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fb8b5f9f-4529-4ac9-bad1-dc685f237cf8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How people use LLMs I've gotten a lot of value out of the details of how other people use LLMs, so I'm delighted that Gavin Leech created a collection of exactly such posts (link should go to the right section of the page but if you don't see it, scroll down).  * https://kajsotala.fi/2025/01/things-i-have-been-using...
f5ac860b-bd6d-47d1-92ef-fdfcc9b6fcc0
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
AI Safety Info
I’d like to do experimental work (i.e. ML, coding) for AI alignment. What should I do? Okay, so you want to do experimental AGI safety research. Do you have an idea you’re already excited about? Perhaps a research avenue, machine learning experiment, or coding project? Or maybe you’d like to get up to speed on existin...
a8aea052-6b3e-458e-8ebe-df605ae38d3c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Uncountability: Intro (Math 1) [Collections of things](https://arbital.com/p/3jz) which are the same [size](https://arbital.com/p/4w5) as or smaller than the collection of all [natural numbers](https://arbital.com/p/-45h) are called *countable*, while larger collections (like the set of all [real numbers](https://arbi...
15db4248-49eb-4b31-8127-a3d7b940bb13
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Emails from your Gratitude Journal Lots has been written here about gratitude journaling. In spite of knowing about the benefits, I've never managed to make the habit stick. I do, however, already have a very strong habit of responding to email and keeping my inbox under control. That's what pushed me to build Email...
bbbf24a9-a7ba-4b5a-a393-175f3fbb0bc8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Science of Deep Learning more tractably addresses the Sharp Left Turn than Agent Foundations Summary Lots of agent foundations research is motivated by the idea that alignment techniques found by empirical trial-and-error will fail to generalize to future systems. While such threat models are plausible, agent foundati...
72be267d-85fa-403d-9ae0-87fab24cdb55
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Multi-agent predictive minds and AI alignment *Abstract: An attempt to map a best-guess model of how human values and motivations work to several more technical research questions. The mind-model is inspired by predictive processing / active inference framework and multi-agent models of the mind.* The text has slight...
1a3a48db-625a-4fd4-b2f9-3ed2a206e6a1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
are "almost-p-zombies" possible? It's probably not possible to have a twin of me that does everything the same except experiences no qualia, i.e. you can predict 100% accurately, if you expose it to stimulus X and it does Y, that I would also do Y if I was exposed to stimulus X. But can you make an "almost-p-zombie"?...
a2b29c77-da15-42b6-80a8-8a97e125361e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Opt-Out Clause (cross-posted from my blog) Let me propose a thought experiment with three conditions. First, you're in a simulation, and a really good one at that. Before you went in, the simulators extracted and stored all of your memories, and they went to great lengths to make sure that the simulation is comp...
a4ab6a0f-2b3a-4098-987d-7f67b0677f21
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Upper Canada LW Megameetup: Ottawa, Toronto, Montreal, Waterloo, London Discussion article for the meetup : Upper Canada LW Megameetup: Ottawa, Toronto, Montreal, Waterloo, London WHEN: 18 July 2014 07:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: Ottawa, Canada Hi all LWers and CFAR alumni in the eastern Canada region! We'll be...
f305d1af-30dd-41c7-8626-a2e296ffc48c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Another Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma Tournament? Last year, there was a lot of interest in the IPD tournament with people asking for regular events of this sort and developing new strategies (like Afterparty) within hours after the results were published and also expressing interest in re-running the tournament with ne...
cc115b2e-4f17-464d-b193-5b6ca565bfd7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Introduction to Representing Sentences as Logical Statements TLDR: Most sentences can be translated to simple predicate logic. There are some very important cases where natural languages are recursive, but those cases are limited to a few particular connectives (like causation and attitude verbs). I propose the hypoth...
bc8ac0de-8316-4648-84c8-df35cb8286e6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ethical dilemmas for paperclip maximizers (Why? Because it's fun.) 1) Do paperclip maximizers care about paperclip mass, paperclip count, or both? More concretely, if you have a large, finite amount of metal, you can make it into N paperclips or N+1 smaller paperclips. If all that matters is paperclip mass, then it d...
