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0646cc3a-7817-459e-a89e-f570735a05c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 41: Frontal Override
The biting January wind howled around the vast, blank stone walls that demarcated the material bounds of the castle Hogwarts, whispering and whistling in odd pitches as it blew past closed windows and stone turrets. The most recent snow had mostly blown away, but occasional patches of melt... |
bcfad80e-76e9-478b-ac84-2d50f9a84b90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book report: Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (von Neumann & Morgenstern)
I finally read a game theory textbook. Von Neumann and Morgenstern's "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" basically started the field of game theory. I'll summarize the main ideas and my opinions.
This was also the book that introduced ... |
a3eddf7a-74b6-49f4-a96e-4d402449a2ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HPMOR and Sartre's "The Flies"
Am I the only one who sees obvious parallels between Sartre's use of Greek mythology as a shared reference point to describe his philosophy more effectively to a lay audience and Yudkowsky's use of Harry Potter to accomplish the same goal? Or is it so obvious no one bothers to talk about... |
12ab9512-58fa-424a-a3fd-bd8195841944 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | eliminating bias through language?
Due to linguistic relativity, might it be possible to modify or create a system of communication in order to make its users more aware of its biases?
If so, do any projects to actually do this exist? |
3e4b7f2c-486c-44ac-9ced-8edc1e13179e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where else are you posting?
As a result of XiXiDu's massive Resources and References post, I just found out about Katja Grace's very pleasant Meteuphoric blog.
I'm curious about what else LessWrongians are posting at other sites, and if there's interest, I'll make this into a top-level post.
I also post at Input Jun... |
672560e9-85f7-4e00-a15a-78944f4abea8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Day After Tomorrow
Are you rooting for Donald Trump tomorrow? Please read the text in red. On Hillary’s side? Please read the parts in blue.
Imagine: it’s Tuesday night and the result is beyond doubt – a landslide for Crooked Hillary. What do you plan to do? Retreat in disgust from mainstream American discourse a... |
2e9c4fdd-4608-4946-9f86-e926f77de7f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Depression philosophizing
Epistemic status: Weak confidence. Refine and dismantle as you see fit.
For certain people, philosophical thinking is net harmful to their everyday life.
This should not be that surprising. Certain kinds of cognitive behavior do reliably lead to unhappiness, and there's no a priori reason t... |
b422da3e-9a00-4167-a76c-8c00a7fe744f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Content generation. Where do we draw the line?
If you want to be affected by other people, if you want to live in a culture with other people, then I believe 4 statements below are true:
* You can't generate **all** of your "content".
This would basically mean living in the Matrix *without* other people. Consumerist... |
75cb12d2-93a8-4905-afa1-518408a2586c | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Politics is the mind-killer. Debate is war, arguments are soldiers. There is the temptation to search for ways to interpret every possible experimental result to confirm your theory, like securing a citadel against every possible line of attack. This you cannot do. It is mathematically impossible. For every expectatio... |
7fd7d90d-f6ac-4c41-9b00-a3bc0e61f121 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exit Duty Generator by Matti Häyry
Hello! I was hoping to start a discussion about a recent article called Exit Duty Generator by Matti Häyry, it can be found here:
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/cambridge-quarterly-of-healthcare-ethics/article/exit-duty-generator/49ACA1A21FF0A4A3D0DB81230192A042#article
o... |
4b20d131-a5d2-441b-a2d7-8a356804dd2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The shard theory of human values
TL;DR: We propose a theory of human value formation. According to this theory, the reward system shapes human values in a relatively straightforward manner. Human values are not e.g. an incredibly complicated, genetically hard-coded set of drives, but rather sets of contextually activa... |
45df45cf-13a7-46c1-bb3a-ba53faa4fe3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Bogota
This summary was posted to LW Main on January 27th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* First Bogota, Colombia Meetup: 28 January 2017 06:00PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Sao... |
4a20f521-7ab8-474b-a64f-f55efba4e6a5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Partial Agency
*Epistemic status: very rough intuitions here.*
I think there's something interesting going on with [Evan's notion of myopia](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BKM8uQS6QdJPZLqCr/towards-a-mechanistic-understanding-of-corrigibility).
