about AI doom, but if dwelling on this is anxiety-inducing for you, consider skipping this post]*
I’m a cause-agnostic (or more accurately ‘cause-confused’) EA with a non-technical background. A lot of ... |
39d38771-1a65-4cbd-803e-69163151c84c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Use computers as powerful as in 1985 or AI controls humans or ?
A way to prevent AGI from taking over or destroying humanity is to strictly limit the computing power used on unknown AI algorithms. My back of the envelope calculations[1] show that restricting the hardware to 64 KiB of total storage is definitely suffic... |
0bc8cfdc-9e47-462c-9042-79c3f6323822 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #13: 07/02/18
Highlights
OpenAI Five (Many people at OpenAI): OpenAI has trained a team of five neural networks to play a particular set of Dota heroes in a mirror match (playing against the same set of heroes) with a few restrictions, and have started to beat amateur human players. They are aimin... |
c4f3bb19-386f-48f6-88da-cdb461a4cb27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Does Power Corrupt?
Followup to: Evolutionary Psychology
> "Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men."
> —Lord Acton
Call it a just-so story if you must, but as soon as I was introduced to the notion of evolutionary psychology (~1995), it seeme... |
fdc5a5f3-908b-4426-8c6c-91677fbf90c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apply for Emergent Ventures
Original Post (Marginal Revolution): Emergent Adventures: A New Project to Help Foment Enlightenment
Today, two new philanthropic projects announced funding.
Jeff Bezos
In the first project, Jeff Bezos gave two billion dollars to fund services for poor families and the homeless. This wil... |
fce11099-a566-4cab-aa88-0e7ee323661c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What are some exercises for building/generating intuitions about key disagreements in AI alignment?
I am interested in having my own opinion about more of the [key disagreements](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mJ5oNYnkYrd4sD5uE/clarifying-some-key-hypotheses-in-ai-alignment) within the AI alignment field, such as whe... |
0ea529e6-8369-4b14-b258-561c293dbf32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 2/10/22: Happy Birthday
Happy birthday. This week CNN’s home page literally led with a story about a boy trapped down a well, then pivoted to Olympic coverage with a side of continued complaining about Donald Trump. Two years into the pandemic, we have normality.
Well, almost. There’s still a bunch of unnecessa... |
58f5dbbd-30ad-4bb1-81b3-ac34dbb07587 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Easy wins aren't news
Recently I talked with a guy from Grant Street Group. They make, among other things, software with which local governments can auction their bonds on the Internet.
By making the auction process more transparent and easier to participate in, they enable local governments which need to sell bonds ... |
b197c3fa-4b1a-439c-8501-b377ef37f53b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shane Legg's necessary properties for every AGI Safety plan
I've been going through the FAR AI videos from the alignment workshop in December 2023. I'd like people to discuss their thoughts on Shane Legg's 'necessary properties' that every AGI safety plan needs to satisfy. The talk is only 5 minutes, give it a listen:... |
bd3eafab-3012-4258-91f7-c3f20423dcc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advice for visiting the Bay Area?
So I'm visiting the Bay Area from April 17th-23rd, though I will be mostly busy with work from the 17th-19th. This will be my first visit to the area, and I'm trying to optimize my free time for potential LW/SI events or visits.
Brief background: I am a SI donor, and also a LW meet... |
eb522b28-6470-4725-a1e2-2893710fa128 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Leave No Context Behind - A Comment
Leave No Context Behind: Efficient Infinite Context Transformers with Infini-attention by Tsendsuren Munkhdalai, Manaal Faruqui, and Siddharth Gopal of Google.
This is a pre-print of a new LLM extension with what I'd call short-term memory, but what they call infini-attention. It w... |
c99c6d30-1815-4dff-84d5-93c086676912 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Embedded Agency
1 Introduction
---------------
Suppose that you want to design an AI system to achieve some real-world goal—a goal that requires the system to learn for itself and figure out many things that you don’t already know.
There’s a complicated engineering problem here. But there’s also a problem of fi... |
303a86eb-a056-480d-bbc2-12c929e6358a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Putting NeRF on a Diet: Semantically Consistent Few-Shot View Synthesis.
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Neural Radiance Fields are trained to represent... |
c3ccdbd0-ba64-4726-bc11-2bb977e30187 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An ethical framework to supersede Utilitarianism
I have a lot of fun analyzing ethical frameworks, and for the longest time I was a utilitarian because it was the framework that made the most sense to me. But there are obvious problems with it that have been debated on for quite a while, and I wanted to write up my so... |
43f29402-fa52-49ea-8c12-12fbced2522b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against evolution as an analogy for how humans will create AGI
Background
When we do Deep Reinforcement Learning to make a PacMan-playing AI (for example), there are two algorithms at play: (1) the “inner” algorithm (a.k.a. “policy”, a.k.a. “trained model”) is a PacMan-playing algorithm, which looks at the pixels and ... |
18fc29dd-7822-4438-89ac-324bec5c38a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wedneday 7pm
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wedneday 7pm
WHEN: 29 February 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524
What are your cool projects?