1497b372-66f5-4b87-aa36-6fa0609c1b34
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Local Solar Time Sometimes we talk about how society is "path dependent": what things would be different if history had not followed its particular path? One place that's fun to think about is time. Until the development of railways, places used local solar time. Washington DC is at 77°W while NYC is at 74°, so clocks...
06d09836-92d2-4336-8f4e-469b9ccb4ad0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Highlights from The Autobiography of Andrew Carnegie I’ve been reading Andrew Carnegie’s autobiography, published late in his life, in the early 1900s. Here are some interesting themes and quotes. (Emphasis added in all block quotes below.) Science and steel One key to Carnegie‘s success in the iron business is that...
e9bbee9d-67ce-4ffd-9588-432bff2b1bde
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Adversarial Interaction Attack: Fooling AI to Misinterpret Human Intentions 1 Introduction --------------- In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become much more closely connected to human activity. Many tasks that once used to require human labor, are now gradually being automated and shifted to AI. Fo...
b7f7ccd7-8c2a-4a6a-a4ed-214b742ebccc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The crucible — how I think about the situation with AI The basic situation The world is wild and terrible and wonderful and rushing forwards so so fast. Modern economies are tremendous things, allowing crazy amounts of coordination. People have got really very good at producing stuff. Long-term trends are towards mor...
cc83d3d7-7233-4fc3-931c-1458b37347ca
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Let’s use AI to harden human defenses against AI manipulation Views my own not my employers.   Summary tldr: AI may manipulate humans; we can defend against that risk better by optimising AIs to manipulate humans, seeing what manipulation techniques they use, and learning to detect those techniques.   It’s critic...
cf85c103-a2fb-4fde-a912-682a4f142d16
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - Report from Berlin Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - Report from Berlin WHEN: 26 April 2014 05:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Einstein Bistro, Grindelberg 81-83, 20144 Hamburg, Germany Main topic for this meetup is a report of my (Gunnars) participation in the European LW ...
7493287f-dbe5-4215-9338-ad55527806c0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Natural Intelligence is Overhyped Like this piece? It's cross-posted from by blog: https://collisteru.net/writing/ This is a work of fiction and parody. I have done my best to get the scientific details right as far as they are known today, but my real goal is social commentary, not scientific accuracy.   NOAA DIS...
6fcd449e-50c8-424e-a0b1-35e003496712
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Hydra > A small sketch of a vital problem, and a brief gesture at a possible solution > > > UBI forever? > In what follows, I’ll be talking about permanently sustaining a democratic government which is responsive to its peoples needs, even though they cannot sell their labor and do not own the means of production. b...
db5c20f6-33ac-4efa-beba-0f9a15be98e6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Scaling Evidence and Faith Often when talking with people of faith about the issue of atheism, a common response I get is: > “It takes as much faith to believe in evolution as it does to believe in god.” Any atheist who has ever talked to a theist has likely encountered this line of reasoning. There is a distinction...
985daa98-23db-4acd-97a2-3e14a0c94fab
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Debate over Cox’s theorem There seems to be so much debate over the axioms of Cox’s theorem. How can it be a good foundation for statistics when it is so disputed?
33e5d6c9-b1ab-45ff-a72a-6dbafb9a7729
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Planning for cars that coordinate with people: leveraging effects on human actions for planning and active information gathering over human internal state Autonomous Robots https://doi.org/10.1007/s10514-018-9746-1 Planning for cars that coordinate with people: leveraging effects on human actions for planning and acti...
605ca55d-0afc-4e35-adb7-e00670cfacc5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A fable on AI x-risk Whaliezer Seacowsky, founder of the Marine Intelligence Research Institute, is giving a lecture on the dangers of AI (Ape Intelligence). "Apes are becoming more intelligent at a faster rate than we are. At this pace, within a very short timeframe they will develop greater-than-whale intelligence....
e023e9bb-a99e-4630-948a-0e87d34aa98b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Anatomy of a Dating Document I’ve noticed a trend of writing out dating documents (or web pages, blog posts, etc) as a means of having everything you’d normally put on a dating profile in one place. There’s a particular way many of these are written, such that they’re more straightforward and practical about dating th...