Evan has been calling this thing "myopia". Scott has been calling it "s... |
5cf72a73-d310-4023-824b-5e53e4b96b77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Convexity and truth-seeking
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This post starts with a very simple and retrospectively obvious observation:
If we want an AI to give us an estimation of expected utility, it needs to be motivated to give us that estimation.
Once we have that in mind, and remember that an... |
a04e7f07-4c1f-46c4-a9d2-ed84f7df241e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Nuclear Espionage and AI Governance
ABSTRACT:
=========
*Using both primary and secondary sources, I discuss the role of espionage in early nuclear history. Nuclear weapons are analogous to AI in many ways, so this period may hold lessons for AI governance. Nuclear spies successfully transferred information about the... |
c357c0f6-caf8-485d-afa2-e1402530499c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Door Ideas
The front door to our apartment doesn't really have space to swing. When we first moved in it opened to the right, blocking part of the hallway and keeping you from carrying groceries straight through to the kitchen:
This was annoying, so after some discussion with housemates I turned it around:
In pr... |
789ebb73-43c2-48dd-b02a-a3b7cc1f451a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cheap Whiteboards!
Take a large thick cardboard box. Cut it into planar pieces. Take transparent tape and cover the cardboard's surface with it. Tadaa! A whiteboard:
Because transparent tape is smooth the whiteboard pen is erasable.
Sticky notes stick a lot better on the transparent tape than on the cardboard, which... |
48ae522c-672f-4e3d-8b60-259046ce62aa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Acme: A new framework for distributed reinforcement learning
Overall, the high-level goals of Acme are as follows:
1. To enable the reproducibility of our methods and results — this will help clarify what makes an RL problem hard or easy, something that is seldom apparent.
2. To simplify the way we (and the communit... |
f42c2f32-b73f-4749-b570-158011d90ea7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do we have updated data about the risk of ~ permanent chronic fatigue from COVID-19?
Months and months ago, when COVID-19 first broke, one of the most concerning aspects of the disease was the possibility that it might produce long-term chronic fatigue, based on a comparison with SARS (apparently a large percentage of... |
5ec80b16-55d4-40f0-ba4f-2c8b78ca2694 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Open-Ended Learning Leads to Generally Capable Agents
1 Introduction
---------------
††footnotetext: \*Authors ordered alphabetically by first name. More details in [Author Contributions](#Sx1 "Author Contributions ‣ Open-Ended Learning Leads to Generally Capable Agents"). Correspondence to jaderberg@deepmind.com
O... |
16c3fbfc-d579-4922-9447-f6d6076a85b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | How can I work on helping AI alignment researchers be more effective, e.g. as a coach?
If you want to get good at coaching and otherwise helping researchers be more effective and productive, it helps to learn about topics like productivity techniques, practical rationality techniques like [those taught by CFAR](https:... |
d6e8cbf5-d1d5-4887-8dcf-0678db884b12 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcing Timaeus
[Timaeus](https://timaeus.co/) is a new AI safety research organization dedicated to making fundamental breakthroughs in technical AI alignment using deep ideas from mathe... |
ae810357-5cd3-4017-a0a6-0f353b102057 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Need More Money
Part 1 of the Inefficient Markets Sequence.
[Epistemic Disclaimer: I am not rich yet. I feel like I'm just barely starting to understand this stuff and perhaps that is the best time to teach it: while I still remember what wasn't obvious, both to cultivate my comprehension, and to enrich the ratio... |
cfcf5abd-a02e-40d2-b4c7-f790538dfeb5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Can there be an indescribable hellworld?
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; flo... |
9b3965a5-b56c-43fc-b3d5-d3a967b46b72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | December Monthly Bragging Thread
As in Joshua Blaine's original description (below), but may be used to brag about things you've accomplished either this month (December) or the previous one (November), assuming that you haven't brought it up in any earlier Monthly Bragging Thread.
> In an attempt to encourage more p... |
359e511c-bc6a-41fb-95af-bec0a288b64d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What are the limits of superintelligence?