Come meet interesting people and up your game.
Discussi... |
2f8b0afb-b4f4-4a69-a71e-1d2bd7de7097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] On Reasonable Efforts
Related to: Make an Extraordinary Effort, On Doing the Impossible, Shut up and do the impossible!, Humans are not automatically strategic.
http://theferrett.livejournal.com/1587858.html
Excerpt:
> We live in a culture so bound by what most people are willing to do that we often take the... |
52a5493f-0220-4c77-a062-74a606587471 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Desirable Dispositions and Rational Actions
A common background assumption on LW seems to be that it's rational to act in accordance with the dispositions one would wish to have. (Rationalists must WIN, and all that.)
E.g., Eliezer:
> It is, I would say, a general principle of rationality - indeed, part of how I def... |
3f4cb9d0-0af4-48ef-b845-edc8b4aba156 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Луна Лавгуд и Комната Тайн, Часть 1
Disclaimer: This is Kongo Landwalker's translation of lsusr's fiction Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 1 into russian. I recommend reading Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality first to understand the setting and plot.
----------------------------------------
... |
754beed4-3c2a-4bc3-ad8f-2c32e23e0993 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EU Maximizing in a Gloomy World
A thought I picked up from Ryan Greenblatt.
Even if we're probably doomed, the expected value of trying hard to improbably save Humanity Ascendant is still huge -- on the order of saving a planetary civilization in expectation, even if you're not saving a cosmic civilization in expecta... |
83313130-108f-4291-a314-399b7579eddc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cryo and Social Obligations
I'm about a third of the way through "Debt: The First 5,000 Years" by David Graeber, and am enjoying the feeling of ideas shifting around in my head, arranging themselves into more useful patterns. (The last book I read that put together ideas of similar breadth was "Economix: How and Why O... |
1ad84cba-b762-450b-b9de-5be66700ab04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Precedents for Takeover
Crossposted from AI Impacts.
Epistemic status: I am not a historian, nor have I investigated these case studies in detail. I admit I am still uncertain about how the conquistadors were able to colonize so much of the world so quickly. I think my ignorance is excu... |
6e5eed23-64c5-4717-80eb-bf2af8c6894c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interpretability/Tool-ness/Alignment/Corrigibility are not Composable
Interpretability
I have a decent understanding of how transistors work, at least for purposes of basic digital circuitry. Apply high voltage to the gate, and current can flow between source and drain. Apply low voltage, and current doesn’t flow. (..... |
e0c3e4c7-eb12-4aa6-a46b-7420ad5cb4e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Should the Average EA Do About AI Alignment?
|
773f7d2a-df31-40b2-aefe-179764dd89a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using Expert Disagreement
Previously: Testing for Rationalization
----------------------------------------
One of the red flags was "disagreeing with experts". While all the preceding tools apply here, there's a suite of special options for examining this particular scenario.
The "World is Mad" Dialectic
Back in 2... |
df7f3825-09b3-4cb4-b292-cb9732d5fdb5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Satoshi Nakamoto?
1) How scary would it be to realize that Satoshi Nakamoto is actually Unfriendly AI slowly creating an insane amount of wealth? (For a broader, but more positive context read Max Tegmark's intro chapter "The Tale of the Omega Team" from his book "Life 3.0", pg 3-21)
2) Proof that "Satoshi Nakamoto i... |
d93a6229-1a02-4fad-b7fb-2a7840a2c3be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Corrigibility thoughts II: the robot operator
This is the first of three articles about limitations and challenges in the concept of corrigibility (see articles [1](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1216) and [3](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1218)).
The desiderata for [corrigibility](https://arbital.com/p... |
cae93fe9-c339-40af-b216-87113d610528 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Queen’s Dilemma: A Paradox of Control
Our large learning machines find patterns in the world and use them to predict. When these machines exceed us and become superhuman, one of those patterns will be relative human incompetence. How comfortable are we with the incorporation of this pattern into their predictions,... |
b8e492a7-c19b-49d8-a70e-06579effd8f4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | epistemic range
epistemic range
---------------
there is a [*security mindset*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8gqrbnW758qjHFTrH/security-mindset-and-ordinary-paranoia)-ish general principle, of which [motivated stopping and motivated continuation](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/L32LHWzy9FzSDazEg/motivated-stoppin... |
6e2a9739-a330-4169-94ac-20e64caa5e4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the most common and important trade-offs that decision makers face?
This is one part shameless self-promotion and one (hopefully larger) part seeking advice and comments. I'm wondering: what do you guys think are the most common and/or important trade-offs that decision makers (animals, humans, theoretical A... |
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