83ccaa24-ce0d-41c3-82b6-c05033cbda3c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[LINK] Law Goes Meta Some legal background: * In the United States, there are several courts of appeals, called Circuit Courts. They can disagree about legal points - this is called a circuit split. One of the purposes of the Supreme Court is to resolve circuit splits. * Sometimes, laws are ruled to be ambiguous. I...
a8f089ac-3eb3-4519-8138-7668bb9bfdf3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Random responses to surveys [reference request] I'm looking for research on the frequency with which survey participants answer questions without reading them. I'd greatly appreciate any references.
75bd3eba-f8e4-4e2b-8e60-c5ebacd02bbd
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Gradient hacking via actual hacking In this post, I begin with a thought experiment and then pose a question: is there a threat model for gradient hacking which accounts for the possibility of [side-channel attacks](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Side-channel_attack) or other [vulnerabilities](https://www.cvedetails.co...
392e0fff-8172-4fdf-9ef0-ace9b1f7a651
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Shifting Load to Explicit Reasoning Related to: Which Parts Are "Me"?, Making your explicit reasoning trustworthy, The 5-Second Level. What's damaging about moralizing that we wish to avoid, what useful purpose does moralizing usually serve, and what allows to avoid the damage while retaining the usefulness? It engag...
ae3d457f-712c-4566-981c-a8d4a5f2162e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Utility Quilting Related: Pinpointing Utility Let's go for lunch at the Hypothetical Diner; I have something I want to discuss with you. We will pick our lunch from the set of possible orders, and we will recieve a meal drawn from the set of possible meals, O. Speaking in general, each possible order has an associa...
36c63a4a-1d71-4e58-9eba-ca30b606d24b
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Is there a publicly available list of examples of frontier model capabilities? Is there a list (something analagous to the excellent [list of examples of specification gaming](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/1/d/e/2PACX-1vRPiprOaC3HsCf5Tuum8bRfzYUiKLRqJmbOoC-32JorNdfyTiRRsR7Ea5eWtvsWzuxo8bjOxCG84dAg/pubhtml?pli...
f6cd6564-8ccd-429f-886a-5a6406b12de2
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
ML Safety at NeurIPS & Paradigmatic AI Safety? MLAISU W49 Watch this week’s episode on [YouTube](https://youtu.be/hcK8z1O62gk) or listen to the audio version [here](https://podcast.apartresearch.com/15). This week, we see how to break ChatGPT, how to integrate diverse opinions in an AI and look at a bunch of the most...
532f0fa5-340d-4a73-823d-f8bc684d7f89
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Calibration for continuous quantities Related to: Calibration fail, Test Your Calibration! Around here, calibration is mostly approached on a discrete basis: for example, the Technical Explanation of Technical Explanations talks only about discrete distributions, and the commonly linked tests and surveys are either e...
c77411d4-465c-4d0d-b79b-4ffb955460b7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How do I know if my first post should be a post, or a question? Hello! My name is Nathan, which you could divine from my username but I figured it would start off on the right foot to greet using conventional social norms.  I consider myself a novice in decision theory philosophy and ethical AI, so I am intimidated ...
9d8f414e-63d0-4d6c-994b-bc5f27c78993
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Useful Concepts Repository See also: Boring Advice Repository, Solved Problems Repository, Grad Student Advice Repository I often find that my understanding of the world is strongly informed by a few key concepts. For example, I've repeatedly found the concept of opportunity cost to be a useful frame. My previous pos...
8269ba29-77b9-46ac-87d5-5fcad1193429
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Megaproject management Megaproject management is a new-ish subfield of project management. Originally considered to be the special case of project management where the budgets were enormous (billions of dollars), it is developing into a separate specialization because of the high complexity and tradition of failure am...
6f25e603-de15-46c0-acea-3e3fe7bb5d87
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Should AI focus on problem-solving or strategic planning? Why not both? The Effective Altruism movement seems to be mainly concerned with 2 broad objectives: One is a focus on reducing suffering and alleviating risks, the other is a focus on doing the most good and improving the world.  A big concern is AI alignment,...