This post is mostly concerned with a superintelligent AI performing recursive self-improvement, this analysis is done to help make sense of the take off speed of such an operation.
**Plausibility and Limits**
Before considering upper limits, it may be worth considering wheth... |
8baab413-8796-442e-9b37-1632a604d01a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tend to your clarity, not your confusion
Repost from https://amoretlicentia.substack.com/
Modern life is weird.
For the more privileged among us, the options of what we could do with our time grow exponentially by the year, by the day. My interests are infinite, and I’m lucky to have both the wits and the means to f... |
848dd895-a21e-494f-aabf-33752bf3b135 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] AlphaFold: a solution to a 50-year-old grand challenge in biology
To my eyes, this looks like the sort of useful advance in applying AI that doesn't really improve capabilities, and thus is just net positive, even judged by a safety mindset. But I'm curious to know if other people think differently.
(Note ... |
0aa0f108-444b-419d-8806-1c439e0e91db | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Announcing the 2010 Singularity Research Challenge
Offering unusually good philanthropic returns –€” meaning greater odds of a positive Singularity and lesser odds of human extinction — the Machine Intelligence Research Institute has launched a new challenge campaign. The sponsors, Edwin Evans, Rolf Nelson, Henrik Jon... |
65df950c-20b3-4a41-94b2-839b5a052443 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | January 2015 Newsletter
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Thanks to the generosity of 80+ donors, we completed [our winter 2014 matching challenge](https://intelligence.org/2014/12/01/2014-wi... |
765a866b-e6b6-4944-be20-8368df1b642d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I finally got ChatGPT to sound like me
I publish lots of words on the Internet. These words are fed into LLMs such as ChatGPT. I have published enough training data that the world's most powerful AIs have a simulation of me inside of them. I have basically uploaded a copy of myself into the cloud. The AI simulation of... |
9c16c26d-1cff-4e95-af28-8784916f7671 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I'm scared.
Recently, I've been ratcheting up my probability estimate of some of Less Wrong's core doctrines (shut up and multiply, beliefs require evidence, brains are not a reliable guide as to whether brains are malfunctioning, the Universe has no fail-safe mechanisms) from "Hmm, this is an intriguing idea" to some... |
c0aae6bc-3a9c-44e0-b575-870a66e62c6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Look for Lone Correct Contrarians
Related to: The Correct Contrarian Cluster, The General Factor of Correctness
(Content note: Explicitly about spreading rationalist memes, increasing the size of the rationalist movement, and proselytizing. I also regularly use the word 'we' to refer to the rationalist community/subc... |
640e9b82-237c-4075-9e25-dd1014e276c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A new definition of "optimizer"
Here, I provide a new definition of "optimizer", as well as better explain a previous one I gave. I had previously posted a definition, but I think the definition I gave was somewhat wrong. It also didn't help that I accidentally wrote my previous definition incorrectly, and only days l... |
46e33305-9ecd-43db-aa71-931d7a3578d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Reading Group (57-61)
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Reading Group (57-61)
WHEN: 07 July 2015 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Paul G. Allen Center (185 Stevens Way, Seattle, WA) Room 503
Reading group for Yudkowsky's "Rationality: AI to Zombies", which is basically an organized and u... |
147faeb0-e524-4221-a41a-6de0a7264b2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Babble challenge: 50 ways of solving a problem in your life
Back again. Let’s become stronger.
This week’s challenge:
Years ago you found yourself hurled into existence, facing a vast universe with a mind capable of the Art of Rationality, reading a LessWrong post at this very moment.
Yet in your life there is a ... |
6a2f3742-5e5f-4920-944d-14cac27ceb0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Amsterdam - Meetup #12 - Friendly AI
Discussion article for the meetup : Amsterdam - Meetup #12 - Friendly AI
WHEN: 19 February 2017 03:13:37PM (+0100)
WHERE: Meester Treublaan 18, 1097 DP Amsterdam, Netherlands
AI timelines have shortened. This meetup is dedicated to brainstorming ways to save, well, our ... |
5de758ff-7ec2-408a-bb1f-9d15232d4645 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Good Heart Donation Lottery Winner
The Good Heart Donation Lottery is closed. And the winner is...