7ef0de53-158c-40f9-a621-fd3d0fb48558
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
How to Throw Away Information [Probability as Minimal Map](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Lz2nCYnBeaZyS68Xb/probability-as-minimal-map) argued that the probability .mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-s...
b214643a-d759-428d-9ab6-9d1a083dfba2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Both or Nothing A response to: Self-Integrity and the Drowning Child On Internal Integrity Eliezer criticises Peter Singer's The Child in the Pond thought experiment on the basis that it is an "outside assault on your internal integrity". He explains that it was designed to "let your altruistic part hammer down the ...
ee9cf657-a836-4e5e-a732-76356886f8fa
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Natural Selection vs Gradient Descent Why is it so often that analogies are drawn between natural selection and gradient descent in a machine learning context? They are both optimizing over a fitness function, but isn't there an important difference in what they are optimizing over? Natural selection is broadly optim...
04d6ba96-5291-47c2-8176-919e65a6d471
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Why do AGI researchers expect AI so soon? *By Katja Grace, 24 May 2015* People have been predicting when human-level AI will appear for many decades. A few years ago, MIRI [made](http://lesswrong.com/lw/e79/ai_timeline_prediction_data/) a big, organized collection of such predictions, along with helpful metadata. We...
eca76c96-7df9-4240-b1fc-5f5a76b5c122
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI) Authors of linked report: Josh Rosenberg, Ezra Karger, Avital Morris, Molly Hickman, Rose Hadshar, Zachary Jacobs, Philip Tetlock[1] Today, the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) released “Roots of Disagreement on AI Risk: Exploring the Potential and Pitfal...
54ab092d-5c56-4fcf-b712-2ee5d5a20483
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Causal scrubbing: Appendix *\* Authors sorted alphabetically.* *An appendix to* [*this post*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JvZhhzycHu2Yd57RN/causal-scrubbing-redwood-research)*.* 1 More on Hypotheses ==================== 1.1 Example behaviors --------------------- As mentioned above, our method allows us to ...
6451e426-d5d9-4d79-9ae5-127ff24bede5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Avoid large group discussions in your social events If you're organizing a social event, I strongly recommend that you structure it in a way that encourages small group discussions over large ones. What's the point of an interest-specific social club? To socialize, of course! With people who share a specific interes...
88005658-46cc-4476-9742-f8646bb5fd25
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Talking Through A Fear of Death Epistemic Status: semi-stream-of-consciousness effort to talk myself through how I really feel about death. After waiting in line for what feels like a lifetime, I finally get the chance to talk to the Oracle about something that’s been bothering me. Me: I’m afraid of death Oracle: G...
67a1f8e6-d339-499e-9430-92896f91f9e5
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
A summary of AI surveys *By Katja Grace, 10 January 2015* If you want to know when human-level AI will be developed, a natural approach is to ask someone who works on developing AI. You might however be put off by such predictions being regularly criticized as inaccurate and biased. While they do seem overwhelmingly...
f29c4d20-0baa-4025-ac73-04000f5be188
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Boston - Taking ideas seriously Discussion article for the meetup : Boston - Taking ideas seriously WHEN: 01 June 2014 03:30:00PM (-0400) WHERE: Citadel House, 98 Elm St #1, Somerville, MA Anders Huitfeldt will lead a discussion about whether taking ideas seriously is likely to increase the accuracy of men...
859c4b25-af13-4a93-af96-76783ad252bf
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
DSLT 0. Distilling Singular Learning Theory *TLDR; In this sequence I distill Sumio Watanabe's* Singular Learning Theory (SLT) *by explaining the essence of its main theorem - Watanabe's Free Energy Formula for Singular Models - and illustrating its implications with intuition-building examples. I then show why neural...
fe1847c3-bb51-444c-9d6a-0781e6dd489b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A very long list of sleep maintenance suggestions Leading up to this year's Australia megameetup, in the interest of improving people's lives in the most valuable way possible, I was hoping to include a session on sleep, sleep quality and sleep maintenance.  With that in mind I put together A very long list of sleep m...