0 [ggworley (master) ~/lottery](1649449423 2022-04-08 13:23:43)
$ cat lottery.rb
puts Hash[
"EA Funds - Long-Term Future Fund" => 21,
"Against Malaria Foundation" => 18,
"EA Funds - Animal Welfare Fund" => 13,
"... |
c753d41c-1dcc-461f-a702-290e67d8cb69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: What If
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: What If
WHEN: 06 September 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
Crossposted from mailing list. Meeting in courtyard, gathering from 3:00pm, hard start 3:30pm - until closing.
In the spirit of XKCD creator R... |
b7de9dff-7ddb-4645-a2a3-850df553e74e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Machine Intelligence Research Institute Progress Report, December 2011
“I think the Machine Intelligence Research Institute has some very smart people working on the most important mission on Earth, but… what exactly are they *doing* these days? I’m in the dark.”
There’s a good reason I hear this comment so often. W... |
cdf8d202-7f5f-4f30-8635-0b2172a4d166 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Universality and the “Filter”
*This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship, as a part of the* [*Stanford Existential Risks Institute ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FpokmCnbP3CEZ5h4t/ml-alignment-theory-program-under-evan-hubinger)*.*
**TL;D... |
4e54b0f9-b291-4e5c-aa55-23a31213176f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Announcing GPT-NeoX-20B
**As of February 9, 2022, GPT-NeoX-20B checkpoints are available for [download from The Eye](https://the-eye.eu/public/AI/models/GPT-NeoX-20B) under Apache 2.0.** More in-depth information on GPT-NeoX-20B can be found in the [associated technical report on arXiv](https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.0674... |
2bf7924a-f7fa-4448-b029-f09c34289634 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How I select alignment research projects
Youtube Video
Recently, I was interviewed by Henry Sleight and Mikita Balesni about how I select alignment research projects. Below is the slightly cleaned up transcript for the YouTube video.
Introductions
Henry Sleight: How about you two introduce yourselves?
Ethan Perez:... |
b277b924-4e35-47f6-9fa0-5d4ce5fc0712 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Approximating Solomonoff Induction
[Solomonoff Induction](/lw/dhg/an_intuitive_explanation_of_solomonoff_induction/) is a sort of mathematically ideal specification of machine learning. It works by trying every possible computer program and testing how likely they are to have produced the data. Then it weights them by... |
89a79095-d680-4eee-b6a3-b6bd068fd52f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Follow your dreams" as a case study in incorrect thinking
This post doesn't contain any new ideas that LWers don't already know. It's more of an attempt to organize my thoughts and have a writeup for future reference.
Here's a great quote from Sam Hughes, giving some examples of good and bad advice:
> "You and your... |
444eb982-a3c4-4d1d-9933-79b5f07d2d36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Capabilities, New Risks? - Evaluating Agentic General Assistants using Elements of GAIA & METR Frameworks
by Tej Lander FCCT
Above: LLMs vs Agentic Assistants - a big step forward? (Image created by DALL.E via GPT4o)
Overview
Abstract
1: Why are Agentic Systems a ‘hot topic’?
2: What makes a system ‘agentic’?... |
a1d3cac6-d6ec-4b39-99e8-76f4d657352e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Roots of Progress 2024 in review
2024 was a big year for me, and an even bigger year for the Roots of Progress Institute (RPI). For one, we became the Roots of Progress Institute (with a nice new logo and website). Here’s what the org and I were up to this year. (My annual “highlights from what I read this year” a... |
9f3d4cf9-409e-40f5-a864-048a3394e052 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on refusing harmful requests to large language models
https://twitter.com/antimatter15/status/1602469101854564352
Currently, large language models (ChatGPT, Constitutional AI) are trained to refuse to follow user requests that are considered inappropriate or harmful. This can be done by training on example s... |
170bfef3-4b25-43b7-a4a6-9509ecf76ef6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boston-area Meetup: 11/18/08 9pm MIT/Cambridge
There will be an OB meetup this Tuesday in Cambridge MA, hosted by Michael Vassar, Owain Evans (grad student at MIT), and Dario Amodei (grad student at Princeton). The event will take place on the MIT campus, in a spacious seminar room in MIT's Stata Center. Refreshments... |
4e59c486-7423-411b-ba6f-e03d8d87aa13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Othello-GPT: Reflections on the Research Process
This is the third in a three post sequence about interpreting Othello-GPT. See the first post for context.