63f8c12d-352a-44f4-9c0f-7bf4eb4e97c7
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Deconfusing Direct vs Amortised Optimization *This post is part of the work done at*[*Conjecture*](https://www.conjecture.dev/)*.* *An earlier version of this post was posted*[*here*](https://www.beren.io/2022-09-25-Deconfusing-direct-vs-amortized-optimization/)*.* *Many thanks go to Eric Winsor, Daniel Braun, Chris...
b395c66b-eccb-4b0d-864b-37fde9029abb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The I-Less Eye or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Anthropic Trilemma Imagine you live in a future society where the law allows up to a hundred instances of a person to exist at any one time, but insists that your property belongs to the original you, not to the copies. (Does this sound illogical? I may a...
a276a7ec-6e32-4863-aae5-a8aa83490eb1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 3/23 Last week I announced the LessWrong Coronavirus Agenda, an attempt to increase knowledge by coordinating research between LW participants. This post is an update on that. If you want to skip to action items, check out the last section. Last Week’s Spotlight Questions Last week I spo...
76d913f1-4eee-4b5d-a0ee-cd48cd1ebc77
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Link] Neural Correlates of Confusion? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P3b I found this article while researching something else and I was intrigued. Is this a neural correlate of confusion? > The P3b has been a prominent tool used to study cognitive processes for several decades. More specifically, this ERP component ...
57b96fa9-204e-4047-a17b-c9f7065a7f31
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
New paper: (When) is Truth-telling Favored in AI debate? *An introduction to a recent [paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.04266) by myself and Ryan Carey. Cross-posting from [Medium](https://medium.com/@RyanCarey/new-paper-when-is-truth-telling-favored-in-ai-debate-8f58f14562e5).* --- For some intellectual tasks,...
7e8e23f0-7f24-4d99-9686-f81843c3c622
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Experience Switching to Right Shoulder Round Contra dance has a figure where two people walk a small circle looking at each other. When it was introduced into contra in the 1970s as a borrowing from ECD, it had the name "gypsy", originally from Morris dancing, but many communities now use "right shoulder round". In m...
69b62e5e-a5bb-4bed-9519-c86fc61d2794
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is there a "coherent decisions imply consistent utilities"-style argument for non-lexicographic preferences? The post Coherent decisions imply consistent utilities demonstrates some situations in which an agent that isn't acting as if it is maximizing a real-valued utility function over lotteries is dominated by one t...
0616a7a0-247a-45e1-a095-81c0c4e23510
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] The Bottom Line Today's post, The Bottom Line was originally published on 28 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > If you first write at the bottom of a sheet of paper, “And therefore, the sky is green!”, it does not matter what arguments you write above it afterward; the conclusion is ...
df6cd8e9-d7e3-46ea-a8d8-3ac6e3c847d9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
My God! It's full of Nash equilibria! Speaking of Scott Aaronson, his latest post at Shtetl-Optimized seems worthy of some linky love. > Why do native speakers of the language you’re studying talk too fast for you to understand them?  Because otherwise, they could talk faster and still understand each other. > > ......
8c634414-545d-45b7-97aa-7b66938323c9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Insights from "All of Statistics": Statistical Inference (This is the second of two posts on the textbook All of Statistics. Click here for post I.) 4. Fundamentals of Statistical Inference Probability theory is about using distributions to derive information about outcomes. Given the assumption that X∼Poisson(3), w...
90ccff48-3286-4d17-915d-7b1e0c2d4fa4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Chatbots or set answers, not WBEs A putative new idea for AI control; index here. In a previous post, I talked about using a WBE to define a safe output for a reduced impact AI. I've realised that the WBE isn't needed. Its only role was to ensure that the AI's output could have been credibly produced by something ot...
b45d2cf6-cc59-4890-94ab-dd9a79724a2a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm *New Day* Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm *New Day* WHEN: 28 June 2012 07:00:00PM (-0600) WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524 We're trying a new day, Thursday. Sign up at the Google Group for anno...
07cd1de9-4d4a-49c4-bdab-ade1f602d60e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
"View" The term view is used fairly often among meditators in a subtle but distinct way. View refers to the embodied, intuitive perspective that a person holds in a given moment. (Note there can sometimes be multiple views functioning at once, which I mostly don't describe here.) Colloquially, ‘view’ and ‘perspective...