This post is a detailed account of what my research process was, decisions made at each point, what intermediate results looked like, etc. It's deliberately moder... |
7eac4786-bd0c-4fbd-9d0f-94c148ec69ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Negative Expertise
Marvin Minsky's theory of Negative Expertise: Knowledge is typically considered in positive terms ,but can also be viewed in negative terms, a negative way to seem competent is to never make mistakes. The idea is that experts can be seen as those who know what not to do
Most of human knowledge is ... |
769f1f1b-3500-4703-839f-0ff21a358ff3 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Hurrah! Success! I didn't know what to expect, and am pleasantly surprised to find the Frontpage is still intact. My thanks to everyone who took part, to everyone who commented on yesterday's post, and to everyone who didn't unilaterally blow up the site.Launch Attempts ResultsI said I would share usernames and codes ... |
458c9e43-8c1c-45bc-8980-891f5c1997b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts on risks from narrow, non-agentic AI
Here are some concerns which have been raised about the development of advanced AI:
* Power might become concentrated with agentic AGIs which are highly misaligned with humanity as a whole (the second species argument).
* AI might allow power to become concentrated... |
5cc9713d-00de-4a06-baca-900d60ca3963 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] If Many-Worlds Had Come First
Today's post, If Many-Worlds Had Come First was originally published on 10 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If early physicists had never made the mistake, and thought immediately to apply the quantum laws at all levels to produce macroscopic decoherence, th... |
c91281b8-7c9b-4643-a841-3fc9e11a7653 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Observe, babble, and prune
Part 1: A demonstration of deductive logic
> If Violet is a mathematician, then she is smart.
>
> If Violet is not smart, then she is not a mathematician.
>
> If Violet is not a mathematician, then she is not smart.
>
> If Violet is smart, then she is a mathematician.
This little poem i... |
e955362e-1286-473f-a5a6-4727df0e9a39 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Simplified Poker
This is intended as a three-part sequence. Part two will go over my strategy. Part three will reveal the results and discuss some implications.
In the same class in which we later played [The Darwin Game](https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2017/11/15/the-darwin-game/), we played a less complex game called... |
31e0561e-141a-4b08-973b-c8546332e52b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consider motivated snobbery
Epistemic effort: I wrote this on a plane flight. I'm often interested in Ribbonfarmian "consider a bad thing. What if it's good? (Here's my favorite example of this.)
As regards updating my beliefs, I'm drawn to motivated snobbery. "Motivated" means "this belief improves my experiences;" ... |
387df29e-be14-4288-94c4-14b19a6b9ea0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing the ML Safety Scholars Program
Program Overview
The Machine Learning Safety Scholars program is a paid, 9-week summer program designed to help undergraduate students gain skills in machine learning with the aim of using those skills for empirical AI safety research in the future. Apply for the program here... |
c4c5db78-33bb-4d14-a4f1-35b83ce774ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pseudorandomness contest: prizes, results, and analysis
(Previously in this series: Round 1, Round 2)
In December I ran a pseudorandomness contest. Here’s how it worked:
* In Round 1, participants were invited to submit 150-bit strings of their own devising. They had 10 minutes to write down their string while usin... |
de285022-7f68-4788-a90d-abe80893ff68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why do many people who care about AI Safety not clearly endorse PauseAI?
tl;dr:
From my current understanding, one of the following two things should be happening and I would like to understand why it doesn’t:
Either
1. Everyone in AI Safety who thinks slowing down AI is currently broadly a good idea should public... |
fc2d3c21-3f82-4a14-a5a5-60d1b90f8408 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 5: The Fundamental Attribution Error
J. K. Rowling is staring at you. Can you feel her eyes on you? She's reading your mind using her Rowling Rays.
----------------------------------------
"It would've required a supernatural intervention for him to have your morality given his environment."
---------------... |
5b994ac7-b018-4073-9dc4-7f98635caa76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Current themes in mechanistic interpretability research
This post gives an overview of discussions - from the perspective and understanding of the interpretability team at Conjecture - between mechanistic interpretability researchers from various organizations including Conjecture, Anthropic, Redwood Research, OpenAI,... |
e27bde26-fb8c-455c-8c07-23eeede06265 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 1hr talk: Intro to AGI safety
This is an hour-long talk (actually ~45 minutes plus questions) that I gave on AGI safety technical research, for an audience of people in STEM but with no prior knowledge of the field. My goal was to cover all the basic questions that someone might have when considering whether to work i... |
4c917004-5354-4da3-8ae6-06acb9703bb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which questions about online classes would you ask Peter Norvig?
A week ago Google launched an open source project called Course Builder it packages the software and technology used to build their July Class Power Searching with Google. The discussion forum for it is here. Tomorrow is the first live hangout where he ... |
c68f1a1c-44d4-4be3-932a-8d8fd4548b21 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI alignment research links
*This was cross-posted by the Forum team after the time that it was published.*
A couple of organizations I’m involved with have recently put out some cool papers relevant to the AI alignment problem, which I’ve [**emphasized the importance of**](https://www.cold-takes.com/making-the-be... |
af0de921-6bd1-4a63-8059-bed7fa30b46f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | David Cook on the VV&A process
Dr. David A. Cook is Associate Professor of Computer Science at [Stephen F. Austin State University](http://www.sfasu.edu/), where he [teaches](https://intelligence.org/feed/<a href=) Softwar... |
60b84349-1e6b-4dff-a08e-726a71c86121 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationalist fiction brainstorming funtimes
The title should make things clear enough, so let's start with my description of the target, rationalist fiction: fiction that tries to teach the audience rationalist cognitive skills by having characters model those skills for the reader.
So for example, Luminosity is to a ... |
07a6facc-e3b5-40fb-9ff8-169d4684b730 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Baby born from cryo-preserved embryo
Apparently embryos produced by in vitro fertilization routinely stay on ice for years. Article here. |
76aefd55-ec66-4522-95b0-f1ad1d9c5cfa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What would 10x or 100x better than CFAR look like?
If you were creating a rationality-increasing org, how would you design it? Focus on whatever properties you care about. |
244dec29-7dd1-48e1-81cd-de8e75493f32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Relaxation-Based Search, From Everyday Life To Unfamiliar Territory
Suppose I’m making plans to visit my parents for the holidays. I go online, and I book plane tickets. I do not worry about how I’m going to get to the airport - indeed, that question probably wouldn’t even enter my mind until a few days before the fli... |
4dd8a26b-58cc-4359-84d4-39d15fa5ca6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA: Blindsight
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA: Blindsight
WHEN: 12 November 2014 07:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out front or on the street nearby... |
ef27bb14-47e7-4de1-997e-57acf5d6c21e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Common mistakes people make when thinking about decision theory
From my experience reading and talking about decision theory on LW, it seems that many of the unproductive comments in these discussions can be attributed to a handful of common mistakes.
MISTAKE #1: ARGUING ABOUT ASSUMPTIONS
The main reason why I took ... |
3dcbe404-3a91-4814-a005-4af9d3ab808a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tricksy probability problem
I came up with this problem the other day. I don't have nearly enough math to solve it. Do any of you wise folk have insight?