63257850-5a5f-46d2-8eb1-b9ece54f7dd1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The "semiosis reply" to the Chinese Room Argument Nobody proposed so far the following solution to the Chinese Room Argument against the claim that a program can be constitutive of understanding (a human, non-Chinese-speaker, cannot understand Chinese just having run a given program, even if this program enables the h...
2bb5dabc-2433-41c2-af04-899ec2d418fe
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On Eating the Sun The Sun is the most nutritious thing that's reasonably close. It's only 8 light-minutes away, yet contains the vast majority of mass within 4 light-years of the Earth. The next-nearest star, Proxima Centauri, is about 4.25 light-years away. By "nutritious", I mean it has a lot of what's needed for m...
1aa7054e-cc8b-4574-bba3-c84b5359eea8
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AGI Safety Fundamentals curriculum and application **Note: the curriculum outline in this post is now out of date; see the linked document for the canonical version.** Over the last year EA Cambridge has been designing and running an online program aimed at effectively introducing the field of AGI safety; the most re...
15ababc1-8269-45e7-8ea4-b4e1be02a86b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
You can now listen to the “AI Safety Fundamentals” courses The AI Safety Fundamentals courses are one of the best ways to learn about AI safety and prepare to work in the field. BlueDot Impact facilitates the courses several times per year, and the curricula are available online for anyone to read.  The “Alignment” ...
7b3def9f-1b87-4731-b566-092599b5482c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Coordinate-Free Interpretability Theory Some interpretability work assigns meaning to activations of individual neurons or small groups of neurons. Some interpretability work assigns meaning to directions in activation-space. These are two different ontologies through which to view a net’s internals. Probably neither ...
cf144086-14df-4011-a4b5-21bcfa76f3f2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What are the effective utilitarian pros and cons of having children (in rich countries)? I have one child and do not want more, so I am not seeking for personal advice here. But I am interested in the general ethical question: From an effective utilitarian viewpoint, what are the arguments for and against having child...
96abe846-e88c-430f-9a8a-41a5e66ccc75
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Natural number A **natural number** is a number like 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, ... which can be used to represent the count of an object. The set of natural numbers is $\mathbb N.$ Not all sources include 0 in $\mathbb N.$ Natural numbers are perhaps the simplest type of number. They don't include [negative numbers](https...
1082a8c7-451e-433e-abad-1ac82f1e94c4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Being legible to other agents by committing to using weaker reasoning systems Suppose that an agent A1 reasons in a sound theory T1, and an agent A2 reasons in a theory T2, such that T1 proves that T2 is sound. Now suppose A1 is trying to reason in a way that is legible to A2, in the sense that A2 can rely on A1 to re...
833acc88-f8f5-4b27-9e27-576f5dc8609a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
CFAR is running an experimental mini-workshop (June 2-6, Berkeley CA)! Hello from the Center for Applied Rationality! Some of you may have attended our classic applied rationality workshops in the past; others of you may have wanted to attend a workshop but not yet had a chance to. It's been a while since we've last ...
fefac6f0-8812-4833-8a9a-f060547a3a17
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
3D Common Corruptions and Data Augmentation 1 Introduction --------------- ![Refer to caption](/html/2203.01441/assets/images/compare2d3d_7_2.jpg) Figure 1: Using 3D information to generate real-world corruptions. The top row shows sample 2D corruptions applied uniformly over the image, e.g. as in Common Corruptions...
c56b93ae-12b1-4b6a-a670-b58f06808bac
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[LINK] Larry = Harry sans magic? Google vs. Death Google's announcement, Time magazine rather sensationalist headline. In any case, it's nice to know that Google set its sights to "challenge ... aging and associated diseases". Apple's Tim Cook: For too many of our friends and family, life has been cut short or the q...
94f276ac-56bd-4bcc-bdb6-e39e20aba8da
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting The speed, sophistication, and impacts of AI technology development together comprise some of the most astonishing and significant events of our lifetimes. AI development promises both enormous risks and opportunities for society. Join Metaculus's AI forecasting...