Imagine a sequence of randomly generated 0s and 1s. I start from nothing and generate this sequence one term at a time. I stop when I'm at the end of a streak of 1s... |
da9b621f-7c49-476d-9daf-c1d95ebbea6e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Quality Assurance of Generative Dialog Models in an Evolving Conversational Agent Used for Swedish Language Practice
1. Introduction
----------------
Migration is a megatrend of our time. In the ongoing globalization, the number of international migrants has reached unprecedented heights. International migration is... |
754a01e8-e91b-4cdc-a549-d1f3ba8a90ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Mistake Script
Here on Less Wrong, we have hopefully developed our ability to spot mistaken arguments. Suppose you're reading an article and you encounter a fallacy. What do you do? Consider the following script:
1. Reread the argument to determine whether it's really an error. (If not, resume reading.)
2. Veri... |
a70acc8e-5a4b-460d-b037-64c85a5fe7bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Suggest alternate names for the "Singularity Institute"
Once, a smart potential supporter stumbled upon the Singularity Institute's (old) website and wanted to know if our mission was something to care about. So he sent our concise summary to an AI researcher and asked if we were serious. The AI researcher saw the wor... |
9dea2161-0c43-479c-b8c6-2f8ebde37d39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How teams went about their research at AI Safety Camp edition 5
AI Safety Camp connects new collaborators worldwide to discuss and decide on a concrete research proposal, gear up online as a team, and try their hand at AI safety research* during intensive coworking sprints.
Six teams formed at our recent 5-month virt... |
cfe4e68f-7e90-480d-a7f3-f03e1d89bc76 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Math 1
A reader at the **Math 1** level has enough mathematical ability to encompass "good at math" in a colloquial sense. They know at least some basic algebra, and how to apply algebraic thinking to problems in some contexts. If you threw a simple to moderate math puzzle at them, they could probably figure out what ... |
1566cd82-6458-4088-94b8-5ed9b4d59197 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Critiques of the Agent Foundations agenda?
What are some substantial critiques of the agent foundations research agenda?
Where by agent foundations I am referrring the area of research referred to by Critch in this post, which I understand as developing concepts and theoretical solutions for idealized problems relate... |
6d857398-8965-49e4-9916-830ff900cc95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self medicating for Schizophrenia with - cigarettes ?
|
b2bd5085-beda-4955-ac85-cfbc72e6e927 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Do Earths with slower economic growth have a better chance at FAI?
I was raised as a good and proper child of the Enlightenment who grew up reading *The Incredible Bread Machine* and *A Step Farther Out,* taking for granted that economic growth was a huge in-practice component of human utility (plausibly the majority ... |
e6ba9482-cf55-4075-ac4d-e280e365acd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Visual Reference for Frontier Large Language Models
Hopefully this can be a helpful visual reference for the development and features of frontier large language models in the last year-ish. We are always open to feedback on how the reference could be improved.
FAQ:
Q: Which models/companies are included?
A: We incl... |
f26f0510-a93e-4f0f-824a-40a47900e202 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reductionism sequence now available in audio format
The sequence "Reductionism", which includes the subsequences "Joy in the Merely Real" and "Zombies", is now available as a professionally read podcast.
Thanks to those who've been listening, let us know how your experience has been thus far and what you think of the... |
8c9e46e1-8266-4cf1-96cd-5ce24b1904ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More on Twitter and Algorithms
Previously: The Changing Face of Twitter
Right after I came out with a bunch of speculations about Twitter and its algorithm, we got a whole bunch of concrete info detailing exactly how much of Twitter’s algorithms work.
Thus, it makes sense to follow up and see what we have learned ab... |
37bca80e-31c2-4efa-83ee-5b013b7e36c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SB 1047: Final Takes and Also AB 3211
This is the endgame. Very soon the session will end, and various bills either will or won’t head to Newsom’s desk. Some will then get signed and become law.
Time is rapidly running out to have your voice impact that decision.