826a5ae7-de35-4697-a14e-458f3cc80595
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
lessannoying.org <a href="http://http://www.lessannoying.org/">http://imgur.com/hNC03.jpg</a>
6e982a42-064e-4123-86ae-5798697fa085
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Philosophical Cyborg (Part 1) This post is part of the output from AI Safety Camp 2023’s Cyborgism track, run by Nicholas Kees Dupuis - thank you to AISC organizers & funders for their support.  Thank you for comments from Peter Hroššo; and the helpful background of conversations about the possibilities (and limits) o...
e9ab86ae-5527-4b2e-9d56-861948eda3ab
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Is There a Valley of Bad Civilizational Adequacy? This post is my attempt to think through an idea that I’ve been mulling over since [this discussion](https://twitter.com/cat_neuron/status/1464717285797638145) on Twitter last November prompted by a question of Matthew Barnett, which I was reminded of while reading the...
d00e1943-6659-4c30-a901-5738f1204680
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Generalizing from One Trend Related: Reference Class of the Unclassreferenceable, Generalizing From One Example Many people try to predict the future. Few succeed. One common mistake made in predicting the future is to simply take a current trend and extrapolate it forward, as if it was the only thing that mattered-...
f7e1fb70-3bb0-4aa7-bc95-f2bb8b8c33ad
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Managing AI Risks in an Era of Rapid Progress Managing AI Risks in an Era of Rapid Progress Authors Yoshua Bengio Geoffrey Hinton Andrew Yao Dawn Song Pieter Abbeel Yuval Noah Harari Ya-Qin Zhang Lan Xue Shai Shalev-Shwartz Gillian Hadfield Jeff Clune Tegan Maharaj Frank Hutter Atılım Güneş Baydin Sh...
63704f61-946b-484b-a2da-a937b2392438
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Thoughts from a conversation on quantum immortality [Today, I participated in a conversation about the idea of quantum immortality. I decided to summarise some of the thoughts that came up in this short post. Therefore, it should be viewed as a report on a discussion rather than an attempt at a proper post.] Assume t...
7d2da07c-1277-41cc-8ab1-4c6748817f53
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Should we “go against nature”? Should we “go against nature”? Or live in “harmony” with it? There are two senses of “nature.” Teasing them apart clarifies this issue. “Nature” can mean immutable natural law. We defy this at our peril. If we dump raw sewage where we get our drinking water, we will suffer epidemics. If...
3ed2de58-283c-496b-b7ea-f6c6c7264c5c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
[AN #125]: Neural network scaling laws across multiple modalities Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this sprea...
367de36f-b2ab-442c-b474-d2d174d1866d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How Big a Deal are MatMul-Free Transformers? If you’re already familiar with the technical side of LLMs, you can skip the first section. The story so far Modern Large Language Models - your ChatGPTs, your Geminis - are a particular kind of transformer, a deep learning architecture invented about seven years ago. Wit...
542204ee-5f6d-4bd0-bd01-c7dc626c23d2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Population ethics and utility indifference It occurs to me that the various utility indifference approaches might be usable in population ethics. One challenge for non-total utilitarians is how to deal with new beings. Some theories - average utilitarianism, for instance, or some other systems that use overall popula...
03fa5332-d376-467f-b1fc-bc6240dc0be6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Discuss: How to learn math? Learning math is hard. Those that have braved some of its depths, what did you discover that allowed you to go deeper? This is a place to share insights, methods, and tips for learning mathematics effectively, as well as resources that contain this information.
8fdfbc56-b291-4704-8988-b06cca27b4c1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The randomness/ignorance model solves many anthropic problems (Follow-up to Randomness vs Ignorance and Reference Classes for Randomness) I've argued that all uncertainty can be divided into randomness and ignorance and that this model is free of contradictions. Its purpose is to resolve anthropic puzzles such as the...
8414f145-7827-46a9-b16d-d9ab7f7280fd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Firewalling the Optimal from the Rational Followup to: Rationality: Appreciating Cognitive Algorithms  (minor post) There's an old anecdote about Ayn Rand, which Michael Shermer recounts in his "The Unlikeliest Cult in History" (note: calling a fact unlikely is an insult to your prior model, not the fact itself), whi...