Since my last weekly, we got a variety of people comi... |
4dd3e8e5-850f-4eba-a9c4-9d81b209f7e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Story CFAR
In addition to to my donation to MIRI, I am giving $4000 to CFAR, the Center for Applied Rationality, as part of their annual fundraiser. I believe that CFAR does excellent and important work, and that this fundraiser comes at a key point where an investment now can pay large returns in increased capaci... |
f03408a1-05d9-4d14-9a58-4ecbae72b26a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Criticism of Singular Learning Theory
In this post, I will briefly give my criticism of Singular Learning Theory (SLT), and explain why I am skeptical of its significance. I will especially focus on the question of generalisation --- I do not believe that SLT offers any explanation of generalisation in neural netwo... |
33759f8a-2645-4eba-afc4-5d6e4bf1b15d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Metalearning & Induction Heads [rough early thoughts]
hey
this is chris and today i want to talk
about how induction heads seem to cause
metal learning
this is preliminary work but i think
it's one of the coolest things that we
we seem to be discovering about
transformer circuits and so i'm really
excited to chat abou... |
e33de5f7-4c45-4f5e-9b5b-fe48e59adbc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Limits of Bodily Autonomy
Bodily autonomy is a strong consideration in favor of both abortion and optional vaccination. Because it is not the only consideration, however, many of us are in favor of abortion for anyone who wants one while also seeing some cases in which we favor mandatory vaccination. I've recently see... |
ed4311f0-cff9-4bf0-b196-82b8529dcd18 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Emergent Road Rules In Multi-Agent Driving Environments
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Multi-agent Driving Environment We train agents to travel from a→b as quickly as possible with limited perception while avoiding collisions and find that “... |
35d452de-56a6-42e9-86e7-eb7a127202f9 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Parapsychologists are constantly protesting that they are playing by all the standard scientific rules, and yet their results are being ignored - that they are unfairly being held to higher standards than everyone else. I'm willing to believe that. It just means that the standard statistical methods of science are so ... |
3a5c9482-2e61-4482-8482-1d550c72dfd5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Assessment of intelligence agency functionality is difficult yet important
Summary: When it comes to observing intelligence agencies, it's hard to see the hardened parts and easy to observe the soft corrupt parts. This leads to a bias where very large numbers of people overestimate how prevalent the easily-observed so... |
7ce04471-b69b-4196-98bb-884173655775 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 253 Propositions Concerning Digital Minds and Society 2 Fixed Audio
hello and welcome to session 253
in the aisafety.com reading group
tonight we'll be discussing the second
half of the article propositions
concerning digital minds and society by
nick bostrom and carl schulman
or actually we would be doing that
excep... |
e952420e-e9ec-4d5e-9e0c-86f6b13fadbd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Approval-directed agents
*Note: This is the first post from **part two: basic intuitions** of [the sequence on iterated amplification](https://www.alignmentforum.org/s/EmDuGeRw749sD3GKd). The second part of the sequence outlines the basic intuitions that motivate iterated amplification. I think that these intuitions m... |
60200bb4-eb9a-4b8d-ac56-69fee4397b32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How common are abiogenesis events?
As far as I'm aware, only one abiogenesis event has happened on earth- a place with copious amounts of the exact right molecules in cosmically unique quantity, density, and environment to form self-replicating RNA. If abiogenesis has happened anywhere else, it hasn't evolved into int... |
0715490c-5aa1-437a-9d9a-3a7b8d3702fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against the Backward Approach to Goal-Directedness
Introduction: Forward and Backward Approaches
I first started thinking about deconfusing goal-directedness after reading Rohin's series of four posts on the subject. My goal was to make sense of his arguments related to goal-directedness, and to understand whether alt... |
31707dd4-3acc-4739-8612-2ddb0121d767 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Exploring Mild Behaviour in Embedded Agents
*Thanks to Tristan Cook, Emery Cooper, Nicolas Macé and Will Payne for discussions, advice, and comments. All views are my own.*
***I think this post is best viewed as an effort to point at a potentially interesting research direction. The specific arguments I make centered... |
4495ea6a-12a7-43a1-af1a-4fdd7a390b29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #64]: Using Deep RL and Reward Uncertainty to Incentivize Preference Learning
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter. I'm always happy to hear feedback; you can send it to me by replying t... |
db754302-dfd3-4b3d-b991-0b20f0789277 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Vector-Valued Reinforcement Learning
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: ... |
532c4e58-37bc-4c51-a7ce-cbb3ad680237 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW London regular meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : LW London regular meetup
WHEN: 28 June 2015 09:39:43AM (+0100)
WHERE: Lincoln's Inn Fields, London
Edit: weather is a bit meh; will start off in the SH.
The next LW London meetup will be on June 28th. Join us from 2pm to talk about vote trading,... |
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