536ef6b3-40bc-4426-ab8a-fed691be72b8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Number-guessing protocol? Suppose several people are guessing a number, and then find an estimate to see who is right. The super-common protocol is: whoever is closest, wins. This protocol is really bad. If there are three people, and I guess 50, then the other two people can guess 51 and 49. This means I'll almost ...
0178c9e6-81ca-4863-b5c7-eb1fdd8f1636
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Negative Feedback and Simulacra Part 1: Examples There’s a thing I want to talk about but it’s pretty nebulous so I’m going to start with examples. Feel free to skip ahead to part 2 if you prefer. Example 1: Hot sauce In this r/AmITheAsshole post, a person tries some food their their girlfriend cooked, likes it, but...
f634e107-5b8b-40f1-be87-322d43bd2005
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AI safety and consciousness research: A brainstorm I've been collecting people's thoughts on the potential of consciousness research to advance AI safety. Here are some rough answers I've come across: **1. Understanding ethics / human values** ========================================== These approaches argue underst...
5d064ebb-29c6-4531-9600-1fc975cb9c75
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Absent Minded Gambler
56d3b368-ccc1-46dd-bbe5-99d9921a22a3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
REVISED: A drowning child is hard to find Substantial revisions to clarify the post's core claim, including but not limited to this summary at the end: > Summary > * Effective Altruism claims that there is a large funding gap for cheap well-understood developing-world interventions. > * Even the most aggressive pl...
4ceac802-1ce6-4c79-a649-e20827326e06
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
LW2.0 Mailing List for Breaking API Changes We've created this mailing list you can join if you'd like to receive an email update when we make breaking changes to our API. https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/lw20-api-updates
289c1bff-61fb-40aa-b965-069c38882c6f
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
How toy models of ontology changes can be misleading Before solving complicated problems (such as reaching a decision with thousands of variables and complicated dependencies) it helps to focus on solving simpler problems first (such as utility problems with three clear choices), and then gradually building up. After ...
204a4c4c-a9b3-45de-9e49-1ac5a6c46453
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Link] You Should Downvote Contrarian Anecdotes http://thobbs.github.com/blog/2012/06/17/you-should-downvote-anecdotes/ > Anecdotal evidence has been shown to have a greater influence on opinion than it logically deserves, most visibly when the anecdote conflicts with the reader’s opinion and when the reader is not h...
817b54ec-af0e-4862-97e4-5422841a5aa1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Bitcoin Cryonics Fund The bitcoins that I had set aside for a Cryonics contest two years ago (and were unredeemed) are suddenly worth a lot more. Details: I had added 10 bitcoins to get things started, and there were 4.75 worth of additional donations. These were partially lost when the hosted online wallet that I wa...
5ab0929d-edda-4ca6-91b6-2980de7cabc6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Linkposts now live!   You can now submit links to LW! As the rationality community has grown up, more and more content has moved off LW to other places, and so rather than trying to generate more content here we'll instead try to collect more content here. My hope is that Less Wrong becomes something like "the Ration...
e7ea7d36-9cae-4bf8-ab8e-f0c8db52f354
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
164. A Tutorial on Machine Learning hello and welcome to session 164 in the as50 that come reading group tonight we have a very unusual paper which is not really about AI safety at all but it's instead a tutorial on machine learning and data science tools with Python by andreas Holsinger and Marcos Blois they are both...
ba9baa4a-8091-444d-ae57-4ac28ddda849
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Apocalypse Bet A problem with betting on engineered superplagues, physics disasters, nanotechnological warfare, or intelligence explosions of both Friendly and unFriendly type, is that all these events are likely to disrupt settlement of trades (to put it mildly).  It's not easy to sell a bet that pays off only if...
49babb57-5a15-4cd5-a728-b4d18af5cedb
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Metaculus Launches Conditional Cup to Explore Linked Forecasts ![](https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/JMhwY2WE3oqkRxf6h/loskhpqtwpfxd7tndpaz) Game out scenarios and bring greater clarity to the relationships between important events in Metaculus's new [Conditional Cup](https:/...